metaforecast/src/utils/evals/metaforecasts.tsv

1	index	title	url	stars
2	0	How will the ratio of China-authored to U.S.-authored highly cited (top 1%) AI papers change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/899-how-will-the-ratio-of-china-authored-to-u-s-authored-highly-cited-ai-papers-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
3	2	Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/349-will-the-chinese-military-or-other-maritime-security-forces-fire-upon-another-country-s-civil-or-military-vessel-in-the-south-china-sea-in-the-next-six-months	0
4	3	How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/410-how-politically-polarized-will-u-s-citizens-be-in-2024	0
5	5	How will the percentage of SMIC revenue from 28 nm chips or smaller change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/382-how-will-the-percentage-of-smic-revenue-from-14-28-nm-chips-or-smaller-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
6	6	How will the percentage of U.S residents who are concerned about how the government uses their data change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/422-how-will-the-percentage-of-u-s-residents-who-are-concerned-about-how-the-government-uses-their-data-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
7	7	How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/396-how-will-the-combined-annual-revenue-of-alphabet-amazon-apple-facebook-and-microsoft-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
8	8	How will the Geopolitical Risk (GPR) Index change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/389-how-will-the-geopolitical-risk-gpr-index-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
9	9	Will the U.S. military acknowledge using an autonomously operated drone to identify and deploy lethal force against a human target in the next four quarters (year)?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/527-will-the-u-s-military-acknowledge-using-an-autonomously-operated-drone-to-identify-and-deploy-lethal-force-against-a-human-target-in-the-next-four-quarters-year	0
10	10	How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/350-how-much-funding-will-u-s-tech-startups-raise-over-the-next-three-years	0
11	11	How will annual money raised by private U.S. tech companies change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/403-how-will-money-raised-for-private-u-s-tech-companies-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
12	12	How will the percentage of highly cited U.S. AI publications supported by a DoD grant change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/445-how-will-the-percentage-of-highly-cited-u-s-ai-publications-supported-by-a-dod-grant-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
13	13	How will the percentage of DoD subcontracts for scientific research and development services going to Northern California-based companies change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/332-how-will-the-percentage-of-dod-subcontracts-for-scientific-research-and-development-services-going-to-northern-california-based-companies-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
14	14	How will the number of Defense Innovation Unit transitions change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/339-how-will-the-number-of-defense-innovation-unit-transitions-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
15	15	How will the percentage of Carnegie Mellon University (CMU) computer science graduates whose first job is at a company that has a contract with DoD change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/368-how-will-the-percentage-of-carnegie-mellon-university-cmu-computer-science-graduates-whose-first-job-is-a-company-that-has-a-contract-with-dod-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
16	16	How will the number of Japanese Air Force responses to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/374-how-will-the-number-of-japanese-air-force-responses-to-threats-to-japan-s-territorial-airspace-by-chinese-military-aircraft-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
17	17	Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/373-will-china-execute-an-acknowledged-national-military-attack-against-vietnam-india-or-taiwan-in-the-next-six-months	0
18	18	Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/372-will-china-seize-control-of-any-taiwanese-occupied-feature-in-the-south-china-sea-in-the-next-six-months	0
19	19	When will Joe Biden cease to be president of the United States?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/171-when-will-joe-biden-cease-to-be-president-of-the-united-states	0
20	20	Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/170-will-the-united-states-have-the-world-s-fastest-supercomputer-in-june-2022	0
21	21	When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/168-when-will-1-billion-people-in-india-receive-at-least-one-dose-of-a-covid-19-vaccine	0
22	23	[Experimental] What will be the consensus crowd forecast on October 1, 2021, on whether COVID-19 originated in a lab in Wuhan, China?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/155-experimental-what-will-be-the-median-foretell-forecast-on-whether-covid-19-originated-in-a-lab-in-wuhan-china-on-october-1-2021	0
23	24	[Experimental] Did COVID-19 originate in a lab in Wuhan, China?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/154-experimental-did-covid-19-originate-in-a-lab-in-wuhan-china	0
24	25	Will the Democratic Party maintain its majority in the U.S. House of Representatives after the midterm elections in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/150-will-the-democratic-party-maintain-its-majority-in-the-u-s-house-of-representatives-after-the-midterm-elections-in-2022	0
25	26	What will the 'Big 5' (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft) tech companies' average reputation ranking be in the 2022 Axios Harris poll?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/141-what-will-the-big-5-tech-companies-average-reputation-ranking-be-in-the-2022-harris-poll	0
26	27	What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/134-what-percentage-of-u-s-ai-publications-will-have-a-chinese-co-author-in-2022	0
27	28	What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/132-what-percentage-of-u-s-corporate-press-releases-about-ai-will-reference-ai-ethics-in-2022	0
28	29	What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/131-what-will-be-the-value-in-dollars-of-u-s-exports-of-semiconductor-manufacturing-equipment-to-china-in-2022	0
29	30	What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/129-what-will-be-the-value-in-dollars-of-all-chinese-imports-of-semiconductor-chips-in-2022	0
30	31	What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/128-what-will-be-the-value-in-dollars-of-all-chinese-imports-of-semiconductor-manufacturing-equipment-in-2022	0
31	32	What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/130-what-will-be-the-value-in-dollars-of-u-s-exports-of-semiconductor-chips-to-china-in-2022	0
32	33	Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/122-will-hu-chunhua-be-a-member-of-the-standing-committee-of-the-politburo-of-the-chinese-communist-party-s-central-committee-on-december-31-2022	0
33	34	Will Li Keqiang be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/120-will-li-keqiang-be-a-member-of-the-standing-committee-of-the-politburo-of-the-chinese-communist-party-s-central-committee-on-december-31-2022	0
34	35	Will Chen Min'er be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/121-will-chen-min-er-be-a-member-of-the-standing-committee-of-the-politburo-of-the-chinese-communist-party-s-central-committee-on-december-31-2022	0
35	37	What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2022 (September 2021 through October 2022)?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/119-what-percentage-of-o-visas-will-go-to-chinese-nationals-in-fiscal-year-2022	0
36	38	What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/117-what-will-total-u-s-trade-volume-with-china-imports-and-exports-of-goods-be-in-2022	0
37	39	Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/115-will-xi-jingping-be-general-secretary-of-the-chinese-communist-party-s-central-committee-on-december-31-2022	0
38	40	What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/109-conditional-on-president-trump-not-being-convicted-of-incitement-of-insurrection-what-will-the-senate-s-average-bipartisan-index-score-be-from-2021-2022	0
39	41	Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/89-conditional-on-vice-president-biden-s-election-will-the-u-s-government-file-an-antitrust-lawsuit-against-apple-amazon-or-facebook-between-january-20-2021-and-january-19-2025	0
40	43	A bioengineering project kills at least five thousand people by 2023-02-15	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/9386c0c2-d8df-4e17-9aba-98b2b60c6608	0
41	44	A bioengineering project kills at least five people by 2023-02-15	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/ecd31a5b-75ae-4785-89f9-6be85ade3af0	0
42	45	Will SB 592 clear the California state Assembly?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/d97e690d-baeb-4e45-bf48-dca41535e1e1	0
43	46	5 cities with at least 50k population implement approval voting by 2022	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/b5ef0f81-18c4-42fa-864e-e8dc0d9ea8d6	0
44	47	How many preregistrations on OSF will there be at the end of 2023?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/efbd2e5c-185d-451b-a54a-72be1a302a10	0
45	48	How many preregistrations on OSF will there be at the end of 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/f69988cc-f2c2-4dc9-aca0-2aae01a2606d	0
46	49	How many preregistrations on OSF will there be at the end of 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/862c4482-b77e-49bd-89e6-c28bd664f0f7	0
47	50	What % of grant dollars made to AI Safety by OpenPhil in 2020 will go to the University of Oxford?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/51eaef45-463b-4c85-bd6c-62e267bfbadd	0
48	51	What % of grant dollars made to AI Safety by OpenPhil in 2020 will go to UC Berkeley?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/bfdeb28d-deb4-44b8-91e0-a840b5564620	0
49	52	How much in grants will OpenPhil recommend to Global Health and Development between 2020 and 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/feff8be7-0a44-48d7-99a2-0015faa64c14	0
50	53	How much in grants will OpenPhil recommend to U.S. policy between 2020 and 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/ee8e154d-c7d8-4337-905d-0fd5e1fdd924	0
51	54	How much in grants will OpenPhil recommend to scientific research between 2020 and 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/dfc6e8e4-0a36-4e57-b3d1-004fce0bbd4d	0
52	55	How much in grants will OpenPhil recommend to AI safety between 2020 and 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/cb1d4afc-7200-48b3-aa75-06e0b4d451b4	0
53	56	What will the Metaculus community median probability for AI catastrophe by 2100 be in 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/b9034665-5ab1-44df-9af3-0a954759b3df	0
54	57	How many of Eliezer Yudkowsky, Paul Christiano, Nate Soares, and Dario Amodei will still be working on AI safety by the end of 2029?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/0b2ff995-6b72-49d3-90b6-e5ba9ebb5781	0
55	58	Will MIRI still exist in 2023?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/6fbca8b0-740b-4c9e-b0cb-aa5bdc30a4ba	0
56	59	How many nuclear warheads will the US have in 2029?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/b76f74a0-c3a0-4530-b27c-e462ef593893	0
57	60	Will Good Policies still be running at the end of 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/1a5a05b6-0dc7-4725-b559-e732d394ed28	0
58	61	How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2020?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/1e42ecfd-5117-4e91-9eb8-f27920029131	0
59	62	When will more than half of the main broad types of conventional whole pieces of farmed animal muscle tissue have at least one cost-competitive cultured alternative, in years after 2020?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/a71cd5b8-fdcf-45f7-9168-822e11c0e406	0
60	63	When will more than half of the main broad types of conventional ground meats will have at least one cost-competitive cultured alternative, in years after 2020?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/35caf084-9436-49c3-a046-eea6a8c8bf7a	0
61	64	When will more than half of the main broad types of conventional acellular animal products have at least one cost-competitive cultured alternative, in years after 2020?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/089b42c8-ab9d-420c-9088-899b33df9efc	0
62	65	What will the balance + payouts be for the Long Term Future Fund at the end of 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/dc8c4beb-2f68-40e6-88e0-7fef557ef534	0
63	66	What will the balance + payouts be for the EA Meta Fund at the end of 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/1244c18b-8b0d-45a1-9d66-97f8f6c7c60b	0
64	67	What will the balance + payouts be for the Animal Welfare EA Fund at the end of 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/a547db8c-3906-43d6-afa8-138b9406ec53	0
65	68	Will the Albert Schweitzer Foundation remain an ACE top charity in 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/1b3674e6-a036-4887-80bb-fea8f24ff118	0
66	69	Will the Albert Schweitzer Foundation remain an ACE top charity in 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/eedcf35c-1acc-45c6-9600-36c9a6efd53a	0
67	70	Will Animal Equality remain an ACE top charity in 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/294d918c-99fb-4bb8-a162-2b248b328789	0
68	71	Will Animal Equality remain an ACE top charity in 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/605b7ed3-fd73-4979-8252-a86dcb4dc04a	0
69	72	Will the Good Food Institute remain an ACE top charity in 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/563268d2-81b3-4bab-9ef5-c7a0a731a743	0
70	73	Will the Good Food Institute remain an ACE top charity in 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/d05a9b4b-317e-419b-acdd-9f1945f2372a	0
71	74	Will the Humane League remain an ACE top charity in 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/6d2dc33f-87d3-4817-8577-8e8643c7b94b	0
72	75	Will the Humane League remain an ACE top charity in 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/51970fcb-bc3d-4be6-aa7a-41ca9eef0ff3	0
73	76	At the end of 2021, will the most cost-effective charity recommended by Givewell be a deworming charity?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/4f960f70-1058-420e-b7de-bc432888fa1e	0
74	77	How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/02f00f76-d8d6-4f57-b033-ff849062538b	0
75	78	At the end of 2022, will Animal Charity Evaluators recommend a charity working on reducing wild animal suffering as a top charity?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/6cbf55b8-42cd-4f27-b339-adc9dff43275	0
76	79	At the end of 2021, will Animal Charity Evaluators recommend a charity working on reducing wild animal suffering as a top charity?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/52faee5b-2de3-433a-bd92-538b5696bcb8	0
77	80	At the end of 2023, will Animal Charity Evaluators recommend a charity working on reducing wild animal suffering as a top charity?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/7d8556b6-7fbb-4bbe-ba42-db8911babe3f	0
78	81	At the end of the outbreak, what will the ratio (deaths)/(confirmed cases) be?	https://www.foretold.io/c/c47c6bc8-2c9b-4a83-9583-d1ed80a40fa2/m/d093d140-8c5a-4ffd-a4ad-ec0edcc7cb7d	0
79	82	Will the current outbreak result in a global disaster (>50 million deaths resulting from the pathogen within 1 year)?	https://www.foretold.io/c/c47c6bc8-2c9b-4a83-9583-d1ed80a40fa2/m/f70dd133-ebb8-4201-88a8-09f6b94eed78	0
80	83	At the end of the outbreak, how many confirmed cases?	https://www.foretold.io/c/c47c6bc8-2c9b-4a83-9583-d1ed80a40fa2/m/b533b5bf-723d-40af-b558-daf971097507	0
81	84	At the end of the outbreak, how many deaths?	https://www.foretold.io/c/c47c6bc8-2c9b-4a83-9583-d1ed80a40fa2/m/984cd816-3284-4906-91f5-3b1446e47463	0
82	85	When will the outbreak end?	https://www.foretold.io/c/c47c6bc8-2c9b-4a83-9583-d1ed80a40fa2/m/95268867-0601-4377-920c-6a26618e2a70	0
83	86	By mid-2023, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaflop/s-days), used in training by a published AI system?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/b9bfcc0b-cd82-4904-903d-566ff57ed3b4	0
84	87	By mid-2022, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaflop/s-days), used in training by a published AI system?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/380a3ab8-8b05-42f6-80b9-4217b04fd930	0
85	88	By mid-2021, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaflop/s-days), used in training by a published AI system?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/b5914f95-593d-4217-b862-b2ab5d0d51f8	0
86	89	How well do these two questions capture something significant about algorithmic progress?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/74586dc1-fd77-4b49-bbcb-b40ae0db09f8	0
87	90	By 2023, what will be the smallest number of frames required for the Atari performance of a basic DQN?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/f8c595c5-dd7e-4bb6-9650-0de3625b50eb	0
88	91	By 2022, what will be the smallest number of frames required for the Atari performance of a basic DQN?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/b93bc8f1-5798-43b5-a0f6-26c8f6f0c7c7	0
89	92	By 2021, what will be the smallest number of frames required for the Atari performance of a basic DQN?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/ef463b8f-50ef-4e5f-93de-fbe3abd53570	0
90	93	By mid-2023, what will be the smallest number of years of gameplay required for OpenAI Five-level dota performance?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/98933e35-e4ed-4958-a36a-3d4154900bce	0
91	94	By mid-2022, what will be the smallest number of years of gameplay required for OpenAI Five-level dota performance?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/c5b3dc97-4b67-46c5-93ac-2905113df000	0
92	95	By mid-2021, what will be the smallest number of years of gameplay required for OpenAI Five-level dota performance?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/2c6253e6-8425-475c-90ba-ff4ab82b5483	0
93	96	How many years from now (Sep 2019) will it take to Physically assemble any LEGO set given the pieces and instructions, using specialized robotics hardware?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/69bf7756-ddb7-4d5c-b5c2-a223cffffe7d	0
94	97	By mid-2020, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaflop/s-days), used in training by a published AI system?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/70033fc2-af6e-4200-8aae-6d970a3e57ea	0
95	98	By mid-2020, what will be the smallest number of years of gameplay required for OpenAI Five-level dota performance?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/75e157b5-ffc1-4b1b-9eda-7997dac7e20b	0
96	99	What will be the rate of homelessness per 100,000 people in England in 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/b1949fbe-ce22-46d9-83a1-a5c2c53cd826	0
97	100	What will be the rate of homelessness per 100,000 people in England in 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/b73619d7-8e1e-41a6-9e9f-6cfe22a1dad1	0
98	101	What will be the rate of homelessness per 100,000 people in England in 2023?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/3b91112d-19e3-486b-8ecc-ba9a7a372c09	0
99	102	If Conservatives win the next election, will they form a minority government?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/2465e95a-abc4-45a2-8ab3-855ecf295ded	0
100	103	If Conservatives win the next election, will they form a majority government?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/8289150f-cfec-4327-b981-5fc0d624eb65	0
101	104	How many seats will Labour win the in the next general election?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/16581899-ae00-44e9-9d17-602ca38c6878	0
102	105	Will Labour win the next election?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/4e3274f7-c1b0-4a70-80ae-c931c87dca8d	0
103	106	Will Conservatives win the next election?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/ff1f3bd2-3939-4414-b1cb-817b92ed3786	0
104	107	If Boris Johnson is leader of the Conservatives in the election after the 2019 UK general election, will they win that general election?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/cb081989-7005-4dea-8288-eeb54b5e8bd6	0
105	108	If Sajid Javid is leader of the Conservatives in the election after the 2019 UK general election, will they win that general election?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/f682e558-edaf-45e9-9e4e-df4529dd7aa0	0
106	109	What will be the rate of homelessness per 100,000 people in England in 2024?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/a97b0fa0-1eeb-4bc2-8bec-00e557f5dd91	0
107	110	Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom by 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/2c2e2991-3720-4786-ae82-448e328f8800	0
108	111	Will Brexit be a hard Brexit?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/b4f040ed-8145-4e23-8118-c4e06fd90a11	0
109	112	If Brexit occurs under a Conservative majority government elected in the 2019 election, will it be a hard Brexit?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/04a10cb2-d13f-4af7-8b70-12675dc25e9d	0
110	113	When will the next UK general election be?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/3165d0d1-547c-4104-8eb7-3c7508298b8d	0
111	114	Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom by 2025?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/a9bd15c4-95dd-49eb-8a3d-f546209bd444	0
112	115	If Keir Starmer is leader of Labour in the election after the 2019 UK general election, will they win that general election?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/e06b7c2f-a385-4c3c-9fa9-00787ac6aed3	0
113	116	Will there be a second Brexit referendum announced before 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/2461fab4-c594-49fd-9b2a-acdfc52356ba	0
114	117	What will be the tuition fee cap for UK students in 2024?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/fbc91180-f338-449d-a795-234ac42854ec	0
115	118	If there is a soft Brexit, what will be the average yearly GDP growth of the UK in the following five years?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/f3d44e2b-4d2a-47bd-acbd-61cab5e6a126	0
116	119	If there is a hard Brexit, what will be the average yearly GDP growth of the UK in the following five years?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/8221741f-ac27-4651-bf2c-7a887fc82313	0
117	120	What will be mean UK broadband download speeds in 2024?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/fb8780cd-e2b3-4435-bf50-c46fed1db5a8	0
118	121	What fraction of 80,000 hours' impact is not related to career plan changes?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/c3ba1c83-fd04-47af-b8c1-7b493b0519e6	0
119	122	What proportion of donations to FHI go to Oxford University?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/c6587fcf-5113-4603-9d90-c9763a099476	0
120	123	How much influence would CSET have in a 2024 Republican US administration, relative to its influence in a 2024 US Democratic administration?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/fee03eb4-c956-4f61-81e6-76e2f76616c3	0
121	124	Has CSET done more harm than good so far in its policy interventions?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/623499ee-19dd-4d2a-b100-614a3a0b032a	0
122	126	Is there a better option than CLR for suffering-focused donors?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/a2250763-8700-4768-96ba-215fd9d7739a	0
123	127	What fraction of CLR's research is only useful from a suffering-focused standpoint?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/e65ceadf-f35d-42ff-adb0-f30ec57a25d4	0
124	128	Will Rethink Priorities employ 5 FTEs producing high-quality longtermist research by 2025?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/6a8a92c1-2740-4e21-98a6-6c4311bc8461	0
125	129	Will Rethink Rethink Priorities be able to productively expand into the longtermist sphere?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/76d54743-3136-448d-adc6-de57d4eada9e	0
126	130	Will Rethink Priorities be able to produce research in the long-termist space similar in quality to the research they have produced on invertebrate welfare?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/b0083e46-4dee-4281-a324-605657773834	0
127	131	How many FTE-years worth of high-quality research does LessWrong produce each year per FTE-year employed at LessWrong?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/1a6642cc-a4e3-427f-be75-39f05023ca7f	0
128	132	How many FTE-years worth of high-quality research does LessWrong produce per year?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/fbfde3f4-ed4c-44a1-8beb-4aa4389e3787	0
129	133	Is Projekt Framttid dead?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/5700fd38-7ac3-4380-baaa-b00351ba3e9c	0
130	134	Conditional on its continued existence, by 2025, will MacAskill still be the CEO of the Forethought Foundation?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/5260868a-c5cc-4f6f-acf5-b2293f718487	0
131	135	Will the Forethought Foundation continue to exist by 2025?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/e919e049-40cc-4155-9bda-9e2a47b0ea50	0
132	136	How many FTEs does FLI currently employ (as of 2021)?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/59ad32cb-17f3-4242-a440-5a4d44ffcfd7	0
133	137	Will further work on a theory of malevolence be fruitful by 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/f689875d-fe82-43ee-88a6-0c414791f4d9	0
134	138	What percentage of CSER's research staff is doing high value work?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/d2aa8a4c-77e4-4a4a-8f1c-a4b85932922c	0
135	139	Will the APPFG continue to exist by 2025?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/b54917c1-f67c-4003-aff7-de188cc47879	0
136	140	Conditional on its continued existence, will the APPG help pass legislation in the UK related to its mission by 2025?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/6b379bd0-4659-45e4-b3d7-b769aed7c020	0
137	141	By, 2025, will the APPGFG help pass legislation in the UK related to its mission?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/301c0ffe-7697-4b7a-9908-4bee72642236	0
138	142	$100M to alternate foods is more cost-effective than to AI risk mitigation	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/704c1052-8e0b-4582-8feb-604a8c452ac3	0
139	143	$100M to alternate foods is more cost-effective than to AI risk mitigation (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/62c003c4-2525-4830-84ed-93686dc8cae1	0
140	144	Marginal money now on alternate foods is more cost effective than on AI risk mitigation	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/b1a21ed8-7819-467c-8a63-98b0c85993ef	0
141	145	Marginal money now on alternate foods is more cost effective than on AI risk mitigation (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/50d7c7a8-f46d-4427-af5f-12cbd898c40b	0
142	146	Untruncated mitigation of far future impact of 10% agricultural shortfall with planning and R&D as well	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/451d4013-d302-43c5-b2c3-bacc7d82ed59	0
143	147	Untruncated mitigation of far future impact of 10% agricultural shortfall with planning and R&D as well (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/f7616759-f00b-4fd1-a10e-0a281541efc6	0
144	148	Untruncated mitigation of far future impact of 10% agricultural shortfall from ALLFED so far	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/1a16fcf9-e155-4157-b02b-f9d2d546368c	0
145	149	Untruncated mitigation of far future impact of 10% agricultural shortfall from ALLFED so far (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/ff6231c6-3def-4663-82b7-d2d605bf37db	0
146	150	Untruncated reduction in far future potential due to 10% agricultural shortfall	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/6084ec83-df7b-4af7-8c58-612b491e6946	0
147	151	Untruncated reduction in far future potential due to 10% agricultural shortfall (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/36fdd2c9-7829-4fae-9222-ab0d1795d5b5	0
148	152	Untruncated additional mitigation of far future impact of war due to planning and R&D	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/c24a076b-d045-43d2-b3d4-b555227fae30	0
149	153	Untruncated additional mitigation of far future impact of war due to planning and R&D (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/07b1924e-0581-410f-a34c-3e87cfcd278a	0
150	154	Untruncated mitigation of far future impact of war due to ALLFED so far	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/cd78ff36-da47-4411-ab67-d20eb0811333	0
151	155	Untruncated mitigation of far future impact of war due to ALLFED so far (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/805f614e-e170-4a72-9bd2-daadd4d62789	0
152	156	Cost of planning, R&DF for alternate foods	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/f9203a65-d4ff-4aaf-95dc-39a577e2318a	0
153	157	Cost of planning, R&DF for alternate foods (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/106715d2-2484-47ac-ad1f-dcfb63ed55f8	0
154	158	Untruncated probability of full scale nuclear war per year	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/cca72358-624a-40e5-a87a-5b14a50fdea6	0
155	159	Untruncated probability of full scale nuclear war per year (ALLFED's estimates)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/e147be3b-3280-43aa-a27e-a1a561c66b18	0
156	160	In United States v. Tsarnaev, will the Supreme Court reinstate the death sentence imposed against Boston Marathon bomber Dzhokhar Tsarnaev?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2119-in-united-states-v-tsarnaev-will-the-supreme-court-reinstate-the-death-sentence-imposed-against-boston-marathon-bomber-dzhokhar-tsarnaev	0
157	161	What will be the 7-day average number of new cases of COVID-19 in Louisiana for the week ending 20 October 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2122-what-will-be-the-7-day-average-number-of-new-cases-of-covid-19-in-louisiana-for-the-week-ending-20-october-2021	0
158	162	What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 31 March 2022, according to FiveThirtyEight?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2120-what-will-president-biden-s-approval-rating-be-as-of-31-march-2022-according-to-fivethirtyeight	0
159	163	How far will the UAE national football team advance in the FIFA Arab Cup 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2118-how-far-will-the-uae-national-football-team-advance-in-the-fifa-arab-cup-2021	0
160	164	How much cash on hand will the following three Donald Trump-affiliated political action committees (PACs) have combined as of 31 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2121-how-much-cash-on-hand-will-the-following-three-donald-trump-affiliated-political-action-committees-pacs-have-combined-as-of-31-december-2021	0
161	165	Will the rate of new daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 per 100k people in Massachusetts be higher on 19 October 2021 than it was on 7 September 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2117-will-the-rate-of-new-daily-confirmed-cases-of-covid-19-per-100k-people-in-massachusetts-be-higher-on-19-october-2021-than-it-was-on-7-september-2021	0
162	166	How many job openings in the trade, transportation, and utilities industries will the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report for November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2116-how-many-job-openings-in-the-trade-transportation-and-utilities-industries-will-the-bureau-of-labor-statistics-bls-report-for-november-2021	0
163	167	How many twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) of cargo will the Port of Los Angeles report for November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2115-how-many-twenty-foot-equivalent-units-teus-of-cargo-will-the-port-of-los-angeles-report-for-november-2021	0
164	168	What will be the US producer price index for Internet advertising sales in June 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2113-what-will-be-the-producer-price-index-for-internet-advertising-sales-in-june-2022	0
165	169	How many business applications will be made in the US in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2114-how-many-business-applications-will-be-made-in-the-us-in-2021	0
166	170	What will be the total value of assets under management by global sustainable funds at the end of 2021, according to Morningstar?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2112-what-will-be-the-total-value-of-assets-under-management-by-global-sustainable-funds-at-the-end-of-2021-according-to-morningstar	0
167	171	What will happen next to the United Arab Emirate's rolling 7-day average of confirmed cases of COVID-19?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2111-what-will-happen-next-to-the-united-arab-emirate-s-rolling-7-day-average-of-confirmed-cases-of-covid-19	0
168	172	When will the Scottish government officially request discussions on or agreement to a Section 30 order from the UK government that would enable the Scottish government to call a new independence referendum?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2107-when-will-the-scottish-government-officially-request-discussions-on-or-agreement-to-a-section-30-order-from-the-uk-government-that-would-enable-the-scottish-government-to-call-a-new-independence-referendum	0
169	173	Before 1 January 2022, will President Biden invite Prime Minister Boris Johnson to visit the White House?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2108-before-1-january-2022-will-president-biden-invite-prime-minister-boris-johnson-to-visit-the-white-house	0
170	175	Before 2 October 2021, will the Taliban submit credentials to the Secretary-General of the UN to represent Afghanistan for the 76th UN General Assembly session?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2110-before-2-october-2021-will-the-taliban-submit-credentials-to-the-secretary-general-of-the-un-to-represent-afghanistan-for-the-76th-un-general-assembly-session	0
171	177	Will legal restrictions on the number of people who can meet indoors be imposed in England before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2105-will-legal-restrictions-on-the-number-of-people-who-can-meet-indoors-be-imposed-in-england-before-1-january-2022	0
172	178	Will Rishi Sunak cease to be the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2102-will-rishi-sunak-cease-to-be-the-uk-chancellor-of-the-exchequer-before-1-january-2022	0
173	179	Will Sir Keir Starmer face a formal challenge for the leadership of the Labour Party before 4 April 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2104-will-sir-keir-starmer-face-a-formal-challenge-for-the-leadership-of-the-labour-party-before-4-april-2022	0
174	180	Will the Liberal Party win a majority of seats in the 2021 Canadian parliamentary elections?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2101-will-the-liberal-party-win-a-majority-of-seats-in-the-2021-canadian-parliamentary-elections	0
175	181	Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 1 February 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2103-will-the-uk-or-eu-trigger-article-16-of-the-northern-ireland-protocol-before-1-february-2022	0
176	182	Before 13 February 2022, will there be a lethal confrontation in Iran or at sea between the national military or law enforcement forces of Iran and those of either Israel or a Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) member state?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2097-before-13-february-2022-will-there-be-a-lethal-confrontation-in-iran-or-at-sea-between-the-national-military-or-law-enforcement-forces-of-iran-and-those-of-either-israel-or-a-gulf-cooperation-council-gcc-member-state	0
177	183	Which team will win the Major League Baseball World Series in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2098-which-team-will-win-the-major-league-baseball-world-series-in-2021	0
178	184	Before 1 January 2022, will Kais Saied cease to be the president of Tunisia?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2100-before-1-january-2022-will-kais-saied-cease-to-be-the-president-of-tunisia	0
179	185	When will the 14-day average of COVID-19 hospitalized patients in California next reach or exceed 12,000?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2094-when-will-the-14-day-average-of-covid-19-hospitalized-patients-in-california-next-reach-or-exceed-12-000	0
180	186	When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant other than Delta next represent more than 70.0% of total COVID-19 cases in the US?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2095-when-will-a-sars-cov-2-variant-other-than-delta-next-represent-more-than-70-0-of-total-covid-19-cases-in-the-us	0
181	187	How many units will Ford produce in North America in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2092-how-many-units-will-ford-produce-in-north-america-in-2021	0
182	188	Before 1 January 2022, will the Nord Stream 2 pipeline begin delivering natural gas to Germany?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2091-before-1-january-2022-will-the-nord-stream-2-pipeline-begin-delivering-natural-gas-to-germany	0
183	189	Before 1 November 2021, will a new government mask mandate for individuals fully vaccinated for COVID-19 that includes indoor restaurants and/or retail establishments be imposed on New York City?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2096-before-1-november-2021-will-a-new-government-mask-mandate-for-individuals-fully-vaccinated-for-covid-19-that-includes-indoor-restaurants-and-or-retail-establishments-be-imposed-on-new-york-city	0
184	190	How many fatal COVID-19 vaccine breakthrough cases will be reported to the CDC as of 10 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2093-how-many-fatal-covid-19-vaccine-breakthrough-cases-will-be-reported-to-the-cdc-as-of-10-january-2022	0
185	191	Will Amazon.com begin to accept any cryptocurrency for purchases on the US site before 1 October 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2090-will-amazon-com-begin-to-accept-any-cryptocurrency-for-purchases-on-the-us-site-before-1-october-2022	0
186	192	Will Abiy Ahmed cease to be the prime minister of Ethiopia by way of extraconstitutional events before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2087-will-abiy-ahmed-cease-to-be-the-prime-minister-of-ethiopia-by-way-of-extraconstitutional-events-before-1-january-2022	0
187	193	Before 1 January 2023, will the Afghan government and the Afghan Taliban sign an agreement that includes provisions for the establishment and/or recognition of a national government?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2086-before-1-january-2023-will-the-afghan-government-and-the-afghan-taliban-sign-an-agreement-that-includes-provisions-for-the-establishment-and-or-recognition-of-a-national-government	0
188	194	Before 2 October 2021, will the UN General Assembly recognize delegates from the National Unity Government (NUG) as representing Myanmar for the 76th General Assembly session?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2088-before-2-october-2021-will-the-un-general-assembly-recognize-delegates-from-the-national-unity-government-nug-as-representing-myanmar-for-the-76th-general-assembly-session	0
189	195	At close of business on 15 December 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 3 November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2089-at-close-of-business-on-15-december-2021-will-the-upper-limit-of-the-federal-reserve-s-target-range-for-the-federal-funds-rate-be-lower-the-same-or-higher-than-it-was-at-close-of-business-on-3-november-2021	0
190	196	What will be the closing price per barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil on 31 December 2021, according to Bloomberg?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2085-what-will-be-the-closing-price-per-barrel-for-west-texas-intermediate-wti-crude-oil-on-31-december-2021-according-to-bloomberg	0
191	197	What will Chinese ride-hailing company DiDi's end-of-day market capitalization be on 31 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2082-what-will-chinese-ride-hailing-company-didi-s-end-of-day-market-capitalization-be-on-31-december-2021	0
192	198	Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Egypt and Ethiopia before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2084-will-there-be-a-lethal-confrontation-between-the-national-military-forces-of-egypt-and-ethiopia-before-1-january-2022	0
193	199	When will the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) next screen fewer than 1.3 million travelers per day for three consecutive days?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2081-when-will-the-transportation-security-administration-tsa-next-screen-fewer-than-1-3-million-travelers-per-day-for-three-consecutive-days	0
194	200	Before 1 January 2023, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2079-before-1-january-2023-will-amazon-announce-that-it-will-spin-off-amazon-web-services-aws	0
195	201	Who will win the 2021 presidential election in Chile?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2078-who-will-win-the-2021-presidential-election-in-chile	0
196	202	When will the 7-day average of new COVID-19 cases in the UK next fall below 15,000?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2077-when-will-the-7-day-average-of-new-covid-19-cases-in-the-uk-next-fall-below-15-000	0
197	203	What will be the annual change in the UK's Consumer Prices Index (CPI) for November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2076-what-will-be-the-annual-change-in-the-uk-s-consumer-prices-index-cpi-for-november-2021	0
198	204	Will Haiti hold a presidential election before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2070-will-haiti-hold-a-presidential-election-before-1-january-2022	0
199	205	Which driver will win the 2021 Formula One World Drivers' Championship?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2069-which-driver-will-win-the-2021-formula-one-world-drivers-championship	0
200	206	What will be total OPEC crude oil production for October 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2072-what-will-be-total-opec-crude-oil-production-for-october-2021	0
201	207	How many total confirmed cases of COVID-19 will the World Health Organization (WHO) report for Brazil as of 12 November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2074-how-many-total-confirmed-cases-of-covid-19-will-the-world-health-organization-who-report-for-brazil-as-of-12-november-2021	0
202	208	When will 600 million people in India have received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2075-when-will-600-million-people-in-india-have-received-at-least-one-dose-of-a-covid-19-vaccine	0
203	209	Before 1 January 2022, will the European Commission (EC) recommend that the Council of the European Union authorize the EC to open negotiations with Taiwan on an investment agreement?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2066-before-1-january-2022-will-the-european-commission-ec-recommend-that-the-council-of-the-european-union-authorize-the-ec-to-open-negotiations-with-taiwan-on-an-investment-agreement	0
204	210	What will be the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market on 9 December 2021, according to CoinMarketCap?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2067-what-will-be-the-market-capitalization-for-the-global-cryptocurrency-market-on-9-december-2021-according-to-coinmarketcap	0
205	211	What will be the value of the S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index for October 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2068-what-will-be-the-value-of-the-s-p-case-shiller-us-national-home-price-index-for-october-2021	0
206	212	As of 1 November 2021, will Waka Kotahi list 321 or more qualifying electrical vehicle (EV) charging stations as available in New Zealand?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2062-as-of-1-november-2021-will-waka-kotahi-list-321-or-more-qualifying-electrical-vehicle-ev-charging-stations-as-available-in-new-zealand	0
207	213	How many New York City eviction filings will be reported for 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2063-how-many-new-york-city-eviction-filings-will-be-reported-for-2021	0
208	214	Will the median price of a house in New Zealand exceed NZ$870,000 in December 2021, according to REINZ?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2061-will-the-median-price-of-a-house-in-new-zealand-exceed-nz-870-000-in-december-2021-according-to-reinz	0
209	215	Will a member of the forces from an African country other than Mozambique be killed in a lethal confrontation in Cabo Delgado before 1 April 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2060-will-a-member-of-the-forces-from-an-african-country-other-than-mozambique-be-killed-in-a-lethal-confrontation-in-cabo-delgado-before-1-april-2022	0
210	216	Will the US FDA approve a drug used to reverse the effects of Alzheimer's disease on the brain and/or approve a vaccine to prevent Alzheimer's disease as of 2035?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2056-will-the-us-fda-approve-a-drug-used-to-reverse-the-effects-of-alzheimer-s-disease-on-the-brain-and-or-approve-a-vaccine-to-prevent-alzheimer-s-disease-as-of-2035	0
211	217	How many opioid overdoses resulting in death will occur in the US in 2026?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2055-how-many-opioid-overdoses-resulting-in-death-will-occur-in-the-us-in-2026	0
212	218	When will the first human have lived for 180 consecutive Earth days on or under the surface of the moon?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2058-when-will-the-first-human-have-lived-for-180-consecutive-earth-days-on-or-under-the-surface-of-the-moon	0
213	219	How many RNA vaccines and therapeutics for humans will be FDA-approved as of 2031?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2057-how-many-rna-vaccines-and-therapeutics-for-humans-will-be-fda-approved-as-of-2031	0
214	220	Will the Nobel Foundation announce that artificial intelligence has won or would be eligible to win a Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine before 2036?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2059-will-the-nobel-foundation-announce-that-artificial-intelligence-has-won-or-would-be-eligible-to-win-a-nobel-prize-in-physiology-or-medicine-before-2036	0
215	221	Will at least 3.5 million people in New Zealand be fully vaccinated against COVID-19 before 30 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2054-will-at-least-3-5-million-people-in-new-zealand-be-fully-vaccinated-against-covid-19-before-30-december-2021	0
216	222	Will the US Truck Tonnage Index reach or exceed 120.0 before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2053-will-the-us-truck-tonnage-index-reach-or-exceed-120-0-before-1-january-2022	0
217	223	Before 1 July 2022, will the US impose sanctions on any Chinese person or entity for actions related to the COVID-19 pandemic?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2051-before-1-july-2022-will-the-us-impose-sanctions-on-any-chinese-person-or-entity-for-actions-related-to-the-covid-19-pandemic	0
218	224	What will be the percentage change in the producer price index for writing and printing papers for May 2022 as compared to May 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2052-what-will-be-the-percentage-change-in-the-producer-price-index-for-writing-and-printing-papers-for-may-2022-as-compared-to-may-2021	0
219	225	How many thousand tonnes (kt) of paper and paperboard will be produced globally in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2050-how-many-thousand-tonnes-kt-of-paper-and-paperboard-will-be-produced-globally-in-2021	0
220	226	What will be the annual rate of headline inflation in the US, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), in June 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2048-what-will-be-the-annual-rate-of-headline-inflation-in-the-us-as-measured-by-the-consumer-price-index-cpi-in-june-2022	0
221	227	Will the closing price of Brent crude oil be higher than $70.00 per barrel on 30 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2045-will-the-closing-price-of-brent-crude-oil-be-higher-than-70-00-per-barrel-on-30-december-2021	0
222	228	At close of business on 3 November 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 22 September 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2041-at-close-of-business-on-3-november-2021-will-the-upper-limit-of-the-federal-reserve-s-target-range-for-the-federal-funds-rate-be-lower-the-same-or-higher-than-it-was-at-close-of-business-on-22-september-2021	0
223	229	What will be the global price of wheat in November 2021, according to the IMF?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2044-what-will-be-the-global-price-of-wheat-in-november-2021-according-to-the-imf	0
224	230	What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 30 June 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2040-what-will-be-the-closing-value-of-the-s-p-500-index-on-30-june-2022	0
225	231	Before 1 January 2022, will the US Intelligence Community publicly state that a laboratory accident is a more probable scenario for the inception of the COVID-19 pandemic than it having emerged naturally through contact with infected animals?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2038-before-1-january-2022-will-the-us-intelligence-community-publicly-state-that-a-laboratory-accident-is-a-more-probable-scenario-for-the-inception-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-than-it-having-emerged-naturally-through-contact-with-infected-animals	0
226	232	What will US holiday season retail sales be for 2021 relative to the 2020 holiday season?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2032-what-will-us-holiday-season-retail-sales-be-for-2021-relative-to-the-2020-holiday-season	0
227	233	When will people in Guangdong no longer be required to show a negative COVID-19 test in order to leave the Chinese province?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2034-when-will-people-in-guangdong-no-longer-be-required-to-show-a-negative-covid-19-test-in-order-to-leave-the-chinese-province	0
228	234	Will any four-week average of US field production of crude oil exceed 12 million b/d in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2033-will-any-four-week-average-of-us-field-production-of-crude-oil-exceed-12-million-b-d-in-2021	0
229	235	What will be the US domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for the next James Bond film No Time to Die?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2030-what-will-be-the-us-domestic-box-office-gross-in-the-opening-weekend-for-the-next-james-bond-film-no-time-to-die	0
230	236	How many total major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur in the Atlantic Ocean in the 2021 hurricane season, according to the National Hurricane Center?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2028-how-many-total-major-hurricanes-category-3-or-higher-will-occur-in-the-atlantic-ocean-in-the-2021-hurricane-season-according-to-the-national-hurricane-center	0
231	237	Which major cryptocurrency will perform best between 27 May 2021 and 29 November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2022-which-major-cryptocurrency-will-perform-best-between-27-may-2021-and-29-november-2021	0
232	238	Will the US civilian labor force participation rate reach or exceed 63.0% for any month in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2020-will-the-us-civilian-labor-force-participation-rate-reach-or-exceed-63-0-for-any-month-in-2021	0
233	239	What will be the annualized rate of housing starts for October 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2017-what-will-be-the-annualized-rate-of-housing-starts-for-october-2021	0
234	240	Before 8 January 2022, will Facebook allow Donald Trump to post on Facebook and/or Instagram from any of his verified accounts?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2011-before-8-january-2022-will-facebook-allow-donald-trump-to-post-on-facebook-and-or-instagram-from-any-of-his-verified-accounts	0
235	241	Before 14 December 2021, will the World Trade Organization (WTO) officially agree to grant waivers for intellectual property protections for COVID-19 vaccine technology?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2010-before-14-december-2021-will-the-world-trade-organization-wto-officially-agree-to-grant-waivers-for-intellectual-property-protections-for-covid-19-vaccine-technology	0
236	243	When will the World Health Organization (WHO) report 40 million or more confirmed cases of COVID-19 in India?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2004-when-will-the-world-health-organization-who-report-40-million-or-more-confirmed-cases-of-covid-19-in-india	0
237	244	Will a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) between Major League Baseball and the Major League Baseball Players Association be ratified before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2005-will-a-new-collective-bargaining-agreement-cba-between-major-league-baseball-and-the-major-league-baseball-players-association-be-ratified-before-1-january-2022	0
238	245	How many COVID-19 vaccines will be authorized for emergency use or approved by the US FDA as of 31 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2003-how-many-covid-19-vaccines-will-be-authorized-for-emergency-use-or-approved-by-the-us-fda-as-of-31-december-2021	0
239	246	Will US print book sales in 2021 exceed those in 2020?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2002-will-us-print-book-sales-in-2021-exceed-those-in-2020	0
