metaforecast/data/smarkets-questions.json

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2021-02-16 14:18:23 +00:00
[
{
"title": "Next permanent leader of the Conservative Party, after Boris Johnson",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/886716/politics/uk/uk-party-leaders/next-conservative-leader",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Contracts to be added on request",
"options": [
{
"name": "Sajid Javid",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"probability": 0.03746229444390386,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Rory Stewart",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"probability": 0.0009730466089325679,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Jacob Rees-Mogg",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"probability": 0.025591125814926532,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Penny Mordaunt",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"probability": 0.027050695728325382,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Jeremy Hunt",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"probability": 0.10810547825240828,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "James Cleverly",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Dominic Raab",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"probability": 0.06490220881580228,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Tom Tugendhat",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"probability": 0.06276150627615062,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Priti Patel",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"probability": 0.05264182154325192,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Amber Rudd",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"probability": 0.00544906101002238,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Johnny Mercer",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Michael Gove",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"probability": 0.0810547825240829,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Matthew Hancock",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"probability": 0.05264182154325192,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Liz Truss",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"probability": 0.07482728422691447,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Gavin Williamson",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"probability": 0.03892186435730271,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Andrea Leadsom",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"probability": 0.013914566507735718,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Geoffrey Cox",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Tobias Ellwood",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Steve Baker",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"probability": 0.030359054198696115,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Ruth Davidson",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"probability": 0.023158509292595112,
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},
{
"name": "Esther McVey",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"probability": 0.009730466089325677,
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},
{
"name": "Philip Hammond",
"probability": 0,
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},
{
"name": "Rishi Sunak",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"probability": 0.2904544127663715,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:32:59.314Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
},
{
"title": "Gender of next Conservative leader",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/886716/politics/uk/uk-party-leaders/next-conservative-leader",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "What will be the gender of the next permanent Conservative Party leader, after Boris Johnson?",
"options": [
{
"name": "Male",
"probability": 0.7736942156241513,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Female",
"probability": 0.22630578437584864,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:32:59.665Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
},
{
"title": "Next German Chancellor after Angela Merkel",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/974485/politics/europe/germany/next-german-chancellor-2019",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "",
"options": [
{
"name": "Friedrich Merz",
2021-04-04 17:52:59 +00:00
"probability": 0.005478779949300842,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer",
2021-04-04 17:52:59 +00:00
"probability": 0.017744705208929592,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Jens Spahn",
2021-04-04 17:52:59 +00:00
"probability": 0.05274347861640363,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Armin Laschet",
2021-04-04 17:52:59 +00:00
"probability": 0.32709134025676667,
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},
{
"name": "Robert Habeck",
2021-04-04 17:52:59 +00:00
"probability": 0.07114236650584675,
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},
{
"name": "Alice Weidel",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Andrea Nahles",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Daniel Gunther",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Ralph Brinkhaus",
2021-04-04 17:52:59 +00:00
"probability": 0.03409927222176792,
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},
{
"name": "Wolfgang Schäuble",
"probability": 0,
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},
{
"name": "Julia Klockner",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Heiko Maas",
"probability": 0,
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},
{
"name": "Malu Dreyer",
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},
{
"name": "Peter Altmaier",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Ralf Stegner",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Ursula Von der Leyen",
2021-04-04 17:52:59 +00:00
"probability": 0.025513124540027802,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Sahra Wagenknecht",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Martin Sonneborn",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Markus Söder",
2021-04-04 17:52:59 +00:00
"probability": 0.3683866219641835,
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},
{
"name": "Olaf Scholz",
2021-04-04 17:52:59 +00:00
"probability": 0.01169351541417941,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Norbert Röttgen",
2021-04-04 17:52:59 +00:00
"probability": 0.002698503557118325,
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},
{
"name": "Annalena Baerbock",
2021-04-04 17:52:59 +00:00
"probability": 0.0834082917654755,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:00.021Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
},
{
"title": "Next permanent leader of the SNP after Nicola Sturgeon",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/1467262/politics/uk/uk-party-leaders/snp-leader",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "",
"options": [
{
"name": "Derek Mackay",
"probability": null,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Humza Yousaf",
"probability": null,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Stewart Hosie",
"probability": null,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Mhairi Black",
"probability": null
},
{
"name": "Shona Robison",
"probability": null,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "John Swinney",
"probability": null,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Keith Brown",
"probability": null
},
{
"name": "Joanna Cherry",
"probability": null,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Angus Robertson",
"probability": null,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Alex Salmond",
"probability": null
},
{
"name": "Michael Matheson",
"probability": null,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Tommy Sheppard",
"probability": null
},
{
"name": "Angela Constance",
"probability": null
},
{
"name": "Roseanna Cunningham",
"probability": null
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:00.412Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
},
{
"title": "Year in which Boris Johnson will cease to be Prime Minister",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/4399382/politics/uk/uk-party-leaders/borisjohnson",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "",
"options": [
{
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"probability": 0.009484966328369536,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"probability": 0.00009484966328369536,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "2021",
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"probability": 0.1281418950962724,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "2022 or later",
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"probability": 0.8622782889120744,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:00.764Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
},
{
"title": "Boris Johnson to be the last Prime Minister of a four country UK",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/4399382/politics/uk/uk-party-leaders/borisjohnson",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "With disruptions caused by the post Brexit settlement with the EU could the country could split apart. This would make Boris Johnson the last PM of a four-country UK. ",
"options": [
{
"name": "Yes",
"probability": 0.05664798777381558,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "No",
"probability": 0.9433520122261844,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:01.128Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
},
{
"title": "Next Prime Minister after Boris Johnson",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/4765465/politics/uk/next-pm/next-pm",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Contracts to be added on request",
"options": [
{
"name": "Jeremy Corbyn",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"probability": 0.011361959569130883,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Nigel Farage",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"probability": 0.007746790615316511,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Jo Swinson",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"probability": 0.08779696030692045,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Keir Starmer",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"probability": 0.1570016231370813,
