29 lines
1.2 KiB
Markdown
29 lines
1.2 KiB
Markdown
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Twitter Improvement Proposal: Incorporate Prediction Markets, Give a Death Blow to Punditry
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**tl;dr**: Incorporate prediction markets into Twitter, give a death blow to punditry.
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## The core idea
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A prediction market is...
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## Why do this?
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Because it will usher humanity in an era of epistemic greatness.
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## Caveats and downsides
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Play money, though maybe with goods and services
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Give 1000 doublons to all semi-active accounts on the 22/02/2022
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## How to go about this?
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One possiblity might be to acquihire [Manifold Markets](https://manifold.markets/) for something like $20-$50M. They are a team of competent engineers with a fair share of ex-Googlers, who have been doing a good job at building a prediction platform from scratch, and iterating on it. So one possible step might be to have the Manifold guys come up with demo functionality, and then pair them with a team who understands how one would go about doing this at Twitter-like scale.
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However, I am not really cognizant of the technical challenges here, and it's possible that might not be the best approach ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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## In conclusion
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