240	247	At close of business on 22 September 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 28 July 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1994-at-close-of-business-on-22-september-2021-will-the-upper-limit-of-the-federal-reserve-s-target-range-for-the-federal-funds-rate-be-lower-the-same-or-higher-than-it-was-at-close-of-business-on-28-july-2021	0
241	248	Before 16 December 2021, will the Federal Reserve announce it will reduce its monthly quantitative easing bond buying?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1993-before-16-december-2021-will-the-federal-reserve-announce-it-will-reduce-its-monthly-quantitative-easing-bond-buying	0
242	249	Will US federal legislation implementing or authorizing a mandatory carbon pricing mechanism become law before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1995-will-us-federal-legislation-implementing-or-authorizing-a-mandatory-carbon-pricing-mechanism-become-law-before-1-january-2022	0
243	250	Between 30 April 2021 and 31 December 2021, how many times will the Council of the European Union impose new restrictive measures (sanctions) on China over human rights violations and abuses in Xinjiang?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1991-between-30-april-2021-and-31-december-2021-how-many-times-will-the-council-of-the-european-union-impose-new-restrictive-measures-sanctions-on-china-over-human-rights-violations-and-abuses-in-xinjiang	0
244	251	Before 1 January 2022, will the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and/or People's Armed Police (PAP) engage in a confrontation with Hong Kongers?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1982-before-1-january-2022-will-the-people-s-liberation-army-pla-and-or-people-s-armed-police-pap-engage-in-a-confrontation-with-hong-kongers	0
245	252	Between 16 April 2021 and 31 December 2021, will ASML obtain an export license from the Netherlands to export an Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) lithography system to the People's Republic of China?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1989-between-16-april-2021-and-31-december-2021-will-asml-obtain-an-export-license-from-the-netherlands-to-export-an-extreme-ultraviolet-euv-lithography-system-to-the-people-s-republic-of-china	0
246	253	Following the 2021 German Bundestag elections, which parties will be part of the new government?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1987-following-the-2021-german-bundestag-elections-which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-new-government	0
247	254	What will be the Chinese renminbi's share as a global payments currency in December 2021, according to SWIFT?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1981-what-will-be-the-chinese-renminbi-s-share-as-a-global-payments-currency-in-december-2021-according-to-swift	0
248	255	Before 1 January 2022, will an executive order be signed or federal legislation become law that would limit or prohibit US federal funds from being used to purchase face recognition technology?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1984-before-1-january-2022-will-an-executive-order-be-signed-or-federal-legislation-become-law-that-would-limit-or-prohibit-us-federal-funds-from-being-used-to-purchase-face-recognition-technology	0
249	256	Will the EU establish a moratorium or ban on the use of facial recognition systems (FRS) in public spaces by public authorities, in premises meant for education and healthcare, and/or by law enforcement in semi-public spaces before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1985-will-the-eu-establish-a-moratorium-or-ban-on-the-use-of-facial-recognition-systems-frs-in-public-spaces-by-public-authorities-in-premises-meant-for-education-and-healthcare-and-or-by-law-enforcement-in-semi-public-spaces-before-1-january-2022	0
250	257	What will be the gross proceeds for special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) IPO transactions in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1969-what-will-be-the-gross-proceeds-for-special-purpose-acquisition-company-spac-ipo-transactions-in-2021	0
251	258	What will be the FAO Food Price Index for December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1968-what-will-be-the-fao-food-price-index-for-december-2021	0
252	259	What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1964-what-will-be-the-12-month-percentage-change-in-the-us-consumer-price-index-cpi-for-september-2021	0
253	260	Will the US FDA approve the drug molnupiravir for use to treat COVID-19 before 1 October 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1963-will-the-us-fda-approve-the-drug-molnupiravir-for-use-to-treat-covid-19-before-1-october-2021	0
254	261	Before 1 January 2022, will North Korea detonate a nuclear device and/or launch an ICBM with an estimated range of at least 10,000km?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1957-before-1-january-2022-will-north-korea-detonate-a-nuclear-device-and-or-launch-an-icbm-with-an-estimated-range-of-at-least-10-000km	0
255	262	Will Robinhood receive a Wells notice from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) before 1 October 2021 related to trading limits imposed on 28 January 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1958-will-robinhood-receive-a-wells-notice-from-the-securities-and-exchange-commission-sec-before-1-october-2021-related-to-trading-limits-imposed-on-28-january-2021	0
256	263	Will the People's Republic of China's (PRC's) military expenditure as a percentage of GDP be greater in 2021 than it was in 2019?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1951-will-the-people-s-republic-of-china-s-prc-s-military-expenditure-as-a-percentage-of-gdp-be-greater-in-2021-than-it-was-in-2019	0
257	264	Between 26 January 2021 and 31 December 2021, how many members of the Politburo will Chinese state media announce have been arrested and/or expelled from their posts?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1949-between-26-january-2021-and-31-december-2021-how-many-members-of-the-politburo-will-chinese-state-media-announce-have-been-arrested-and-or-expelled-from-their-posts	0
258	265	Will a bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) trade on a US exchange before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1939-will-a-bitcoin-exchange-traded-fund-etf-trade-on-a-us-exchange-before-1-january-2022	0
259	266	Before 15 December 2021, will the U.S. either formally seek to join or formally begin renegotiations with signatories regarding the TPP or CPTPP?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1936-before-15-december-2021-will-the-u-s-either-formally-seek-to-join-or-formally-begin-renegotiations-with-signatories-regarding-the-tpp-or-cptpp	0
260	267	Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. officially rejoin the JCPOA?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1935-before-1-january-2022-will-the-u-s-officially-rejoin-the-jcpoa	0
261	268	Will the powers of the government of Myanmar cease to be held by the military before 5 February 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1934-will-the-powers-of-the-government-of-myanmar-cease-to-be-held-by-the-military-before-5-february-2022	0
262	269	Will there be an act of domestic terrorism in the United States resulting in 10 or more fatalities before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1930-will-there-be-an-act-of-domestic-terrorism-in-the-united-states-resulting-in-10-or-more-fatalities-before-1-january-2022	0
263	270	Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1931-will-vladimir-putin-cease-to-be-the-president-of-the-russian-federation-before-1-january-2022	0
264	271	Will SpaceX and/or Virgin Galactic complete a successful space tourist flight before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1928-will-spacex-and-or-virgin-galactic-complete-a-successful-space-tourist-flight-before-1-january-2022	0
265	272	Will Saudi Arabia diplomatically recognize the State of Israel in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1926-will-saudi-arabia-diplomatically-recognize-the-state-of-israel-in-2021	0
266	273	Between 5 February 2021 and 31 October 2021, will anti-government protests in Russia result in five or more fatalities?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1929-between-5-february-2021-and-31-october-2021-will-anti-government-protests-in-russia-result-in-five-or-more-fatalities	0
267	274	Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of India and the People's Republic of China before 1 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1927-will-there-be-a-lethal-confrontation-between-the-national-military-forces-militia-and-or-law-enforcement-personnel-of-india-and-the-people-s-republic-of-china-before-1-december-2021	0
268	275	Will the United States report more deaths attributed to COVID-19 as of 31 December 2021 than will the European Union?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1916-will-the-united-states-report-more-deaths-attributed-to-covid-19-as-of-31-december-2021-than-will-the-european-union	0
269	276	How many vacancies will arise on the U.S. Supreme Court in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1915-how-many-vacancies-will-arise-on-the-u-s-supreme-court-in-2021	0
270	277	Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1908-will-the-un-declare-that-a-famine-exists-in-any-part-of-yemen-in-2021	0
271	278	Before 1 January 2022, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States either in Iran or at sea?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1910-before-1-january-2022-will-there-be-a-lethal-confrontation-between-the-national-military-forces-of-iran-and-the-united-states-either-in-iran-or-at-sea	0
272	279	Will Nicaragua diplomatically recognize the People's Republic of China before 7 November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1903-will-nicaragua-diplomatically-recognize-the-people-s-republic-of-china-before-7-november-2021	0
273	280	How many seats will the United Russia party win in the 2021 Russian State Duma elections?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1902-how-many-seats-will-the-united-russia-party-win-in-the-2021-russian-state-duma-elections	0
274	281	When will a new Dutch government be sworn in after the 2021 general election?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1907-when-will-a-new-dutch-government-be-sworn-in-after-the-2021-general-election	0
275	282	Will a Russian senior government official or Russian naval vessel visit Nicaragua before 7 November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1900-will-a-russian-senior-government-official-or-russian-naval-vessel-visit-nicaragua-before-7-november-2021	0
276	283	What will Uber's end-of-day market capitalization be on 31 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1905-what-will-uber-s-end-of-day-market-capitalization-be-on-31-december-2021	0
277	284	Will North Macedonia announce that it has completed its census before 1 October 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1897-will-north-macedonia-announce-that-it-has-completed-its-census-before-1-october-2021	0
278	285	Before 1 October 2021, will any group of Amazon employees in the U.S. vote in the affirmative to form a union?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1894-before-1-october-2021-will-any-group-of-amazon-employees-in-the-u-s-vote-in-the-affirmative-to-form-a-union	0
279	286	Will Daniel Ortega cease to be the president of Nicaragua before 11 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1891-will-daniel-ortega-be-cease-to-be-the-president-of-nicaragua-before-11-january-2022	0
280	287	At close of business on 31 December 2021, will Apple be the most valuable publicly traded company in the world?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1884-at-close-of-business-on-31-december-2021-will-apple-be-the-most-valuable-publicly-traded-company-in-the-world	0
281	288	What will be the closing yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury on 31 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1883-what-will-be-the-closing-yield-for-the-30-year-u-s-treasury-on-31-december-2021	0
282	289	Before 1 January 2022, will the Diem Association, co-founded by Facebook, launch a stablecoin?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1876-before-1-january-2022-will-the-diem-association-co-founded-by-facebook-launch-a-stablecoin	0
283	290	Will the People's Republic of China and the EU sign a Comprehensive Agreement on Investment before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1875-will-the-people-s-republic-of-china-and-the-eu-sign-a-comprehensive-agreement-on-investment-before-1-january-2022	0
284	291	Before 1 January 2022, will a commercial, open to the public, ride-hailing service that uses autonomous vehicles without back-up drivers nor remote operators be launched in the People's Republic of China?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1870-before-1-january-2022-will-a-commercial-open-to-the-public-ride-hailing-service-that-uses-autonomous-vehicles-without-back-up-drivers-nor-remote-operators-be-launched-in-the-people-s-republic-of-china	0
285	292	Will Japan, the People's Republic of China, and South Korea sign a trilateral free trade agreement before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1868-will-japan-the-people-s-republic-of-china-and-south-korea-sign-a-trilateral-free-trade-agreement-before-1-january-2022	0
286	293	Before 1 January 2022, will a release date for The Winds of Winter be announced by the author and/or publisher?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1864-before-1-january-2022-will-a-release-date-for-the-winds-of-winter-be-announced-by-the-author-and-or-publisher	0
287	294	Will net international migration between the U.S. and abroad for 2021 be higher than the net international migration for 2020?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1865-will-net-international-migration-between-the-u-s-and-abroad-for-2021-be-higher-than-the-net-international-migration-for-2020	0
288	295	Before 1 October 2021, will Jair Bolsonaro cease to be the president of Brazil?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1851-before-1-october-2021-will-jair-bolsonaro-cease-to-be-the-president-of-brazil	0
289	296	In 2021, will total fire activity in the Amazon exceed the 2020 total count?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1842-in-2021-will-total-fire-activity-in-the-amazon-exceed-the-2020-total-count	0
290	297	Before 1 January 2022, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1822-before-1-january-2022-will-amazon-announce-that-it-will-spin-off-amazon-web-services-aws	0
291	298	Between 16 October 2020 and 31 December 2021, how many successful flight tests of the Common Hypersonic Glide Body (C-HGB) will the United States conduct?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1818-between-16-october-2020-and-31-december-2021-how-many-successful-flight-tests-of-the-common-hypersonic-glide-body-c-hgb-will-the-united-states-conduct	0
292	299	Will Boom Technology's XB-1 supersonic aircraft complete a successful test flight before 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1816-will-boom-technology-s-xb-1-supersonic-aircraft-complete-a-successful-test-flight-before-2022	0
293	300	Before 18 September 2021, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1789-before-18-september-2021-will-boris-johnson-cease-to-be-prime-minister-of-the-united-kingdom	0
294	301	Before 1 January 2022, will the United States Olympic Committee announce that it is boycotting the 2022 Winter Olympics?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1764-before-1-january-2022-will-the-united-states-olympic-committee-announce-that-it-is-boycotting-the-2022-winter-olympics	0
295	302	Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. Senate expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1718-before-1-january-2022-will-the-u-s-senate-expand-the-scope-of-matters-for-which-a-filibuster-cannot-be-used	0
296	303	According to COVIDcast survey results reported by the UVA Biocomplexity Institute on 1 October 2021, what percentage of Virginians will be “vaccine accepting”?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7616/-vaccine-accepting-virginians-on-1-oct/	0
297	304	How many papers at the 2023 NeurIPS conference will have authors with Apple Inc. affiliation?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7768/apple-papers-at-neurips-2023/	0
298	305	Will Stripe be the largest public offering worldwide in 2021 by valuation?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6688/stripe-as-largest-public-offering-in-2021/	0
299	306	Longbets series: By 2030, will commercial passengers routinely fly in pilotless planes?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3645/longbets-series-by-2030-will-commercial-passengers-routinely-fly-in-pilotless-planes/	0
300	307	Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3458/will-there-be-a-culturally-significant-development-in-aging-research-by-2030/	0
301	308	Will annual U.S. inflation reach 100% in any year before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6604/us-hyperinflation-in-any-year-before-2050/	0
302	309	Will a new Derek Chauvin homicide trial be ordered on or before April 20, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7162/derek-chauvin-to-be-tried-again-for-homicide/	0
303	310	Will SciHub or a successor organisation exist and be uploading new articles in 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7839/sci-hub-to-exist-in-2023/	0
304	311	How many seats will the Labour Party win at the next UK general election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7650/labour-seats-at-next-uk-general-election/	0
305	312	How many members will Giving What We Can have on its 20th anniversary?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6596/giving-what-we-can-memberships-on-2029-11-15/	0
306	313	What percentage of US GDP will be spent on healthcare in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7341/percent-of-gdp-us-spends-on-healthcare-2035/	0
307	314	Hutter Prize: At the end of 2022, what will be the best bits-per-character compression of a 1GB sample of Wikipedia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3723/hutter-prize-at-the-end-of-2022-what-will-be-the-best-bits-per-character-compression-of-a-1gb-sample-of-wikipedia/	0
308	315	What will be the U.S. GDP growth (year on year) in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5923/us-gdp-growth-rate-in-2021/	0
309	316	What will be the 7-day moving average of vaccine doses administered in Virginia on 25 September?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7866/va-vaccine-doses-administered-25-september/	0
310	317	How many e-prints on AI Safety, interpretability or explainability will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6529/e-prints-ai-safety-2021-02-14-to-2023-02-14/	0
311	318	How many people in the US between the ages 16-24 will be employed in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6056/us-employment-of-ages-16-24-in-2021/	0
312	319	If Conservatives win the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4645/if-conservatives-win-the-next-uk-general-election-what-will-the-england--wales-prison-population-rate-per-100000-people-be-5-years-later/	0
313	320	What will the total amount of worldwide venture capital funding in quantum computing be in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7435/quantum-computing-private-funding/	0
314	321	Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7441/draft-registration-for-women-before-2024/	0
315	322	When will electric cars constitute over 5% of the US passenger car fleet?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3658/when-will-electric-cars-constitute-over-5-of-the-us-passenger-car-fleet/	0
316	323	Is the halting problem for the Collatz Program computable?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2803/is-the-halting-problem-for-the-collatz-program-computable/	0
317	324	When will it become possible to transplant organs without the recipient needing immunosuppressant drugs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6963/transplants-without-immunosuppressants/	0
318	325	Will Israel recognize Palestine by 2070?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7631/israel-recognizing-palestine/	0
319	326	Will at least 2 US diplomats die or be captured in the evacuation of Kabul?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7737/us-diplomatic-evacuation-in-kabul-2021/	0
320	327	When will electric cars constitute over 5% of the Japanese passenger car fleet?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4360/when-will-electric-cars-constitute-over-5-of-the-japanese-passenger-car-fleet/	0
321	328	Will Bill Gates implant a brain-computer interface in anyone by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6364/bill-gates-brain-computer-interface-by-2030/	0
322	329	Will an incumbent traditional animal protein company take out a full-page ad that criticises plant-based, or cultivated meat, in either the NYT, WSJ or WaPo by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7058/anti-alt-food-adds-by-2023/	0
323	330	What will Poland's Economist Democracy Index be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7585/polish-democracy-in-2030/	0
324	331	Bitcoin Extremes: Will the value of 1 bitcoin fall to $1,000 or less before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3821/bitcoin-extremes-will-the-value-of-1-bitcoin-fall-to-1000-or-less-before-2025/	0
325	333	Will Cuba still be a communist state in 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1631/will-cuba-still-be-a-communist-state-in-2023/	0
326	334	Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7738/twitter-says-nyt-tweet-misinforms-by-2025/	0
327	335	Will a CANZUK Free Movement Treaty be Adopted Before 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7217/canzuk-free-movement-zone-by-2029/	0
328	336	Will Robin Hanson win a bet that the GPT line of language models will generate < $1Bn in customer revenue by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5118/will-robin-hanson-win-a-bet-that-the-gpt-line-of-language-models-will-generate--1bn-in-customer-revenue-by-2025/	0
329	337	Will Próspera's population in 2021 be larger than 1,000?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7139/pr%25C3%25B3spera-population-in-2021/	0
330	338	Will there be at least one fatality in the US from a non-test nuclear detonation by 2050 if a non-test detonation causes a fatality anywhere?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7405/us-fatality-from-nuclear-weapon-detonation/	0
331	339	Assuming that the Green Party does not join the federal government following the German federal elections on September 26th, 2021, what will be German per capita CO2 emissions in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6653/co2-emissions-in-germany-in-2025-non-greens/	0
332	340	Will there be at least one fatality from nuclear detonation in North Korea by 2050, if any detonation occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7453/fatality-from-nuclear-detonation-in-n-korea/	0
333	341	Will the Unique Games Conjecture be proved by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7736/unique-games-conjecture-resolution/	0
334	342	What proportion of offensive nuclear weapon detonations by Pakistan by 2050 will be countervalue, if any detonation by Pakistan occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7410/countervalue-detonations-by-pakistan-by-2050/	0
335	343	For the month of September 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly non-farm payroll number (in millions)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7371/non-farm-payroll-september-2021/	0
336	344	Will Impossible Food's ingredient heme be banned in the United States before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6546/impossible-foods-heme-banned-by-2023/	0
337	345	Will it be legal at any point to pay taxes in Bitcoin in the U.S. before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7509/paying-us-taxes-in-bitcoin/	0
338	346	When will the US implement a national carbon tax or carbon pricing mechanism?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7877/date-us-passes-national-carbon-pricing-bill/	0
339	347	Will Yang get 200k donors or more in the 2024 US presidential race?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3689/will-yang-get-200k-donors-or-more-in-the-2024-us-presidential-race/	0
340	348	What will the total worldwide box office gross be for Avatar 2?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7842/avatar-2-box-office/	0
341	349	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next leader of the Swedish Social Democratic Party?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7848/next-leader-of-the-swedish-social-democrats/	0
342	350	What will the Men's winning 100m time in the 2024 Olympic Final be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7775/2024-mens-100m-final/	0
343	351	When will the prize pool of an esport tournament be greater than any other sport tournament in that year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6708/esport-tournament-has-more-money-than-sport/	0
344	352	Will Donald Trump become speaker of the House of Representatives before January 15th 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7322/trump-to-be-souse-speaker-before-1152023/	0
345	353	Will lab-grown complex vital organs be used successfully in humans before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1640/will-lab-grown-complex-vital-organs-be-used-successfully-in-humans-before-2025/	0
346	354	By 2030, will at least 1% of Gallup respondents report the most important problem facing the US is something relating to space?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7882/will-americans-care-about-space-by-2030/	0
347	355	Will Sam Bankman-Fried have donated $1bn 2021 USD to charitable causes before 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7862/sam-bankman-fried-to-donate-1bn-before-2031/	0
348	356	By 2030, how much will the most expensive NFT be sold?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6804/most-expensive-nft-by-2030/	0
349	357	Is the sunflower conjecture true?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7550/truth-of-the-sunflower-conjecture/	0
350	358	By 2023, how fast will the Effective Altruism Wiki have grown relative to the LessWrong Wiki?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7889/ea-wiki-growth-relative-to-lw-wiki/	0
351	359	Will Rep. Matt Gaetz leave the US House of Representatives before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6965/rep-matt-gaetz-leaves-congress-by-2023/	0
352	360	Will a reliable poll of physicists reveal that a majority of those polled accept the many-worlds interpretation by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3842/will-a-reliable-poll-of-physicists-reveal-that-a-majority-of-those-polled-accept-the-many-worlds-interpretation-by-2050/	0
353	361	Alexei Navalny to become president or prime minister of Russia in his lifetime?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3416/alexei-navalny-to-become-president-or-prime-minister-of-russia-in-his-lifetime/	0
354	362	Longbets series: Will slaughterhouses be banned in the United Kingdom by 2050.	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4894/longbets-series-will-slaughterhouses-be-banned-in-the-united-kingdom-by-2050/	0
355	363	Will Joe Biden be the Democratic nominee in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5712/biden-2024-re-nomination/	0
356	364	Will Ron DeSantis be the GOP nominee for the 2024 US presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6590/ron-desantis-2024-gop-presidential-candidate/	0
357	365	Will there be a renewal of intense fighting in the Donbass this summer?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6959/war-in-donbass-2021/	0
358	366	When will a West Balkan state next join the EU?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7228/date-a-west-balkan-state-next-joins-the-eu/	0
359	367	Will more than 2,500 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7220/israel-palestine-crisis-2021--q3/	0
360	368	When will SpaceX's Starship carry a human to orbit?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4588/when-will-spacexs-starship-carry-a-human-to-orbit/	0
361	369	What will be the EU GDP growth (year on year) in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5925/eu-gdp-growth-rate-in-2021/	0
362	370	What will be the percent SOL assessment pass rate in math for Virginian third graders in the 2021-2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7610/3rd-grader-math-test-pass-rate-for-2021-2022/	0
363	371	What will be the median age of an employed person in the US in 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6055/us-median-age-of-employed-person-by-2040/	0
364	372	When will the Mars helicopter Ingenuity stop making successful flights for 6 months, if it is operational through 2022-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7782/date-ingenuity-ceases-flights-for-6-months/	0
365	373	Will Elon Musk (attempt to) go to Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1598/will-elon-musk-attempt-to-go-to-mars/	0
366	374	Will there be a very large-scale power outage in continental Europe synchronous grid (> 10 m people affected for more than > 1 hour in several countries) before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6694/continental-europe-blackout-before-2023/	0
367	375	How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake in the 2020s?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4812/how-many-people-will-die-as-a-result-of-the-most-deadly-earthquake-in-the-2020s/	0
368	376	Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5352/will-kamala-harris-win-the-2024-election/	0
369	377	When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3353/when-will-the-who-certify-the-worldwide-eradication-of-polio/	0
370	378	When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3399/when-will-the-last-metaculus-question-resolution-occur/	0
371	379	When will Uber become cheaper in the Bay Area?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7493/date-uber-becomes-cheaper-in-bay-area/	0
372	380	What percentage of 5-11 year olds in Virginia will have received at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine by end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7830/virginia-5-11-year-olds-vaccinations-in-2021/	0
373	381	Will renewable energy contribute 25.00%, or less, to global electricity production in the calendar year 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3593/will-renewable-energy-contribute-2500-or-less-to-global-electricity-production-in-the-calendar-year-2030/	0
374	382	Will Próspera at any point before 2035 have at least 10,000 residents?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7544/pr%25C3%25B3spera-at-10000-residents-before-2035/	0
375	383	When will self-driving taxis be available in at least one large German city?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7835/self-driving-taxis-in-germany/	0
376	384	Will the GOP control the senate after the 2024 election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7850/the-gop-controls-the-us-senate-in-2025/	0
377	385	In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to to global poverty?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6110/2025-ea-survey-donations-to-global-poverty/	0
378	386	Will Washington D.C. become a state before 2025-01-20?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6218/dc-statehood-before-before-2025-01-20/	0
379	387	Will the CDU continue to govern Germany after the 2021 elections?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6338/cdu-governs-germany-after-the-2021-elections/	0
380	388	Will Aubrey de Grey be terminated or resign from the SENS Research Foundation by 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7688/aubrey-de-grey-to-leave-sens-by-2022/	0
381	389	Will the control problem be solved before the creation of Artificial General Intelligence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6509/safe-agi-on-arrival/	0
382	390	When will credible sources reveal the existence of something similar to DALL-E but significantly bigger?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6938/when-will-there-be-a-50b-parameter-dall-e/	0
383	391	Will the Conservative Party form the first government after the next UK general election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3439/will-the-conservative-party-form-the-first-government-after-the-next-uk-general-election/	0
384	392	How many athletes will have signed the High Impact Athletes giving pledge by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5999/number-of-hia-pledges-by-end-of-2021/	0
385	393	When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3816/when-will-the-first-evidence-of-extraterrestrial-life-be-discovered/	0
386	394	What will the World's GDP be in 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1574/what-will-the-worlds-gdp-be-in-2028/	0
387	395	How many cents will it cost a typical consumer in the United States to store 10 GB of data on January 1st 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4048/how-many-cents-will-it-cost-a-typical-consumer-in-the-united-states-to-store-10-gb-of-data-on-january-1st-2025/	0
388	396	Will large scale solar radiation management be used to mitigate the effects of climate change in the 21st century?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4219/will-large-scale-solar-radiation-management-be-used-to-mitigate-the-effects-of-climate-change-in-the-21st-century/	0
389	397	How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in cultivated meat companies in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7049/2022-non-exit-investment-in-cultivated-meat/	0
390	398	When will the U.S. CDC recommend that all fully vaccinated Americans receive a booster dose?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7614/cdc-recommends-booster-for-all-vaccinated-ppl/	0
391	399	When will a computer program be able to solve over 80% of competition-level coding problems on its first try?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7398/when-will-computers-be-competent-programmers/	0
392	400	How many deployed nuclear weapons will there be at the end of 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7462/deployed-nuclear-weapons-by-2024/	0
393	401	What percentage of the Israeli population will be Haredi in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7513/-israeli-population-that-is-haredi-in-2050/	0
394	402	When will Hong Kong stop being a Special Administrative Region of China?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3338/when-will-hong-kong-stop-being-a-special-administrative-region-of-china/	0
395	403	When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6325/us-below-100-covid-deaths-per-day/	0
396	404	Will any body of the US federal government conclude that COVID-19 originated in a lab in Hubei before June 1st 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7211/us-conclude-covid-lab-leak-by-june-2022/	0
397	405	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7368/industrial-production-index-september-2021/	0
398	406	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6763/marine-le-pen-french-president-in-2022/	0
399	407	When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7583/date-of-sputnik-v-who-approval-longer-range/	0
400	408	Will Pakistan recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7860/pakistan-recognize-taliban-government-by-2030/	0
401	409	When will the U.S. lift its Presidential Proclamation restricting travel from the European Schengen Area?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5912/when-will-us-allow-travel-from-europe/	0
402	410	Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7859/turkey-recognize-taliban-government-by-2030/	0
403	411	How many major wars will begin between 2021 and 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5351/major-wars-in-the-2020s/	0
404	412	Will Catalonia become an independent state?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/568/will-catalonia-become-an-independent-state/	0
405	413	Will China recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7861/china-recognize-taliban-government-by-2030/	0
406	414	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Private Sector WPI for Q3 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6929/aus-private-sector-wpi--change-for-q3-2021/	0
407	415	How many ratings will Toby Ord's book The Precipice have on Amazon on January 1st 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6107/the-precipice-amazon-ratings-1-1-2022/	0
408	416	By 23 November 2021 will the US Supreme Court overturn any part of President Biden's executive order requiring federal workers to be vaccinated against COVID-19?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7958/will-scotus-strike-down-fed-worker-mandate/	0
409	417	How many papers at the 2023 NeurIPS conference will have authors with Amazon affiliation?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7769/amazon-papers-at-neurips-in-2023/	0
410	418	What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be on well-populated areas?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7503/fraction-detonations-by-2050-on-townscities/	0
411	419	When will the UK reach herd immunity (>53.3m) for Covid-19?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6105/uk-covid-herd-immunity-533m-date/	0
412	420	When will someone first be convicted of a murder that occurred outside of Earth's atmosphere?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7880/first-extraterrestrial-murder/	0
413	421	In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7831/us-election-2024-decided-by-supreme-court/	0
414	422	What will be Trump's first retrospective job approval rating?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6654/trump-retrospective-job-approval/	0
415	423	Will there be a bilateral cease-fire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7504/2021-cease-fire-in-tigray-war-lasts-30-days/	0
416	424	How many billions of dollars will hurricanes in 2021 cost the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6919/cost-of-hurricanes-in-2021/	0
417	425	Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5886/will-the-first-female-potus-be-republican/	0
418	426	Will armed conflict between the national military forces or law enforcement personnel of Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7512/100-deaths-from-taiwan-conflict-before-2050/	0
419	427	Will the United States fulfill its goal of landing humans on the moon again before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2671/will-the-united-states-fulfill-its-goal-of-landing-humans-on-the-moon-again-before-2025/	0
420	428	How big will be the first crew sent to Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5277/the-first-martian-crew-size/	0
421	429	Bitcoin Extremes: Will 1 bitcoin be worth $100,000 or more before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3820/bitcoin-extremes-will-1-bitcoin-be-worth-100000-or-more-before-2025/	0
422	430	If Joe Biden becomes president, what will the federal minimum wage be at the end of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4470/if-joe-biden-becomes-president-what-will-the-federal-minimum-wage-be-at-the-end-of-2024/	0
423	431	Will a DNA-sequencing read-length record of over 5,000,000 bases be achieved before January 1st, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4745/dna-sequencing-read-length-5-mb-before-22/	0
424	432	Will Egypt attempt to damage the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7784/egypt-ethiopia-water-war-before-2024/	0
425	433	Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5760/next-conservative-leader-uk/	0
426	434	What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will United States-based in the June 2030 TOP500 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5950/us-share-of-world-supercompute-june-2030/	0
427	435	What is the highest value 1 bitcoin will ever reach by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6614/the-highest-value-1-btc-will-reach-by-2030/	0
428	436	When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6552/when-will-covid-19-fall-to-very-low-ifr/	0
429	437	Will a member of the Trump family be the Republican nominee for the US Presidency in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4127/will-a-member-of-the-trump-family-be-the-republican-nominee-for-the-us-presidency-in-2024/	0
430	438	What will net U.S. geothermal electricity production be in the year 2026, in GWh?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7728/us-net-geothermal-electricity-by-2027/	0
431	439	If there is a WW3, what latitude will it start in?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3868/if-there-is-a-ww3-what-latitude-will-it-start-in/	0
432	440	Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6306/2024-us-popular-vote-3rd-party-at-least-10/	0
433	441	Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6478/democratic-president-wins-2024-election/	0
434	442	Will US CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7977/high-inflation-in-2022/	0
435	443	Will a US Democratic President sign into law a $500 billion spending cut before 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7978/democrat-potus-signs-500g-budget-cut-by-2029/	0
436	444	When will there be a proof (or disproof) that P=BPP?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7879/date-of-proofdisproof-of-pbpp/	0
437	445	By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3142/by-2030-how-many-people-will-have-ever-landed-on-the-moon/	0
438	446	What will be China's GDP at the end of 2025 in trillions of dollars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7005/gdp-of-china-for-2025/	0
439	447	Will Mount Rushmore be intentionally destroyed or modified before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4742/will-mount-rushmore-be-intentionally-destroyed-or-modified-before-2025/	0
440	448	Will 2021 be the hottest year on record according to NASA?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5916/will-2021-be-the-hottest-year-on-record/	0
441	449	When will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5670/calculating-rsa-public-keys/	0
442	450	When will the mammoth be revived?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6499/when-will-the-mammoth-be-revived/	0
443	451	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7369/cpi-u-september-2021/	0
444	452	Will the U.S. join the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership trade pact in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5920/us-to-join-rcep-trade-pact-in-2021/	0
445	453	Will Kamala Harris be president before inauguration day 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5201/will-kamala-harris-be-president-before-2025/	0
446	454	Will the U.S. CDC announce that they are tracking a SARS-CoV-2 variant that they classify as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) before 1 August 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7603/variant-of-high-consequence-before-aug-2022/	0
447	455	What will the atmospheric CO2 concentration be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2563/what-will-the-atmospheric-co2-concentration-be-in-2030/	0
448	456	When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7766/us-elects-third-partyindependent-president/	0
449	457	How will the World Happiness Report rank the United States in 2022-2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7897/us-happiness-ranking-from-2022-2024/	0
450	458	When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3725/when-will-a-private-fusion-company-first-report-a-yearly-profit/	0
451	459	When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5852/date-when-lifespan-increases-075-yrsyr/	0
452	460	When will the total number of people who have gone to space reach 1000?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1519/when-will-the-total-number-of-people-who-have-gone-to-space-reach-1000/	0
453	461	Will the next President of the United States be impeached?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3419/will-the-next-president-of-the-united-states-be-impeached/	0
454	462	Is the Collatz Conjecture true?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2802/is-the-collatz-conjecture-true/	0
455	463	What percentage of Virginians will have received a booster dose for COVID-19 vaccine by end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7865/virginia-booster-dose-in-2021/	0
456	464	Will Brazil continue to be the largest producer of soybeans in the world in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7053/brazil-to-lead-in-soybean-production-in-2022/	0
457	465	What percentage of Virginia's overall population will be fully vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 on 1 October 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7617/va-overall-pop-fully-vaccinated-on-1-oct/	0
458	466	Will San Francisco issue a health order banning all restaurant indoor dining anytime between 2021-07-01 and 2021-12-31?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6858/sf-bans-indoor-dining-in-late-2021/	0
459	467	Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/981/will-cannabis-be-removed-from-schedule-i-of-the-controlled-substance-act-by-2024/	0
460	468	Will a Wealth Tax be passed if a Democrat is elected president in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3606/will-a-wealth-tax-be-passed-if-a-democrat-is-elected-president-in-2020/	0
461	469	How many paying customers will the most used romantic AI companion have by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7232/romantic-ai-companion-customers-by-2025/	0
462	470	What will Peru's GDP per capita (PPP) be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7383/peru-gdp-per-capita-ppp-in-2030/	0
463	471	When will Bitcoin lose its position as market dominant cryptocurrency?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5205/bitcoins-market-dominant-cryptocurrency/	0
464	472	When will Germany have no coal-fired power plants in its electricity grid?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7218/when-germany-stops-burning-coal/	0
465	473	When will the number of Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations in the US have declined by 90% relative to 2020 levels?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7319/date-of-decline-of-cafos-by-90/	0
466	474	Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before Jan 1, 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7792/100-deaths-from-taiwan-conflict-before-2026/	0
467	475	When will Apple announce the first computer that uses the second generation of their M-series processor (likely to be named the M2)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7078/apple-m2-release-date/	0
468	476	Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5253/iran-gets-nuke-by-2030/	0
469	477	What will the cost of energy of utility-scale solar photovoltaics be in 2022, in 2018 USD per kWh?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3521/what-will-the-cost-of-energy-of-utility-scale-solar-photovoltaics-be-in-2022-in-2018-usd-per-kwh/	0
470	478	When will The Economist rank China as a democracy in the Democracy Index?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6377/china-becomes-a-democracy/	0
471	479	When will Australia reopen for quarantine-free international travel?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6415/date-of-australian-border-reopening/	0
472	480	Will Substack cancel anyone before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6424/substack-to-join-cancel-culture/	0
473	481	What will Lebanon's Fragile States Index score be in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7797/lebanese-fragility-in-2022/	0
474	482	What will US house prices be at the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5780/real-us-house-prices-in-2021/	0
475	483	Drake's Equation 5th parameter f_i: On what fraction of habitable planets with life does intelligence evolve?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1341/drakes-equation-5th-parameter-f_i/	0
476	484	When will a clean meat flavoring product be approved for human consumption?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3239/when-will-a-clean-meat-flavoring-product-be-approved-for-human-consumption/	0
477	485	When, if ever, will 17 year olds vote in the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6326/17-year-old-suffrage-in-the-us/	0
478	486	What will South Africa's Fragile States Index score be in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7858/south-african-fragility-in-2022/	0
479	487	Will the US have more than 200,000 daily COVID-19 cases (7-day average) before January 1, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7542/over-200k-us-covid-daily-cases-by-2022/	0
480	488	When will the US close the Guantanamo Bay detention camp?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6555/guantanamo-bay-detention-camp-closure-date/	0
481	489	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by CBP for the months of August to December 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7733/us-southwest-border-encounters-aug-dec-2021/	0
482	490	What will be the total box office gross in the U.S. & Canada in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5942/box-office-gross-in-the-us--canada-in-2021/	0
483	491	Will any top ten meat global processor/producer go bankrupt by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7052/global-meat-producers-to-go-bankrupt-by-2023/	0
484	492	When will Gross World Product exceed 1 quadrillion USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6969/when-will-gwp-exceed-1-quadrillion-usd/	0
485	493	When will the next Scottish independence referendum be held?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5761/next-scottish-indepedence-referendum/	0
486	494	How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7457/-nuclear-weapons-used-by-2050/	0
487	495	When will The Economist rank Russia as a Democracy in its Democracy Index?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6497/russia-ranked-democracy-in-economists-index/	0
488	496	Will Bitcoin outperform VTI from 2021-Mar-01 until 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6508/btc-outperforms-the-us-total-stock-market/	0
489	497	Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4923/will-the-next-millennium-prize-problem-be-solved-by-ai/	0
490	498	Will an anti-5G attack take a life in 2021 or 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6102/anti-5g-attack-to-take-life-in-20212022/	0
491	499	When will the first clone of a prominent historical figure be born?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5804/first-clone-of-a-prominent-historical-figure/	0
492	500	Will China achieve its Paris Climate Agreement goals?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/491/will-china-achieve-its-paris-climate-agreement-goals/	0
493	501	Will the sunflower conjecture be resolved before 2060?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7549/resolving-the-sunflower-conjecture/	0
494	502	In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new COVID-19 testing encounters on 1 October 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7136/7-day-avg-of-1-october-covid-tests-in-va/	0
495	503	Will Roe v. Wade be formally overturned by 2028-07-31?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1011/roe-v-wade-overturned-by-2028-07-31/	0
496	504	When will the Collatz Conjecture be resolved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2799/when-will-the-collatz-conjecture-be-resolved/	0
497	505	What will the total retail sales including food services be for September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7367/total-retail-sales-september-2021/	0
498	506	How many UN member states will there be in 2070?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7761/number-of-un-members-in-2070/	0
499	507	In the year 2028, how many tonnes of insect protein will be used as animal feed for livestock, poultry and fish in Europe?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3421/in-the-year-2028-how-many-tonnes-of-insect-protein-will-be-used-as-animal-feed-for-livestock-poultry-and-fish-in-europe/	0
500	508	Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3621/will-a-third-party-win-a-senate-election-in-the-united-states-by-2050/	0
501	509	When will a computer program be credited as an artist of at least ten pages of content in Weekly Shonen Jump?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7483/ai-artist-to-be-credited-in-shonen-jump/	0
502	510	Will Mike Pence be the GOP nominee for the 2024 US presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7083/mike-pence-2024-gop-presidential-nominee/	0
503	511	When will the first woman win the World Chess Championships?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7576/date-of-first-woman-world-championship-win/	0
504	512	Will JavaScript be the most used programming language in the 2030 Stack Overflow Developer Survey?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6502/javascripts-dominance-in-2030/	0
505	513	What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6305/us-2024-popular-vote-combined-dem--rep/	0
506	514	In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7829/us-state-to-overturn-election-result-2024/	0
507	515	When will the percent of Virginia's population vaccinated with at least one dose reach 75%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7117/when-will-75-virginians-have-1-vaccine-dose/	0
508	516	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Animal Welfare in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7423/open-phil-animal-welfare-grants-2030/	0
509	517	Will Sweden have an extra election before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7492/sweden-to-have-extra-election-in-2021/	0