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},
{
"name": "Rebecca Long-Bailey",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"probability": 0.010550391028478675,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Sajid Javid",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"probability": 0.024568393094289504,
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},
{
"name": "Angela Rayner",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Dominic Raab",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"probability": 0.041021100782056945,
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},
{
"name": "Emily Thornberry",
"probability": 0,
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},
{
"name": "Jacob Rees-Mogg",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"probability": 0.024568393094289504,
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},
{
"name": "Rory Stewart",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"probability": 0.01601003393832079,
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},
{
"name": "Amber Rudd",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"probability": 0.02169101372288623,
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},
{
"name": "Dominic Grieve",
"probability": 0,
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},
{
"name": "Johnny Mercer",
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},
{
"name": "Michael Gove",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
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},
{
"name": "Penny Mordaunt",
"probability": 0,
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},
{
"name": "Ruth Davidson",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"probability": 0.020510550391028472,
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},
{
"name": "Tom Watson",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"probability": 0.01601003393832079,
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},
{
"name": "Yvette Cooper",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"probability": 0.028404898922827205,
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},
{
"name": "Gavin Williamson",
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{
"name": "Geoffrey Cox",
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},
{
"name": "James Cleverly",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Jeremy Hunt",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"probability": 0.06706507304116864,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "John McDonnell",
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},
{
"name": "Lisa Nandy",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
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},
{
"name": "Liz Truss",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"probability": 0.03511878412276818,
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},
{
"name": "Priti Patel",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
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},
{
"name": "Tom Tugendhat",
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},
{
"name": "Ken Clarke",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"probability": 0.04471004869411243,
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},
{
"name": "Harriet Harman",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
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},
{
"name": "Margaret Beckett",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"probability": 0.054670208056662235,
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},
{
"name": "Rishi Sunak",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
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},
{
"name": "Matthew Hancock",
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}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:01.477Z",
"qualityindicators": {
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}
},
{
"title": "Year of next General Election",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/34757345/politics/uk/year-next-general-election-2020/year-next-ge-2020",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "",
"options": [
{
"name": "2020",
2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
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{
"name": "2021",
2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
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{
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2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
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{
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2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
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{
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2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
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}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:01.713Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
},
{
"title": "Year of next Scottish referendum",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/39181409/politics/uk/scottish-independence/year-scottish-referendum",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "",
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{
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:02.070Z",
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}
},
{
"title": "Next Cabinet Member to leave",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/41589478/politics/uk/cabinet/next-cabinet-member-to-leave",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "",
"options": [
{
"name": "Boris Johnson",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.03810107734080757,
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{
"name": "Rishi Sunak",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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{
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{
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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{
"name": "Michael Gove",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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{
"name": "Robert Buckland",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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{
"name": "Ben Wallace",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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{
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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{
"name": "Alok Sharma",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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{
"name": "Elizabeth Truss",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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{
"name": "Thérèse Coffey",
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{
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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{
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{
"name": "Robert Jenrick",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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{
"name": "Grant Shapps",
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{
"name": "Brandon Lewis",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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{
"name": "Alister Jack",
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{
"name": "Simon Hart",
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{
"name": "Baroness Evans of Bowes Park",
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{
"name": "Oliver Dowden",
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{
"name": "Amanda Milling",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:02.412Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
},
{
"title": "Party to get the most seats",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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"title": "USA and UK to sign a trade deal in 2021",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
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2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
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2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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"title": "Winner of the 2022 French presidential election",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Keir Starmer was elected Labour Party leader on 4 April 2020. Who will be his successor?\r\n\r\nOther candidates available on request.",
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Who will be elected mayor of London in the 2021 mayoral election? Contracts added on request.",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will Sadiq Khan receive over 50% of the vote in the first round of the 2021 London mayoral election?",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Who will be elected mayor of the Tees Valley in the 2021 mayoral election? Contracts added on request.",
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2021-03-28 12:02:57 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:06.847Z",
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{
"title": "Scottish Parliament election 2021 winner",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/41664419/politics/uk/2021-scottish-parliament-election/scottish-parliament-election-2021",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win the most seats in the 2021 Scottish Parliament election? Contracts added on request.",
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2021-04-05 14:39:48 +00:00
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2021-04-05 14:39:48 +00:00
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2021-04-05 14:39:48 +00:00
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2021-04-05 14:39:48 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:07.215Z",
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{
