index	title	url	stars
0	How will the ratio of China-authored to U.S.-authored highly cited (top 1%) AI papers change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/899-how-will-the-ratio-of-china-authored-to-u-s-authored-highly-cited-ai-papers-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
1	How will the percentage of U.S. residents with "very little" or "some" trust in the U.S. military change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/864-how-will-the-percentage-of-u-s-residents-with-some-or-very-little-trust-in-the-u-s-military-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
2	Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/349-will-the-chinese-military-or-other-maritime-security-forces-fire-upon-another-country-s-civil-or-military-vessel-in-the-south-china-sea-in-the-next-six-months	0
3	How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/410-how-politically-polarized-will-u-s-citizens-be-in-2024	0
4	How will the combined annual dollar amount of DoD contracts with the "Big 5" tech companies change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/311-how-will-the-combined-annual-dollar-amount-of-dod-contracts-with-the-big-5-tech-companies-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
5	How will the percentage of SMIC revenue from 28 nm chips or smaller change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/382-how-will-the-percentage-of-smic-revenue-from-14-28-nm-chips-or-smaller-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
6	How will the percentage of U.S residents who are concerned about how the government uses their data change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/422-how-will-the-percentage-of-u-s-residents-who-are-concerned-about-how-the-government-uses-their-data-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
7	How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/396-how-will-the-combined-annual-revenue-of-alphabet-amazon-apple-facebook-and-microsoft-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
8	How will the Geopolitical Risk (GPR) Index change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/389-how-will-the-geopolitical-risk-gpr-index-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
9	Will the U.S. military acknowledge using an autonomously operated drone to identify and deploy lethal force against a human target in the next four quarters (year)?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/527-will-the-u-s-military-acknowledge-using-an-autonomously-operated-drone-to-identify-and-deploy-lethal-force-against-a-human-target-in-the-next-four-quarters-year	0
10	How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/350-how-much-funding-will-u-s-tech-startups-raise-over-the-next-three-years	0
11	How will annual money raised by private U.S. tech companies change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/403-how-will-money-raised-for-private-u-s-tech-companies-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
12	How will the percentage of highly cited U.S. AI publications supported by a DoD grant change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/445-how-will-the-percentage-of-highly-cited-u-s-ai-publications-supported-by-a-dod-grant-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
13	How will the percentage of DoD subcontracts for scientific research and development services going to Northern California-based companies change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/332-how-will-the-percentage-of-dod-subcontracts-for-scientific-research-and-development-services-going-to-northern-california-based-companies-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
14	How will the number of Defense Innovation Unit transitions change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/339-how-will-the-number-of-defense-innovation-unit-transitions-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
15	How will the percentage of Carnegie Mellon University (CMU) computer science graduates whose first job is at a company that has a contract with DoD change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/368-how-will-the-percentage-of-carnegie-mellon-university-cmu-computer-science-graduates-whose-first-job-is-a-company-that-has-a-contract-with-dod-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
16	How will the number of Japanese Air Force responses to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft change over the next three years?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/374-how-will-the-number-of-japanese-air-force-responses-to-threats-to-japan-s-territorial-airspace-by-chinese-military-aircraft-change-over-the-next-three-years	0
17	Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/373-will-china-execute-an-acknowledged-national-military-attack-against-vietnam-india-or-taiwan-in-the-next-six-months	0
18	Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/372-will-china-seize-control-of-any-taiwanese-occupied-feature-in-the-south-china-sea-in-the-next-six-months	0
19	When will Joe Biden cease to be president of the United States?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/171-when-will-joe-biden-cease-to-be-president-of-the-united-states	0
20	Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/170-will-the-united-states-have-the-world-s-fastest-supercomputer-in-june-2022	0
21	When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/168-when-will-1-billion-people-in-india-receive-at-least-one-dose-of-a-covid-19-vaccine	0
22	Will there be an organized employee protest at one of the "Big 5" tech companies against the company's involvement with DoD in the next four quarters (year)?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/442-will-there-be-an-organized-employee-protest-at-one-of-the-big-5-tech-companies-against-the-company-s-involvement-with-dod-in-the-next-year	0
23	[Experimental] What will be the consensus crowd forecast on October 1, 2021, on whether COVID-19 originated in a lab in Wuhan, China?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/155-experimental-what-will-be-the-median-foretell-forecast-on-whether-covid-19-originated-in-a-lab-in-wuhan-china-on-october-1-2021	0
24	[Experimental] Did COVID-19 originate in a lab in Wuhan, China?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/154-experimental-did-covid-19-originate-in-a-lab-in-wuhan-china	0
25	Will the Democratic Party maintain its majority in the U.S. House of Representatives after the midterm elections in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/150-will-the-democratic-party-maintain-its-majority-in-the-u-s-house-of-representatives-after-the-midterm-elections-in-2022	0
26	What will the 'Big 5' (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft) tech companies' average reputation ranking be in the 2022 Axios Harris poll?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/141-what-will-the-big-5-tech-companies-average-reputation-ranking-be-in-the-2022-harris-poll	0
27	What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/134-what-percentage-of-u-s-ai-publications-will-have-a-chinese-co-author-in-2022	0
28	What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/132-what-percentage-of-u-s-corporate-press-releases-about-ai-will-reference-ai-ethics-in-2022	0
29	What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/131-what-will-be-the-value-in-dollars-of-u-s-exports-of-semiconductor-manufacturing-equipment-to-china-in-2022	0
30	What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/129-what-will-be-the-value-in-dollars-of-all-chinese-imports-of-semiconductor-chips-in-2022	0
31	What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/128-what-will-be-the-value-in-dollars-of-all-chinese-imports-of-semiconductor-manufacturing-equipment-in-2022	0
32	What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/130-what-will-be-the-value-in-dollars-of-u-s-exports-of-semiconductor-chips-to-china-in-2022	0
33	Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/122-will-hu-chunhua-be-a-member-of-the-standing-committee-of-the-politburo-of-the-chinese-communist-party-s-central-committee-on-december-31-2022	0
34	Will Li Keqiang be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/120-will-li-keqiang-be-a-member-of-the-standing-committee-of-the-politburo-of-the-chinese-communist-party-s-central-committee-on-december-31-2022	0
35	Will Chen Min'er be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/121-will-chen-min-er-be-a-member-of-the-standing-committee-of-the-politburo-of-the-chinese-communist-party-s-central-committee-on-december-31-2022	0
36	How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant in FY 2022 (September 2021 through October 2022)?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/118-how-many-new-h-1b-visa-applications-submitted-by-the-big-5-tech-companies-will-the-u-s-grant-in-fiscal-year-2022	0
37	What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2022 (September 2021 through October 2022)?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/119-what-percentage-of-o-visas-will-go-to-chinese-nationals-in-fiscal-year-2022	0
38	What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/117-what-will-total-u-s-trade-volume-with-china-imports-and-exports-of-goods-be-in-2022	0
39	Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/115-will-xi-jingping-be-general-secretary-of-the-chinese-communist-party-s-central-committee-on-december-31-2022	0
40	What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/109-conditional-on-president-trump-not-being-convicted-of-incitement-of-insurrection-what-will-the-senate-s-average-bipartisan-index-score-be-from-2021-2022	0
41	Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/89-conditional-on-vice-president-biden-s-election-will-the-u-s-government-file-an-antitrust-lawsuit-against-apple-amazon-or-facebook-between-january-20-2021-and-january-19-2025	0
42	% global rate of "$1.90 a day" poverty in 2030	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/e1ca8cc6-33a4-4e38-9ef3-553a050ba0a9	0
43	A bioengineering project kills at least five thousand people by 2023-02-15	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/9386c0c2-d8df-4e17-9aba-98b2b60c6608	0
44	A bioengineering project kills at least five people by 2023-02-15	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/ecd31a5b-75ae-4785-89f9-6be85ade3af0	0
45	Will SB 592 clear the California state Assembly?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/d97e690d-baeb-4e45-bf48-dca41535e1e1	0
46	5 cities with at least 50k population implement approval voting by 2022	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/b5ef0f81-18c4-42fa-864e-e8dc0d9ea8d6	0
47	How many preregistrations on OSF will there be at the end of 2023?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/efbd2e5c-185d-451b-a54a-72be1a302a10	0
48	How many preregistrations on OSF will there be at the end of 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/f69988cc-f2c2-4dc9-aca0-2aae01a2606d	0
49	How many preregistrations on OSF will there be at the end of 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/862c4482-b77e-49bd-89e6-c28bd664f0f7	0
50	What % of grant dollars made to AI Safety by OpenPhil in 2020 will go to the University of Oxford?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/51eaef45-463b-4c85-bd6c-62e267bfbadd	0
51	What % of grant dollars made to AI Safety by OpenPhil in 2020 will go to UC Berkeley?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/bfdeb28d-deb4-44b8-91e0-a840b5564620	0
52	How much in grants will OpenPhil recommend to Global Health and Development between 2020 and 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/feff8be7-0a44-48d7-99a2-0015faa64c14	0
53	How much in grants will OpenPhil recommend to U.S. policy between 2020 and 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/ee8e154d-c7d8-4337-905d-0fd5e1fdd924	0
54	How much in grants will OpenPhil recommend to scientific research between 2020 and 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/dfc6e8e4-0a36-4e57-b3d1-004fce0bbd4d	0
55	How much in grants will OpenPhil recommend to AI safety between 2020 and 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/cb1d4afc-7200-48b3-aa75-06e0b4d451b4	0
56	What will the Metaculus community median probability for AI catastrophe by 2100 be in 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/b9034665-5ab1-44df-9af3-0a954759b3df	0
57	How many of Eliezer Yudkowsky, Paul Christiano, Nate Soares, and Dario Amodei will still be working on AI safety by the end of 2029?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/0b2ff995-6b72-49d3-90b6-e5ba9ebb5781	0
58	Will MIRI still exist in 2023?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/6fbca8b0-740b-4c9e-b0cb-aa5bdc30a4ba	0
59	How many nuclear warheads will the US have in 2029?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/b76f74a0-c3a0-4530-b27c-e462ef593893	0
60	Will Good Policies still be running at the end of 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/1a5a05b6-0dc7-4725-b559-e732d394ed28	0
61	How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2020?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/1e42ecfd-5117-4e91-9eb8-f27920029131	0
62	When will more than half of the main broad types of conventional whole pieces of farmed animal muscle tissue have at least one cost-competitive cultured alternative, in years after 2020?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/a71cd5b8-fdcf-45f7-9168-822e11c0e406	0
63	When will more than half of the main broad types of conventional ground meats will have at least one cost-competitive cultured alternative, in years after 2020?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/35caf084-9436-49c3-a046-eea6a8c8bf7a	0
64	When will more than half of the main broad types of conventional acellular animal products have at least one cost-competitive cultured alternative, in years after 2020?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/089b42c8-ab9d-420c-9088-899b33df9efc	0
65	What will the balance + payouts be for the Long Term Future Fund at the end of 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/dc8c4beb-2f68-40e6-88e0-7fef557ef534	0
66	What will the balance + payouts be for the EA Meta Fund at the end of 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/1244c18b-8b0d-45a1-9d66-97f8f6c7c60b	0
67	What will the balance + payouts be for the Animal Welfare EA Fund at the end of 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/a547db8c-3906-43d6-afa8-138b9406ec53	0
68	Will the Albert Schweitzer Foundation remain an ACE top charity in 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/1b3674e6-a036-4887-80bb-fea8f24ff118	0
69	Will the Albert Schweitzer Foundation remain an ACE top charity in 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/eedcf35c-1acc-45c6-9600-36c9a6efd53a	0
70	Will Animal Equality remain an ACE top charity in 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/294d918c-99fb-4bb8-a162-2b248b328789	0
71	Will Animal Equality remain an ACE top charity in 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/605b7ed3-fd73-4979-8252-a86dcb4dc04a	0
72	Will the Good Food Institute remain an ACE top charity in 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/563268d2-81b3-4bab-9ef5-c7a0a731a743	0
73	Will the Good Food Institute remain an ACE top charity in 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/d05a9b4b-317e-419b-acdd-9f1945f2372a	0
74	Will the Humane League remain an ACE top charity in 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/6d2dc33f-87d3-4817-8577-8e8643c7b94b	0
75	Will the Humane League remain an ACE top charity in 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/51970fcb-bc3d-4be6-aa7a-41ca9eef0ff3	0
76	At the end of 2021, will the most cost-effective charity recommended by Givewell be a deworming charity?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/4f960f70-1058-420e-b7de-bc432888fa1e	0
77	How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/02f00f76-d8d6-4f57-b033-ff849062538b	0
78	At the end of 2022, will Animal Charity Evaluators recommend a charity working on reducing wild animal suffering as a top charity?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/6cbf55b8-42cd-4f27-b339-adc9dff43275	0
79	At the end of 2021, will Animal Charity Evaluators recommend a charity working on reducing wild animal suffering as a top charity?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/52faee5b-2de3-433a-bd92-538b5696bcb8	0
80	At the end of 2023, will Animal Charity Evaluators recommend a charity working on reducing wild animal suffering as a top charity?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/7d8556b6-7fbb-4bbe-ba42-db8911babe3f	0
81	At the end of the outbreak, what will the ratio (deaths)/(confirmed cases) be?	https://www.foretold.io/c/c47c6bc8-2c9b-4a83-9583-d1ed80a40fa2/m/d093d140-8c5a-4ffd-a4ad-ec0edcc7cb7d	0
82	Will the current outbreak result in a global disaster (>50 million deaths resulting from the pathogen within 1 year)?	https://www.foretold.io/c/c47c6bc8-2c9b-4a83-9583-d1ed80a40fa2/m/f70dd133-ebb8-4201-88a8-09f6b94eed78	0
83	At the end of the outbreak, how many confirmed cases?	https://www.foretold.io/c/c47c6bc8-2c9b-4a83-9583-d1ed80a40fa2/m/b533b5bf-723d-40af-b558-daf971097507	0
84	At the end of the outbreak, how many deaths?	https://www.foretold.io/c/c47c6bc8-2c9b-4a83-9583-d1ed80a40fa2/m/984cd816-3284-4906-91f5-3b1446e47463	0
85	When will the outbreak end?	https://www.foretold.io/c/c47c6bc8-2c9b-4a83-9583-d1ed80a40fa2/m/95268867-0601-4377-920c-6a26618e2a70	0
86	By mid-2023, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaflop/s-days), used in training by a published AI system?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/b9bfcc0b-cd82-4904-903d-566ff57ed3b4	0
87	By mid-2022, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaflop/s-days), used in training by a published AI system?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/380a3ab8-8b05-42f6-80b9-4217b04fd930	0
88	By mid-2021, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaflop/s-days), used in training by a published AI system?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/b5914f95-593d-4217-b862-b2ab5d0d51f8	0
89	How well do these two questions capture something significant about algorithmic progress?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/74586dc1-fd77-4b49-bbcb-b40ae0db09f8	0
90	By 2023, what will be the smallest number of frames required for the Atari performance of a basic DQN?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/f8c595c5-dd7e-4bb6-9650-0de3625b50eb	0
91	By 2022, what will be the smallest number of frames required for the Atari performance of a basic DQN?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/b93bc8f1-5798-43b5-a0f6-26c8f6f0c7c7	0
92	By 2021, what will be the smallest number of frames required for the Atari performance of a basic DQN?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/ef463b8f-50ef-4e5f-93de-fbe3abd53570	0
93	By mid-2023, what will be the smallest number of years of gameplay required for OpenAI Five-level dota performance?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/98933e35-e4ed-4958-a36a-3d4154900bce	0
94	By mid-2022, what will be the smallest number of years of gameplay required for OpenAI Five-level dota performance?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/c5b3dc97-4b67-46c5-93ac-2905113df000	0
95	By mid-2021, what will be the smallest number of years of gameplay required for OpenAI Five-level dota performance?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/2c6253e6-8425-475c-90ba-ff4ab82b5483	0
96	How many years from now (Sep 2019) will it take to Physically assemble any LEGO set given the pieces and instructions, using specialized robotics hardware?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/69bf7756-ddb7-4d5c-b5c2-a223cffffe7d	0
97	By mid-2020, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaflop/s-days), used in training by a published AI system?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/70033fc2-af6e-4200-8aae-6d970a3e57ea	0
98	By mid-2020, what will be the smallest number of years of gameplay required for OpenAI Five-level dota performance?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/75e157b5-ffc1-4b1b-9eda-7997dac7e20b	0
99	What will be the rate of homelessness per 100,000 people in England in 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/b1949fbe-ce22-46d9-83a1-a5c2c53cd826	0
100	What will be the rate of homelessness per 100,000 people in England in 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/b73619d7-8e1e-41a6-9e9f-6cfe22a1dad1	0
101	What will be the rate of homelessness per 100,000 people in England in 2023?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/3b91112d-19e3-486b-8ecc-ba9a7a372c09	0
102	If Conservatives win the next election, will they form a minority government?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/2465e95a-abc4-45a2-8ab3-855ecf295ded	0
103	If Conservatives win the next election, will they form a majority government?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/8289150f-cfec-4327-b981-5fc0d624eb65	0
104	How many seats will Labour win the in the next general election?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/16581899-ae00-44e9-9d17-602ca38c6878	0
105	Will Labour win the next election?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/4e3274f7-c1b0-4a70-80ae-c931c87dca8d	0
106	Will Conservatives win the next election?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/ff1f3bd2-3939-4414-b1cb-817b92ed3786	0
107	If Boris Johnson is leader of the Conservatives in the election after the 2019 UK general election, will they win that general election?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/cb081989-7005-4dea-8288-eeb54b5e8bd6	0
108	If Sajid Javid is leader of the Conservatives in the election after the 2019 UK general election, will they win that general election?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/f682e558-edaf-45e9-9e4e-df4529dd7aa0	0
109	What will be the rate of homelessness per 100,000 people in England in 2024?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/a97b0fa0-1eeb-4bc2-8bec-00e557f5dd91	0
110	Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom by 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/2c2e2991-3720-4786-ae82-448e328f8800	0
111	Will Brexit be a hard Brexit?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/b4f040ed-8145-4e23-8118-c4e06fd90a11	0
112	If Brexit occurs under a Conservative majority government elected in the 2019 election, will it be a hard Brexit?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/04a10cb2-d13f-4af7-8b70-12675dc25e9d	0
113	When will the next UK general election be?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/3165d0d1-547c-4104-8eb7-3c7508298b8d	0
114	Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom by 2025?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/a9bd15c4-95dd-49eb-8a3d-f546209bd444	0
115	If Keir Starmer is leader of Labour in the election after the 2019 UK general election, will they win that general election?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/e06b7c2f-a385-4c3c-9fa9-00787ac6aed3	0
116	Will there be a second Brexit referendum announced before 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/2461fab4-c594-49fd-9b2a-acdfc52356ba	0
117	What will be the tuition fee cap for UK students in 2024?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/fbc91180-f338-449d-a795-234ac42854ec	0
118	If there is a soft Brexit, what will be the average yearly GDP growth of the UK in the following five years?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/f3d44e2b-4d2a-47bd-acbd-61cab5e6a126	0
119	If there is a hard Brexit, what will be the average yearly GDP growth of the UK in the following five years?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/8221741f-ac27-4651-bf2c-7a887fc82313	0
120	What will be mean UK broadband download speeds in 2024?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/fb8780cd-e2b3-4435-bf50-c46fed1db5a8	0
121	What fraction of 80,000 hours' impact is not related to career plan changes?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/c3ba1c83-fd04-47af-b8c1-7b493b0519e6	0
122	What proportion of donations to FHI go to Oxford University?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/c6587fcf-5113-4603-9d90-c9763a099476	0
123	How much influence would CSET have in a 2024 Republican US administration, relative to its influence in a 2024 US Democratic administration? 	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/fee03eb4-c956-4f61-81e6-76e2f76616c3	0
124	Has CSET done more harm than good so far in its policy interventions?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/623499ee-19dd-4d2a-b100-614a3a0b032a	0
125	Will CLR's work on their "Cooperation, conflict, and transformative artificial intelligence"/"bargaining in artificial learners" agenda be favorably reviewed in Lark's 2021 yearly AI alignment review??	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/cf4e48f1-3781-45b4-830a-d315435dc472	0
126	Is there a better option than CLR for suffering-focused donors?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/a2250763-8700-4768-96ba-215fd9d7739a	0
127	What fraction of CLR's research is only useful from a suffering-focused standpoint?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/e65ceadf-f35d-42ff-adb0-f30ec57a25d4	0
128	Will Rethink Priorities employ 5 FTEs producing high-quality longtermist research by 2025?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/6a8a92c1-2740-4e21-98a6-6c4311bc8461	0
129	Will Rethink Rethink Priorities be able to productively expand into the longtermist sphere?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/76d54743-3136-448d-adc6-de57d4eada9e	0
130	Will Rethink Priorities be able to produce research in the long-termist space similar in quality to the research they have produced on invertebrate welfare?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/b0083e46-4dee-4281-a324-605657773834	0
131	How many FTE-years worth of high-quality research does LessWrong produce each year per FTE-year employed at LessWrong?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/1a6642cc-a4e3-427f-be75-39f05023ca7f	0
132	How many FTE-years worth of high-quality research does LessWrong produce per year?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/fbfde3f4-ed4c-44a1-8beb-4aa4389e3787	0
133	Is Projekt Framttid dead?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/5700fd38-7ac3-4380-baaa-b00351ba3e9c	0
134	Conditional on its continued existence, by 2025, will MacAskill still be the CEO of the Forethought Foundation?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/5260868a-c5cc-4f6f-acf5-b2293f718487	0
135	Will the Forethought Foundation continue to exist by 2025?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/e919e049-40cc-4155-9bda-9e2a47b0ea50	0
136	How many FTEs does FLI currently employ (as of 2021)?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/59ad32cb-17f3-4242-a440-5a4d44ffcfd7	0
137	Will further work on a theory of malevolence be fruitful by 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/f689875d-fe82-43ee-88a6-0c414791f4d9	0
138	What percentage of CSER's research staff is doing high value work?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/d2aa8a4c-77e4-4a4a-8f1c-a4b85932922c	0
139	Will the APPFG continue to exist by 2025?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/b54917c1-f67c-4003-aff7-de188cc47879	0
140	Conditional on its continued existence, will the APPG help pass legislation in the UK related to its mission by 2025?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/6b379bd0-4659-45e4-b3d7-b769aed7c020	0
141	By, 2025, will the APPGFG help pass legislation in the UK related to its mission?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/301c0ffe-7697-4b7a-9908-4bee72642236	0
142	$100M to alternate foods is more cost-effective than to AI risk mitigation	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/704c1052-8e0b-4582-8feb-604a8c452ac3	0
143	$100M to alternate foods is more cost-effective than to AI risk mitigation (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/62c003c4-2525-4830-84ed-93686dc8cae1	0
144	Marginal money now on alternate foods is more cost effective than on AI risk mitigation	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/b1a21ed8-7819-467c-8a63-98b0c85993ef	0
145	Marginal money now on alternate foods is more cost effective than on AI risk mitigation (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/50d7c7a8-f46d-4427-af5f-12cbd898c40b	0
146	Untruncated mitigation of far future impact of 10% agricultural shortfall with planning and R&D as well	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/451d4013-d302-43c5-b2c3-bacc7d82ed59	0
147	Untruncated mitigation of far future impact of 10% agricultural shortfall with planning and R&D as well (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/f7616759-f00b-4fd1-a10e-0a281541efc6	0
148	Untruncated mitigation of far future impact of 10% agricultural shortfall from ALLFED so far	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/1a16fcf9-e155-4157-b02b-f9d2d546368c	0
149	Untruncated mitigation of far future impact of 10% agricultural shortfall from ALLFED so far (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/ff6231c6-3def-4663-82b7-d2d605bf37db	0
150	Untruncated reduction in far future potential due to 10% agricultural shortfall	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/6084ec83-df7b-4af7-8c58-612b491e6946	0
151	Untruncated reduction in far future potential due to 10% agricultural shortfall (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/36fdd2c9-7829-4fae-9222-ab0d1795d5b5	0
152	Untruncated additional mitigation of far future impact of war due to planning and R&D	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/c24a076b-d045-43d2-b3d4-b555227fae30	0
153	Untruncated additional mitigation of far future impact of war due to planning and R&D (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/07b1924e-0581-410f-a34c-3e87cfcd278a	0
154	Untruncated mitigation of far future impact of war due to ALLFED so far	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/cd78ff36-da47-4411-ab67-d20eb0811333	0
155	Untruncated mitigation of far future impact of war due to ALLFED so far (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/805f614e-e170-4a72-9bd2-daadd4d62789	0
156	Cost of planning, R&DF for alternate foods	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/f9203a65-d4ff-4aaf-95dc-39a577e2318a	0
157	Cost of planning, R&DF for alternate foods (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/106715d2-2484-47ac-ad1f-dcfb63ed55f8	0
158	Untruncated probability of full scale nuclear war per year	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/cca72358-624a-40e5-a87a-5b14a50fdea6	0
159	Untruncated probability of full scale nuclear war per year (ALLFED's estimates)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/e147be3b-3280-43aa-a27e-a1a561c66b18	0
160	In United States v. Tsarnaev, will the Supreme Court reinstate the death sentence imposed against Boston Marathon bomber Dzhokhar Tsarnaev?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2119-in-united-states-v-tsarnaev-will-the-supreme-court-reinstate-the-death-sentence-imposed-against-boston-marathon-bomber-dzhokhar-tsarnaev	0
161	What will be the 7-day average number of new cases of COVID-19 in Louisiana for the week ending 20 October 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2122-what-will-be-the-7-day-average-number-of-new-cases-of-covid-19-in-louisiana-for-the-week-ending-20-october-2021	0
162	What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 31 March 2022, according to FiveThirtyEight?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2120-what-will-president-biden-s-approval-rating-be-as-of-31-march-2022-according-to-fivethirtyeight	0
163	How far will the UAE national football team advance in the FIFA Arab Cup 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2118-how-far-will-the-uae-national-football-team-advance-in-the-fifa-arab-cup-2021	0
164	How much cash on hand will the following three Donald Trump-affiliated political action committees (PACs) have combined as of 31 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2121-how-much-cash-on-hand-will-the-following-three-donald-trump-affiliated-political-action-committees-pacs-have-combined-as-of-31-december-2021	0
165	Will the rate of new daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 per 100k people in Massachusetts be higher on 19 October 2021 than it was on 7 September 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2117-will-the-rate-of-new-daily-confirmed-cases-of-covid-19-per-100k-people-in-massachusetts-be-higher-on-19-october-2021-than-it-was-on-7-september-2021	0
166	How many job openings in the trade, transportation, and utilities industries will the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report for November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2116-how-many-job-openings-in-the-trade-transportation-and-utilities-industries-will-the-bureau-of-labor-statistics-bls-report-for-november-2021	0
167	How many twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) of cargo will the Port of Los Angeles report for November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2115-how-many-twenty-foot-equivalent-units-teus-of-cargo-will-the-port-of-los-angeles-report-for-november-2021	0
168	What will be the US producer price index for Internet advertising sales in June 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2113-what-will-be-the-producer-price-index-for-internet-advertising-sales-in-june-2022	0
169	How many business applications will be made in the US in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2114-how-many-business-applications-will-be-made-in-the-us-in-2021	0
170	What will be the total value of assets under management by global sustainable funds at the end of 2021, according to Morningstar?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2112-what-will-be-the-total-value-of-assets-under-management-by-global-sustainable-funds-at-the-end-of-2021-according-to-morningstar	0
171	What will happen next to the United Arab Emirate's rolling 7-day average of confirmed cases of COVID-19?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2111-what-will-happen-next-to-the-united-arab-emirate-s-rolling-7-day-average-of-confirmed-cases-of-covid-19	0
172	When will the Scottish government officially request discussions on or agreement to a Section 30 order from the UK government that would enable the Scottish government to call a new independence referendum?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2107-when-will-the-scottish-government-officially-request-discussions-on-or-agreement-to-a-section-30-order-from-the-uk-government-that-would-enable-the-scottish-government-to-call-a-new-independence-referendum	0
173	Before 1 January 2022, will President Biden invite Prime Minister Boris Johnson to visit the White House?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2108-before-1-january-2022-will-president-biden-invite-prime-minister-boris-johnson-to-visit-the-white-house	0
174	Before 18 December 2021, will the United Kingdom's Office for National Statistics (ONS) report that the percentage of working adults who "Worked from home and didn’t travel to work" fell to 15% or lower?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2109-before-18-december-2021-will-the-united-kingdom-s-office-for-national-statistics-ons-report-that-the-percentage-of-working-adults-who-worked-from-home-and-didn-t-travel-to-work-fell-to-15-or-lower	0
175	Before 2 October 2021, will the Taliban submit credentials to the Secretary-General of the UN to represent Afghanistan for the 76th UN General Assembly session?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2110-before-2-october-2021-will-the-taliban-submit-credentials-to-the-secretary-general-of-the-un-to-represent-afghanistan-for-the-76th-un-general-assembly-session	0
176	Will the 26th UN Climate Change Conference of the Parties (COP26) announce the finalization of the "Paris Rulebook," the rules for implementing the 2015 Paris Agreement, before 16 November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2106-will-the-26th-un-climate-change-conference-of-the-parties-cop26-announce-the-finalization-of-the-paris-rulebook-the-rules-for-implementing-the-2015-paris-agreement-before-16-november-2021	0
177	Will legal restrictions on the number of people who can meet indoors be imposed in England before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2105-will-legal-restrictions-on-the-number-of-people-who-can-meet-indoors-be-imposed-in-england-before-1-january-2022	0
178	Will Rishi Sunak cease to be the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2102-will-rishi-sunak-cease-to-be-the-uk-chancellor-of-the-exchequer-before-1-january-2022	0
179	Will Sir Keir Starmer face a formal challenge for the leadership of the Labour Party before 4 April 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2104-will-sir-keir-starmer-face-a-formal-challenge-for-the-leadership-of-the-labour-party-before-4-april-2022	0
180	Will the Liberal Party win a majority of seats in the 2021 Canadian parliamentary elections?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2101-will-the-liberal-party-win-a-majority-of-seats-in-the-2021-canadian-parliamentary-elections	0
181	Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 1 February 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2103-will-the-uk-or-eu-trigger-article-16-of-the-northern-ireland-protocol-before-1-february-2022	0
182	Before 13 February 2022, will there be a lethal confrontation in Iran or at sea between the national military or law enforcement forces of Iran and those of either Israel or a Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) member state?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2097-before-13-february-2022-will-there-be-a-lethal-confrontation-in-iran-or-at-sea-between-the-national-military-or-law-enforcement-forces-of-iran-and-those-of-either-israel-or-a-gulf-cooperation-council-gcc-member-state	0
183	Which team will win the Major League Baseball World Series in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2098-which-team-will-win-the-major-league-baseball-world-series-in-2021	0
184	Before 1 January 2022, will Kais Saied cease to be the president of Tunisia?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2100-before-1-january-2022-will-kais-saied-cease-to-be-the-president-of-tunisia	0
185	When will the 14-day average of COVID-19 hospitalized patients in California next reach or exceed 12,000?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2094-when-will-the-14-day-average-of-covid-19-hospitalized-patients-in-california-next-reach-or-exceed-12-000	0
186	When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant other than Delta next represent more than 70.0% of total COVID-19 cases in the US?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2095-when-will-a-sars-cov-2-variant-other-than-delta-next-represent-more-than-70-0-of-total-covid-19-cases-in-the-us	0
187	How many units will Ford produce in North America in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2092-how-many-units-will-ford-produce-in-north-america-in-2021	0
188	Before 1 January 2022, will the Nord Stream 2 pipeline begin delivering natural gas to Germany?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2091-before-1-january-2022-will-the-nord-stream-2-pipeline-begin-delivering-natural-gas-to-germany	0
189	Before 1 November 2021, will a new government mask mandate for individuals fully vaccinated for COVID-19 that includes indoor restaurants and/or retail establishments be imposed on New York City?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2096-before-1-november-2021-will-a-new-government-mask-mandate-for-individuals-fully-vaccinated-for-covid-19-that-includes-indoor-restaurants-and-or-retail-establishments-be-imposed-on-new-york-city	0
190	How many fatal COVID-19 vaccine breakthrough cases will be reported to the CDC as of 10 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2093-how-many-fatal-covid-19-vaccine-breakthrough-cases-will-be-reported-to-the-cdc-as-of-10-january-2022	0
191	Will Amazon.com begin to accept any cryptocurrency for purchases on the US site before 1 October 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2090-will-amazon-com-begin-to-accept-any-cryptocurrency-for-purchases-on-the-us-site-before-1-october-2022	0
192	Will Abiy Ahmed cease to be the prime minister of Ethiopia by way of extraconstitutional events before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2087-will-abiy-ahmed-cease-to-be-the-prime-minister-of-ethiopia-by-way-of-extraconstitutional-events-before-1-january-2022	0
193	Before 1 January 2023, will the Afghan government and the Afghan Taliban sign an agreement that includes provisions for the establishment and/or recognition of a national government?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2086-before-1-january-2023-will-the-afghan-government-and-the-afghan-taliban-sign-an-agreement-that-includes-provisions-for-the-establishment-and-or-recognition-of-a-national-government	0
194	Before 2 October 2021, will the UN General Assembly recognize delegates from the National Unity Government (NUG) as representing Myanmar for the 76th General Assembly session?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2088-before-2-october-2021-will-the-un-general-assembly-recognize-delegates-from-the-national-unity-government-nug-as-representing-myanmar-for-the-76th-general-assembly-session	0
195	At close of business on 15 December 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 3 November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2089-at-close-of-business-on-15-december-2021-will-the-upper-limit-of-the-federal-reserve-s-target-range-for-the-federal-funds-rate-be-lower-the-same-or-higher-than-it-was-at-close-of-business-on-3-november-2021	0
196	What will be the closing price per barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil on 31 December 2021, according to Bloomberg?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2085-what-will-be-the-closing-price-per-barrel-for-west-texas-intermediate-wti-crude-oil-on-31-december-2021-according-to-bloomberg	0
197	What will Chinese ride-hailing company DiDi's end-of-day market capitalization be on 31 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2082-what-will-chinese-ride-hailing-company-didi-s-end-of-day-market-capitalization-be-on-31-december-2021	0
198	Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Egypt and Ethiopia before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2084-will-there-be-a-lethal-confrontation-between-the-national-military-forces-of-egypt-and-ethiopia-before-1-january-2022	0
199	When will the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) next screen fewer than 1.3 million travelers per day for three consecutive days?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2081-when-will-the-transportation-security-administration-tsa-next-screen-fewer-than-1-3-million-travelers-per-day-for-three-consecutive-days	0
200	Before 1 January 2023, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2079-before-1-january-2023-will-amazon-announce-that-it-will-spin-off-amazon-web-services-aws	0
201	Who will win the 2021 presidential election in Chile?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2078-who-will-win-the-2021-presidential-election-in-chile	0
202	When will the 7-day average of new COVID-19 cases in the UK next fall below 15,000?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2077-when-will-the-7-day-average-of-new-covid-19-cases-in-the-uk-next-fall-below-15-000	0
203	What will be the annual change in the UK's Consumer Prices Index (CPI) for November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2076-what-will-be-the-annual-change-in-the-uk-s-consumer-prices-index-cpi-for-november-2021	0
204	Will Haiti hold a presidential election before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2070-will-haiti-hold-a-presidential-election-before-1-january-2022	0
205	Which driver will win the 2021 Formula One World Drivers' Championship?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2069-which-driver-will-win-the-2021-formula-one-world-drivers-championship	0
206	What will be total OPEC crude oil production for October 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2072-what-will-be-total-opec-crude-oil-production-for-october-2021	0
207	How many total confirmed cases of COVID-19 will the World Health Organization (WHO) report for Brazil as of 12 November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2074-how-many-total-confirmed-cases-of-covid-19-will-the-world-health-organization-who-report-for-brazil-as-of-12-november-2021	0
208	When will 600 million people in India have received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2075-when-will-600-million-people-in-india-have-received-at-least-one-dose-of-a-covid-19-vaccine	0
209	Before 1 January 2022, will the European Commission (EC) recommend that the Council of the European Union authorize the EC to open negotiations with Taiwan on an investment agreement?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2066-before-1-january-2022-will-the-european-commission-ec-recommend-that-the-council-of-the-european-union-authorize-the-ec-to-open-negotiations-with-taiwan-on-an-investment-agreement	0
210	What will be the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market on 9 December 2021, according to CoinMarketCap?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2067-what-will-be-the-market-capitalization-for-the-global-cryptocurrency-market-on-9-december-2021-according-to-coinmarketcap	0
211	What will be the value of the S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index for October 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2068-what-will-be-the-value-of-the-s-p-case-shiller-us-national-home-price-index-for-october-2021	0
212	As of 1 November 2021, will Waka Kotahi list 321 or more qualifying electrical vehicle (EV) charging stations as available in New Zealand?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2062-as-of-1-november-2021-will-waka-kotahi-list-321-or-more-qualifying-electrical-vehicle-ev-charging-stations-as-available-in-new-zealand	0
213	How many New York City eviction filings will be reported for 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2063-how-many-new-york-city-eviction-filings-will-be-reported-for-2021	0
214	Will the median price of a house in New Zealand exceed NZ$870,000 in December 2021, according to REINZ?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2061-will-the-median-price-of-a-house-in-new-zealand-exceed-nz-870-000-in-december-2021-according-to-reinz	0
215	Will a member of the forces from an African country other than Mozambique be killed in a lethal confrontation in Cabo Delgado before 1 April 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2060-will-a-member-of-the-forces-from-an-african-country-other-than-mozambique-be-killed-in-a-lethal-confrontation-in-cabo-delgado-before-1-april-2022	0