510	518	Will Donald Trump be elected president of the United States in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5717/will-trump-be-elected-potus-in-2024/	0
511	519	Will Turkey be a NATO member continuously until 1 January 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3238/will-turkey-be-a-nato-member-continuously-until-1-january-2025/	0
512	520	How many career points will LeBron James score in the NBA regular season when he retires?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7729/lebron-james-career-points/	0
513	522	When will a peanut, soy, or wheat-based product that is successfully de-allergenized first be for sale in the United States or any European Union-member state?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7042/us-allergy-free-wheatsoypeanut-before-eu/	0
514	523	When will 1 bitcoin be worth $1,000,000 (2020 USD) or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6046/date-1-bitcoin-worth-1-million/	0
515	524	Will the WTA and ATP merge before 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6903/wta--atp-merger/	0
516	525	When will Israel recognize Palestine?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7572/date-israel-recognises-palestine/	0
517	526	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims (in thousands) filed in September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7366/initial-jobless-claims-september-2021/	0
518	527	By 2021-11-01 will the US FDA approve a COVID-19 vaccine for children aged 5-11?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7969/fda-approval-of-covid-vaccine-for-kids-soon/	0
519	528	When will at least a zettabyte of digital information be destroyed as the result of a single event?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7286/1021-bytes-destroyed-by-single-event/	0
520	529	When will there be a (classical) polynomial time algorithm for factoring intergers?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7558/algorithm-for-factoring-in-polynomial-time/	0
521	530	Will there be a non-BJP Prime Minister of India before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7841/non-bjp-indian-pm-before-2030/	0
522	531	Will NASA's SLS launch a person to the Moon before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2795/will-nasas-sls-launch-a-person-to-the-moon-before-2024/	0
523	532	Will Kim Jong-un still be the de facto leader of North Korea on 1 January 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3445/will-kim-jong-un-still-be-the-de-facto-leader-of-north-korea-on-1-january-2022/	0
524	533	How much will High Impact Athletes have donated by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6003/total-donated-by-hia-athletes-by-end-of-2021/	0
525	534	How high will the Haredi share of Israel's population be at its peak?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7571/haredi-share-of-israel-at-peak/	0
526	535	Will the (English speaking) world be happier in 2021 than in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5552/will-2021-be-a-happier-year-than-2020/	0
527	536	What proportion of offensive nuclear weapon detonations by China by 2050 will be countervalue, if any detonation by China occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7459/countervalue-detonations-by-china-by-2050/	0
528	537	Will Donald J. Trump be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6330/will-donald-trump-run-for-president-in-2024/	0
529	538	Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6427/will-gb-news-be-broadcasting-in-2025/	0
530	539	What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4333/what-will-be-the-democracy-index-of-the-united-states-in-2040/	0
531	540	What will be the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the U.S. for October 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3144/what-will-be-the-labor-force-participation-rate-total-16-and-older-in-the-us-for-october-2025/	0
532	541	Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7840/us-rejoins-iran-deal-before-2023/	0
533	542	When will the James Webb telescope be launched?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7298/james-webb-telescope-launch-date/	0
534	543	What will be the vaccine efficacy of the two-dose Johnson & Johnson Ad26.COV2.S vaccine candidate according to the results of Phase III testing?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6819/percent-efficacy-of-two-dose-jj-vaccine/	0
535	544	Will there be an AI Sputnik moment before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7216/ai-sputnik-moment-by-2050/	0
536	545	How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5840/drugs-approved-by-fda-in-2035/	0
537	546	When will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6494/when-will-the-r-hypothesis-be-resolved/	0
538	547	How high will Germany's total dependency ratio be in 2039?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7431/germanys-future-age-structure/	0
539	548	When will Queen Elizabeth II cease to be Queen of the United Kingdom?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3474/when-will-queen-elizabeth-ii-cease-to-be-queen-of-the-united-kingdom/	0
540	549	How much will US livestock production be subsidized, on average, in over the 2021-22 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7067/us-livestock-subsidization-between-2021-22/	0
541	550	What will the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU be, on Jan 14, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6194/top-price-performance-in-g3d-mark--of-gpu/	0
542	551	How many seats will the Scottish National Party win at the next UK general election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7653/snp-seats-at-next-uk-election/	0
543	552	Will the question asking whether Scott will mention it on Astral Codex Ten resolve ambiguously?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7976/acx-mention-question-resolves-ambiguous/	0
544	553	Will a mission to land a spacecraft on Europa launch by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1348/will-a-mission-to-land-a-spacecraft-on-europa-launch-by-2030/	0
545	554	Will the Supreme Court hear Harvard vs SFFA by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7578/harvard-vs-sffa-in-supreme-court/	0
546	555	Will AES-256 be publicly broken by 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6356/aes-256-broken-by-2040/	0
547	556	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Public Sector WPI for Q3 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6933/aus-public-sector-wpi--change-for-q3-2021/	0
548	557	When will the UK have sequenced 10M people in a research biobank?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7508/10m-people-in-a-uk-biobank/	0
549	558	Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7455/unauthorised-nuclear-detonation-by-2024/	0
550	559	Will NASA issue a second fully-funded award for its Human Landing System contract before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7448/nasa-awards-2nd-hls-contract-in-2021/	0
551	560	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards AI risk reduction in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7418/open-phil-ai-grants-2025/	0
552	561	Will France place in the Top 5 at the 2024 Paris Olympics?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7669/france-home-game-advantage/	0
553	562	What is the probability that Gore will defeat Bush in the 2000 US Presidential Election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3084/what-is-the-probability-that-gore-will-defeat-bush-in-the-2000-us-presidential-election/	0
554	563	Robocup Challenge	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/397/robocup-challenge/	0
555	564	Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7849/2024-us-house-midterm-election/	0
556	565	What will be the 7-day moving average of the percentage of people wearing masks in Virginia on 18 September?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7869/-va-mask-wearing-in-public-on-18-september/	0
557	566	Will Erin O'Toole win the 2021 Canadian federal election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7899/will-erin-otoole-be-the-next-pm-of-canada/	0
558	567	How many research papers on cultivated meat will be published in 2022, according to Semantic Scholar?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7043/new-cultivated-meat-publications-by-2022/	0
559	568	What will the maximum world real GDP growth in percentage points be for a single year in the 21st century?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4050/what-will-the-maximum-world-real-gdp-growth-in-percentage-points-be-for-a-single-year-in-the-21st-century/	0
560	569	Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7795/nanotechnology-gc-to-cause-near-extinction/	0
561	570	When will Virgin Galactic's first paid flight occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/469/when-will-virgin-galactics-first-paid-flight-occur/	0
562	571	When will the US-EU border reopen?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6664/us-eu-border-to-reopen/	0
563	572	How much total capital will be invested in plant-based foods companies through exits (IPOs, direct listings, mergers and acquisitions) in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7048/2022-exit-investment-in-plant-based-food/	0
564	573	Will global CO2-equivalent emissions be greater in 2021 than in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6700/greater-global-carbon-emissions-in-2021/	0
565	574	What will the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies be at start of 2025? (In billion USD)	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5446/total-market-cap-of-cryptocurrencies-2025/	0
566	575	Will one of the first AGI claim to be conscious?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4409/will-one-of-the-first-agi-claim-to-be-conscious/	0
567	576	Will a US consumer be unable to purchase a Cavendish banana at a major US grocery chain on 2029-12-31?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3386/will-a-us-consumer-be-unable-to-purchase-a-cavendish-banana-at-a-major-us-grocery-chain-on-2029-12-31/	0
568	577	When will the first human head transplant occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5211/first-human-head-transplant-when/	0
569	578	What will the earliest preservation date of any resuscitated cryonics patient be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3382/what-will-the-earliest-preservation-date-of-any-resuscitated-cryonics-patient-be/	0
570	579	Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at year end 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7444/elon-musk-worlds-richest-person-2025/	0
571	580	Will there be an exponential improvement in the bounds on diagonal Ramsey by 2060?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7523/exponential-improvement-on-diagonal-ramsey/	0
572	581	How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in plant-based food companies in 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7039/2026-investment-in-plant-based-food-companies/	0
573	582	Will a new State of Emergency in response to COVID be declared in Virginia before 1 October 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7635/new-va-covid-state-of-emergency/	0
574	583	How many Arab League member states will have normalized relations with Israel in 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5243/arab-league-normalized-relations-with-israel/	0
575	584	When will most members of the House of Lords be directly democratically elected?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5790/date-of-mainly-elected-house-of-lords/	0
576	585	Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7295/coalition-to-win-australian-federal-election/	0
577	586	When will NASA next land astronauts on the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7721/date-of-next-nasa-moon-landing/	0
578	587	What will be the 7-day moving average of PCR percent positivity by lab report date in Virginia on 18 September?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7870/-va-pcr-test-positivity-on-18-september/	0
579	588	When will the VIX index climb above 50?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4834/when-will-the-vix-index-climb-above-50/	0
580	589	What will be the weekly peak percent of medical visits that are for influenza-like illness (ILI) in Virginia during the 2021-2022 flu season?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7621/peak--ili-in-va-during-2021-2022-flu-season/	0
581	590	How many US states will decriminalize psilocybin by 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7445/us-states-decriminalizing-psilocybin-by-2027/	0
582	591	What will the land area of Singapore be in 2070 in square kilometres?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7732/land-area-of-singapore/	0
583	592	50 years after the first AGI becomes publicly known, how much earlier will historical consensus determine it came online?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7252/gap-between-agi-creation-and-reveal/	0
584	593	Kessler syndrome by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/665/how-many-starlink-satellites-will-be-operational-in-2030/	0
585	594	When will at least 1% of people in any major city or country have experienced using augmented reality outside?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7543/when-will-ar-tech-be-widely-publicly-worn/	0
586	595	Will Republicans control the United States Senate on 2022-10-31?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6883/republican-us-senate-before-november-2022/	0
587	596	What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based foods in the U.S. be in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7060/total-us-sales-of-plant-based-foods-in-2022/	0
588	597	Will any Wirecard executive receive a custodial sentence for their involvement in the Wirecard collapse?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4826/will-any-wirecard-executive-receive-a-custodial-sentence-for-their-involvement-in-the-wirecard-collapse/	0
589	598	What will be the longest verified human lifespan on record on January 1 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1628/what-will-be-the-longest-verified-human-lifespan-on-record-on-january-1-2050/	0
590	599	Will someone agree to participate in a Rootclaim challenge before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7598/rootclaim-challenge-before-2025/	0
591	600	Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/824/will-a-practical-nuclear-fusion-reactor-first-be-developed-in-china/	0
592	601	When will India become a World Bank high-income country?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2582/when-will-india-become-a-world-bank-high-income-country/	0
593	602	When will Australia reach its 80% (of 16+ population) Covid-19 vaccination target?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7788/australias-covid-19-vaccination-rollout/	0
594	603	What percentage of Americans will be considered obese or overweight in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1482/what-percentage-of-americans-will-be-considered-obese-or-overweight-in-2030/	0
595	604	Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6455/an-eu-animal-welfare-label-by-2025/	0
596	605	When will the price of Bitcoin first drop below $6481, 10% of the all-time high value?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7469/bitcoin-price-drop-below-6481/	0
597	606	When will North Korea become a democracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4439/when-will-north-korea-become-a-democracy/	0
598	607	When will the world pass 1 million daily COVID cases for the seven day moving average	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7019/world-over-1-million-covid-daily-cases/	0
599	608	How many US states and territories will have an ACS GINI coefficient over 0.5 by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6142/us-states-with-gini-scores-5-by-2025/	0
600	609	Will bitcoins thought to belong to Satoshi Nakamoto be spent by 2075-04-05?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3733/will-bitcoins-thought-to-belong-to-satoshi-nakamoto-be-spent-by-2075-04-05/	0
601	611	Will a Guaranteed Minimum Income introduced in any EU country before 2041?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2711/will-a-guaranteed-minimum-income-introduced-in-any-eu-country-before-2041/	0
602	612	Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7340/new-megadonor-in-ea-in-2026/	0
603	613	How far away is the nearest independent origination of life?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7079/where-is-the-nearest-origin-of-et-life/	0
604	614	What will be the heaviest payload put into LEO by a launch vehicle that is in service at start of 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1620/what-will-be-the-heaviest-payload-put-into-leo-by-a-launch-vehicle-that-is-in-service-at-start-of-2050/	0
605	615	What will public knowledge be in the year 2061 of the highest pixel resolution, in centimeters, of a classified U.S. government optical satellite that was operational between 2011-2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7342/resolution-of-classified-us-satellites/	0
606	616	Will more than 400 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7223/israel-palestine-crisis-2021--q1/	0
607	617	Will Metaculus exist in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/841/will-metaculus-exist-in-2030/	0
608	618	Will the three-year average of livestock production subsidies fall below $150M/year by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7063/3-year-livestock-subsidies-to-fall-by-2030/	0
609	619	When will the pre-August 2022 peak in weekly CLI visits (count) in Virginia occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7605/date-of-pre-aug-2022-va-cli-visits-peak/	0
610	620	When will Australia have no coal-fired power plants in its National Electricity Market?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4472/when-will-australia-have-no-coal-fired-power-plants-in-its-national-electricity-market/	0
611	621	Will Climeworks still exist in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4862/will-climeworks-still-exist-in-2030/	0
612	622	Will US greenhouse gas emissions be halved by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7155/us-climate-emissions-halved-by-2030/	0
613	623	How many nuclear weapons will states possess on December 31, 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7413/size-of-state-nuclear-arsenals-by-2024/	0
614	624	Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7454/inadvertent-nuclear-detonation-by-2024/	0
615	625	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in Germany on 2021-10-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6677/vaccine-doses-administered-in-germany-by-oct/	0
616	626	Will Magnus Carlsen retain the Chess World Championship for a fifth time?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7106/carlsen-retains-the-world-championship-crown/	0
617	627	What proportion of non-test nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be against battlefield targets?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7411/nuclear-detonations-on-battlefield-targets/	0
618	628	Will Metaculus, or a licensed derivative, be operated as a public site by a publicly traded company by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3364/will-metaculus-or-a-licensed-derivative-be-operated-as-a-public-site-by-a-publicly-traded-company-by-2030/	0
619	629	Will a NATO nuclear-sharing country sign the TPNW by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7722/nuclear-sharing-and-tpnw/	0
620	631	Will there be a major nuclear or radiological accident before 1 January 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2512/will-there-be-a-major-nuclear-or-radiological-accident-before-1-january-2022/	0
621	632	By 2023, how many words of content will have been published on the Effective Altruism Wiki?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7886/ea-wiki-total-words-published/	0
622	633	Will US poverty be higher in November 2021 than it was in November 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6295/increase-in-us-poverty-from-2020-to-2021/	0
623	634	What proportion of nuclear weapon detonations by the US by 2050 will be countervalue, if any detonation by the US occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7458/countervalue-detonations-by-the-us-by-2050/	0
624	635	How many customers will make up the biggest paying customer base of any AI assistant software in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7247/customer-base-of-ai-assistants-in-2025/	0
625	636	How much will the US market of plant-based meat grow in 2021 with respect to the previous year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6292/clean-meat-market-in-2021/	0
626	637	What proportion of offensive nuclear weapon detonations by India by 2050 will be countervalue, if any detonation by India occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7510/countervalue-detonation-by-india-by-2050/	0
627	638	Which language modelling benchmark will be most popular in the calendar year 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5485/most-popular-language-modelling-benchmark-22/	0
628	639	What will be the Alexa Traffic Rank for Metaculus.com on January 1st 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4053/what-will-be-the-alexa-traffic-rank-for-metaculuscom-on-january-1st-2022/	0
629	640	Before 2030, will mainstream news media report that alien technology has visited our solar system?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7384/alien-tech-in-solar-system-before-2030/	0
630	641	If a single-payer healthcare system is adopted in the United States, will healthcare spending go down as a fraction of GDP?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3657/if-a-single-payer-healthcare-system-is-adopted-in-the-united-states-will-healthcare-spending-go-down-as-a-fraction-of-gdp/	0
631	642	[Short-fuse] When will the next episode of Hello Internet be released?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5237/hello-internet-podcast-release-schedule/	0
632	643	What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4785/what-percentage-of-people-cryopreserved-between-2020-and-2050-will-be-revived-by-2200/	0
633	644	Will there be a deadly clash involving gunfire or explosives between the US and China before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7403/deadly-clash-between-the-us-and-china/	0
634	645	How many laws will be enacted during the 117th United States Congress?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4895/how-many-laws-will-be-enacted-during-the-117th-united-states-congress/	0
635	646	Manned Mars landing by 100th Apollo 11 anniversary?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/603/manned-mars-landing-by-100th-apollo-11-anniversary/	0
636	647	Will most of the Quad/Five Eyes countries boycott the 2022 Winter Olympics?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6898/quadfiveeyes-boycott-of-2022-winter-olympics/	0
637	648	Will a member of Congress be charged during 2021 with a felony in connection with the Capitol riot?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6781/congressmember-charged-in-capitol-riot-2021/	0
638	649	Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6381/us-rejoins-iran-deal-before-2022/	0
639	650	What will be the effective tax rate for a hypothetical 1 million dollar long-term capital gain in the United States on January 1st 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5261/tax-rate-for-a-million-dollar-capital-gain/	0
640	651	What percentage of the US federal budget will be used for Medicare in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6066/us-federal-budget-for-medicare-in-2024/	0
641	652	When will the 10-year average Gross World Product growth rate exceed 6%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6002/gwp-growth-to-exceed-6/	0
642	653	Will the Dai stablecoin maintain a value of roughly $1 until July 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3431/will-the-dai-stablecoin-maintain-a-value-of-roughly-1-until-july-2023/	0
643	654	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on 18 September?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7868/-va-current-hospitalizations-on-18-september/	0
644	655	How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7546/deaths-from-covid-19-per-year-2022-2025-in-us/	0
645	656	What percentage of seats will the PAP win in the next Singaporean general election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7596/seats-won-by-the-pap-in-the-next-election/	0
646	657	Will meme-based cryptocurrency, Dogecoin (DOGE), be valued at $1 per coin or higher on January 1, 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6730/dogecoin-worth-1-on-2025-01-01/	0
647	658	What will be the exponent of the fastest known polynomial-time matrix multiplication algorithm in 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3343/what-will-be-the-exponent-of-the-fastest-known-polynomial-time-matrix-multiplication-algorithm-in-2029/	0
648	659	What will be the 7-day moving average of vaccine doses administered in Virginia on 18 September?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7822/va-vaccine-doses-administered-18-september/	0
649	660	Will commercial animal farming be prohibited in the US by 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7334/us-commercial-animal-farming-ban-by-2041/	0
650	661	How many people 65+ will be employed in the US in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6057/us-employment-of-ages-65-in-2021/	0
651	662	How many people 65+ will be employed in the US in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6057/us-employment-of-ages-65-in-2021/	0
652	663	If Starlink offers an IPO before 2030, will it set a record for the largest IPO?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5407/starlink-largest-ipo-before-2030/	0
653	664	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7326/open-phil-donations-2025/	0
654	665	How many teragrams of black carbon will be injected into the upper troposphere as a result of the next nuclear conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7464/black-carbon-in-troposphere-after-nuclear-war/	0
655	666	In 2029, how many small firearms per capita will there be in the USA, according to the Small Arms Survey?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3019/in-2029-how-many-small-firearms-per-capita-will-there-be-in-the-usa-according-to-the-small-arms-survey/	0
656	667	What percentage of new COVID-19 deaths that occur before 1 August 2022 will be in long-term care facilities?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7607/-va-covid-deaths-in-va-lctfs/	0
657	668	Will US income inequality increase by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1634/will-us-income-inequality-increase-by-2025/	0
658	669	When will the GDP of Mars exceed that of Earth?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5506/mars-gdp-exceeds-earths/	0
659	670	Will the world agree to new climate targets at the 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5918/world-to-agree-to-new-climate-targets-in-2021/	0
660	671	If there is a WW3, what longitude will it start in?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3867/if-there-is-a-ww3-what-longitude-will-it-start-in/	0
661	672	How many excess deaths will the United States experience during COVID-19 (March 8th 2020 through December 31st 2021)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5943/us-excess-covid-19-deaths/	0
662	673	How many refugees will be admitted to the US from 2021 to 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7027/total-refugee-admissions-2021-24/	0
663	674	When will One Piece end?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4963/when-will-one-piece-end/	0
664	675	When will Afghanistan allow same-sex marriage?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7873/legality-of-same-sex-marriage-in-afghanistan/	0
665	676	What will the release date of the first song to be streamed 4 billion times on Spotify be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6374/release-date-of-1st-song-w-4b-spotify-plays/	0
666	677	Will a Tesla car demonstrate fully autonomous capability before the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7113/fully-autonomous-tesla-in-2021/	0
667	678	Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1432/will-humans-have-a-sustainable-off-world-presence-by-2100/	0
668	679	Before 2023, will the United States CDC recommend that those who have already been vaccinated for SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) be vaccinated again due to a mutation in the virus?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6008/united-stated-cdc-to-recommend-revaccination/	0
669	680	When will at least 20 U.S. states legalize the recreational use of cannabis?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3122/when-will-at-least-20-us-states-legalize-the-recreational-use-of-cannabis/	0
670	681	Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7828/projected-election-winner-isnt-president-2025/	0
671	682	What will be the U.S. average weekly hours of all employees (total non-farm private) in October 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3245/what-will-be-the-us-average-weekly-hours-of-all-employees-total-non-farm-private-in-october-2025/	0
672	683	How many people will be employed in the US education industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6062/number-employed-in-us-education-industry-2021/	0
673	684	Will there be an episode of The Simpsons with an IMDb rating ≥ 8/10 before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6384/a-new--good-episode-of-the-simpsons/	0
674	686	Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6322/trump-gain-10m-followers-on-new-platform/	0
675	687	When will Metaculus be linked to by 130 sites?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3275/when-will-metaculus-be-linked-to-by-130-sites/	0
676	688	What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5908/confirmed-us-covid-deaths-by-2022/	0
677	689	What will be Donald Trump's net worth in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5666/donald-trumps-net-worth-in-2024/	0
678	690	When will airplane travelers be free from mask mandates in the USA?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7806/when-airplane-travelers-mask-free-in-usa/	0
679	691	What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5300/revival-chance-at-alcor-vs-cryonics-institute/	0
680	693	Will a 100 trillion parameter deep learning model be trained before 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3656/will-a-100-trillion-parameter-deep-learning-model-be-trained-before-2026/	0
681	694	When will at least 5 cultivated meat products be approved by federal regulators for commercial sale in the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7064/5-cultivated-meat-products-sell-in-the-us/	0
682	695	If a small inducement prize platform is created for effective altruists, how many dollars of prize money will be disbursed within a year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7332/money-offered-through-ea-prize-platform/	0
683	696	When will New Zealand reopen for quarantine-free international travel?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6941/new-zealand-international-travel-reopens/	0
684	697	Will the S&P 500 experience a bear market (peak to trough decline of 20% or more) in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5926/bear-market-in-sp-500-in-2021/	0
685	698	Will Emmanuel Macron be re-elected President of France in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2511/will-emmanuel-macron-be-re-elected-president-of-france-in-2022/	0
686	699	When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/363/will-a-fusion-based-electrical-generation-facility-generation-100-mw-or-more-using-only-fusion-as-an-energy-source-come-into-service-by-2030/	0
687	700	What will be the number of K-12 outbreaks in Virginia for the week of 9/12-9/18?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7864/k-12-outbreaks-in-virginia-for-sep-12-18/	0
688	701	When will a SpaceX Starship reach orbit?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6341/when-will-starship-reach-orbit/	0
689	702	If Trump is not sworn in as President in 2021, will he become the Republican nominee for President in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5049/if-trump-is-not-sworn-in-as-president-in-2021-will-he-become-the-republican-nominee-for-president-in-2024/	0
690	703	When will China legalise same-sex marriage?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3887/when-will-china-legalise-same-sex-marriage/	0
691	704	By 1 January 2050, will it be possible to increase a healthy adult human's IQ by at least two standard deviations in less than 30 days?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1625/by-1-january-2050-will-it-be-possible-to-increase-a-healthy-adult-humans-iq-by-at-least-two-standard-deviations-in-less-than-30-days/	0
692	705	Will Taylor Swift release a new album in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6837/taylor-swift-album-in-2021/	0
693	706	When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the U.S. FDA for children under 12 years old?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7611/date-of-covid-vaccine-for-children-under-12/	0
694	707	How many Virginians (thousands) will be employed in leisure and hospitality services in December 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7909/-virginians-in-leisurehospitality-dec-2021/	0
695	708	Will the UK government announce that they will allow street votes to determine planning permissions by 31st December 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6660/street-by-street-voting-on-uk-zoning-laws/	0
696	709	How many subscribers will /r/sneerclub have on January 1st 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5466/sneerclub-subscribers-by-112022/	0
697	710	Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7468/major-famine-in-north-korea-before-2025/	0
698	711	How many flights will the Mars Helicopter, Ingenuity, make in its lifetime?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7908/how-many-flights-will-ingenuity-make/	0
699	712	Will Israel be the fourth country to soft-land on the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1378/will-israel-be-the-fourth-country-to-soft-land-on-the-moon/	0
700	714	Will Rep Marjorie Taylor Greene (R, GA-14) be expelled or resign by 1 Jan 2022	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6419/marjorie-taylor-greene-expelled/	0
701	715	Human-machine intelligence parity by 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/384/human-machine-intelligence-parity-by-2040/	0
702	716	Will any member of the Trump family join Substack by Nov 3, 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6423/trump-substacker-before-2024-election/	0
703	717	What will the largest number of digits of π to have been computed be, by the end of 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3384/what-will-the-largest-number-of-digits-of-%25CF%2580-to-have-been-computed-be-by-the-end-of-2025/	0
704	718	When will the Chinese government have gathered genome-wide data on 1 billion citizens?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4676/date-china-gathers-1b-citizen-genomes/	0
705	719	Will there be a deadly clash involving gunfire or explosives between Russia and China before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7450/deadly-clash-between-russia-and-china/	0
706	720	Will commercial farming of cows, pigs and chickens for meat be prohibited in the US by 2041?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7547/livestock-farming-ban-by-2041/	0
707	721	Will the Tennis be part of the 2044 Summer Olympics?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6885/tennis-at-the-2044-olympics/	0
708	722	Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6094/possible-youtube-ban-in-russia-in-2021/	0
709	723	How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in plant-based meat companies in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7051/2022-non-exit-investment-in-plant-based-meat/	0
710	724	Will the UK's third wave of COVID-19 exceed 250 deaths/day?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7537/250-deathsday-in-uk-third-wave/	0
711	725	When will Virginia’s pre-October peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7625/date-of-va-covid-hospitalizations-peak/	0
712	726	How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in plant-based milk companies in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7047/2022-non-exit-investment-in-plant-based-milk/	0
713	727	What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based eggs be in the U.S. in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7061/total-us-sales-of-plant-based-eggs-in-2022/	0
714	728	Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/353/will-someone-born-before-2001-live-to-be-150/	0
715	729	Will the USD still reign supreme by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3858/will-the-usd-still-reign-supreme-by-2050/	0
716	730	What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2022-01-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6155/image-classification-index-2022-01-14/	0
717	731	When will USA's GDP per capita (PPP) fall out of the world top 20?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6362/usa-drop-out-of-world-top-20-gdpc/	0
718	732	What percentage of Virginia’s 18-24 age group will be fully vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 by 1 October 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7618/va-18-24-age-group-fully-vaccinated-on-1-oct/	0
719	733	When will Singapore reopen for quarantine-free international travel?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7595/singapore-international-travel-reopens/	0
720	734	How many eviction cases will be filed in Virginia in Q4 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7634/-va-eviction-cases-filed-in-q4-2021/	0
721	735	How much will the US federal government spend on income security in 2021 (in billions)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6065/us-federal-budget-for-income-security-2021/	0
722	736	Will Scotland set a date for a new independence referendum in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5922/scotland-independence-referendum-in-2021/	0
723	737	When will space mining be profitable?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3728/when-will-space-mining-be-profitable/	0
724	738	If chess is solved before 2080, must perfect play result in white winning?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/480/if-chess-is-solved-before-2080-must-perfect-play-result-in-white-winning/	0
725	739	How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in plant-based food companies in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7050/2022-non-exit-investment-in-plant-based-food/	0
726	740	When will the Strong Exponential Time Hypothesis (SETH) be disproved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7630/disproving-seth/	0
727	741	Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected within the next 10 years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/604/will-gravitational-waves-from-the-merger-of-supermassive-black-holes-be-detected-within-the-next-10-years/	0
728	742	What will be the WTI oil price in December 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5928/wti-oil-price-in-december-2021/	0
729	743	What will be Virginia’s peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations before 1 October 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7624/va-covid-hospitalizations-peak-before-1-oct/	0
730	745	Will Russia annex Ukrainian territory before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6981/russian-annexation-of-ukrainian-territory/	0
731	746	Will there be a 10X growth in number of legal abortions conducted in Poland by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6506/10x-abortion-in-poland-by-2030/	0
732	747	Will the LVCC loop overwhelmingly use autonomous vehicles before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6603/autonomous-vehicles-in-lvcc-loop-2023/	0
733	748	Will this question be mentioned in an Astral Codex Ten Post in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6554/astral-codex-ten-mentions-this-question/	0
734	749	What will be India's GDP at the end of 2025 in trillions of dollars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7004/gdp-of-india-for-2025/	0
735	750	What will Bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market capitalization be in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6486/bitcoin-dominance-in-2025/	0
736	751	When will the Woke index in US elite media top?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4931/when-will-the-woke-index-in-us-elite-media-top/	0
737	752	How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050, if at least one offensive detonation occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7811/-nuclear-weapons-used-by-2050-if-any/	0
738	753	Will Bitcoin move away from proof-of-work by 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7109/bitcoin-consensus-mechanism-by-2035/	0
739	754	Longbets series: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 27 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5715/driverless-cars-available-in-las-vegas-2024/	0
740	755	What will be Virginia’s peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 October 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7622/va-covid-cases-peak-before-1-oct/	0
741	756	How many members will the next Bundestag have?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7739/size-of-the-2021-german-bundestag/	0
742	757	When will an electric bike win the AMA Supercross series championship?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6793/when-will-an-electric-bike-win-supercross/	0
743	758	When will Virginia’s pre-October peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7623/date-of-va-covid-cases-peak-before-1-oct/	0
744	759	When will Virginia’s pre-October peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable deaths occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7627/date-of-va-covid-deaths-peak-before-1-oct/	0
745	760	When will Ninja first lose the top spot as the most followed account on Twitch?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4665/when-will-ninja-first-lose-the-top-spot-as-the-most-followed-account-on-twitch/	0
746	761	Will SpaceX land people on Mars prior to 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/349/will-spacex-land-people-on-mars-prior-to-2030/	0
747	762	Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1626/before-1-january-2050-will-any-human-cryonically-preserved-for-at-least-1-year-be-successfully-revived/	0
748	763	Will a nuclear device with a yield of at least 1kt be detonated anywhere on Earth in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5721/1kt-nuke-detonated-on-earth-in-2021/	0
749	764	What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be countervalue?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7461/total-countervalue-detonations-by-2050/	0
750	765	Will Medicare for all be passed if a Democrat is elected president in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3605/will-medicare-for-all-be-passed-if-a-democrat-is-elected-president-in-2020/	0
751	766	When will 100M people receive a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5727/100m-people-vaccinated-against-covid-19/	0
752	767	Will soybeans be successfully de-allergenized by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7041/soy-successfully-de-allergenized-by-2030/	0
753	768	Will Nord Stream 2 be completed (before 2025)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5170/will-nord-stream-2-be-completed/	0
754	769	How many seats will the Conservative Party win at the next UK general election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7651/conservative-seats-at-next-uk-election/	0
755	770	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Global Health and Development in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7424/open-phil-global-health-grants-2030/	0
756	771	Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered by 2045?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/808/will-europa-be-the-first-place-humanity-will-discover-extraterrestrial-life-if-it-is-discovered-by-2045/	0
757	772	Will we get through the 21st century without an assassination of a sitting American President?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1090/will-we-get-through-the-21st-century-without-an-assassination-of-a-sitting-american-president/	0
758	773	What will China's human development index (HDI) score be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4905/what-will-chinas-human-development-index-hdi-score-be-in-2030/	0
759	774	If GPT-4 is created, when will it be announced?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7401/when-will-gpt-4-be-announced/	0
760	775	When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7024/ai-to-beat-humans-on-metaculus/	0
761	776	What will be official attendance at the 2021 University of Virginia vs Virginia Tech football game?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7606/attendance-at-2021-uva-vs-virginia-tech-game/	0
762	777	What will be the greatest velocity attained by a human-made spacecraft before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1648/what-will-be-the-greatest-velocity-attained-by-a-human-made-spacecraft-before-2050/	0
763	778	What will the average growth rate be, of total renewable energy produced worldwide, over the 2020 to 2022 period (inclusive)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3582/growth-rate-total-renewables-2020-to-2022/	0
764	779	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Scientific Research in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7421/open-phil-scientific-research-grants-2025/	0
765	780	Will at least one cultivated meat product be for sale in the US by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7065/us-sale-of-cultivated-meat-by-2023/	0
766	781	When will AIs program programs that can program AIs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/406/when-will-ais-program-programs-that-can-program-ais/	0
767	782	Will China recognize the sovereignty of Taiwan by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3620/will-china-recognize-the-sovereignty-of-taiwan-by-2050/	0
768	783	Will another 9/11 on U.S. soil be prevented at least through 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/916/will-another-911-on-us-soil-be-prevented-at-least-through-2030/	0
769	784	Will the United States Senate vote to expel a Senator before January 3, 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6434/draining-the-senate-2021-2023/	0
770	785	How many medals will the USA win at Paris 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7665/total-medals-won-by-the-usa-at-paris-2024/	0
771	786	What will be the peak in weekly CLI visits (count) in Virginia before 1 August 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7604/va-weekly-cli-visits-peak-before-aug-2022/	0
772	787	In 2021 will the European Commission suspend all EU mink farming, including breeding, and all in-country and cross-border transportation of live mink and their raw pelts?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6458/will-the-eu-ban-mink-farming-in-2021/	0
773	788	How high will China's total dependency ratio be in 2039?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7430/china-demographic-dependency/	0
774	789	Will a signatory to the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons develop a nuclear weapon anyway?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5808/signatory-to-ban-on-nukes-to-break-treaty/	0
775	790	Will an offensive nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7404/nuclear-detonation-fatality-before-2024/	0
776	791	Will Polymarket default on an obligation to hand over their users’ USDC on request or wrongly resolve a market by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7240/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-polymarket/	0
777	792	Will SpaceX actually put a literal Dogecoin on the literal Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6966/spacex-puts-literal-dogecoin-on-literal-moon/	0
778	793	When will the first use of accurate lie detection in court case occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6619/first-accurate-lie-detection-in-court-case/	0
779	794	Will Bill and Melinda Gates' philanthropic priorities diverge by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7300/gates-donation-priorities-to-diverge-by-2030/	0
780	795	Will Erdogan be re-elected President of Turkey?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5350/will-erdogan-be-re-elected-president/	0
781	796	When will Amazon deliver some products by drone?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5206/amazon-drone-delivery/	0
782	797	Will the UK housing market crash before July 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2807/will-the-uk-housing-market-crash-before-july-2023/	0
783	798	How many papers on AI ethics and algorithmic bias will be published by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5892/ai-ethics-and-algo-bias-publications-2022/	0
784	799	How many people will be employed in the US wholesale and retail industries in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6060/number-employed-in-us-retail-in-2021/	0
785	800	How many DALYs will be caused by outdoor air pollution in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5025/how-many-dalys-will-be-caused-by-outdoor-air-pollution-in-2030/	0
786	801	Will Boris Johnson be UK Prime Minister in January 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7138/boris-johnson-uk-pm-in-2022/	0
787	802	What will be the EIA crude oil stock change for commercial crude oil inventories in September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7370/eia-crude-oil-stock-september-2021/	0
788	803	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Criminal Justice Reform in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7428/open-phil-criminal-justice-reform-grants-2030/	0
789	804	Will marijuana be legal for recreational use in a supermajority of these strongly Republican US states by 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7740/marijuana-legalization-in-republican-states/	0
790	805	Will any of Great Britain be under monarchy in 2075?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6691/1-of-great-britain-under-monarchy-in-2075/	0
791	806	World Population in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/587/world-population-in-2100/	0
792	807	Will EA Global London 2021 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online again?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6348/ea-global-london-2021-rescheduled/	0
793	808	What will be the average age of new motherhood in the U.S. in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7637/new-motherhood-age-in-2050-in-the-us/	0
794	809	Will there be a deadly clash involving gunfire or explosives between India and China before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7451/deadly-clash-between-china-and-india/	0
795	810	How many infections of SARS-CoV-2 (novel coronavirus) will be estimated to have occurred worldwide, before 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3892/how-many-infections-of-sars-cov-2-novel-coronavirus-will-be-estimated-to-have-occurred-worldwide-before-2021/	0
796	811	When will a fifth nation be able to launch people into space?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1431/when-will-a-fifth-nation-be-able-to-launch-people-into-space/	0
797	812	How many communist states will there be in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3730/how-many-communist-states-will-there-be-in-2050/	0
798	813	When will the Novavax SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6480/novavax-vaccine-us-eua-date/	0
799	814	Will US real GDP growth in 2021 set a new record for any previous year in the 21st century?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6637/21-us-gdp-growth-to-set-centurys-record/	0
800	815	Will the Australian Census of 2021 show at least 50% not religious?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6838/australia-majority-not-religious/	0
801	816	Will Djokovic win 21 Tennis Grand Slams?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6886/djokovic-total-tennis-slams/	0
802	817	What will the global fertility rate be in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4830/what-will-the-global-fertility-rate-be-in-2050/	0
803	818	When will SpaceX launch humans around the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6956/first-circumlunar-human-spacex-flight/	0
804	819	Average S&P 500 return in the 2020s?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5240/average-sp-500-return-in-the-2020s/	0
805	820	How many will be employed in the US transportation and warehousing industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6061/number-employed-in-us-transport-industry-2021/	0
806	821	Will USA top the Olympic Medal Table at Paris 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7664/usa-most-successful-olympic-team-in-paris/	0
807	822	How large will Monaco be in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5802/how-large-will-monaco-be-in-2035/	0
808	823	How many pigs will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7045/-pigs-culled-due-to-outbreak-in-2021-23/	0
809	824	When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3913/when-will-a-vaccine-for-hiv-be-administered-to-10-million-people/	0
810	825	Will 3 mainstream American news outlets report that a rebel group perpetrated the 2013 Ghouta Chemical Attack by 2033?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7591/ghouta-chemical-attack/	0