"title": "Scottish Parliament election 2021 most seats (w/o SNP)",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/41664420/politics/uk/2021-scottish-parliament-election/scottish-parliament-election-2021-winner-w-o-snp",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party (excluding the SNP) will win the most seats in the 2021 Scottish Parliament election? Contracts added on request.",
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:07.560Z",
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{
"title": "Local elections highest vote share",
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"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will receive the highest national equivalent vote share at the 2021 United Kingdom local elections?",
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:07.915Z",
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{
"title": "Next permanent leader of fine gael after Leo Varadkar",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Contracts to be added on request.",
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:08.264Z",
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{
"title": "Irish reunification referendum before 2023",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will Northern Ireland hold a referendum on Irish reunification on or before 31 December 2022?",
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:08.601Z",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Who will be the next First Minister of Scotland after Nicola Sturgeon? Other contracts available on request.",
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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"name": "Joanna Cherry",
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:08.960Z",
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{
"title": "French Presidential election to happen before 2022",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/41709221/politics/europe/france/early-presidential-election",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "",
"options": [
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:09.304Z",
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{
"title": "Will Keir Starmer face a leadership challenge?",
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"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will any candidate receive the nominations of at least 20% of Labour MPs to challenge Keir Starmer for the party leadership before the next UK general election?",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:09.652Z",
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{
"title": "UK to begin imports of chlorinated chicken",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/41731856/politics/uk/brexit/chlorinated-chicken",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will the UK begin importing chlorine-washed chicken products following the end of the transition period on 31 December 2020, but on or before 30 June 2021?",
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2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.06568897036358082,
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2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.9343110296364192,
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:09.893Z",
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{
"title": "Washington, D.C. to become a state before 2022",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/41736144/politics/us/51st-state/washington-d-c-to-become-a-state-by-2021",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will Washington, D.C. become a state before 1 January 2022?",
"options": [
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2021-03-24 16:10:05 +00:00
"probability": 0.12472560367192177,
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"name": "No",
2021-03-24 16:10:05 +00:00
"probability": 0.8752743963280782,
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:10.252Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
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{
"title": "Puerto Rico to become a state before 2022",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/41736169/politics/us/51st-state/puerto-rico-to-become-a-state-before-2022",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will Puerto Rico become a state before 1 January 2022?",
"options": [
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
"probability": 0.16540927951716333,
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
"probability": 0.8345907204828368,
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],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:10.622Z",
"qualityindicators": {
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{
"title": "Next Fianna Fáil leader",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/41761772/politics/europe/ireland/next-fianna-fail-leader-after-micheal-martin",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Who will be the next permanent Fianna Fáil leader after Micheál Martin? Contracts added on request.",
"options": [
{
"name": "Jim O'Callaghan",
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"probability": 0.40963460593150913,
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{
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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{
"name": "Dara Calleary",
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"probability": 0.2559397017860069,
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{
"name": "Thomas Byrne",
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{
"name": "Niall Collins",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "James Lawless",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Paul McAuliffe",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Darragh O'Brien",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Norma Foley",
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{
"name": "Robert Troy",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "John McGuinness",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Jack Chambers",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "James Browne",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Anne Rabbitte",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Seán Ó Fearghail",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Eamon O'Cuiv",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Mary Butler",
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],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:10.879Z",
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{
"title": "Next Scottish independence referendum result (before 2022)",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/41774246/politics/uk/scotland/result-of-indie-ref",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "",
"options": [
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:11.108Z",
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},
{
"title": "Will the SNP have an overall majority following the 2021 Scottish Election?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/41793318/politics/uk/2021-scottish-parliament-election/2021-scottish-parliament-election-snp-majority",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "",
"options": [
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.5,
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.5,
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:11.493Z",
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{
"title": "Next general election overall majority",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/41817534/politics/uk/next-uk-general-election/next-general-election-overall-majority",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party (if any) will win an overall majority at the next UK general election? Contracts added on request.",
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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{
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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{
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:11.825Z",
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{
"title": "Date of next Japanese general election",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/41891949/politics/world/japan/date-of-next-general-election",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "When will the next Japanese general election take place?",
"options": [
{
"name": "Before 22 October 2021",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"probability": 0.6065158529129182,
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{
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:12.072Z",
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},
{
"title": "Belarus to have a General Election in 2021",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/41933267/politics/europe/belorussia/general-election",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "",
"options": [
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.3476521573483189,
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.6523478426516811,
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:12.405Z",
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{
"title": "Joe Biden to serve full term",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/41935107/politics/us/joe-biden/biden-to-serve-full-term",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will Joe Biden serve his first term as President of the United States in full? See market rules for more details.",
"options": [
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2021-04-04 17:52:59 +00:00
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2021-04-04 17:52:59 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:12.757Z",
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{
"title": "2024 Democratic presidential nominee",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/41936389/politics/us/2024-presidential-election/2024-democratic-presidential-nominee",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Who will be the Democratic candidate for the 2024 US presidential election? Other contracts added on request.",
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2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.3579995202686496,
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"name": "Kamala Harris",
2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
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{
"name": "Elizabeth Warren",