216	Will the US FDA approve a drug used to reverse the effects of Alzheimer's disease on the brain and/or approve a vaccine to prevent Alzheimer's disease as of 2035?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2056-will-the-us-fda-approve-a-drug-used-to-reverse-the-effects-of-alzheimer-s-disease-on-the-brain-and-or-approve-a-vaccine-to-prevent-alzheimer-s-disease-as-of-2035	0
217	How many opioid overdoses resulting in death will occur in the US in 2026?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2055-how-many-opioid-overdoses-resulting-in-death-will-occur-in-the-us-in-2026	0
218	When will the first human have lived for 180 consecutive Earth days on or under the surface of the moon?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2058-when-will-the-first-human-have-lived-for-180-consecutive-earth-days-on-or-under-the-surface-of-the-moon	0
219	How many RNA vaccines and therapeutics for humans will be FDA-approved as of 2031?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2057-how-many-rna-vaccines-and-therapeutics-for-humans-will-be-fda-approved-as-of-2031	0
220	Will the Nobel Foundation announce that artificial intelligence has won or would be eligible to win a Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine before 2036?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2059-will-the-nobel-foundation-announce-that-artificial-intelligence-has-won-or-would-be-eligible-to-win-a-nobel-prize-in-physiology-or-medicine-before-2036	0
221	Will at least 3.5 million people in New Zealand be fully vaccinated against COVID-19 before 30 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2054-will-at-least-3-5-million-people-in-new-zealand-be-fully-vaccinated-against-covid-19-before-30-december-2021	0
222	Will the US Truck Tonnage Index reach or exceed 120.0 before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2053-will-the-us-truck-tonnage-index-reach-or-exceed-120-0-before-1-january-2022	0
223	Before 1 July 2022, will the US impose sanctions on any Chinese person or entity for actions related to the COVID-19 pandemic?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2051-before-1-july-2022-will-the-us-impose-sanctions-on-any-chinese-person-or-entity-for-actions-related-to-the-covid-19-pandemic	0
224	What will be the percentage change in the producer price index for writing and printing papers for May 2022 as compared to May 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2052-what-will-be-the-percentage-change-in-the-producer-price-index-for-writing-and-printing-papers-for-may-2022-as-compared-to-may-2021	0
225	How many thousand tonnes (kt) of paper and paperboard will be produced globally in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2050-how-many-thousand-tonnes-kt-of-paper-and-paperboard-will-be-produced-globally-in-2021	0
226	What will be the annual rate of headline inflation in the US, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), in June 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2048-what-will-be-the-annual-rate-of-headline-inflation-in-the-us-as-measured-by-the-consumer-price-index-cpi-in-june-2022	0
227	Will the closing price of Brent crude oil be higher than $70.00 per barrel on 30 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2045-will-the-closing-price-of-brent-crude-oil-be-higher-than-70-00-per-barrel-on-30-december-2021	0
228	At close of business on 3 November 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 22 September 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2041-at-close-of-business-on-3-november-2021-will-the-upper-limit-of-the-federal-reserve-s-target-range-for-the-federal-funds-rate-be-lower-the-same-or-higher-than-it-was-at-close-of-business-on-22-september-2021	0
229	What will be the global price of wheat in November 2021, according to the IMF?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2044-what-will-be-the-global-price-of-wheat-in-november-2021-according-to-the-imf	0
230	What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 30 June 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2040-what-will-be-the-closing-value-of-the-s-p-500-index-on-30-june-2022	0
231	Before 1 January 2022, will the US Intelligence Community publicly state that a laboratory accident is a more probable scenario for the inception of the COVID-19 pandemic than it having emerged naturally through contact with infected animals?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2038-before-1-january-2022-will-the-us-intelligence-community-publicly-state-that-a-laboratory-accident-is-a-more-probable-scenario-for-the-inception-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-than-it-having-emerged-naturally-through-contact-with-infected-animals	0
232	What will US holiday season retail sales be for 2021 relative to the 2020 holiday season?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2032-what-will-us-holiday-season-retail-sales-be-for-2021-relative-to-the-2020-holiday-season	0
233	When will people in Guangdong no longer be required to show a negative COVID-19 test in order to leave the Chinese province?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2034-when-will-people-in-guangdong-no-longer-be-required-to-show-a-negative-covid-19-test-in-order-to-leave-the-chinese-province	0
234	Will any four-week average of US field production of crude oil exceed 12 million b/d in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2033-will-any-four-week-average-of-us-field-production-of-crude-oil-exceed-12-million-b-d-in-2021	0
235	What will be the US domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for the next James Bond film No Time to Die?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2030-what-will-be-the-us-domestic-box-office-gross-in-the-opening-weekend-for-the-next-james-bond-film-no-time-to-die	0
236	How many total major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur in the Atlantic Ocean in the 2021 hurricane season, according to the National Hurricane Center?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2028-how-many-total-major-hurricanes-category-3-or-higher-will-occur-in-the-atlantic-ocean-in-the-2021-hurricane-season-according-to-the-national-hurricane-center	0
237	Which major cryptocurrency will perform best between 27 May 2021 and 29 November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2022-which-major-cryptocurrency-will-perform-best-between-27-may-2021-and-29-november-2021	0
238	Will the US civilian labor force participation rate reach or exceed 63.0% for any month in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2020-will-the-us-civilian-labor-force-participation-rate-reach-or-exceed-63-0-for-any-month-in-2021	0
239	What will be the annualized rate of housing starts for October 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2017-what-will-be-the-annualized-rate-of-housing-starts-for-october-2021	0
240	Before 8 January 2022, will Facebook allow Donald Trump to post on Facebook and/or Instagram from any of his verified accounts?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2011-before-8-january-2022-will-facebook-allow-donald-trump-to-post-on-facebook-and-or-instagram-from-any-of-his-verified-accounts	0
241	Before 14 December 2021, will the World Trade Organization (WTO) officially agree to grant waivers for intellectual property protections for COVID-19 vaccine technology?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2010-before-14-december-2021-will-the-world-trade-organization-wto-officially-agree-to-grant-waivers-for-intellectual-property-protections-for-covid-19-vaccine-technology	0
242	According to The Infinite Dial 2022, what percentage of the US population will have "listened to a podcast in the last month?"	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2001-according-to-the-infinite-dial-2022-what-percentage-of-the-us-population-will-have-listened-to-a-podcast-in-the-last-month	0
243	When will the World Health Organization (WHO) report 40 million or more confirmed cases of COVID-19 in India?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2004-when-will-the-world-health-organization-who-report-40-million-or-more-confirmed-cases-of-covid-19-in-india	0
244	Will a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) between Major League Baseball and the Major League Baseball Players Association be ratified before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2005-will-a-new-collective-bargaining-agreement-cba-between-major-league-baseball-and-the-major-league-baseball-players-association-be-ratified-before-1-january-2022	0
245	How many COVID-19 vaccines will be authorized for emergency use or approved by the US FDA as of 31 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2003-how-many-covid-19-vaccines-will-be-authorized-for-emergency-use-or-approved-by-the-us-fda-as-of-31-december-2021	0
246	Will US print book sales in 2021 exceed those in 2020?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2002-will-us-print-book-sales-in-2021-exceed-those-in-2020	0
247	At close of business on 22 September 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 28 July 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1994-at-close-of-business-on-22-september-2021-will-the-upper-limit-of-the-federal-reserve-s-target-range-for-the-federal-funds-rate-be-lower-the-same-or-higher-than-it-was-at-close-of-business-on-28-july-2021	0
248	Before 16 December 2021, will the Federal Reserve announce it will reduce its monthly quantitative easing bond buying?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1993-before-16-december-2021-will-the-federal-reserve-announce-it-will-reduce-its-monthly-quantitative-easing-bond-buying	0
249	Will US federal legislation implementing or authorizing a mandatory carbon pricing mechanism become law before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1995-will-us-federal-legislation-implementing-or-authorizing-a-mandatory-carbon-pricing-mechanism-become-law-before-1-january-2022	0
250	Between 30 April 2021 and 31 December 2021, how many times will the Council of the European Union impose new restrictive measures (sanctions) on China over human rights violations and abuses in Xinjiang?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1991-between-30-april-2021-and-31-december-2021-how-many-times-will-the-council-of-the-european-union-impose-new-restrictive-measures-sanctions-on-china-over-human-rights-violations-and-abuses-in-xinjiang	0
251	Before 1 January 2022, will the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and/or People's Armed Police (PAP) engage in a confrontation with Hong Kongers?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1982-before-1-january-2022-will-the-people-s-liberation-army-pla-and-or-people-s-armed-police-pap-engage-in-a-confrontation-with-hong-kongers	0
252	Between 16 April 2021 and 31 December 2021, will ASML obtain an export license from the Netherlands to export an Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) lithography system to the People's Republic of China?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1989-between-16-april-2021-and-31-december-2021-will-asml-obtain-an-export-license-from-the-netherlands-to-export-an-extreme-ultraviolet-euv-lithography-system-to-the-people-s-republic-of-china	0
253	Following the 2021 German Bundestag elections, which parties will be part of the new government?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1987-following-the-2021-german-bundestag-elections-which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-new-government	0
254	What will be the Chinese renminbi's share as a global payments currency in December 2021, according to SWIFT?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1981-what-will-be-the-chinese-renminbi-s-share-as-a-global-payments-currency-in-december-2021-according-to-swift	0
255	Before 1 January 2022, will an executive order be signed or federal legislation become law that would limit or prohibit US federal funds from being used to purchase face recognition technology?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1984-before-1-january-2022-will-an-executive-order-be-signed-or-federal-legislation-become-law-that-would-limit-or-prohibit-us-federal-funds-from-being-used-to-purchase-face-recognition-technology	0
256	Will the EU establish a moratorium or ban on the use of facial recognition systems (FRS) in public spaces by public authorities, in premises meant for education and healthcare, and/or by law enforcement in semi-public spaces before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1985-will-the-eu-establish-a-moratorium-or-ban-on-the-use-of-facial-recognition-systems-frs-in-public-spaces-by-public-authorities-in-premises-meant-for-education-and-healthcare-and-or-by-law-enforcement-in-semi-public-spaces-before-1-january-2022	0
257	What will be the gross proceeds for special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) IPO transactions in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1969-what-will-be-the-gross-proceeds-for-special-purpose-acquisition-company-spac-ipo-transactions-in-2021	0
258	What will be the FAO Food Price Index for December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1968-what-will-be-the-fao-food-price-index-for-december-2021	0
259	What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1964-what-will-be-the-12-month-percentage-change-in-the-us-consumer-price-index-cpi-for-september-2021	0
260	Will the US FDA approve the drug molnupiravir for use to treat COVID-19 before 1 October 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1963-will-the-us-fda-approve-the-drug-molnupiravir-for-use-to-treat-covid-19-before-1-october-2021	0
261	Before 1 January 2022, will North Korea detonate a nuclear device and/or launch an ICBM with an estimated range of at least 10,000km?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1957-before-1-january-2022-will-north-korea-detonate-a-nuclear-device-and-or-launch-an-icbm-with-an-estimated-range-of-at-least-10-000km	0
262	Will Robinhood receive a Wells notice from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) before 1 October 2021 related to trading limits imposed on 28 January 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1958-will-robinhood-receive-a-wells-notice-from-the-securities-and-exchange-commission-sec-before-1-october-2021-related-to-trading-limits-imposed-on-28-january-2021	0
263	Will the People's Republic of China's (PRC's) military expenditure as a percentage of GDP be greater in 2021 than it was in 2019?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1951-will-the-people-s-republic-of-china-s-prc-s-military-expenditure-as-a-percentage-of-gdp-be-greater-in-2021-than-it-was-in-2019	0
264	Between 26 January 2021 and 31 December 2021, how many members of the Politburo will Chinese state media announce have been arrested and/or expelled from their posts?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1949-between-26-january-2021-and-31-december-2021-how-many-members-of-the-politburo-will-chinese-state-media-announce-have-been-arrested-and-or-expelled-from-their-posts	0
265	Will a bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) trade on a US exchange before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1939-will-a-bitcoin-exchange-traded-fund-etf-trade-on-a-us-exchange-before-1-january-2022	0
266	Before 15 December 2021, will the U.S. either formally seek to join or formally begin renegotiations with signatories regarding the TPP or CPTPP?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1936-before-15-december-2021-will-the-u-s-either-formally-seek-to-join-or-formally-begin-renegotiations-with-signatories-regarding-the-tpp-or-cptpp	0
267	Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. officially rejoin the JCPOA?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1935-before-1-january-2022-will-the-u-s-officially-rejoin-the-jcpoa	0
268	Will the powers of the government of Myanmar cease to be held by the military before 5 February 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1934-will-the-powers-of-the-government-of-myanmar-cease-to-be-held-by-the-military-before-5-february-2022	0
269	Will there be an act of domestic terrorism in the United States resulting in 10 or more fatalities before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1930-will-there-be-an-act-of-domestic-terrorism-in-the-united-states-resulting-in-10-or-more-fatalities-before-1-january-2022	0
270	Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1931-will-vladimir-putin-cease-to-be-the-president-of-the-russian-federation-before-1-january-2022	0
271	Will SpaceX and/or Virgin Galactic complete a successful space tourist flight before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1928-will-spacex-and-or-virgin-galactic-complete-a-successful-space-tourist-flight-before-1-january-2022	0
272	Will Saudi Arabia diplomatically recognize the State of Israel in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1926-will-saudi-arabia-diplomatically-recognize-the-state-of-israel-in-2021	0
273	Between 5 February 2021 and 31 October 2021, will anti-government protests in Russia result in five or more fatalities?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1929-between-5-february-2021-and-31-october-2021-will-anti-government-protests-in-russia-result-in-five-or-more-fatalities	0
274	Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of India and the People's Republic of China before 1 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1927-will-there-be-a-lethal-confrontation-between-the-national-military-forces-militia-and-or-law-enforcement-personnel-of-india-and-the-people-s-republic-of-china-before-1-december-2021	0
275	Will the United States report more deaths attributed to COVID-19 as of 31 December 2021 than will the European Union?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1916-will-the-united-states-report-more-deaths-attributed-to-covid-19-as-of-31-december-2021-than-will-the-european-union	0
276	How many vacancies will arise on the U.S. Supreme Court in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1915-how-many-vacancies-will-arise-on-the-u-s-supreme-court-in-2021	0
277	Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1908-will-the-un-declare-that-a-famine-exists-in-any-part-of-yemen-in-2021	0
278	Before 1 January 2022, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States either in Iran or at sea?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1910-before-1-january-2022-will-there-be-a-lethal-confrontation-between-the-national-military-forces-of-iran-and-the-united-states-either-in-iran-or-at-sea	0
279	Will Nicaragua diplomatically recognize the People's Republic of China before 7 November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1903-will-nicaragua-diplomatically-recognize-the-people-s-republic-of-china-before-7-november-2021	0
280	How many seats will the United Russia party win in the 2021 Russian State Duma elections?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1902-how-many-seats-will-the-united-russia-party-win-in-the-2021-russian-state-duma-elections	0
281	When will a new Dutch government be sworn in after the 2021 general election?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1907-when-will-a-new-dutch-government-be-sworn-in-after-the-2021-general-election	0
282	Will a Russian senior government official or Russian naval vessel visit Nicaragua before 7 November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1900-will-a-russian-senior-government-official-or-russian-naval-vessel-visit-nicaragua-before-7-november-2021	0
283	What will Uber's end-of-day market capitalization be on 31 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1905-what-will-uber-s-end-of-day-market-capitalization-be-on-31-december-2021	0
284	Will North Macedonia announce that it has completed its census before 1 October 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1897-will-north-macedonia-announce-that-it-has-completed-its-census-before-1-october-2021	0
285	Before 1 October 2021, will any group of Amazon employees in the U.S. vote in the affirmative to form a union?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1894-before-1-october-2021-will-any-group-of-amazon-employees-in-the-u-s-vote-in-the-affirmative-to-form-a-union	0
286	Will Daniel Ortega cease to be the president of Nicaragua before 11 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1891-will-daniel-ortega-be-cease-to-be-the-president-of-nicaragua-before-11-january-2022	0
287	At close of business on 31 December 2021, will Apple be the most valuable publicly traded company in the world?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1884-at-close-of-business-on-31-december-2021-will-apple-be-the-most-valuable-publicly-traded-company-in-the-world	0
288	What will be the closing yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury on 31 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1883-what-will-be-the-closing-yield-for-the-30-year-u-s-treasury-on-31-december-2021	0
289	Before 1 January 2022, will the Diem Association, co-founded by Facebook, launch a stablecoin?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1876-before-1-january-2022-will-the-diem-association-co-founded-by-facebook-launch-a-stablecoin	0
290	Will the People's Republic of China and the EU sign a Comprehensive Agreement on Investment before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1875-will-the-people-s-republic-of-china-and-the-eu-sign-a-comprehensive-agreement-on-investment-before-1-january-2022	0
291	Before 1 January 2022, will a commercial, open to the public, ride-hailing service that uses autonomous vehicles without back-up drivers nor remote operators be launched in the People's Republic of China?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1870-before-1-january-2022-will-a-commercial-open-to-the-public-ride-hailing-service-that-uses-autonomous-vehicles-without-back-up-drivers-nor-remote-operators-be-launched-in-the-people-s-republic-of-china	0
292	Will Japan, the People's Republic of China, and South Korea sign a trilateral free trade agreement before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1868-will-japan-the-people-s-republic-of-china-and-south-korea-sign-a-trilateral-free-trade-agreement-before-1-january-2022	0
293	Before 1 January 2022, will a release date for The Winds of Winter be announced by the author and/or publisher?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1864-before-1-january-2022-will-a-release-date-for-the-winds-of-winter-be-announced-by-the-author-and-or-publisher	0
294	Will net international migration between the U.S. and abroad for 2021 be higher than the net international migration for 2020?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1865-will-net-international-migration-between-the-u-s-and-abroad-for-2021-be-higher-than-the-net-international-migration-for-2020	0
295	Before 1 October 2021, will Jair Bolsonaro cease to be the president of Brazil?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1851-before-1-october-2021-will-jair-bolsonaro-cease-to-be-the-president-of-brazil	0
296	In 2021, will total fire activity in the Amazon exceed the 2020 total count?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1842-in-2021-will-total-fire-activity-in-the-amazon-exceed-the-2020-total-count	0
297	Before 1 January 2022, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1822-before-1-january-2022-will-amazon-announce-that-it-will-spin-off-amazon-web-services-aws	0
298	Between 16 October 2020 and 31 December 2021, how many successful flight tests of the Common Hypersonic Glide Body (C-HGB) will the United States conduct?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1818-between-16-october-2020-and-31-december-2021-how-many-successful-flight-tests-of-the-common-hypersonic-glide-body-c-hgb-will-the-united-states-conduct	0
299	Will Boom Technology's XB-1 supersonic aircraft complete a successful test flight before 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1816-will-boom-technology-s-xb-1-supersonic-aircraft-complete-a-successful-test-flight-before-2022	0
300	Before 18 September 2021, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1789-before-18-september-2021-will-boris-johnson-cease-to-be-prime-minister-of-the-united-kingdom	0
301	Before 1 January 2022, will the United States Olympic Committee announce that it is boycotting the 2022 Winter Olympics?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1764-before-1-january-2022-will-the-united-states-olympic-committee-announce-that-it-is-boycotting-the-2022-winter-olympics	0
302	Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. Senate expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1718-before-1-january-2022-will-the-u-s-senate-expand-the-scope-of-matters-for-which-a-filibuster-cannot-be-used	0
303	According to COVIDcast survey results reported by the UVA Biocomplexity Institute on 1 October 2021, what percentage of Virginians will be “vaccine accepting”?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7616/-vaccine-accepting-virginians-on-1-oct/	0
304	How many papers at the 2023 NeurIPS conference will have authors with Apple Inc. affiliation?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7768/apple-papers-at-neurips-2023/	0
305	Will Stripe be the largest public offering worldwide in 2021 by valuation?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6688/stripe-as-largest-public-offering-in-2021/	0
306	Longbets series: By 2030, will commercial passengers routinely fly in pilotless planes?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3645/longbets-series-by-2030-will-commercial-passengers-routinely-fly-in-pilotless-planes/	0
307	Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3458/will-there-be-a-culturally-significant-development-in-aging-research-by-2030/	0
308	Will annual U.S. inflation reach 100% in any year before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6604/us-hyperinflation-in-any-year-before-2050/	0
309	Will a new Derek Chauvin homicide trial be ordered on or before April 20, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7162/derek-chauvin-to-be-tried-again-for-homicide/	0
310	Will SciHub or a successor organisation exist and be uploading new articles in 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7839/sci-hub-to-exist-in-2023/	0
311	How many seats will the Labour Party win at the next UK general election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7650/labour-seats-at-next-uk-general-election/	0
312	How many members will Giving What We Can have on its 20th anniversary?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6596/giving-what-we-can-memberships-on-2029-11-15/	0
313	What percentage of US GDP will be spent on healthcare in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7341/percent-of-gdp-us-spends-on-healthcare-2035/	0
314	Hutter Prize: At the end of 2022, what will be the best bits-per-character compression of a 1GB sample of Wikipedia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3723/hutter-prize-at-the-end-of-2022-what-will-be-the-best-bits-per-character-compression-of-a-1gb-sample-of-wikipedia/	0
315	What will be the U.S. GDP growth (year on year) in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5923/us-gdp-growth-rate-in-2021/	0
316	What will be the 7-day moving average of vaccine doses administered in Virginia on 25 September?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7866/va-vaccine-doses-administered-25-september/	0
317	How many e-prints on AI Safety, interpretability or explainability will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6529/e-prints-ai-safety-2021-02-14-to-2023-02-14/	0
318	How many people in the US between the ages 16-24 will be employed in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6056/us-employment-of-ages-16-24-in-2021/	0
319	If Conservatives win the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4645/if-conservatives-win-the-next-uk-general-election-what-will-the-england--wales-prison-population-rate-per-100000-people-be-5-years-later/	0
320	What will the total amount of worldwide venture capital funding in quantum computing be in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7435/quantum-computing-private-funding/	0
321	Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7441/draft-registration-for-women-before-2024/	0
322	When will electric cars constitute over 5% of the US passenger car fleet?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3658/when-will-electric-cars-constitute-over-5-of-the-us-passenger-car-fleet/	0
323	Is the halting problem for the Collatz Program computable?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2803/is-the-halting-problem-for-the-collatz-program-computable/	0
324	When will it become possible to transplant organs without the recipient needing immunosuppressant drugs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6963/transplants-without-immunosuppressants/	0
325	Will Israel recognize Palestine by 2070?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7631/israel-recognizing-palestine/	0
326	Will at least 2 US diplomats die or be captured in the evacuation of Kabul?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7737/us-diplomatic-evacuation-in-kabul-2021/	0
327	When will electric cars constitute over 5% of the Japanese passenger car fleet?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4360/when-will-electric-cars-constitute-over-5-of-the-japanese-passenger-car-fleet/	0
328	Will Bill Gates implant a brain-computer interface in anyone by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6364/bill-gates-brain-computer-interface-by-2030/	0
329	Will an incumbent traditional animal protein company take out a full-page ad that criticises plant-based, or cultivated meat, in either the NYT, WSJ or WaPo by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7058/anti-alt-food-adds-by-2023/	0
330	What will Poland's Economist Democracy Index be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7585/polish-democracy-in-2030/	0
331	Bitcoin Extremes: Will the value of 1 bitcoin fall to $1,000 or less before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3821/bitcoin-extremes-will-the-value-of-1-bitcoin-fall-to-1000-or-less-before-2025/	0
332	When will "Tesla Bots" be available to US consumers?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7791/tesla-bot-us-general-availability-date/	0
333	Will Cuba still be a communist state in 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1631/will-cuba-still-be-a-communist-state-in-2023/	0
334	Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7738/twitter-says-nyt-tweet-misinforms-by-2025/	0
335	Will a CANZUK Free Movement Treaty be Adopted Before 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7217/canzuk-free-movement-zone-by-2029/	0
336	Will Robin Hanson win a bet that the GPT line of language models will generate < $1Bn in customer revenue by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5118/will-robin-hanson-win-a-bet-that-the-gpt-line-of-language-models-will-generate--1bn-in-customer-revenue-by-2025/	0
337	Will Próspera's population in 2021 be larger than 1,000?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7139/pr%25C3%25B3spera-population-in-2021/	0
338	Will there be at least one fatality in the US from a non-test nuclear detonation by 2050 if a non-test detonation causes a fatality anywhere?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7405/us-fatality-from-nuclear-weapon-detonation/	0
339	Assuming that the Green Party does not join the federal government following the German federal elections on September 26th, 2021, what will be German per capita CO2 emissions in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6653/co2-emissions-in-germany-in-2025-non-greens/	0
340	Will there be at least one fatality from nuclear detonation in North Korea by 2050, if any detonation occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7453/fatality-from-nuclear-detonation-in-n-korea/	0
341	Will the Unique Games Conjecture be proved by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7736/unique-games-conjecture-resolution/	0
342	What proportion of offensive nuclear weapon detonations by Pakistan by 2050 will be countervalue, if any detonation by Pakistan occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7410/countervalue-detonations-by-pakistan-by-2050/	0
343	For the month of September 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly non-farm payroll number (in millions)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7371/non-farm-payroll-september-2021/	0
344	Will Impossible Food's ingredient heme be banned in the United States before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6546/impossible-foods-heme-banned-by-2023/	0
345	Will it be legal at any point to pay taxes in Bitcoin in the U.S. before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7509/paying-us-taxes-in-bitcoin/	0
346	When will the US implement a national carbon tax or carbon pricing mechanism?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7877/date-us-passes-national-carbon-pricing-bill/	0
347	Will Yang get 200k donors or more in the 2024 US presidential race?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3689/will-yang-get-200k-donors-or-more-in-the-2024-us-presidential-race/	0
348	What will the total worldwide box office gross be for Avatar 2?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7842/avatar-2-box-office/	0
349	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next leader of the Swedish Social Democratic Party?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7848/next-leader-of-the-swedish-social-democrats/	0
350	What will the Men's winning 100m time in the 2024 Olympic Final be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7775/2024-mens-100m-final/	0
351	When will the prize pool of an esport tournament be greater than any other sport tournament in that year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6708/esport-tournament-has-more-money-than-sport/	0
352	Will Donald Trump become speaker of the House of Representatives before January 15th 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7322/trump-to-be-souse-speaker-before-1152023/	0
353	Will lab-grown complex vital organs be used successfully in humans before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1640/will-lab-grown-complex-vital-organs-be-used-successfully-in-humans-before-2025/	0
354	By 2030, will at least 1% of Gallup respondents report the most important problem facing the US is something relating to space?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7882/will-americans-care-about-space-by-2030/	0
355	Will Sam Bankman-Fried have donated $1bn 2021 USD to charitable causes before 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7862/sam-bankman-fried-to-donate-1bn-before-2031/	0
356	By 2030, how much will the most expensive NFT be sold?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6804/most-expensive-nft-by-2030/	0
357	Is the sunflower conjecture true?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7550/truth-of-the-sunflower-conjecture/	0
358	By 2023, how fast will the Effective Altruism Wiki have grown relative to the LessWrong Wiki?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7889/ea-wiki-growth-relative-to-lw-wiki/	0
359	Will Rep. Matt Gaetz leave the US House of Representatives before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6965/rep-matt-gaetz-leaves-congress-by-2023/	0
360	Will a reliable poll of physicists reveal that a majority of those polled accept the many-worlds interpretation by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3842/will-a-reliable-poll-of-physicists-reveal-that-a-majority-of-those-polled-accept-the-many-worlds-interpretation-by-2050/	0
361	Alexei Navalny to become president or prime minister of Russia in his lifetime?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3416/alexei-navalny-to-become-president-or-prime-minister-of-russia-in-his-lifetime/	0
362	Longbets series: Will slaughterhouses be banned in the United Kingdom by 2050.	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4894/longbets-series-will-slaughterhouses-be-banned-in-the-united-kingdom-by-2050/	0
363	Will Joe Biden be the Democratic nominee in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5712/biden-2024-re-nomination/	0
364	Will Ron DeSantis be the GOP nominee for the 2024 US presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6590/ron-desantis-2024-gop-presidential-candidate/	0
365	Will there be a renewal of intense fighting in the Donbass this summer?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6959/war-in-donbass-2021/	0
366	When will a West Balkan state next join the EU?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7228/date-a-west-balkan-state-next-joins-the-eu/	0
367	Will more than 2,500 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7220/israel-palestine-crisis-2021--q3/	0
368	When will SpaceX's Starship carry a human to orbit?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4588/when-will-spacexs-starship-carry-a-human-to-orbit/	0
369	What will be the EU GDP growth (year on year) in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5925/eu-gdp-growth-rate-in-2021/	0
370	What will be the percent SOL assessment pass rate in math for Virginian third graders in the 2021-2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7610/3rd-grader-math-test-pass-rate-for-2021-2022/	0
371	What will be the median age of an employed person in the US in 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6055/us-median-age-of-employed-person-by-2040/	0
372	When will the Mars helicopter Ingenuity stop making successful flights for 6 months, if it is operational through 2022-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7782/date-ingenuity-ceases-flights-for-6-months/	0
373	Will Elon Musk (attempt to) go to Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1598/will-elon-musk-attempt-to-go-to-mars/	0
374	Will there be a very large-scale power outage in continental Europe synchronous grid (> 10 m people affected for more than > 1 hour in several countries) before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6694/continental-europe-blackout-before-2023/	0
375	How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake in the 2020s?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4812/how-many-people-will-die-as-a-result-of-the-most-deadly-earthquake-in-the-2020s/	0
376	Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5352/will-kamala-harris-win-the-2024-election/	0
377	When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3353/when-will-the-who-certify-the-worldwide-eradication-of-polio/	0
378	When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3399/when-will-the-last-metaculus-question-resolution-occur/	0
379	When will Uber become cheaper in the Bay Area?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7493/date-uber-becomes-cheaper-in-bay-area/	0
380	What percentage of 5-11 year olds in Virginia will have received at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine by end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7830/virginia-5-11-year-olds-vaccinations-in-2021/	0
381	Will renewable energy contribute 25.00%, or less, to global electricity production in the calendar year 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3593/will-renewable-energy-contribute-2500-or-less-to-global-electricity-production-in-the-calendar-year-2030/	0
382	Will Próspera at any point before 2035 have at least 10,000 residents?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7544/pr%25C3%25B3spera-at-10000-residents-before-2035/	0
383	When will self-driving taxis be available in at least one large German city?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7835/self-driving-taxis-in-germany/	0
384	Will the GOP control the senate after the 2024 election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7850/the-gop-controls-the-us-senate-in-2025/	0
385	In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to to global poverty?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6110/2025-ea-survey-donations-to-global-poverty/	0
386	Will Washington D.C. become a state before 2025-01-20?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6218/dc-statehood-before-before-2025-01-20/	0
387	Will the CDU continue to govern Germany after the 2021 elections?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6338/cdu-governs-germany-after-the-2021-elections/	0
388	Will Aubrey de Grey be terminated or resign from the SENS Research Foundation by 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7688/aubrey-de-grey-to-leave-sens-by-2022/	0
389	Will the control problem be solved before the creation of Artificial General Intelligence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6509/safe-agi-on-arrival/	0
390	When will credible sources reveal the existence of something similar to DALL-E but significantly bigger?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6938/when-will-there-be-a-50b-parameter-dall-e/	0
391	Will the Conservative Party form the first government after the next UK general election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3439/will-the-conservative-party-form-the-first-government-after-the-next-uk-general-election/	0
392	How many athletes will have signed the High Impact Athletes giving pledge by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5999/number-of-hia-pledges-by-end-of-2021/	0
393	When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3816/when-will-the-first-evidence-of-extraterrestrial-life-be-discovered/	0
394	What will the World's GDP be in 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1574/what-will-the-worlds-gdp-be-in-2028/	0
395	How many cents will it cost a typical consumer in the United States to store 10 GB of data on January 1st 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4048/how-many-cents-will-it-cost-a-typical-consumer-in-the-united-states-to-store-10-gb-of-data-on-january-1st-2025/	0
396	Will large scale solar radiation management be used to mitigate the effects of climate change in the 21st century?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4219/will-large-scale-solar-radiation-management-be-used-to-mitigate-the-effects-of-climate-change-in-the-21st-century/	0
397	How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in cultivated meat companies in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7049/2022-non-exit-investment-in-cultivated-meat/	0
398	When will the U.S. CDC recommend that all fully vaccinated Americans receive a booster dose?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7614/cdc-recommends-booster-for-all-vaccinated-ppl/	0
399	When will a computer program be able to solve over 80% of competition-level coding problems on its first try?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7398/when-will-computers-be-competent-programmers/	0
400	How many deployed nuclear weapons will there be at the end of 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7462/deployed-nuclear-weapons-by-2024/	0
401	What percentage of the Israeli population will be Haredi in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7513/-israeli-population-that-is-haredi-in-2050/	0
402	When will Hong Kong stop being a Special Administrative Region of China?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3338/when-will-hong-kong-stop-being-a-special-administrative-region-of-china/	0
403	When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6325/us-below-100-covid-deaths-per-day/	0
404	Will any body of the US federal government conclude that COVID-19 originated in a lab in Hubei before June 1st 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7211/us-conclude-covid-lab-leak-by-june-2022/	0
405	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7368/industrial-production-index-september-2021/	0
406	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6763/marine-le-pen-french-president-in-2022/	0
407	When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7583/date-of-sputnik-v-who-approval-longer-range/	0
408	Will Pakistan recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7860/pakistan-recognize-taliban-government-by-2030/	0
409	When will the U.S. lift its Presidential Proclamation restricting travel from the European Schengen Area?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5912/when-will-us-allow-travel-from-europe/	0
410	Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7859/turkey-recognize-taliban-government-by-2030/	0
411	How many major wars will begin between 2021 and 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5351/major-wars-in-the-2020s/	0
412	Will Catalonia become an independent state?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/568/will-catalonia-become-an-independent-state/	0
413	Will China recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7861/china-recognize-taliban-government-by-2030/	0
414	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Private Sector WPI for Q3 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6929/aus-private-sector-wpi--change-for-q3-2021/	0
415	How many ratings will Toby Ord's book The Precipice have on Amazon on January 1st 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6107/the-precipice-amazon-ratings-1-1-2022/	0
416	By 23 November 2021 will the US Supreme Court overturn any part of President Biden's executive order requiring federal workers to be vaccinated against COVID-19?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7958/will-scotus-strike-down-fed-worker-mandate/	0
417	How many papers at the 2023 NeurIPS conference will have authors with Amazon affiliation?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7769/amazon-papers-at-neurips-in-2023/	0
418	What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be on well-populated areas?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7503/fraction-detonations-by-2050-on-townscities/	0
419	When will the UK reach herd immunity (>53.3m) for Covid-19?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6105/uk-covid-herd-immunity-533m-date/	0
420	When will someone first be convicted of a murder that occurred outside of Earth's atmosphere?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7880/first-extraterrestrial-murder/	0
421	In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7831/us-election-2024-decided-by-supreme-court/	0
422	What will be Trump's first retrospective job approval rating?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6654/trump-retrospective-job-approval/	0
423	Will there be a bilateral cease-fire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7504/2021-cease-fire-in-tigray-war-lasts-30-days/	0
424	How many billions of dollars will hurricanes in 2021 cost the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6919/cost-of-hurricanes-in-2021/	0
425	Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5886/will-the-first-female-potus-be-republican/	0
426	Will armed conflict between the national military forces or law enforcement personnel of Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7512/100-deaths-from-taiwan-conflict-before-2050/	0