811	826	What will South Africa's GDP per capita PPP be in 2030 (in constant 2017 USD)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7531/south-africa-gdp-per-capita-in-2030/	0
812	827	How many billions of dollars of student loans will the US federal government forgive in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5809/federal-loan-forgiveness/	0
813	828	In the context of community transmission, what will be the recommended minimum % of positive COVID-19 cases that should be sequenced?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6718/-covid-cases-that-should-be-sequenced/	0
814	829	When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7548/when-will-vrar-sell-50-million-per-year/	0
815	830	Will the price of bitcoin drop below $10K USD in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5826/bitcoin-below-10k/	0
816	831	Will the next US recession turn into a depression?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4013/will-the-next-us-recession-turn-into-a-depression/	0
817	832	How many predictions will have been made on Metaculus by the end of 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2944/how-many-predictions-will-have-been-made-on-metaculus-by-the-end-of-2023/	0
818	833	Assuming our future simulates us, what will be the first peer-reviewed guesses of our instantiation date?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7539/date-our-future-simulates-us-first-guesses/	0
819	834	Will McDonald's be the first top global QSR to feature a cultivated meat product on their menu (by 2026)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7056/will-mcdonalds-offer-cultivated-meat-first/	0
820	835	What will be the number of K-12 outbreaks in Virginia for the week of 9/5-9/11?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7826/k-12-outbreaks-in-virginia-for-sep-5-11/	0
821	836	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in August 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7365/us-building-permits/	0
822	837	Will the 117th United States Senate change the filibuster rules during its session?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6910/will-the-us-senate-change-the-filibuster/	0
823	838	When will the first babies screened by Orchid Health be born?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7031/first-commercial-polygenic-embryo-screening/	0
824	839	Will AI progress surprise us?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1394/will-ai-progress-surprise-us/	0
825	840	What will be the lowest closing value for the E-Mini S&P 500 Future Continuous Contract in September?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7379/lowest-e-mini-sp-closing-value-in-september/	0
826	841	When will China officially cease to be a socialist state?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6595/china-to-officially-cease-being-socialist/	0
827	842	Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/737/will-spacex-land-anything-on-mars-by-2030/	0
828	843	Will there be a city on Earth with a population of over 100 million by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1052/will-there-be-a-city-on-earth-with-a-population-of-over-100-million-by-2100/	0
829	844	Will Trevor Milton be convicted on federal fraud charges related to Nikola before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7597/milton-convicted-on-federal-fraud-charges/	0
830	845	What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation of PASCAL-Context be on 2023-02-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%), amongst models not trained on extra data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6563/sota-on-pascal-context-on-2023-02-14/	0
831	846	Which fraction of the German population will have a migration background in 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7532/fraction-germany-migration-background/	0
832	847	Which Artemis Moon Mission landing system will first land a person on the moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4306/which-artemis-moon-mission-landing-system-will-first-land-a-person-on-the-moon/	0
833	848	Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5048/will-the-uk-rejoin-the-eu-before-2030/	0
834	849	Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?)	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/645/will-united-launch-alliancess-vulcan-rocket-fly-by-2023-aka-will-elon-musk-eat-his-hat-with-a-side-of-mustard/	0
835	850	Will the Duke or Duchess of Sussex file for divorce before Mar 8, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6801/dukedom-of-sussex-divorce-by-march-8-2022/	0
836	851	What will be the price of a Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme in Westfield, Indiana in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6344/2025-price-of-a-crunchwrap-supreme/	0
837	852	What will the the market cap of MSFT, AAPL, GOOG, FB, AMZN on 31 December 2021 as a percentage of the total S&P500?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5927/value-of-faang-stocks-as--of-sp-500/	0
838	853	How many of the top 50 Effective Altruism Forum users by karma as of June 2021 will be active in 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7396/ea-forum-value-drift-2026/	0
839	854	How many people 65+ will be employed in the US in 2030 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7195/us-employment-of-ages-65-in-2030/	0
840	855	Will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to implant a brain-machine interface device in a human before 1 January 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2951/will-the-us-fda-grant-neuralink-permission-to-implant-a-brain-machine-interface-device-in-a-human-before-1-january-2022/	0
841	856	How much global warming by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/605/how-much-global-warming-by-2100/	0
842	857	Will North Korea and South Korea be recognized as a unified sovereign state by 2045?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7037/korean-reunification-by-2045/	0
843	858	What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5948/image-classification-index-2026-12-14/	0
844	859	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Animal Welfare in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7422/open-phil-animal-welfare-grants-2025/	0
845	860	Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7316/exascale-connectome-mapped-by-june-2031/	0
846	861	Will the US unemployment rate stay above 5% through November 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6296/us-unemployment-above-5-through-nov-2021/	0
847	862	Will one government govern 80% of Earth's population and economy by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7329/earth-government-by-2100/	0
848	863	Assassination by autonomous weapon by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/351/assassination-by-autonomous-weapon-by-2025/	0
849	864	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in August 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7363/us-durable-goods-orders-august-2021/	0
850	865	Will WeWork file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3159/will-wework-file-for-bankruptcy-protection-before-1-january-2025/	0
851	866	What will Hungary's total fertility rate be in 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6800/hungarys-total-fertility-rate-be-in-2023/	0
852	867	Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7575/2024-taiwanese-presidential-election/	0
853	868	When will be the next S&P 500 correction?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5458/next-sp-500-correction/	0
854	869	If human-level artificial intelligence is developed, will World GDP grow by at least 30.0% in any of the subsequent 15 years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3477/if-human-level-artificial-intelligence-is-developed-will-world-gdp-grow-by-at-least-300-in-any-of-the-subsequent-15-years/	0
855	870	Will Israel be the fourth country to soft-land on the Moon, if the feat is achieved by the end of 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3251/will-israel-be-the-fourth-country-to-soft-land-on-the-moon-if-the-feat-is-achieved-by-the-end-of-2025/	0
856	871	How many countries will approve the commercial sale of cultivated meat by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7066/-countries-to-sell-cultivated-meat-by-2023/	0
857	872	What will Gross World Product be in 2047, in trillions of US$?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4694/what-will-gross-world-product-be-in-2047-in-trillions-of-us/	0
858	873	Will another Millennium Prize Problem be solved in the next decade?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/236/will-another-millennium-prize-problem-be-solved-in-the-next-decade/	0
859	874	When will the 10-year average Gross World Product growth rate exceed 10%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5833/gwp-growth-to-exceed-10/	0
860	875	If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7243/1st-senators-from-puerto-rico-both-democrats/	0
861	876	What will the democracy index of Kyrgyzstan be in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5367/democracy-in-kyrgyzstan/	0
862	877	Will Randell Mills's Grand Unified Theory of Classical Physics Be Taken Seriously?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3216/will-randell-millss-grand-unified-theory-of-classical-physics-be-taken-seriously/	0
863	878	Will the first extraterrestrial life-forms we encounter be carbon-based?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3158/will-the-first-extraterrestrial-life-forms-we-encounter-be-carbon-based/	0
864	879	When will there be a human fatality during travel to or from a heavenly body?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7670/first-death-in-extraplanetary-space-travel/	0
865	880	Will the first commercial hyperloop system be within the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/513/will-the-first-commercial-hyperloop-system-be-within-the-us/	0
866	881	When will Ethereum be able to do 1000 transactions per second?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7251/1000-transactions-per-second-in-ethereum/	0
867	882	What will Tesla's market capitalization be on 1 January 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4798/what-will-teslas-market-capitalization-be-on-1-january-2030/	0
868	883	What will be Virginia’s peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable deaths before 1 October 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7626/va-covid-deaths-peak-before-1-oct/	0
869	884	What proportion of the well-known QSRs will offer a cultivated meat product in 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7055/prop-of-qsr-with-cultivated-meat-in-2026/	0
870	885	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 cases?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7124/monthly-peak-in-new-covid-cases-in-virginia/	0
871	886	When will President Teodoro Obiang leave office in Equatorial Guinea?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7581/equatorial-guineas-obiang-exit-date/	0
872	887	BTC outperforms VSS from 2021-03-01 until 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6648/btc-outperforms-vss-thru-2026/	0
873	888	The end of the EU as we know it by 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/375/the-end-of-the-eu-as-we-know-it/	0
874	889	When will 1bn people have been vaccinated with any vaccine candidate(s) that have demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5767/1bn-people-vaccinated-against-covid-19/	0
875	890	When will the Twin Prime Conjecture be resolved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2536/when-will-the-twin-prime-conjecture-be-resolved/	0
876	891	Will a book written by a language model make the NY Times Best Seller list before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5587/ai-ny-times-best-seller-before-2030/	0
877	892	Will the US NIH recommend Vitamin D supplementation as a protective measure against coronavirus before the end of the pandemic?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5318/nih-to-recommend-vit-d-supp/	0
878	893	How many seats will the Liberal Democrats win at the next UK general election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7652/lib-dem-seats-at-next-uk-election/	0
879	894	When will insect feed replace fishmeal for animal feed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7025/when-will-insects-replace-fishmeal/	0
880	895	How much higher will peer-reviewed U.S. methane emission measurements be compared to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s reported measurements in any 12 month period between 2021-2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7343/accuracy-of-epas-methane-emissions/	0
881	896	Will Germany fail to meet their coal commission’s goals?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2666/will-germany-fail-to-meet-their-coal-commissions-goals/	0
882	897	Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2513/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-an-artificial-intelligence-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-reduce-the-human-population-by-95-or-more/	0
883	898	Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5814/2022-us-house-midterm-election/	0
884	899	Will the Dutch medical consortium recommend Vitamin D supplementation as a protective measure against coronavirus before the end of the pandemic?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5319/dutch-to-recommend-vit-d-supp/	0
885	900	Will a mini-Maunder event occur beginning in Solar Cycle 25 (or 24)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4979/will-a-mini-maunder-event-occur-beginning-in-solar-cycle-25-or-24/	0
886	901	What inflation-adjusted return will the Vanguard Information Technology ETF yield from 2021-2040 if AGI arrives by 2040, in percentage points?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7506/return-for-vgt-if-agi-arrives-by-2040/	0
887	902	Will ACE or any of its top or standout charities see a scandal related to sexual harassment or unwanted sexual advances in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6024/sexual-scandal-amongst-animal-advocates/	0
888	903	Will there be armed conflict between the national military forces, militia and/or law enforcement personnel of Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before Jan 1, 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7227/armed-conflict-between-prc--roc-taiwan/	0
889	904	What will the total fertility rate be in USA for the year 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6813/fertility-rate-be-in-usa-for-the-year-2025/	0
890	905	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7372/us-michigan-csi-september-2021/	0
891	906	When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3684/when-will-a-quantum-computer-running-shors-algorithm-or-a-similar-one-be-used-to-factor-one-of-the-rsa-numbers-for-the-first-time/	0
892	907	How will the World Happiness Report rank the United States in 2020-2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7834/us-happiness-ranking-from-2020-2022/	0
893	908	Will someone run a marathon in less than 2 hours (per IAAF rules) by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1373/will-someone-run-a-marathon-in-less-than-2-hours-per-iaaf-rules-by-2023/	0
894	909	Who will first land a person on Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3214/who-will-first-land-a-person-on-mars/	0
895	910	When will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Black Virginians reach 1.0?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7615/vaccination-rate-ratio-black-virginians/	0
896	911	When will the world create the first Trillionaire?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/676/when-will-the-world-create-the-first-trillionaire/	0
897	912	When will another SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Delta as the dominant variant in Virginia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7602/date-new-variant-overtakes-delta-in-virginia/	0
898	913	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards AI risk reduction in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7419/open-phil-ai-grants-2030/	0
899	914	What will be the largest plant-based meat product production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single production facility, by January 1st, 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7038/plant-based-meat-production-capacity-2030/	0
900	915	Will a 'Turing Test' for plant-based meat be passed if such a test is conducted by April 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7057/turing-test-for-plant-based-meat-by-2023/	0
901	916	When will the first course on wild animal welfare be taught at a top university?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6022/when-will-wild-animal-welfare-reach-top-uni/	0
902	917	Will a total sum amounting to at least 10% of the money in all US DAFs be expropriated by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4328/will-a-total-sum-amounting-to-at-least-10-of-the-money-in-all-us-dafs-be-expropriated-by-2100/	0
903	918	What percentage of US residents will be aged 100 years or older on January 1 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1630/what-percentage-of-us-residents-will-be-aged-100-years-or-older-on-january-1-2050/	0
904	919	When will the Twin Prime Conjecture be resolved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7501/date-twin-prime-conjecture-is-resolved/	0
905	920	What will the listing price of an Impossible Food's plant-based beef burger be, in a U.S.-based supermarket, in USD per kilo, in June, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3116/what-will-the-listing-price-of-an-impossible-foods-plant-based-beef-burger-be-in-a-us-based-supermarket-in-usd-per-kilo-in-june-2022/	0
906	921	Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5683/who-will-produce-the-most-lithium-by-2030/	0
907	922	When will the US Federal Minimum Wage be Raised?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5646/next-minimum-wage-raise/	0
908	923	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Criminal Justice Reform in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7429/open-phil-criminal-justice-reform-grants-2025/	0
909	924	When (if at all) will Clubhouse surpass Discord in the US iOS App Store?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6696/clubhouse-vs-discord/	0
910	926	Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1439/democracy-in-crisis-how-many-autocrats-strongmen-and-dictators-in-2028/	0
911	927	Will at least 5 Republican Congresspeople join another party before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6447/republican-party-split-in-2022/	0
912	928	Will Lebanon come under French rule again before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4952/will-lebanon-come-under-french-rule-again-before-2025/	0
913	929	Will the United States institute a military draft by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3469/will-the-united-states-institute-a-military-draft-by-2025/	0
914	930	Will Apple fail to deliver a new Mac Pro based on Apple silicon in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6644/apple-to-fail-to-deliver-own-silicon-mac/	0
915	931	What is the Chandra X-Ray Observatory's remaining lifespan?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1532/what-is-the-chandra-x-ray-observatorys-remaining-lifespan/	0
916	932	What day will Solar Cycle 25 end?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4978/what-day-will-solar-cycle-25-end/	0
917	933	In 2025, what percent of Australia's Liberal parliamentarians will be women?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6464/female-liberal-mps-in-australia-in-2025/	0
918	934	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Biosecurity and Pandemic Preparedness in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7426/open-phil-bio-grants-2025/	0
919	935	Will Brazil win the FIFA World Cup by the end of 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6197/brazil-fifa-world-cup-win-by-2050/	0
920	936	How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6114/will-the-senate-confirm-many-judges-in-2021/	0
921	937	If chess is solved before 2080, must perfect play result in a forced draw?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4334/if-chess-is-solved-before-2080-must-perfect-play-result-in-a-forced-draw/	0
922	938	Will Erin O'Toole become Prime Minister of Canada before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5462/erin-otoole-to-be-pm-of-canada-before-2024/	0
923	939	What will be the largest grouping of stars in the Milky Way, in the year 1 billion, that don't seem to be militarily hostile to each other?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7574/biggest-peaceful-star-group-in-year-1-billion/	0
924	940	When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7324/date-of-sputnik-v-who-approval/	0
925	941	How many countries will increase the number of nuclear weapons they possess by at least 10% by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7463/-countries-increase-nuclear-arsenal-by-10/	0
926	942	Will Elizabeth Holmes be convicted on fraud charges related to Theranos before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7291/elizabeth-holmes-convicted-of-theranos-fraud/	0
927	943	When will GTA VI be released in the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5772/when-will-gta-vi-be-released-in-the-us/	0
928	944	Will a meat or dairy consumption tax go into effect in the US or any EU member state by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7068/meat-or-dairy-tax-in-the-us-or-eu-by-2023/	0
929	945	When will the first autonomous, road legal, human carrying motorcycle be sold in the United States?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6812/first-autonomous-motorcycle-to-be-sold-in-usa/	0
930	946	Will Volkswagen Group produce fewer than 22 million electric vehicles by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2665/will-volkswagen-group-produce-fewer-than-22-million-electric-vehicles-by-2030/	0
931	947	If the EU bans all types of caged-housing for egg-laying hens, what date will be set as the phase out deadline?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7496/when-will-the-eu-phase-out-cages/	0
932	948	When will the AstraZeneca/Oxford developed SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6124/astrazenecaoxford-vaccine-us-eua-date/	0
933	949	What will be the real median household income in the United States in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4967/what-will-be-the-real-median-household-income-in-the-united-states-in-2030/	0
934	950	Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3715/before-2025-will-at-least-two-public-health-agencies-claim-that-china-deliberately-misreported-covid-19-infections/	0
935	951	How many dollars will it cost per month to store 1 TB on Google Cloud Archive in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7199/cost-to-store-1-tb-on-google-archive-2025/	0
936	952	What will real Gross World Product be in 2100, in trillions of 2020 US$?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7497/gwp-in-2100-in-trillions-of-us/	0
937	953	What will be the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the U.S. for October 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3191/what-will-be-the-labor-force-participation-rate-total-16-and-older-in-the-us-for-october-2030/	0
938	954	How many e-prints on multi-modal learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-12-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6185/multi-modal-ml-2021-01-14-to-2022-01-14/	0
939	955	When will Graphcore become a publicly traded company?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5694/when-will-graphcore-ipo/	0
940	956	In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4677/in-2031-will-at-least-90-of-open-philanthropy-project-grant-money-be-directed-using-effective-altruist-principles/	0
941	957	Will there be a deadly clash involving gunfire or explosives between the US and Russia before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7449/deadly-clash-between-us-and-russia/	0
942	958	When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2955/when-will-elon-musk-have-any-device-such-as-a-brain-machine-interface-surgically-implanted-into-his-brain/	0
943	959	Will Coinbase default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7237/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-coinbase/	0
944	960	Will the first AGI be based on deep learning?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4055/will-the-first-agi-be-based-on-deep-learning/	0
945	961	Contact lenses for augmented reality in use by innovators before 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/229/contact-lenses-for-augmented-reality-in-use-by-innovators-before-2026/	0
946	962	What will the world real GDP growth rate be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3626/what-will-the-world-real-gdp-growth-rate-be-in-2030/	0
947	963	On what date will the U.S. CDC announce that they are tracking a SARS-CoV-2 variant that they classify as a variant of high consequence (VOHC)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7163/variant-of-high-consequence-before-2025/	0
948	964	Will Freedom House report that internet freedom has declined every year until 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7335/internet-freedom-to-decline-until-2025/	0
949	965	When will India send their first own astronauts to space?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1434/when-will-india-send-their-first-own-astronauts-to-space/	0
950	966	How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the U.S. in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5929/us-pev-sales-in-2021/	0
951	967	Which month of 2021 will see the biggest global increase of COVID-19 cases?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5432/month-with-peak-of-covid-19-cases-in-2021/	0
952	968	When will OpenAI unveil their secret AI project?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4043/when-will-openai-unveil-their-secret-ai-project/	0
953	969	Will the USA's Labor Force Participation Rate be lower in 2023 than in 2018?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1663/will-the-usas-labor-force-participation-rate-be-lower-in-2023-than-in-2018/	0
954	970	Will at least 3 Basic Income pilots be launched in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6844/at-least-3-ubi-pilots-in-2021/	0
955	971	When will Lyft electrify 80% of its fleet?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5559/when-will-lyft-be-80-electrified/	0
956	972	What will be the net percentage of people who believe it's acceptable to buy fur by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5697/moral-acceptablity-of-buying-fur-by-2030/	0
957	973	What will be the minimum unemployment rate in the United States for calendar year 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5735/minimum-us-unemployment-rate-for-2021/	0
958	974	When will COVID-19 be eradicated?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7601/covid-19-eradication/	0
959	975	After an AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4123/after-an-agi-is-created-how-many-months-will-it-be-before-the-first-superintelligence/	0
960	976	What will be the Gini coefficient for income in India in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6773/gini-coeff-for-india-2030/	0
961	977	When will Alexander Lukashenko leave power in Belarus?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6556/when-will-lukashenko-leave-power-in-belarus/	0
962	978	How many scheduled airline passengers in 2021 will verify their COVID-19 health statuses with CommonPass?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6323/flights-on-commonpass-health-passport-in-2021/	0
963	979	What percentage of Legislative Assembly seats will the Australian Labor Party win at the next Victorian state election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5534/labor-seats-after-next-victorian-election/	0
964	980	What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths globally by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5907/number-confirmed-global-covid-deaths-by-2022/	0
965	981	Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6827/a-supernova-in-the-milky-way-before-2050/	0
966	982	If Biden becomes president, will there be an expansion of the Keystone Pipeline system of at least 100 km in length by the end of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4433/if-biden-becomes-president-will-there-be-an-expansion-of-the-keystone-pipeline-system-of-at-least-100-km-in-length-by-the-end-of-2024/	0
967	983	Will the S&P 500 rise or fall more than 15% in a single day during the 2020s?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7481/sp-500-to-move-more-than-15-in-day-by-2030/	0
968	984	Will the peak reported daily deaths per capita from the COVID Delta variant wave be worse in the UK than the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7569/peak-deaths-from--wave-worse-in-uk-or-us/	0
969	985	When will Good Ventures first donate 5% of Dustin Moskovitz's wealth in one year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7336/good-ventures-donations-5-of-assets/	0
970	986	Will the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) start operating by end of 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2709/will-the-international-thermonuclear-experimental-reactor-iter-start-operating-by-end-of-2025/	0
971	987	If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2805/if-there-is-an-artificial-intelligence-catastrophe-this-century-when-will-it-happen/	0
972	988	What will be the highest value of the U.S. Private Sector Job Quality Index (JQI-1) before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4444/what-will-be-the-highest-value-of-the-us-private-sector-job-quality-index-jqi-1-before-2030/	0
973	989	When will life expectancy at birth for both sexes reach 60 years in all countries?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2575/when-will-life-expectancy-at-birth-for-both-sexes-reach-60-years-in-all-countries/	0
974	990	Will Israel and Saudi Arabia establish official diplomatic relations in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6646/sa-israel-to-establish-diplomatic-relations/	0
975	991	Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5538/california-zero-emission-sales-by-2035/	0
976	992	When will commercial space launch be priced at less than $500/pound?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/462/when-will-commercial-space-launch-cost-less-then-500pound/	0
977	993	Will more than 1,000 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7222/israel-palestine-crisis-2021--q2/	0
978	994	Will Mike Pence be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6331/will-mike-pence-run-for-president-in-2024/	0
979	995	What will total enrollment for recent US high school graduates be in US colleges in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4646/what-will-total-enrollment-for-recent-us-high-school-graduates-be-in-us-colleges-in-2021/	0
980	996	How many new COVID-19 outbreaks will occur in Virginian long-term care facilities before 1 August 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7620/new-covid-outbreaks-in-va-ltcfs/	0
981	997	When will the first human be born on another world?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2533/when-will-the-first-human-be-born-on-another-world/	0
982	998	Will Trump flee the United States?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5655/will-trump-flee-the-united-states/	0
983	999	What will the cost of energy of utility-scale solar photovoltaics be in 2020, in 2018 USD per kWh?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3520/what-will-the-cost-of-energy-of-utility-scale-solar-photovoltaics-be-in-2020-in-2018-usd-per-kwh/	0
984	1000	Will the identity of Bitcoin's founder, Satoshi Nakamoto, be revealed to the general public by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1517/will-the-identity-of-bitcoins-founder-satoshi-nakamoto-be-revealed-to-the-general-public-by-2025/	0
985	1001	When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1637/when-will-a-crewed-spacecraft-enter-interstellar-space-for-the-first-time/	0
986	1002	Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20th, 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6313/conservative-scotus-majority-to-recede/	0
987	1003	Will Charm Industrial still exist in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4865/will-charm-industrial-still-exist-in-2030/	0
988	1004	Before 2051, will a meteor cause more injuries than the one that shook Chelyabinsk, Russia in 2013?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1059/before-2051-will-a-meteor-cause-more-injuries-than-the-one-that-shook-chelyabinsk-russia-in-2013/	0
989	1005	How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3289/how-many-gene-edited-babies-will-have-been-born-worldwide-by-the-end-of-2029/	0
990	1006	Will Joe Biden hold the office of US President between 2021-12-24 and 2022-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6640/biden-to-hold-presidency-until-eoy/	0
991	1007	Will TBC complete two transit systems bigger than LVCC loop < 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6602/two-more-tbc-transit-systems--2030/	0
992	1008	Will Trump be indicted for obstruction of justice by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5687/trump-indicted-for-obstruction-of-justice/	0
993	1009	How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions from December 2020 to January 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6149/change-in-degree-of-automation/	0
994	1010	In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6944/2024-us-election-results-not-certified/	0
995	1011	Will NASA return a sample of material from the surface of Mars to Earth before SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5463/mars-sample-mission-vs-starship/	0
996	1012	Will a democratic nation whose economy transitions from capitalist to market socialist sustain adequate economic growth?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3778/will-a-democratic-nation-whose-economy-transitions-from-capitalist-to-market-socialist-sustain-adequate-economic-growth/	0
997	1013	What percentage of Virginia’s 12-15 age group will be fully vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 by 1 October 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7619/va-12-15-yo-fully-vaccinated-on-1-oct/	0
998	1014	Will Scotland vote to leave the UK in the next referendum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5029/will-scotland-vote-to-leave-the-uk-in-the-next-referendum/	0
999	1015	Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6369/official-scottish-independence-referendum/	0
1000	1017	How many DC charging stations will Boulder, CO have by the end 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5827/dc-charging-stations-in-boulder-co-by-2021/	0
1001	1018	What will real Gross World Product be in 2200, in trillions of 2020 US$?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7655/gwp-in-2200-in-trillions-of-us-full-range/	0
1002	1019	When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6113/autonomous-flying-cars-when/	0
1003	1020	How many annual deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections will have been estimated by the CDC to occurred in 2021 in the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7046/-deaths-from-antibiotic-resistant-infections/	0
1004	1021	Will ≥8% of U.S. adults self-report to follow a vegetarian diet before 2036?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3360/will-8-of-us-adults-self-report-to-follow-a-vegetarian-diet-before-2036/	0
1005	1022	What will the necessary computational power to replicate human mental capability turn out to be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2646/what-will-the-necessary-computational-power-to-replicate-human-mental-capability-turn-out-to-be/	0
1006	1023	Will we discover clear evidence of proton decay by 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/915/will-we-discover-clear-evidence-of-proton-decay-by-2040/	0
1007	1024	Will an anthropogenic disaster happen in China before one happens in India?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6946/anthropogenic-disasters-china-vs-india/	0
1008	1025	By 2022, Will at least one abortion ban currently blocked by US federal courts go into effect?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6782/abortion-bans-allowed-by-us-courts-in-2021/	0
1009	1026	Will ACE or any of its top or standout charities see a scandal related to racial inequity or discrimination in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6025/diversity-debacle-amongst-animal-advocates/	0
1010	1027	Will the United States test a nuclear weapon before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4456/will-the-united-states-test-a-nuclear-weapon-before-2023/	0
1011	1028	When will a Neanderthal be born again?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7479/bringing-back-the-neanderthal/	0
1012	1029	Will the United States Environmental Protection Agency pass a PFAS Maximum Contaminant Level rule for all municipal water systems in the United States by January 1, 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4759/pfas-max-contaminant-levels-in-drinking-water/	0
1013	1030	Will Elon Musk have double the wealth of the second richest person by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6190/will-musk-double-second-richest-by-dec-3122/	0
1014	1031	How many people will be employed in the US healthcare/social assistance industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6063/number-employed-in-us-healthcare-in-2021/	0
1015	1032	If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7244/1st-senators-from-puerto-rico-both-republican/	0
1016	1033	When will an HSV-1 vaccine be approved by the FDA?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7234/hsv-1-vaccine-approved-by-fda/	0
1017	1034	Will an openly LGBTQ person be elected President of the United States by 2041?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1444/will-an-openly-lgbtq-person-be-elected-president-of-the-united-states-by-2041/	0
1018	1035	When will a country adopt Universal Basic Income?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2728/when-will-a-country-adopt-universal-basic-income/	0
1019	1036	Will the majority of leading cosmologists in 2030 agree that the evidence points to an accelerating universe?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3608/will-the-majority-of-leading-cosmologists-in-2030-agree-that-the-evidence-points-to-an-accelerating-universe/	0
1020	1037	When will an AI achieve a 98th percentile score or higher in a Mensa admission test?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3698/when-will-an-ai-achieve-a-98th-percentile-score-or-higher-in-a-mensa-admission-test/	0
1021	1038	If no human challenge trials are run for COVID-19 before February 5, 2021, how many total deaths in the US will be directly attributed to COVID-19 in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5128/if-no-human-challenge-trials-are-run-for-covid-19-before-february-5-2021-how-many-total-deaths-in-the-us-will-be-directly-attributed-to-covid-19-in-2021/	0
1022	1040	Will the Square Kilometre Array (SKA) be finished on time?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2649/will-the-square-kilometre-array-ska-be-finished-on-time/	0
1023	1041	What will the real GDP/capita of the USA be in 2024 if Joe Biden is elected president?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4689/what-will-the-real-gdpcapita-of-the-usa-be-in-2024-if-joe-biden-is-elected-president/	0
1024	1043	When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7174/keir-starmer-labour-leadership-exit-date/	0
1025	1044	What Portion of Official Currency Reserve (COFER) will be Chinese Yuan in Q4 of 2031 according to the IMF?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7296/chinese-yuan--of-cofer-q42031/	0
1026	1045	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on WikiText-103 be on 2023-02-14 in perplexity, amongst models not trained on extra data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6520/sota-wikitext-103-2023-02-14/	0
1027	1046	Will Dr. Ezekiel Emanuel retract his view that he wants to die by 75?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5678/dr-ezekiel-emanuel-to-retract-deathist-view/	0
1028	1047	Will the federal minimum wage increase in the United States before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3631/will-the-federal-minimum-wage-increase-in-the-united-states-before-2025/	0
1029	1048	When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7467/next-great-financial-crisis-in-the-us/	0
1030	1049	How much will Open Philanthropy grant in their focus area of Potential Risks from Advanced Artificial Intelligence in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6091/open-phil-grants-to-ai-safety-in-2021/	0
1031	1050	What will the unemployment rate be for German law degree holders in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5987/unemployment-rate-for-german-lawyers-in-2025/	0
1032	1051	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on WikiText-103 be at 2026-12-14 in perplexity?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5947/sota-perplexity-on-wikitext-103-2026-12-14/	0
1033	1052	Will Project Vesta still exist in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4863/will-project-vesta-still-exist-in-2030/	0
1034	1053	What will the fed funds rate be by the end of 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7439/u-s-interest-rate-policy/	0
1035	1054	Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister at the beginning of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5413/conservative-uk-pm-on-2030-01-01/	0
1036	1055	How many people will be born in the United States in the year 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3883/how-many-people-will-be-born-in-the-united-states-in-the-year-2021/	0
1037	1056	What will be the relative severity of the next US depression, compared to the Great Depression?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4083/what-will-be-the-relative-severity-of-the-next-us-depression-compared-to-the-great-depression/	0
1038	1057	When will the first successful launch of a Starship second stage that has been flown once before occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6770/first-reuse-of-a-starship-upper-stage/	0
1039	1058	When will a first-class Royal Mail stamp cost at least £1?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5823/date-first-class-royal-mail-stamps-costs-1/	0
1040	1059	Will there be a US-Russia war by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7452/will-there-be-a-us-russia-war-by-2050/	0
1041	1060	What will global direct primary energy consumption be in 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6629/global-energy-consumption-in-2100/	0
1042	1061	Will the text of the Voynich manuscript be successfully translated by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2751/will-the-text-of-the-voynich-manuscript-be-successfully-translated-by-2050/	0
1043	1062	Maximum price of Bitcoin in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6666/maximum-price-of-bitcoin-in-2021/	0
1044	1063	Will AOC be the Democratic presidential nominee in any of the next three election cycles?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5252/aoc-for-president/	0
1045	1064	Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3330/will-any-person-that-has-been-cryopreserved-for-more-than-1-year-be-resuscitated-or-emulated-before-2200/	0
1046	1065	As of July 1st, 2022, when will top forecasters expect the first Artificial General Intelligence to be developed and demonstrated?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4815/as-of-july-1st-2022-when-will-top-forecasters-expect-the-first-artificial-general-intelligence-to-be-developed-and-demonstrated/	0
1047	1066	LRT 2.2: As of Monday, April 27th how many total cumulative SARS-CoV-2 infections (including all symptomatic, subclinical, and asymptomatic infections) have there been in the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4251/lrt-22-as-of-monday-april-27th-how-many-total-cumulative-sars-cov-2-infections-including-all-symptomatic-subclinical-and-asymptomatic-infections-have-there-been-in-the-us/	0
1048	1067	Will Stripe reach a valuation of $1 trillion before 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5423/stripe-reaches-1tr-valuation-before-2027/	0
1049	1068	If you fall and can't get up, when will there be a friendly computer looking on to notice your predicament?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/548/if-you-fall-and-cant-get-up-when-will-there-be-a-friendly-computer-to-hear-you/	0
1050	1069	How many consecutive Presidents of the United States will there be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6175/number-of-united-states-presidents/	0
1051	1070	Will an oracle superintelligence be developed before a general superintelligence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3683/will-an-oracle-superintelligence-be-developed-before-a-general-superintelligence/	0
1052	1071	How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6525/cv-publications-2021-02-14-to-2023-02-14/	0
1053	1072	How many publicly traded U.S.- or EU-based plant-based meat producers will be valued at $1bn or more on October 4th, 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3120/how-many-publicly-traded-us-or-eu-based-plant-based-meat-producers-will-be-valued-at-1bn-or-more-on-october-4th-2023/	0
1054	1073	How many years before (or after) AGI is developed, will the world real GDP be 25% higher than every previous year for the first time?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7018/agi-before-or-after-gwp-growth-rate-of-25/	0
1055	1074	What will be Top500's #1 performing supercomputer as a multiple of the #500 performer in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1492/what-will-be-top500s-1-performing-supercomputer-as-a-multiple-of-the-500-performer-in-2030/	0
1056	1075	If the federal minimum wage is $15 or greater at the end of 2024, what will the average employment-to-population ratio be in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6626/minimum-wage-impact-on-employment-15/	0
1057	1076	When will 5,000 companies worldwide pledge to remove cages from their egg supply chains?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3381/when-will-5000-companies-worldwide-pledge-to-remove-cages-from-their-egg-supply-chains/	0
1058	1077	When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5303/metaculus-users-self-driving-taxis/	0
1059	1078	Will any state impose a state-wide soda tax by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1043/will-any-state-impose-a-state-wide-soda-tax-by-2025/	0
1060	1079	When will the first human mission to Venus take place?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6703/date-of-first-human-visit-to-venus/	0
1061	1080	What will be the largest real Gross World Product for the period 2020 through 1000002200, in trillions of 2020 US$?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7662/largest-gwp-in-the-next-billion-years/	0
1062	1081	Will Israel hold a second national election for Knesset in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6920/will-israel-hold-a-second-election-in-2021/	0
1063	1082	Will the U.S. Affordable Care Act be expanded to include a public option before the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5915/will-us-aca-have-public-option-in-2021/	0
1064	1083	Will Italy leave the Eurozone before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4121/will-italy-leave-the-eurozone-before-2023/	0
1065	1084	Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6352/insurrection-act-invoked-before-2025/	0
1066	1085	Will there be active warfare between the United States and China by the end of 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4922/will-there-be-active-warfare-between-the-united-states-and-china-by-the-end-of-2026/	0
1067	1086	Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7412/hemp-attack-before-2024/	0
1068	1087	When will a Nobel Prize be awarded for COVID19-related accomplishments?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7032/awards-for-contributions-related-to-covid19/	0
1069	1088	What fraction of High Impact Athletes pledge-takers will maintain it through the end of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6005/fraction-of-hia-pledges-still-active-in-2024/	0
1070	1089	What will the China-to-USA GDP ratio be in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5755/china-to-usa-gdp-ratio-in-2050/	0
1071	1090	Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4061/will-any-major-ai-company-commit-to-an-ai-windfall-clause-by-2025/	0
1072	1091	What is the %reduction in the secondary transmission of Delta from infected vaccinated individuals compared to infected unvaccinated individuals, according to the mean of the first 3 relevant studies?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7638/-reduction-in-deltas-secondary-transmission/	0
1073	1092	What will be the cost of negative emissions sold by Project Vesta in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4858/what-will-be-the-cost-of-negative-emissions-sold-by-project-vesta-in-2030/	0
1074	1093	When will the number of US oil rigs exceed 1000?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6144/when-will-us-oil-rigs--1000/	0
1075	1094	Will detection of phosphine in Venus atmosphere be independently reproduced by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5509/detection-of-phosphine-in-venus-atmosphere/	0
1076	1095	Will online poker die by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5875/online-poker-dead-by-2030/	0
1077	1096	When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5525/ivf-based-embryo-selection-for-intelligence/	0
1078	1097	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 deaths?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7126/monthly-peak-in-new-virginia-covid-deaths/	0
1079	1098	Will lepton universality be falsified before 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6948/the-death-of-lepton-universality/	0
1080	1099	A breakthrough in accurately predicting protein structure before 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1651/a-breakthrough-in-accurately-predicting-protein-structure-before-2031/	0
1081	1100	How many people will be estimated to have died of famine in Yemen before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2523/how-many-people-will-be-estimated-to-have-died-of-famine-in-yemen-before-2022/	0
1082	1101	When will /r/themotte be banned from Reddit?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4881/when-will-rthemotte-be-banned-from-reddit/	0
1083	1102	What will the UK's Index of Economic Freedom score be for 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6121/uk-index-of-economic-freedom-score-2025/	0
1084	1103	When will the number of functional artificial satellites in orbit exceed 5,000?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6662/date-earth-functional-satellites-exceed-5000/	0
1085	1104	Will there be at least 1,000 Ebola deaths in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6557/1000-ebola-deaths-in-2021/	0
1086	1105	Will a cryptocurrency be created using a quantum random number generator by 2036?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7437/quantum-random-number-cryptocurrency/	0
1087	1106	Will there be adversarial use of consumer genomic data before 1/1/2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6479/adversarial-use-of-consumer-genomics-by-2030/	0
1088	1107	Will a new land speed record be set by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3117/will-a-new-land-speed-record-be-set-by-2025/	0
1089	1108	A S&P500 tech boom to surpass the dotcom bubble for one quarter or more before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2645/tech-boom-beyond-dotcom-bubble-before-2025/	0
1090	1109	Will oil consumption over the 2020-2025 period be lower than in 2019?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4633/oil-consumption-rebounds-no-sooner-than-2026/	0
1091	1110	Hutter prize: when will a compression method achieve 1 bit-per-character on a 100MB sample of Wikipedia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/487/hutter-prize-when-will-a-compression-method-achieve-1-bit-per-character-on-a-100mb-sample-of-wikipedia/	0
1092	1111	Will there turn out to be widespread fossils of algae and lichens on Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3870/will-there-turn-out-to-be-widespread-fossils-of-algae-and-lichens-on-mars/	0
1093	1112	When will a generative model produce a realistic 2-minute video, at a 256 × 256 resolution or better?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3056/when-will-a-generative-model-produce-a-realistic-2-minute-video-at-a-256--256-resolution-or-better/	0
1094	1113	Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will MDMA be approved for the treatment of PTSD by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1384/qualia-research-institute-question-series-will-mdma-be-approved-for-the-treatment-of-ptsd-by-2025/	0
1095	1114	When will a human with no biological feet run 100 meters in less than 9.572 seconds?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4986/when-will-a-human-with-no-biological-feet-run-100-meters-in-less-than-9572-seconds/	0
1096	1115	Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the United States Food and Drug Administration before January 1 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1621/will-a-senolytic-therapy-be-approved-for-commercial-sale-by-the-united-states-food-and-drug-administration-before-january-1-2030/	0