2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
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{
"name": "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez",
2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
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{
"name": "Michelle Obama",
2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
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{
"name": "Pete Buttigieg",
2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
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{
"name": "Gavin Newsom",
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{
"name": "Nina Turner",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Andrew Cuomo",
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{
"name": "Bernie Sanders",
2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.020028783881026625,
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{
"name": "Rashida Tlaib",
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{
"name": "Ayanna Pressley",
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{
"name": "Andrew Yang",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
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{
"name": "Eric Garcetti",
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{
"name": "Cory Booker",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Gretchen Whitmer",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Who will finish in second place in the 2021 London mayoral election? Candidates added on request.",
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:14.174Z",
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{
"title": "Women's Equality Party to win a seat in the London Assembly",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will the Women's Equality Party win at least one seat in the London Assembly at the 2021 London Assembly election?",
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:14.511Z",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Contracts available on request.",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:14.869Z",
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{
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will Labour win a majority on the London Assembly following the 2021 election?",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:15.206Z",
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{
"title": "How many party leaders will still be in post at the end of 2021?",
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"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "How many of the following four party leaders will still be in position on 31 December 2021: Boris Johnson, Keir Starmer, Ed Davey and Nicola Sturgeon?",
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:15.563Z",
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"title": "2021 Norwegian election: Most votes",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will receive the highest vote share in the 2021 Norwegian parliamentary election? (Norwegian names in brackets)",
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2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
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2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
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2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
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2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
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2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:15.911Z",
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"title": "2021 Norwegian election: Largest minor party",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will receive the highest vote share in the 2021 Norwegian election, excluding the Conservative and Labour parties? Parties added on request.",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:16.274Z",
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{
"title": "Brexit Party to control any council",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/41967411/politics/uk/local-elections/brexit-party-to-control-any-council",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will the Brexit Party/Reform Party win a majority of seats on any council at the 2021 local elections?",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:16.631Z",
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{
"title": "Brexit Party to win a seat in the London Assembly",
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"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will the Brexit Party/Reform Party win at least one seat in the London Assembly at the 2021 London Assembly election?",
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:16.979Z",
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{
"title": "London Assembly: Liberal Democrat seats",
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"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "How many seats will the Liberal Democrats win in the 2021 London Assembly election?",
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2021-03-27 11:21:06 +00:00
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2021-03-27 11:21:06 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:17.323Z",
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{
"title": "Joe Biden's first international visit",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/41980144/politics/us/joe-biden/biden-s-first-international-visit",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which of these countries will be visited by Joe Biden first in his role as President of the United States?",
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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{
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:17.679Z",
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{
"title": "Biden approval on day 100",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42015053/politics/us/joe-biden/biden-approval-on-day-100",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "What will Joe Biden's approval rating be on FiveThirtyEight on day 100 of his presidency?",
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:17.919Z",
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{
"title": "Matt Hancock to remain Health Secretary",
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"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will Matt Hancock be in position as Health Secretary on 1 July 2021?",
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2021-03-29 22:28:30 +00:00
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2021-03-29 22:28:30 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:18.264Z",
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{
"title": "Gavin Williamson to remain Education Secretary",
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"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will Gavin Williamson be in position as Education Secretary on 1 July 2021?",
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:18.605Z",
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{
"title": "2021 West Yorkshire mayoral election winner",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42020574/politics/uk/local-elections/2021-west-yorkshire-mayoral-election",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Who will be elected mayor of West Yorkshire in the 2021 mayoral election? Contracts added on request.",
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{
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:18.967Z",
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{
"title": "Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election winner",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win the Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election? Contracts added on request.",
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:19.318Z",
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"title": "Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election: SNP vote share",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "What percentage of the vote will the SNP candidate receive in the Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election?",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:19.679Z",
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{
"title": "Netanyahu to be Israeli PM on 1 July?",
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"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be Prime Minister of Israel on 1 July 2021?",
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:20.023Z",
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"title": "London elections: In-person voting",
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"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will in-person voting go ahead in the 2021 London elections, or will they be conducted by postal voting only?",
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2021-03-29 22:28:30 +00:00
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2021-03-29 22:28:30 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:20.271Z",
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"title": "London Elections to take place on 6th May 2021",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42031427/politics/uk/2021-elections/london-elections-to-go-ahead",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "",
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"probability": 0.05091965150048402,
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:20.511Z",
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{
"title": "$2,000 stimulus checks in Biden's first 100 days",
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"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will the House and Senate agree to stimulus checks of $2,000 to American citizens (excluding the $600 already paid) in the first 100 days of Joe Biden's presidency?",
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
"probability": 0.03920031360250882,
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
"probability": 0.9607996863974911,
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:20.746Z",
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"title": "New York City mayoral election 2021: Democratic candidate",