427	Will the United States fulfill its goal of landing humans on the moon again before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2671/will-the-united-states-fulfill-its-goal-of-landing-humans-on-the-moon-again-before-2025/	0
428	How big will be the first crew sent to Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5277/the-first-martian-crew-size/	0
429	Bitcoin Extremes: Will 1 bitcoin be worth $100,000 or more before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3820/bitcoin-extremes-will-1-bitcoin-be-worth-100000-or-more-before-2025/	0
430	If Joe Biden becomes president, what will the federal minimum wage be at the end of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4470/if-joe-biden-becomes-president-what-will-the-federal-minimum-wage-be-at-the-end-of-2024/	0
431	Will a DNA-sequencing read-length record of over 5,000,000 bases be achieved before January 1st, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4745/dna-sequencing-read-length-5-mb-before-22/	0
432	Will Egypt attempt to damage the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7784/egypt-ethiopia-water-war-before-2024/	0
433	Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5760/next-conservative-leader-uk/	0
434	What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will  United States-based in the June 2030 TOP500 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5950/us-share-of-world-supercompute-june-2030/	0
435	What is the highest value 1 bitcoin will ever reach by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6614/the-highest-value-1-btc-will-reach-by-2030/	0
436	When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6552/when-will-covid-19-fall-to-very-low-ifr/	0
437	Will a member of the Trump family be the Republican nominee for the US Presidency in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4127/will-a-member-of-the-trump-family-be-the-republican-nominee-for-the-us-presidency-in-2024/	0
438	What will net U.S. geothermal electricity production be in the year 2026, in GWh?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7728/us-net-geothermal-electricity-by-2027/	0
439	If there is a WW3, what latitude will it start in?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3868/if-there-is-a-ww3-what-latitude-will-it-start-in/	0
440	Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6306/2024-us-popular-vote-3rd-party-at-least-10/	0
441	Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6478/democratic-president-wins-2024-election/	0
442	Will US CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7977/high-inflation-in-2022/	0
443	Will a US Democratic President sign into law a $500 billion spending cut before 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7978/democrat-potus-signs-500g-budget-cut-by-2029/	0
444	When will there be a proof (or disproof) that P=BPP?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7879/date-of-proofdisproof-of-pbpp/	0
445	By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3142/by-2030-how-many-people-will-have-ever-landed-on-the-moon/	0
446	What will be China's GDP at the end of 2025 in trillions of dollars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7005/gdp-of-china-for-2025/	0
447	Will Mount Rushmore be intentionally destroyed or modified before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4742/will-mount-rushmore-be-intentionally-destroyed-or-modified-before-2025/	0
448	Will 2021 be the hottest year on record according to NASA?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5916/will-2021-be-the-hottest-year-on-record/	0
449	When will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5670/calculating-rsa-public-keys/	0
450	When will the mammoth be revived?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6499/when-will-the-mammoth-be-revived/	0
451	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7369/cpi-u-september-2021/	0
452	Will the U.S. join the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership trade pact in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5920/us-to-join-rcep-trade-pact-in-2021/	0
453	Will Kamala Harris be president before inauguration day 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5201/will-kamala-harris-be-president-before-2025/	0
454	Will the U.S. CDC announce that they are tracking a SARS-CoV-2 variant that they classify as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) before 1 August 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7603/variant-of-high-consequence-before-aug-2022/	0
455	What will the atmospheric CO2 concentration be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2563/what-will-the-atmospheric-co2-concentration-be-in-2030/	0
456	When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7766/us-elects-third-partyindependent-president/	0
457	How will the World Happiness Report rank the United States in 2022-2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7897/us-happiness-ranking-from-2022-2024/	0
458	When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3725/when-will-a-private-fusion-company-first-report-a-yearly-profit/	0
459	When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5852/date-when-lifespan-increases-075-yrsyr/	0
460	When will the total number of people who have gone to space reach 1000?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1519/when-will-the-total-number-of-people-who-have-gone-to-space-reach-1000/	0
461	Will the next President of the United States be impeached?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3419/will-the-next-president-of-the-united-states-be-impeached/	0
462	Is the Collatz Conjecture true?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2802/is-the-collatz-conjecture-true/	0
463	What percentage of  Virginians will have received a booster dose for COVID-19 vaccine by end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7865/virginia-booster-dose-in-2021/	0
464	Will Brazil continue to be the largest producer of soybeans in the world in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7053/brazil-to-lead-in-soybean-production-in-2022/	0
465	What percentage of Virginia's overall population will be fully vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 on 1 October 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7617/va-overall-pop-fully-vaccinated-on-1-oct/	0
466	Will San Francisco issue a health order banning all restaurant indoor dining anytime between 2021-07-01 and 2021-12-31?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6858/sf-bans-indoor-dining-in-late-2021/	0
467	Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/981/will-cannabis-be-removed-from-schedule-i-of-the-controlled-substance-act-by-2024/	0
468	Will a Wealth Tax be passed if a Democrat is elected president in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3606/will-a-wealth-tax-be-passed-if-a-democrat-is-elected-president-in-2020/	0
469	How many paying customers will the most used romantic AI companion have by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7232/romantic-ai-companion-customers-by-2025/	0
470	What will Peru's GDP per capita (PPP) be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7383/peru-gdp-per-capita-ppp-in-2030/	0
471	When will Bitcoin lose its position as market dominant cryptocurrency?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5205/bitcoins-market-dominant-cryptocurrency/	0
472	When will Germany have no coal-fired power plants in its electricity grid?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7218/when-germany-stops-burning-coal/	0
473	When will the number of Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations in the US have declined by 90% relative to 2020 levels?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7319/date-of-decline-of-cafos-by-90/	0
474	Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before Jan 1, 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7792/100-deaths-from-taiwan-conflict-before-2026/	0
475	When will Apple announce the first computer that uses the second generation of their M-series processor (likely to be named the M2)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7078/apple-m2-release-date/	0
476	Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5253/iran-gets-nuke-by-2030/	0
477	What will the cost of energy of utility-scale solar photovoltaics be in 2022, in 2018 USD per kWh?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3521/what-will-the-cost-of-energy-of-utility-scale-solar-photovoltaics-be-in-2022-in-2018-usd-per-kwh/	0
478	When will The Economist rank China as a democracy in the Democracy Index?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6377/china-becomes-a-democracy/	0
479	When will Australia reopen for quarantine-free international travel?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6415/date-of-australian-border-reopening/	0
480	Will Substack cancel anyone before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6424/substack-to-join-cancel-culture/	0
481	What will Lebanon's Fragile States Index score be in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7797/lebanese-fragility-in-2022/	0
482	What will US house prices be at the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5780/real-us-house-prices-in-2021/	0
483	Drake's Equation 5th parameter f_i: On what fraction of habitable planets with life does intelligence evolve?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1341/drakes-equation-5th-parameter-f_i/	0
484	When will a clean meat flavoring product be approved for human consumption?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3239/when-will-a-clean-meat-flavoring-product-be-approved-for-human-consumption/	0
485	When, if ever, will 17 year olds vote in the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6326/17-year-old-suffrage-in-the-us/	0
486	What will South Africa's Fragile States Index score be in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7858/south-african-fragility-in-2022/	0
487	Will the US have more than 200,000 daily COVID-19 cases (7-day average) before January 1, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7542/over-200k-us-covid-daily-cases-by-2022/	0
488	When will the US close the Guantanamo Bay detention camp?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6555/guantanamo-bay-detention-camp-closure-date/	0
489	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by CBP for the months of August to December 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7733/us-southwest-border-encounters-aug-dec-2021/	0
490	What will be the total box office gross in the U.S. & Canada in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5942/box-office-gross-in-the-us--canada-in-2021/	0
491	Will any top ten meat global processor/producer go bankrupt by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7052/global-meat-producers-to-go-bankrupt-by-2023/	0
492	When will Gross World Product exceed 1 quadrillion USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6969/when-will-gwp-exceed-1-quadrillion-usd/	0
493	When will the next Scottish independence referendum be held?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5761/next-scottish-indepedence-referendum/	0
494	How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7457/-nuclear-weapons-used-by-2050/	0
495	When will The Economist rank Russia as a Democracy in its Democracy Index?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6497/russia-ranked-democracy-in-economists-index/	0
496	Will Bitcoin outperform VTI from 2021-Mar-01 until 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6508/btc-outperforms-the-us-total-stock-market/	0
497	Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4923/will-the-next-millennium-prize-problem-be-solved-by-ai/	0
498	Will an anti-5G attack take a life in 2021 or 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6102/anti-5g-attack-to-take-life-in-20212022/	0
499	When will the first clone of a prominent historical figure be born?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5804/first-clone-of-a-prominent-historical-figure/	0
500	Will China achieve its Paris Climate Agreement goals?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/491/will-china-achieve-its-paris-climate-agreement-goals/	0
501	Will the sunflower conjecture be resolved before 2060?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7549/resolving-the-sunflower-conjecture/	0
502	In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new COVID-19 testing encounters on 1 October 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7136/7-day-avg-of-1-october-covid-tests-in-va/	0
503	Will Roe v. Wade be formally overturned by 2028-07-31?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1011/roe-v-wade-overturned-by-2028-07-31/	0
504	When will the Collatz Conjecture be resolved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2799/when-will-the-collatz-conjecture-be-resolved/	0
505	What will the total retail sales including food services be for September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7367/total-retail-sales-september-2021/	0
506	How many UN member states will there be in 2070?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7761/number-of-un-members-in-2070/	0
507	In the year 2028, how many tonnes of insect protein will be used as animal feed for livestock, poultry and fish in Europe?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3421/in-the-year-2028-how-many-tonnes-of-insect-protein-will-be-used-as-animal-feed-for-livestock-poultry-and-fish-in-europe/	0
508	Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3621/will-a-third-party-win-a-senate-election-in-the-united-states-by-2050/	0
509	When will a computer program be credited as an artist of at least ten pages of content in Weekly Shonen Jump?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7483/ai-artist-to-be-credited-in-shonen-jump/	0
510	Will Mike Pence be the GOP nominee for the 2024 US presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7083/mike-pence-2024-gop-presidential-nominee/	0
511	When will the first woman win the World Chess Championships?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7576/date-of-first-woman-world-championship-win/	0
512	Will JavaScript be the most used programming language in the 2030 Stack Overflow Developer Survey?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6502/javascripts-dominance-in-2030/	0
513	What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6305/us-2024-popular-vote-combined-dem--rep/	0
514	In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7829/us-state-to-overturn-election-result-2024/	0
515	When will the percent of Virginia's population vaccinated with at least one dose reach 75%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7117/when-will-75-virginians-have-1-vaccine-dose/	0
516	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Animal Welfare in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7423/open-phil-animal-welfare-grants-2030/	0
517	Will Sweden have an extra election before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7492/sweden-to-have-extra-election-in-2021/	0
518	Will Donald Trump be elected president of the United States in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5717/will-trump-be-elected-potus-in-2024/	0
519	Will Turkey be a NATO member continuously until 1 January 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3238/will-turkey-be-a-nato-member-continuously-until-1-january-2025/	0
520	How many career points will LeBron James score in the NBA regular season when he retires?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7729/lebron-james-career-points/	0
521	On what date will the New York Times COVID-19 tracker for New York City assess the risk as "low"?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6796/nyc-low-risk-date-for-covid/	0
522	When will a peanut, soy, or wheat-based product that is successfully de-allergenized first be for sale in the United States or any European Union-member state?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7042/us-allergy-free-wheatsoypeanut-before-eu/	0
523	When will 1 bitcoin be worth $1,000,000 (2020 USD) or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6046/date-1-bitcoin-worth-1-million/	0
524	Will the WTA and ATP merge before 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6903/wta--atp-merger/	0
525	When will Israel recognize Palestine?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7572/date-israel-recognises-palestine/	0
526	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims (in thousands) filed in September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7366/initial-jobless-claims-september-2021/	0
527	By 2021-11-01 will the US FDA approve a COVID-19 vaccine for children aged 5-11?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7969/fda-approval-of-covid-vaccine-for-kids-soon/	0
528	When will at least a zettabyte of digital information be destroyed as the result of a single event?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7286/1021-bytes-destroyed-by-single-event/	0
529	When will there be a (classical) polynomial time algorithm for factoring intergers?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7558/algorithm-for-factoring-in-polynomial-time/	0
530	Will there be a non-BJP Prime Minister of India before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7841/non-bjp-indian-pm-before-2030/	0
531	Will NASA's SLS launch a person to the Moon before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2795/will-nasas-sls-launch-a-person-to-the-moon-before-2024/	0
532	Will Kim Jong-un still be the de facto leader of North Korea on 1 January 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3445/will-kim-jong-un-still-be-the-de-facto-leader-of-north-korea-on-1-january-2022/	0
533	How much will High Impact Athletes have donated by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6003/total-donated-by-hia-athletes-by-end-of-2021/	0
534	How high will the Haredi share of Israel's population be at its peak?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7571/haredi-share-of-israel-at-peak/	0
535	Will the (English speaking) world be happier in 2021 than in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5552/will-2021-be-a-happier-year-than-2020/	0
536	What proportion of offensive nuclear weapon detonations by China by 2050 will be countervalue, if any detonation by China occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7459/countervalue-detonations-by-china-by-2050/	0
537	Will Donald J. Trump be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6330/will-donald-trump-run-for-president-in-2024/	0
538	Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6427/will-gb-news-be-broadcasting-in-2025/	0
539	What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4333/what-will-be-the-democracy-index-of-the-united-states-in-2040/	0
540	What will be the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the U.S. for October 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3144/what-will-be-the-labor-force-participation-rate-total-16-and-older-in-the-us-for-october-2025/	0
541	Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7840/us-rejoins-iran-deal-before-2023/	0
542	When will the James Webb telescope be launched?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7298/james-webb-telescope-launch-date/	0
543	What will be the vaccine efficacy of the two-dose Johnson & Johnson Ad26.COV2.S vaccine candidate according to the results of Phase III testing?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6819/percent-efficacy-of-two-dose-jj-vaccine/	0
544	Will there be an AI Sputnik moment before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7216/ai-sputnik-moment-by-2050/	0
545	How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5840/drugs-approved-by-fda-in-2035/	0
546	When will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6494/when-will-the-r-hypothesis-be-resolved/	0
547	How high will Germany's total dependency ratio be in 2039?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7431/germanys-future-age-structure/	0
548	When will Queen Elizabeth II cease to be Queen of the United Kingdom?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3474/when-will-queen-elizabeth-ii-cease-to-be-queen-of-the-united-kingdom/	0
549	How much will US livestock production be subsidized, on average, in over the 2021-22 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7067/us-livestock-subsidization-between-2021-22/	0
550	What will the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU be, on Jan 14, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6194/top-price-performance-in-g3d-mark--of-gpu/	0
551	How many seats will the Scottish National Party win at the next UK general election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7653/snp-seats-at-next-uk-election/	0
552	Will the question asking whether Scott will mention it on Astral Codex Ten resolve ambiguously?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7976/acx-mention-question-resolves-ambiguous/	0
553	Will a mission to land a spacecraft on Europa launch by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1348/will-a-mission-to-land-a-spacecraft-on-europa-launch-by-2030/	0
554	Will the Supreme Court hear Harvard vs SFFA by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7578/harvard-vs-sffa-in-supreme-court/	0
555	Will AES-256 be publicly broken by 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6356/aes-256-broken-by-2040/	0
556	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Public Sector WPI for Q3 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6933/aus-public-sector-wpi--change-for-q3-2021/	0
557	When will the UK have sequenced 10M people in a research biobank?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7508/10m-people-in-a-uk-biobank/	0
558	Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7455/unauthorised-nuclear-detonation-by-2024/	0
559	Will NASA issue a second fully-funded award for its Human Landing System contract before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7448/nasa-awards-2nd-hls-contract-in-2021/	0
560	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards AI risk reduction in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7418/open-phil-ai-grants-2025/	0
561	Will France place in the Top 5 at the 2024 Paris Olympics?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7669/france-home-game-advantage/	0
562	What is the probability that Gore will defeat Bush in the 2000 US Presidential Election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3084/what-is-the-probability-that-gore-will-defeat-bush-in-the-2000-us-presidential-election/	0
563	Robocup Challenge	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/397/robocup-challenge/	0
564	Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7849/2024-us-house-midterm-election/	0
565	What will be the 7-day moving average of the percentage of people wearing masks in Virginia on 18 September?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7869/-va-mask-wearing-in-public-on-18-september/	0
566	Will Erin O'Toole win the 2021 Canadian federal election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7899/will-erin-otoole-be-the-next-pm-of-canada/	0
567	How many research papers on cultivated meat will be published in 2022, according to Semantic Scholar?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7043/new-cultivated-meat-publications-by-2022/	0
568	What will the maximum world real GDP growth in percentage points be for a single year in the 21st century?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4050/what-will-the-maximum-world-real-gdp-growth-in-percentage-points-be-for-a-single-year-in-the-21st-century/	0
569	Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7795/nanotechnology-gc-to-cause-near-extinction/	0
570	When will Virgin Galactic's first paid flight occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/469/when-will-virgin-galactics-first-paid-flight-occur/	0
571	When will the US-EU border reopen?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6664/us-eu-border-to-reopen/	0
572	How much total capital will be invested in plant-based foods companies through exits (IPOs, direct listings, mergers and acquisitions) in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7048/2022-exit-investment-in-plant-based-food/	0
573	Will global CO2-equivalent emissions be greater in 2021 than in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6700/greater-global-carbon-emissions-in-2021/	0
574	What will the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies be at start of 2025? (In billion USD)	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5446/total-market-cap-of-cryptocurrencies-2025/	0
575	Will one of the first AGI claim to be conscious?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4409/will-one-of-the-first-agi-claim-to-be-conscious/	0
576	Will a US consumer be unable to purchase a Cavendish banana at a major US grocery chain on 2029-12-31?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3386/will-a-us-consumer-be-unable-to-purchase-a-cavendish-banana-at-a-major-us-grocery-chain-on-2029-12-31/	0
577	When will the first human head transplant occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5211/first-human-head-transplant-when/	0
578	What will the earliest preservation date of any resuscitated cryonics patient be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3382/what-will-the-earliest-preservation-date-of-any-resuscitated-cryonics-patient-be/	0
579	Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at year end 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7444/elon-musk-worlds-richest-person-2025/	0
580	Will there be an exponential improvement in the bounds on diagonal Ramsey by 2060?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7523/exponential-improvement-on-diagonal-ramsey/	0
581	How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in plant-based food companies in 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7039/2026-investment-in-plant-based-food-companies/	0
582	Will a new State of Emergency in response to COVID be declared in Virginia before 1 October 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7635/new-va-covid-state-of-emergency/	0
583	How many Arab League member states will have normalized relations with Israel in 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5243/arab-league-normalized-relations-with-israel/	0
584	When will most members of the House of Lords be directly democratically elected?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5790/date-of-mainly-elected-house-of-lords/	0
585	Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7295/coalition-to-win-australian-federal-election/	0
586	When will NASA next land astronauts on the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7721/date-of-next-nasa-moon-landing/	0
587	What will be the 7-day moving average of PCR percent positivity by lab report date in Virginia on 18 September?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7870/-va-pcr-test-positivity-on-18-september/	0
588	When will the VIX index climb above 50?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4834/when-will-the-vix-index-climb-above-50/	0
589	What will be the weekly peak percent of medical visits that are for influenza-like illness (ILI) in Virginia during the 2021-2022 flu season?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7621/peak--ili-in-va-during-2021-2022-flu-season/	0
590	How many US states will decriminalize psilocybin by 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7445/us-states-decriminalizing-psilocybin-by-2027/	0
591	What will the land area of Singapore be in 2070 in square kilometres?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7732/land-area-of-singapore/	0
592	50 years after the first AGI becomes publicly known, how much earlier will historical consensus determine it came online?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7252/gap-between-agi-creation-and-reveal/	0
593	Kessler syndrome by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/665/how-many-starlink-satellites-will-be-operational-in-2030/	0
594	When will at least 1% of people in any major city or country have experienced using augmented reality outside?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7543/when-will-ar-tech-be-widely-publicly-worn/	0
595	Will Republicans control the United States Senate on 2022-10-31?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6883/republican-us-senate-before-november-2022/	0
596	What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based foods in the U.S. be in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7060/total-us-sales-of-plant-based-foods-in-2022/	0
597	Will any Wirecard executive receive a custodial sentence for their involvement in the Wirecard collapse?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4826/will-any-wirecard-executive-receive-a-custodial-sentence-for-their-involvement-in-the-wirecard-collapse/	0
598	What will be the longest verified human lifespan on record on January 1 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1628/what-will-be-the-longest-verified-human-lifespan-on-record-on-january-1-2050/	0
599	Will someone agree to participate in a Rootclaim challenge before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7598/rootclaim-challenge-before-2025/	0
600	Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/824/will-a-practical-nuclear-fusion-reactor-first-be-developed-in-china/	0
601	When will India become a World Bank high-income country?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2582/when-will-india-become-a-world-bank-high-income-country/	0
602	When will Australia reach its 80% (of 16+ population) Covid-19 vaccination target?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7788/australias-covid-19-vaccination-rollout/	0
603	What percentage of Americans will be considered obese or overweight in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1482/what-percentage-of-americans-will-be-considered-obese-or-overweight-in-2030/	0
604	Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6455/an-eu-animal-welfare-label-by-2025/	0
605	When will the price of Bitcoin first drop below $6481, 10% of the all-time high value?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7469/bitcoin-price-drop-below-6481/	0
606	When will North Korea become a democracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4439/when-will-north-korea-become-a-democracy/	0
607	When will the world pass 1 million daily COVID cases for the seven day moving average	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7019/world-over-1-million-covid-daily-cases/	0
608	How many US states and territories will have an ACS GINI coefficient over 0.5 by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6142/us-states-with-gini-scores-5-by-2025/	0
609	Will bitcoins thought to belong to Satoshi Nakamoto be spent by 2075-04-05?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3733/will-bitcoins-thought-to-belong-to-satoshi-nakamoto-be-spent-by-2075-04-05/	0
610	Will Reddit power user "maxwellhill" be confirmed to be Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025 or earlier?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7082/ghislaine-maxwell-a-reddit-power-user/	0
611	Will a Guaranteed Minimum Income introduced in any EU country before 2041?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2711/will-a-guaranteed-minimum-income-introduced-in-any-eu-country-before-2041/	0
612	Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7340/new-megadonor-in-ea-in-2026/	0
613	How far away is the nearest independent origination of life?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7079/where-is-the-nearest-origin-of-et-life/	0
614	What will be the heaviest payload put into LEO by a launch vehicle that is in service at start of 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1620/what-will-be-the-heaviest-payload-put-into-leo-by-a-launch-vehicle-that-is-in-service-at-start-of-2050/	0
615	What will public knowledge be in the year 2061 of the highest pixel resolution, in centimeters, of a classified U.S. government optical satellite that was operational between 2011-2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7342/resolution-of-classified-us-satellites/	0
616	Will more than 400 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7223/israel-palestine-crisis-2021--q1/	0
617	Will Metaculus exist in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/841/will-metaculus-exist-in-2030/	0
618	Will the three-year average of livestock production subsidies fall below $150M/year by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7063/3-year-livestock-subsidies-to-fall-by-2030/	0
619	When will the pre-August 2022 peak in weekly CLI visits (count) in Virginia occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7605/date-of-pre-aug-2022-va-cli-visits-peak/	0
620	When will Australia have no coal-fired power plants in its National Electricity Market?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4472/when-will-australia-have-no-coal-fired-power-plants-in-its-national-electricity-market/	0
621	Will Climeworks still exist in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4862/will-climeworks-still-exist-in-2030/	0
622	Will US greenhouse gas emissions be halved by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7155/us-climate-emissions-halved-by-2030/	0
623	How many nuclear weapons will states possess on December 31, 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7413/size-of-state-nuclear-arsenals-by-2024/	0
624	Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7454/inadvertent-nuclear-detonation-by-2024/	0
625	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in Germany on 2021-10-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6677/vaccine-doses-administered-in-germany-by-oct/	0
626	Will Magnus Carlsen retain the Chess World Championship for a fifth time?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7106/carlsen-retains-the-world-championship-crown/	0
627	What proportion of non-test nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be against battlefield targets?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7411/nuclear-detonations-on-battlefield-targets/	0
628	Will Metaculus, or a licensed derivative, be operated as a public site by a publicly traded company by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3364/will-metaculus-or-a-licensed-derivative-be-operated-as-a-public-site-by-a-publicly-traded-company-by-2030/	0
629	Will a NATO nuclear-sharing country sign the TPNW by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7722/nuclear-sharing-and-tpnw/	0
630	When will the fraction of English books that mention"Deep Learning" peak, over the 2021 to 2045 period (inclusive)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7111/when-will-peak-deep-learning-be/	0
631	Will there be a major nuclear or radiological accident before 1 January 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2512/will-there-be-a-major-nuclear-or-radiological-accident-before-1-january-2022/	0
632	By 2023, how many words of content will have been published on the Effective Altruism Wiki?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7886/ea-wiki-total-words-published/	0
633	Will US poverty be higher in November 2021 than it was in November 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6295/increase-in-us-poverty-from-2020-to-2021/	0
634	What proportion of nuclear weapon detonations by the US by 2050 will be countervalue, if any detonation by the US occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7458/countervalue-detonations-by-the-us-by-2050/	0
635	How many customers will make up the biggest paying customer base of any AI assistant software in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7247/customer-base-of-ai-assistants-in-2025/	0
636	How much will the US market of plant-based meat grow in 2021 with respect to the previous year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6292/clean-meat-market-in-2021/	0
637	What proportion of offensive nuclear weapon detonations by India by 2050 will be countervalue, if any detonation by India occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7510/countervalue-detonation-by-india-by-2050/	0
638	Which language modelling benchmark will be most popular in the calendar year 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5485/most-popular-language-modelling-benchmark-22/	0
639	What will be the Alexa Traffic Rank for Metaculus.com on January 1st 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4053/what-will-be-the-alexa-traffic-rank-for-metaculuscom-on-january-1st-2022/	0
640	Before 2030, will mainstream news media report that alien technology has visited our solar system?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7384/alien-tech-in-solar-system-before-2030/	0
641	If a single-payer healthcare system is adopted in the United States, will healthcare spending go down as a fraction of GDP?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3657/if-a-single-payer-healthcare-system-is-adopted-in-the-united-states-will-healthcare-spending-go-down-as-a-fraction-of-gdp/	0
642	[Short-fuse] When will the next episode of Hello Internet be released?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5237/hello-internet-podcast-release-schedule/	0
643	What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4785/what-percentage-of-people-cryopreserved-between-2020-and-2050-will-be-revived-by-2200/	0
644	Will there be a deadly clash involving gunfire or explosives between the US and China before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7403/deadly-clash-between-the-us-and-china/	0
645	How many laws will be enacted during the 117th United States Congress?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4895/how-many-laws-will-be-enacted-during-the-117th-united-states-congress/	0
646	Manned Mars landing by 100th Apollo 11 anniversary?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/603/manned-mars-landing-by-100th-apollo-11-anniversary/	0
647	Will most of the Quad/Five Eyes countries boycott the 2022 Winter Olympics?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6898/quadfiveeyes-boycott-of-2022-winter-olympics/	0
648	Will a member of Congress be charged during 2021 with a felony in connection with the Capitol riot?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6781/congressmember-charged-in-capitol-riot-2021/	0
649	Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6381/us-rejoins-iran-deal-before-2022/	0
650	What will be the effective tax rate for a hypothetical 1 million dollar long-term capital gain in the United States on January 1st 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5261/tax-rate-for-a-million-dollar-capital-gain/	0
651	What percentage of the US federal budget will be used for Medicare in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6066/us-federal-budget-for-medicare-in-2024/	0
652	When will the 10-year average Gross World Product growth rate exceed 6%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6002/gwp-growth-to-exceed-6/	0
653	Will the Dai stablecoin maintain a value of roughly $1 until July 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3431/will-the-dai-stablecoin-maintain-a-value-of-roughly-1-until-july-2023/	0
654	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on 18 September?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7868/-va-current-hospitalizations-on-18-september/	0
655	How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7546/deaths-from-covid-19-per-year-2022-2025-in-us/	0
656	What percentage of seats will the PAP win in the next Singaporean general election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7596/seats-won-by-the-pap-in-the-next-election/	0
657	Will meme-based cryptocurrency, Dogecoin (DOGE), be valued at $1 per coin or higher on January 1, 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6730/dogecoin-worth-1-on-2025-01-01/	0
658	What will be the exponent of the fastest known polynomial-time matrix multiplication algorithm in 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3343/what-will-be-the-exponent-of-the-fastest-known-polynomial-time-matrix-multiplication-algorithm-in-2029/	0
659	What will be the 7-day moving average of vaccine doses administered in Virginia on 18 September?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7822/va-vaccine-doses-administered-18-september/	0
660	Will commercial animal farming be prohibited in the US by 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7334/us-commercial-animal-farming-ban-by-2041/	0
661	How many people 65+ will be employed in the US in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6057/us-employment-of-ages-65-in-2021/	0
662	How many people 65+ will be employed in the US in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6057/us-employment-of-ages-65-in-2021/	0
663	If Starlink offers an IPO before 2030, will it set a record for the largest IPO?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5407/starlink-largest-ipo-before-2030/	0
664	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7326/open-phil-donations-2025/	0
665	How many teragrams of black carbon will be injected into the upper troposphere as a result of the next nuclear conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7464/black-carbon-in-troposphere-after-nuclear-war/	0
666	In 2029, how many small firearms per capita will there be in the USA, according to the Small Arms Survey?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3019/in-2029-how-many-small-firearms-per-capita-will-there-be-in-the-usa-according-to-the-small-arms-survey/	0
667	What percentage of new COVID-19 deaths that occur before 1 August 2022 will be in long-term care facilities?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7607/-va-covid-deaths-in-va-lctfs/	0
668	Will US income inequality increase by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1634/will-us-income-inequality-increase-by-2025/	0
669	When will the GDP of Mars exceed that of Earth?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5506/mars-gdp-exceeds-earths/	0
670	Will the world agree to new climate targets at the 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5918/world-to-agree-to-new-climate-targets-in-2021/	0
671	If there is a WW3, what longitude will it start in?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3867/if-there-is-a-ww3-what-longitude-will-it-start-in/	0
672	How many excess deaths will the United States experience during COVID-19 (March 8th 2020 through December 31st 2021)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5943/us-excess-covid-19-deaths/	0
673	How many refugees will be admitted to the US from 2021 to 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7027/total-refugee-admissions-2021-24/	0
674	When will One Piece end?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4963/when-will-one-piece-end/	0
675	When will Afghanistan allow same-sex marriage?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7873/legality-of-same-sex-marriage-in-afghanistan/	0
676	What will the release date of the first song to be streamed 4 billion times on Spotify be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6374/release-date-of-1st-song-w-4b-spotify-plays/	0
677	Will a Tesla car demonstrate fully autonomous capability before the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7113/fully-autonomous-tesla-in-2021/	0
678	Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1432/will-humans-have-a-sustainable-off-world-presence-by-2100/	0
679	Before 2023, will the United States CDC recommend that those who have already been vaccinated for SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) be vaccinated again due to a mutation in the virus?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6008/united-stated-cdc-to-recommend-revaccination/	0
680	When will at least 20 U.S. states legalize the recreational use of cannabis?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3122/when-will-at-least-20-us-states-legalize-the-recreational-use-of-cannabis/	0
681	Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7828/projected-election-winner-isnt-president-2025/	0
682	What will be the U.S. average weekly hours of all employees (total non-farm private) in October 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3245/what-will-be-the-us-average-weekly-hours-of-all-employees-total-non-farm-private-in-october-2025/	0
683	How many people will be employed in the US education industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6062/number-employed-in-us-education-industry-2021/	0
684	Will there be an episode of The Simpsons with an IMDb rating ≥ 8/10 before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6384/a-new--good-episode-of-the-simpsons/	0
685	How many of Virginia's 35 local health districts will be described as being "in surge" in UVA modeling slides posted 17 September?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7867/-va-districts-in-surge-as-of-17-september/	0
686	Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6322/trump-gain-10m-followers-on-new-platform/	0
687	When will Metaculus be linked to by 130 sites?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3275/when-will-metaculus-be-linked-to-by-130-sites/	0
688	What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5908/confirmed-us-covid-deaths-by-2022/	0
689	What will be Donald Trump's net worth in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5666/donald-trumps-net-worth-in-2024/	0
690	When will airplane travelers be free from mask mandates in the USA?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7806/when-airplane-travelers-mask-free-in-usa/	0
691	What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5300/revival-chance-at-alcor-vs-cryonics-institute/	0
692	When will AI be able to accurately infer the implied ending of the children's book, "I Want My Hat Back"?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6087/when-will-ai-understand-i-want-my-hat-back/	0
693	Will a 100 trillion parameter deep learning model be trained before 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3656/will-a-100-trillion-parameter-deep-learning-model-be-trained-before-2026/	0
694	When will at least 5 cultivated meat products be approved by federal regulators for commercial sale in the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7064/5-cultivated-meat-products-sell-in-the-us/	0
695	If a small inducement prize platform is created for effective altruists, how many dollars of prize money will be disbursed within a year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7332/money-offered-through-ea-prize-platform/	0
696	When will New Zealand reopen for quarantine-free international travel?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6941/new-zealand-international-travel-reopens/	0
697	Will the S&P 500 experience a bear market (peak to trough decline of 20% or more) in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5926/bear-market-in-sp-500-in-2021/	0
698	Will Emmanuel Macron be re-elected President of France in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2511/will-emmanuel-macron-be-re-elected-president-of-france-in-2022/	0