1097	1116	On November 2021, will >20% of Americans believe the 2020 election was rigged?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5848/election-fraud-myth-persists/	0
1098	1117	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-10-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6674/vaccine-doses-administered-in-eu-by-october/	0
1099	1118	When will be the first successful launch of a Starship second stage that has been flown once before? (Continued)	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7226/first-reuse-of-a-starship-upper-stage/	0
1100	1119	Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6721/successful-seasteading-by-2035/	0
1101	1120	Will James Bedford be revived or emulated before 2200?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3332/will-james-bedford-be-revived-or-emulated-before-2200/	0
1102	1121	What will the US Q3 2021 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7374/us-gdp-growth-q3-2021/	0
1103	1122	When will humanity use more than one millionth of the sun's energy output?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3882/when-will-humanity-use-more-than-one-millionth-of-the-suns-energy-output/	0
1104	1123	Will a state actor conduct an ASAT test that results in space debris between 2021 - 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7644/asat-weapons-tests-and-space-debris-by-2023/	0
1105	1124	When will any country have a life expectancy at birth for both sexes of at least 100 years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3044/when-will-any-country-have-a-life-expectancy-at-birth-for-both-sexes-of-at-least-100-years/	0
1106	1125	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Global Health and Development in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7425/open-phil-global-health-grants-2025/	0
1107	1126	Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity (if it is ever achieved)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4788/will-artificial-superintelligence-precede-the-achievement-of-longevity-escape-velocity-if-it-is-ever-achieved/	0
1108	1127	How high will the U.S.' total dependency ratio be in 2039?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7432/united-states-future-age-structure/	0
1109	1128	If the federal minimum wage is greater than $10 and less than $15, what will the average employment-to-population ratio be in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6627/minimum-wage-impact-on-employment-10-15/	0
1110	1129	When will the first YouTube star – famous FIRST because of YouTube stardom – be elected to Congress?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1446/when-will-the-first-youtube-star--famous-first-because-of-youtube-stardom--be-elected-to-congress/	0
1111	1130	What will the total deal value be of all the US PE deals in billions of US$, in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5992/total-us-private-equity-deals-2021/	0
1112	1131	How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2031-01-01 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5961/reinforcement-learning-2021-01-01-2031-01-01/	0
1113	1132	Will more than two nuclear weapons in total have been detonated as an act of war by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4779/will-more-than-two-nuclear-weapons-in-total-have-been-detonated-as-an-act-of-war-by-2050/	0
1114	1133	Will the price of Bitcoin fall below $10 before 2121?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7207/bitcoin-to-fall-to-near-zero-by-2121/	0
1115	1134	How much will an UberX tour of Europe cost in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2792/how-much-will-an-uberx-tour-of-europe-cost-in-2024/	0
1116	1135	When will a supermarket sell a product made of ≥80% clean meat, for $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3088/when-will-a-supermarket-sell-a-product-made-of-80-clean-meat-for-3-per-100-grams-or-cheaper/	0
1117	1136	Will more than 4,500 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired from Palestine at Israel in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7224/israel-palestine-crisis-2021--q5/	0
1118	1137	Tesla's 2025 vehicle production?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6601/2025-tesla-vehicles-produced/	0
1119	1139	Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/736/will-there-be-a-complete-4-year-interval-in-which-world-output-doubles-before-the-first-1-year-interval-in-which-world-output-doubles/	0
1120	1140	Will Tether collapse by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6656/tether-in-2021/	0
1121	1141	Will BitMEX default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7238/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-bitmex/	0
1122	1142	Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/490/will-the-2022-fifa-world-cup-go-ahead-in-qatar/	0
1123	1143	How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2776/how-much-will-givewell-guess-it-will-cost-to-get-an-outcome-as-good-as-saving-a-life-at-the-end-of-2021/	0
1124	1144	Will any of the nonprofits incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship become a future ACE top or standout charity by Jan 1, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6020/charity-entrepreneurship-to-birth-top-ace-ngo/	0
1125	1145	Will humanity maintain a continuous off-Earth presence until 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3385/will-humanity-maintain-a-continuous-off-earth-presence-until-2050/	0
1126	1146	What will the age-adjusted mortality rate be in England and Wales in 2051?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7070/age-adjusted-mortality-rate-in-uk-in-2051/	0
1127	1147	What will be the global average cost for a solar PV module in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6147/global-cost-of-a-solar-pv-module-in-2021/	0
1128	1148	Will life on Venus be confirmed before 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5255/life-on-venus/	0
1129	1149	Will transformer derived architectures still be state of the art for language modeling in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4892/will-transformer-derived-architectures-still-be-state-of-the-art-for-language-modeling-in-2025/	0
1130	1150	What will the Harvard admit rate be for the undergraduate class of 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3622/what-will-the-harvard-admit-rate-be-for-the-undergraduate-class-of-2029/	0
1131	1151	By 2025 will someone be able to hold his/her breath for 30+ minutes?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/684/by-2025-will-someone-be-able-to-hold-hisher-breath-for-30-minutes/	0
1132	1152	How many billions of broiler-type chicks will hatch in the U.S., on average per year, over the 2022-2024 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3248/how-many-billions-of-broiler-type-chicks-will-hatch-in-the-us-on-average-per-year-over-the-2022-2024-period/	0
1133	1153	When will the first organ from a non-primate be successfully transplanted into a human?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3052/when-will-the-first-organ-from-a-non-primate-be-successfully-transplanted-into-a-human/	0
1134	1154	How many members will Giving What We Can have on its 20th anniversary?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3342/how-many-members-will-giving-what-we-can-have-on-its-20th-anniversary/	0
1135	1155	When will Nate Silver release his 2nd book?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7012/release-date-of-nate-silvers-2nd-book/	0
1136	1156	Will the use of whips be banned on or before the 2026 Melbourne Cup thoroughbred horse race?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6462/whip-ban-by-2026-melbourne-cup/	0
1137	1157	How many billions of poultry will be slaughtered worldwide, in the calendar year 2030, according to FAO estimates?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3325/how-many-billions-of-poultry-will-be-slaughtered-worldwide-in-the-calendar-year-2030-according-to-fao-estimates/	0
1138	1158	How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions change from December 2020 to February 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6541/change-in-degree-of-automation-2020-2023/	0
1139	1160	What fraction of babies born in the US in 2029 will have been conceived in vitro?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3290/what-fraction-of-babies-born-in-the-us-in-2029-will-have-been-conceived-in-vitro/	0
1140	1161	How much will it cost to deliver a 1kg payload to the Surface of Mars in 2075?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7107/cost-to-deliver-1kg-to-mars-in-2075/	0
1141	1162	How much concern about climate change will exist in 2025, according to Google Trends?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1705/how-much-concern-about-climate-change-will-exist-in-2025-according-to-google-trends/	0
1142	1163	When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥20% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3081/when-will-a-restaurant-first-serve-clean-meat-products-containing-20-clean-meat-at-3-per-100-grams-or-cheaper/	0
1143	1164	Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7565/recurring-lockdowns-during-2030-2050/	0
1144	1165	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Biosecurity and Pandemic Preparedness in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7427/open-phil-bio-grants-2030/	0
1145	1166	When will the first person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or uploaded?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3331/when-will-the-first-person-that-has-been-cryopreserved-for-more-than-1-year-be-resuscitated-or-uploaded/	0
1146	1167	Will George Hotz's proposed AI chip company release a consumer product by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7442/geohot-ai-chip-released-to-consumers/	0
1147	1168	When will commercial supersonic flight return?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/969/when-will-commercial-supersonic-flight-return/	0
1148	1169	Efficacy confirmation of a new Alzheimer's treatment protocol?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/477/efficacy-confirmation-of-a-new-alzheimers-treatment-protocol/	0
1149	1170	Will restaurant reservations and consumer spending outside the home go back to normal in the US in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6790/return-to-baseline-us-consumer-spending-2021/	0
1150	1171	What will be the longest uninterrupted stay in deep space at the end of 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6695/the-longest-stay-in-deep-space-by-2051/	0
1151	1172	What will Australia's net greenhouse gas emissions be in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7093/australias-greenhouse-gas-emissions-in-2050/	0
1152	1173	What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3103/what-will-the-lowest-retail-price-in-usd-per-kg-of-any-product-containing-50-clean-meat-be-in-the-calendar-year-2026/	0
1153	1174	Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated by start of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2797/will-no-non-test-nuclear-weapons-be-detonated-by-start-of-2024/	0
1154	1175	What will Bitcoin's hash rate be in November 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6524/btc-hash-rate-november-2022/	0
1155	1176	Will Xi Jinping keep leading China past 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1468/will-xi-jinping-keep-leading-china-past-2022/	0
1156	1177	Will there be a prominent platform for facilitating dominant assurance contracts before 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6723/dominant-assurance-contract-venture-by-2035/	0
1157	1178	How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is between $8 and $20 per kg?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3115/how-many-commercial-cattle-in-millions-will-be-slaughtered-in-the-us-in-2032-if-the-lowest-retail-price-of-clean-meat-in-2026-is-between-8-and-20-per-kg/	0
1158	1179	What proportion of offensive nuclear weapon detonations by Russia by 2050 will be countervalue, if any detonation by Russia occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7456/countervalue-detonations-by-russia-by-2050/	0
1159	1180	Will Metaculus release a dedicated mobile app before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2598/metaculus-web-app-by-2024/	0
1160	1181	Will global trade as a percentage of GWP exceed 61% by 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7231/global-trade-exceeds-61-of-gwp-by-2026/	0
1161	1182	How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5839/drugs-approved-by-fda-in-2021/	0
1162	1183	How much forest coverage loss will occur in Brazil over the three-year period starting from 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3452/how-much-forest-coverage-loss-will-occur-in-brazil-over-the-three-year-period-starting-from-2020/	0
1163	1184	Will wildfires destroy a total exceeding 10Mha of global tree cover in any year, by the end of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3042/will-wildfires-destroy-a-total-exceeding-10mha-of-global-tree-cover-in-any-year-by-the-end-of-2030/	0
1164	1185	Will there be at least 200 companies developing technologies to defeat aging by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3460/will-there-be-at-least-200-companies-developing-technologies-to-defeat-aging-by-2025/	0
1165	1186	Will a Nobel Prize for Economic Science be awarded for MMT before 2041-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6028/nobel-prize-for-mmt-by-2041/	0
1166	1187	Will PsiQuantum have a commercial quantum computer by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7434/psiquantum-computer-by-2025/	0
1167	1188	When will the Doomsday Clock reach midnight?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3522/when-will-the-doomsday-clock-reach-midnight/	0
1168	1189	Will a non-test nuclear detonation by a non-state actor cause at least one fatality by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7406/fatal-non-state-nuclear-detonation-by-2030/	0
1169	1190	Will Netanyahu be convicted by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5914/will-netanyahu-be-convicted-by-2022/	0
1170	1191	Will a Metaculus user report from space before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2561/will-a-metaculus-user-report-from-space-before-2050/	0
1171	1192	Will cost-adjusted IT technology be worse than it was 8 years (32 quarters) ago in at least one quarter prior to 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/968/will-cost-adjusted-it-technology-be-worse-than-it-was-8-years-32-quarters-ago-in-at-least-one-quarter-prior-to-2030/	0
1172	1193	Will wheat be successfully de-allergenized by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7040/wheat-successfully-de-allergenized-by-2030/	0
1173	1194	What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6585/it-as--of-gdp-in-q3-2030/	0
1174	1195	What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will be based in the United States in the November 2026 publication of TOP500 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6233/us-share-of-world-supercompute-june-2026/	0
1175	1197	At the end of 2023, will Animal Charity Evaluators recommend a charity working on reducing wild animal suffering as a top charity?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2783/at-the-end-of-2023-will-animal-charity-evaluators-recommend-a-charity-working-on-reducing-wild-animal-suffering-as-a-top-charity/	0
1176	1198	Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2621/will-the-us-set-a-new-annual-gdp-growth-rate-record-high-before-2030/	0
1177	1199	Will US Non-Overseas Contingency operations military deaths exceed 3000 in any calendar year before (and including) 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3124/will-us-non-overseas-contingency-operations-military-deaths-exceed-3000-in-any-calendar-year-before-and-including-2031/	0
1178	1200	Fuel cells vs batteries in 2030's vehicles	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/552/fcevs-vs-bevs-what-percentage-of-the-global-electric-transportation-market-excluding-gasoline-hybrids-will-hydrogen-fuel-cell-electric-vehicles-fcevs-be-in-annual-sales-revenues-in-2030/	0
1179	1201	When will the first company list on the Long-Term Stock Exchange?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7141/first-company-on-the-long-term-stock-exchange/	0
1180	1202	Before the end of 2024 will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3682/health-agencies-to-claim-lab-escape-by-25/	0
1181	1203	Will Parker Solar Probe survive its 24 loops around the sun while getting just a few million miles away from the surface of our star?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1402/will-parker-solar-probe-survive-its-24-loops-around-the-sun-while-getting-just-a-few-million-miles-away-from-the-surface-of-our-star/	0
1182	1204	Will the People's Republic of China have ever annexed at least half of Taiwan by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5320/chinese-annexation-of-most-of-taiwan-by-2050/	0
1183	1205	When will alien technosignatures be detected for the first time?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5858/when-will-alien-technosignatures-be-detected/	0
1184	1206	Will there be a global thermonuclear war by 2070?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3517/will-there-be-a-global-thermonuclear-war-by-2070/	0
1185	1207	Will the next non-test detonation of a state’s nuclear weapon be immediately preceded by conventional conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7408/next-nuclear-detonation-after-conflict/	0
1186	1208	Will US life expectancy at birth for both sexes fall below 75 years before 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4616/will-us-life-expectancy-at-birth-for-both-sexes-fall-below-75-years-before-2040/	0
1187	1209	On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average proportion of those polled who approve of Biden's presidency exceed 50.0%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6636/biden-eoy-approval-rating-to-exceed-500/	0
1188	1210	What will SpaceX be worth by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3366/what-will-spacex-be-worth-by-2030/	0
1189	1211	How many millions of pigs will be slaughtered worldwide, in the calendar year 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3414/how-many-millions-of-pigs-will-be-slaughtered-worldwide-in-the-calendar-year-2030/	0
1190	1212	How many scheduled airline passengers in 2021 will verify their COVID-19 health statuses with IATA Travel Passes?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6029/flights-on-iata-vaccine-passports-in-2021/	0
1191	1213	On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average of polls indicate that Joe Biden has a higher approval than disapproval rating?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6635/bidens-approval-to-exceed-disapproval-rating/	0
1192	1214	Will the Harvard endowment be larger in 2119 than in 2019?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4349/will-the-harvard-endowment-be-larger-in-2119-than-in-2019/	0
1193	1215	What will the global average Democracy Index score be for 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6100/average-democracy-index-score-in-2021/	0
1194	1216	When will image recognition be made robust against unrestricted adversary?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2644/when-will-image-recognition-be-made-robust-against-unrestricted-adversary/	0
1195	1217	Will starlink conduct an IPO before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6618/starlink-ipo-before-2030/	0
1196	1218	When will the first clean meat company be valued at ≥ $1bn?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3060/when-will-the-first-clean-meat-company-be-valued-at--1bn/	0
1197	1219	What will the percentage of the world population in $1.90-a-day poverty be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4851/what-will-the-percentage-of-the-world-population-in-190-a-day-poverty-be-in-2030/	0
1198	1220	When will a country adopt Universal Basic Income?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6818/date-any-country-adopts-ubi/	0
1199	1221	Will Huobi default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7239/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-huobi/	0
1200	1222	How much will the total U.S. plant-based milk market be worth in the year ending in April 2023, in millions of USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3107/how-much-will-the-total-us-plant-based-milk-market-be-worth-in-the-year-ending-in-april-2023-in-millions-of-usd/	0
1201	1223	How long will the Great Pyramids be recognizable?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1056/how-long-will-the-great-pyramids-be-recognizable/	0
1202	1224	Will no CRISPR-edited babies be born in the year 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3481/will-no-crispr-edited-babies-be-born-in-the-year-2020/	0
1203	1225	Will an Australian Federal Election be held in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6444/australian-federal-election-2021/	0
1204	1226	Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on 2023-01-02?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6359/bolsonaro-president-of-brazil-in-2023/	0
1205	1227	When the first company reaches a $10 trillion market cap, will it be worth at least double what it was the year before?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2898/when-the-first-company-reaches-a-10-trillion-market-cap-will-it-be-worth-at-least-double-what-it-was-the-year-before/	0
1206	1228	When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4921/when-will-charity-entrepreneurship-help-create-a-new-givewell-top-charity/	0
1207	1229	Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1585/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-nuclear-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-reduce-the-human-population-by-95-or-more/	0
1208	1230	When will an AI defeat one of the top-10 StarCraft 2 players?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3272/date-ai-defeats-top-10-starcraft-2-players/	0
1209	1232	What will the peak population of Antarctica be by 2075?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3999/what-will-the-peak-population-of-antarctica-be-by-2075/	0
1210	1233	When will there be a vegan cheese indistinguishable from non-vegan cheese available for purchase by regular consumers?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4249/when-will-there-be-a-vegan-cheese-indistinguishable-from-non-vegan-cheese-available-for-purchase-by-regular-consumers/	0
1211	1234	What will real Gross World Product be in 2200, in trillions of 2020 US$?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7498/gwp-in-2200-in-trillions-of-us/	0
1212	1235	How many seats will be on the Supreme Court of the United States in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5531/us-supreme-court-members-in-2030/	0
1213	1236	Will the key to any pre-2020 WikiLeaks insurance file be publicly available by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3749/will-the-key-to-any-pre-2020-wikileaks-insurance-file-be-publicly-available-by-2030/	0
1214	1237	When will government guidance allow indoor parties of any 100 people in England?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6170/indoor-party-of-100-people-in-england/	0
1215	1238	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7327/open-phil-donations-2030/	0
1216	1239	Will we reach the island of stability by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/658/will-we-reach-the-island-of-stability-by-2050/	0
1217	1240	What will be the differential in sales between the most-sold and second most-sold consumer electric vehicles in America in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5560/difference-in-top-ev-model-sales-2021/	0
1218	1241	With an international nuclear weapons ban in place, will a country that has nuclear weapons actually give them up by 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/492/with-an-international-nuclear-weapons-ban-in-place-will-at-least-one-nuclear-state-actually-give-them-up-by-2035/	0
1219	1242	When will the last US casino close?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6893/date-when-the-last-us-casino-will-close/	0
1220	1243	How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6125/quality-of-retinal-implants-in-2030/	0
1221	1244	Will NASA land people on Mars prior to 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1476/will-nasa-land-people-on-mars-prior-to-2030/	0
1222	1246	Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1469/will-we-know-what-dark-matter-is-before-2050/	0
1223	1247	What will the maximum z-score be for Denmark for observed deaths in 2020-2021 according to Euromomo?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5638/max-excess-death-score-for-denmark-2020-2021/	0
1224	1248	Will Substack be valued at 1B+ before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6421/substack-to-become-unicorn/	0
1225	1249	Will Jannik Sinner be the first man born in the 2000s to win a slam in Tennis?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6887/jannik-sinner-first-gen-x-slam-winner/	0
1226	1250	Resolution of the Density Conjecture for Newton's N-body problem	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/523/resolution-to-the-proximity-conjecture-for-dynamical-systems/	0
1227	1251	Will the World Series of Poker return to a live in-person format in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5138/will-the-world-series-of-poker-return-to-a-live-in-person-format-in-2021/	0
1228	1252	If Donald J. Trump is indicted on criminal charges before 2030, when will the first such indictment happen?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6549/when-will-trump-be-criminally-charged/	0
1229	1253	Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3834/will-any-conclusive-evidence-for-extraterrestrial-life-past-or-present-be-discovered-within-our-solar-system-by-2050/	0
1230	1254	What will be the first year when world real GDP exceeds 130% of all prior years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5159/when-will-economic-growth-accelerate/	0
1231	1255	Will Mars have a permanent population of 10,000 before the Moon does?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3112/will-mars-have-a-permanent-population-of-10000-before-the-moon-does/	0
1232	1256	If tested, would the most powerful quesion-answering AI system as of 2022-06-01 demonstrate text-based intelligence parity with human 5th graders?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5120/if-tested-would-the-most-powerful-quesion-answering-ai-system-as-of-2022-06-01-demonstrate-text-based-intelligence-parity-with-human-5th-graders/	0
1233	1257	When will the next interstellar object be discovered?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6225/next-interstellar-object/	0
1234	1258	Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6889/serena-williams-wins-grand-slam/	0
1235	1259	When will Beyond Chicken be available from a Grocery Store?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3596/when-will-beyond-chicken-be-available-from-a-grocery-store/	0
1236	1260	Drake's Equation 2nd parameter f_p: What fraction of stars form planets?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1338/drakes-equation-2nd-parameter-f_p/	0
1237	1261	When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5681/when-will-us-ev-sales-overtake-ice-sales/	0
1238	1262	What fraction of hospitalised COVID-19 patients will still experience symptoms after 12 months?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6589/long-covid-post-hospitalisation/	0
1239	1263	Will Norway leave EEA before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6108/norway-eea-membership-2025/	0
1240	1264	What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, at 2022-01-14 in accuracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6191/sota-on-miniimagenet-at-2022-01-14/	0
1241	1265	Will Alex Jones ever hold high Federal office in the United States before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1638/will-alex-jones-ever-hold-high-federal-office-in-the-united-states-before-2030/	0
1242	1266	When will SpaceX Starlink internet be generally available?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5035/when-will-spacex-starlink-internet-be-generally-available/	0
1243	1267	Microwave disruption of COVID-19 virus particles?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4994/microwave-disruption-of-covid-19-virus-particles/	0
1244	1268	Will a new variant of SARS-COV-2 that, due to a mutation, can infect people who had immunity to a previous variant, cause more than 10M infections globally by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5749/covid-19-strain-that-circumvents-the-immunity/	0
1245	1269	How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6245/few-shot-learning-2021-01-14-to-2022-01-14/	0
1246	1270	When will the US unemployment rate fall to 4% or lower for the first time since the COVID-19 crisis of 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4017/when-will-the-us-unemployment-rate-fall-to-4-or-lower-for-the-first-time-since-the-covid-19-crisis-of-2020/	0
1247	1271	How many people will take the EA survey in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7317/ea-survey-responses-2025/	0
1248	1272	When will Bryan Caplan first announce that he lost a bet?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5695/when-will-bryan-caplan-lose-a-bet/	0
1249	1273	Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/804/1000th-binary-question-resolution-is-positive/	0
1250	1274	What will the U.S. market for plant-based meat be worth in the year ending in April 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3091/what-will-the-us-market-for-plant-based-meat-be-worth-in-the-year-ending-in-april-2023/	0
1251	1275	Will Soylent-like meal replacements be labeled unhealthy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6967/soylent-and-health/	0
1252	1276	When will there be a day on which no one in the UK dies with COVID-19?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6257/first-day-with-no-uk-covid-19-deaths/	0
1253	1277	Will India's GDP grow in all first three quarters of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6316/india-gdp-growth-in-q1-q3-2021/	0
1254	1278	Will Metaculus anticipate the biggest unforeseen trend of the 2020s?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4883/will-metaculus-anticipate-the-biggest-unforeseen-trend-of-the-2020s/	0
1255	1279	What will be the ratio of Biden's to Trump's US Google search volumes in the third quarter of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7389/biden--trump-us-google-search-ratio-q3-2022/	0
1256	1280	What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be on 2023-02-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6567/sota-on-squad20-2023-02-14/	0
1257	1281	When will an AI pass the laugh test?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3020/when-will-an-ai-pass-the-laugh-test/	0
1258	1282	When will the last member of our species, homo sapiens, be born?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1088/when-will-the-last-member-of-our-species-homo-sapiens-be-born/	0
1259	1283	When will L4 autonomous vehicles be commercially available?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3771/when-will-l4-autonomous-vehicles-be-commercially-available/	0
1260	1284	When will Tesla self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5304/widely-available-tesla-self-driving-taxi/	0
1261	1285	Will there be an breakaway European Soccer League match before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7072/breakaway-soccer-league-by-2030/	0
1262	1286	When will the COVID-19 epidemic subside in Russia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4737/when-will-the-covid-19-epidemic-subside-in-russia/	0
1263	1287	Will alien technosignatures be detected before 1 January 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1629/will-alien-technosignatures-be-detected-before-1-january-2050/	0
1264	1288	In how many years will humanity's descendants meet grabby aliens?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6633/when-will-we-meet-grabby-aliens/	0
1265	1289	How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions change from December 2020 to December 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6236/change-in-degree-of-automation-20-to-26/	0
1266	1290	What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be at 2022-01-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6227/sota-segmentation-cityscapes-2022-01-14/	0
1267	1291	Will a mouse be confirmed to have lived for 2,500 days before 1 January 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1624/will-a-mouse-be-confirmed-to-have-lived-for-2500-days-before-1-january-2035/	0
1268	1292	If DNA alterations continue to require approval by default, when will the FDA find at least ten genetically edited animals as safe to eat?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3201/if-dna-alterations-continue-to-require-approval-by-default-when-will-the-fda-find-at-least-ten-genetically-edited-animals-as-safe-to-eat/	0
1269	1293	Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5313/planet-nine-discovery-by-before-2030/	0
1270	1294	What will the highest score be, on Atari 2600 Montezuma's Revenge, by any ML model that is un-augmented with domain knowledge on 2022-01-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6230/sota-montezumas-revenge-2022-01-14/	0
1271	1295	What will be the cumulative number of deaths in the US due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7161/cumulative-us-covid-deaths-by-end-of-2021/	0
1272	1296	Will the next US presidential election also be considered fraudulent by the losing party?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5882/2024-us-election-considered-fraudulent/	0
1273	1297	Will there be armed conflict between racial groups in South Africa before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/919/will-there-be-armed-conflict-between-racial-groups-in-south-africa-before-2023/	0
1274	1298	What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based meats be in the U.S. be in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7062/total-us-sales-of-plant-based-meats-in-2022/	0
1275	1299	What’s the CAGR in the stock of EVs globally over the 2020-22 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5575/cagr-of-global-ev-stock-2020-22/	0
1276	1300	When will the James Webb Space Telescope be launched?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3033/when-will-the-james-webb-space-telescope-be-launched/	0
1277	1301	Will a single novel SARS-CoV-2 variant that is at least 30% more transmissible than preexisting variants infect 10M worldwide before mid-2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6031/more-transmissible-variant-to-infect-10m/	0
1278	1302	If a language model is trained with 5x more compute than GPT-3 by the end of 2022, will it be public to end users?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6980/gpt-4-or-similar-public-by-end-of-2022/	0
1279	1303	Will there be a full year with no open stock exchanges in the US by 2120?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7333/no-us-stock-exchange-for-1-year-by-2120/	0
1280	1304	The End of NAFTA?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/573/the-end-of-nafta/	0
1281	1305	When will most eggs produced in the USA be sexed before hatching?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3326/when-will-most-eggs-produced-in-the-usa-be-sexed-before-hatching/	0
1282	1306	Will any sovereign government issue a formal apology for their treatment of farm animals by 2200?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3772/will-any-sovereign-government-issue-a-formal-apology-for-their-treatment-of-farm-animals-by-2200/	0
1283	1307	What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2022-01-14 in top-1 accuracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6183/sota-imagenet-2022-01-14/	0
1284	1308	What will be net migration to the United Kingdom in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5921/net-migration-to-uk-in-2021/	0
1285	1309	Will lossless compression fail to be accepted as a macrosociology model selection criterion?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3215/will-lossless-compression-fail-to-be-accepted-as-a-macrosociology-model-selection-criterion/	0
1286	1310	Will the Riemann Hypothesis be proved true, if it is proved by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6365/riemann-h-proved-true-if-settled-by-2100/	0
1287	1312	When will the Indian Neutrino Observatory (INO) definitely spot its first neutrino(s)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1054/when-will-the-indian-neutrino-observatory-ino-definitely-spot-its-first-neutrinos/	0
1288	1313	Will the United States continue to be among the 20 countries with the largest deterioration in state stability over the 2019-2029 period, according to the Fragile States Index?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3125/will-the-united-states-continue-to-be-among-the-20-countries-with-the-largest-deterioration-in-state-stability-over-the-2019-2029-period-according-to-the-fragile-states-index/	0
1289	1314	What will the the sum of the level of performance (in exaFLOPS) of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be according to their November 2021 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6232/total-compute-top500-supercomputers-nov-21/	0
1290	1315	Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/569/solar-storm-shield-begun-by-2025/	0
1291	1316	Will the subreddit /r/wallstreetbets be banned before Jan 1st, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6425/the-future-of-wallstreetbets/	0
1292	1317	If the UK leaves the EU, will there be a resurgence of the Troubles between Ireland and Northern Ireland?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2586/if-the-uk-leaves-the-eu-will-there-be-a-resurgence-of-the-troubles-between-ireland-and-northern-ireland/	0
1293	1318	By 2025, will laws be in place requiring that AI systems that emulate humans must reveal to people that they are AI?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2788/by-2025-will-laws-be-in-place-requiring-that-ai-systems-that-emulate-humans-must-reveal-to-people-that-they-are-ai/	0
1294	1319	How long would humanity take to rebound from a global catastrophe?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4511/how-long-would-humanity-take-to-rebound-from-a-global-catastrophe/	0
1295	1320	How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6526/nlp-e-prints-2021-02-14-to-2023-02-14/	0
1296	1321	What will be the real world GDP on the year AGI is deployed, in trillions of dollars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4215/what-will-be-the-real-world-gdp-on-the-year-agi-is-deployed-in-trillions-of-dollars/	0
1297	1322	Will the eventual consensus explanation of star KIC 8462852 variability be an intervening molecular cloud?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1497/will-the-eventual-consensus-explanation-of-star-kic-8462852-variability-be-an-intervening-molecular-cloud/	0
1298	1323	Will a human made spaceship enter the Venusian atmosphere before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/686/will-a-human-made-spaceship-enter-the-venusian-atmosphere-before-2030/	0
1299	1324	In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to cause prioritization?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6975/2025-donations-to-cause-prioritization/	0
1300	1325	What will be the largest cultivated meat product production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single production facility be, by January 1st, 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7036/cultivated-meat-production-capacity-2023/	0
1301	1326	What will be the sentiment of Metaculus users with regard to self-resolving questions at the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4057/what-will-be-the-sentiment-of-metaculus-users-with-regard-to-self-resolving-questions-at-the-end-of-2022/	0
1302	1327	Will Elon Musk (eventually) lose his appeal?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1079/will-elon-musk-eventually-lose-his-appeal/	0
1303	1328	When will the 10,000th human reach space?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1659/when-will-the-10000th-human-reach-space/	0
1304	1329	When will two or more supermarkets sell products made of ≥20% clean fish in their physical retail stores in at least 25 U.S. states?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3447/when-will-two-or-more-supermarkets-sell-products-made-of-20-clean-fish-in-their-physical-retail-stores-in-at-least-25-us-states/	0
1305	1330	Will at least one US state secede from the Union before 31 December, 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4678/will-at-least-one-us-state-secede-from-the-union-before-31-december-2030/	0
1306	1331	Will Alcor offer the use of a fixative during cryopreservation procedures before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4051/will-alcor-offer-the-use-of-a-fixative-during-cryopreservation-procedures-before-2030/	0
1307	1332	Will Washington state’s Department of Revenue report a gross business income for Q1 2021 that reaches or exceeds pre-COVID levels from Q1 2019?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5993/washington-q1-2021-business-income--q1-2019/	0
1308	1333	Are we in a simulated reality? Part II	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/280/are-we-in-a-simulated-reality-part-ii/	0
1309	1334	When will either the Democratic or Republican party in the US cease to exist?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1481/when-will-either-the-democratic-or-republican-party-in-the-us-cease-to-exist/	0
1310	1335	Will humans go extinct by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/578/human-extinction-by-2100/	0
1311	1336	What will be the Hue (in angular degrees) of Pantone's Color of the Year for 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5887/pantones-color-of-the-year-for-2022/	0
1312	1337	Will Angela Merkel remain chancellor after the next German federal elections?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1457/will-angela-merkel-remain-chancellor-after-the-next-german-federal-elections/	0
1313	1338	What will the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU be, on January 1, 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6574/top-gpu-price-performance-2030/	0
1314	1339	Will any OECD country achieve a 10% or greater reduction in the national rate of obesity for 3 consecutive years before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3397/large-obesity-drop-in-oecd-country-by-2030/	0
1315	1340	Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/348/will-one-of-the-verified-oldest-living-persons-in-the-world-reach-120-years-old-by-the-23rd-of-march-2024/	0
1316	1341	What will be the cumulative number of deaths in the US due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7307/cumulative-us-covid-deaths-by-end-of-2021/	0
1317	1342	Will FTX default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7230/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-ftx/	0
1318	1343	When will the volume-weighted average battery for electric vehicles and stationary storage reach $75 per kilowatt hour?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3591/ev-battery-storage-costs/	0
1319	1344	How many cattle will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7044/-cattle-culled-due-to-outbreak-in-2021-23/	0
1320	1345	Will Bitfinex default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7236/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-bitfinex/	0
1321	1346	Will more than 10,000 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7221/israel-palestine-crisis-2021--q4/	0
1322	1347	When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3877/when-will-the-united-kingdom-apply-to-rejoin-the-eu/	0
1323	1348	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 hospitalizations?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7125/monthly-peak-in-new-virginia-hospitalizations/	0
1324	1349	Will there be a G4 EA H1N1 flu virus pandemic before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4763/will-there-be-a-g4-ea-h1n1-flu-virus-pandemic-before-2025/	0
1325	1350	How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6528/few-shot-e-prints-2021-02-14-to-2023-02-14/	0
1326	1351	When will humans be able to capture water from volatile sources in the inner Solar System?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5644/long-term-h20-capture-in-inner-solar-system/	0
1327	1352	Will there be a 9 foot tall human by 2075?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1061/will-there-be-a-9-foot-tall-human-by-2075/	0
1328	1353	If there's a US-Russia war by 2050, when will it start?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7402/war-between-russia-and-the-us-by-2050/	0
1329	1354	How many billions of hen eggs will be produced in the U.S. in the year ending in November 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3247/how-many-billions-of-hen-eggs-will-be-produced-in-the-us-in-the-year-ending-in-november-2023/	0
1330	1355	Will there be fewer Kea parrots in 2030 than in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4544/will-there-be-fewer-kea-parrots-in-2030-than-in-2020/	0
1331	1357	Will a large American city fully abolish their police department before 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6725/large-american-city-to-abolish-police-by-2035/	0
1332	1358	Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7154/us-forgive-10k-student-debt-before-2024/	0
1333	1359	Will the S&P 500 hit 10,000 points by the end of the decade?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4527/will-the-sp-500-hit-10000-points-by-the-end-of-the-decade/	0
1334	1360	What will the mean of the year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be, in the three year period ending in November 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3357/what-will-the-mean-of-the-year-over-year-growth-rate-of-the-sum-of-teraflops-of-the-all-500-supercomputers-in-the-top500-be-in-the-three-year-period-ending-in-november-2023/	0
1335	1361	When will the next fully autonomous car fatality occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/776/when-will-the-next-fully-autonomous-car-fatality-occur/	0
1336	1362	Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7099/silg-to-survive-the-mid-term/	0
1337	1363	What will be the highest level of annual GDP growth in the US before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2622/what-will-be-the-highest-level-of-annual-gdp-growth-in-the-us-before-2030/	0
1338	1364	When will the United States reach herd immunity (>230M) for COVID-19?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5773/united-states-covid-herd-immunity-230m-date/	0
1339	1366	Will semaglutide be a top 300 medicine in America before 2032?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7323/semaglutide-in-top-300-us-meds-before-2032/	0
1340	1367	When will AI achieve superhuman few-shot performance on SuperGLUE?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4932/when-will-ai-achieve-superhuman-few-shot-performance-on-superglue/	0
1341	1368	How correlated will progress be across subfields of AI as determined by Metaculus?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6679/correlation-of-progress-in-subfields-of-ai/	0
1342	1369	Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister at the beginning of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5414/labour-uk-pm-on-2030-01-01/	0
1343	1370	By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6438/will-joe-biden-run-for-reelection/	0
1344	1372	What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be on 2023-02-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%), amongst models not trained on extra data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6564/sota-on-cityscapes-2023-02-14/	0
1345	1373	How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6157/ai-safety--other-2021-01-14-to-2022-01-14/	0
1346	1374	Will Matt Levine join substack before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6420/matt-levine-to-join-substack/	0
1347	1375	Reliable automatic coding of described rules by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/495/reliable-automatic-coding-of-described-rules-by-2030/	0
1348	1376	Will a functional Alcubierre drive-like FTL device be demonstrated before 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6558/working-alcubierre-like-ftl-drive-by-2100/	0
1349	1377	When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4966/when-will-the-us-fda-grant-neuralink-permission-to-sell-and-implant-a-brain-machine-interface-device-into-general-consumers/	0
1350	1378	Will there be a vegetarian U.S. president by the end of 2036?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3359/will-there-be-a-vegetarian-us-president-by-the-end-of-2036/	0
1351	1379	How much will the highest-paid dead celebrity earn in 2021, according to Forbes?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7213/highest-paid-dead-celebrity-in-2021/	0
1352	1380	2˚C global warming by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/585/2c-global-warming-by-2100/	0
1353	1381	Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1495/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-be-due-to-an-artificial-intelligence-failure-mode/	0
1354	1382	What will be the Gini coefficient for income in the United States in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4968/what-will-be-the-gini-coefficient-for-income-in-the-united-states-in-2030/	0
1355	1383	What will be the average daily supply of consumer motor gasoline in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5679/avg-daily-supply-motor-gasoline-2025/	0
1356	1384	Will Half-Life 3 come out during Gabe Newell's lifetime?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1429/will-half-life-3-come-out-during-gabe-newells-lifetime/	0
1357	1385	Tunnel vs. Wall	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/445/tunnel-vs-wall/	0
1358	1386	What rank will the United States be on the inequality adjusted human development index in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4440/what-rank-will-the-united-states-be-on-the-inequality-adjusted-human-development-index-in-2035/	0
1359	1387	What will the price of IGM be, on 2030-12-13, in 2019 USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6255/closing-price-igm-on-2030-12-13/	0
1360	1388	What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5906/number-confirmed-global-covid-cases-by-2022/	0
1361	1389	What will Denmark rank in GDP per capita (PPP) in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5000/what-will-denmark-rank-in-gdp-per-capita-ppp-in-2030/	0
1362	1390	What will Elon Musk's total net worth be at the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4790/elon-musks-net-worth-at-the-end-of-2021/	0
1363	1391	When will Nintendo release a console capable of 4K output?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3840/when-will-nintendo-release-a-console-capable-of-4k-output/	0
1364	1392	Will Nigeria's population exceed 400 million before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2632/will-nigerias-population-exceed-400-million-before-2050/	0
1365	1393	When will the longest spaceflight of any one person reach 5 years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1435/when-will-the-longest-spaceflight-of-any-one-person-reach-5-years/	0
1366	1394	If the first AGI is developed by a publicly traded company, will the company have performed at least 1.5x as well as the global equities market over the prior 12-2 months?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4997/a-stock-price-rise-preceding-agi/	0
1367	1395	Drake's Equation 7th parameter L: For how many years does a civilization remain detectable?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1343/drakes-equation-7th-parameter-l/	0
1368	1396	When will US initial jobless claims fall below 300 thousand?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6016/when-will-us-jobless-claims-fall-below-300k/	0
1369	1397	Will Northern Ireland hold a reunification referendum before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6702/northern-irish-reunification-referendum/	0
1370	1398	What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2022-01-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6240/it-and-comms-weighting-in-sp500-2022-01-14/	0
1371	1399	Will SpaceX test-launch the BFR before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/612/will-spacex-test-launch-the-bfr-before-2025/	0
1372	1400	Will the XENON1T experiment soon report a detection of dark matter or other new physics?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4670/will-the-xenon1t-experiment-soon-report-a-detection-of-dark-matter-or-other-new-physics/	0
1373	1401	What will be the lowest cost per kilogram, in US dollars, to deliver a payload to LEO or beyond before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4390/what-will-be-the-lowest-cost-per-kilogram-in-us-dollars-to-deliver-a-payload-to-leo-or-beyond-before-2025/	0
1374	1402	Democracy in Crisis: How many free countries in 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1438/democracy-in-crisis-how-many-free-countries-in-2028/	0
1375	1403	Will a US Supreme Court Justice be impeached and removed before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5540/scotus-impeachment-before-2030/	0
1376	1404	What will be the cumulative number of deaths due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31 if less than 50% of Americans initiate vaccination (1st dose received) with a COVID-19 vaccine by 2021-03-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6165/number-of-us-covid-deaths-if-50-vaccinated/	0
1377	1405	Artificial drivers, real roads vs. real drivers, artificial roads	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/285/artificial-drives-real-roads-vs-real-drivers-artificial-roads/	0
