1.2 KiB
Twitter Improvement Proposal: Incorporate Prediction Markets, Give a Death Blow to Punditry
tl;dr: Incorporate prediction markets into Twitter, give a death blow to punditry.
The core idea
A prediction market is...
Why do this?
Because it will usher humanity in an era of epistemic greatness.
Caveats and downsides
Play money, though maybe with goods and services
Give 1000 doublons to all semi-active accounts on the 22/02/2022
How to go about this?
One possiblity might be to acquihire Manifold Markets for something like $20-$50M. They are a team of competent engineers with a fair share of ex-Googlers, who have been doing a good job at building a prediction platform from scratch, and iterating on it. So one possible step might be to have the Manifold guys come up with demo functionality, and then pair them with a team who understands how one would go about doing this at Twitter-like scale.
However, I am not really cognizant of the technical challenges here, and it's possible that might not be the best approach ¯_(ツ)_/¯