699	When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/363/will-a-fusion-based-electrical-generation-facility-generation-100-mw-or-more-using-only-fusion-as-an-energy-source-come-into-service-by-2030/	0
700	What will be the number of K-12 outbreaks in Virginia for the week of  9/12-9/18?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7864/k-12-outbreaks-in-virginia-for-sep-12-18/	0
701	When will a SpaceX Starship reach orbit?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6341/when-will-starship-reach-orbit/	0
702	If Trump is not sworn in as President in 2021, will he become the Republican nominee for President in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5049/if-trump-is-not-sworn-in-as-president-in-2021-will-he-become-the-republican-nominee-for-president-in-2024/	0
703	When will China legalise same-sex marriage?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3887/when-will-china-legalise-same-sex-marriage/	0
704	By 1 January 2050, will it be possible to increase a healthy adult human's IQ by at least two standard deviations in less than 30 days?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1625/by-1-january-2050-will-it-be-possible-to-increase-a-healthy-adult-humans-iq-by-at-least-two-standard-deviations-in-less-than-30-days/	0
705	Will Taylor Swift release a new album in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6837/taylor-swift-album-in-2021/	0
706	When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the U.S. FDA for children under 12 years old?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7611/date-of-covid-vaccine-for-children-under-12/	0
707	How many Virginians (thousands) will be employed in leisure and hospitality services in December 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7909/-virginians-in-leisurehospitality-dec-2021/	0
708	Will the UK government announce that they will allow street votes to determine planning permissions by 31st December 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6660/street-by-street-voting-on-uk-zoning-laws/	0
709	How many subscribers will /r/sneerclub have on January 1st 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5466/sneerclub-subscribers-by-112022/	0
710	Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7468/major-famine-in-north-korea-before-2025/	0
711	How many flights will the Mars Helicopter, Ingenuity, make in its lifetime?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7908/how-many-flights-will-ingenuity-make/	0
712	Will Israel be the fourth country to soft-land on the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1378/will-israel-be-the-fourth-country-to-soft-land-on-the-moon/	0
713	If Lesswrong holds a similar Petrov Day event in 2021, will the "red button" be pressed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5311/lesswrong-red-button-pressed-on-petrov-day/	0
714	Will Rep Marjorie Taylor Greene (R, GA-14) be expelled or resign by 1 Jan 2022	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6419/marjorie-taylor-greene-expelled/	0
715	Human-machine intelligence parity by 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/384/human-machine-intelligence-parity-by-2040/	0
716	Will any member of the Trump family join Substack by Nov 3, 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6423/trump-substacker-before-2024-election/	0
717	What will the largest number of digits of π to have been computed be, by the end of 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3384/what-will-the-largest-number-of-digits-of-%25CF%2580-to-have-been-computed-be-by-the-end-of-2025/	0
718	When will the Chinese government have gathered genome-wide data on 1 billion citizens?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4676/date-china-gathers-1b-citizen-genomes/	0
719	Will there be a deadly clash involving gunfire or explosives between Russia and China before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7450/deadly-clash-between-russia-and-china/	0
720	Will commercial farming of cows, pigs and chickens for meat be prohibited in the US by 2041?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7547/livestock-farming-ban-by-2041/	0
721	Will the Tennis be part of the 2044 Summer Olympics?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6885/tennis-at-the-2044-olympics/	0
722	Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6094/possible-youtube-ban-in-russia-in-2021/	0
723	How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in plant-based meat companies in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7051/2022-non-exit-investment-in-plant-based-meat/	0
724	Will the UK's third wave of COVID-19 exceed 250 deaths/day?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7537/250-deathsday-in-uk-third-wave/	0
725	When will Virginia’s pre-October peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7625/date-of-va-covid-hospitalizations-peak/	0
726	How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in plant-based milk companies in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7047/2022-non-exit-investment-in-plant-based-milk/	0
727	What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based eggs be in the U.S. in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7061/total-us-sales-of-plant-based-eggs-in-2022/	0
728	Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/353/will-someone-born-before-2001-live-to-be-150/	0
729	Will the USD still reign supreme by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3858/will-the-usd-still-reign-supreme-by-2050/	0
730	What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2022-01-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6155/image-classification-index-2022-01-14/	0
731	When will USA's GDP per capita (PPP) fall out of the world top 20?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6362/usa-drop-out-of-world-top-20-gdpc/	0
732	What percentage of Virginia’s 18-24 age group will be fully vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 by 1 October 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7618/va-18-24-age-group-fully-vaccinated-on-1-oct/	0
733	When will Singapore reopen for quarantine-free international travel?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7595/singapore-international-travel-reopens/	0
734	How many eviction cases will be filed in Virginia in Q4 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7634/-va-eviction-cases-filed-in-q4-2021/	0
735	How much will the US federal government spend on income security in 2021 (in billions)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6065/us-federal-budget-for-income-security-2021/	0
736	Will Scotland set a date for a new independence referendum in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5922/scotland-independence-referendum-in-2021/	0
737	When will space mining be profitable?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3728/when-will-space-mining-be-profitable/	0
738	If chess is solved before 2080, must perfect play result in white winning?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/480/if-chess-is-solved-before-2080-must-perfect-play-result-in-white-winning/	0
739	How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in plant-based food companies in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7050/2022-non-exit-investment-in-plant-based-food/	0
740	When will the Strong Exponential Time Hypothesis (SETH) be disproved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7630/disproving-seth/	0
741	Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected within the next 10 years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/604/will-gravitational-waves-from-the-merger-of-supermassive-black-holes-be-detected-within-the-next-10-years/	0
742	What will be the WTI oil price in December 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5928/wti-oil-price-in-december-2021/	0
743	What will be Virginia’s peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations before 1 October 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7624/va-covid-hospitalizations-peak-before-1-oct/	0
744	Will humanity (essentially) run out of at least one element currently considered "under serious threat" by 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1058/will-humanity-essentially-run-out-of-at-least-one-element-currently-considered-under-serious-threat-by-2040/	0
745	Will Russia annex Ukrainian territory before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6981/russian-annexation-of-ukrainian-territory/	0
746	Will there be a 10X growth in number of legal abortions conducted in Poland by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6506/10x-abortion-in-poland-by-2030/	0
747	Will the LVCC loop overwhelmingly use  autonomous vehicles before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6603/autonomous-vehicles-in-lvcc-loop-2023/	0
748	Will this question be mentioned in an Astral Codex Ten Post in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6554/astral-codex-ten-mentions-this-question/	0
749	What will be India's GDP at the end of 2025 in trillions of dollars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7004/gdp-of-india-for-2025/	0
750	What will Bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market capitalization be in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6486/bitcoin-dominance-in-2025/	0
751	When will the Woke index in US elite media top?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4931/when-will-the-woke-index-in-us-elite-media-top/	0
752	How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050, if at least one offensive detonation occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7811/-nuclear-weapons-used-by-2050-if-any/	0
753	Will Bitcoin move away from proof-of-work by 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7109/bitcoin-consensus-mechanism-by-2035/	0
754	Longbets series: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 27 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5715/driverless-cars-available-in-las-vegas-2024/	0
755	What will be Virginia’s peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 October 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7622/va-covid-cases-peak-before-1-oct/	0
756	How many members will the next Bundestag have?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7739/size-of-the-2021-german-bundestag/	0
757	When will an electric bike win the AMA Supercross series championship?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6793/when-will-an-electric-bike-win-supercross/	0
758	When will Virginia’s pre-October peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7623/date-of-va-covid-cases-peak-before-1-oct/	0
759	When will Virginia’s pre-October peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable deaths occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7627/date-of-va-covid-deaths-peak-before-1-oct/	0
760	When will Ninja first lose the top spot as the most followed account on Twitch?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4665/when-will-ninja-first-lose-the-top-spot-as-the-most-followed-account-on-twitch/	0
761	Will SpaceX land people on Mars prior to 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/349/will-spacex-land-people-on-mars-prior-to-2030/	0
762	Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1626/before-1-january-2050-will-any-human-cryonically-preserved-for-at-least-1-year-be-successfully-revived/	0
763	Will a nuclear device with a yield of at least 1kt be detonated anywhere on Earth in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5721/1kt-nuke-detonated-on-earth-in-2021/	0
764	What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be countervalue?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7461/total-countervalue-detonations-by-2050/	0
765	Will Medicare for all be passed if a Democrat is elected president in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3605/will-medicare-for-all-be-passed-if-a-democrat-is-elected-president-in-2020/	0
766	When will 100M people receive a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5727/100m-people-vaccinated-against-covid-19/	0
767	Will soybeans be successfully de-allergenized by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7041/soy-successfully-de-allergenized-by-2030/	0
768	Will Nord Stream 2 be completed (before 2025)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5170/will-nord-stream-2-be-completed/	0
769	How many seats will the Conservative Party win at the next UK general election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7651/conservative-seats-at-next-uk-election/	0
770	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Global Health and Development in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7424/open-phil-global-health-grants-2030/	0
771	Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered by 2045?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/808/will-europa-be-the-first-place-humanity-will-discover-extraterrestrial-life-if-it-is-discovered-by-2045/	0
772	Will we get through the 21st century without an assassination of a sitting American President?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1090/will-we-get-through-the-21st-century-without-an-assassination-of-a-sitting-american-president/	0
773	What will China's human development index (HDI) score be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4905/what-will-chinas-human-development-index-hdi-score-be-in-2030/	0
774	If GPT-4 is created, when will it be announced?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7401/when-will-gpt-4-be-announced/	0
775	When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7024/ai-to-beat-humans-on-metaculus/	0
776	What will be official attendance at the 2021 University of Virginia vs Virginia Tech football game?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7606/attendance-at-2021-uva-vs-virginia-tech-game/	0
777	What will be the greatest velocity attained by a human-made spacecraft before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1648/what-will-be-the-greatest-velocity-attained-by-a-human-made-spacecraft-before-2050/	0
778	What will the average growth rate be, of total renewable energy produced worldwide, over the 2020 to 2022 period (inclusive)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3582/growth-rate-total-renewables-2020-to-2022/	0
779	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Scientific Research in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7421/open-phil-scientific-research-grants-2025/	0
780	Will at least one cultivated meat product be for sale in the US by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7065/us-sale-of-cultivated-meat-by-2023/	0
781	When will AIs program programs that can program AIs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/406/when-will-ais-program-programs-that-can-program-ais/	0
782	Will China recognize the sovereignty of Taiwan by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3620/will-china-recognize-the-sovereignty-of-taiwan-by-2050/	0
783	Will another 9/11 on U.S. soil be prevented at least through 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/916/will-another-911-on-us-soil-be-prevented-at-least-through-2030/	0
784	Will the United States Senate vote to expel a Senator before January 3, 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6434/draining-the-senate-2021-2023/	0
785	How many medals will the USA win at Paris 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7665/total-medals-won-by-the-usa-at-paris-2024/	0
786	What will be the peak in weekly CLI visits (count) in Virginia before 1 August 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7604/va-weekly-cli-visits-peak-before-aug-2022/	0
787	In 2021 will the European Commission suspend all EU mink farming, including breeding, and all in-country and cross-border transportation of live mink and their raw pelts?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6458/will-the-eu-ban-mink-farming-in-2021/	0
788	How high will China's total dependency ratio be in 2039?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7430/china-demographic-dependency/	0
789	Will a signatory to the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons develop a nuclear weapon anyway?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5808/signatory-to-ban-on-nukes-to-break-treaty/	0
790	Will an offensive nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7404/nuclear-detonation-fatality-before-2024/	0
791	Will Polymarket default on an obligation to hand over their users’ USDC on request or wrongly resolve a market by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7240/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-polymarket/	0
792	Will SpaceX actually put a literal Dogecoin on the literal Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6966/spacex-puts-literal-dogecoin-on-literal-moon/	0
793	When will the first use of accurate lie detection in court case occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6619/first-accurate-lie-detection-in-court-case/	0
794	Will Bill and Melinda Gates' philanthropic priorities diverge by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7300/gates-donation-priorities-to-diverge-by-2030/	0
795	Will Erdogan be re-elected President of Turkey?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5350/will-erdogan-be-re-elected-president/	0
796	When will Amazon deliver some products by drone?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5206/amazon-drone-delivery/	0
797	Will the UK housing market crash before July 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2807/will-the-uk-housing-market-crash-before-july-2023/	0
798	How many papers on AI ethics and algorithmic bias will be published by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5892/ai-ethics-and-algo-bias-publications-2022/	0
799	How many people will be employed in the US wholesale and retail industries in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6060/number-employed-in-us-retail-in-2021/	0
800	How many DALYs will be caused by outdoor air pollution in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5025/how-many-dalys-will-be-caused-by-outdoor-air-pollution-in-2030/	0
801	Will Boris Johnson be UK Prime Minister in January 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7138/boris-johnson-uk-pm-in-2022/	0
802	What will be the EIA crude oil stock change for commercial crude oil inventories in September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7370/eia-crude-oil-stock-september-2021/	0
803	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Criminal Justice Reform in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7428/open-phil-criminal-justice-reform-grants-2030/	0
804	Will marijuana be legal for recreational use in a supermajority of these strongly Republican US states by 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7740/marijuana-legalization-in-republican-states/	0
805	Will any of Great Britain be under monarchy in 2075?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6691/1-of-great-britain-under-monarchy-in-2075/	0
806	World Population in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/587/world-population-in-2100/	0
807	Will EA Global London 2021 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online again?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6348/ea-global-london-2021-rescheduled/	0
808	What will be the average age of new motherhood in the U.S. in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7637/new-motherhood-age-in-2050-in-the-us/	0
809	Will there be a deadly clash involving gunfire or explosives between India and China before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7451/deadly-clash-between-china-and-india/	0
810	How many infections of SARS-CoV-2 (novel coronavirus) will be estimated to have occurred  worldwide, before 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3892/how-many-infections-of-sars-cov-2-novel-coronavirus-will-be-estimated-to-have-occurred-worldwide-before-2021/	0
811	When will a fifth nation be able to launch people into space?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1431/when-will-a-fifth-nation-be-able-to-launch-people-into-space/	0
812	How many communist states will there be in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3730/how-many-communist-states-will-there-be-in-2050/	0
813	When will the Novavax SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6480/novavax-vaccine-us-eua-date/	0
814	Will US real GDP growth in 2021 set a new record for any previous year in the 21st century?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6637/21-us-gdp-growth-to-set-centurys-record/	0
815	Will the Australian Census of 2021 show at least 50% not religious?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6838/australia-majority-not-religious/	0
816	Will Djokovic win 21 Tennis Grand Slams?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6886/djokovic-total-tennis-slams/	0
817	What will the global fertility rate be in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4830/what-will-the-global-fertility-rate-be-in-2050/	0
818	When will SpaceX launch humans around the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6956/first-circumlunar-human-spacex-flight/	0
819	Average S&P 500 return in the 2020s?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5240/average-sp-500-return-in-the-2020s/	0
820	How many will be employed in the US transportation and warehousing industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6061/number-employed-in-us-transport-industry-2021/	0
821	Will USA top the Olympic Medal Table at Paris 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7664/usa-most-successful-olympic-team-in-paris/	0
822	How large will Monaco be in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5802/how-large-will-monaco-be-in-2035/	0
823	How many pigs will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7045/-pigs-culled-due-to-outbreak-in-2021-23/	0
824	When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3913/when-will-a-vaccine-for-hiv-be-administered-to-10-million-people/	0
825	Will 3 mainstream American news outlets report that a rebel group perpetrated the 2013 Ghouta Chemical Attack by 2033?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7591/ghouta-chemical-attack/	0
826	What will South Africa's GDP per capita PPP be in 2030 (in constant 2017 USD)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7531/south-africa-gdp-per-capita-in-2030/	0
827	How many billions of dollars of student loans will the US federal government forgive in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5809/federal-loan-forgiveness/	0
828	In the context of community transmission, what will be the recommended minimum % of positive COVID-19 cases that should be sequenced?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6718/-covid-cases-that-should-be-sequenced/	0
829	When will 6DoF enabled virtual and augmented reality headset sales exceed 50 million units per year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7548/when-will-vrar-sell-50-million-per-year/	0
830	Will the price of bitcoin drop below $10K USD in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5826/bitcoin-below-10k/	0
831	Will the next US recession turn into a depression?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4013/will-the-next-us-recession-turn-into-a-depression/	0
832	How many predictions will have been made on Metaculus by the end of 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2944/how-many-predictions-will-have-been-made-on-metaculus-by-the-end-of-2023/	0
833	Assuming our future simulates us, what will be the first peer-reviewed guesses of our instantiation date?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7539/date-our-future-simulates-us-first-guesses/	0
834	Will McDonald's be the first top global QSR to feature a cultivated meat product on their menu (by 2026)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7056/will-mcdonalds-offer-cultivated-meat-first/	0
835	What will be the number of K-12 outbreaks in Virginia for the week of  9/5-9/11?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7826/k-12-outbreaks-in-virginia-for-sep-5-11/	0
836	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in August 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7365/us-building-permits/	0
837	Will the 117th United States Senate change the filibuster rules during its session?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6910/will-the-us-senate-change-the-filibuster/	0
838	When will the first babies screened by Orchid Health be born?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7031/first-commercial-polygenic-embryo-screening/	0
839	Will AI progress surprise us?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1394/will-ai-progress-surprise-us/	0
840	What will be the lowest closing value for the E-Mini S&P 500 Future Continuous Contract in September?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7379/lowest-e-mini-sp-closing-value-in-september/	0
841	When will China officially cease to be a socialist state?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6595/china-to-officially-cease-being-socialist/	0
842	Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/737/will-spacex-land-anything-on-mars-by-2030/	0
843	Will there be a city on Earth with a population of over 100 million by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1052/will-there-be-a-city-on-earth-with-a-population-of-over-100-million-by-2100/	0
844	Will Trevor Milton be convicted on federal fraud charges related to Nikola before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7597/milton-convicted-on-federal-fraud-charges/	0
845	What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation of PASCAL-Context be on 2023-02-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%), amongst models not trained on extra data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6563/sota-on-pascal-context-on-2023-02-14/	0
846	Which fraction of the German population will have a migration background in 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7532/fraction-germany-migration-background/	0
847	Which Artemis Moon Mission landing system will first land a person on the moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4306/which-artemis-moon-mission-landing-system-will-first-land-a-person-on-the-moon/	0
848	Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5048/will-the-uk-rejoin-the-eu-before-2030/	0
849	Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?)	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/645/will-united-launch-alliancess-vulcan-rocket-fly-by-2023-aka-will-elon-musk-eat-his-hat-with-a-side-of-mustard/	0
850	Will the Duke or Duchess of Sussex file for divorce before Mar 8, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6801/dukedom-of-sussex-divorce-by-march-8-2022/	0
851	What will be the price of a Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme in Westfield, Indiana in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6344/2025-price-of-a-crunchwrap-supreme/	0
852	What will the the market cap of MSFT, AAPL, GOOG, FB, AMZN on 31 December 2021 as a percentage of the total S&P500?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5927/value-of-faang-stocks-as--of-sp-500/	0
853	How many of the top 50 Effective Altruism Forum users by karma as of June 2021 will be active in 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7396/ea-forum-value-drift-2026/	0
854	How many people 65+ will be employed in the US in 2030 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7195/us-employment-of-ages-65-in-2030/	0
855	Will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to implant a brain-machine interface device in a human before 1 January 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2951/will-the-us-fda-grant-neuralink-permission-to-implant-a-brain-machine-interface-device-in-a-human-before-1-january-2022/	0
856	How much global warming by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/605/how-much-global-warming-by-2100/	0
857	Will North Korea and South Korea be recognized as a unified sovereign state by 2045?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7037/korean-reunification-by-2045/	0
858	What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5948/image-classification-index-2026-12-14/	0
859	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Animal Welfare in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7422/open-phil-animal-welfare-grants-2025/	0
860	Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7316/exascale-connectome-mapped-by-june-2031/	0
861	Will the US unemployment rate stay above 5% through November 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6296/us-unemployment-above-5-through-nov-2021/	0
862	Will one government govern 80% of Earth's population and economy by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7329/earth-government-by-2100/	0
863	Assassination by autonomous weapon by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/351/assassination-by-autonomous-weapon-by-2025/	0
864	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in August 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7363/us-durable-goods-orders-august-2021/	0
865	Will WeWork file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3159/will-wework-file-for-bankruptcy-protection-before-1-january-2025/	0
866	What will Hungary's total fertility rate be in 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6800/hungarys-total-fertility-rate-be-in-2023/	0
867	Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7575/2024-taiwanese-presidential-election/	0
868	When will be the next S&P 500 correction?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5458/next-sp-500-correction/	0
869	If human-level artificial intelligence is developed, will World GDP grow by at least 30.0% in any of the subsequent 15 years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3477/if-human-level-artificial-intelligence-is-developed-will-world-gdp-grow-by-at-least-300-in-any-of-the-subsequent-15-years/	0
870	Will Israel be the fourth country to soft-land on the Moon, if the feat is achieved by the end of 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3251/will-israel-be-the-fourth-country-to-soft-land-on-the-moon-if-the-feat-is-achieved-by-the-end-of-2025/	0
871	How many countries will approve the commercial sale of cultivated meat by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7066/-countries-to-sell-cultivated-meat-by-2023/	0
872	What will Gross World Product be in 2047, in trillions of US$?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4694/what-will-gross-world-product-be-in-2047-in-trillions-of-us/	0
873	Will another Millennium Prize Problem be solved in the next decade?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/236/will-another-millennium-prize-problem-be-solved-in-the-next-decade/	0
874	When will the 10-year average Gross World Product growth rate exceed 10%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5833/gwp-growth-to-exceed-10/	0
875	If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7243/1st-senators-from-puerto-rico-both-democrats/	0
876	What will the democracy index of Kyrgyzstan be in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5367/democracy-in-kyrgyzstan/	0
877	Will Randell Mills's Grand Unified Theory of Classical Physics Be Taken Seriously?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3216/will-randell-millss-grand-unified-theory-of-classical-physics-be-taken-seriously/	0
878	Will the first extraterrestrial life-forms we encounter be carbon-based?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3158/will-the-first-extraterrestrial-life-forms-we-encounter-be-carbon-based/	0
879	When will there be a human fatality during travel to or from a heavenly body?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7670/first-death-in-extraplanetary-space-travel/	0
880	Will the first commercial hyperloop system be within the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/513/will-the-first-commercial-hyperloop-system-be-within-the-us/	0
881	When will Ethereum be able to do 1000 transactions per second?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7251/1000-transactions-per-second-in-ethereum/	0
882	What will Tesla's market capitalization be on 1 January 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4798/what-will-teslas-market-capitalization-be-on-1-january-2030/	0
883	What will be Virginia’s peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable deaths before 1 October 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7626/va-covid-deaths-peak-before-1-oct/	0
884	What proportion of the well-known QSRs will offer a cultivated meat product in 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7055/prop-of-qsr-with-cultivated-meat-in-2026/	0
885	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 cases?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7124/monthly-peak-in-new-covid-cases-in-virginia/	0
886	When will President Teodoro Obiang leave office in Equatorial Guinea?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7581/equatorial-guineas-obiang-exit-date/	0
887	BTC outperforms VSS from 2021-03-01 until 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6648/btc-outperforms-vss-thru-2026/	0
888	The end of the EU as we know it by 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/375/the-end-of-the-eu-as-we-know-it/	0
889	When will 1bn people have been vaccinated with any vaccine candidate(s) that have demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5767/1bn-people-vaccinated-against-covid-19/	0
890	When will the Twin Prime Conjecture be resolved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2536/when-will-the-twin-prime-conjecture-be-resolved/	0
891	Will a book written by a language model make the NY Times Best Seller list before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5587/ai-ny-times-best-seller-before-2030/	0
892	Will the US NIH recommend Vitamin D supplementation as a protective measure against coronavirus before the end of the pandemic?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5318/nih-to-recommend-vit-d-supp/	0
893	How many seats will the Liberal Democrats win at the next UK general election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7652/lib-dem-seats-at-next-uk-election/	0
894	When will insect feed replace fishmeal for animal feed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7025/when-will-insects-replace-fishmeal/	0
895	How much higher will peer-reviewed U.S. methane emission measurements be compared to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s reported measurements in any 12 month period between 2021-2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7343/accuracy-of-epas-methane-emissions/	0
896	Will Germany fail to meet their coal commission’s goals?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2666/will-germany-fail-to-meet-their-coal-commissions-goals/	0
897	Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2513/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-an-artificial-intelligence-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-reduce-the-human-population-by-95-or-more/	0
898	Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5814/2022-us-house-midterm-election/	0
899	Will the Dutch medical consortium recommend Vitamin D supplementation as a protective measure against coronavirus before the end of the pandemic?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5319/dutch-to-recommend-vit-d-supp/	0
900	Will a mini-Maunder event occur beginning in Solar Cycle 25 (or 24)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4979/will-a-mini-maunder-event-occur-beginning-in-solar-cycle-25-or-24/	0
901	What inflation-adjusted return will the Vanguard Information Technology ETF yield from 2021-2040 if AGI arrives by 2040, in percentage points?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7506/return-for-vgt-if-agi-arrives-by-2040/	0
902	Will ACE or any of its top or standout charities see a scandal related to sexual harassment or unwanted sexual advances in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6024/sexual-scandal-amongst-animal-advocates/	0
903	Will there be armed conflict between the national military forces, militia and/or law enforcement personnel of Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before Jan 1, 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7227/armed-conflict-between-prc--roc-taiwan/	0
904	What will the total fertility rate be in USA for the year 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6813/fertility-rate-be-in-usa-for-the-year-2025/	0
905	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7372/us-michigan-csi-september-2021/	0
906	When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3684/when-will-a-quantum-computer-running-shors-algorithm-or-a-similar-one-be-used-to-factor-one-of-the-rsa-numbers-for-the-first-time/	0
907	How will the World Happiness Report rank the United States in 2020-2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7834/us-happiness-ranking-from-2020-2022/	0
908	Will someone run a marathon in less than 2 hours (per IAAF rules) by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1373/will-someone-run-a-marathon-in-less-than-2-hours-per-iaaf-rules-by-2023/	0
909	Who will first land a person on Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3214/who-will-first-land-a-person-on-mars/	0
910	When will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Black Virginians reach 1.0?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7615/vaccination-rate-ratio-black-virginians/	0
911	When will the world create the first Trillionaire?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/676/when-will-the-world-create-the-first-trillionaire/	0
912	When will another SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Delta as the dominant variant in Virginia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7602/date-new-variant-overtakes-delta-in-virginia/	0
913	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards AI risk reduction in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7419/open-phil-ai-grants-2030/	0
914	What will be the largest plant-based meat product production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single production facility, by January 1st, 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7038/plant-based-meat-production-capacity-2030/	0
915	Will a 'Turing Test' for plant-based meat be passed if such a test is conducted by April 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7057/turing-test-for-plant-based-meat-by-2023/	0
916	When will the first course on wild animal welfare be taught at a top university?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6022/when-will-wild-animal-welfare-reach-top-uni/	0
917	Will a total sum amounting to at least 10% of the money in all US DAFs be expropriated by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4328/will-a-total-sum-amounting-to-at-least-10-of-the-money-in-all-us-dafs-be-expropriated-by-2100/	0
918	What percentage of US residents will be aged 100 years or older on January 1 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1630/what-percentage-of-us-residents-will-be-aged-100-years-or-older-on-january-1-2050/	0
919	When will the Twin Prime Conjecture be resolved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7501/date-twin-prime-conjecture-is-resolved/	0
920	What will the listing price of an Impossible Food's plant-based beef burger be, in a U.S.-based supermarket, in USD per kilo, in June, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3116/what-will-the-listing-price-of-an-impossible-foods-plant-based-beef-burger-be-in-a-us-based-supermarket-in-usd-per-kilo-in-june-2022/	0
921	Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5683/who-will-produce-the-most-lithium-by-2030/	0
922	When will the US Federal Minimum Wage be Raised?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5646/next-minimum-wage-raise/	0
923	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Criminal Justice Reform in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7429/open-phil-criminal-justice-reform-grants-2025/	0
924	When (if at all) will Clubhouse surpass Discord in the US iOS App Store?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6696/clubhouse-vs-discord/	0
925	In 2024, what percentage of surveyed Americans will report say that conflicts between Democrats and Republicans are "very strong"?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4608/in-2024-what-percentage-of-surveyed-americans-will-report-say-that-conflicts-between-democrats-and-republicans-are-very-strong/	0
926	Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1439/democracy-in-crisis-how-many-autocrats-strongmen-and-dictators-in-2028/	0
927	Will at least 5 Republican Congresspeople join another party before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6447/republican-party-split-in-2022/	0
928	Will Lebanon come under French rule again before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4952/will-lebanon-come-under-french-rule-again-before-2025/	0
929	Will the United States institute a military draft by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3469/will-the-united-states-institute-a-military-draft-by-2025/	0
930	Will Apple fail to deliver a new Mac Pro based on Apple silicon in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6644/apple-to-fail-to-deliver-own-silicon-mac/	0
931	What is the Chandra X-Ray Observatory's remaining lifespan?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1532/what-is-the-chandra-x-ray-observatorys-remaining-lifespan/	0
932	What day will Solar Cycle 25 end?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4978/what-day-will-solar-cycle-25-end/	0
933	In 2025, what percent of Australia's Liberal parliamentarians will be women?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6464/female-liberal-mps-in-australia-in-2025/	0
934	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Biosecurity and Pandemic Preparedness in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7426/open-phil-bio-grants-2025/	0
935	Will Brazil win the FIFA World Cup by the end of 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6197/brazil-fifa-world-cup-win-by-2050/	0
936	How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6114/will-the-senate-confirm-many-judges-in-2021/	0
937	If chess is solved before 2080, must perfect play result in a forced draw?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4334/if-chess-is-solved-before-2080-must-perfect-play-result-in-a-forced-draw/	0
938	Will Erin O'Toole become Prime Minister of Canada before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5462/erin-otoole-to-be-pm-of-canada-before-2024/	0
939	What will be the largest grouping of stars in the Milky Way, in the year 1 billion, that don't seem to be militarily hostile to each other?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7574/biggest-peaceful-star-group-in-year-1-billion/	0
940	When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7324/date-of-sputnik-v-who-approval/	0
941	How many countries will increase the number of nuclear weapons they possess by at least 10% by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7463/-countries-increase-nuclear-arsenal-by-10/	0
942	Will Elizabeth Holmes be convicted on fraud charges related to Theranos before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7291/elizabeth-holmes-convicted-of-theranos-fraud/	0
943	When will GTA VI be released in the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5772/when-will-gta-vi-be-released-in-the-us/	0
944	Will a meat or dairy consumption tax go into effect in the US or any EU member state by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7068/meat-or-dairy-tax-in-the-us-or-eu-by-2023/	0
945	When will the first autonomous, road legal, human carrying motorcycle be sold in the United States?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6812/first-autonomous-motorcycle-to-be-sold-in-usa/	0
946	Will Volkswagen Group produce fewer than 22 million electric vehicles by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2665/will-volkswagen-group-produce-fewer-than-22-million-electric-vehicles-by-2030/	0
947	If  the EU bans all types of caged-housing for egg-laying hens, what date will be set as the phase out deadline?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7496/when-will-the-eu-phase-out-cages/	0
948	When will the AstraZeneca/Oxford developed SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6124/astrazenecaoxford-vaccine-us-eua-date/	0
949	What will be the real median household income in the United States in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4967/what-will-be-the-real-median-household-income-in-the-united-states-in-2030/	0
950	Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3715/before-2025-will-at-least-two-public-health-agencies-claim-that-china-deliberately-misreported-covid-19-infections/	0
951	How many dollars will it cost per month to store 1 TB on Google Cloud Archive in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7199/cost-to-store-1-tb-on-google-archive-2025/	0
952	What will real Gross World Product be in 2100, in trillions of 2020 US$?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7497/gwp-in-2100-in-trillions-of-us/	0
953	What will be the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the U.S. for October 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3191/what-will-be-the-labor-force-participation-rate-total-16-and-older-in-the-us-for-october-2030/	0
954	How many e-prints on multi-modal learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-12-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6185/multi-modal-ml-2021-01-14-to-2022-01-14/	0
955	When will Graphcore become a publicly traded company?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5694/when-will-graphcore-ipo/	0
956	In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4677/in-2031-will-at-least-90-of-open-philanthropy-project-grant-money-be-directed-using-effective-altruist-principles/	0
957	Will there be a deadly clash involving gunfire or explosives between the US and Russia before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7449/deadly-clash-between-us-and-russia/	0
958	When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2955/when-will-elon-musk-have-any-device-such-as-a-brain-machine-interface-surgically-implanted-into-his-brain/	0
959	Will Coinbase default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7237/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-coinbase/	0
960	Will the first AGI be based on deep learning?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4055/will-the-first-agi-be-based-on-deep-learning/	0
961	Contact lenses for augmented reality in use by innovators before 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/229/contact-lenses-for-augmented-reality-in-use-by-innovators-before-2026/	0
962	What will the world real GDP growth rate be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3626/what-will-the-world-real-gdp-growth-rate-be-in-2030/	0