1378	1406	Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/557/another-hit-by-two-cat-4-hurricanes-in-the-same-year/	0
1379	1407	How many billionaires (in USD) will there be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6772/number-of-billionaires-in-2030/	0
1380	1408	What will be the ratio of fatalities to total estimated infections for COVID-19 by the end of 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3755/what-will-be-the-ratio-of-fatalities-to-total-estimated-infections-for-covid-19-by-the-end-of-2020/	0
1381	1409	When will a human chess player reach a FIDE rating of 2900?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4209/when-will-a-human-chess-player-reach-a-fide-rating-of-2900/	0
1382	1410	Will any country's military expenditure exceed that of the United States before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2605/will-any-countrys-military-expenditure-exceed-that-of-the-united-states-before-2030/	0
1383	1411	Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2514/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-biological-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-reduce-the-human-population-by-95-or-more/	0
1384	1412	Will Valve release a game before 2030 with 3 in the Title?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3812/will-valve-release-a-game-before-2030-with-3-in-the-title/	0
1385	1413	What will the median annual wage for Computer and Information Research Scientists be in the United states in 2029, in 2019 USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6256/median-wage-for-computer-scientists-2029/	0
1386	1414	Will the US supreme court change size by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3617/will-the-us-supreme-court-change-size-by-2050/	0
1387	1415	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on One Billion Word be on 2023-02-14, in perplexity, amongst models not trained on extra data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6569/sota-one-billion-word-2023-02-14/	0
1388	1416	Will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/607/will-it-cost-less-than-1000-to-calculate-a-pgp-private-key-from-a-2048-bits-pgp-public-key-in-2030/	0
1389	1418	What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2023-02-15?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6540/object-detection-index-be-on-2023-02-15/	0
1390	1419	Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1332/will-global-malaria-mortality-rates-be-reduced-by-90-when-compared-with-2015-rates-by-2030/	0
1391	1420	Will an airborne wind energy system of at least 100kW be sold before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2578/will-an-airborne-wind-energy-system-of-at-least-100kw-be-sold-before-2022/	0
1392	1421	How many patients will the Shandong Yinfeng Life Science Research Institute report by 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6221/patients-at-chinese-cryonics-org-by-2026/	0
1393	1422	Will mixed doubles be a fixture at all four slams in 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7010/mixed-doubles-at-all-slams-in-2040/	0
1394	1423	Will an official diagnosis of dementia be announced for Joe Biden before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4906/will-an-official-diagnosis-of-dementia-be-announced-for-joe-biden-before-2023/	0
1395	1424	What will the total deal value be of all the US PE deals in billions of US$, in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6396/total-us-private-equity-deals-2021/	0
1396	1425	When will the first 100 million digit prime number be discovered?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4451/when-will-the-first-100-million-digit-prime-number-be-discovered/	0
1397	1426	When will the first successful entirely artificial extracorporeal human pregnancy conclude?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2769/when-will-the-first-successful-entirely-artificial-extracorporeal-human-pregnancy-conclude/	0
1398	1427	When will a genetic change cease to trigger regulatory oversight for the approval of gene-edited animals used in meat production?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3139/when-will-a-genetic-change-cease-to-trigger-regulatory-oversight-for-the-approval-of-gene-edited-animals-used-in-meat-production/	0
1399	1428	What will be the first year during which most deaths are from non-disease related causes and fewer than 1% of humans die?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4125/what-will-be-the-first-year-during-which-most-deaths-are-from-non-disease-related-causes-and-fewer-than-1-of-humans-die/	0
1400	1429	Will the star Betelgeuse be observed to go supernova before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3531/will-the-star-betelgeuse-be-observed-to-go-supernova-before-2030/	0
1401	1430	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7373/us-building-permits-september-2021/	0
1402	1431	Will transformer derived architectures accelerate progress in deep learning?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5173/transformers-effect-on-ai-research/	0
1403	1432	Will the European Union meet its 2030 targets under the Paris Climate Treaty?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/489/will-the-european-union-meet-its-2030-targets-under-the-paris-climate-treaty/	0
1404	1433	When will a Bering Strait crossing be completed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3136/when-will-a-bering-strait-crossing-be-completed/	0
1405	1434	Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1433/will-the-fraction-of-american-18-24-year-olds-enrolled-in-colleges-in-2025-be-10-less-than-were-enrolled-in-2015/	0
1406	1435	How far away will the closest known Black Hole lay in 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2771/how-far-away-will-the-closest-known-black-hole-lay-in-2031/	0
1407	1436	What will be the highest US debt-to-GDP ratio by the end of 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4679/what-will-be-the-highest-us-debt-to-gdp-ratio-by-the-end-of-2023/	0
1408	1437	What will be the highest pixel resolution of commercially available optical satellite imagery, purchasable in a NATO country, in the year 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7344/resolution-of-commercial-satellites-in-2050/	0
1409	1438	How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4518/how-many-billions-of-parameters-will-the-largest-machine-learning-model-trained-before-2030-have/	0
1410	1439	By 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4034/by-2030-will-c-elegans-be-uploaded-to-the-satisfaction-of-top-computational-neuroscientists/	0
1411	1440	Will a vacancy on the Supreme Court of the United States arise in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6641/scotus-vacancy-to-arise-in-2021/	0
1412	1441	Out of the 25 largest U.S companies by revenue, how many will file for bankruptcy over the next four years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3864/out-of-the-25-largest-us-companies-by-revenue-how-many-will-file-for-bankruptcy-over-the-next-four-years/	0
1413	1442	What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their June 2030 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6234/performance-of-top-supercomputer-in-june-2030/	0
1414	1443	What will be the gross receipts of the SENS Research Foundation in the 2021 tax year, as reported on their Form 990?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4442/what-will-be-the-gross-receipts-of-the-sens-research-foundation-in-the-2021-tax-year-as-reported-on-their-form-990/	0
1415	1444	How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6298/cv-e-prints-2021-01-14-to-2022-01-14/	0
1416	1445	If Washington DC and Puerto Rico are not admitted as new states, will Republicans hold the Senate from 2022 to 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7165/gop-to-hold-senate-if-dc-and-pr-not-admitted/	0
1417	1446	Longbets series: By 2029 will a computer have passed the Turing Test?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3648/longbets-series-by-2029-will-a-computer-have-passed-the-turing-test/	0
1418	1447	Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6312/will-kamala-harris-run-for-president-in-2024/	0
1419	1448	By January 1st, 2026 what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaFLOPS-days), used in training by an AI experiment?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6559/maximum-compute-in-ai-experiment-2022-01-14/	0
1420	1449	Will Robert Caro's fifth and final volume of his Lyndon Johnson biography be published during his lifetime?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3244/will-robert-caros-fifth-and-final-volume-of-his-lyndon-johnson-biography-be-published-during-his-lifetime/	0
1421	1450	Worst-case scenario for global CO2 levels realized over the coming decades?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/336/worst-case-scenario-for-global-co2-levels-over-the-coming-decades/	0
1422	1451	By 2030, will 10,000+ Americans die in a single year in a single conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6940/10k-us-conflict-deaths-in-1-year-by-2030/	0
1423	1452	When will a biocomputer be able to perform an SHA-256 hash?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7033/hashing-with-biocomputers/	0
1424	1453	When will the next Qatari general election be held?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3830/when-will-the-next-qatari-general-election-be-held/	0
1425	1454	On December 1st, 2023 how many companies worldwide will pledge uphold GAP standards for broiler chickens raised for meat?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3422/on-december-1st-2023-how-many-companies-worldwide-will-pledge-uphold-gap-standards-for-broiler-chickens-raised-for-meat/	0
1426	1455	How many states will have legalized medical or recreational use of psilocybin before 2045?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4796/states-with-legal-psilocybin-by-2045/	0
1427	1456	How many countries will allow 17 year olds to vote in 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6327/youth-voting-around-the-world-in-2026/	0
1428	1457	What retail market share will plant-based milk make up of the total milk category in the U.S. in 2022	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7059/2022-retail-market-share-of-plant-based-milk/	0
1429	1458	When will 100 people or more be in space, or on any astronomical body other than earth, simultaneously?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3141/when-will-100-people-or-more-be-in-space-or-on-any-astronomical-body-other-than-earth-simultaneously/	0
1430	1459	What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2026-12-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6571/sota-one-shot-on-miniimagenet-2026-12-14/	0
1431	1460	What fraction of the world's population will live in a democracy in 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7328/global-democracy-share-2040/	0
1432	1461	What percentage of US GDP will be spent on R&D in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5876/-of-us-gdp-spent-on-rd-in-2030/	0
1433	1462	When will a language model with at least 100B parameters be open sourced including for commercial use?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4877/when-will-a-language-model-with-at-least-100b-parameters-be-open-sourced-including-for-commercial-use/	0
1434	1463	In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to meta charities?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6976/ea-survey-2025-donations-to-meta-charities/	0
1435	1464	When will the next US Supreme Court vacancy arise?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5457/date-next-scotus-vacancy-arises/	0
1436	1465	When will The Simpsons air its final episode?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/807/when-will-the-simpsons-air-its-final-episode/	0
1437	1466	Will there be a Nobel Prize in Physics awarded for work in string theory before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5344/nobel-prize-for-string-theory-before-2050/	0
1438	1468	Will the European Commission or other EU institution net borrow more than €50bn in 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6994/european-commission-to-borrow-50bn-in-2027/	0
1439	1469	When will beef for human consumption, from cattle genetically edited to carry a copy of the SRY gene, be for sale in the United States?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3202/when-will-beef-for-human-consumption-from-cattle-genetically-edited-to-carry-a-copy-of-the-sry-gene-be-for-sale-in-the-united-states/	0
1440	1470	Will scientists conclude that delaying SARS-CoV2 vaccines second dose did or would have saved lives?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6000/lives-saved-by-seconddosedelay-for-vaccine/	0
1441	1471	What annual real return will the S&P 500 realize 2022-2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4615/what-annual-real-return-will-the-sp-500-realize-2022-2031/	0
1442	1472	Will any of the 20 most valuable public companies in the United States (As of January 2019) file for bankruptcy protection before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2599/will-any-of-the-20-most-valuable-public-companies-in-the-united-states-as-of-january-2019-file-for-bankruptcy-protection-before-2025/	0
1443	1473	The Rise and Fall of the Banana: Will the current main export cultivar, the Cavendish, be replaced by 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1558/the-rise-and-fall-of-the-banana-will-the-current-main-export-cultivar-the-cavendish-be-replaced-by-2035/	0
1444	1474	When will workplaces reach baseline level in the state of Virginia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7137/va-workplace-activity-reach-baseline-lvl/	0
1445	1475	Will any of these Reddit alternatives be more popular than Reddit by 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4882/will-any-of-these-reddit-alternatives-be-more-popular-than-reddit-by-2026/	0
1446	1476	Will Elon Musk personally set foot on the moon by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5885/will-elon-musk-walk-on-the-moon-by-2030/	0
1447	1477	Will lab-grown complex vital organs be used successfully in humans before 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6806/lab-grown-organs-be-used-in-humans-by-2035/	0
1448	1478	Will China land the next person on the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5832/china-to-land-the-next-person-on-the-moon/	0
1449	1479	Will EU Member States or the Members of the European Parliament reject the ratification of EU-Mercosur agreement in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6459/eu-mercosur-trade-deal-rejected-in-2021/	0
1450	1480	When will Sabaton release their tenth album?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7204/tenth-sabaton-album/	0
1451	1481	When will the first Artificial General Intelligence system be devised, tested, and publicly known of? [stronger operationalization]	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/when-will-the-first-artificial-general-intelligence-system-be-devised-tested-and-publicly-known-of-stronger-operationalization/	0
1452	1482	While cryopreservation using fixatives is available, how many times more likely will someone be to be revived by 2200 if they are cryopreserved using fixatives than without?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4780/while-cryopreservation-using-fixatives-is-available-how-many-times-more-likely-will-someone-be-to-be-revived-by-2200-if-they-are-cryopreserved-using-fixatives-than-without/	0
1453	1483	If Joe Biden is elected president of the US in 2020, will the highest tax bracket be restored to its original 39.6% or higher before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5174/biden-restores-396-tax-bracket-before-2025/	0
1454	1484	Will Silvio Berlusconi become President of the Italian Republic by at the next presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6429/berlusconi-back-as-president-of-italy/	0
1455	1485	What will Alphabet Inc.'s market capitalisation be at market close on 2030-01-01 in trillions USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6584/alphabet-incs-market-cap-2030/	0
1456	1486	What will the highest score of any ML model that is un-augmented with domain knowledge on Atari 2600 Montezuma's Revenge be on 2023-02-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6570/sota-on-montezumas-revenge-2023-02-14/	0
1457	1487	Will Charity Entrepreneurship launch a family planning charity as part of its 2021 incubation program?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7097/family-planning-charity-in-2021/	0
1458	1488	Will the human condition change fundamentally before 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1646/will-the-human-condition-change-fundamentally-before-2100/	0
1459	1489	Will the Second Amendment to the United States Constitution be amended or repealed before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1650/will-the-second-amendment-to-the-united-states-constitution-be-amended-or-repealed-before-2025/	0
1460	1490	When will the English Wikipedia have 10 million articles?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3623/when-will-the-english-wikipedia-have-10-million-articles/	0
1461	1491	Will Apollo 10's Lunar Module be recovered by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2762/will-apollo-10s-lunar-module-be-recovered-by-2050/	0
1462	1492	When will human beings finally drill into the Earth’s mantle?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/675/when-we-human-beings-finally-drill-into-the-earths-mantle/	0
1463	1493	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on One Billion Word be on 2022-01-14, in perplexity?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6154/sota-one-billion-words-2022-01-14/	0
1464	1494	On what day will Solar Cycle 25’s maximum occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4976/on-what-day-will-solar-cycle-25s-maximum-occur/	0
1465	1495	Will VR or AR Headsets dominate by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/579/will-vr-or-ar-headsets-dominate-by-2025/	0
1466	1496	When will the global annual mean surface air temperature moving average first exceed 1.3°C relative to the 1951-1980 base period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3743/when-will-the-global-annual-mean-surface-air-temperature-moving-average-first-exceed-13c-relative-to-the-1951-1980-base-period/	0
1467	1497	Will Germany overtake the US in the share of new EV registrations by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5577/germany-to-overtake-us-in-ev-registrations/	0
1468	1498	What year will the 2˚C climate threshold be crossed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1596/what-year-will-the-2c-climate-threshold-be-crossed/	0
1469	1499	How many geoengineering international treaties will be listed on the World Legal Information Institute's database at the end of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3535/how-many-geoengineering-international-treaties-will-be-listed-on-the-world-legal-information-institutes-database-at-the-end-of-2024/	0
1470	1500	Will the incarceration rate in the US drop below 500 per 100,000 by 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1534/will-the-incarceration-rate-in-the-us-drop-below-500-per-100000-by-2022/	0
1471	1501	When will North Korea have a McDonald's?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2593/when-will-north-korea-have-a-mcdonalds/	0
1472	1502	In which month will there first be 20,000 new papers submitted to the arXiv?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/952/in-which-month-will-there-first-be-20000-new-papers-submitted-to-the-arxiv/	0
1473	1503	If Conservatives win the 2019 UK general election, what will be mean UK broadband download speeds 5 years later?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3341/if-conservatives-win-the-2019-uk-general-election-what-will-be-mean-uk-broadband-download-speeds-5-years-later/	0
1474	1504	Will a von Neumann probe be launched before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1644/will-a-von-neumann-probe-be-launched-before-2050/	0
1475	1505	When will the US-Canada border reopen?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7108/us-canada-border-to-reopen/	0
1476	1506	What will the total capacity of large-scale carbon capture and storage (CCS) be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7081/carbon-capture-and-storage-potential-in-2030/	0
1477	1507	What will be the best marathon time completed before 2035, in seconds, according to Guinness World Records?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4949/what-will-be-the-best-marathon-time-completed-before-2035-in-seconds-according-to-guinness-world-records/	0
1478	1508	Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2773/will-nigel-farage-become-prime-minister-of-the-united-kingdom-before-2023/	0
1479	1509	How much solar energy will be consumed globally, in terawatt-hours, in the calendar year 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3653/how-much-solar-energy-will-be-consumed-globally-in-terawatt-hours-in-the-calendar-year-2023/	0
1480	1510	When will the U.S. lift its Presidential Proclamation restricting travel from the U.K.?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7443/when-will-the-us-allow-travel-from-the-uk/	0
1481	1511	Which image classification benchmark will be most popular in the calendar year 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5492/most-popular-img-classification-benchmark-22/	0
1482	1512	When will the Flamanville EPR be finished?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2589/when-will-the-flamanville-epr-be-finished/	0
1483	1513	Will photonic tensor cores be ubiquitous in machine learning by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4872/will-photonic-tensor-cores-be-ubiquitous-in-machine-learning-by-2030/	0
1484	1514	Will MIRI employ researchers in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6663/will-miri-employ-researchers-in-2030/	0
1485	1515	In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to long term future charities?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6978/ea-survey-2025-donations-to-long-term-future/	0
1486	1516	How many migrants will die in 2022 trying to cross the Mediterranean?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6891/migrant-deaths-in-the-mediterranean-in-2022/	0
1487	1517	Will we find life on Mars by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6632/will-we-find-life-on-mars/	0
1488	1518	How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv from 2021 through 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5899/ai-safety--other-2021-through-2026/	0
1489	1519	Will Roger Federer win another Grand Slam title?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3071/will-roger-federer-win-another-grand-slam-title/	0
1490	1520	When will the first manned spacecraft touch the surface of any planet, dwarf planet, or moon other than Earth, Earth's moon, or Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1619/when-will-the-first-manned-spacecraft-touch-the-surface-of-any-planet-dwarf-planet-or-moon-other-than-earth-earths-moon-or-mars/	0
1491	1521	What will be the cost of carbon storage sold by Charm Industrial in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4861/what-will-be-the-cost-of-carbon-storage-sold-by-charm-industrial-in-2030/	0
1492	1522	Will the world population increase every year for the next decade?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/124/will-the-world-population-increase-every-year-for-the-next-decade/	0
1493	1523	What Portion of Official Currency Reserve (COFER) will be US dollars in Q4 of 2031 according to the IMF?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7242/usd--of-cofer-q42021/	0
1494	1524	Will the world still have nuclear weapons through 2075?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1477/will-the-world-still-have-nuclear-weapons-through-2075/	0
1495	1525	When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6728/ai-wins-imo-gold-medal/	0
1496	1526	When will L5 autonomous vehicles be commercially available?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3729/when-will-l5-autonomous-vehicles-be-commercially-available/	0
1497	1527	By January 14 2022, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaFLOPS-days), used in training in an AI experiment?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6148/maximum-compute-in-ai-experiment-2022-01-14/	0
1498	1528	How much exercise can you do before it starts to take more time than it adds life?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4265/how-much-exercise-can-you-do-before-it-starts-to-take-more-time-than-it-adds-life/	0
1499	1529	What will unemployment be in the US in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4032/what-will-unemployment-be-in-the-us-in-2021/	0
1500	1530	How many patients will be in cryonic suspension at the Cryonics Institute in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3478/how-many-patients-will-be-in-cryonic-suspension-at-the-cryonics-institute-in-2030/	0
1501	1531	Will Psilocybin be removed from Schedule I List before 2036?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5459/psilocybin-not-schedule-i--2036/	0
1502	1532	When will the US national debt reach $50 trillion?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4364/when-will-the-us-national-debt-reach-50-trillion/	0
1503	1533	Before 2025, will an asteroid or comet estimated to be at least 50 meters in diameter be detected to be due to collide with Earth before 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1645/before-2025-will-an-asteroid-or-comet-estimated-to-be-at-least-50-meters-in-diameter-be-detected-to-be-due-to-collide-with-earth-before-2100/	0
1504	1534	How many State of AI Report 2020 predictions will be judged true by their authors in the 2021 report?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5353/correct-state-of-ai-report-2020-predictions/	0
1505	1535	How many DC charging stations will Orlando, FL have by the end 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5828/dc-charging-stations-in-orlando-fl-in-2021/	0
1506	1536	Will the Extremely Large Telescope see first light by the end of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1478/will-the-extremely-large-telescope-see-first-light-by-the-end-of-2024/	0
1507	1537	Will Germany make use of its Emergency Acts in light of COVID-19?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3863/will-germany-make-use-of-its-emergency-acts-in-light-of-covid-19/	0
1508	1538	Will Mohammed bin Salman become the next king of Saudi Arabia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1603/will-mohammed-bin-salman-become-the-next-king-of-saudi-arabia/	0
1509	1539	When will the the main tomb chamber of the mausoleum of Qin Shi Hua be opened?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6048/tomb-of-the-first-qin-emperor-opened/	0
1510	1540	What will be the estimated population of blue whales on 2050-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6613/population-of-blue-whales-in-2050/	0
1511	1541	When will FromSoftware release Elden Ring?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6013/elden-ring-release/	0
1512	1542	How many Computer and Information Research Scientists will there be in the United states in January 1 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6575/number-of-us-computer-scientists-2030/	0
1513	1543	How many parameters will GPT-4 have (if it is released), in billions of parameters?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4852/how-many-parameters-will-gpt-4-have-if-it-is-released-in-billions-of-parameters/	0
1514	1544	How many species of pangolin will survive to 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5576/current-species-of-pangolin-remaining-in-2050/	0
1515	1545	Will any top 10 meat global processors/producers go bankrupt by 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7054/global-meat-producers-to-go-bankrupt-by-2028/	0
1516	1546	Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated by start of 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3150/will-no-non-test-nuclear-weapons-be-detonated-by-start-of-2035/	0
1517	1547	Will the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in the European Union exceed that for the United States in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6642/2021-eus-covid-19-deaths-to-exceed-uss/	0
1518	1548	What will the upper limit in the IPCC's ‘likely’ range of its climate sensitivity estimate be, in its 7th Assessment Report?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3233/what-will-the-upper-limit-in-the-ipccs-likely-range-of-its-climate-sensitivity-estimate-be-in-its-7th-assessment-report/	0
1519	1549	How many e-prints on AI Safety, interpretability or explainability will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2031-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6586/ai-safety-e-prints-2021-02-14-2031-02-14/	0
1520	1550	What will USA's GDP/c growth rate be in 2020-2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6320/usas-gdpc-growth-in-2020-2029/	0
1521	1551	How many electric vehicles will Tesla produce (units delivered) in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5582/total-tesla-sales-in-2021/	0
1522	1552	Pandemic series: a significant flu pandemic by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/240/pandemic-series-a-significant-flu-pandemic-by-2025/	0
1523	1553	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7400/us-durable-goods-orders-september-2021/	0
1524	1554	What will be the maximum number of COVID-19 cases reported in a single day in the United States before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5659/max-number-of-us-daily-covid-19-cases/	0
1525	1555	What will be the largest CME during Solar Cycle 25 (in kinetic energy)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5045/what-will-be-the-largest-cme-during-solar-cycle-25-in-kinetic-energy/	0
1526	1556	Will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1688/will-russia-invade-or-annex-all-or-part-of-belarus-before-2022/	0
1527	1557	By 1 January 2067, medical interventions for healthy adults will have been shown to extend average lifespan by at least 25 years	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4429/by-1-january-2067-medical-interventions-for-healthy-adults-will-have-been-shown-to-extend-average-lifespan-by-at-least-25-years/	0
1528	1558	When will the first baby be born away from Earth?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4954/when-will-the-first-baby-be-born-away-from-earth/	0
1529	1559	When will PHP die?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1691/when-will-php-die/	0
1530	1560	Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/590/state-of-democracy-in-2100/	0
1531	1561	What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be on 2022-01-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6184/sota-on-squad20-2022-01-14/	0
1532	1562	By the end of 2029, will the European Union require commercially farmed fish to be stunned before being slaughtered?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3371/by-the-end-of-2029-will-the-european-union-require-commercially-farmed-fish-to-be-stunned-before-being-slaughtered/	0
1533	1563	Balloons to the edge of space – when?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/441/balloons-to-the-edge-of-space--when/	0
1534	1564	Are we on path for IPCC's 'middle-of-the-road' scenario for the deployment of renewables?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3665/are-we-on-path-for-ipccs-middle-of-the-road-scenario-for-the-deployment-of-renewables/	0
1535	1565	What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2022-01-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6231/object-detection-index-2022-01-14/	0
1536	1566	Will 100 gigagrams of sulphur be injected into the atmosphere, as part of a single geoengineering effort, by the end of 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3429/will-100-gigagrams-of-sulphur-be-injected-into-the-atmosphere-as-part-of-a-single-geoengineering-effort-by-the-end-of-2023/	0
1537	1567	When will the first zetta-FLOPS performer appear?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6788/when-will-the-first-zflop-performer-appear/	0
1538	1568	Will Kyle Rittenhouse be convicted of first-degree intentional homicide?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5158/will-kyle-rittenhouse-be-convicted-of-first-degree-intentional-homicide/	0
1539	1569	When will Winifred Wagner's correspondence with Adolph Hitler be published?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5425/release-date-of-wagners-letters-with-hitler/	0
1540	1571	Will the number of people in extreme poverty in 2020 be lower than the number in 2015?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3484/will-the-number-of-people-in-extreme-poverty-in-2020-be-lower-than-the-number-in-2015/	0
1541	1572	50% Carbon-neutral electricity by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/273/50-carbon-neutral-electricity-by-2025/	0
1542	1573	Will Free Greens gain any seats in the next Danish general election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5217/frie-gr%25C3%25B8nnes-seats-in-the-danish-parliament/	0
1543	1574	How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6246/nlp-e-prints-2021-01-14-to-2022-01-14/	0
1544	1575	How will Joe Biden rank among presidents?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5657/how-will-joe-biden-rank-among-presidents/	0
1545	1576	What will the mass of the next fundamental particle to be discovered be, in eV?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4794/what-will-the-mass-of-the-next-fundamental-particle-to-be-discovered-be-in-ev/	0
1546	1577	What will the U.S. market for plant-based meat be worth in the year ending in April 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3095/what-will-the-us-market-for-plant-based-meat-be-worth-in-the-year-ending-in-april-2028/	0
1547	1578	What will the % change of sexually transmitted infections diagnoses in England from 2019 to 2020 be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6308/change-in-stis-from-2019-to-2020-in-england/	0
1548	1579	What will be the US MSRP of lowest priced Tesla in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7002/lowest-us-msrp-of-2030-tesla/	0
1549	1580	Will most protons that currently make up Earth (and you) eventually decay?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1535/will-most-protons-that-currently-make-up-earth-and-you-eventually-decay/	0
1550	1581	Will reducing wild animal suffering be a mainstream moral issue in America before 2200?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3777/will-reducing-wild-animal-suffering-be-a-mainstream-moral-issue-in-america-before-2200/	0
1551	1582	What will be the monthly average number of sunspots around Solar Cycle 25’s maximum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4970/what-will-be-the-monthly-average-number-of-sunspots-around-solar-cycle-25s-maximum/	0
1552	1583	When will there be at least one billion Americans?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6119/when-will-there-be-at-least-1bn-americans/	0
1553	1584	What will Alphabet Inc.'s market capitalisation be at market close on 2023-02-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6544/goog-market-cap-2023-02-14/	0
1554	1585	When will the volume-weighted average battery for electric vehicles and stationary storage reach $100 per kilowatt hour?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3592/ev-battery-storage-costs/	0
1555	1586	Will the Universe end?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/161/will-the-universe-end/	0
1556	1587	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Public Sector WPI for Q1 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6931/aus-public-sector-wpi--change-for-q1-2021/	0
1557	1588	Will OpenAI reach its profit cap for the first round of investors by 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4873/will-openai-reach-its-profit-cap-for-the-first-round-of-investors-by-2035/	0
1558	1589	Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6615/alcor-to-go-bankrupt-before-reviving-people/	0
1559	1590	When will a discernible, coordinated Bitcoin mining pool attain >=50% of the hashing power for 24-hours, before Sep 15 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3106/when-will-a-discernible-coordinated-bitcoin-mining-pool-attain-50-of-the-hashing-power-for-24-hours-before-sep-15-2025/	0
1560	1591	What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6301/it-as--of-gdp-in-q3-2021/	0
1561	1592	In December 2025, what will UK total national debt (excluding public sector banks) be as a percentage of GDP?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6628/uk-national-debt-as-a--of-gdp-dec-2025/	0
1562	1593	What annual real return will the global stock market realize 2022-2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4585/what-annual-real-return-will-the-global-stock-market-realize-2022-2031/	0
1563	1594	When will a currently unknown social media app reach one billion downloads worldwide?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3866/when-will-a-currently-unknown-social-media-app-reach-one-billion-downloads-worldwide/	0
1564	1595	When will another state provide 50% of the number of public charging outlets available in California?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5573/us-state-race-in-public-charging-outlets/	0
1565	1596	How much money will GiveWell move in 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6140/how-much-money-will-givewell-move-in-2031/	0
1566	1597	Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4319/longbets-series-by-2040-will-the-percentage-of-college-aged-us-citizens-who-are-attending-postsecondary-educational-institutions-in-the-united-states-drop-at-least-50-from-the-level-in-2011/	0
1567	1598	A major United States earthquake by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/570/a-major-united-states-earthquake-within-the-next-five-years/	0
1568	1599	Will there be more people with HIV/AIDS in 2037 than in 2017?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2713/will-there-be-more-people-with-hivaids-in-2037-than-in-2017/	0
1569	1600	What will the monthly unemployment rate for December 2021 be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6638/unemployment-rate-for-december-2021/	0
1570	1601	When will >100 patients have had part of their tooth, tooth enamel, or root canal regenerated by stem cell therapy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3509/when-will-100-patients-have-had-part-of-their-tooth-tooth-enamel-or-root-canal-regenerated-by-stem-cell-therapy/	0
1571	1602	What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will be based in the United States in the November 2022 publication of TOP500 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6514/percentage-in-us-in-top500-2023/	0
1572	1603	When will there be machine-kindergartner parity in LEGO construction?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/404/how-long-until-machine-kindergartner-parity-in-lego-construction/	0
1573	1604	When will a DUI be overruled or turned down due to riding a driverless car?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2576/when-will-a-dui-be-overruled-or-turned-down-due-to-riding-a-driverless-car/	0
1574	1605	If the federal minimum wage is $10 or less at the end of 2024, what will the average employment-to-population ratio be in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6547/minimum-wage-impact-on-employment-0-10/	0
1575	1606	How much wind energy will be consumed globally, in terawatt-hours, in the calendar year 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3652/how-much-wind-energy-will-be-consumed-globally-in-terawatt-hours-in-the-calendar-year-2023/	0
1576	1607	Will 2048-bit RSA be broken before 256-bit ECC?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/803/will-2048-bit-rsa-be-broken-before-256-bit-ecc/	0
1577	1608	How many billions of broiler-type chicks will hatch in the U.S., on average per year, over the 2028 to 2030 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3324/how-many-billions-of-broiler-type-chicks-will-hatch-in-the-us-on-average-per-year-over-the-2028-to-2030-period/	0
1578	1609	Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3795/will-longevity-escape-velocity-follow-the-development-of-effective-life-extending-therapies/	0
1579	1610	Will there be a Vegan Country by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/614/will-there-be-a-vegan-country-by-2100/	0
1580	1611	How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is greater than $20 per kg?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3153/how-many-commercial-cattle-in-millions-will-be-slaughtered-in-the-us-in-2032-if-the-lowest-retail-price-of-clean-meat-in-2026-is-greater-than-20-per-kg/	0
1581	1612	What will the community median's Brier score (at closing time) be when the Metaculus has 300 predictors per question?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5729/m-community-brier-when-300-predictors-per-q/	0
1582	1613	What will be the EU's GDP at the end of 2025 in trillions of dollars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7011/eu-gdp-in-2025/	0
1583	1614	What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2024-12-14 in top-1 accuracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5946/sota-on-imagenet-on-2024-06-14/	0
1584	1615	What will Alphabet Inc.'s market capitalisation be at market close on 2026-12-14 in 2020 USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5955/alphabet-incs-market-cap-on-2026-12-14/	0
1585	1616	What will the state-of-the-art object detection performance on COCO be, on 2023-02-14 in box average precision (box AP) amongst all models?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6566/sota-on-ms-coco-2023-02-14/	0
1586	1617	Do the Others ever reach King's Landing? (According to A Song of Ice and Fire – the books, not the show)	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/624/do-the-others-ever-reach-kings-landing/	0
1587	1618	Will Gladys Berejiklian cease to be Premier of NSW before the next state election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5883/gladys-berejiklians-premiership/	0
1588	1619	When will the first exaflop performer appear?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/415/when-will-the-first-exaflop-performer-appear/	0
1589	1620	Will big ISPs bundle website access in the post-net neutrality age?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1003/will-big-isps-bundle-website-access-in-the-post-net-neutrality-age/	0
1590	1621	Will our current peace be shorter than the Pax Romana?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/610/will-our-current-peace-be-shorter-than-the-pax-romana/	0
1591	1622	When will we get the last communication from Voyager 1?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/943/when-will-we-get-the-last-communication-from-voyager-1/	0
1592	1623	What fraction of United States adults will be vaccinated against the 2020—2021 seasonal influenza?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3992/what-fraction-of-united-states-adults-will-be-vaccinated-against-the-20202021-seasonal-influenza/	0
1593	1624	Will humanity use a gene drive to wipe at least one species of mosquito off the face of the Earth by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1044/will-humanity-use-a-gene-drive-to-wipe-at-least-one-species-of-mosquito-off-the-face-of-the-earth-by-2100/	0
1594	1625	Will the PlayStation 5 sell more units than the Nintendo Switch in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6776/will-ps5-outsell-nintendo-switch-in-2021/	0
1595	1626	When will the first humans land successfully on Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3515/when-will-the-first-humans-land-successfully-on-mars/	0
1596	1627	When will the 2020 PhilPapers Survey results be publicly available?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6536/2020-philpapers-survey-results-date/	0
1597	1628	Will Restaurant Brands International cease sourcing pork in North America from suppliers that use gestation stalls by Jan 1, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6018/burger-king-to-cease-using-gestation-stalls/	0
1598	1629	A freer China? Chinese political rights and civil liberties in 2028	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1454/a-freer-china-chinese-political-rights-and-civil-liberties-in-2028/	0
1599	1630	When will 1bn people have been vaccinated with any vaccine candidate(s) that have demonstrated an efficacy rate >60% in a n>500 RCT?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5934/1bn-people-vaccinated-against-covid-19/	0
1600	1631	Will General Electric (GE) file for chapter 7 or chapter 11 bankruptcy before Sep 18th of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3109/will-general-electric-ge-file-for-chapter-7-or-chapter-11-bankruptcy-before-sep-18th-of-2024/	0
1601	1632	Will DNA testing vindicate Jeanne Calment as the oldest recorded person in history?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3393/will-dna-testing-vindicate-jeanne-calment-as-the-oldest-recorded-person-in-history/	0
1602	1633	Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2577/will-scotland-leave-the-united-kingdom-before-2025/	0
1603	1634	When will the world have reached peak Facebook?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1632/when-will-the-world-have-reached-peak-facebook/	0
1604	1635	Will ANY of the top 10 most popular baby names in the U.S. (as of 2018) still be in the top 10 in 2048?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1060/will-any-of-the-top-10-most-popular-baby-names-in-the-us-as-of-2018-still-be-in-the-top-10-in-2048/	0
1605	1636	When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6448/two-states-ban-human-driven-vehicles/	0
1606	1637	When will Vladimir Putin leave power in Russia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/954/when-will-vladimir-putin-leave-power-in-russia/	0
1607	1638	What will be the capacity factor of US nuclear energy by 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6146/us-capacity-factor-for-nuclear-energy-2022/	0
1608	1639	What will the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU be, on February 14, 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6518/top-price-performance-in-g3d-mark--of-gpu/	0
1609	1640	Drake's Equation 3rd parameter n_e: What is the average number of habitable planets per star?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1339/drakes-equation-3rd-parameter-n_e/	0
1610	1641	Will there be a 50% decline in global meat production by 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7314/50by40-meat-production-goal-achieved/	0
1611	1642	Will the EU phase out high-concentration CO2 stunning or killing of pigs by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6456/ban-on-gassing-eu-pigs-by-2024/	0
1612	1643	Will a Science Fiction work originally written and published in Spanish by 2029 win any of the great international awards that recognize great authors in this genre?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4849/will-a-science-fiction-work-originally-written-and-published-in-spanish-by-2029-win-any-of-the-great-international-awards-that-recognize-great-authors-in-this-genre/	0
1613	1644	Longbets series: By 2025 will the scientific evidence of a large bi-pedal great ape be sufficient to convince at least 50% of primatologists that a yeti/bigfoot-like creature exists?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3647/longbets-series-by-2025-will-the-scientific-evidence-of-a-large-bi-pedal-great-ape-be-sufficient-to-convince-at-least-50-of-primatologists-that-a-yetibigfoot-like-creature-exists/	0
1614	1645	When will Xi Jinping leave power in China?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/955/when-will-xi-jinping-leave-power-in-china/	0
1615	1646	Drake's Equation 1st Parameter R∗: What is the average rate of formation of suitable stars (stars/year) in our galaxy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1337/drakes-equation-1st-parameter-r/	0
1616	1647	When will a performer win a 4th Oscar for Acting?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6982/date-next-performer-wins-4th-oscar/	0
1617	1648	Will the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints allow same-sex marriage by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4924/will-the-church-of-jesus-christ-of-latter-day-saints-allow-same-sex-marriage-by-2030/	0
1618	1649	What will the Federal Reserves' Industrial Production Index be for November 2021, for semiconductors, printed circuit boards and related products?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6249/november-2021-production-of-semiconductors/	0
1619	1650	What percentage of top colleges in the United States will not require the SAT or ACT for freshman admittance by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4507/what-percentage-of-top-colleges-in-the-united-states-will-not-require-the-sat-or-act-for-freshman-admittance-by-2030/	0
1620	1652	When will Varda successfully manufacture and sell its first product from space?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6414/when-will-varda-sell-first-space-made-item/	0
1621	1653	Will Fluvoxamine receive authorization for treatment of Covid by the United States FDA before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6158/fluvoxamine-to-get-eua-for-covid-in-us/	0
1622	1654	What will total oil demand globally be in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6143/total-oil-demand-in-2021/	0
1623	1655	When will Skyroot Aerospace successfully launch their first satellite into space?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6689/skyroot-aerospace-successful-satellite-launch/	0
1624	1656	Will none of Trump's immediate family be indicted in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6291/trump-family-indictments-in-2021/	0
1625	1657	How many new electric vehicles will be registered worldwide, in the calendar year 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3542/how-many-new-electric-vehicles-will-be-registered-worldwide-in-the-calendar-year-2023/	0
1626	1658	Will there be another VEI level six (or higher) volcanic eruption on Earth before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2518/will-there-be-another-vei-level-six-or-higher-volcanic-eruption-on-earth-before-2025/	0
1627	1659	When will a song have been streamed 4 billion times on Spotify?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6373/date-song-first-streamed-4b-times-on-spotify/	0
1628	1660	Will a geoengineering act of Congress become US federal law by the end of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3528/will-a-geoengineering-act-of-congress-become-us-federal-law-by-the-end-of-2024/	0
1629	1661	How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6126/quality-of-visual-cortex-implants-in-2030/	0
1630	1662	What will be the 5-day moving average of the 10.7 cm radio flux around Solar Cycle 25’s maximum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4981/what-will-be-the-5-day-moving-average-of-the-107-cm-radio-flux-around-solar-cycle-25s-maximum/	0
1631	1663	Will the US per capita productivity rate of science Nobel Prizes fall below that of Germany by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1554/will-the-us-per-capita-productivity-rate-of-science-nobel-prizes-fall-below-that-of-germany-by-2025/	0
1632	1664	When will the Open Philanthropy Project have donated a total of $7 billion of Good Ventures money?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4506/when-will-the-open-philanthropy-project-have-donated-a-total-of-7-billion-of-good-ventures-money/	0
1633	1665	For the calendar year 2021, will peak monthly US unemployment occur within Q1?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5995/will-us-peak-unemployment-in-2021-be-in-q1/	0
1634	1666	Is the Zuma satellite still in orbit?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1618/is-the-zuma-satellite-still-in-orbit/	0
1635	1667	Will the Russian government introduce a tax on childlessness prior to the 2024 presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5427/tax-on-childlessness-in-russia-before-2024/	0
1636	1668	Will it once again be possible to travel between London and New York City by any commercially available means in under three hours by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1642/will-it-once-again-be-possible-to-travel-between-london-and-new-york-city-by-any-commercially-available-means-in-under-three-hours-by-2030/	0
1637	1669	When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4880/computer-as-author-in-annals-of-mathematics/	0
1638	1670	What will be the Gini coefficient for income in China in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6775/gini-coeff-for-china-2030/	0
1639	1671	When will most eggs produced in the EU be sexed before hatching?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6457/when-will-most-eu-eggs-be-sexed/	0
1640	1672	How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6527/rl-e-prints-2021-02-14-to-2023-02-14/	0
1641	1673	When will the first Artificial General Intelligence system be devised, tested, and publicly known of?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/when-will-the-first-artificial-general-intelligence-system-be-devised-tested-and-publicly-known-of/	0
1642	1674	Will North Korea launch another intercontinental ballistic missile before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5415/nk-launches-icbm-again-before-2022/	0
1643	1675	When will the next man win his 10th tennis slam title?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6888/10-grand-slam-winner/	0
1644	1676	When will the first genome-wide association study of more than 1 million African Americans be published?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4459/when-will-the-first-genome-wide-association-study-of-more-than-1-million-african-americans-be-published/	0