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"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Who will win the Democratic primary to be the party's candidate for the 2021 New York City mayoral election? Candidates added on request.",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.03650513478818999,
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"name": "Maya Wiley",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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"name": "Dianne Morales",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:21.101Z",
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"title": "Trump to create new political party",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42047360/politics/us/donald-trump/trump-to-create-new-political-party",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will Donald Trump create (or affiliate himself with) a new political party in 2021?",
"options": [
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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"name": "No",
2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
"probability": 0.8839799517356599,
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:21.433Z",
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{
"title": "Most seats following the German Federal Election 2021",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42048426/politics/europe/germany/german-federal-election",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "",
"options": [
{
"name": "CDU + CSU",
2021-03-24 16:10:05 +00:00
"probability": 0.8558522783679142,
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{
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2021-03-24 16:10:05 +00:00
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{
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2021-03-24 16:10:05 +00:00
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{
"name": "AfD",
2021-03-24 16:10:05 +00:00
"probability": 0.018068102849200837,
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:21.782Z",
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"stars": 2
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{
"title": "Donald Trump Jr. to run in the 2022 Pennsylvania Republican Senate primary",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42048465/politics/us/2021-elections/donald-trump-jr",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "",
"options": [
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"name": "Yes",
"probability": null,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "No",
"probability": null,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:22.142Z",
"qualityindicators": {
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{
"title": "2022 House of Representatives control",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42048472/politics/us/2021-elections/2022-house-of-representatives-control",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win the most seats in the 2022 House of Representatives elections?",
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"probability": 0.3759190298863745,
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:22.492Z",
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{
"title": "President Joe Biden to leave office in his first term via Impeachment, Resignation or the 25th Amendment",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42048883/politics/us/joe-biden/biden-to-leave-officeq",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "",
"options": [
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.4636832704901766,
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"name": "No",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.5363167295098233,
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:22.758Z",
"qualityindicators": {
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{
"title": "2022 Senate control",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42048961/politics/us/2021-elections/2022-senate-control",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will control the United States Senate following the 2022 midterm elections?",
"options": [
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"probability": 0.44550898203592815,
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{
"name": "Republican",
"probability": 0.5544910179640719,
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:23.102Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
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{
"title": "Lisa Nandy to remain the Labour Party's Shadow Secretary of State for FCO until at least the 1st January 2022",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42048963/politics/uk/shadow-cabinet-ministers/lisa-nandy",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "",
"options": [
{
"name": "Yes",
"probability": 0.6005369127516779,
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"name": "No",
"probability": 0.39946308724832214,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:23.455Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
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{
"title": "2022 House and Senate control",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42048965/politics/us/2021-elections/2022-house-and-senate-control",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Who will control the House and Senate following the 2022 midterm elections?",
"options": [
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"name": "D House / R Senate",
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"name": "R House / R Senate",
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:23.820Z",
"qualityindicators": {
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{
"title": "Harriet Tubman to appear on the US $20 note in 2021",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42056981/politics/us/dollars/harriet-tubman",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "",
"options": [
{
"name": "Yes",
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.5351127473538886,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "No",
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.4648872526461113,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:24.166Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
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},
{
"title": "Turnout of the Scottish Parliament Election in 2021 (FPTP figure)",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42058821/politics/uk/2021-scottish-parliament-election/scottish-parliament-election-2021-turnout",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "",
"options": [
{
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"probability": 0,
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{
"name": "51-53%",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "54-56%",
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.47237606375793595,
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{
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2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.527623936242064,
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:24.518Z",
"qualityindicators": {
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{
"title": "Marjorie Taylor Greene to be expelled from Congress",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42064701/politics/us/marjorie-taylor-greene/marjorie-taylor-greene-to-be-expelled-from-congress",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will US Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene be expelled from the House of Representatives by the end of April 2021?",
"options": [
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2021-04-05 14:39:48 +00:00
"probability": 0.17850181008075744,
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2021-04-05 14:39:48 +00:00
"probability": 0.8214981899192425,
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],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:24.870Z",
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
{
"title": "Next G20 leader to leave",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42092242/politics/world/world-leaders/next-g20-leader-to-leave",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which of the listed leaders of G20 countries will be the next to leave their position?",
2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
"options": [
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"probability": 0.453241290044224,
2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Emmanuel Macron (France)",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"probability": 0.16341279257900984,
2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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{
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"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Boris Johnson (United Kingdom)",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"probability": 0.15866681048430592,
2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Jair Bolsonaro (Brazil)",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"probability": 0.22467910689246035,
2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Justin Trudeau (Canada)",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Cyril Ramaphosa (South Africa)",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Vladimir Putin (Russia)",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Xi Jinping (China)",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Recep Tayyip Erdoğan (Turkey)",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:25.115Z",
"qualityindicators": {
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Year of next Canadian federal election",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42093782/politics/world/canada/year-of-next-canadian-general-election",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "When will the next Canadian federal election take place?",
2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
"options": [
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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"name": "2023 or later",
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:25.457Z",
"qualityindicators": {
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Alliance 4 Unity to win a seat in the Scottish Parliament",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42093783/politics/uk/2021-scottish-parliament-election/alliance-4-unity-to-win-a-seat-in-the-scottish-parliament",