963	On what date will the U.S. CDC announce that they are tracking a SARS-CoV-2 variant that they classify as a variant of high consequence (VOHC)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7163/variant-of-high-consequence-before-2025/	0
964	Will Freedom House report that internet freedom has declined every year until 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7335/internet-freedom-to-decline-until-2025/	0
965	When will India send their first own astronauts to space?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1434/when-will-india-send-their-first-own-astronauts-to-space/	0
966	How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the U.S. in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5929/us-pev-sales-in-2021/	0
967	Which month of 2021 will see the biggest global increase of COVID-19 cases?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5432/month-with-peak-of-covid-19-cases-in-2021/	0
968	When will OpenAI unveil their secret AI project?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4043/when-will-openai-unveil-their-secret-ai-project/	0
969	Will the USA's Labor Force Participation Rate be lower in 2023 than in  2018?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1663/will-the-usas-labor-force-participation-rate-be-lower-in-2023-than-in-2018/	0
970	Will at least 3 Basic Income pilots be launched in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6844/at-least-3-ubi-pilots-in-2021/	0
971	When will Lyft electrify 80% of its fleet?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5559/when-will-lyft-be-80-electrified/	0
972	What will be the net percentage of people who believe it's acceptable to buy fur by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5697/moral-acceptablity-of-buying-fur-by-2030/	0
973	What will be the minimum unemployment rate in the United States for calendar year 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5735/minimum-us-unemployment-rate-for-2021/	0
974	When will COVID-19 be eradicated?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7601/covid-19-eradication/	0
975	After an AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4123/after-an-agi-is-created-how-many-months-will-it-be-before-the-first-superintelligence/	0
976	What will be the Gini coefficient for income in India in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6773/gini-coeff-for-india-2030/	0
977	When will Alexander Lukashenko leave power in Belarus?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6556/when-will-lukashenko-leave-power-in-belarus/	0
978	How many scheduled airline passengers in 2021 will verify their COVID-19 health statuses with CommonPass?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6323/flights-on-commonpass-health-passport-in-2021/	0
979	What percentage of Legislative Assembly seats will the Australian Labor Party win at the next Victorian state election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5534/labor-seats-after-next-victorian-election/	0
980	What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths globally by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5907/number-confirmed-global-covid-deaths-by-2022/	0
981	Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6827/a-supernova-in-the-milky-way-before-2050/	0
982	If Biden becomes president, will there be an expansion of the Keystone Pipeline system of at least 100 km in length by the end of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4433/if-biden-becomes-president-will-there-be-an-expansion-of-the-keystone-pipeline-system-of-at-least-100-km-in-length-by-the-end-of-2024/	0
983	Will the S&P 500 rise or fall more than 15% in a single day during the 2020s?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7481/sp-500-to-move-more-than-15-in-day-by-2030/	0
984	Will the peak reported daily deaths per capita from the COVID Delta variant wave be worse in the UK than the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7569/peak-deaths-from--wave-worse-in-uk-or-us/	0
985	When will Good Ventures first donate 5% of Dustin Moskovitz's wealth in one year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7336/good-ventures-donations-5-of-assets/	0
986	Will the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) start operating by end of 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2709/will-the-international-thermonuclear-experimental-reactor-iter-start-operating-by-end-of-2025/	0
987	If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2805/if-there-is-an-artificial-intelligence-catastrophe-this-century-when-will-it-happen/	0
988	What will be the highest value of the U.S. Private Sector Job Quality Index (JQI-1) before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4444/what-will-be-the-highest-value-of-the-us-private-sector-job-quality-index-jqi-1-before-2030/	0
989	When will life expectancy at birth for both sexes reach 60 years in all countries?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2575/when-will-life-expectancy-at-birth-for-both-sexes-reach-60-years-in-all-countries/	0
990	Will Israel and Saudi Arabia establish official diplomatic relations in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6646/sa-israel-to-establish-diplomatic-relations/	0
991	Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5538/california-zero-emission-sales-by-2035/	0
992	When will commercial space launch be priced at less than $500/pound?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/462/when-will-commercial-space-launch-cost-less-then-500pound/	0
993	Will more than 1,000 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7222/israel-palestine-crisis-2021--q2/	0
994	Will Mike Pence be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6331/will-mike-pence-run-for-president-in-2024/	0
995	What will total enrollment for recent US high school graduates be in US colleges in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4646/what-will-total-enrollment-for-recent-us-high-school-graduates-be-in-us-colleges-in-2021/	0
996	How many new COVID-19 outbreaks will occur in Virginian long-term care facilities before 1 August 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7620/new-covid-outbreaks-in-va-ltcfs/	0
997	When will the first human be born on another world?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2533/when-will-the-first-human-be-born-on-another-world/	0
998	Will Trump flee the United States?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5655/will-trump-flee-the-united-states/	0
999	What will the cost of energy of utility-scale solar photovoltaics be in 2020, in 2018 USD per kWh?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3520/what-will-the-cost-of-energy-of-utility-scale-solar-photovoltaics-be-in-2020-in-2018-usd-per-kwh/	0
1000	Will the identity of Bitcoin's founder, Satoshi Nakamoto, be revealed to the general public by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1517/will-the-identity-of-bitcoins-founder-satoshi-nakamoto-be-revealed-to-the-general-public-by-2025/	0
1001	When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1637/when-will-a-crewed-spacecraft-enter-interstellar-space-for-the-first-time/	0
1002	Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20th, 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6313/conservative-scotus-majority-to-recede/	0
1003	Will Charm Industrial still exist in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4865/will-charm-industrial-still-exist-in-2030/	0
1004	Before 2051, will a meteor cause more injuries than the one that shook Chelyabinsk, Russia in 2013?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1059/before-2051-will-a-meteor-cause-more-injuries-than-the-one-that-shook-chelyabinsk-russia-in-2013/	0
1005	How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3289/how-many-gene-edited-babies-will-have-been-born-worldwide-by-the-end-of-2029/	0
1006	Will Joe Biden hold the office of US President between 2021-12-24 and 2022-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6640/biden-to-hold-presidency-until-eoy/	0
1007	Will TBC complete two transit systems bigger than LVCC loop < 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6602/two-more-tbc-transit-systems--2030/	0
1008	Will Trump be indicted for obstruction of justice by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5687/trump-indicted-for-obstruction-of-justice/	0
1009	How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions from December 2020 to January 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6149/change-in-degree-of-automation/	0
1010	In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6944/2024-us-election-results-not-certified/	0
1011	Will NASA return a sample of material from the surface of Mars to Earth before SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5463/mars-sample-mission-vs-starship/	0
1012	Will a democratic nation whose economy transitions from capitalist to market socialist sustain adequate economic growth?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3778/will-a-democratic-nation-whose-economy-transitions-from-capitalist-to-market-socialist-sustain-adequate-economic-growth/	0
1013	What percentage of Virginia’s 12-15 age group will be fully vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 by 1 October 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7619/va-12-15-yo-fully-vaccinated-on-1-oct/	0
1014	Will Scotland vote to leave the UK in the next referendum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5029/will-scotland-vote-to-leave-the-uk-in-the-next-referendum/	0
1015	Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6369/official-scottish-independence-referendum/	0
1016	How many countries will be considered "full democracies" (score higher than 8) by *The Economist* in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6101/number-of-full-democracies-in-2021/	0
1017	How many DC charging stations will Boulder, CO have by the end 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5827/dc-charging-stations-in-boulder-co-by-2021/	0
1018	What will real Gross World Product be in 2200, in trillions of 2020 US$?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7655/gwp-in-2200-in-trillions-of-us-full-range/	0
1019	When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6113/autonomous-flying-cars-when/	0
1020	How many annual deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections will have been estimated by the CDC to occurred in 2021 in the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7046/-deaths-from-antibiotic-resistant-infections/	0
1021	Will ≥8% of U.S. adults self-report to follow a vegetarian diet before 2036?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3360/will-8-of-us-adults-self-report-to-follow-a-vegetarian-diet-before-2036/	0
1022	What will the necessary computational power to replicate human mental capability turn out to be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2646/what-will-the-necessary-computational-power-to-replicate-human-mental-capability-turn-out-to-be/	0
1023	Will we discover clear evidence of proton decay by 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/915/will-we-discover-clear-evidence-of-proton-decay-by-2040/	0
1024	Will an anthropogenic disaster happen in China before one happens in India?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6946/anthropogenic-disasters-china-vs-india/	0
1025	By 2022, Will at least one abortion ban currently blocked by US federal courts go into effect?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6782/abortion-bans-allowed-by-us-courts-in-2021/	0
1026	Will ACE or any of its top or standout charities see a scandal related to racial inequity or discrimination in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6025/diversity-debacle-amongst-animal-advocates/	0
1027	Will the United States test a nuclear weapon before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4456/will-the-united-states-test-a-nuclear-weapon-before-2023/	0
1028	When will a Neanderthal be born again?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7479/bringing-back-the-neanderthal/	0
1029	Will the United States Environmental Protection Agency pass a PFAS Maximum Contaminant Level rule for all municipal water systems in the United States by January 1, 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4759/pfas-max-contaminant-levels-in-drinking-water/	0
1030	Will Elon Musk have double the wealth of the second richest person by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6190/will-musk-double-second-richest-by-dec-3122/	0
1031	How many people will be employed in the US healthcare/social assistance industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6063/number-employed-in-us-healthcare-in-2021/	0
1032	If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7244/1st-senators-from-puerto-rico-both-republican/	0
1033	When will an HSV-1 vaccine be approved by the FDA?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7234/hsv-1-vaccine-approved-by-fda/	0
1034	Will an openly LGBTQ person be elected President of the United States by 2041?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1444/will-an-openly-lgbtq-person-be-elected-president-of-the-united-states-by-2041/	0
1035	When will a country adopt Universal Basic Income?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2728/when-will-a-country-adopt-universal-basic-income/	0
1036	Will the majority of leading cosmologists in 2030 agree that the evidence points to an accelerating universe?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3608/will-the-majority-of-leading-cosmologists-in-2030-agree-that-the-evidence-points-to-an-accelerating-universe/	0
1037	When will an AI achieve a 98th percentile score or higher in a Mensa admission test?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3698/when-will-an-ai-achieve-a-98th-percentile-score-or-higher-in-a-mensa-admission-test/	0
1038	If no human challenge trials are run for COVID-19 before February 5, 2021, how many total deaths in the US will be directly attributed to COVID-19 in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5128/if-no-human-challenge-trials-are-run-for-covid-19-before-february-5-2021-how-many-total-deaths-in-the-us-will-be-directly-attributed-to-covid-19-in-2021/	0
1039	Will the "silver" Turing Test be passed by 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/73/will-the-silver-turing-test-be-passed-by-2026/	0
1040	Will the Square Kilometre Array (SKA) be finished on time?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2649/will-the-square-kilometre-array-ska-be-finished-on-time/	0
1041	What will the real GDP/capita of the USA be in 2024 if Joe Biden is elected president?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4689/what-will-the-real-gdpcapita-of-the-usa-be-in-2024-if-joe-biden-is-elected-president/	0
1042	Will Iowa host another "first in the nation" Democratic caucus by the end of 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3600/will-iowa-host-another-first-in-the-nation-democratic-caucus-by-the-end-of-2028/	0
1043	When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7174/keir-starmer-labour-leadership-exit-date/	0
1044	What Portion of Official Currency Reserve (COFER) will be Chinese Yuan in Q4 of 2031 according to the IMF?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7296/chinese-yuan--of-cofer-q42031/	0
1045	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on WikiText-103 be on 2023-02-14 in perplexity, amongst models not trained on extra data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6520/sota-wikitext-103-2023-02-14/	0
1046	Will Dr. Ezekiel Emanuel retract his view that he wants to die by 75?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5678/dr-ezekiel-emanuel-to-retract-deathist-view/	0
1047	Will the federal minimum wage increase in the United States before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3631/will-the-federal-minimum-wage-increase-in-the-united-states-before-2025/	0
1048	When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7467/next-great-financial-crisis-in-the-us/	0
1049	How much will Open Philanthropy grant in their focus area of Potential Risks from Advanced Artificial Intelligence in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6091/open-phil-grants-to-ai-safety-in-2021/	0
1050	What will the unemployment rate be for German law degree holders in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5987/unemployment-rate-for-german-lawyers-in-2025/	0
1051	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on WikiText-103 be at 2026-12-14 in perplexity?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5947/sota-perplexity-on-wikitext-103-2026-12-14/	0
1052	Will Project Vesta still exist in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4863/will-project-vesta-still-exist-in-2030/	0
1053	What will the fed funds rate be by the end of 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7439/u-s-interest-rate-policy/	0
1054	Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister at the beginning of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5413/conservative-uk-pm-on-2030-01-01/	0
1055	How many people will be born in the United States in the year 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3883/how-many-people-will-be-born-in-the-united-states-in-the-year-2021/	0
1056	What will be the relative severity of the next US depression, compared to the Great Depression?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4083/what-will-be-the-relative-severity-of-the-next-us-depression-compared-to-the-great-depression/	0
1057	When will the first successful launch of a Starship second stage that has been flown once before occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6770/first-reuse-of-a-starship-upper-stage/	0
1058	When will a first-class Royal Mail stamp cost at least £1?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5823/date-first-class-royal-mail-stamps-costs-1/	0
1059	Will there be a US-Russia war by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7452/will-there-be-a-us-russia-war-by-2050/	0
1060	What will global direct primary energy consumption be in 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6629/global-energy-consumption-in-2100/	0
1061	Will the text of the Voynich manuscript be successfully translated by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2751/will-the-text-of-the-voynich-manuscript-be-successfully-translated-by-2050/	0
1062	Maximum price of Bitcoin in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6666/maximum-price-of-bitcoin-in-2021/	0
1063	Will AOC be the Democratic presidential nominee in any of the next three election cycles?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5252/aoc-for-president/	0
1064	Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3330/will-any-person-that-has-been-cryopreserved-for-more-than-1-year-be-resuscitated-or-emulated-before-2200/	0
1065	As of July 1st, 2022, when will top forecasters expect the first Artificial General Intelligence to be developed and demonstrated?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4815/as-of-july-1st-2022-when-will-top-forecasters-expect-the-first-artificial-general-intelligence-to-be-developed-and-demonstrated/	0
1066	LRT 2.2: As of Monday, April 27th how many total cumulative SARS-CoV-2 infections (including all symptomatic, subclinical, and asymptomatic infections) have there been in the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4251/lrt-22-as-of-monday-april-27th-how-many-total-cumulative-sars-cov-2-infections-including-all-symptomatic-subclinical-and-asymptomatic-infections-have-there-been-in-the-us/	0
1067	Will Stripe reach a valuation of $1 trillion before 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5423/stripe-reaches-1tr-valuation-before-2027/	0
1068	If you fall and can't get up, when will there be a friendly computer looking on to notice your predicament?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/548/if-you-fall-and-cant-get-up-when-will-there-be-a-friendly-computer-to-hear-you/	0
1069	How many consecutive Presidents of the United States will there be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6175/number-of-united-states-presidents/	0
1070	Will an oracle superintelligence be developed before a general superintelligence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3683/will-an-oracle-superintelligence-be-developed-before-a-general-superintelligence/	0
1071	How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6525/cv-publications-2021-02-14-to-2023-02-14/	0
1072	How many publicly traded U.S.- or EU-based plant-based meat producers will be valued at $1bn or more on October 4th, 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3120/how-many-publicly-traded-us-or-eu-based-plant-based-meat-producers-will-be-valued-at-1bn-or-more-on-october-4th-2023/	0
1073	How many years before (or after) AGI is developed, will the world real GDP be 25% higher than every previous year for the first time?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7018/agi-before-or-after-gwp-growth-rate-of-25/	0
1074	What will be Top500's #1 performing supercomputer as a multiple of the #500 performer in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1492/what-will-be-top500s-1-performing-supercomputer-as-a-multiple-of-the-500-performer-in-2030/	0
1075	If the federal minimum wage is $15 or greater at the end of 2024, what will the average employment-to-population ratio be in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6626/minimum-wage-impact-on-employment-15/	0
1076	When will 5,000 companies worldwide pledge to remove cages from their egg supply chains?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3381/when-will-5000-companies-worldwide-pledge-to-remove-cages-from-their-egg-supply-chains/	0
1077	When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5303/metaculus-users-self-driving-taxis/	0
1078	Will any state impose a state-wide soda tax by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1043/will-any-state-impose-a-state-wide-soda-tax-by-2025/	0
1079	When will the first human mission to Venus take place?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6703/date-of-first-human-visit-to-venus/	0
1080	What will be the largest real Gross World Product for the period 2020 through 1000002200, in trillions of 2020 US$?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7662/largest-gwp-in-the-next-billion-years/	0
1081	Will Israel hold a second national election for Knesset in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6920/will-israel-hold-a-second-election-in-2021/	0
1082	Will the U.S. Affordable Care Act be expanded to include a public option before the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5915/will-us-aca-have-public-option-in-2021/	0
1083	Will Italy leave the Eurozone before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4121/will-italy-leave-the-eurozone-before-2023/	0
1084	Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6352/insurrection-act-invoked-before-2025/	0
1085	Will there be active warfare between the United States and China by the end of 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4922/will-there-be-active-warfare-between-the-united-states-and-china-by-the-end-of-2026/	0
1086	Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7412/hemp-attack-before-2024/	0
1087	When will a Nobel Prize be awarded for  COVID19-related accomplishments?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7032/awards-for-contributions-related-to-covid19/	0
1088	What fraction of High Impact Athletes pledge-takers will maintain it through the end of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6005/fraction-of-hia-pledges-still-active-in-2024/	0
1089	What will the China-to-USA GDP ratio be in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5755/china-to-usa-gdp-ratio-in-2050/	0
1090	Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4061/will-any-major-ai-company-commit-to-an-ai-windfall-clause-by-2025/	0
1091	What is the %reduction in the secondary transmission of Delta from infected vaccinated individuals compared to infected unvaccinated individuals, according to the mean of the first 3 relevant studies?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7638/-reduction-in-deltas-secondary-transmission/	0
1092	What will be the cost of negative emissions sold by Project Vesta in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4858/what-will-be-the-cost-of-negative-emissions-sold-by-project-vesta-in-2030/	0
1093	When will the number of US oil rigs exceed 1000?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6144/when-will-us-oil-rigs--1000/	0
1094	Will detection of phosphine in Venus atmosphere be independently reproduced by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5509/detection-of-phosphine-in-venus-atmosphere/	0
1095	Will online poker die by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5875/online-poker-dead-by-2030/	0
1096	When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5525/ivf-based-embryo-selection-for-intelligence/	0
1097	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 deaths?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7126/monthly-peak-in-new-virginia-covid-deaths/	0
1098	Will lepton universality be falsified before 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6948/the-death-of-lepton-universality/	0
1099	A breakthrough in accurately predicting protein structure before 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1651/a-breakthrough-in-accurately-predicting-protein-structure-before-2031/	0
1100	How many people will be estimated to have died of famine in Yemen before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2523/how-many-people-will-be-estimated-to-have-died-of-famine-in-yemen-before-2022/	0
1101	When will /r/themotte be banned from Reddit?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4881/when-will-rthemotte-be-banned-from-reddit/	0
1102	What will the UK's Index of Economic Freedom score be for 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6121/uk-index-of-economic-freedom-score-2025/	0
1103	When will the number of functional artificial satellites in orbit exceed 5,000?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6662/date-earth-functional-satellites-exceed-5000/	0
1104	Will there be at least 1,000 Ebola deaths in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6557/1000-ebola-deaths-in-2021/	0
1105	Will a cryptocurrency be created using a quantum random number generator by 2036?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7437/quantum-random-number-cryptocurrency/	0
1106	Will there be adversarial use of consumer genomic data before 1/1/2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6479/adversarial-use-of-consumer-genomics-by-2030/	0
1107	Will a new land speed record be set by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3117/will-a-new-land-speed-record-be-set-by-2025/	0
1108	A S&P500 tech boom to surpass the dotcom bubble for one quarter or more before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2645/tech-boom-beyond-dotcom-bubble-before-2025/	0
1109	Will oil consumption over the 2020-2025 period be lower than in 2019?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4633/oil-consumption-rebounds-no-sooner-than-2026/	0
1110	Hutter prize: when will a compression method achieve 1 bit-per-character on a 100MB sample of Wikipedia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/487/hutter-prize-when-will-a-compression-method-achieve-1-bit-per-character-on-a-100mb-sample-of-wikipedia/	0
1111	Will there turn out to be widespread fossils of algae and lichens on Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3870/will-there-turn-out-to-be-widespread-fossils-of-algae-and-lichens-on-mars/	0
1112	When will a generative model produce a realistic 2-minute video, at a 256 × 256 resolution or better?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3056/when-will-a-generative-model-produce-a-realistic-2-minute-video-at-a-256--256-resolution-or-better/	0
1113	Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will MDMA be approved for the treatment of PTSD by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1384/qualia-research-institute-question-series-will-mdma-be-approved-for-the-treatment-of-ptsd-by-2025/	0
1114	When will a human with no biological feet run 100 meters in less than 9.572 seconds?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4986/when-will-a-human-with-no-biological-feet-run-100-meters-in-less-than-9572-seconds/	0
1115	Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the United States Food and Drug Administration before January 1 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1621/will-a-senolytic-therapy-be-approved-for-commercial-sale-by-the-united-states-food-and-drug-administration-before-january-1-2030/	0
1116	On November 2021, will >20% of Americans believe the 2020 election was rigged?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5848/election-fraud-myth-persists/	0
1117	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-10-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6674/vaccine-doses-administered-in-eu-by-october/	0
1118	When will be the first successful launch of a Starship second stage that has been flown once before? (Continued)	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7226/first-reuse-of-a-starship-upper-stage/	0
1119	Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6721/successful-seasteading-by-2035/	0
1120	Will James Bedford be revived or emulated before 2200?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3332/will-james-bedford-be-revived-or-emulated-before-2200/	0
1121	What will the US Q3 2021 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7374/us-gdp-growth-q3-2021/	0
1122	When will humanity use more than one millionth of the sun's energy output?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3882/when-will-humanity-use-more-than-one-millionth-of-the-suns-energy-output/	0
1123	Will a state actor conduct an ASAT test that results in space debris between 2021 - 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7644/asat-weapons-tests-and-space-debris-by-2023/	0
1124	When will any country have a life expectancy at birth for both sexes of at least 100 years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3044/when-will-any-country-have-a-life-expectancy-at-birth-for-both-sexes-of-at-least-100-years/	0
1125	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Global Health and Development in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7425/open-phil-global-health-grants-2025/	0
1126	Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity (if it is ever achieved)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4788/will-artificial-superintelligence-precede-the-achievement-of-longevity-escape-velocity-if-it-is-ever-achieved/	0
1127	How high will the U.S.' total dependency ratio be in 2039?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7432/united-states-future-age-structure/	0
1128	If the federal minimum wage is greater than $10 and less than $15, what will the average employment-to-population ratio be in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6627/minimum-wage-impact-on-employment-10-15/	0
1129	When will the first YouTube star – famous FIRST because of YouTube stardom – be elected to Congress?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1446/when-will-the-first-youtube-star--famous-first-because-of-youtube-stardom--be-elected-to-congress/	0
1130	What will the total deal value be of all the US PE deals in billions of US$, in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5992/total-us-private-equity-deals-2021/	0
1131	How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2031-01-01 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5961/reinforcement-learning-2021-01-01-2031-01-01/	0
1132	Will more than two nuclear weapons in total have been detonated as an act of war by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4779/will-more-than-two-nuclear-weapons-in-total-have-been-detonated-as-an-act-of-war-by-2050/	0
1133	Will the price of Bitcoin fall below $10 before 2121?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7207/bitcoin-to-fall-to-near-zero-by-2121/	0
1134	How much will an UberX tour of Europe cost in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2792/how-much-will-an-uberx-tour-of-europe-cost-in-2024/	0
1135	When will a supermarket sell a product made of ≥80% clean meat, for $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3088/when-will-a-supermarket-sell-a-product-made-of-80-clean-meat-for-3-per-100-grams-or-cheaper/	0
1136	Will more than 4,500 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired from Palestine at Israel in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7224/israel-palestine-crisis-2021--q5/	0
1137	Tesla's 2025 vehicle production?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6601/2025-tesla-vehicles-produced/	0
1138	Conditional on a EU country ceasing to be a democracy by 2070, will the regime change be by "the left" or by "the right"?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6820/if-eu-democracy-overthrown-by-whom/	0
1139	Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/736/will-there-be-a-complete-4-year-interval-in-which-world-output-doubles-before-the-first-1-year-interval-in-which-world-output-doubles/	0
1140	Will Tether collapse by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6656/tether-in-2021/	0
1141	Will BitMEX default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7238/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-bitmex/	0
1142	Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/490/will-the-2022-fifa-world-cup-go-ahead-in-qatar/	0
1143	How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2776/how-much-will-givewell-guess-it-will-cost-to-get-an-outcome-as-good-as-saving-a-life-at-the-end-of-2021/	0
1144	Will any of the nonprofits incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship become a future ACE top or standout charity by Jan 1, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6020/charity-entrepreneurship-to-birth-top-ace-ngo/	0
1145	Will humanity maintain a continuous off-Earth presence until 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3385/will-humanity-maintain-a-continuous-off-earth-presence-until-2050/	0
1146	What will the age-adjusted mortality rate be in England and Wales in 2051?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7070/age-adjusted-mortality-rate-in-uk-in-2051/	0
1147	What will be the global average cost for a solar PV module in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6147/global-cost-of-a-solar-pv-module-in-2021/	0
1148	Will life on Venus be confirmed before 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5255/life-on-venus/	0
1149	Will transformer derived architectures still be state of the art for language modeling in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4892/will-transformer-derived-architectures-still-be-state-of-the-art-for-language-modeling-in-2025/	0
1150	What will the Harvard admit rate be for the undergraduate class of 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3622/what-will-the-harvard-admit-rate-be-for-the-undergraduate-class-of-2029/	0
1151	By 2025 will someone be able to hold his/her breath for 30+ minutes?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/684/by-2025-will-someone-be-able-to-hold-hisher-breath-for-30-minutes/	0
1152	How many billions of broiler-type chicks will hatch in the U.S., on average per year, over the 2022-2024 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3248/how-many-billions-of-broiler-type-chicks-will-hatch-in-the-us-on-average-per-year-over-the-2022-2024-period/	0
1153	When will the first organ from a non-primate be successfully transplanted into a human?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3052/when-will-the-first-organ-from-a-non-primate-be-successfully-transplanted-into-a-human/	0
1154	How many members will Giving What We Can have on its 20th anniversary?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3342/how-many-members-will-giving-what-we-can-have-on-its-20th-anniversary/	0
1155	When will Nate Silver release his 2nd book?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7012/release-date-of-nate-silvers-2nd-book/	0
1156	Will the use of whips be banned on or before the 2026 Melbourne Cup thoroughbred horse race?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6462/whip-ban-by-2026-melbourne-cup/	0
1157	How many billions of poultry will be slaughtered worldwide, in the calendar year 2030, according to FAO estimates?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3325/how-many-billions-of-poultry-will-be-slaughtered-worldwide-in-the-calendar-year-2030-according-to-fao-estimates/	0
1158	How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions change from December 2020 to February 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6541/change-in-degree-of-automation-2020-2023/	0
1159	When will Blue Origin's "New Glenn" rocket complete its first successful test flight?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/472/when-will-blue-origins-new-glenn-rocket-complete-its-first-successful-test-flight/	0
1160	What fraction of babies born in the US in 2029 will have been conceived in vitro?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3290/what-fraction-of-babies-born-in-the-us-in-2029-will-have-been-conceived-in-vitro/	0
1161	How much will it cost to deliver a 1kg payload to the Surface of Mars in 2075?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7107/cost-to-deliver-1kg-to-mars-in-2075/	0
1162	How much concern about climate change will exist in 2025, according to Google Trends?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1705/how-much-concern-about-climate-change-will-exist-in-2025-according-to-google-trends/	0
1163	When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥20% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3081/when-will-a-restaurant-first-serve-clean-meat-products-containing-20-clean-meat-at-3-per-100-grams-or-cheaper/	0
1164	Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7565/recurring-lockdowns-during-2030-2050/	0
1165	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Biosecurity and Pandemic Preparedness in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7427/open-phil-bio-grants-2030/	0
1166	When will the first person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or uploaded?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3331/when-will-the-first-person-that-has-been-cryopreserved-for-more-than-1-year-be-resuscitated-or-uploaded/	0
1167	Will George Hotz's proposed AI chip company release a consumer product by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7442/geohot-ai-chip-released-to-consumers/	0
1168	When will commercial supersonic flight return?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/969/when-will-commercial-supersonic-flight-return/	0
1169	Efficacy confirmation of a new Alzheimer's treatment protocol?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/477/efficacy-confirmation-of-a-new-alzheimers-treatment-protocol/	0
1170	Will restaurant reservations and consumer spending outside the home go back to normal in the US in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6790/return-to-baseline-us-consumer-spending-2021/	0
1171	What will be the longest uninterrupted stay in deep space at the end of 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6695/the-longest-stay-in-deep-space-by-2051/	0
1172	What will Australia's net greenhouse gas emissions be in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7093/australias-greenhouse-gas-emissions-in-2050/	0
1173	What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3103/what-will-the-lowest-retail-price-in-usd-per-kg-of-any-product-containing-50-clean-meat-be-in-the-calendar-year-2026/	0
1174	Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated by start of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2797/will-no-non-test-nuclear-weapons-be-detonated-by-start-of-2024/	0
1175	What will Bitcoin's hash rate be in November 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6524/btc-hash-rate-november-2022/	0
1176	Will Xi Jinping keep leading China past 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1468/will-xi-jinping-keep-leading-china-past-2022/	0
1177	Will there be a prominent platform for facilitating dominant assurance contracts before 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6723/dominant-assurance-contract-venture-by-2035/	0
1178	How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is between $8 and $20 per kg?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3115/how-many-commercial-cattle-in-millions-will-be-slaughtered-in-the-us-in-2032-if-the-lowest-retail-price-of-clean-meat-in-2026-is-between-8-and-20-per-kg/	0
1179	What proportion of offensive nuclear weapon detonations by Russia by 2050 will be countervalue, if any detonation by Russia occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7456/countervalue-detonations-by-russia-by-2050/	0
1180	Will Metaculus release a dedicated mobile app before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2598/metaculus-web-app-by-2024/	0
1181	Will global trade as a percentage of GWP exceed 61% by 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7231/global-trade-exceeds-61-of-gwp-by-2026/	0
1182	How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5839/drugs-approved-by-fda-in-2021/	0
1183	How much forest coverage loss will occur in Brazil over the three-year period starting from 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3452/how-much-forest-coverage-loss-will-occur-in-brazil-over-the-three-year-period-starting-from-2020/	0
1184	Will wildfires destroy a total exceeding 10Mha of global tree cover in any year, by the end of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3042/will-wildfires-destroy-a-total-exceeding-10mha-of-global-tree-cover-in-any-year-by-the-end-of-2030/	0
1185	Will there be at least 200 companies developing technologies to defeat aging by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3460/will-there-be-at-least-200-companies-developing-technologies-to-defeat-aging-by-2025/	0
1186	Will a Nobel Prize for Economic Science be awarded for MMT before 2041-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6028/nobel-prize-for-mmt-by-2041/	0
1187	Will PsiQuantum have a commercial quantum computer by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7434/psiquantum-computer-by-2025/	0
1188	When will the Doomsday Clock reach midnight?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3522/when-will-the-doomsday-clock-reach-midnight/	0
1189	Will a non-test nuclear detonation by a non-state actor cause at least one fatality by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7406/fatal-non-state-nuclear-detonation-by-2030/	0
1190	Will Netanyahu be convicted by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5914/will-netanyahu-be-convicted-by-2022/	0
1191	Will a Metaculus user report from space before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2561/will-a-metaculus-user-report-from-space-before-2050/	0
1192	Will cost-adjusted IT technology be worse than it was 8 years (32 quarters) ago in at least one quarter prior to 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/968/will-cost-adjusted-it-technology-be-worse-than-it-was-8-years-32-quarters-ago-in-at-least-one-quarter-prior-to-2030/	0
1193	Will wheat be successfully de-allergenized by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7040/wheat-successfully-de-allergenized-by-2030/	0
1194	What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6585/it-as--of-gdp-in-q3-2030/	0
1195	What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will be based in the United States in the November 2026 publication of TOP500 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6233/us-share-of-world-supercompute-june-2026/	0
1196	When will be the next "Great Power" war?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4441/when-will-be-the-next-great-power-war/	0
1197	At the end of 2023, will Animal Charity Evaluators recommend a charity working on reducing wild animal suffering as a top charity?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2783/at-the-end-of-2023-will-animal-charity-evaluators-recommend-a-charity-working-on-reducing-wild-animal-suffering-as-a-top-charity/	0
1198	Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2621/will-the-us-set-a-new-annual-gdp-growth-rate-record-high-before-2030/	0
1199	Will US Non-Overseas Contingency operations military deaths exceed 3000 in any calendar year before (and including) 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3124/will-us-non-overseas-contingency-operations-military-deaths-exceed-3000-in-any-calendar-year-before-and-including-2031/	0
1200	Fuel cells vs batteries in 2030's vehicles	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/552/fcevs-vs-bevs-what-percentage-of-the-global-electric-transportation-market-excluding-gasoline-hybrids-will-hydrogen-fuel-cell-electric-vehicles-fcevs-be-in-annual-sales-revenues-in-2030/	0
1201	When will the first company list on the Long-Term Stock Exchange?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7141/first-company-on-the-long-term-stock-exchange/	0
1202	Before the end of 2024 will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3682/health-agencies-to-claim-lab-escape-by-25/	0
1203	Will Parker Solar Probe survive its 24 loops around the sun while getting just a few million miles away from the surface of our star?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1402/will-parker-solar-probe-survive-its-24-loops-around-the-sun-while-getting-just-a-few-million-miles-away-from-the-surface-of-our-star/	0
1204	Will the People's Republic of China have ever annexed at least half of Taiwan by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5320/chinese-annexation-of-most-of-taiwan-by-2050/	0
1205	When will alien technosignatures be detected for the first time?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5858/when-will-alien-technosignatures-be-detected/	0
1206	Will there be a global thermonuclear war by 2070?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3517/will-there-be-a-global-thermonuclear-war-by-2070/	0
1207	Will the next non-test detonation of a state’s nuclear weapon be immediately preceded by conventional conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7408/next-nuclear-detonation-after-conflict/	0
1208	Will US life expectancy at birth for both sexes fall below 75 years before 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4616/will-us-life-expectancy-at-birth-for-both-sexes-fall-below-75-years-before-2040/	0
1209	On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average proportion of those polled who approve of Biden's presidency exceed 50.0%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6636/biden-eoy-approval-rating-to-exceed-500/	0
1210	What will SpaceX be worth by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3366/what-will-spacex-be-worth-by-2030/	0
1211	How many millions of pigs will be slaughtered worldwide, in the calendar year 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3414/how-many-millions-of-pigs-will-be-slaughtered-worldwide-in-the-calendar-year-2030/	0