1645	1677	Drake's Equation 6th parameter f_c: What fraction of planets with intelligent life are capable of interstellar communication?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1342/drakes-equation-6th-parameter-f_c/	0
1646	1678	How many e-prints on multi-modal learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2031-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6576/multi-modal-e-prints-2021-02-14-to-2031-02-14/	0
1647	1679	When will we have a new Pope?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4606/when-will-we-have-a-new-pope/	0
1648	1680	If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4644/if-labour-wins-the-next-uk-general-election-what-will-the-england--wales-prison-population-rate-per-100000-people-be-5-years-later/	0
1649	1681	Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2534/will-there-be-a-world-war-three-before-2050/	0
1650	1682	When will the next human being walk on the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/649/when-will-the-next-human-being-walk-on-the-moon/	0
1651	1683	Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4118/will-there-be-a-positive-transition-to-a-world-with-radically-smarter-than-human-artificial-intelligence/	0
1652	1684	How many total unique visitors will download Debian package files from ROS.org in the year ending July 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3525/how-many-total-unique-visitors-will-download-debian-package-files-from-rosorg-in-the-year-ending-july-2021/	0
1653	1685	Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1604/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-climate-disaster-occurs-by-2100-will-the-earths-human-population-decline-by-95-or-more/	0
1654	1686	How many biological humans will be alive on the 31st of December 2300, conditional on there being more than 500M?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2954/how-many-biological-humans-will-be-alive-on-the-31st-of-december-2300-conditional-on-there-being-more-than-500m/	0
1655	1687	Will we detect an exoplanet atmosphere with >5% oxygen atmosphere by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1568/will-we-detect-an-exoplanet-atmosphere-with-5-oxygen-atmosphere-by-2030/	0
1656	1688	When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3086/when-will-a-restaurant-first-serve-clean-meat-products-containing-80-clean-meat-at-3-per-100-grams-or-cheaper/	0
1657	1689	When will the milk of cows whose DNA is intentionally altered to be hornless be for sale in the United States?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3192/when-will-the-milk-of-cows-whose-dna-is-intentionally-altered-to-be-hornless-be-for-sale-in-the-united-states/	0
1658	1690	Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4628/will-one-of-givewells-2019-top-charities-be-estimated-as-the-most-cost-effective-charity-in-2031/	0
1659	1691	Will the U.S. get rid of the penny by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/685/will-the-us-get-rid-of-the-penny-by-2025/	0
1660	1692	How many hours will the average American employee work per week in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3054/how-many-hours-will-the-average-american-employee-work-per-week-in-2030/	0
1661	1693	Will we detect a message originating from Luyten's Star before 2046?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/606/luytens-star-message-detected-before-2046/	0
1662	1694	When will a fusion reactor reach ignition?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3727/when-will-a-fusion-reactor-reach-ignition/	0
1663	1695	When will the number of people in cryopreservation preserved before 2019 fall to less than 50% of the current value?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3333/when-will-the-number-of-people-in-cryopreservation-preserved-before-2019-fall-to-less-than-50-of-the-current-value/	0
1664	1696	Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2611/will-synthetic-biological-weapons-infect-100-people-by-2030/	0
1665	1697	Will a new amendment to the US Constitution be ratified by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3616/will-a-new-amendment-to-the-us-constitution-be-ratified-by-2050/	0
1666	1698	How much will be estimated to have been invested by VCs in U.S.-based plant-based meat startups, in millions of USD, in the calendar year 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3138/how-much-will-be-estimated-to-have-been-invested-by-vcs-in-us-based-plant-based-meat-startups-in-millions-of-usd-in-the-calendar-year-2022/	0
1667	1699	What will be the World's GDP at the end of 2025 in trillions of dollars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7007/gdp-of-the-world-for-2025/	0
1668	1700	Who will win the 'worm wars'?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4919/who-will-win-the-worm-wars/	0
1669	1701	Pandemic series: a new Spanish Flu?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/242/pandemic-series-a-new-spanish-flu/	0
1670	1702	How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4332/how-much-will-givewell-guess-it-will-cost-to-get-an-outcome-as-good-as-saving-a-life-at-the-end-of-2031/	0
1671	1703	Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by the end of 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2937/will-the-number-of-deaths-from-antibiotic-resistant-infections-per-year-double-by-the-end-of-2025/	0
1672	1704	Will Blizzard announce new content for StarCraft as a response to advances in AI in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2606/ai-to-prompt-new-starcraft/	0
1673	1705	Will Mike Pence be elected president of the United States in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/953/will-mike-pence-be-elected-president-of-the-united-states-in-2024/	0
1674	1706	What will be the United States Government Spending to GDP for 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5588/us-government-spending-to-gdp-for-2024/	0
1675	1707	When will AI out-perform humans on argument reasoning tasks?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4232/when-will-ai-out-perform-humans-on-argument-reasoning-tasks/	0
1676	1708	Will the number of foreign nationals in Mainland China fall between 2010 and 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4229/will-the-number-of-foreign-nationals-in-mainland-china-fall-between-2010-and-2030/	0
1677	1709	What % of money held in all US DAFs will be expropriated by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4584/what--of-money-held-in-all-us-dafs-will-be-expropriated-by-2100/	0
1678	1710	What will the Federal Reserves' Industrial Production Index be for December 2022, for semiconductors, printed circuit boards and related products?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6542/december-2022-production-of-semiconductors/	0
1679	1711	When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6592/when-will-a-country-reach-escape-velocity/	0
1680	1712	What will be the average percentage change in property and casualty insurance premiums in Q1 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5994/-change-in-pc-insurance-premiums-q1-2022/	0
1681	1713	If and when this graph is extended to 10^14 parameter models trained on 10^14 elapsed tokens of similar-quality data, will the 10^14 parameter learning curve have slowed down substantially?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6939/will-gpt-3-scaling-plateau-in--3-ooms/	0
1682	1714	In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of donated dollars will go to charities that did not exist in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6109/ea-donations-to-new-charities-in-2025/	0
1683	1715	What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be, at the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5558/squad20-perfomance-2022/	0
1684	1716	What will the Federal Reserves' Industrial Production Index be for January 2030, for semiconductors, printed circuit boards and related products?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6304/us-semiconductor-fab-capacity-jan-2030/	0
1685	1717	When will 4 year old Russian chess prodigy, Misha Osipov, reach master level?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1045/when-will-4-year-old-russian-chess-prodigy-misha-osipov-reach-master-level/	0
1686	1718	What proportion of COVID infections in England will be estimated to have been acquired in health care settings?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6010/england-proportion-of-hospital-acquired-covid/	0
1687	1719	How many subscribers will Netflix have by August 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/504/how-many-subscribers-will-netflix-have-by-2022/	0
1688	1720	Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6049/time-person-of-the-year-is-us-president-elect/	0
1689	1721	How many Starlink satellites will be in operation at the end of 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3078/how-many-starlink-satellites-will-be-in-operation-at-the-end-of-2027/	0
1690	1722	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on WikiText-103 be at 2022-01-14 in perplexity?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6182/sota-wikitext-103-2022-01-14/	0
1691	1723	Will a species extinct for > 1000 years be brought back by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/228/will-a-species-extinct-for--1000-years-be-brought-back-by-2025/	0
1692	1724	Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1500/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-be-due-to-either-human-made-climate-change-or-geoengineering/	0
1693	1725	How much money will ACE estimate to have influenced in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6027/money-moved-by-animal-charity-evaluators/	0
1694	1726	Internationally recognized Kurdish state by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/566/internationally-recognized-kurdish-state-by-2030/	0
1695	1727	When will the global adult literacy rate reach 95%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2943/when-will-the-global-adult-literacy-rate-reach-95/	0
1696	1728	When will 1% of humanity's GWP be produced off-Earth?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5648/1-gwp-off-earth/	0
1697	1729	Will China be the World's largest economy in any year before 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1579/will-china-be-the-worlds-largest-economy-in-any-year-before-2040/	0
1698	1730	Do humans have functionally important neurogenesis throughout their life?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1515/do-humans-have-functionally-important-neurogenesis-throughout-their-life/	0
1699	1731	Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/372/will-human-brain-emulation-be-the-first-successful-route-to-human-level-digital-intelligence/	0
1700	1732	How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2027-01-01 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6300/reinforcement-learning-2021-01-14-2027-01-01/	0
1701	1733	Will Extinction Rebellion, or a splinter group, be declared a terrorist organisation by a G7 country before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3118/will-extinction-rebellion-or-a-splinter-group-be-declared-a-terrorist-organisation-by-a-g7-country-before-2025/	0
1702	1734	Will any prediction market cause users to lose at least $1M before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6047/1m-lost-in-prediction-market/	0
1703	1735	How many nations will there be in the United Nations by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3619/how-many-nations-will-there-be-in-the-united-nations-by-2050/	0
1704	1736	When will the first O'Neill cylinder variant be completed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6706/construction-date-of-first-oneill-cylinder/	0
1705	1737	Will the world's richest person in 2033 have a net worth greater than that of John D. Rockefeller in 1913?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/899/will-the-worlds-richest-person-in-2033-have-a-net-worth-greater-than-that-of-john-d-rockefeller-in-1913/	0
1706	1738	Will the IAU rework its definition of planetary status by Jan 1, 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3241/will-the-iau-rework-its-definition-of-planetary-status-by-jan-1-2025/	0
1707	1739	What will the the sum of the level of performance (in exaFLOPS) of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be according to their June 2030 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6560/total-compute-top500-supercomputers-june-30/	0
1708	1740	Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5166/chinese-uyghur-policy-support-by-2022/	0
1709	1741	When will global IPv4 traffic account for less than 1% of total internet traffic?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4449/when-will-global-ipv4-traffic-account-for-less-than-1-of-total-internet-traffic/	0
1710	1742	Will CD PROJEKT (WSE:CDR) reach its previous All Time High price of zł464.20 in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6442/cd-projekt-cdr-and-the-climb-to-z%25C5%258246420/	0
1711	1743	Will the impact of the Effective Altruism movement be picked up by Google Trends in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1591/will-the-impact-of-the-effective-altruism-movement-be-picked-up-by-google-trends-in-2030/	0
1712	1744	Will Antifa officially be labeled a terrorist group in the US before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4946/will-antifa-officially-be-labeled-a-terrorist-group-in-the-us-before-2022/	0
1713	1745	What percentage of countries which pledge carbon neutrality by 2050 will keep their pledge?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5546/success-rate-for-national-carbon-neutrality/	0
1714	1746	When will the United States admit a new state?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3618/when-will-the-united-states-admit-a-new-state/	0
1715	1747	Assuming that the Green Party joins the federal government following the German federal elections on September 26th, 2021, what will be German per capita CO2 emissions in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6652/co2-emissions-in-germany-in-2025-greens/	0
1716	1748	When will the seasonally adjusted atmospheric concentration of C02 be lower than the same time in the previous year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4225/when-will-the-seasonally-adjusted-atmospheric-concentration-of-c02-be-lower-than-the-same-time-in-the-previous-year/	0
1717	1749	What will the maximum increase in global annual mean surface air temperature be, relative to the 1951-1980 base period, in the 2020 to 2023 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3701/what-will-the-maximum-increase-in-global-annual-mean-surface-air-temperature-be-relative-to-the-1951-1980-base-period-in-the-2020-to-2023-period/	0
1718	1750	Will the global atmospheric CO₂ concentration be in line with the pathway to limit warming to 2.0°C by mid-century, over the 2024 to 2027 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3742/will-the-global-atmospheric-co%25E2%2582%2582-concentration-be-in-line-with-the-pathway-to-limit-warming-to-20c-by-mid-century-over-the-2024-to-2027-period/	0
1719	1751	When will at least 750 companies pledge to maintain a supply chain consistent with the current basic Global Animal Partnership standards for broiler chickens by end of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3380/when-will-at-least-750-companies-pledge-to-maintain-a-supply-chain-consistent-with-the-current-basic-global-animal-partnership-standards-for-broiler-chickens-by-end-of-2030/	0
1720	1753	Will a language model with at least 100B parameters trained to do external information retrieval exist before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4876/will-a-language-model-with-at-least-100b-parameters-trained-to-do-external-information-retrieval-exist-before-2023/	0
1721	1754	Is non-theism (atheists and agnostics) growing globally?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1552/is-non-theism-atheists-and-agnostics-growing-globally/	0
1722	1755	Will China's internment camps for Uyghurs remain open on 2022-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6810/uyghur-internment-camps-open-by-2022/	0
1723	1756	Will China reach its NEV credit targets of 14% by 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5574/china-to-reach-nev-14-credit-in-2021/	0
1724	1757	Will Stephen Wolfram or his co-authors, Jonathan Gorard and Max Piskunov, receive the Nobel prize in physics before the end of 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4224/will-stephen-wolfram-or-his-co-authors-jonathan-gorard-and-max-piskunov-receive-the-nobel-prize-in-physics-before-the-end-of-2035/	0
1725	1758	What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6252/object-detection-index-2026-12-14/	0
1726	1759	What will the total deal value be of all the US PE deals in billions of US$, in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7196/total-us-private-equity-deals-2022/	0
1727	1760	What proportion of the 20 largest Chinese corporations' revenue will be state-owned in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5110/what-proportion-of-the-20-largest-chinese-corporations-revenue-will-be-state-owned-in-2035/	0
1728	1761	If Joe Biden becomes president, what will be the yearly CO2 emissions per capita in the US in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3806/if-joe-biden-becomes-president-what-will-be-the-yearly-co2-emissions-per-capita-in-the-us-in-2024/	0
1729	1762	When will zettascale computing be achieved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6353/zettascale-computing-when/	0
1730	1763	When will Waymo self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5306/widely-available-waymo-self-driving-taxi/	0
1731	1764	Will Moon Express have a successful harvest by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/945/will-moon-express-have-a-successful-harvest-by-2023/	0
1732	1765	When will Haiti become an upper middle-income country?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2617/when-will-haiti-become-an-upper-middle-income-country/	0
1733	1766	When will the first human baby from stem cell-derived gametes be born?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3034/when-will-the-first-human-baby-from-stem-cell-derived-gametes-be-born/	0
1734	1768	How many nuclear weapons will exist on 2075-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6077/number-of-nuclear-weapons-2075/	0
1735	1769	Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1501/gc-to-be-caused-by-nanotech-if-it-occurs/	0
1736	1770	How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4230/how-many-countries-will-at-least-in-some-form-decriminalize-possession-of-all-schedule-i-drugs-for-personal-use-by-2070/	0
1737	1771	What will be the monthly average of sunspots around Solar Cycle 25’s minimum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5043/what-will-be-the-monthly-average-of-sunspots-around-solar-cycle-25s-minimum/	0
1738	1772	What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2030-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6577/it--comms-sector-weighting-2030-01-01/	0
1739	1773	When will Uber electrify 50% of its fleet?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5537/uber-at-50-electric/	0
1740	1774	When will US domestic passenger air travel return to 80% of pre-COVID-19 volumes?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4719/when-will-us-domestic-passenger-air-travel-return-to-80-of-pre-covid-19-volumes/	0
1741	1775	When will the US pass 1 million cumulative COVID deaths?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6501/when-will-us-pass-1-million-covid-deaths/	0
1742	1776	Assuming some humans are alive, what will be the birthdate of the oldest living human on January 1st 2200?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4110/assuming-some-humans-are-alive-what-will-be-the-birthdate-of-the-oldest-living-human-on-january-1st-2200/	0
1743	1777	When will Solar Cycle 25 begin?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5042/when-will-solar-cycle-25-begin/	0
1744	1778	By how much will carbon dioxide emissions change from ground transportation globally between 2020 and 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5680/co2-emission-change-from-transport-2020-25/	0
1745	1779	By 2023, will there be evidence for a neurological correlate of human consciousness?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1459/by-2023-will-there-be-evidence-for-a-neurological-correlate-of-human-consciousness/	0
1746	1780	Will Ray Kurzweil be proven right?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1321/will-ray-kurzweil-be-proven-right/	0
1747	1781	Increased off-world population in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/594/off-world-population-in-2050/	0
1748	1782	What will the maximum z-score be for Greece for observed deaths in 2020-2021 according to Euromomo?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5639/max-excess-death-score-for-greece-2020-2021/	0
1749	1783	When will a major U.S. supermarket sell “no-kill eggs” in at least 25 states?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3335/when-will-a-major-us-supermarket-sell-no-kill-eggs-in-at-least-25-states/	0
1750	1784	When will there be at least 5 billion internet users?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2604/when-will-there-be-at-least-5-billion-internet-users/	0
1751	1785	Will Chinese official real GDP numbers be revised downward by at least 5% before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2670/will-chinese-official-real-gdp-numbers-be-revised-downward-by-at-least-5-before-2023/	0
1752	1786	What will be the mean expected lifespan gain from one year of the TRIIM-X trial, as measured by the epigenetic clock GrimAge?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4231/what-will-be-the-mean-expected-lifespan-gain-from-one-year-of-the-triim-x-trial-as-measured-by-the-epigenetic-clock-grimage/	0
1753	1787	If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2812/if-a-whole-human-brain-is-successfully-emulated-by-2100-what-is-the-maximum-number-of-humans-that-will-be-uploaded-in-any-5-year-period/	0
1754	1788	When will evidence of successful synthesis of the element ununennium be published?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4846/when-will-evidence-of-successful-synthesis-of-the-element-ununennium-be-published/	0
1755	1789	Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6507/discovery-of-gravitational-wave-background/	0
1756	1790	Any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1002/any-progress-in-human-lifespan-enhancement-by-2100/	0
1757	1791	Pandemic series: a significant bioterror attack by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/254/pandemic-series-a-significant-bioterror-attack-by-2020/	0
1758	1792	What will be the cost of carbon storage sold by CarbonCure in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4859/what-will-be-the-cost-of-carbon-storage-sold-by-carboncure-in-2030/	0
1759	1793	Will Elon Musk's Tesla Roadster be visited by a spacecraft before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6476/musks-roadster-visited-by-2050/	0
1760	1794	When will virtual reality headset sales exceed 10 million units per year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4845/when-will-virtual-reality-headset-sales-exceed-10-million-units-per-year/	0
1761	1795	What percentage of U.S. adults will self-report to follow a vegan diet in 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3388/what-percentage-of-us-adults-will-self-report-to-follow-a-vegan-diet-in-2028/	0
1762	1796	What will US house prices be at the end of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5867/real-us-house-prices-in-2030/	0
1763	1797	Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/420/will-kic-9832227-become-a-nova-by-2023/	0
1764	1798	Will Tucker Carlson be the Republican Presidential nominee in 2024 US presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5062/will-tucker-carlson-be-the-republican-presidential-nominee-in-2024-us-presidential-election/	0
1765	1799	How many deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections in the US in the year 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2942/how-many-deaths-from-antibiotic-resistant-infections-in-the-us-in-the-year-2035/	0
1766	1800	Will Tom Brady retire when his current contract is up?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3026/will-tom-brady-retire-when-his-current-contract-is-up/	0
1767	1801	What will be the cost of negative emissions sold by Climeworks in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4857/what-will-be-the-cost-of-negative-emissions-sold-by-climeworks-in-2030/	0
1768	1802	Does the extrasolar planet K2-18b host life?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3111/does-the-extrasolar-planet-k2-18b-host-life/	0
1769	1803	By January 1st 2031, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaFLOPS-days), used in training in an AI experiment?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6192/maximum-compute-in-ai-experiment-2031-01-01/	0
1770	1804	What will be the population of Próspera in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7110/pr%25C3%25B3spera-population-in-2035/	0
1771	1805	The Top500's total sum in 2030 as a multiple of the total sum in 2015	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1600/the-top500s-total-sum-in-2030-as-a-multiple-of-the-total-sum-in-2015/	0
1772	1806	Will the current European Commission propose a European Union directive or regulation banning all types of caged-housing for egg-laying hens before the end of its term on 31st October 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5431/will-the-eu-announce-by-2024-going-cage-free/	0
1773	1807	Will the Eurozone collapse before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5039/will-the-eurozone-collapse-before-2030/	0
1774	1808	When (if ever) will a Manhattan/Apollo project toward AGI be launched?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4850/when-if-ever-will-a-manhattanapollo-project-toward-agi-be-launched/	0
1775	1809	Will an ocean be fertilised with at least 50 tonnes of iron, as part of a single geoengineering effort, by the end of 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3433/will-an-ocean-be-fertilised-with-at-least-50-tonnes-of-iron-as-part-of-a-single-geoengineering-effort-by-the-end-of-2023/	0
1776	1810	When will directly removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere be economically feasible?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4614/when-will-directly-removing-carbon-dioxide-from-the-atmosphere-be-economically-feasible/	0
1777	1811	When will the first whole human brain be successfully emulated?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2813/when-will-the-first-whole-human-brain-be-successfully-emulated/	0
1778	1812	When will the first driverless cargo truck make a cross-USA trip?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/413/when-will-the-first-driverless-cargo-truck-make-a-cross-usa-trip/	0
1779	1813	Will three or more United Nations Security Council resolutions be vetoed in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5409/un-security-council-vetoes-2021/	0
1780	1814	When will multi-modal ML out-perform uni-modal ML?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4235/when-will-multi-modal-ml-out-perform-uni-modal-ml/	0
1781	1815	When will the first cloned human be born?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1537/when-will-the-first-cloned-human-be-born/	0
1782	1816	Does P = NP? Informally: If the solution to a problem is easy to check for correctness, must the problem be easy to solve?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1408/does-p--np-informally-if-the-solution-to-a-problem-is-easy-to-check-for-correctness-must-the-problem-be-easy-to-solve/	0
1783	1817	If alien life is discovered in the Solar System before 2050, which place will be the natural environment of the first extraterrestrial (Solar) life-form of which there is conclusive evidence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/593/if-alien-life-is-discovered-in-the-solar-system-before-2050-which-place-will-be-the-natural-environment-of-the-first-extraterrestrial-solar-life-form-of-which-there-is-conclusive-evidence/	0
1784	1818	Will our global atmospheric CO₂ concentration over the 2024 to 2027 period be on path to limit warming to 1.4°C by mid-century?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3410/will-our-global-atmospheric-co%25E2%2582%2582-concentration-over-the-2024-to-2027-period-be-on-path-to-limit-warming-to-14c-by-mid-century/	0
1785	1819	How many billions of tons of CO₂ will the United States emit in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4951/how-many-billions-of-tons-of-co%25E2%2582%2582-will-the-united-states-emit-in-2035/	0
1786	1820	Will the CDC adopt a Health at Every Size approach towards addressing obesity before 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5265/cdc-to-adopt-haes-by-2035/	0
1787	1821	Will an AI system do credibly well on a full math SAT exam by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/512/will-an-ai-system-do-credibly-well-on-a-full-math-sat-exam-by-2025/	0
1788	1822	Will the US conduct a nuclear test explosion before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4524/will-the-us-conduct-a-nuclear-test-explosion-before-2030/	0
1789	1823	Will Amazon accept Bitcoin before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6597/bitcoin-as-payment-method-accepted-by-amazon/	0
1790	1824	When will the first commercial Hyperloop system begin operations?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4519/when-will-the-first-commercial-hyperloop-system-begin-operations/	0
1791	1825	When will AI achieve competency on multi-choice questions across diverse fields of expertise?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5276/ai-competence-in-diverse-fields-of-expertise/	0
1792	1826	Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/211/stage-3-trials-of-mdma-as-a-medical-treatment/	0
1793	1827	Will Tesla become the largest car company in the world (by sales) prior to 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/980/will-tesla-become-the-largest-car-company-in-the-world-by-sales-prior-to-2035/	0
1794	1828	What will the state-of-the-art object detection performance on COCO be, at 2022-01-14 in box average precision (box AP)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6440/sota-object-detection-on-ms-coco-2022-01-14/	0
1795	1829	How much will the US federal government spend on protecting the environment in 2024 (in billions)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6068/us-federal-budget-for-environment-in-2024/	0
1796	1830	What fraction of England’s population will live in London at the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5301/a-city-exodus/	0
1797	1831	Will someone report to have received a hemispherectomy for the purpose of life extension before 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4969/will-someone-report-to-have-received-a-hemispherectomy-for-the-purpose-of-life-extension-before-2100/	0
1798	1832	If the James Webb Space Telescope is launched, will it succeed in transmitting cosmological data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1669/if-the-james-webb-space-telescope-is-launched-will-it-succeed-in-transmitting-cosmological-data/	0
1799	1833	When will the UK hold its next general election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6368/next-uk-general-election/	0
1800	1834	When will the average survival rate of all cancers exceed 75%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1654/when-will-the-average-survival-rate-of-all-cancers-exceed-75/	0
1801	1835	Ragnarök Question Series: By 2100 will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1493/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-by-2100-will-the-human-population-decrease-by-at-least-10-during-any-period-of-5-years/	0
1802	1836	What will be the 3-day mean geomagnetic forecast around Solar Cycle 25’s maximum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4975/what-will-be-the-3-day-mean-geomagnetic-forecast-around-solar-cycle-25s-maximum/	0
1803	1837	Will Charity Entrepreneurship launch a charity fortifying feed for hens as part of its 2021 incubation program?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7096/fortifying-feed-for-hens-charity-in-2021/	0
1804	1838	Will a space elevator successfully be built by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/917/will-a-space-elevator-successfully-be-built-by-2100/	0
1805	1839	3.6°C global warming by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1539/36c-global-warming-by-2100/	0
1806	1840	Fewer than 375M in extreme poverty by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1576/fewer-than-375m-in-extreme-poverty-by-2030/	0
1807	1841	What will North Korea's merchandise trade as a % of GDP be in 2045 per the most recent World Bank data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3833/what-will-north-koreas-merchandise-trade-as-a--of-gdp-be-in-2045-per-the-most-recent-world-bank-data/	0
1808	1842	What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, at 2024-12-14 in accuracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6302/sota-1-shot-on-miniimagenet-at-2024-12-14/	0
1809	1843	If Trump is not re-elected President, how many lawful permanent residents will reside in the US on January 1, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5126/if-trump-is-not-re-elected-president-how-many-lawful-permanent-residents-will-reside-in-the-us-on-january-1-2022/	0
1810	1844	When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5460/ai-rapidly-learning-to-play-a-simple-game/	0
1811	1845	When will WeRide begin testing their autonomous and fully driverless taxis in California?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6411/weride-autonomous-vehicle-testing-in-ca/	0
1812	1846	When will we have micropayments?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2592/when-will-we-have-micropayments/	0
1813	1847	Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1494/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-be-due-to-nuclear-war/	0
1814	1848	Will there be a 7.0 or larger earthquake either somewhere under or within 81 Kilometres the Eastern Mediterranean Sea in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6318/70-earthquake-east-mediterranean-in-2021/	0
1815	1849	What will be the total world military expenditure in 2021, as reported by SIPRI?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6436/world-military-expenditure-in-2021/	0
1816	1850	Will Moore's Law end by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/608/will-moores-law-end-by-2025/	0
1817	1851	How many emoji related court cases in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6361/emoji-court-cases-in-2021/	0
1818	1852	Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3351/will-guinea-worm-be-eradicated-by-the-end-of-2030/	0
1819	1853	When will the first publicly traded company achieve a $10 trillion market capitalisation?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1584/when-will-the-first-publicly-traded-company-achieve-a-10-trillion-market-capitalisation/	0
1820	1854	What the percentage of egg-laying hens will be cage-free, in the U.S., in June 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3344/what-the-percentage-of-egg-laying-hens-will-be-cage-free-in-the-us-in-june-2025/	0
1821	1855	When will programs write programs for us?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/405/when-will-programs-write-programs-for-us/	0
1822	1856	What will the Federal Reserves' Industrial Production Index be for December 2026, for semiconductors, printed circuit boards and related products?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5960/dec-2026-production-of-semiconductors/	0
1823	1857	When is the earliest day the world has less than 50,000 newly infected COVID-19 cases, on a three day average basis?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4367/when-is-the-earliest-day-the-world-has-less-than-50000-newly-infected-covid-19-cases-on-a-three-day-average-basis/	0
1824	1859	How much greenhouse gas will be emitted globally, in the calendar year 2030, in gigatonnes of CO₂ equivalent?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3678/how-much-greenhouse-gas-will-be-emitted-globally-in-the-calendar-year-2030-in-gigatonnes-of-co%25E2%2582%2582-equivalent/	0
1825	1860	Will either a space elevator or a skyhook have transported payloads in excess of 10 metric tons by the end of 2045?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3127/will-either-a-space-elevator-or-a-skyhook-have-transported-payloads-in-excess-of-10-metric-tons-by-the-end-of-2045/	0
1826	1861	When will a robot poker player win a significant live (not online) competition?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2641/when-will-a-robot-poker-player-win-a-significant-live-not-online-competition/	0
1827	1862	If there is a biotechnological or bioengineered organism catastrophe this century, when will it happen?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3023/if-there-is-a-biotechnological-or-bioengineered-organism-catastrophe-this-century-when-will-it-happen/	0
1828	1863	Will United States military troops be in Afghanistan on 2021-10-7?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7017/us-troops-in-afghanistan-a-last-detail/	0
1829	1864	What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their November 2022 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6516/performance-of-top-supercomputer-nov-2022/	0
1830	1865	How many new electric bus registrations will Europe see in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5572/electric-bus-registrations-2021/	0
1831	1866	What will be the minimum magnetic field strength during Solar Cycle 25?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4974/what-will-be-the-minimum-magnetic-field-strength-during-solar-cycle-25/	0
1832	1867	Will the SOO Green Renewable Rail project succeed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2729/will-the-soo-green-renewable-rail-project-succeed/	0
1833	1868	In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to animal welfare?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6977/ea-survey-2025-donations-to-animal-welfare/	0
1834	1869	What percentage of U.S. adults will self-report to follow a vegetarian diet in 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3337/what-percentage-of-us-adults-will-self-report-to-follow-a-vegetarian-diet-in-2028/	0
1835	1870	What will the price of IGM be, on 2023-02-14, in 2019 USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6543/closing-price-igm-on-2023-02-14/	0
1836	1871	Will Donald Trump spend any time in jail or prison?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/957/donald-trump-spends-time-in-jail-or-prison/	0
1837	1872	Will India have a successful crewed moon landing by end of 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5919/india-successful-crewed-moon-landing-by-2027/	0
1838	1873	What will the Human Development Index of the world be in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5676/2020-world-hdi/	0
1839	1875	What will be the average overall Global Health Security Index score for 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3277/what-will-be-the-average-overall-global-health-security-index-score-for-2030/	0
1840	1876	What will the maximum z-score be for Hungary for observed deaths in 2020-2021 according to Euromomo?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5640/max-excess-death-score-for-hungary-2020-2021/	0
1841	1877	Will Stacey Abrams be elected president in or before the 2040 election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3588/will-stacey-abrams-be-elected-president-in-or-before-the-2040-election/	0
1842	1878	By February 14 2023, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaFLOPS-days), used in training in an AI experiment?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6517/maximum-compute-ai-experiment-by-2023/	0
1843	1880	How many years after the silver Turing Test is passed will an AGI system be developed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4264/how-many-years-after-the-silver-turing-test-is-passed-will-an-agi-system-be-developed/	0
1844	1881	What will the state-of-the-art language text-to-SQL performance on WikiSQL be on 2023-02-14 in logical form test accuracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6568/sota-on-wikisql-2023-02-14/	0
1845	1882	Will the US see mass price controls in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4035/will-the-us-see-mass-price-controls-in-2021/	0
1846	1883	What will be the largest cultivated meat product production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single production facility, by January 1st, 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7035/cultivated-meat-production-capacity-2030/	0
1847	1884	How many new EV buses will be registered worldwide in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5682/new-ev-bus-registration-2025/	0
1848	1885	Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1502/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-be-due-to-biotechnology-or-bioengineered-organisms/	0
1849	1886	Will it turn out that the Keto diet is both safe and has health benefits for some identified and significant population of people?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3739/will-it-turn-out-that-the-keto-diet-is-both-safe-and-has-health-benefits-for-some-identified-and-significant-population-of-people/	0
1850	1887	Will a legacy automaker go bankrupt before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5212/legacy-automaker-bankruptcy-before-2030/	0
1851	1888	When will a company, in any country, generate $50M revenue from edible insect product sales alone, in a single year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3375/when-will-a-company-in-any-country-generate-50m-revenue-from-edible-insect-product-sales-alone-in-a-single-year/	0
1852	1889	What will be the total expenditures of the United Nations System in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4696/what-will-be-the-total-expenditures-of-the-united-nations-system-in-2050/	0
1853	1890	When will we be able to predict at least 10% of variance in Big Five agreeableness based on genetic information alone?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3518/when-will-we-be-able-to-predict-at-least-10-of-variance-in-big-five-agreeableness-based-on-genetic-information-alone/	0
1854	1891	When will an AI achieve competency in the Atari classic Montezuma’s Revenge?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/486/when-will-an-ai-achieve-competency-in-the-atari-classic-montezumas-revenge/	0
1855	1892	What will be the total damage incurred by climate change in the 21st century as measured by its impact on GDP?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4159/climate-change-damage-in-the-21st-century/	0
1856	1893	In what year will half of new cars sold in the US be fully autonomous?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/424/in-what-year-will-half-of-new-cars-sold-in-the-us-be-fully-autonomous/	0
1857	1894	Will more than 10,000 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired from Palestine at Israel in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7225/israel-palestine-crisis-2021--q6/	0
1858	1895	Will the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6179/second-us-civil-war-before-2031/	0
1859	1896	Will there be a major nuclear accident before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6378/major-nuclear-accident-before-2030/	0
1860	1897	When will there be a mile-high building?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/735/when-will-there-be-a-mile-high-building/	0
1861	1898	How many BIPs will be be approved and merged into bitcoin core in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6103/number-of-bips-adopted-in-2021/	0
1862	1899	Will most dark matter turn out to be primordial black holes?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6608/black-holes-as-dark-matter/	0
1863	1900	What will the average global atmospheric CO₂ concentration be, over the 2020-2021 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3237/what-will-the-average-global-atmospheric-co%25E2%2582%2582-concentration-be-over-the-2020-2021-period/	0
1864	1901	If the US does not pursue nuclear disarmament, how many nuclear warheads will it have in 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2820/if-the-us-does-not-pursue-nuclear-disarmament-how-many-nuclear-warheads-will-it-have-in-2029/	0
1865	1902	Will Binance default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7235/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-binance/	0
1866	1903	When will one TeraFlOPS cost <$1?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1416/when-will-one-teraflops-cost-1/	0
1867	1904	When there will be the first European trillion-dollar company?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6251/the-first-european-trillion-dollar-company/	0
1868	1905	Will NAD+ boosters be shown in a systematic review to increase human lifespan by >=5% by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4290/will-nad-boosters-be-shown-in-a-systematic-review-to-increase-human-lifespan-by-5-by-2030/	0
1869	1906	Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6616/cryonics-institute-to-go-bankrupt/	0
1870	1907	How many people will be employed in the US manufacturing industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6129/number-employed-in-us-manufacturing-2021/	0
1871	1908	13 month boxed mean of sunspots around the Solar 25 maximum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4971/13-month-boxed-mean-of-sunspots-around-the-solar-25-maximum/	0
1872	1909	Pandemic series: a devastating bioterror attack by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/255/pandemic-series-a-devastating-bioterror-attack-by-2025/	0
1873	1910	What will the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU be, on December 14, 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5951/top-price-performance-in-g3d-mark--of-gpu/	0
1874	1911	Will the Forethought Foundation have more than two full-time equivalent employees in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7101/forethought-foundation-to-flounder-by-25/	0
1875	1912	How much revenue will the U.S. market for clean meat generate, in the fiscal year 2030, in millions of USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3077/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-market-for-clean-meat-generate-in-the-fiscal-year-2030-in-millions-of-usd/	0
1876	1913	When will American Metaculus users face an emigration crisis?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5287/when-will-america-have-an-emigration-crisis/	0
1877	1914	What will be the median salary for Triplebyte engineers in the ML / Data Science role by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5561/triplebyte-ml-engineer-salary/	0
1878	1915	When will a universal flu vaccine be available?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4791/when-will-a-universal-flu-vaccine-be-available/	0
1879	1916	Will anyone be convicted for the possession of Bitcoin before 2060 in the United States?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7209/will-bitcoin-possession-be-illegal/	0
1880	1917	How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6250/reinforcement-learning-2021-01-14-2022-01-14/	0
1881	1918	Will any of the nonprofits incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship become a future ACE top or standout charity by Jan 1, 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6021/ce-to-incubate-ace-recommended-ngo-by-2025/	0
1882	1919	How many spaceflight-related fatalities will occur between January 1 2020 and January 1 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1622/how-many-spaceflight-related-fatalities-will-occur-between-january-1-2020-and-january-1-2025/	0
1883	1920	What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2023-02-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6565/sota-one-shot-on-miniimagenet-2023-02-14/	0
1884	1921	Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/797/will-puerto-rico-become-a-us-state-prior-to-2035/	0
1885	1922	What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2023-02-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6537/image-classification-index-be-on-2023-02-14/	0
1886	1923	How many Executive Orders per week will President Biden issue?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6311/biden-executive-orders-in-first-term/	0
1887	1924	Will Facebook block links to Bitchute before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5635/facebook-block-links-to-bitchute-before-2023/	0
1888	1925	Will there be an openly LGBT Pope before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2619/will-there-be-an-openly-lgbt-pope-before-2050/	0
1889	1926	How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on arXiv over the 2020-01-01 to 2027-01-01 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5962/few-shot-learning-2020-12-14-to-2027-01-01/	0
1890	1927	When will the average ticket price in US cinemas be $10 or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1428/when-will-the-average-ticket-price-in-us-cinemas-be-10-or-more/	0
1891	1928	When will Boris Johnson cease to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2959/when-will-boris-johnson-cease-to-be-prime-minister-of-the-united-kingdom/	0
1892	1929	When will any country stop using cash currency?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1449/when-will-any-country-stop-using-cash-currency/	0
1893	1930	What will the global weighted-average levelized cost of energy of onshore wind be in 2022, in 2018 USD per kWh?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3581/what-will-the-global-weighted-average-levelized-cost-of-energy-of-onshore-wind-be-in-2022-in-2018-usd-per-kwh/	0
1894	1931	What will the US police-to-prison spending ratio be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4907/what-will-the-us-police-to-prison-spending-ratio-be-in-2030/	0
1895	1932	How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is less than $8 per kg?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3113/how-many-commercial-cattle-in-millions-will-be-slaughtered-in-the-us-in-2032-if-the-lowest-retail-price-of-clean-meat-in-2026-is-less-than-8-per-kg/	0
1896	1933	When will NASA's SLS first launch a person to the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2818/when-will-nasas-sls-first-launch-a-person-to-the-moon/	0
1897	1934	Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5716/longbets-oil-consumed-in-us-in-2035-vs-2015/	0
1898	1935	A decrease in US meat production by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/281/a-decrease-in-us-meat-production-by-2025/	0
1899	1936	What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6545/it-as--of-gdp-in-q3-2022/	0
1900	1937	When the first company reaches a $4 trillion market cap, will it be worth at least double what it was the year before?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5178/doubling-value-company/	0
1901	1938	When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1655/when-will-there-be-a-breakthrough-in-the-treatment-of-hard-to-treat-cancers/	0
1902	1939	How many parameters (in billions) is needed to achieve superhuman few-shot performance on SuperGLUE?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5218/scaling-to-few-shot-human-level-performance/	0
1903	1940	What will be the 13 month moving average of sunspots around Solar Cycle 25's minimum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5046/what-will-be-the-13-month-moving-average-of-sunspots-around-solar-cycle-25s-minimum/	0
1904	1941	In what year will the total number of hen eggs produced annually in the U.S. be 100 billion or less?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3246/in-what-year-will-the-total-number-of-hen-eggs-produced-annually-in-the-us-be-100-billion-or-less/	0
1905	1942	When will an algorithm be able to predict the Big Five personality traits of a person from a naturalistic photograph or video?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6685/date-for-ml-visual-predictor-of-the-big-five/	0
1906	1943	Will variants of concerns thought to partially escape immunity make up more than 50% of samples sequenced in Virginia on 29 August - 11 September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7128/vocs-to-make-up-50-of-virginia-sequences/	0
1907	1944	When will a climber beat Alex Honnold and Tommy Caldwell's record for climbing the Nose of El Capitan?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1053/when-will-a-climber-beat-alex-honnold-and-tommy-caldwells-record-for-climbing-the-nose-of-el-capitan/	0
1908	1945	Will any executives be imprisoned for corporate crimes before 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5768/prison-for-corporate-crooks/	0
1909	1946	When will the Sentinelese cease to be an uncontacted people?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5405/end-of-north-sentinelese-isolation/	0
1910	1947	When will we see the first viable human case of in vitro gametogenesis?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7385/first-human-in-vitro-gametogenesis/	0
1911	1948	When will there be a publicly listed clean meat company?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3058/when-will-there-be-a-publicly-listed-clean-meat-company/	0
1912	1949	Will CarbonCure still exist in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4864/will-carboncure-still-exist-in-2030/	0
1913	1950	When will the first openly furry person be elected to a major US office?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6839/first-openly-furry-us-official/	0