2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will Alliance 4 Unity win any seats in the Scottish Parliament following the 2021 Scottish Parliament election?",
2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
"options": [
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2021-04-05 14:39:48 +00:00
"probability": 0.1741546125107769,
2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-05 14:39:48 +00:00
"probability": 0.8258453874892232,
2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:25.689Z",
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Brian Rose vote share",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42095181/politics/uk/2021-elections/brian-rose-vote-share",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "What share of the vote will Brian Rose receive in the first round of the 2021 London mayoral election?",
2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
"options": [
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.65001365001365,
2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:26.029Z",
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Aberdeenshire West",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42096476/politics/uk/scottish-parliament-constituencies/aberdeenshire-west",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win Aberdeenshire West at the 2021 Scottish Parliament election?",
2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
"options": [
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.5419987175964093,
2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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{
"name": "Conservative",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.4580012824035907,
2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:26.384Z",
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Ayr",
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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"description": "Which party will win the Scottish Parliament constituency of Edinburgh Western at the 2021 Scottish Parliament election?",
2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-03-27 11:21:06 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-03-27 11:21:06 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-04 17:52:59 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-04 17:52:59 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-04 17:52:59 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win Cardiff North at the 2021 Welsh Senedd election?",
2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win Cardiff West at the 2021 Welsh Senedd election?",
2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win Ceredigion at the 2021 Welsh Senedd election?",
2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win Gower at the 2021 Welsh Senedd election?",
2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-03-27 11:21:06 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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{
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-03-27 11:21:06 +00:00
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2021-03-27 11:21:06 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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{
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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{
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win Vale of Glamorgan at the 2021 Welsh Senedd election?",
2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
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2021-03-12 12:19:50 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-15 18:35:24 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-15 18:35:24 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-15 18:35:24 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-15 18:35:24 +00:00
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2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
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2021-03-15 18:35:24 +00:00
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2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
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2021-03-15 18:35:24 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-15 18:35:24 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-15 18:35:24 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-15 18:35:24 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win Newport West at the 2021 Welsh Senedd election?",
2021-03-15 18:35:24 +00:00
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2021-03-24 16:10:05 +00:00
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2021-03-24 16:10:05 +00:00
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2021-03-15 18:35:24 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-15 18:35:24 +00:00
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{
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-15 18:35:24 +00:00
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2021-03-27 11:21:06 +00:00
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2021-03-15 18:35:24 +00:00
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2021-03-27 11:21:06 +00:00
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2021-03-15 18:35:24 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-16 16:55:45 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-16 16:55:45 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-16 16:55:45 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-16 16:55:45 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-16 16:55:45 +00:00
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2021-03-29 22:28:30 +00:00
"name": "Northern Independence Party (Thelma Walker)",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-16 16:55:45 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
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2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "When will Joe Biden cease to be President of the United States?",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
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2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
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2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
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{
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"probability": 0,
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "2025 or later",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"probability": 0.8438719750195159,
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:40.502Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
},
{
"title": "2021 Scottish Parliament election: SNP seats",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42120331/politics/uk/2021-scottish-parliament-election/2021-scottish-parliament-election-snp-seats",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "How many seats will the SNP win in the 2021 Scottish Parliament election?",
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "60 or fewer",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.2520079372578664,
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "6164",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.20995936879901728,
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
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{
"name": "6568",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.20995936879901728,
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "6972",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.19682509685344418,
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "73 or more",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.13124822829065483,
2021-03-18 02:13:34 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:40.860Z",
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"stars": 2
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
},
{
"title": "London Assembly: Bexley & Bromley",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42128456/politics/uk/2021-elections/london-assembly-bexley-bromley",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win the London Assembly constituency of Bexley & Bromley at the 2021 London Assembly election?",
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "Conservative",
"probability": 0.862759307908325,
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{
"name": "Labour",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:41.215Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
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2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
},
{
"title": "London Assembly: Croydon & Sutton",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42128462/politics/uk/2021-elections/london-assembly-croydon-sutton",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win the London Assembly constituency of Croydon & Sutton at the 2021 London Assembly election?",
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "Conservative",
2021-04-05 14:39:48 +00:00
"probability": 0.3622957353527302,
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Labour",
2021-04-05 14:39:48 +00:00
"probability": 0.6377042646472698,
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:41.443Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
},
{
"title": "London Assembly: Havering & Redbridge",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42128464/politics/uk/2021-elections/london-assembly-havering-redbridge",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win the London Assembly constituency of Havering & Redbridge at the 2021 London Assembly election?",
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "Conservative",
2021-03-24 16:10:05 +00:00
"probability": 1,
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Labour",
2021-03-24 16:10:05 +00:00
"probability": 0,
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:41.787Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
},
{
"title": "London Assembly: South West",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42128713/politics/uk/2021-elections/london-assembly-south-west",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win the London Assembly constituency of South West at the 2021 London Assembly election?",