1212	How many scheduled airline passengers in 2021 will verify their COVID-19 health statuses with IATA Travel Passes?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6029/flights-on-iata-vaccine-passports-in-2021/	0
1213	On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average of polls indicate that Joe Biden has a higher approval than disapproval rating?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6635/bidens-approval-to-exceed-disapproval-rating/	0
1214	Will the Harvard endowment be larger in 2119 than in 2019?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4349/will-the-harvard-endowment-be-larger-in-2119-than-in-2019/	0
1215	What will the global average Democracy Index score be for 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6100/average-democracy-index-score-in-2021/	0
1216	When will image recognition be made robust against unrestricted adversary?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2644/when-will-image-recognition-be-made-robust-against-unrestricted-adversary/	0
1217	Will starlink conduct an IPO before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6618/starlink-ipo-before-2030/	0
1218	When will the first clean meat company be valued at ≥ $1bn?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3060/when-will-the-first-clean-meat-company-be-valued-at--1bn/	0
1219	What will the percentage of the world population in $1.90-a-day poverty be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4851/what-will-the-percentage-of-the-world-population-in-190-a-day-poverty-be-in-2030/	0
1220	When will a country adopt Universal Basic Income?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6818/date-any-country-adopts-ubi/	0
1221	Will Huobi default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7239/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-huobi/	0
1222	How much will the total U.S. plant-based milk market be worth in the year ending in April 2023, in millions of USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3107/how-much-will-the-total-us-plant-based-milk-market-be-worth-in-the-year-ending-in-april-2023-in-millions-of-usd/	0
1223	How long will the Great Pyramids be recognizable?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1056/how-long-will-the-great-pyramids-be-recognizable/	0
1224	Will no CRISPR-edited babies be born in the year 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3481/will-no-crispr-edited-babies-be-born-in-the-year-2020/	0
1225	Will an Australian Federal Election be held in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6444/australian-federal-election-2021/	0
1226	Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on 2023-01-02?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6359/bolsonaro-president-of-brazil-in-2023/	0
1227	When the first company reaches a $10 trillion market cap, will it be worth at least double what it was the year before?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2898/when-the-first-company-reaches-a-10-trillion-market-cap-will-it-be-worth-at-least-double-what-it-was-the-year-before/	0
1228	When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4921/when-will-charity-entrepreneurship-help-create-a-new-givewell-top-charity/	0
1229	Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1585/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-nuclear-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-reduce-the-human-population-by-95-or-more/	0
1230	When will an AI defeat one of the top-10 StarCraft 2 players?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3272/date-ai-defeats-top-10-starcraft-2-players/	0
1231	Will "best practice" in treating Coronavirus involve administering  Vitamin D before the end of the pandemic?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5316/vit-d-as-covid-best-practice/	0
1232	What will the peak population of Antarctica be by 2075?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3999/what-will-the-peak-population-of-antarctica-be-by-2075/	0
1233	When will there be a vegan cheese indistinguishable from non-vegan cheese available for purchase by regular consumers?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4249/when-will-there-be-a-vegan-cheese-indistinguishable-from-non-vegan-cheese-available-for-purchase-by-regular-consumers/	0
1234	What will real Gross World Product be in 2200, in trillions of 2020 US$?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7498/gwp-in-2200-in-trillions-of-us/	0
1235	How many seats will be on the Supreme Court of the United States in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5531/us-supreme-court-members-in-2030/	0
1236	Will the key to any pre-2020 WikiLeaks insurance file be publicly available by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3749/will-the-key-to-any-pre-2020-wikileaks-insurance-file-be-publicly-available-by-2030/	0
1237	When will government guidance allow indoor parties of any 100 people in England?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6170/indoor-party-of-100-people-in-england/	0
1238	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7327/open-phil-donations-2030/	0
1239	Will we reach the island of stability by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/658/will-we-reach-the-island-of-stability-by-2050/	0
1240	What will be the differential in sales between the most-sold and second most-sold consumer electric vehicles in America in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5560/difference-in-top-ev-model-sales-2021/	0
1241	With an international nuclear weapons ban in place, will a country that has nuclear weapons actually give them up by 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/492/with-an-international-nuclear-weapons-ban-in-place-will-at-least-one-nuclear-state-actually-give-them-up-by-2035/	0
1242	When will the last US casino close?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6893/date-when-the-last-us-casino-will-close/	0
1243	How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6125/quality-of-retinal-implants-in-2030/	0
1244	Will NASA land people on Mars prior to 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1476/will-nasa-land-people-on-mars-prior-to-2030/	0
1245	Will any intelligent living being (human descendants, aliens, etc.) ever listen to the copy of Blind Willie Johnson's "Dark Was the Night" on Voyager I's Golden Record?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1480/will-any-intelligent-living-being-human-descendants-aliens-etc-ever-listen-to-the-copy-of-blind-willie-johnsons-dark-was-the-night-on-voyager-is-golden-record/	0
1246	Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1469/will-we-know-what-dark-matter-is-before-2050/	0
1247	What will the maximum z-score be for Denmark for observed deaths in 2020-2021 according to Euromomo?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5638/max-excess-death-score-for-denmark-2020-2021/	0
1248	Will Substack be valued at 1B+ before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6421/substack-to-become-unicorn/	0
1249	Will Jannik Sinner be the first man born in the 2000s to win a slam in Tennis?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6887/jannik-sinner-first-gen-x-slam-winner/	0
1250	Resolution of the Density Conjecture for Newton's N-body problem	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/523/resolution-to-the-proximity-conjecture-for-dynamical-systems/	0
1251	Will the World Series of Poker return to a live in-person format in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5138/will-the-world-series-of-poker-return-to-a-live-in-person-format-in-2021/	0
1252	If Donald J. Trump is indicted on criminal charges before 2030, when will the first such indictment happen?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6549/when-will-trump-be-criminally-charged/	0
1253	Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3834/will-any-conclusive-evidence-for-extraterrestrial-life-past-or-present-be-discovered-within-our-solar-system-by-2050/	0
1254	What will be the first year when world real GDP exceeds 130% of all prior years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5159/when-will-economic-growth-accelerate/	0
1255	Will Mars have a permanent population of 10,000 before the Moon does?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3112/will-mars-have-a-permanent-population-of-10000-before-the-moon-does/	0
1256	If tested, would the most powerful quesion-answering AI system as of 2022-06-01 demonstrate text-based intelligence parity with human 5th graders?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5120/if-tested-would-the-most-powerful-quesion-answering-ai-system-as-of-2022-06-01-demonstrate-text-based-intelligence-parity-with-human-5th-graders/	0
1257	When will the next interstellar object be discovered?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6225/next-interstellar-object/	0
1258	Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6889/serena-williams-wins-grand-slam/	0
1259	When will Beyond Chicken be available from a Grocery Store?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3596/when-will-beyond-chicken-be-available-from-a-grocery-store/	0
1260	Drake's Equation 2nd parameter f_p: What fraction of stars form planets?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1338/drakes-equation-2nd-parameter-f_p/	0
1261	When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5681/when-will-us-ev-sales-overtake-ice-sales/	0
1262	What fraction of hospitalised COVID-19 patients will still experience symptoms after 12 months?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6589/long-covid-post-hospitalisation/	0
1263	Will Norway leave EEA before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6108/norway-eea-membership-2025/	0
1264	What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, at 2022-01-14 in accuracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6191/sota-on-miniimagenet-at-2022-01-14/	0
1265	Will Alex Jones ever hold high Federal office in the United States before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1638/will-alex-jones-ever-hold-high-federal-office-in-the-united-states-before-2030/	0
1266	When will SpaceX Starlink internet be generally available?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5035/when-will-spacex-starlink-internet-be-generally-available/	0
1267	Microwave disruption of COVID-19 virus particles?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4994/microwave-disruption-of-covid-19-virus-particles/	0
1268	Will a new variant of SARS-COV-2 that, due to a mutation, can infect people who had immunity to a previous variant, cause more than 10M infections globally by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5749/covid-19-strain-that-circumvents-the-immunity/	0
1269	How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6245/few-shot-learning-2021-01-14-to-2022-01-14/	0
1270	When will the US unemployment rate fall to 4% or lower for the first time since the COVID-19 crisis of 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4017/when-will-the-us-unemployment-rate-fall-to-4-or-lower-for-the-first-time-since-the-covid-19-crisis-of-2020/	0
1271	How many people will take the EA survey in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7317/ea-survey-responses-2025/	0
1272	When will Bryan Caplan first announce that he lost a bet?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5695/when-will-bryan-caplan-lose-a-bet/	0
1273	Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/804/1000th-binary-question-resolution-is-positive/	0
1274	What will the U.S. market for plant-based meat be worth in the year ending in April 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3091/what-will-the-us-market-for-plant-based-meat-be-worth-in-the-year-ending-in-april-2023/	0
1275	Will Soylent-like meal replacements be labeled unhealthy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6967/soylent-and-health/	0
1276	When will there be a day on which no one in the UK dies with COVID-19?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6257/first-day-with-no-uk-covid-19-deaths/	0
1277	Will India's GDP grow in all first three quarters of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6316/india-gdp-growth-in-q1-q3-2021/	0
1278	Will Metaculus anticipate the biggest unforeseen trend of the 2020s?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4883/will-metaculus-anticipate-the-biggest-unforeseen-trend-of-the-2020s/	0
1279	What will be the ratio of Biden's to Trump's US Google search volumes in the third quarter of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7389/biden--trump-us-google-search-ratio-q3-2022/	0
1280	What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be on 2023-02-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6567/sota-on-squad20-2023-02-14/	0
1281	When will an AI pass the laugh test?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3020/when-will-an-ai-pass-the-laugh-test/	0
1282	When will the last member of our species, homo sapiens, be born?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1088/when-will-the-last-member-of-our-species-homo-sapiens-be-born/	0
1283	When will L4 autonomous vehicles be commercially available?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3771/when-will-l4-autonomous-vehicles-be-commercially-available/	0
1284	When will Tesla self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5304/widely-available-tesla-self-driving-taxi/	0
1285	Will there be an breakaway European Soccer League match before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7072/breakaway-soccer-league-by-2030/	0
1286	When will the COVID-19 epidemic subside in Russia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4737/when-will-the-covid-19-epidemic-subside-in-russia/	0
1287	Will alien technosignatures be detected before 1 January 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1629/will-alien-technosignatures-be-detected-before-1-january-2050/	0
1288	In how many years will humanity's descendants meet grabby aliens?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6633/when-will-we-meet-grabby-aliens/	0
1289	How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions change from December 2020 to December 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6236/change-in-degree-of-automation-20-to-26/	0
1290	What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be at 2022-01-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6227/sota-segmentation-cityscapes-2022-01-14/	0
1291	Will a mouse be confirmed to have lived for 2,500 days before 1 January 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1624/will-a-mouse-be-confirmed-to-have-lived-for-2500-days-before-1-january-2035/	0
1292	If DNA alterations continue to require approval by default, when will the FDA find at least ten genetically edited animals as safe to eat?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3201/if-dna-alterations-continue-to-require-approval-by-default-when-will-the-fda-find-at-least-ten-genetically-edited-animals-as-safe-to-eat/	0
1293	Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5313/planet-nine-discovery-by-before-2030/	0
1294	What will the highest score be, on Atari 2600 Montezuma's Revenge, by any ML model that is un-augmented with domain knowledge on 2022-01-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6230/sota-montezumas-revenge-2022-01-14/	0
1295	What will be the cumulative number of deaths in the US due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7161/cumulative-us-covid-deaths-by-end-of-2021/	0
1296	Will the next US presidential election also be considered fraudulent by the losing party?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5882/2024-us-election-considered-fraudulent/	0
1297	Will there be armed conflict between racial groups in South Africa before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/919/will-there-be-armed-conflict-between-racial-groups-in-south-africa-before-2023/	0
1298	What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based meats be in the U.S. be in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7062/total-us-sales-of-plant-based-meats-in-2022/	0
1299	What’s the CAGR in the stock of EVs globally over the 2020-22 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5575/cagr-of-global-ev-stock-2020-22/	0
1300	When will the James Webb Space Telescope be launched?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3033/when-will-the-james-webb-space-telescope-be-launched/	0
1301	Will a single novel SARS-CoV-2 variant that is at least 30% more transmissible than preexisting variants infect 10M worldwide before mid-2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6031/more-transmissible-variant-to-infect-10m/	0
1302	If a language model is trained with 5x more compute than GPT-3 by the end of 2022, will it be public to end users?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6980/gpt-4-or-similar-public-by-end-of-2022/	0
1303	Will there be a full year with no open stock exchanges in the US by 2120?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7333/no-us-stock-exchange-for-1-year-by-2120/	0
1304	The End of NAFTA?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/573/the-end-of-nafta/	0
1305	When will most eggs produced in the USA be sexed before hatching?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3326/when-will-most-eggs-produced-in-the-usa-be-sexed-before-hatching/	0
1306	Will any sovereign government issue a formal apology for their treatment of farm animals by 2200?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3772/will-any-sovereign-government-issue-a-formal-apology-for-their-treatment-of-farm-animals-by-2200/	0
1307	What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2022-01-14 in top-1 accuracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6183/sota-imagenet-2022-01-14/	0
1308	What will be net migration to the United Kingdom in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5921/net-migration-to-uk-in-2021/	0
1309	Will lossless compression fail to be accepted as a macrosociology model selection criterion?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3215/will-lossless-compression-fail-to-be-accepted-as-a-macrosociology-model-selection-criterion/	0
1310	Will the Riemann Hypothesis be proved true, if it is proved by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6365/riemann-h-proved-true-if-settled-by-2100/	0
1311	Will the NBA raise the rim to 10'6" (or higher) before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6973/nba-raising-the-rim-by-2030/	0
1312	When will the Indian Neutrino Observatory (INO) definitely spot its first neutrino(s)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1054/when-will-the-indian-neutrino-observatory-ino-definitely-spot-its-first-neutrinos/	0
1313	Will the United States continue to be among the 20 countries with the largest deterioration in state stability over the 2019-2029 period, according to the Fragile States Index?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3125/will-the-united-states-continue-to-be-among-the-20-countries-with-the-largest-deterioration-in-state-stability-over-the-2019-2029-period-according-to-the-fragile-states-index/	0
1314	What will the the sum of the level of performance (in exaFLOPS) of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be according to their November 2021 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6232/total-compute-top500-supercomputers-nov-21/	0
1315	Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/569/solar-storm-shield-begun-by-2025/	0
1316	Will the subreddit /r/wallstreetbets be banned before Jan 1st, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6425/the-future-of-wallstreetbets/	0
1317	If the UK leaves the EU, will there be a resurgence of the Troubles between Ireland and Northern Ireland?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2586/if-the-uk-leaves-the-eu-will-there-be-a-resurgence-of-the-troubles-between-ireland-and-northern-ireland/	0
1318	By 2025, will laws be in place requiring that AI systems that emulate humans must reveal to people that they are AI?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2788/by-2025-will-laws-be-in-place-requiring-that-ai-systems-that-emulate-humans-must-reveal-to-people-that-they-are-ai/	0
1319	How long would humanity take to rebound from a global catastrophe?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4511/how-long-would-humanity-take-to-rebound-from-a-global-catastrophe/	0
1320	How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6526/nlp-e-prints-2021-02-14-to-2023-02-14/	0
1321	What will be the real world GDP on the year AGI is deployed, in trillions of dollars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4215/what-will-be-the-real-world-gdp-on-the-year-agi-is-deployed-in-trillions-of-dollars/	0
1322	Will the eventual consensus explanation of star KIC 8462852 variability be an intervening molecular cloud?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1497/will-the-eventual-consensus-explanation-of-star-kic-8462852-variability-be-an-intervening-molecular-cloud/	0
1323	Will a human made spaceship enter the Venusian atmosphere before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/686/will-a-human-made-spaceship-enter-the-venusian-atmosphere-before-2030/	0
1324	In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to cause prioritization?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6975/2025-donations-to-cause-prioritization/	0
1325	What will be the largest cultivated meat product production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single production facility be, by January 1st, 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7036/cultivated-meat-production-capacity-2023/	0
1326	What will be the sentiment of Metaculus users with regard to self-resolving questions at the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4057/what-will-be-the-sentiment-of-metaculus-users-with-regard-to-self-resolving-questions-at-the-end-of-2022/	0
1327	Will Elon Musk (eventually) lose his appeal?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1079/will-elon-musk-eventually-lose-his-appeal/	0
1328	When will the 10,000th human reach space?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1659/when-will-the-10000th-human-reach-space/	0
1329	When will two or more supermarkets sell products made of ≥20% clean fish in their physical retail stores in at least 25 U.S. states?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3447/when-will-two-or-more-supermarkets-sell-products-made-of-20-clean-fish-in-their-physical-retail-stores-in-at-least-25-us-states/	0
1330	Will at least one US state secede from the Union before 31 December, 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4678/will-at-least-one-us-state-secede-from-the-union-before-31-december-2030/	0
1331	Will Alcor offer the use of a fixative during cryopreservation procedures before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4051/will-alcor-offer-the-use-of-a-fixative-during-cryopreservation-procedures-before-2030/	0
1332	Will Washington state’s Department of Revenue report a gross business income for Q1 2021 that reaches or exceeds pre-COVID levels from Q1 2019?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5993/washington-q1-2021-business-income--q1-2019/	0
1333	Are we in a simulated reality? Part II	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/280/are-we-in-a-simulated-reality-part-ii/	0
1334	When will either the Democratic or Republican party in the US cease to exist?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1481/when-will-either-the-democratic-or-republican-party-in-the-us-cease-to-exist/	0
1335	Will humans go extinct by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/578/human-extinction-by-2100/	0
1336	What will be the Hue (in angular degrees) of Pantone's Color of the Year for 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5887/pantones-color-of-the-year-for-2022/	0
1337	Will Angela Merkel remain chancellor after the next German federal elections?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1457/will-angela-merkel-remain-chancellor-after-the-next-german-federal-elections/	0
1338	What will the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU be, on January 1, 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6574/top-gpu-price-performance-2030/	0
1339	Will any OECD country achieve a 10% or greater reduction in the national rate of obesity for 3 consecutive years before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3397/large-obesity-drop-in-oecd-country-by-2030/	0
1340	Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/348/will-one-of-the-verified-oldest-living-persons-in-the-world-reach-120-years-old-by-the-23rd-of-march-2024/	0
1341	What will be the cumulative number of deaths in the US due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7307/cumulative-us-covid-deaths-by-end-of-2021/	0
1342	Will FTX default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7230/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-ftx/	0
1343	When will the volume-weighted average battery for electric vehicles and stationary storage reach $75 per kilowatt hour?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3591/ev-battery-storage-costs/	0
1344	How many cattle will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7044/-cattle-culled-due-to-outbreak-in-2021-23/	0
1345	Will Bitfinex default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7236/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-bitfinex/	0
1346	Will more than 10,000 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7221/israel-palestine-crisis-2021--q4/	0
1347	When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3877/when-will-the-united-kingdom-apply-to-rejoin-the-eu/	0
1348	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 hospitalizations?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7125/monthly-peak-in-new-virginia-hospitalizations/	0
1349	Will there be a G4 EA H1N1 flu virus pandemic before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4763/will-there-be-a-g4-ea-h1n1-flu-virus-pandemic-before-2025/	0
1350	How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6528/few-shot-e-prints-2021-02-14-to-2023-02-14/	0
1351	When will humans be able to capture water from volatile sources in the inner Solar System?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5644/long-term-h20-capture-in-inner-solar-system/	0
1352	Will there be a 9 foot tall human by 2075?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1061/will-there-be-a-9-foot-tall-human-by-2075/	0
1353	If  there's a US-Russia war by 2050, when will it start?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7402/war-between-russia-and-the-us-by-2050/	0
1354	How many billions of hen eggs will be produced in the U.S. in the year ending in November 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3247/how-many-billions-of-hen-eggs-will-be-produced-in-the-us-in-the-year-ending-in-november-2023/	0
1355	Will there be fewer Kea parrots in 2030 than in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4544/will-there-be-fewer-kea-parrots-in-2030-than-in-2020/	0
1356	How many of the "priority paths" identified by 80,000hours will still be priority paths in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4912/how-many-of-the-priority-paths-identified-by-80000hours-will-still-be-priority-paths-in-2030/	0
1357	Will a large American city fully abolish their police department before 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6725/large-american-city-to-abolish-police-by-2035/	0
1358	Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7154/us-forgive-10k-student-debt-before-2024/	0
1359	Will the S&P 500 hit 10,000 points by the end of the decade?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4527/will-the-sp-500-hit-10000-points-by-the-end-of-the-decade/	0
1360	What will the mean of the year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be, in the three year period ending in November 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3357/what-will-the-mean-of-the-year-over-year-growth-rate-of-the-sum-of-teraflops-of-the-all-500-supercomputers-in-the-top500-be-in-the-three-year-period-ending-in-november-2023/	0
1361	When will the next fully autonomous car fatality occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/776/when-will-the-next-fully-autonomous-car-fatality-occur/	0
1362	Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7099/silg-to-survive-the-mid-term/	0
1363	What will be the highest level of annual GDP growth in the US before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2622/what-will-be-the-highest-level-of-annual-gdp-growth-in-the-us-before-2030/	0
1364	When will the United States reach herd immunity (>230M) for COVID-19?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5773/united-states-covid-herd-immunity-230m-date/	0
1365	How many NASA "space launch system" (SLS) launches before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1503/how-many-nasa-space-launch-system-sls-launches-before-2030/	0
1366	Will semaglutide be a top 300 medicine in America before 2032?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7323/semaglutide-in-top-300-us-meds-before-2032/	0
1367	When will AI achieve superhuman few-shot performance on SuperGLUE?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4932/when-will-ai-achieve-superhuman-few-shot-performance-on-superglue/	0
1368	How correlated will progress be across subfields of AI as determined by Metaculus?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6679/correlation-of-progress-in-subfields-of-ai/	0
1369	Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister at the beginning of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5414/labour-uk-pm-on-2030-01-01/	0
1370	By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6438/will-joe-biden-run-for-reelection/	0
1371	At what point will at least ten technologies listed on "The Rejuvenation Roadmap" be released to the public?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3461/at-what-point-will-at-least-ten-technologies-listed-on-the-rejuvenation-roadmap-be-released-to-the-public/	0
1372	What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be on 2023-02-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%), amongst models not trained on extra data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6564/sota-on-cityscapes-2023-02-14/	0
1373	How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6157/ai-safety--other-2021-01-14-to-2022-01-14/	0
1374	Will Matt Levine join substack before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6420/matt-levine-to-join-substack/	0
1375	Reliable automatic coding of described rules by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/495/reliable-automatic-coding-of-described-rules-by-2030/	0
1376	Will a functional Alcubierre drive-like FTL device be demonstrated before 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6558/working-alcubierre-like-ftl-drive-by-2100/	0
1377	When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4966/when-will-the-us-fda-grant-neuralink-permission-to-sell-and-implant-a-brain-machine-interface-device-into-general-consumers/	0
1378	Will there be a vegetarian U.S. president by the end of 2036?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3359/will-there-be-a-vegetarian-us-president-by-the-end-of-2036/	0
1379	How much will the highest-paid dead celebrity earn in 2021, according to Forbes?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7213/highest-paid-dead-celebrity-in-2021/	0
1380	2˚C global warming by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/585/2c-global-warming-by-2100/	0
1381	Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1495/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-be-due-to-an-artificial-intelligence-failure-mode/	0
1382	What will be the Gini coefficient for income in the United States in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4968/what-will-be-the-gini-coefficient-for-income-in-the-united-states-in-2030/	0
1383	What will be the average daily supply of consumer motor gasoline in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5679/avg-daily-supply-motor-gasoline-2025/	0
1384	Will Half-Life 3 come out during Gabe Newell's lifetime?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1429/will-half-life-3-come-out-during-gabe-newells-lifetime/	0
1385	Tunnel vs. Wall	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/445/tunnel-vs-wall/	0
1386	What rank will the United States be on the inequality adjusted human development index in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4440/what-rank-will-the-united-states-be-on-the-inequality-adjusted-human-development-index-in-2035/	0
1387	What will the price of IGM be, on 2030-12-13, in 2019 USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6255/closing-price-igm-on-2030-12-13/	0
1388	What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5906/number-confirmed-global-covid-cases-by-2022/	0
1389	What will Denmark rank in GDP per capita (PPP) in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5000/what-will-denmark-rank-in-gdp-per-capita-ppp-in-2030/	0
1390	What will Elon Musk's total net worth be at the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4790/elon-musks-net-worth-at-the-end-of-2021/	0
1391	When will Nintendo release a console capable of 4K output?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3840/when-will-nintendo-release-a-console-capable-of-4k-output/	0
1392	Will Nigeria's population exceed 400 million before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2632/will-nigerias-population-exceed-400-million-before-2050/	0
1393	When will the longest spaceflight of any one person reach 5 years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1435/when-will-the-longest-spaceflight-of-any-one-person-reach-5-years/	0
1394	If the first AGI is developed by a publicly traded company, will the company have performed at least 1.5x as well as the global equities market over the prior 12-2 months?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4997/a-stock-price-rise-preceding-agi/	0
1395	Drake's Equation 7th parameter L: For how many years does a civilization remain detectable?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1343/drakes-equation-7th-parameter-l/	0
1396	When will US initial jobless claims fall below 300 thousand?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6016/when-will-us-jobless-claims-fall-below-300k/	0
1397	Will Northern Ireland hold a reunification referendum before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6702/northern-irish-reunification-referendum/	0
1398	What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2022-01-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6240/it-and-comms-weighting-in-sp500-2022-01-14/	0
1399	Will SpaceX test-launch the BFR before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/612/will-spacex-test-launch-the-bfr-before-2025/	0
1400	Will the XENON1T experiment soon report a detection of dark matter or other new physics?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4670/will-the-xenon1t-experiment-soon-report-a-detection-of-dark-matter-or-other-new-physics/	0
1401	What will be the lowest cost per kilogram, in US dollars, to deliver a payload to LEO or beyond before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4390/what-will-be-the-lowest-cost-per-kilogram-in-us-dollars-to-deliver-a-payload-to-leo-or-beyond-before-2025/	0
1402	Democracy in Crisis: How many free countries in 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1438/democracy-in-crisis-how-many-free-countries-in-2028/	0
1403	Will a US Supreme Court Justice be impeached and removed before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5540/scotus-impeachment-before-2030/	0
1404	What will be the cumulative number of deaths due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31 if less than 50% of Americans initiate vaccination (1st dose received) with a COVID-19 vaccine by 2021-03-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6165/number-of-us-covid-deaths-if-50-vaccinated/	0
1405	Artificial drivers, real roads vs. real drivers, artificial roads	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/285/artificial-drives-real-roads-vs-real-drivers-artificial-roads/	0
1406	Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/557/another-hit-by-two-cat-4-hurricanes-in-the-same-year/	0
1407	How many billionaires (in USD) will there be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6772/number-of-billionaires-in-2030/	0
1408	What will be the ratio of fatalities to total estimated infections for COVID-19 by the end of 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3755/what-will-be-the-ratio-of-fatalities-to-total-estimated-infections-for-covid-19-by-the-end-of-2020/	0
1409	When will a human chess player reach a FIDE rating of 2900?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4209/when-will-a-human-chess-player-reach-a-fide-rating-of-2900/	0
1410	Will any country's military expenditure exceed that of the United States before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2605/will-any-countrys-military-expenditure-exceed-that-of-the-united-states-before-2030/	0
1411	Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2514/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-biological-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-reduce-the-human-population-by-95-or-more/	0
1412	Will Valve release a game before 2030 with 3 in the Title?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3812/will-valve-release-a-game-before-2030-with-3-in-the-title/	0
1413	What will the median annual wage for Computer and Information Research Scientists be in the United states in 2029, in 2019 USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6256/median-wage-for-computer-scientists-2029/	0
1414	Will the US supreme court change size by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3617/will-the-us-supreme-court-change-size-by-2050/	0
1415	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on One Billion Word be on 2023-02-14, in perplexity, amongst models not trained on extra data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6569/sota-one-billion-word-2023-02-14/	0
1416	Will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/607/will-it-cost-less-than-1000-to-calculate-a-pgp-private-key-from-a-2048-bits-pgp-public-key-in-2030/	0
1417	If you die today and get cryonically frozen, will you "wake up"?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/455/if-you-die-today-and-get-cryonically-frozen-will-you-wake-up/	0
1418	What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection  Performance Index be on 2023-02-15?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6540/object-detection-index-be-on-2023-02-15/	0
1419	Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1332/will-global-malaria-mortality-rates-be-reduced-by-90-when-compared-with-2015-rates-by-2030/	0
1420	Will an airborne wind energy system of at least 100kW be sold before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2578/will-an-airborne-wind-energy-system-of-at-least-100kw-be-sold-before-2022/	0
1421	How many patients will the Shandong Yinfeng Life Science Research Institute report by 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6221/patients-at-chinese-cryonics-org-by-2026/	0
1422	Will mixed doubles be a fixture at all four slams in 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7010/mixed-doubles-at-all-slams-in-2040/	0
1423	Will an official diagnosis of dementia be announced for Joe Biden before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4906/will-an-official-diagnosis-of-dementia-be-announced-for-joe-biden-before-2023/	0
1424	What will the total deal value be of all the US PE deals in billions of US$, in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6396/total-us-private-equity-deals-2021/	0
1425	When will the first 100 million digit prime number be discovered?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4451/when-will-the-first-100-million-digit-prime-number-be-discovered/	0
1426	When will the first successful entirely artificial extracorporeal human pregnancy conclude?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2769/when-will-the-first-successful-entirely-artificial-extracorporeal-human-pregnancy-conclude/	0
1427	When will a genetic change cease to trigger regulatory oversight for the approval of gene-edited animals used in meat production?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3139/when-will-a-genetic-change-cease-to-trigger-regulatory-oversight-for-the-approval-of-gene-edited-animals-used-in-meat-production/	0
1428	What will be the first year during which most deaths are from non-disease related causes and fewer than 1% of humans die?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4125/what-will-be-the-first-year-during-which-most-deaths-are-from-non-disease-related-causes-and-fewer-than-1-of-humans-die/	0
1429	Will the star Betelgeuse be observed to go supernova before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3531/will-the-star-betelgeuse-be-observed-to-go-supernova-before-2030/	0
1430	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7373/us-building-permits-september-2021/	0
1431	Will transformer derived architectures accelerate progress in deep learning?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5173/transformers-effect-on-ai-research/	0
1432	Will the European Union meet its 2030 targets under the Paris Climate Treaty?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/489/will-the-european-union-meet-its-2030-targets-under-the-paris-climate-treaty/	0
1433	When will a Bering Strait crossing be completed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3136/when-will-a-bering-strait-crossing-be-completed/	0
1434	Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1433/will-the-fraction-of-american-18-24-year-olds-enrolled-in-colleges-in-2025-be-10-less-than-were-enrolled-in-2015/	0
1435	How far away will the closest known Black Hole lay in 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2771/how-far-away-will-the-closest-known-black-hole-lay-in-2031/	0
1436	What will be the highest US debt-to-GDP ratio by the end of 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4679/what-will-be-the-highest-us-debt-to-gdp-ratio-by-the-end-of-2023/	0
1437	What will be the highest pixel resolution of commercially available optical satellite imagery, purchasable in a NATO country, in the year 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7344/resolution-of-commercial-satellites-in-2050/	0
1438	How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4518/how-many-billions-of-parameters-will-the-largest-machine-learning-model-trained-before-2030-have/	0
1439	By 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4034/by-2030-will-c-elegans-be-uploaded-to-the-satisfaction-of-top-computational-neuroscientists/	0
1440	Will a vacancy on the Supreme Court of the United States arise in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6641/scotus-vacancy-to-arise-in-2021/	0
1441	Out of the 25 largest U.S companies by revenue, how many will file for bankruptcy over the next four years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3864/out-of-the-25-largest-us-companies-by-revenue-how-many-will-file-for-bankruptcy-over-the-next-four-years/	0
1442	What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their June 2030 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6234/performance-of-top-supercomputer-in-june-2030/	0
1443	What will be the gross receipts of the SENS Research Foundation in the 2021 tax year, as reported on their Form 990?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4442/what-will-be-the-gross-receipts-of-the-sens-research-foundation-in-the-2021-tax-year-as-reported-on-their-form-990/	0
1444	How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6298/cv-e-prints-2021-01-14-to-2022-01-14/	0
1445	If Washington DC and Puerto Rico are not admitted as new states, will Republicans hold the Senate from 2022 to 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7165/gop-to-hold-senate-if-dc-and-pr-not-admitted/	0
1446	Longbets series: By 2029 will a computer have passed the Turing Test?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3648/longbets-series-by-2029-will-a-computer-have-passed-the-turing-test/	0
1447	Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6312/will-kamala-harris-run-for-president-in-2024/	0
1448	By January 1st, 2026 what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaFLOPS-days), used in training by an AI experiment?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6559/maximum-compute-in-ai-experiment-2022-01-14/	0
1449	Will Robert Caro's fifth and final volume of his Lyndon Johnson biography be published during his lifetime?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3244/will-robert-caros-fifth-and-final-volume-of-his-lyndon-johnson-biography-be-published-during-his-lifetime/	0
1450	Worst-case scenario for global CO2 levels realized over the coming decades?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/336/worst-case-scenario-for-global-co2-levels-over-the-coming-decades/	0
1451	By 2030, will 10,000+ Americans die in a single year in a single conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6940/10k-us-conflict-deaths-in-1-year-by-2030/	0
1452	When will a biocomputer be able to perform an SHA-256 hash?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7033/hashing-with-biocomputers/	0
1453	When will the next Qatari general election be held?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3830/when-will-the-next-qatari-general-election-be-held/	0
1454	On December 1st, 2023 how many companies worldwide will pledge uphold GAP standards for broiler chickens raised for meat?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3422/on-december-1st-2023-how-many-companies-worldwide-will-pledge-uphold-gap-standards-for-broiler-chickens-raised-for-meat/	0
1455	How many states will have legalized medical or recreational use of psilocybin before 2045?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4796/states-with-legal-psilocybin-by-2045/	0
1456	How many countries will allow 17 year olds to vote in 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6327/youth-voting-around-the-world-in-2026/	0
1457	What retail market share will plant-based milk make up of the total milk category in the U.S. in 2022	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7059/2022-retail-market-share-of-plant-based-milk/	0
1458	When will 100 people or more be in space, or on any astronomical body other than earth, simultaneously?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3141/when-will-100-people-or-more-be-in-space-or-on-any-astronomical-body-other-than-earth-simultaneously/	0
1459	What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2026-12-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6571/sota-one-shot-on-miniimagenet-2026-12-14/	0
1460	What fraction of the world's population will live in a democracy in 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7328/global-democracy-share-2040/	0