1914	1951	Will the Supreme Court grant a writ of certiorari to a case challenging the male-only draft as unconstitutional on the grounds of sex-discrimination by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6853/will-scotus-hear-a-male-only-draft-case/	0
1915	1952	Will there be a complete 4 year interval by 2050 in which world output doubles?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5406/world-output-doubles-in-4-years-by-2050/	0
1916	1953	If Biden becomes president, will the sentencing disparity between crack and powder cocaine be ended by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4586/if-biden-becomes-president-will-the-sentencing-disparity-between-crack-and-powder-cocaine-be-ended-by-2024/	0
1917	1954	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Scientific Research in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7420/open-phil-scientific-research-grants-2030/	0
1918	1955	Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7215/sec-approves-bitcoin-etf/	0
1919	1956	Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4549/will-george-church-receive-a-nobel-prize-in-any-category-before-the-end-of-2035/	0
1920	1957	Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3629/will-the-national-popular-vote-interstate-compact-reach-majority-in-the-electoral-college-before-2030/	0
1921	1958	When will a SpaceX Super Heavy Booster fly?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6947/first-super-heavy-flight/	0
1922	1959	Will any Member State leave the Eurozone by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2616/will-any-member-state-leave-the-eurozone-by-2025/	0
1923	1960	Will there be a total solar eclipse on June 25, 2522?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/111/will-there-be-a-total-solar-eclipse-on-june-25-2522/	0
1924	1961	Longbets series: will the June, 2025 Labor Force Participation Rate and unemployment rate, reported by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, be, respectively above 60 percent and below 7.5 percent?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5866/longbets-low-unemployment-but-low-lfpr-2025/	0
1925	1962	When will the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope be launched?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7299/roman-space-telescope-launch-date/	0
1926	1963	Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7407/deliberate-nuclear-detonation-by-2024/	0
1927	1964	How big will the Trade Signal Tournament prize pool be on 2021-09-30?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7465/trade-signal-tournament-prize-pool-2021-09-30/	0
1928	1965	When will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4443/when-will-china-surpass-the-united-states-economically-militarily-and-scientifically/	0
1929	1966	What will the price of neuropreservation be at Alcor in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5585/neuropreservation-price-at-alcor-2030/	0
1930	1967	How much revenue will the SENS research foundation receive in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7198/sens-research-foundation-revenue-2021/	0
1931	1968	When will The Boring Company tunnel faster than a snail?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4692/when-will-the-boring-company-tunnel-faster-than-a-snail/	0
1932	1969	Longbets series: will the annual rate of US labor productivity growth for the year 2025, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, be 2 percent or above?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5865/longbets-us-productivity-growth-2-2025/	0
1933	1970	Will there be another case of smallpox by the end of 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2823/will-there-be-another-case-of-smallpox-by-the-end-of-2029/	0
1934	1971	Will The Kidney Project's implantable bioartificial kidney receive FDA approval before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6475/implantable-bioartificial-kidney-fda-approval/	0
1935	1972	Will Metaculus Inc. host a prediction market prior to 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4630/will-metaculus-inc-host-a-prediction-market-prior-to-2024/	0
1936	1973	When will Texas (ERCOT) next experience rotating electricity outages?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7391/next-texas-electricity-grid-outage/	0
1937	1974	Will global fertility drop to 0.25 births per woman by 2045?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6870/025-births-per-woman-globally-by-2045/	0
1938	1975	When will Croatia adopt the euro?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4587/when-will-croatia-adopt-the-euro/	0
1939	1976	Will the UK's NHS recommend Vitamin D supplementation as a protective measure against coronavirus before the end of the pandemic?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5317/nhs-to-recommend-vit-d-supp/	0
1940	1977	What will be the USA's GDP at the end of 2025 in trillions of dollars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7006/gdp-of-the-usa-for-2025/	0
1941	1978	Will our global atmospheric CO₂ concentration over the 2020 to 2023 period be on path to limit warming to 1.4°C by mid-century?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3409/will-our-global-atmospheric-co%25E2%2582%2582-concentration-over-the-2020-to-2023-period-be-on-path-to-limit-warming-to-14c-by-mid-century/	0
1942	1979	When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4799/when-will-vladimir-putin-cease-to-hold-the-office-of-president-of-russia/	0
1943	1980	Drake's Equation 4th parameter f_l: On what fraction of habitable planets does any form of life emerge?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1340/drakes-equation-4th-parameter-f_l/	0
1944	1981	One Million Martian Residents by 2075?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3519/one-million-martian-residents-by-2075/	0
1945	1982	When will a supermarket sell a product made of ≥20% clean meat, for $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3087/when-will-a-supermarket-sell-a-product-made-of-20-clean-meat-for-3-per-100-grams-or-cheaper/	0
1946	1983	Will the ICJ resolve the Belizean–Guatemalan territorial dispute in favour of Belize?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6984/belizeanguatemalan-territorial-dispute/	0
1947	1984	When will the halting problem for the Collatz Program be resolved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2806/when-will-the-halting-problem-for-the-collatz-program-be-resolved/	0
1948	1985	Will Median Bay Area House Prices decline by >= 5% in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6307/median-bay-area-house-prices-in-2021/	0
1949	1986	How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7318/ea-survey-responses-2030/	0
1950	1987	What will be the total expenditure on the military in the US in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7194/us-military-expenditure-in-2022/	0
1951	1988	In 2050 what will be the all-time tennis slam singles record for men?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6890/all-time-tennis-slam-record-in-2050/	0
1952	1989	What will be the income ratio between men and women employed full-time by 2025 in the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6070/us-gender-income-ratio-by-2025/	0
1953	1990	Will a sample of negative energy be produced by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/600/will-a-sample-of-negative-energy-be-produced-by-2100/	0
1954	1991	Will a sitting US president not seek reelection before the 2080 election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4037/will-a-sitting-us-president-not-seek-reelection-before-the-2080-election/	0
1955	1992	Will the number of living humans who have walked on another world fall to zero?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/615/will-the-number-of-living-humans-who-have-walked-on-another-world-fall-to-zero/	0
1956	1993	In the 2024 US presidential election, how many states will use plurality voting methods to choose their electors?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4848/in-the-2024-us-presidential-election-how-many-states-will-use-plurality-voting-methods-to-choose-their-electors/	0
1957	1994	When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7104/birthdate-of-the-first-human-to-live-to-1000/	0
1958	1995	When will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6460/date-of-next-millennium-prize-problem-proof/	0
1959	1996	How many years will caloric restriction be demonstrated to add to one's natural lifespan?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4094/how-many-years-will-caloric-restriction-be-demonstrated-to-add-to-ones-natural-lifespan/	0
1960	1997	Will a third LIGO detector be built in India by 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1536/will-a-third-ligo-detector-be-built-in-india-by-2027/	0
1961	1998	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on WikiText-103 be at 2024-12-14 in perplexity?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6229/sota-on-wikitext-103-2024-12-14/	0
1962	1999	How much will the total U.S. plant-based foods market be worth in the year ending in April 2023, in millions of USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3108/how-much-will-the-total-us-plant-based-foods-market-be-worth-in-the-year-ending-in-april-2023-in-millions-of-usd/	0
1963	2000	In 2029, will the US have as many or fewer nuclear warheads than it did in 2019?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2817/us-having-fewer-nukes-in-2029-than-2019/	0
1964	2001	How many months till at least three, billion dollar clean meat valuations after the first such company is first valued at ≥ $1bn?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3062/how-many-months-till-at-least-three-billion-dollar-clean-meat-valuations-after-the-first-such-company-is-first-valued-at--1bn/	0
1965	2002	When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4292/ai-masters-poohsticks/	0
1966	2003	When will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1048/when-will-the-next-millennium-prize-problem-be-solved/	0
1967	2004	Will EQRx get at least one drug approved by the FDA before the end of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3507/will-eqrx-get-at-least-one-drug-approved-by-the-fda-before-the-end-of-2030/	0
1968	2005	Will the GOP control the senate after the 2022 election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5632/will-the-gop-control-the-senate-in-2023/	0
1969	2006	What percentage of fish produced worldwide will be stunned prior to slaughter, in the first year in which credible estimates are published in the five year period starting in 2027	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3389/what-percentage-of-fish-produced-worldwide-will-be-stunned-prior-to-slaughter-in-the-first-year-in-which-credible-estimates-are-published-in-the-five-year-period-starting-in-2027/	0
1970	2007	What is the greatest number of people who, for non-medical purposes, use a newly discovered drug at any year between 2021 and 2070?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4418/what-is-the-greatest-number-of-people-who-for-non-medical-purposes-use-a-newly-discovered-drug-at-any-year-between-2021-and-2070/	0
1971	2008	What will Google Trends search interest for Donald Trump be in July 2024 as a percentage of in November 2016?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4914/trump-search-interest-in-jul-2024-vs-nov-2016/	0
1972	2009	Will a charity primarily operating in China become an ACE Top Charity in 2021 or 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6023/charity-in-china-to-ace-aces-criteria/	0
1973	2010	Will the Open Courts Act become law?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5884/pacer-to-become-free/	0
1974	2011	How much money will be donated to ACE in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6026/2021-donations-to-animal-charity-evaluators/	0
1975	2012	When will the US achieve racial unemployment parity between racial groups labeled 'black' and 'white' by the Bureau of Labor Statistics?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6064/us-black-white-unemployment-parity/	0
1976	2013	What is the largest amount of iron that will be used to fertilise an ocean as part of a single geoengineering effort, by the end of 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3457/what-is-the-largest-amount-of-iron-that-will-be-used-to-fertilise-an-ocean-as-part-of-a-single-geoengineering-effort-by-the-end-of-2026/	0
1977	2014	What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3104/what-will-the-lowest-retail-price-in-usd-per-kg-of-any-product-containing-50-clean-meat-be-in-the-calendar-year-2029/	0
1978	2015	Will the United States House of Representatives expel, censure, and/or reprimand a House Member before September 3, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6659/us-house-punishes-member-by-2022-09-03/	0
1979	2016	Will there be a cease-fire or peace agreement in the Yemeni Civil War in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6792/peace-in-yemen-in-2021/	0
1980	2017	Will the mean year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops in the TOP500 decline each 3-year period from 2025 to 2034?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3361/will-the-mean-year-over-year-growth-rate-of-the-sum-of-teraflops-in-the-top500-decline-each-3-year-period-from-2025-to-2034/	0
1981	2018	When will a technology replace screens?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4577/when-will-a-technology-replace-screens/	0
1982	2019	What will the the sum of the level of performance (in exaFLOPS) of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be according to their November 2022 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6513/sum-of-performance-supercomputers-nov-2022/	0
1983	2020	Will the significant discrepancies in Hubble parameter determinations be resolved by 2030 within the ΛCDM standard cosmological model?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3021/will-the-significant-discrepancies-in-hubble-parameter-determinations-be-resolved-by-2030-within-the-%25CE%25BBcdm-standard-cosmological-model/	0
1984	2021	How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2030-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6299/nlo-e-prints-2021-01-14-to-2030-01-14/	0
1985	2022	How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions change from December 2020 to January 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6572/change-in-automation-dec-20-jan-30/	0
1986	2023	Will the Kármán Line be changed before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1683/will-the-k%25C3%25A1rm%25C3%25A1n-line-be-changed-before-2023/	0
1987	2024	How much revenue will the U.S. market for clean meat generate, in the fiscal year 2027, in millions of USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3065/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-market-for-clean-meat-generate-in-the-fiscal-year-2027-in-millions-of-usd/	0
1988	2025	Will FreeTON cryptocurrency project be successful?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4934/will-freeton-cryptocurrency-project-be-successful/	0
1989	2026	When will a spacecraft overtake Voyager-1 in distance from the Sun?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/653/when-will-a-spacecraft-overtake-voyager-1-in-distance-from-the-sun/	0
1990	2027	What will SpaceX be worth in 2030? [125B-100T range]	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4927/what-will-spacex-be-worth-in-2030-125b-100t-range/	0
1991	2028	What will the the sum of the level of performance (in exaFLOPS) of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be according to their November 2026 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5949/total-compute-top500-supercomputers-nov-2026/	0
1992	2029	Will any asteroid or comet have been mined in space for commercial purposes before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1662/will-any-asteroid-or-comet-have-been-mined-in-space-for-commercial-purposes-before-2030/	0
1993	2030	What will inflation be in the US in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4033/what-will-inflation-be-in-the-us-in-2021/	0
1994	2031	What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4701/what-percentage-of-vehicles-on-us-roads-will-be-fully-electric-by-2030/	0
1995	2032	Will George R. R. Martin die before the final book of A Song Of Ice And Fire is published?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1681/will-george-r-r-martin-die-before-the-final-book-of-a-song-of-ice-and-fire-is-published/	0
1996	2033	Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will Psilocybin be a clinically approved treatment for end-of-life anxiety by 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1385/qualia-research-institute-question-series-will-psilocybin-be-a-clinically-approved-treatment-for-end-of-life-anxiety-by-2027/	0
1997	2034	When will there be a publicly listed clean fish company?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3059/when-will-there-be-a-publicly-listed-clean-fish-company/	0
1998	2037	What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2026-12-14 in top-1 accuracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6228/sota-on-imagenet-2026-12-14/	0
1999	2038	If DNA alterations continue to require FDA approval by default, how many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be determined as safe to eat, by the end of July 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3155/if-dna-alterations-continue-to-require-fda-approval-by-default-how-many-intentionally-genomic-dna-altered-animals-will-be-determined-as-safe-to-eat-by-the-end-of-july-2025/	0
2000	2039	What percent will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q4 of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5958/it-as--of-gdp-in-q4-2030/	0
2001	2040	If cryonics is at some point offered for free, what percentage of Americans will be signed up within 10 years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4052/if-cryonics-is-at-some-point-offered-for-free-what-percentage-of-americans-will-be-signed-up-within-10-years/	0
2002	2041	Will Metaculus predict that artificial intelligence continues to pose a global catastrophic risk?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1538/will-metaculus-predict-that-artificial-intelligence-continues-to-pose-a-global-catastrophic-risk/	0
2003	2042	Will UK inflation as expressed by the Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers' housing costs (CPIH) exceed 4% before 31 December 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7641/uk-inflation-prediction-in-2021/	0
2004	2043	Which party will win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6867/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election	0
2005	2044	Which party will control the Senate after 2022 election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6874/Which-party-will-control-the-Senate-after-2022-election	0
2006	2045	Which party will win the House in the 2022 election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6892/Which-party-will-win-the-House-in-the-2022-election	0
2007	2046	Will there be more than 9 Supreme Court justices at any point in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6946/Will-there-be-more-than-9-Supreme-Court-justices-at-any-point-in-2021	0
2008	2047	Will Kamala Harris file to run for president before the end of 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6953/Will-Kamala-Harris-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2022	0
2009	2048	Will Mike Pence file to run for president before the end of 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6975/Will-Mike-Pence-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2022	0
2010	2049	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run in the 2022 Democratic primary in NY-14?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6983/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-run-in-the-2022-Democratic-primary-in-NY-14	0
2011	2050	Will Donald Trump file to run for president before the end of 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6994/Will-Donald-Trump-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2021	0
2012	2051	Which party will win the 2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7000/Which-party-will-win-the-2021-New-Jersey-gubernatorial-election	0
2013	2052	Which party will win the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7001/Which-party-will-win-the-2021-Virginia-gubernatorial-election	0
2014	2053	Who will be elected New York City mayor in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7002/Who-will-be-elected-New-York-City-mayor-in-2021	0
2015	2054	Will a woman be elected U.S. president in 2024?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7013/Will-a-woman-be-elected-US-president-in-2024	0
2016	2055	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez file to run for president before the end of 2023?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7014/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2023	0
2017	2056	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run in the 2022 NY Democratic Senate primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7015/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-run-in-the-2022-NY-Democratic-Senate-primary	0
2018	2057	Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7016/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Pennsylvania-in-2022	0
2019	2058	Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7017/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-North-Carolina-in-2022	0
2020	2059	Will Donald Trump Jr. run in the 2022 Pennsylvania Republican Senate primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7018/Will-Donald-Trump-Jr-run-in-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Republican-Senate-primary	0
2021	2060	Will Lara Trump run in the 2022 North Carolina Republican Senate primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7019/Will-Lara-Trump-run-in-the-2022-North-Carolina-Republican-Senate-primary	0
2022	2061	Will Ivanka Trump run in the 2022 Florida Republican Senate primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7021/Will-Ivanka-Trump-run-in-the-2022-Florida-Republican-Senate-primary	0
2023	2062	Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Florida in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7024/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Florida-in-2022	0
2024	2063	Who will be chancellor of Germany on Dec. 31?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7040/Who-will-be-chancellor-of-Germany-on-Dec-31	0
2025	2064	Who will win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7053/Who-will-win-the-2024-Republican-presidential-nomination	0
2026	2065	Who will win the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination	0
2027	2066	Who will be elected mayor of Boston in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7068/Who-will-be-elected-mayor-of-Boston-in-2021	0
2028	2067	Will Biden policy to raise minimum wage to $15 per hour in 2021 succeed?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7075/Will-Biden-policy-to-raise-minimum-wage-to-$15-per-hour-in-2021-succeed	0
2029	2068	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2022 Arkansas GOP gubernatorial primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7082/Will-Sarah-Huckabee-Sanders-win-the-2022-Arkansas-GOP-gubernatorial-primary	0
2030	2069	Will the District of Columbia become a U.S. state in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7083/Will-the-District-of-Columbia-become-a-US-state-in-2021	0
2031	2070	Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Ohio in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7085/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Ohio-in-2022	0
2032	2071	Who will win the 2022 Ohio Republican Senate primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7087/Who-will-win-the-2022-Ohio-Republican-Senate-primary	0
2033	2072	Will Puerto Rico become a U.S. state in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7088/Will-Puerto-Rico-become-a-US-state-in-2021	0
2034	2073	Will Liz Cheney win the 2022 House GOP nomination in WY-AL?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7103/Will-Liz-Cheney-win-the-2022-House-GOP-nomination-in-WY-AL	0
2035	2074	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Georgia?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7107/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-Georgia	0
2036	2075	Will Alexander Lukashenko be President of Belarus through the end of the 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7111/Will-Alexander-Lukashenko-be-President-of-Belarus-through-the-end-of-the-2021	0
2037	2076	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7112/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-Arizona	0
2038	2077	Who will win the 2021 Manhattan District Attorney election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7116/Who-will-win-the-2021-Manhattan-District-Attorney-election	0
2039	2078	Which of these 10 African leaders will leave office next?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7117/Which-of-these-10-African-leaders-will-leave-office-next	0
2040	2079	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be re-elected to the House in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7118/Will-Marjorie-Taylor-Greene-be-re-elected-to-the-House-in-2022	0
2041	2080	How many Biden Cabinet members will Josh Hawley vote against?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7119/How-many-Biden-Cabinet-members-will-Josh-Hawley-vote-against	0
2042	2081	Who will be the next Senate-confirmed Assistant Attorney General for Antitrust?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7120/Who-will-be-the-next-Senate-confirmed-Assistant-Attorney-General-for-Antitrust	0
2043	2082	Which of these ten G20 leaders will leave office next?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7124/Which-of-these-ten-G20-leaders-will-leave-office-next	0
2044	2083	Who will win the 2022 Ohio Democratic Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7126/Who-will-win-the-2022-Ohio-Democratic-Senate-nomination	0
2045	2084	Who will win the 2022 Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7127/Who-will-win-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Democratic-Senate-nomination	0
2046	2085	Who will win the 2022 Pennsylvania Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7129/Who-will-win-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2047	2086	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7130/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-New-Hampshire	0
2048	2087	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Nevada?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7131/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-Nevada	0
2049	2088	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Wisconsin?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7132/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-Wisconsin	0
2050	2089	Who will be the next Senate-confirmed OMB Director?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7134/Who-will-be-the-next-Senate-confirmed-OMB-Director	0
2051	2090	Will Joe Biden resign during his first term?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7136/Will-Joe-Biden-resign-during-his-first-term	0
2052	2091	Will Adam Kinzinger win the 2022 GOP nomination in any Illinois House district?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7141/Will-Adam-Kinzinger-win-the-2022-GOP-nomination-in-any-Illinois-House-district	0
2053	2092	Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York at the end of the year?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7142/Will-Andrew-Cuomo-be-Governor-of-New-York-at-the-end-of-the-year	0
2054	2093	Which of these 10 European leaders will leave office next?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7144/Which-of-these-10-European-leaders-will-leave-office-next	0
2055	2094	Who will be elected mayor of Seattle in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7154/Who-will-be-elected-mayor-of-Seattle-in-2021	0
2056	2095	Who will be the next Senate-confirmed U.S. Ambassador to China?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7155/Who-will-be-the-next-Senate-confirmed-US-Ambassador-to-China	0
2057	2096	Who will win the 2022 Georgia Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7157/Who-will-win-the-2022-Georgia-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2058	2097	Which state will hold the first Democratic primary for the 2024 nominee?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7158/Which-state-will-hold-the-first-Democratic-primary-for-the-2024-nominee	0
2059	2098	Who will win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7162/Who-will-win-the-2022-Missouri-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2060	2099	Who will win the 2022 North Carolina Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7163/Who-will-win-the-2022-North-Carolina-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2061	2100	Will the Senate end filibuster on any bill with less than 3/5 support in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7164/Will-the-Senate-end-filibuster-on-any-bill-with-less-than-3-5-support-in-2021	0
2062	2101	How many tie-breaking Senate votes will Kamala Harris cast in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7168/How-many-tie-breaking-Senate-votes-will-Kamala-Harris-cast-in-2021	0
2063	2102	Will Anthony Gonzalez win the 2022 GOP nomination in any Ohio House district?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7170/Will-Anthony-Gonzalez-win-the-2022-GOP-nomination-in-any-Ohio-House-district	0
2064	2103	What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2022 election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7172/What-will-be-the-balance-of-power-in-Congress-after-the-2022-election	0
2065	2104	Who will win the 2022 New York Democratic gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7173/Who-will-win-the-2022-New-York-Democratic-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2066	2105	Who will win the 2022 North Carolina Democratic Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7175/Who-will-win-the-2022-North-Carolina-Democratic-Senate-nomination	0
2067	2106	Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Alaska in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7176/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Alaska-in-2022	0
2068	2107	Who will win the 2022 Wisconsin Democratic Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7180/Who-will-win-the-2022-Wisconsin-Democratic-Senate-nomination	0
2069	2108	Who will win the 2022 Alabama Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7182/Who-will-win-the-2022-Alabama-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2070	2109	Who will win the 2022 Iowa Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7190/Who-will-win-the-2022-Iowa-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2071	2110	Who will win the 2022 Wisconsin Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7194/Who-will-win-the-2022-Wisconsin-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2072	2111	Will Israel hold a second national election for Knesset in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7197/Will-Israel-hold-a-second-national-election-for-Knesset-in-2021	0
2073	2112	Who will win the 2022 Georgia Republican gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7198/Who-will-win-the-2022-Georgia-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2074	2113	Will Canada hold national parliamentary elections in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7200/Will-Canada-hold-national-parliamentary-elections-in-2021	0
2075	2114	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Missouri?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7204/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-Missouri	0
2076	2115	Who will win the 2022 Georgia Republican Secretary of State nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7205/Who-will-win-the-2022-Georgia-Republican-Secretary-of-State-nomination	0
2077	2116	Who will win the 2022 Missouri Democratic Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7206/Who-will-win-the-2022-Missouri-Democratic-Senate-nomination	0
2078	2117	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Iowa?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7208/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-Iowa	0
2079	2118	Will Xi Jinping be re-elected CCP General Secretary before 2023?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7209/Will-Xi-Jinping-be-re-elected-CCP-General-Secretary-before-2023	0
2080	2119	Will Hu Chunhua be elected to the CCP Politburo Standing Committee before 2023?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7210/Will-Hu-Chunhua-be-elected-to-the-CCP-Politburo-Standing-Committee-before-2023	0
2081	2120	Who will win the 2022 Florida gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7211/Who-will-win-the-2022-Florida-gubernatorial-election	0
2082	2121	Who will be the governor of California on Dec. 31?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7214/Who-will-be-the-governor-of-California-on-Dec-31	0
2083	2122	Will Automatic Voter Registration become law in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7217/Will-Automatic-Voter-Registration-become-law-in-2021	0
2084	2123	Who will win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7229/Who-will-win-the-2022-Arizona-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2085	2124	How many refugees will Biden authorize to be admitted in the next fiscal year?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7233/How-many-refugees-will-Biden-authorize-to-be-admitted-in-the-next-fiscal-year	0
2086	2125	Who will be prime minister of Israel on Dec. 31?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7234/Who-will-be-prime-minister-of-Israel-on-Dec-31	0
2087	2126	What will be the corporate tax rate for 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7237/What-will-be-the-corporate-tax-rate-for-2022	0
2088	2127	Who will win the 2022 Texas Republican gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7240/Who-will-win-the-2022-Texas-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2089	2128	Who will win the 2022 Texas Democratic gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7241/Who-will-win-the-2022-Texas-Democratic-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2090	2129	Who will win the 2022 Nevada Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7253/Who-will-win-the-2022-Nevada-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2091	2130	How many incumbent U.S. Senators will be re-elected in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7254/How-many-incumbent-US-Senators-will-be-re-elected-in-2022	0
2092	2131	Who will win the 2022 Massachusetts gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7257/Who-will-win-the-2022-Massachusetts-gubernatorial-election	0
2093	2132	Who will win the 2022 New Hampshire Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7258/Who-will-win-the-2022-New-Hampshire-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2094	2133	Who will finish first in the 2021 mayoral primary in Cleveland?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7261/Who-will-finish-first-in-the-2021-mayoral-primary-in-Cleveland	0
2095	2134	Will Donald Trump file to run for president before the end of 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7266/Will-Donald-Trump-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2022	0
2096	2135	Who will win the 2022 Ohio Republican gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7270/Who-will-win-the-2022-Ohio-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2097	2136	Who will win the 2022 Ohio Democratic gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7271/Who-will-win-the-2022-Ohio-Democratic-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2098	2137	Will Lisa Murkowski be re-elected in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7274/Will-Lisa-Murkowski-be-re-elected-in-2022	0
2099	2138	Who will be elected Atlanta mayor in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7275/Who-will-be-elected-Atlanta-mayor-in-2021	0
2100	2139	Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court justice in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7286/Will-the-Senate-confirm-a-Supreme-Court-justice-in-2021	0
2101	2140	Who will win the 2022 Florida Democratic Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7288/Who-will-win-the-2022-Florida-Democratic-Senate-nomination	0
2102	2141	Will Kevin McCarthy testify publicly before the Jan. 6 Committee in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7295/Will-Kevin-McCarthy-testify-publicly-before-the-Jan-6-Committee-in-2021	0
2103	2142	Who will win the 2022 New York Republican gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7307/Who-will-win-the-2022-New-York-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2104	2143	Who will win the 2022 Texas Republican attorney general nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7312/Who-will-win-the-2022-Texas-Republican-attorney-general-nomination	0
2105	2144	How many successful filibusters will there be in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7324/How-many-successful-filibusters-will-there-be-in-2021	0
2106	2145	Who will be Speaker of the House of Representatives in the next Congress?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7326/Who-will-be-Speaker-of-the-House-of-Representatives-in-the-next-Congress	0
2107	2146	Will Donald Trump run for the House of Representatives in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7327/Will-Donald-Trump-run-for-the-House-of-Representatives-in-2022	0
2108	2147	Who will win the 2022 Idaho Republican gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7329/Who-will-win-the-2022-Idaho-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2109	2148	Who will win the 2022 Pennsylvania Democratic gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7343/Who-will-win-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Democratic-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2110	2149	Who will win the 2022 Pennsylvania Republican gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7348/Who-will-win-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2111	2150	How many VA House seats will Democrats win in the 2021 election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7349/How-many-VA-House-seats-will-Democrats-win-in-the-2021-election	0
2112	2151	Who will be elected president of Chile in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7350/Who-will-be-elected-president-of-Chile-in-2021	0
2113	2152	Who will be elected president of Brazil in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7358/Who-will-be-elected-president-of-Brazil-in-2022	0
2114	2153	Who will be elected president of France in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7360/Who-will-be-elected-president-of-France-in-2022	0
2115	2154	Enough signatures for a vote on recall of LA County DA George Gascón?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7361/Enough-signatures-for-a-vote-on-recall-of-LA-County-DA-George-Gascón	0
2116	2155	Will marijuana be rescheduled under the Controlled Substances Act by April 20?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7363/Will-marijuana-be-rescheduled-under-the-Controlled-Substances-Act-by-April-20	0
2117	2156	Who will be elected president of Colombia in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7371/Who-will-be-elected-president-of-Colombia-in-2022	0
2118	2157	Which party will win the 2022 Michigan gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7377/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Michigan-gubernatorial-election	0
2119	2158	Which party will win the 2022 Wisconsin gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7378/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Wisconsin-gubernatorial-election	0
2120	2159	Will Tracy Stone-Manning be confirmed as BLM Director by Oct. 8?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7379/Will-Tracy-Stone-Manning-be-confirmed-as-BLM-Director-by-Oct-8	0
2121	2160	Which party will win the 2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7380/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Pennsylvania-gubernatorial-election	0
2122	2161	Which party will win the 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7383/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Arizona-gubernatorial-election	0
2123	2162	Which party will win the 2022 Kansas gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7384/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Kansas-gubernatorial-election	0
2124	2163	Which party will win the 2022 Georgia gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7386/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Georgia-gubernatorial-election	0
2125	2164	Which party will win the 2022 Maryland gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7387/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Maryland-gubernatorial-election	0
2126	2165	Which party will win the 2022 Nevada gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7391/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Nevada-gubernatorial-election	0
2127	2166	Who will be elected president of the Philippines in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7392/Who-will-be-elected-president-of-the-Philippines-in-2022	0
2128	2167	Which party will win the 2022 Maine gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7394/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Maine-gubernatorial-election	0
2129	2168	Who will be elected Buffalo, NY mayor in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7395/Who-will-be-elected-Buffalo,-NY-mayor-in-2021	0
2130	2169	Whom will the Senate next confirm as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7398/Whom-will-the-Senate-next-confirm-as-Chair-of-the-Federal-Reserve	0
2131	2170	How many votes to confirm Veronica Rossman to the Tenth Cir. by Oct. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7403/How-many-votes-to-confirm-Veronica-Rossman-to-the-Tenth-Cir-by-Oct-1	0
2132	2171	How many votes to confirm Tana Lin to the Western Dist. of WA by Oct. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7404/How-many-votes-to-confirm-Tana-Lin-to-the-Western-Dist-of-WA-by-Oct-1	0
2133	2172	Who will win the 2022 Wyoming At-Large election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7411/Who-will-win-the-2022-Wyoming-At-Large-election	0
2134	2173	Who will be the next elected speaker of the New York City council?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7414/Who-will-be-the-next-elected-speaker-of-the-New-York-City-council	0
2135	2174	Will Kamala Harris be the 47th US president?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7419/Will-Kamala-Harris-be-the-47th-US-president	0
2136	2175	Will Congress raise or suspend the debt limit by Oct. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7421/Will-Congress-raise-or-suspend-the-debt-limit-by-Oct-1	0
2137	2176	How many votes to confirm Rohit Chopra as CFPB Director by Oct. 15?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7424/How-many-votes-to-confirm-Rohit-Chopra-as-CFPB-Director-by-Oct-15	0
2138	2177	How many votes to confirm David Chipman as ATF director by Oct. 15?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7425/How-many-votes-to-confirm-David-Chipman-as-ATF-director-by-Oct-15	0
2139	2178	How many seats will the Conservatives win in Norway's next election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7426/How-many-seats-will-the-Conservatives-win-in-Norway's-next-election	0
2140	2179	Which of these 10 Latin American leaders will leave office next?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7431/Which-of-these-10-Latin-American-leaders-will-leave-office-next	0
2141	2180	How many votes to confirm Margaret Strickland to the Dist. Ct. of NM by 10/22?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7432/How-many-votes-to-confirm-Margaret-Strickland-to-the-Dist-Ct-of-NM-by-10-22	0
2142	2181	How many federal judges will be confirmed by Oct. 8?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7434/How-many-federal-judges-will-be-confirmed-by-Oct-8	0
2143	2182	Will San Diego County vote to recall Gavin Newsom?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7439/Will-San-Diego-County-vote-to-recall-Gavin-Newsom	0
2144	2183	Who will win the 2022 Iowa Democratic gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7440/Who-will-win-the-2022-Iowa-Democratic-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2145	2184	Will the Senate pass a bill via reconciliation by Oct. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7441/Will-the-Senate-pass-a-bill-via-reconciliation-by-Oct-1	0
2146	2185	How many seats will the Liberals win in Canada's next election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7443/How-many-seats-will-the-Liberals-win-in-Canada's-next-election	0
2147	2186	Who will be the prime minister of Canada on Oct. 31?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7444/Who-will-be-the-prime-minister-of-Canada-on-Oct-31	0
2148	2187	Will Fresno County vote to recall Gavin Newsom?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7446/Will-Fresno-County-vote-to-recall-Gavin-Newsom	0
2149	2188	How many seats will the CDU/CSU win in Germany's next election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7450/How-many-seats-will-the-CDU-CSU-win-in-Germany's-next-election	0
2150	2189	How many seats will the Green Party win in Germany's next election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7451/How-many-seats-will-the-Green-Party-win-in-Germany's-next-election	0
2151	2190	Will Sacramento County vote to recall Gavin Newsom?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7452/Will-Sacramento-County-vote-to-recall-Gavin-Newsom	0
2152	2191	Will San Bernardino County vote to recall Gavin Newsom?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7454/Will-San-Bernardino-County-vote-to-recall-Gavin-Newsom	0
2153	2192	Who will win the 2024 US presidential election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election	0
2154	2193	Will Orange County vote to recall Gavin Newsom?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7458/Will-Orange-County-vote-to-recall-Gavin-Newsom	0
2155	2194	How many Yea votes in the House for a bipartisan infrastructure bill by Oct. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7459/How-many-Yea-votes-in-the-House-for-a-bipartisan-infrastructure-bill-by-Oct-1	0
2156	2195	Which of these 10 Asia-Pacific leaders will leave office next?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7463/Which-of-these-10-Asia-Pacific-leaders-will-leave-office-next	0
2157	2196	Which parties will be in the next German coalition?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7464/Which-parties-will-be-in-the-next-German-coalition	0
2158	2197	Who will win the Democratic nomination for the FL-20 special election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7465/Who-will-win-the-Democratic-nomination-for-the-FL-20-special-election	0
2159	2198	Will Jake Sullivan be National Security Advisor at the end of the year?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7466/Will-Jake-Sullivan-be-National-Security-Advisor-at-the-end-of-the-year	0
2160	2199	What will be the margin in the California gubernatorial recall election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7469/What-will-be-the-margin-in-the-California-gubernatorial-recall-election	0
2161	2200	Who will be prime minister of the Czech Republic on July 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7471/Who-will-be-prime-minister-of-the-Czech-Republic-on-July-1	0
2162	2201	Who will be the prime minister of Japan on Dec. 31?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7472/Who-will-be-the-prime-minister-of-Japan-on-Dec-31	0
2163	2202	How many Yea votes in the House by Oct. 15 to pass reconciliation?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7473/How-many-Yea-votes-in-the-House-by-Oct-15-to-pass-reconciliation	0
2164	2203	Will Rahm Emanuel be confirmed as ambassador to Japan by Dec. 31?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7474/Will-Rahm-Emanuel-be-confirmed-as-ambassador-to-Japan-by-Dec-31	0
2165	2204	Will Antony Blinken be Secretary of State at the end of the year?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7475/Will-Antony-Blinken-be-Secretary-of-State-at-the-end-of-the-year	0
2166	2205	Will Biden's 538 approval rating be lower than disapproval on Oct. 12?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7476/Will-Biden's-538-approval-rating-be-lower-than-disapproval-on-Oct-12	0
2167	2206	How many seats will the Social Democratic Party win in Germany's next election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7477/How-many-seats-will-the-Social-Democratic-Party-win-in-Germany's-next-election	0
2168	2207	How many seats will the Conservatives win in Canada's next election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7479/How-many-seats-will-the-Conservatives-win-in-Canada's-next-election	0
2169	2208	What will be the margin in Boston's preliminary mayoral election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7480/What-will-be-the-margin-in-Boston's-preliminary-mayoral-election	0
2170	2209	What will be the margin in Cleveland's mayoral primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7483/What-will-be-the-margin-in-Cleveland's-mayoral-primary	0
2171	2210	Will Riverside County vote to recall Gavin Newsom?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7484/Will-Riverside-County-vote-to-recall-Gavin-Newsom	0
2172	2211	How many votes in the California recall election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7486/How-many-votes-in-the-California-recall-election	0
2173	2212	Will the Senate pass a bill via reconciliation by Nov. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7487/Will-the-Senate-pass-a-bill-via-reconciliation-by-Nov-1	0
2174	2213	What will Joe Biden's 538 job approval rating be for Sept. 21?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7488/What-will-Joe-Biden's-538-job-approval-rating-be-for-Sept-21	0
2175	2214	Will a debt limit raise be enacted by Oct. 15?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7490/Will-a-debt-limit-raise-be-enacted-by-Oct-15	0
2176	2215	What will Joe Biden's RCP job approval rating be for Sept. 22?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7491/What-will-Joe-Biden's-RCP-job-approval-rating-be-for-Sept-22	0
2177	2216	Who carried out the chemical attack in Ghouta on August 21, 2013?	https://www.rootclaim.com/analysis/Who-carried-out-the-chemical-attack-in-Ghouta-on-August-21-2013	0
2178	2217	What is the source of COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2)?	https://www.rootclaim.com/analysis/What-is-the-source-of-COVID-19-SARS-CoV-2	0
2179	2218	Was there widespread fraud in the 2020 US election?	https://www.rootclaim.com/analysis/Was-there-widespread-fraud-in-the-2020-US-election	0
2180	2219	Does Vitamin D reduce the severity of COVID-19 outcomes?	https://www.rootclaim.com/analysis/does-vitamin-d-reduce-the-severity-of-covid-19-outcomes	0
2181	2220	What caused the disappearance of Malaysia Airlines flight 370?	https://www.rootclaim.com/analysis/what-caused-the-disappearance-of-malaysia-airlines-flight-370	0
2182	2221	What Happened to Barry and Honey Sherman?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/what-happened-to-barry-and-honey-sherman-19972	0
2183	2222	What is the story behind Donald Trump's hair?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/what-is-the-story-behind-donald-trump-s-hair-12734	0
2184	2223	Did former New England Patriots tight end Aaron Hernandez commit suicide?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/did-former-new-england-patriots-tight-end-aaron-hernandez-commit-suicide-19060	0
2185	2224	Serial: Who killed Hae Min Lee?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/serial-who-killed-hae-min-lee-11513	0
2186	2225	What caused the chemical calamity in Khan Sheikhoun on April 4, 2017?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/what-caused-the-chemical-calamity-in-khan-sheikhoun-on-april-4-2017-18448	0
2187	2226	Was the Miss Universe 2015 mistake intentional?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/was-the-miss-universe-2015-mistake-intentional-14197	0
2188	2227	Who attacked the aid convoy in Syria on September 19, 2016?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/who-attacked-the-aid-convoy-in-syria-on-september-19-2016-16104	0
2189	2228	Who was behind the July 2016 Turkish coup attempt?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/who-was-behind-the-july-2016-turkish-coup-attempt-17401	0
2190	2229	Did Pakistan know that Osama Bin Laden was hiding in Abbottabad?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/did-pakistan-know-that-osama-bin-laden-was-hiding-in-abbottabad-18034	0
2191	2230	Did Usain Bolt use performance-enhancing drugs?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/did-usain-bolt-use-performance-enhancing-drugs-14420	0
2192	2231	Was the July 28, 2015, Serbian lottery drawing rigged?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/was-the-july-28-2015-serbian-lottery-drawing-rigged-11364	0
2193	2232	Why was Seth Rich killed?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/why-was-seth-rich-killed-16122	0
2194	2233	Why was Stonehenge built?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/why-was-stonehenge-built-13169	0
2195	2234	Does the MMR (measles, mumps, and rubella) vaccine cause autism?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/does-the-mmr-measles-mumps-and-rubella-vaccine-cause-autism-4925	0
2196	2235	Who shot down Malaysia Airlines flight 17 over Ukraine on July 17, 2014?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/who-shot-down-malaysia-airlines-flight-17-over-ukraine-on-july-17-2014-8129	0