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "Conservative",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.5772065274609581,
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Labour",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.1949464818389191,
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Liberal Democrats",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.22784699070012282,
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:42.131Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
},
{
"title": "London Assembly: West Central",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42128714/politics/uk/2021-elections/london-assembly-west-central",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win the London Assembly constituency of West Central at the 2021 London Assembly election?",
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "Conservative",
"probability": 0.5,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Labour",
"probability": 0.5,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:42.491Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
},
{
"title": "2021 London mayoral election third place",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42128721/politics/uk/2021-elections/2021-london-mayoral-election-3rd-place",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Who will finish in third place in the 2021 London mayoral election? Candidates added on request.",
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "Siân Berry",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.567551737602499,
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Luisa Porritt",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.35630613041780557,
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Shaun Bailey",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.017766497461928935,
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Sadiq Khan",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Peter Gammons",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Mandu Reid",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Brian Rose",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.044416243654822336,
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Laurence Fox",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.013959390862944163,
2021-03-23 19:51:09 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:42.729Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-03-24 16:10:05 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Year of next Israeli legislative election",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42129804/politics/world/israel/year-of-next-israeli-legislative-election",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "When will the next Israeli legislative election be held (following the election on 23 March 2021)?",
2021-03-24 16:10:05 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "2021",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.4505287744112113,
2021-03-24 16:10:05 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "2022",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.2333744241873743,
2021-03-24 16:10:05 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "2023",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.12242911827677935,
2021-03-24 16:10:05 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "2024 or later",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.19366768312463506,
2021-03-24 16:10:05 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:42.988Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Liverpool City Council control",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42130192/politics/uk/local-elections/liverpool-city-council-control",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will control Liverpool City Council following the May 2021 elections? Parties added on request.",
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "No overall control",
2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.16450390908358184,
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Labour",
2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.7261223502861288,
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Liberal Democrats",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Green",
2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.05561376642218103,
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Northern Independence Party",
2021-03-31 13:02:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.053759974208108324,
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:43.404Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Airdrie and Shotts by-election",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42130309/politics/uk/by-elections/airdrie-and-shotts-by-election",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win the 2021 Airdrie and Shotts by-election? Other parties/candidates added on request.",
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "SNP",
2021-04-05 14:39:48 +00:00
"probability": 0.8322297955209348,
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Labour",
2021-04-05 14:39:48 +00:00
"probability": 0.139143135345667,
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Conservative",
2021-04-05 14:39:48 +00:00
"probability": 0.02862706913339825,
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:43.754Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
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2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Conservative national equivalent vote share",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42131417/politics/uk/local-elections/conservative-national-equivalent-vote-share",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "What will the Conservative Party's national equivalent vote share be at the 2021 local elections?",
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "34% or under",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.18649083306529432,
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "35%",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.1398520424573818,
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "36%",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.15316822129302027,
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "37%",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.1398520424573818,
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "38% or over",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.3806368607269219,
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:44.089Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Labour national equivalent vote share",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42131418/politics/uk/local-elections/labour-national-equivalent-vote-share",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "What will the Labour Party's national equivalent vote share be at the 2021 local elections?",
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "30% or under",
2021-03-27 11:21:06 +00:00
"probability": 0.2,
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "31%",
2021-03-27 11:21:06 +00:00
"probability": 0.2,
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "32%",
2021-03-27 11:21:06 +00:00
"probability": 0.2,
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "33%",
2021-03-27 11:21:06 +00:00
"probability": 0.2,
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "34% or over",
2021-03-27 11:21:06 +00:00
"probability": 0.2,
2021-03-25 16:51:28 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:44.348Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
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2021-03-27 11:21:06 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Alba Party to win a Scottish Parliament seat",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42133028/politics/uk/2021-scottish-parliament-election/alba-party-to-win-a-scottish-parliament-seat",
2021-03-27 11:21:06 +00:00
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Will the Alba Party win any seats in the Scottish Parliament in the May 2021 Scottish Parliament election?",
2021-03-27 11:21:06 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "Yes",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.6593765968318855,
2021-03-27 11:21:06 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "No",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.34062340316811446,
2021-03-27 11:21:06 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:44.688Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
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2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Rhondda",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42140941/politics/uk/welsh-senedd-constituencies/rhondda",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win Rhondda at the 2021 Welsh Senedd election?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "Plaid Cymru",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Labour",
"probability": 1,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:45.027Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Monmouth",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42140942/politics/uk/welsh-senedd-constituencies/monmouth",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win Monmouth at the 2021 Welsh Senedd election?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "Conservative",
"probability": 1,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Labour",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Nick Ramsay (Independent)",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:45.371Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Bridgend",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42140946/politics/uk/welsh-senedd-constituencies/bridgend",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win Bridgend at the 2021 Welsh Senedd election?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "Conservative",
"probability": 1,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Labour",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:45.724Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Hartlepool by-election: Thelma Walker vote share",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42140991/politics/uk/by-elections/hartlepool-by-election-thelma-walker-vote-share",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "What share of the vote will Thelma Walker receive in the Hartlepool by-election?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "Under 5.0%",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.6766759776536313,