1461	What percentage of US GDP will be spent on R&D in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5876/-of-us-gdp-spent-on-rd-in-2030/	0
1462	When will a language model with at least 100B parameters be open sourced including for commercial use?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4877/when-will-a-language-model-with-at-least-100b-parameters-be-open-sourced-including-for-commercial-use/	0
1463	In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to meta charities?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6976/ea-survey-2025-donations-to-meta-charities/	0
1464	When will the next US Supreme Court vacancy arise?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5457/date-next-scotus-vacancy-arises/	0
1465	When will The Simpsons air its final episode?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/807/when-will-the-simpsons-air-its-final-episode/	0
1466	Will there be a Nobel Prize in Physics awarded for work in string theory before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5344/nobel-prize-for-string-theory-before-2050/	0
1467	Will the Somerton Man's DNA match that of "Jestyn's" family?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7288/somerton-man-father-of-jestyns-son/	0
1468	Will the European Commission or other EU institution net borrow more than €50bn in 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6994/european-commission-to-borrow-50bn-in-2027/	0
1469	When will beef for human consumption, from cattle genetically edited to carry a copy of the SRY gene, be for sale in the United States?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3202/when-will-beef-for-human-consumption-from-cattle-genetically-edited-to-carry-a-copy-of-the-sry-gene-be-for-sale-in-the-united-states/	0
1470	Will scientists conclude that delaying SARS-CoV2 vaccines second dose did or would have saved lives?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6000/lives-saved-by-seconddosedelay-for-vaccine/	0
1471	What annual real return will the S&P 500 realize 2022-2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4615/what-annual-real-return-will-the-sp-500-realize-2022-2031/	0
1472	Will any of the 20 most valuable public companies in the United States (As of January 2019) file for bankruptcy protection before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2599/will-any-of-the-20-most-valuable-public-companies-in-the-united-states-as-of-january-2019-file-for-bankruptcy-protection-before-2025/	0
1473	The Rise and Fall of the Banana: Will the current main export cultivar, the Cavendish, be replaced by 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1558/the-rise-and-fall-of-the-banana-will-the-current-main-export-cultivar-the-cavendish-be-replaced-by-2035/	0
1474	When will workplaces reach baseline level in the state of Virginia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7137/va-workplace-activity-reach-baseline-lvl/	0
1475	Will any of these Reddit alternatives be more popular than Reddit by 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4882/will-any-of-these-reddit-alternatives-be-more-popular-than-reddit-by-2026/	0
1476	Will Elon Musk personally set foot on the moon by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5885/will-elon-musk-walk-on-the-moon-by-2030/	0
1477	Will lab-grown complex vital organs be used successfully in humans before 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6806/lab-grown-organs-be-used-in-humans-by-2035/	0
1478	Will China land the next person on the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5832/china-to-land-the-next-person-on-the-moon/	0
1479	Will EU Member States or the Members of the European Parliament reject the ratification of EU-Mercosur agreement in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6459/eu-mercosur-trade-deal-rejected-in-2021/	0
1480	When will Sabaton release their tenth album?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7204/tenth-sabaton-album/	0
1481	When will the first Artificial General Intelligence system be devised, tested, and publicly known of? [stronger operationalization]	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/when-will-the-first-artificial-general-intelligence-system-be-devised-tested-and-publicly-known-of-stronger-operationalization/	0
1482	While cryopreservation using fixatives is available, how many times more likely will someone be to be revived by 2200 if they are cryopreserved using fixatives than without?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4780/while-cryopreservation-using-fixatives-is-available-how-many-times-more-likely-will-someone-be-to-be-revived-by-2200-if-they-are-cryopreserved-using-fixatives-than-without/	0
1483	If Joe Biden is elected president of the US in 2020, will the highest tax bracket be restored to its original 39.6% or higher before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5174/biden-restores-396-tax-bracket-before-2025/	0
1484	Will Silvio Berlusconi become President of the Italian Republic by at the next presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6429/berlusconi-back-as-president-of-italy/	0
1485	What will Alphabet Inc.'s market capitalisation be at market close on 2030-01-01 in trillions USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6584/alphabet-incs-market-cap-2030/	0
1486	What will the highest score of any ML model that is un-augmented with domain knowledge on Atari 2600 Montezuma's Revenge be on 2023-02-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6570/sota-on-montezumas-revenge-2023-02-14/	0
1487	Will Charity Entrepreneurship launch a family planning charity as part of its 2021 incubation program?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7097/family-planning-charity-in-2021/	0
1488	Will the human condition change fundamentally before 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1646/will-the-human-condition-change-fundamentally-before-2100/	0
1489	Will the Second Amendment to the United States Constitution be amended or repealed before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1650/will-the-second-amendment-to-the-united-states-constitution-be-amended-or-repealed-before-2025/	0
1490	When will the English Wikipedia have 10 million articles?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3623/when-will-the-english-wikipedia-have-10-million-articles/	0
1491	Will Apollo 10's Lunar Module be recovered by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2762/will-apollo-10s-lunar-module-be-recovered-by-2050/	0
1492	When will human beings finally drill into the Earth’s mantle?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/675/when-we-human-beings-finally-drill-into-the-earths-mantle/	0
1493	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on One Billion Word be on 2022-01-14, in perplexity?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6154/sota-one-billion-words-2022-01-14/	0
1494	On what day will Solar Cycle 25’s maximum occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4976/on-what-day-will-solar-cycle-25s-maximum-occur/	0
1495	Will VR or AR Headsets dominate by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/579/will-vr-or-ar-headsets-dominate-by-2025/	0
1496	When will the global annual mean surface air temperature moving average first exceed 1.3°C relative to the 1951-1980 base period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3743/when-will-the-global-annual-mean-surface-air-temperature-moving-average-first-exceed-13c-relative-to-the-1951-1980-base-period/	0
1497	Will Germany overtake the US in the share of new EV registrations by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5577/germany-to-overtake-us-in-ev-registrations/	0
1498	What year will the 2˚C climate threshold be crossed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1596/what-year-will-the-2c-climate-threshold-be-crossed/	0
1499	How many geoengineering international treaties will be listed on the World Legal Information Institute's database at the end of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3535/how-many-geoengineering-international-treaties-will-be-listed-on-the-world-legal-information-institutes-database-at-the-end-of-2024/	0
1500	Will the incarceration rate in the US drop below 500 per 100,000 by 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1534/will-the-incarceration-rate-in-the-us-drop-below-500-per-100000-by-2022/	0
1501	When will North Korea have a McDonald's?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2593/when-will-north-korea-have-a-mcdonalds/	0
1502	In which month will there first be 20,000 new papers submitted to the arXiv?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/952/in-which-month-will-there-first-be-20000-new-papers-submitted-to-the-arxiv/	0
1503	If Conservatives win the 2019 UK general election, what will be mean UK broadband download speeds 5 years later?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3341/if-conservatives-win-the-2019-uk-general-election-what-will-be-mean-uk-broadband-download-speeds-5-years-later/	0
1504	Will a von Neumann probe be launched before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1644/will-a-von-neumann-probe-be-launched-before-2050/	0
1505	When will the US-Canada border reopen?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7108/us-canada-border-to-reopen/	0
1506	What will the total capacity of large-scale carbon capture and storage (CCS) be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7081/carbon-capture-and-storage-potential-in-2030/	0
1507	What will be the best marathon time completed before 2035, in seconds, according to Guinness World Records?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4949/what-will-be-the-best-marathon-time-completed-before-2035-in-seconds-according-to-guinness-world-records/	0
1508	Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2773/will-nigel-farage-become-prime-minister-of-the-united-kingdom-before-2023/	0
1509	How much solar energy will be consumed globally, in terawatt-hours, in the calendar year 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3653/how-much-solar-energy-will-be-consumed-globally-in-terawatt-hours-in-the-calendar-year-2023/	0
1510	When will the U.S. lift its Presidential Proclamation restricting travel from the U.K.?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7443/when-will-the-us-allow-travel-from-the-uk/	0
1511	Which image classification benchmark will be most popular in the calendar year 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5492/most-popular-img-classification-benchmark-22/	0
1512	When will the Flamanville EPR be finished?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2589/when-will-the-flamanville-epr-be-finished/	0
1513	Will photonic tensor cores be ubiquitous in machine learning by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4872/will-photonic-tensor-cores-be-ubiquitous-in-machine-learning-by-2030/	0
1514	Will MIRI employ researchers in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6663/will-miri-employ-researchers-in-2030/	0
1515	In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to long term future charities?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6978/ea-survey-2025-donations-to-long-term-future/	0
1516	How many migrants will die in 2022 trying to cross the Mediterranean?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6891/migrant-deaths-in-the-mediterranean-in-2022/	0
1517	Will we find life on Mars by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6632/will-we-find-life-on-mars/	0
1518	How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv from 2021 through 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5899/ai-safety--other-2021-through-2026/	0
1519	Will Roger Federer win another Grand Slam title?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3071/will-roger-federer-win-another-grand-slam-title/	0
1520	When will the first manned spacecraft touch the surface of any planet, dwarf planet, or moon other than Earth, Earth's moon, or Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1619/when-will-the-first-manned-spacecraft-touch-the-surface-of-any-planet-dwarf-planet-or-moon-other-than-earth-earths-moon-or-mars/	0
1521	What will be the cost of carbon storage sold by Charm Industrial in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4861/what-will-be-the-cost-of-carbon-storage-sold-by-charm-industrial-in-2030/	0
1522	Will the world population increase every year for the next decade?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/124/will-the-world-population-increase-every-year-for-the-next-decade/	0
1523	What Portion of Official Currency Reserve (COFER) will be US dollars in Q4 of 2031 according to the IMF?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7242/usd--of-cofer-q42021/	0
1524	Will the world still have nuclear weapons through 2075?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1477/will-the-world-still-have-nuclear-weapons-through-2075/	0
1525	When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6728/ai-wins-imo-gold-medal/	0
1526	When will L5 autonomous vehicles be commercially available?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3729/when-will-l5-autonomous-vehicles-be-commercially-available/	0
1527	By January 14 2022, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaFLOPS-days), used in training in an AI experiment?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6148/maximum-compute-in-ai-experiment-2022-01-14/	0
1528	How much exercise can you do before it starts to take more time than it adds life?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4265/how-much-exercise-can-you-do-before-it-starts-to-take-more-time-than-it-adds-life/	0
1529	What will unemployment be in the US in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4032/what-will-unemployment-be-in-the-us-in-2021/	0
1530	How many patients will be in cryonic suspension at the Cryonics Institute in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3478/how-many-patients-will-be-in-cryonic-suspension-at-the-cryonics-institute-in-2030/	0
1531	Will Psilocybin be removed from Schedule I List before 2036?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5459/psilocybin-not-schedule-i--2036/	0
1532	When will the US national debt reach $50 trillion?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4364/when-will-the-us-national-debt-reach-50-trillion/	0
1533	Before 2025, will an asteroid or comet estimated to be at least 50 meters in diameter be detected to be due to collide with Earth before 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1645/before-2025-will-an-asteroid-or-comet-estimated-to-be-at-least-50-meters-in-diameter-be-detected-to-be-due-to-collide-with-earth-before-2100/	0
1534	How many State of AI Report 2020 predictions will be judged true by their authors in the 2021 report?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5353/correct-state-of-ai-report-2020-predictions/	0
1535	How many DC charging stations will Orlando, FL have by the end 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5828/dc-charging-stations-in-orlando-fl-in-2021/	0
1536	Will the Extremely Large Telescope see first light by the end of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1478/will-the-extremely-large-telescope-see-first-light-by-the-end-of-2024/	0
1537	Will Germany make use of its Emergency Acts in light of COVID-19?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3863/will-germany-make-use-of-its-emergency-acts-in-light-of-covid-19/	0
1538	Will Mohammed bin Salman become the next king of Saudi Arabia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1603/will-mohammed-bin-salman-become-the-next-king-of-saudi-arabia/	0
1539	When will the the main tomb chamber of the mausoleum of Qin Shi Hua be opened?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6048/tomb-of-the-first-qin-emperor-opened/	0
1540	What will be the estimated population of blue whales on 2050-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6613/population-of-blue-whales-in-2050/	0
1541	When will FromSoftware release Elden Ring?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6013/elden-ring-release/	0
1542	How many Computer and Information Research Scientists will there be in the United states in January 1 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6575/number-of-us-computer-scientists-2030/	0
1543	How many parameters will GPT-4 have (if it is released), in billions of parameters?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4852/how-many-parameters-will-gpt-4-have-if-it-is-released-in-billions-of-parameters/	0
1544	How many species of pangolin will survive to 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5576/current-species-of-pangolin-remaining-in-2050/	0
1545	Will any top 10 meat global processors/producers go bankrupt by 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7054/global-meat-producers-to-go-bankrupt-by-2028/	0
1546	Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated by start of 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3150/will-no-non-test-nuclear-weapons-be-detonated-by-start-of-2035/	0
1547	Will the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in the European Union exceed that for the United States in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6642/2021-eus-covid-19-deaths-to-exceed-uss/	0
1548	What will the upper limit in the IPCC's ‘likely’ range of its climate sensitivity estimate be, in its 7th Assessment Report?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3233/what-will-the-upper-limit-in-the-ipccs-likely-range-of-its-climate-sensitivity-estimate-be-in-its-7th-assessment-report/	0
1549	How many e-prints on AI Safety, interpretability or explainability will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2031-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6586/ai-safety-e-prints-2021-02-14-2031-02-14/	0
1550	What will USA's GDP/c growth rate be in 2020-2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6320/usas-gdpc-growth-in-2020-2029/	0
1551	How many electric vehicles will Tesla produce (units delivered) in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5582/total-tesla-sales-in-2021/	0
1552	Pandemic series: a significant flu pandemic by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/240/pandemic-series-a-significant-flu-pandemic-by-2025/	0
1553	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7400/us-durable-goods-orders-september-2021/	0
1554	What will be the maximum number of COVID-19 cases reported in a single day in the United States before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5659/max-number-of-us-daily-covid-19-cases/	0
1555	What will be the largest CME during Solar Cycle 25 (in kinetic energy)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5045/what-will-be-the-largest-cme-during-solar-cycle-25-in-kinetic-energy/	0
1556	Will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1688/will-russia-invade-or-annex-all-or-part-of-belarus-before-2022/	0
1557	By 1 January 2067, medical interventions for healthy adults will have been shown to extend average lifespan by at least 25 years	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4429/by-1-january-2067-medical-interventions-for-healthy-adults-will-have-been-shown-to-extend-average-lifespan-by-at-least-25-years/	0
1558	When will the first baby be born away from Earth?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4954/when-will-the-first-baby-be-born-away-from-earth/	0
1559	When will PHP die?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1691/when-will-php-die/	0
1560	Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/590/state-of-democracy-in-2100/	0
1561	What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be on 2022-01-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6184/sota-on-squad20-2022-01-14/	0
1562	By the end of 2029, will the European Union require commercially farmed fish to be stunned before being slaughtered?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3371/by-the-end-of-2029-will-the-european-union-require-commercially-farmed-fish-to-be-stunned-before-being-slaughtered/	0
1563	Balloons to the edge of space – when?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/441/balloons-to-the-edge-of-space--when/	0
1564	Are we on path for IPCC's 'middle-of-the-road' scenario for the deployment of renewables?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3665/are-we-on-path-for-ipccs-middle-of-the-road-scenario-for-the-deployment-of-renewables/	0
1565	What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection  Performance Index be on 2022-01-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6231/object-detection-index-2022-01-14/	0
1566	Will 100 gigagrams of sulphur be injected into the atmosphere, as part of a single geoengineering effort, by the end of 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3429/will-100-gigagrams-of-sulphur-be-injected-into-the-atmosphere-as-part-of-a-single-geoengineering-effort-by-the-end-of-2023/	0
1567	When will the first zetta-FLOPS performer appear?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6788/when-will-the-first-zflop-performer-appear/	0
1568	Will Kyle Rittenhouse be convicted of first-degree intentional homicide?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5158/will-kyle-rittenhouse-be-convicted-of-first-degree-intentional-homicide/	0
1569	When will Winifred Wagner's correspondence with Adolph Hitler be published?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5425/release-date-of-wagners-letters-with-hitler/	0
1570	Will chess be "weakly solved" by 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/574/will-chess-be-weakly-solved-by-2035/	0
1571	Will the number of people in extreme poverty in 2020 be lower than the number in 2015?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3484/will-the-number-of-people-in-extreme-poverty-in-2020-be-lower-than-the-number-in-2015/	0
1572	50% Carbon-neutral electricity by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/273/50-carbon-neutral-electricity-by-2025/	0
1573	Will Free Greens gain any seats in the next Danish general election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5217/frie-gr%25C3%25B8nnes-seats-in-the-danish-parliament/	0
1574	How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6246/nlp-e-prints-2021-01-14-to-2022-01-14/	0
1575	How will Joe Biden rank among presidents?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5657/how-will-joe-biden-rank-among-presidents/	0
1576	What will the mass of the next fundamental particle to be discovered be, in eV?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4794/what-will-the-mass-of-the-next-fundamental-particle-to-be-discovered-be-in-ev/	0
1577	What will the U.S. market for plant-based meat be worth in the year ending in April 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3095/what-will-the-us-market-for-plant-based-meat-be-worth-in-the-year-ending-in-april-2028/	0
1578	What will the % change of sexually transmitted infections diagnoses in England from 2019 to 2020 be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6308/change-in-stis-from-2019-to-2020-in-england/	0
1579	What will be the US MSRP of lowest priced Tesla in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7002/lowest-us-msrp-of-2030-tesla/	0
1580	Will most protons that currently make up Earth (and you) eventually decay?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1535/will-most-protons-that-currently-make-up-earth-and-you-eventually-decay/	0
1581	Will reducing wild animal suffering be a mainstream moral issue in America before 2200?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3777/will-reducing-wild-animal-suffering-be-a-mainstream-moral-issue-in-america-before-2200/	0
1582	What will be the monthly average number of sunspots around Solar Cycle 25’s maximum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4970/what-will-be-the-monthly-average-number-of-sunspots-around-solar-cycle-25s-maximum/	0
1583	When will there be at least one billion Americans?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6119/when-will-there-be-at-least-1bn-americans/	0
1584	What will Alphabet Inc.'s market capitalisation be at market close on 2023-02-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6544/goog-market-cap-2023-02-14/	0
1585	When will the volume-weighted average battery for electric vehicles and stationary storage reach $100 per kilowatt hour?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3592/ev-battery-storage-costs/	0
1586	Will the Universe end?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/161/will-the-universe-end/	0
1587	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Public Sector WPI for Q1 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6931/aus-public-sector-wpi--change-for-q1-2021/	0
1588	Will OpenAI reach its profit cap for the first round of investors by 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4873/will-openai-reach-its-profit-cap-for-the-first-round-of-investors-by-2035/	0
1589	Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6615/alcor-to-go-bankrupt-before-reviving-people/	0
1590	When will a discernible, coordinated Bitcoin mining pool attain >=50% of the hashing power for 24-hours, before Sep 15 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3106/when-will-a-discernible-coordinated-bitcoin-mining-pool-attain-50-of-the-hashing-power-for-24-hours-before-sep-15-2025/	0
1591	What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6301/it-as--of-gdp-in-q3-2021/	0
1592	In December 2025, what will UK total national debt (excluding public sector banks) be as a percentage of GDP?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6628/uk-national-debt-as-a--of-gdp-dec-2025/	0
1593	What annual real return will the global stock market realize 2022-2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4585/what-annual-real-return-will-the-global-stock-market-realize-2022-2031/	0
1594	When will a currently unknown social media app reach one billion downloads worldwide?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3866/when-will-a-currently-unknown-social-media-app-reach-one-billion-downloads-worldwide/	0
1595	When will another state provide 50% of the number of public charging outlets available in California?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5573/us-state-race-in-public-charging-outlets/	0
1596	How much money will GiveWell move in 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6140/how-much-money-will-givewell-move-in-2031/	0
1597	Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4319/longbets-series-by-2040-will-the-percentage-of-college-aged-us-citizens-who-are-attending-postsecondary-educational-institutions-in-the-united-states-drop-at-least-50-from-the-level-in-2011/	0
1598	A major United States earthquake by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/570/a-major-united-states-earthquake-within-the-next-five-years/	0
1599	Will there be more people with HIV/AIDS in 2037 than in 2017?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2713/will-there-be-more-people-with-hivaids-in-2037-than-in-2017/	0
1600	What will the monthly unemployment rate for December 2021 be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6638/unemployment-rate-for-december-2021/	0
1601	When will >100 patients have had part of their tooth, tooth enamel, or root canal regenerated by stem cell therapy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3509/when-will-100-patients-have-had-part-of-their-tooth-tooth-enamel-or-root-canal-regenerated-by-stem-cell-therapy/	0
1602	What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will be based in the United States in the November 2022 publication of TOP500 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6514/percentage-in-us-in-top500-2023/	0
1603	When will there be machine-kindergartner parity in LEGO construction?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/404/how-long-until-machine-kindergartner-parity-in-lego-construction/	0
1604	When will a DUI be overruled or turned down due to riding a driverless car?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2576/when-will-a-dui-be-overruled-or-turned-down-due-to-riding-a-driverless-car/	0
1605	If the federal minimum wage is $10 or less at the end of 2024, what will the average employment-to-population ratio be in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6547/minimum-wage-impact-on-employment-0-10/	0
1606	How much wind energy will be consumed globally, in terawatt-hours, in the calendar year 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3652/how-much-wind-energy-will-be-consumed-globally-in-terawatt-hours-in-the-calendar-year-2023/	0
1607	Will 2048-bit RSA be broken before 256-bit ECC?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/803/will-2048-bit-rsa-be-broken-before-256-bit-ecc/	0
1608	How many billions of broiler-type chicks will hatch in the U.S., on average per year, over the 2028 to 2030 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3324/how-many-billions-of-broiler-type-chicks-will-hatch-in-the-us-on-average-per-year-over-the-2028-to-2030-period/	0
1609	Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3795/will-longevity-escape-velocity-follow-the-development-of-effective-life-extending-therapies/	0
1610	Will there be a Vegan Country by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/614/will-there-be-a-vegan-country-by-2100/	0
1611	How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is greater than $20 per kg?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3153/how-many-commercial-cattle-in-millions-will-be-slaughtered-in-the-us-in-2032-if-the-lowest-retail-price-of-clean-meat-in-2026-is-greater-than-20-per-kg/	0
1612	What will the community median's Brier score (at closing time) be when the Metaculus has 300 predictors per question?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5729/m-community-brier-when-300-predictors-per-q/	0
1613	What will be the EU's GDP at the end of 2025 in trillions of dollars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7011/eu-gdp-in-2025/	0
1614	What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2024-12-14 in top-1 accuracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5946/sota-on-imagenet-on-2024-06-14/	0
1615	What will Alphabet Inc.'s market capitalisation be at market close on 2026-12-14 in 2020 USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5955/alphabet-incs-market-cap-on-2026-12-14/	0
1616	What will the state-of-the-art object detection performance on COCO be, on 2023-02-14 in box average precision (box AP) amongst all models?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6566/sota-on-ms-coco-2023-02-14/	0
1617	Do the Others ever reach King's Landing? (According to A Song of Ice and Fire – the books, not the show)	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/624/do-the-others-ever-reach-kings-landing/	0
1618	Will Gladys Berejiklian cease to be Premier of NSW before the next state election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5883/gladys-berejiklians-premiership/	0
1619	When will the first exaflop performer appear?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/415/when-will-the-first-exaflop-performer-appear/	0
1620	Will big ISPs bundle website access in the post-net neutrality age?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1003/will-big-isps-bundle-website-access-in-the-post-net-neutrality-age/	0
1621	Will our current peace be shorter than the Pax Romana?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/610/will-our-current-peace-be-shorter-than-the-pax-romana/	0
1622	When will we get the last communication from Voyager 1?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/943/when-will-we-get-the-last-communication-from-voyager-1/	0
1623	What fraction of United States adults will be vaccinated against the 2020—2021 seasonal influenza?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3992/what-fraction-of-united-states-adults-will-be-vaccinated-against-the-20202021-seasonal-influenza/	0
1624	Will humanity use a gene drive to wipe at least one species of mosquito off the face of the Earth by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1044/will-humanity-use-a-gene-drive-to-wipe-at-least-one-species-of-mosquito-off-the-face-of-the-earth-by-2100/	0
1625	Will the PlayStation 5 sell more units than the Nintendo Switch in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6776/will-ps5-outsell-nintendo-switch-in-2021/	0
1626	When will the first humans land successfully on Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3515/when-will-the-first-humans-land-successfully-on-mars/	0
1627	When will the 2020 PhilPapers Survey results be publicly available?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6536/2020-philpapers-survey-results-date/	0
1628	Will Restaurant Brands International cease sourcing pork in North America from suppliers that use gestation stalls by Jan 1, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6018/burger-king-to-cease-using-gestation-stalls/	0
1629	A freer China? Chinese political rights and civil liberties in 2028	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1454/a-freer-china-chinese-political-rights-and-civil-liberties-in-2028/	0
1630	When will 1bn people have been vaccinated with any vaccine candidate(s) that have demonstrated an efficacy rate >60% in a n>500 RCT?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5934/1bn-people-vaccinated-against-covid-19/	0
1631	Will General Electric (GE) file for chapter 7 or chapter 11 bankruptcy before Sep 18th of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3109/will-general-electric-ge-file-for-chapter-7-or-chapter-11-bankruptcy-before-sep-18th-of-2024/	0
1632	Will DNA testing vindicate Jeanne Calment as the oldest recorded person in history?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3393/will-dna-testing-vindicate-jeanne-calment-as-the-oldest-recorded-person-in-history/	0
1633	Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2577/will-scotland-leave-the-united-kingdom-before-2025/	0
1634	When will the world have reached peak Facebook?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1632/when-will-the-world-have-reached-peak-facebook/	0
1635	Will ANY of the top 10 most popular baby names in the U.S. (as of 2018) still be in the top 10 in 2048?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1060/will-any-of-the-top-10-most-popular-baby-names-in-the-us-as-of-2018-still-be-in-the-top-10-in-2048/	0
1636	When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6448/two-states-ban-human-driven-vehicles/	0
1637	When will Vladimir Putin leave power in Russia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/954/when-will-vladimir-putin-leave-power-in-russia/	0
1638	What will be the capacity factor of US nuclear energy by 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6146/us-capacity-factor-for-nuclear-energy-2022/	0
1639	What will the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU be, on February 14, 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6518/top-price-performance-in-g3d-mark--of-gpu/	0
1640	Drake's Equation 3rd parameter n_e: What is the average number of habitable planets per star?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1339/drakes-equation-3rd-parameter-n_e/	0
1641	Will there be a 50% decline in global meat production by 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7314/50by40-meat-production-goal-achieved/	0
1642	Will the EU phase out high-concentration CO2 stunning or killing of pigs by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6456/ban-on-gassing-eu-pigs-by-2024/	0
1643	Will a Science Fiction work originally written and published in Spanish by 2029 win any of the great international awards that recognize great authors in this genre?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4849/will-a-science-fiction-work-originally-written-and-published-in-spanish-by-2029-win-any-of-the-great-international-awards-that-recognize-great-authors-in-this-genre/	0
1644	Longbets series: By 2025 will the scientific evidence of a large bi-pedal great ape be sufficient to convince at least 50% of primatologists that a yeti/bigfoot-like creature exists?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3647/longbets-series-by-2025-will-the-scientific-evidence-of-a-large-bi-pedal-great-ape-be-sufficient-to-convince-at-least-50-of-primatologists-that-a-yetibigfoot-like-creature-exists/	0
1645	When will Xi Jinping leave power in China?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/955/when-will-xi-jinping-leave-power-in-china/	0
1646	Drake's Equation 1st Parameter R∗: What is the average rate of formation of suitable stars (stars/year) in our galaxy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1337/drakes-equation-1st-parameter-r/	0
1647	When will a performer win a 4th Oscar for Acting?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6982/date-next-performer-wins-4th-oscar/	0
1648	Will the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints allow same-sex marriage by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4924/will-the-church-of-jesus-christ-of-latter-day-saints-allow-same-sex-marriage-by-2030/	0
1649	What will the Federal Reserves' Industrial Production Index be for November 2021, for semiconductors, printed circuit boards and related products?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6249/november-2021-production-of-semiconductors/	0
1650	What percentage of top colleges in the United States will not require the SAT or ACT for freshman admittance by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4507/what-percentage-of-top-colleges-in-the-united-states-will-not-require-the-sat-or-act-for-freshman-admittance-by-2030/	0
1651	Will China launch an "artificial moon" by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1529/will-china-launch-an-artificial-moon-by-2025/	0
1652	When will Varda successfully manufacture and sell its first product from space?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6414/when-will-varda-sell-first-space-made-item/	0
1653	Will Fluvoxamine receive authorization for treatment of Covid by the United States FDA before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6158/fluvoxamine-to-get-eua-for-covid-in-us/	0
1654	What will total oil demand globally be in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6143/total-oil-demand-in-2021/	0
1655	When will Skyroot Aerospace successfully launch their first satellite into space?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6689/skyroot-aerospace-successful-satellite-launch/	0
1656	Will none of Trump's immediate family be indicted in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6291/trump-family-indictments-in-2021/	0
1657	How many new electric vehicles will be registered worldwide, in the calendar year 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3542/how-many-new-electric-vehicles-will-be-registered-worldwide-in-the-calendar-year-2023/	0
1658	Will there be another VEI level six (or higher) volcanic eruption on Earth before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2518/will-there-be-another-vei-level-six-or-higher-volcanic-eruption-on-earth-before-2025/	0
1659	When will a song have been streamed 4 billion times on Spotify?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6373/date-song-first-streamed-4b-times-on-spotify/	0
1660	Will a geoengineering act of Congress become US federal law by the end of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3528/will-a-geoengineering-act-of-congress-become-us-federal-law-by-the-end-of-2024/	0
1661	How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6126/quality-of-visual-cortex-implants-in-2030/	0
1662	What will be the 5-day moving average of the 10.7 cm radio flux around Solar Cycle 25’s maximum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4981/what-will-be-the-5-day-moving-average-of-the-107-cm-radio-flux-around-solar-cycle-25s-maximum/	0
1663	Will the US per capita productivity rate of science Nobel Prizes fall below that of Germany by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1554/will-the-us-per-capita-productivity-rate-of-science-nobel-prizes-fall-below-that-of-germany-by-2025/	0
1664	When will the Open Philanthropy Project have donated a total of $7 billion of Good Ventures money?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4506/when-will-the-open-philanthropy-project-have-donated-a-total-of-7-billion-of-good-ventures-money/	0
1665	For the calendar year 2021, will peak monthly US unemployment occur within Q1?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5995/will-us-peak-unemployment-in-2021-be-in-q1/	0
1666	Is the Zuma satellite still in orbit?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1618/is-the-zuma-satellite-still-in-orbit/	0
1667	Will the Russian government introduce a tax on childlessness prior to the 2024 presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5427/tax-on-childlessness-in-russia-before-2024/	0
1668	Will it once again be possible to travel between London and New York City by any commercially available means in under three hours by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1642/will-it-once-again-be-possible-to-travel-between-london-and-new-york-city-by-any-commercially-available-means-in-under-three-hours-by-2030/	0
1669	When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4880/computer-as-author-in-annals-of-mathematics/	0
1670	What will be the Gini coefficient for income in China in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6775/gini-coeff-for-china-2030/	0
1671	When will most eggs produced in the EU be sexed before hatching?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6457/when-will-most-eu-eggs-be-sexed/	0
1672	How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6527/rl-e-prints-2021-02-14-to-2023-02-14/	0
1673	When will the first Artificial General Intelligence system be devised, tested, and publicly known of?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/when-will-the-first-artificial-general-intelligence-system-be-devised-tested-and-publicly-known-of/	0
1674	Will North Korea launch another intercontinental ballistic missile before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5415/nk-launches-icbm-again-before-2022/	0
1675	When will the next man win his 10th tennis slam title?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6888/10-grand-slam-winner/	0
1676	When will the first genome-wide association study of more than 1 million African Americans be published?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4459/when-will-the-first-genome-wide-association-study-of-more-than-1-million-african-americans-be-published/	0
1677	Drake's Equation 6th parameter f_c: What fraction of planets with intelligent life are capable of interstellar communication?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1342/drakes-equation-6th-parameter-f_c/	0
1678	How many e-prints on multi-modal learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2031-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6576/multi-modal-e-prints-2021-02-14-to-2031-02-14/	0
1679	When will we have a new Pope?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4606/when-will-we-have-a-new-pope/	0
1680	If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4644/if-labour-wins-the-next-uk-general-election-what-will-the-england--wales-prison-population-rate-per-100000-people-be-5-years-later/	0
1681	Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2534/will-there-be-a-world-war-three-before-2050/	0
1682	When will the next human being walk on the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/649/when-will-the-next-human-being-walk-on-the-moon/	0
1683	Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4118/will-there-be-a-positive-transition-to-a-world-with-radically-smarter-than-human-artificial-intelligence/	0
1684	How many total unique visitors will download Debian package files from ROS.org in the year ending July 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3525/how-many-total-unique-visitors-will-download-debian-package-files-from-rosorg-in-the-year-ending-july-2021/	0
1685	Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1604/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-climate-disaster-occurs-by-2100-will-the-earths-human-population-decline-by-95-or-more/	0
1686	How many biological humans will be alive on the 31st of December 2300, conditional on there being more than 500M?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2954/how-many-biological-humans-will-be-alive-on-the-31st-of-december-2300-conditional-on-there-being-more-than-500m/	0
1687	Will we detect an exoplanet atmosphere with >5% oxygen atmosphere by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1568/will-we-detect-an-exoplanet-atmosphere-with-5-oxygen-atmosphere-by-2030/	0
1688	When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3086/when-will-a-restaurant-first-serve-clean-meat-products-containing-80-clean-meat-at-3-per-100-grams-or-cheaper/	0
1689	When will the milk of cows whose DNA is intentionally altered to be hornless be for sale in the United States?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3192/when-will-the-milk-of-cows-whose-dna-is-intentionally-altered-to-be-hornless-be-for-sale-in-the-united-states/	0
1690	Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4628/will-one-of-givewells-2019-top-charities-be-estimated-as-the-most-cost-effective-charity-in-2031/	0
1691	Will the U.S. get rid of the penny by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/685/will-the-us-get-rid-of-the-penny-by-2025/	0
1692	How many hours will the average American employee work per week in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3054/how-many-hours-will-the-average-american-employee-work-per-week-in-2030/	0
1693	Will we detect a message originating from Luyten's Star before 2046?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/606/luytens-star-message-detected-before-2046/	0
1694	When will a fusion reactor reach ignition?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3727/when-will-a-fusion-reactor-reach-ignition/	0
1695	When will the number of people in cryopreservation preserved before 2019 fall to less than 50% of the current value?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3333/when-will-the-number-of-people-in-cryopreservation-preserved-before-2019-fall-to-less-than-50-of-the-current-value/	0
1696	Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2611/will-synthetic-biological-weapons-infect-100-people-by-2030/	0
1697	Will a new amendment to the US Constitution be ratified by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3616/will-a-new-amendment-to-the-us-constitution-be-ratified-by-2050/	0
1698	How much will be estimated to have been invested by VCs in U.S.-based plant-based meat startups, in millions of USD, in the calendar year 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3138/how-much-will-be-estimated-to-have-been-invested-by-vcs-in-us-based-plant-based-meat-startups-in-millions-of-usd-in-the-calendar-year-2022/	0
1699	What will be the World's GDP at the end of 2025 in trillions of dollars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7007/gdp-of-the-world-for-2025/	0