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "5.09.9%",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.1745810055865922,
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "10.019.9%",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.10151885474860337,
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "20.0% or over",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.04722416201117319,
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:46.078Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Head-to-head: Berry vs Porritt",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42141008/politics/uk/2021-elections/2021-london-mayoral-election-head-to-heads",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which London mayoral candidate will receive more votes: Siân Berry or Luisa Porritt?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "Siân Berry",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.689492119089317,
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Luisa Porritt",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.31050788091068304,
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:46.328Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Head-to-head: Fox vs Fosh",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42141008/politics/uk/2021-elections/2021-london-mayoral-election-head-to-heads",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which London mayoral candidate will receive more votes: Laurence Fox or Max Fosh?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "Laurence Fox",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.9265658747300216,
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Max Fosh",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.07343412526997839,
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:46.684Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Head-to-head: Gammons vs Kurten",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42141008/politics/uk/2021-elections/2021-london-mayoral-election-head-to-heads",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which London mayoral candidate will receive more votes: Peter Gammons or David Kurten?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "Peter Gammons",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.8196736092327112,
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "David Kurten",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.1803263907672888,
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:47.011Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Head-to-head: Binface vs P. Corbyn",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42141008/politics/uk/2021-elections/2021-london-mayoral-election-head-to-heads",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which London mayoral candidate will receive more votes: Count Binface or Piers Corbyn?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "Count Binface",
"probability": 0.2570613409415121,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Piers Corbyn",
"probability": 0.7429386590584879,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:47.346Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Dunfermline",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42142033/politics/uk/scottish-parliament-constituencies/dunfermline",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win the Scottish Parliament constituency of Dunfermline at the 2021 Scottish Parliament election?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "SNP",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Labour",
"probability": 1,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:47.692Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Aberdeen Central",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42142039/politics/uk/scottish-parliament-constituencies/aberdeen-central",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win the Scottish Parliament constituency of Aberdeen Central at the 2021 Scottish Parliament election?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "SNP",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.760963026655202,
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Labour",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.11616509028374891,
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Conservative",
2021-04-07 10:45:01 +00:00
"probability": 0.12287188306104899,
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:47.929Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Cowdenbeath",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42142080/politics/uk/scottish-parliament-constituencies/cowdenbeath",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win Cowdenbeath at the 2021 Scottish Parliament election?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "SNP",
"probability": null,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Labour",
"probability": null,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:48.278Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Rutherglen",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42142100/politics/uk/scottish-parliament-constituencies/rutherglen",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win the Scottish Parliament constituency of Rutherglen at the 2021 Scottish Parliament election?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "SNP",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.7266984068851859,
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Labour",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"probability": 0.27330159311481417,
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:48.635Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Coatbridge and Chryston",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42142104/politics/uk/scottish-parliament-constituencies/coatbridge-and-chryston",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win the Scottish Parliament constituency of Coatbridge and Chryston at the 2021 Scottish Parliament election?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "SNP",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Labour",
"probability": 1,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:48.982Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Edinburgh Eastern",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42142127/politics/uk/scottish-parliament-constituencies/edinburgh-eastern",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win the Scottish Parliament constituency of Edinburgh Eastern at the 2021 Scottish Parliament election?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "SNP",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Labour",
"probability": 1,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:49.329Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Edinburgh Northern and Leith",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42142137/politics/uk/scottish-parliament-constituencies/edinburgh-northern",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win the Scottish Parliament constituency of Edinburgh Northern and Leith at the 2021 Scottish Parliament election?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "SNP",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Labour",
"probability": 1,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Scottish Green",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:49.694Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Glasgow Southside",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42142148/politics/uk/scottish-parliament-constituencies/glasgow-southside",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win the Scottish Parliament constituency of Glasgow Southside at the 2021 Scottish Parliament election?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "SNP",
"probability": null,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Labour",
"probability": null,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:50.031Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Caithness, Sutherland and Ross",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42142152/politics/uk/scottish-parliament-constituencies/caithness-sutherland-and-ross",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win the Scottish Parliament constituency of Caithness, Sutherland and Ross at the 2021 Scottish Parliament election?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "SNP",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Liberal Democrats",
"probability": 1,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:50.386Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Argyll and Bute",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42142156/politics/uk/scottish-parliament-constituencies/argyll-and-bute",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win the Scottish Parliament constituency of Argyll and Bute at the 2021 Scottish Parliament election?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "SNP",
"probability": 0.8695945945945945,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Liberal Democrats",
"probability": 0.1304054054054054,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Conservative",
"probability": 0,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:50.716Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
},
{
"title": "Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch",
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/42142158/politics/uk/scottish-parliament-constituencies/skye-lochaber-and-badenoch",
"platform": "Smarkets",
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"description": "Which party will win the Scottish Parliament constituency of Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch at the 2021 Scottish Parliament election?",
2021-04-03 20:49:48 +00:00
"options": [
{
"name": "SNP",
"probability": null,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Liberal Democrats",
"probability": null,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
2021-04-08 08:08:03 +00:00
"timestamp": "2021-04-07T23:33:51.069Z",
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2
}
2021-02-16 14:18:23 +00:00
}
]