1700	Who will win the 'worm wars'?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4919/who-will-win-the-worm-wars/	0
1701	Pandemic series: a new Spanish Flu?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/242/pandemic-series-a-new-spanish-flu/	0
1702	How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4332/how-much-will-givewell-guess-it-will-cost-to-get-an-outcome-as-good-as-saving-a-life-at-the-end-of-2031/	0
1703	Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by the end of 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2937/will-the-number-of-deaths-from-antibiotic-resistant-infections-per-year-double-by-the-end-of-2025/	0
1704	Will Blizzard announce new content for StarCraft as a response to advances in AI in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2606/ai-to-prompt-new-starcraft/	0
1705	Will Mike Pence be elected president of the United States in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/953/will-mike-pence-be-elected-president-of-the-united-states-in-2024/	0
1706	What will be the United States Government Spending to GDP for 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5588/us-government-spending-to-gdp-for-2024/	0
1707	When will AI out-perform humans on argument reasoning tasks?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4232/when-will-ai-out-perform-humans-on-argument-reasoning-tasks/	0
1708	Will the number of foreign nationals in Mainland China fall between 2010 and 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4229/will-the-number-of-foreign-nationals-in-mainland-china-fall-between-2010-and-2030/	0
1709	What % of money held in all US DAFs will be expropriated by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4584/what--of-money-held-in-all-us-dafs-will-be-expropriated-by-2100/	0
1710	What will the Federal Reserves' Industrial Production Index be for December 2022, for semiconductors, printed circuit boards and related products?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6542/december-2022-production-of-semiconductors/	0
1711	When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6592/when-will-a-country-reach-escape-velocity/	0
1712	What will be the average percentage change in property and casualty insurance premiums in Q1 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5994/-change-in-pc-insurance-premiums-q1-2022/	0
1713	If and when this graph is extended to 10^14 parameter models trained on 10^14 elapsed tokens of similar-quality data, will the 10^14 parameter learning curve have slowed down substantially?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6939/will-gpt-3-scaling-plateau-in--3-ooms/	0
1714	In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of donated dollars will go to charities that did not exist in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6109/ea-donations-to-new-charities-in-2025/	0
1715	What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be, at the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5558/squad20-perfomance-2022/	0
1716	What will the Federal Reserves' Industrial Production Index be for January 2030, for semiconductors, printed circuit boards and related products?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6304/us-semiconductor-fab-capacity-jan-2030/	0
1717	When will 4 year old Russian chess prodigy, Misha Osipov, reach master level?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1045/when-will-4-year-old-russian-chess-prodigy-misha-osipov-reach-master-level/	0
1718	What proportion of COVID infections in England will be estimated to have been acquired in health care settings?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6010/england-proportion-of-hospital-acquired-covid/	0
1719	How many subscribers will Netflix have by August 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/504/how-many-subscribers-will-netflix-have-by-2022/	0
1720	Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6049/time-person-of-the-year-is-us-president-elect/	0
1721	How many Starlink satellites will be in operation at the end of 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3078/how-many-starlink-satellites-will-be-in-operation-at-the-end-of-2027/	0
1722	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on WikiText-103 be at 2022-01-14 in perplexity?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6182/sota-wikitext-103-2022-01-14/	0
1723	Will a species extinct for > 1000 years be brought back by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/228/will-a-species-extinct-for--1000-years-be-brought-back-by-2025/	0
1724	Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1500/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-be-due-to-either-human-made-climate-change-or-geoengineering/	0
1725	How much money will ACE estimate to have influenced in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6027/money-moved-by-animal-charity-evaluators/	0
1726	Internationally recognized Kurdish state by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/566/internationally-recognized-kurdish-state-by-2030/	0
1727	When will the global adult literacy rate reach 95%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2943/when-will-the-global-adult-literacy-rate-reach-95/	0
1728	When will 1% of humanity's GWP be produced off-Earth?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5648/1-gwp-off-earth/	0
1729	Will China be the World's largest economy in any year before 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1579/will-china-be-the-worlds-largest-economy-in-any-year-before-2040/	0
1730	Do humans have functionally important neurogenesis throughout their life?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1515/do-humans-have-functionally-important-neurogenesis-throughout-their-life/	0
1731	Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/372/will-human-brain-emulation-be-the-first-successful-route-to-human-level-digital-intelligence/	0
1732	How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2027-01-01 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6300/reinforcement-learning-2021-01-14-2027-01-01/	0
1733	Will Extinction Rebellion, or a splinter group, be declared a terrorist organisation by a G7 country before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3118/will-extinction-rebellion-or-a-splinter-group-be-declared-a-terrorist-organisation-by-a-g7-country-before-2025/	0
1734	Will any prediction market cause users to lose at least $1M before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6047/1m-lost-in-prediction-market/	0
1735	How many nations will there be in the United Nations by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3619/how-many-nations-will-there-be-in-the-united-nations-by-2050/	0
1736	When will the first O'Neill cylinder variant be completed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6706/construction-date-of-first-oneill-cylinder/	0
1737	Will the world's richest person in 2033 have a net worth greater than that of John D. Rockefeller in 1913?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/899/will-the-worlds-richest-person-in-2033-have-a-net-worth-greater-than-that-of-john-d-rockefeller-in-1913/	0
1738	Will the IAU rework its definition of planetary status by Jan 1, 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3241/will-the-iau-rework-its-definition-of-planetary-status-by-jan-1-2025/	0
1739	What will the the sum of the level of performance (in exaFLOPS) of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be according to their June 2030 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6560/total-compute-top500-supercomputers-june-30/	0
1740	Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5166/chinese-uyghur-policy-support-by-2022/	0
1741	When will global IPv4 traffic account for less than 1% of total internet traffic?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4449/when-will-global-ipv4-traffic-account-for-less-than-1-of-total-internet-traffic/	0
1742	Will CD PROJEKT (WSE:CDR) reach its previous All Time High price of zł464.20 in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6442/cd-projekt-cdr-and-the-climb-to-z%25C5%258246420/	0
1743	Will the impact of the Effective Altruism movement be picked up by Google Trends in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1591/will-the-impact-of-the-effective-altruism-movement-be-picked-up-by-google-trends-in-2030/	0
1744	Will Antifa officially be labeled a terrorist group in the US before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4946/will-antifa-officially-be-labeled-a-terrorist-group-in-the-us-before-2022/	0
1745	What percentage of countries which pledge carbon neutrality by 2050 will keep their pledge?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5546/success-rate-for-national-carbon-neutrality/	0
1746	When will the United States admit a new state?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3618/when-will-the-united-states-admit-a-new-state/	0
1747	Assuming that the Green Party joins the federal government following the German federal elections on September 26th, 2021, what will be German per capita CO2 emissions in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6652/co2-emissions-in-germany-in-2025-greens/	0
1748	When will the seasonally adjusted atmospheric concentration of C02 be lower than the same time in the previous year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4225/when-will-the-seasonally-adjusted-atmospheric-concentration-of-c02-be-lower-than-the-same-time-in-the-previous-year/	0
1749	What will the maximum increase in global annual mean surface air temperature be, relative to the 1951-1980 base period, in the 2020 to 2023 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3701/what-will-the-maximum-increase-in-global-annual-mean-surface-air-temperature-be-relative-to-the-1951-1980-base-period-in-the-2020-to-2023-period/	0
1750	Will the global atmospheric CO₂ concentration be in line with the pathway to limit warming to 2.0°C by mid-century, over the 2024 to 2027 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3742/will-the-global-atmospheric-co%25E2%2582%2582-concentration-be-in-line-with-the-pathway-to-limit-warming-to-20c-by-mid-century-over-the-2024-to-2027-period/	0
1751	When will at least 750 companies pledge to maintain a supply chain consistent with the current basic Global Animal Partnership standards for broiler chickens by end of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3380/when-will-at-least-750-companies-pledge-to-maintain-a-supply-chain-consistent-with-the-current-basic-global-animal-partnership-standards-for-broiler-chickens-by-end-of-2030/	0
1752	Will a recession cause "suicides by the thousands"?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3912/will-a-recession-cause-suicides-by-the-thousands/	0
1753	Will a language model with at least 100B parameters trained to do external information retrieval exist before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4876/will-a-language-model-with-at-least-100b-parameters-trained-to-do-external-information-retrieval-exist-before-2023/	0
1754	Is non-theism (atheists and agnostics) growing globally?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1552/is-non-theism-atheists-and-agnostics-growing-globally/	0
1755	Will China's internment camps for Uyghurs remain open on 2022-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6810/uyghur-internment-camps-open-by-2022/	0
1756	Will China reach its NEV credit targets of 14% by 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5574/china-to-reach-nev-14-credit-in-2021/	0
1757	Will Stephen Wolfram or his co-authors, Jonathan Gorard and Max Piskunov, receive the Nobel prize in physics before the end of 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4224/will-stephen-wolfram-or-his-co-authors-jonathan-gorard-and-max-piskunov-receive-the-nobel-prize-in-physics-before-the-end-of-2035/	0
1758	What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection  Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6252/object-detection-index-2026-12-14/	0
1759	What will the total deal value be of all the US PE deals in billions of US$, in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7196/total-us-private-equity-deals-2022/	0
1760	What proportion of the 20 largest Chinese corporations' revenue will be state-owned in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5110/what-proportion-of-the-20-largest-chinese-corporations-revenue-will-be-state-owned-in-2035/	0
1761	If Joe Biden becomes president, what will be the yearly CO2 emissions per capita in the US in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3806/if-joe-biden-becomes-president-what-will-be-the-yearly-co2-emissions-per-capita-in-the-us-in-2024/	0
1762	When will zettascale computing be achieved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6353/zettascale-computing-when/	0
1763	When will Waymo self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5306/widely-available-waymo-self-driving-taxi/	0
1764	Will Moon Express have a successful harvest by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/945/will-moon-express-have-a-successful-harvest-by-2023/	0
1765	When will Haiti become an upper middle-income country?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2617/when-will-haiti-become-an-upper-middle-income-country/	0
1766	When will the first human baby from stem cell-derived gametes be born?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3034/when-will-the-first-human-baby-from-stem-cell-derived-gametes-be-born/	0
1767	When will the student loan debt bubble "pop"?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1085/when-will-the-student-loan-debt-bubble-pop/	0
1768	How many nuclear weapons will exist on 2075-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6077/number-of-nuclear-weapons-2075/	0
1769	Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1501/gc-to-be-caused-by-nanotech-if-it-occurs/	0
1770	How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4230/how-many-countries-will-at-least-in-some-form-decriminalize-possession-of-all-schedule-i-drugs-for-personal-use-by-2070/	0
1771	What will be the monthly average of sunspots around Solar Cycle 25’s minimum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5043/what-will-be-the-monthly-average-of-sunspots-around-solar-cycle-25s-minimum/	0
1772	What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2030-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6577/it--comms-sector-weighting-2030-01-01/	0
1773	When will Uber electrify 50% of its fleet?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5537/uber-at-50-electric/	0
1774	When will US domestic passenger air travel return to 80% of pre-COVID-19 volumes?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4719/when-will-us-domestic-passenger-air-travel-return-to-80-of-pre-covid-19-volumes/	0
1775	When will the US pass 1 million cumulative COVID deaths?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6501/when-will-us-pass-1-million-covid-deaths/	0
1776	Assuming some humans are alive, what will be the birthdate of the oldest living human on January 1st 2200?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4110/assuming-some-humans-are-alive-what-will-be-the-birthdate-of-the-oldest-living-human-on-january-1st-2200/	0
1777	When will Solar Cycle 25 begin?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5042/when-will-solar-cycle-25-begin/	0
1778	By how much will carbon dioxide emissions change from ground transportation globally between 2020 and 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5680/co2-emission-change-from-transport-2020-25/	0
1779	By 2023, will there be evidence for a neurological correlate of human consciousness?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1459/by-2023-will-there-be-evidence-for-a-neurological-correlate-of-human-consciousness/	0
1780	Will Ray Kurzweil be proven right?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1321/will-ray-kurzweil-be-proven-right/	0
1781	Increased off-world population in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/594/off-world-population-in-2050/	0
1782	What will the maximum z-score be for Greece for observed deaths in 2020-2021 according to Euromomo?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5639/max-excess-death-score-for-greece-2020-2021/	0
1783	When will a major U.S. supermarket sell “no-kill eggs” in at least 25 states?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3335/when-will-a-major-us-supermarket-sell-no-kill-eggs-in-at-least-25-states/	0
1784	When will there be at least 5 billion internet users?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2604/when-will-there-be-at-least-5-billion-internet-users/	0
1785	Will Chinese official real GDP numbers be revised downward by at least 5% before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2670/will-chinese-official-real-gdp-numbers-be-revised-downward-by-at-least-5-before-2023/	0
1786	What will be the mean expected lifespan gain from one year of the TRIIM-X trial, as measured by the epigenetic clock GrimAge?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4231/what-will-be-the-mean-expected-lifespan-gain-from-one-year-of-the-triim-x-trial-as-measured-by-the-epigenetic-clock-grimage/	0
1787	If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2812/if-a-whole-human-brain-is-successfully-emulated-by-2100-what-is-the-maximum-number-of-humans-that-will-be-uploaded-in-any-5-year-period/	0
1788	When will evidence of successful synthesis of the element ununennium be published?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4846/when-will-evidence-of-successful-synthesis-of-the-element-ununennium-be-published/	0
1789	Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6507/discovery-of-gravitational-wave-background/	0
1790	Any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1002/any-progress-in-human-lifespan-enhancement-by-2100/	0
1791	Pandemic series: a significant bioterror attack by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/254/pandemic-series-a-significant-bioterror-attack-by-2020/	0
1792	What will be the cost of carbon storage sold by CarbonCure in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4859/what-will-be-the-cost-of-carbon-storage-sold-by-carboncure-in-2030/	0
1793	Will Elon Musk's Tesla Roadster be visited by a spacecraft before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6476/musks-roadster-visited-by-2050/	0
1794	When will virtual reality headset sales exceed 10 million units per year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4845/when-will-virtual-reality-headset-sales-exceed-10-million-units-per-year/	0
1795	What percentage of U.S. adults will self-report to follow a vegan diet in 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3388/what-percentage-of-us-adults-will-self-report-to-follow-a-vegan-diet-in-2028/	0
1796	What will US house prices be at the end of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5867/real-us-house-prices-in-2030/	0
1797	Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/420/will-kic-9832227-become-a-nova-by-2023/	0
1798	Will Tucker Carlson be the Republican Presidential nominee in 2024 US presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5062/will-tucker-carlson-be-the-republican-presidential-nominee-in-2024-us-presidential-election/	0
1799	How many deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections in the US in the year 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2942/how-many-deaths-from-antibiotic-resistant-infections-in-the-us-in-the-year-2035/	0
1800	Will Tom Brady retire when his current contract is up?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3026/will-tom-brady-retire-when-his-current-contract-is-up/	0
1801	What will be the cost of negative emissions sold by Climeworks in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4857/what-will-be-the-cost-of-negative-emissions-sold-by-climeworks-in-2030/	0
1802	Does the extrasolar planet K2-18b host life?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3111/does-the-extrasolar-planet-k2-18b-host-life/	0
1803	By January 1st 2031, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaFLOPS-days), used in training in an AI experiment?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6192/maximum-compute-in-ai-experiment-2031-01-01/	0
1804	What will be the population of Próspera in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7110/pr%25C3%25B3spera-population-in-2035/	0
1805	The Top500's total sum in 2030 as a multiple of the total sum in 2015	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1600/the-top500s-total-sum-in-2030-as-a-multiple-of-the-total-sum-in-2015/	0
1806	Will the current European Commission propose a European Union directive or regulation banning all types of caged-housing for egg-laying hens before the end of its term on 31st October 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5431/will-the-eu-announce-by-2024-going-cage-free/	0
1807	Will the Eurozone collapse before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5039/will-the-eurozone-collapse-before-2030/	0
1808	When (if ever) will a Manhattan/Apollo project toward AGI be launched?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4850/when-if-ever-will-a-manhattanapollo-project-toward-agi-be-launched/	0
1809	Will an ocean be fertilised with at least 50 tonnes of iron, as part of a single geoengineering effort, by the end of 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3433/will-an-ocean-be-fertilised-with-at-least-50-tonnes-of-iron-as-part-of-a-single-geoengineering-effort-by-the-end-of-2023/	0
1810	When will directly removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere be economically feasible?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4614/when-will-directly-removing-carbon-dioxide-from-the-atmosphere-be-economically-feasible/	0
1811	When will the first whole human brain be successfully emulated?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2813/when-will-the-first-whole-human-brain-be-successfully-emulated/	0
1812	When will the first driverless cargo truck make a cross-USA trip?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/413/when-will-the-first-driverless-cargo-truck-make-a-cross-usa-trip/	0
1813	Will three or more United Nations Security Council resolutions be vetoed in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5409/un-security-council-vetoes-2021/	0
1814	When will multi-modal ML out-perform uni-modal ML?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4235/when-will-multi-modal-ml-out-perform-uni-modal-ml/	0
1815	When will the first cloned human be born?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1537/when-will-the-first-cloned-human-be-born/	0
1816	Does P = NP? Informally: If the solution to a problem is easy to check for correctness, must the problem be easy to solve?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1408/does-p--np-informally-if-the-solution-to-a-problem-is-easy-to-check-for-correctness-must-the-problem-be-easy-to-solve/	0
1817	If alien life is discovered in the Solar System before 2050, which place will be the natural environment of the first extraterrestrial (Solar) life-form of which there is conclusive evidence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/593/if-alien-life-is-discovered-in-the-solar-system-before-2050-which-place-will-be-the-natural-environment-of-the-first-extraterrestrial-solar-life-form-of-which-there-is-conclusive-evidence/	0
1818	Will our global atmospheric CO₂ concentration over the 2024 to 2027 period be on path to limit warming to 1.4°C by mid-century?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3410/will-our-global-atmospheric-co%25E2%2582%2582-concentration-over-the-2024-to-2027-period-be-on-path-to-limit-warming-to-14c-by-mid-century/	0
1819	How many billions of tons of CO₂ will the United States emit in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4951/how-many-billions-of-tons-of-co%25E2%2582%2582-will-the-united-states-emit-in-2035/	0
1820	Will the CDC adopt a Health at Every Size approach towards addressing obesity before 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5265/cdc-to-adopt-haes-by-2035/	0
1821	Will an AI system do credibly well on a full math SAT exam by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/512/will-an-ai-system-do-credibly-well-on-a-full-math-sat-exam-by-2025/	0
1822	Will the US conduct a nuclear test explosion before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4524/will-the-us-conduct-a-nuclear-test-explosion-before-2030/	0
1823	Will Amazon accept Bitcoin before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6597/bitcoin-as-payment-method-accepted-by-amazon/	0
1824	When will the first commercial Hyperloop system begin operations?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4519/when-will-the-first-commercial-hyperloop-system-begin-operations/	0
1825	When will AI achieve competency on multi-choice questions across diverse fields of expertise?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5276/ai-competence-in-diverse-fields-of-expertise/	0
1826	Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/211/stage-3-trials-of-mdma-as-a-medical-treatment/	0
1827	Will Tesla become the largest car company in the world (by sales) prior to 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/980/will-tesla-become-the-largest-car-company-in-the-world-by-sales-prior-to-2035/	0
1828	What will the state-of-the-art object detection performance on COCO be, at 2022-01-14 in box average precision (box AP)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6440/sota-object-detection-on-ms-coco-2022-01-14/	0
1829	How much will the US federal government spend on protecting the environment in 2024 (in billions)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6068/us-federal-budget-for-environment-in-2024/	0
1830	What fraction of England’s population will live in London at the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5301/a-city-exodus/	0
1831	Will someone report to have received a hemispherectomy for the purpose of life extension before 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4969/will-someone-report-to-have-received-a-hemispherectomy-for-the-purpose-of-life-extension-before-2100/	0
1832	If the James Webb Space Telescope is launched, will it succeed in transmitting cosmological data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1669/if-the-james-webb-space-telescope-is-launched-will-it-succeed-in-transmitting-cosmological-data/	0
1833	When will the UK hold its next general election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6368/next-uk-general-election/	0
1834	When will the average survival rate of all cancers exceed 75%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1654/when-will-the-average-survival-rate-of-all-cancers-exceed-75/	0
1835	Ragnarök Question Series: By 2100 will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1493/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-by-2100-will-the-human-population-decrease-by-at-least-10-during-any-period-of-5-years/	0
1836	What will be the 3-day mean geomagnetic forecast around Solar Cycle 25’s maximum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4975/what-will-be-the-3-day-mean-geomagnetic-forecast-around-solar-cycle-25s-maximum/	0
1837	Will Charity Entrepreneurship launch a charity fortifying feed for hens as part of its 2021 incubation program?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7096/fortifying-feed-for-hens-charity-in-2021/	0
1838	Will a space elevator successfully be built by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/917/will-a-space-elevator-successfully-be-built-by-2100/	0
1839	3.6°C global warming by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1539/36c-global-warming-by-2100/	0
1840	Fewer than 375M in extreme poverty by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1576/fewer-than-375m-in-extreme-poverty-by-2030/	0
1841	What will North Korea's merchandise trade as a % of GDP be in 2045 per the most recent World Bank data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3833/what-will-north-koreas-merchandise-trade-as-a--of-gdp-be-in-2045-per-the-most-recent-world-bank-data/	0
1842	What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, at 2024-12-14 in accuracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6302/sota-1-shot-on-miniimagenet-at-2024-12-14/	0
1843	If Trump is not re-elected President, how many lawful permanent residents will reside in the US on January 1, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5126/if-trump-is-not-re-elected-president-how-many-lawful-permanent-residents-will-reside-in-the-us-on-january-1-2022/	0
1844	When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5460/ai-rapidly-learning-to-play-a-simple-game/	0
1845	When will WeRide begin testing their autonomous and fully driverless taxis in California?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6411/weride-autonomous-vehicle-testing-in-ca/	0
1846	When will we have micropayments?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2592/when-will-we-have-micropayments/	0
1847	Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1494/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-be-due-to-nuclear-war/	0
1848	Will there be a 7.0 or larger earthquake either somewhere under or within 81 Kilometres the Eastern Mediterranean Sea in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6318/70-earthquake-east-mediterranean-in-2021/	0
1849	What will be the total world military expenditure in 2021, as reported by SIPRI?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6436/world-military-expenditure-in-2021/	0
1850	Will Moore's Law end by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/608/will-moores-law-end-by-2025/	0
1851	How many emoji related court cases in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6361/emoji-court-cases-in-2021/	0
1852	Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3351/will-guinea-worm-be-eradicated-by-the-end-of-2030/	0
1853	When will the first publicly traded company achieve a $10 trillion market capitalisation?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1584/when-will-the-first-publicly-traded-company-achieve-a-10-trillion-market-capitalisation/	0
1854	What the percentage of egg-laying hens will be cage-free, in the U.S., in June 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3344/what-the-percentage-of-egg-laying-hens-will-be-cage-free-in-the-us-in-june-2025/	0
1855	When will programs write programs for us?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/405/when-will-programs-write-programs-for-us/	0
1856	What will the Federal Reserves' Industrial Production Index be for December 2026, for semiconductors, printed circuit boards and related products?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5960/dec-2026-production-of-semiconductors/	0
1857	When is the earliest day the world has less than 50,000 newly infected COVID-19 cases, on a three day average basis?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4367/when-is-the-earliest-day-the-world-has-less-than-50000-newly-infected-covid-19-cases-on-a-three-day-average-basis/	0
1858	Will KIC 9832227 go "red nova" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/669/will-kic-9832227-go-supernova--observable-to-the-naked-eye-on-earth--by-2022/	0
1859	How much greenhouse gas will be emitted globally, in the calendar year 2030, in gigatonnes of CO₂ equivalent?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3678/how-much-greenhouse-gas-will-be-emitted-globally-in-the-calendar-year-2030-in-gigatonnes-of-co%25E2%2582%2582-equivalent/	0
1860	Will either a space elevator or a skyhook have transported payloads in excess of 10 metric tons by the end of 2045?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3127/will-either-a-space-elevator-or-a-skyhook-have-transported-payloads-in-excess-of-10-metric-tons-by-the-end-of-2045/	0
1861	When will a robot poker player win a significant live (not online) competition?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2641/when-will-a-robot-poker-player-win-a-significant-live-not-online-competition/	0
1862	If there is a biotechnological or bioengineered organism catastrophe this century, when will it happen?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3023/if-there-is-a-biotechnological-or-bioengineered-organism-catastrophe-this-century-when-will-it-happen/	0
1863	Will United States military troops be in Afghanistan on 2021-10-7?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7017/us-troops-in-afghanistan-a-last-detail/	0
1864	What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their November 2022 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6516/performance-of-top-supercomputer-nov-2022/	0
1865	How many new electric bus registrations will Europe see in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5572/electric-bus-registrations-2021/	0
1866	What will be the minimum magnetic field strength during Solar Cycle 25?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4974/what-will-be-the-minimum-magnetic-field-strength-during-solar-cycle-25/	0
1867	Will the SOO Green Renewable Rail project succeed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2729/will-the-soo-green-renewable-rail-project-succeed/	0
1868	In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to animal welfare?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6977/ea-survey-2025-donations-to-animal-welfare/	0
1869	What percentage of U.S. adults will self-report to follow a vegetarian diet in 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3337/what-percentage-of-us-adults-will-self-report-to-follow-a-vegetarian-diet-in-2028/	0
1870	What will the price of IGM be, on 2023-02-14, in 2019 USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6543/closing-price-igm-on-2023-02-14/	0
1871	Will Donald Trump spend any time in jail or prison?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/957/donald-trump-spends-time-in-jail-or-prison/	0
1872	Will India have a successful crewed moon landing by end of 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5919/india-successful-crewed-moon-landing-by-2027/	0
1873	What will the Human Development Index of the world be in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5676/2020-world-hdi/	0
1874	What will be the value of the (herein described) "AI winter index" at end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/974/what-will-be-the-value-of-the-herein-described-ai-winter-index-at-end-of-2021/	0
1875	What will be the average overall Global Health Security Index score for 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3277/what-will-be-the-average-overall-global-health-security-index-score-for-2030/	0
1876	What will the maximum z-score be for Hungary for observed deaths in 2020-2021 according to Euromomo?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5640/max-excess-death-score-for-hungary-2020-2021/	0
1877	Will Stacey Abrams be elected president in or before the 2040 election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3588/will-stacey-abrams-be-elected-president-in-or-before-the-2040-election/	0
1878	By February 14 2023, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaFLOPS-days), used in training in an AI experiment?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6517/maximum-compute-ai-experiment-by-2023/	0
1879	When will there be an easily applied, reversible, male contraceptive (aka a male "pill") on the US market?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/507/when-will-there-be-a-reversible-male-contraceptive-aka-a-male-pill-on-the-us-market/	0
1880	How many years after the silver Turing Test is passed will an AGI system be developed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4264/how-many-years-after-the-silver-turing-test-is-passed-will-an-agi-system-be-developed/	0
1881	What will the state-of-the-art language text-to-SQL performance on WikiSQL be on 2023-02-14 in logical form test accuracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6568/sota-on-wikisql-2023-02-14/	0
1882	Will the US see mass price controls in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4035/will-the-us-see-mass-price-controls-in-2021/	0
1883	What will be the largest cultivated meat product production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single production facility, by January 1st, 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7035/cultivated-meat-production-capacity-2030/	0
1884	How many new EV buses will be registered worldwide in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5682/new-ev-bus-registration-2025/	0
1885	Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1502/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-be-due-to-biotechnology-or-bioengineered-organisms/	0
1886	Will it turn out that the Keto diet is both safe and has health benefits for some identified and significant population of people?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3739/will-it-turn-out-that-the-keto-diet-is-both-safe-and-has-health-benefits-for-some-identified-and-significant-population-of-people/	0
1887	Will a legacy automaker go bankrupt before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5212/legacy-automaker-bankruptcy-before-2030/	0
1888	When will a company, in any country, generate $50M revenue from edible insect product sales alone, in a single year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3375/when-will-a-company-in-any-country-generate-50m-revenue-from-edible-insect-product-sales-alone-in-a-single-year/	0
1889	What will be the total expenditures of the United Nations System in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4696/what-will-be-the-total-expenditures-of-the-united-nations-system-in-2050/	0
1890	When will we be able to predict at least 10% of variance in Big Five agreeableness based on genetic information alone?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3518/when-will-we-be-able-to-predict-at-least-10-of-variance-in-big-five-agreeableness-based-on-genetic-information-alone/	0
1891	When will an AI achieve competency in the Atari classic Montezuma’s Revenge?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/486/when-will-an-ai-achieve-competency-in-the-atari-classic-montezumas-revenge/	0
1892	What will be the total damage incurred by climate change in the 21st century as measured by its impact on GDP?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4159/climate-change-damage-in-the-21st-century/	0
1893	In what year will half of new cars sold in the US be fully autonomous?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/424/in-what-year-will-half-of-new-cars-sold-in-the-us-be-fully-autonomous/	0
1894	Will more than 10,000 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired from Palestine at Israel in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7225/israel-palestine-crisis-2021--q6/	0
1895	Will the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6179/second-us-civil-war-before-2031/	0
1896	Will there be a major nuclear accident before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6378/major-nuclear-accident-before-2030/	0
1897	When will there be a mile-high building?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/735/when-will-there-be-a-mile-high-building/	0
1898	How many BIPs will be be approved and merged into bitcoin core in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6103/number-of-bips-adopted-in-2021/	0
1899	Will most dark matter turn out to be primordial black holes?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6608/black-holes-as-dark-matter/	0
1900	What will the average global atmospheric CO₂ concentration be, over the 2020-2021 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3237/what-will-the-average-global-atmospheric-co%25E2%2582%2582-concentration-be-over-the-2020-2021-period/	0
1901	If the US does not pursue nuclear disarmament, how many nuclear warheads will it have in 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2820/if-the-us-does-not-pursue-nuclear-disarmament-how-many-nuclear-warheads-will-it-have-in-2029/	0
1902	Will Binance default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7235/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-binance/	0
1903	When will one TeraFlOPS cost <$1?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1416/when-will-one-teraflops-cost-1/	0
1904	When there will be the first European trillion-dollar company?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6251/the-first-european-trillion-dollar-company/	0
1905	Will NAD+ boosters be shown in a systematic review to increase human lifespan by >=5% by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4290/will-nad-boosters-be-shown-in-a-systematic-review-to-increase-human-lifespan-by-5-by-2030/	0
1906	Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6616/cryonics-institute-to-go-bankrupt/	0
1907	How many people will be employed in the US manufacturing industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6129/number-employed-in-us-manufacturing-2021/	0
1908	13 month boxed mean of sunspots around the Solar 25 maximum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4971/13-month-boxed-mean-of-sunspots-around-the-solar-25-maximum/	0
1909	Pandemic series: a devastating bioterror attack by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/255/pandemic-series-a-devastating-bioterror-attack-by-2025/	0
1910	What will the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU be, on December 14, 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5951/top-price-performance-in-g3d-mark--of-gpu/	0
1911	Will the Forethought Foundation have more than two full-time equivalent employees in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7101/forethought-foundation-to-flounder-by-25/	0
1912	How much revenue will the U.S. market for clean meat generate, in the fiscal year 2030, in millions of USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3077/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-market-for-clean-meat-generate-in-the-fiscal-year-2030-in-millions-of-usd/	0
1913	When will American Metaculus users face an emigration crisis?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5287/when-will-america-have-an-emigration-crisis/	0
1914	What will be the median salary for Triplebyte engineers in the ML / Data Science role by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5561/triplebyte-ml-engineer-salary/	0
1915	When will a universal flu vaccine be available?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4791/when-will-a-universal-flu-vaccine-be-available/	0
1916	Will anyone be convicted for the possession of Bitcoin before 2060 in the United States?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7209/will-bitcoin-possession-be-illegal/	0
1917	How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6250/reinforcement-learning-2021-01-14-2022-01-14/	0
1918	Will any of the nonprofits incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship become a future ACE top or standout charity by Jan 1, 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6021/ce-to-incubate-ace-recommended-ngo-by-2025/	0
1919	How many spaceflight-related fatalities will occur between January 1 2020 and January 1 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1622/how-many-spaceflight-related-fatalities-will-occur-between-january-1-2020-and-january-1-2025/	0
1920	What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2023-02-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6565/sota-one-shot-on-miniimagenet-2023-02-14/	0
1921	Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/797/will-puerto-rico-become-a-us-state-prior-to-2035/	0
1922	What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2023-02-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6537/image-classification-index-be-on-2023-02-14/	0
1923	How many Executive Orders per week will President Biden issue?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6311/biden-executive-orders-in-first-term/	0
1924	Will Facebook block links to Bitchute before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5635/facebook-block-links-to-bitchute-before-2023/	0
1925	Will there be an openly LGBT Pope before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2619/will-there-be-an-openly-lgbt-pope-before-2050/	0
1926	How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on arXiv over the 2020-01-01 to 2027-01-01 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5962/few-shot-learning-2020-12-14-to-2027-01-01/	0
1927	When will the average ticket price in US cinemas be $10 or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1428/when-will-the-average-ticket-price-in-us-cinemas-be-10-or-more/	0
1928	When will Boris Johnson cease to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2959/when-will-boris-johnson-cease-to-be-prime-minister-of-the-united-kingdom/	0
1929	When will any country stop using cash currency?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1449/when-will-any-country-stop-using-cash-currency/	0
1930	What will the global weighted-average levelized cost of energy of onshore wind be in 2022, in 2018 USD per kWh?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3581/what-will-the-global-weighted-average-levelized-cost-of-energy-of-onshore-wind-be-in-2022-in-2018-usd-per-kwh/	0
1931	What will the US police-to-prison spending ratio be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4907/what-will-the-us-police-to-prison-spending-ratio-be-in-2030/	0
1932	How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is less than $8 per kg?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3113/how-many-commercial-cattle-in-millions-will-be-slaughtered-in-the-us-in-2032-if-the-lowest-retail-price-of-clean-meat-in-2026-is-less-than-8-per-kg/	0
1933	When will NASA's SLS first launch a person to the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2818/when-will-nasas-sls-first-launch-a-person-to-the-moon/	0
1934	Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5716/longbets-oil-consumed-in-us-in-2035-vs-2015/	0
1935	A decrease in US meat production by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/281/a-decrease-in-us-meat-production-by-2025/	0
1936	What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6545/it-as--of-gdp-in-q3-2022/	0
1937	When the first company reaches a $4 trillion market cap, will it be worth at least double what it was the year before?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5178/doubling-value-company/	0
1938	When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1655/when-will-there-be-a-breakthrough-in-the-treatment-of-hard-to-treat-cancers/	0
1939	How many parameters (in billions) is needed to achieve superhuman few-shot performance on SuperGLUE?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5218/scaling-to-few-shot-human-level-performance/	0
1940	What will be the 13 month moving average of sunspots around Solar Cycle 25's minimum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5046/what-will-be-the-13-month-moving-average-of-sunspots-around-solar-cycle-25s-minimum/	0
1941	In what year will the total number of hen eggs produced annually in the U.S. be 100 billion or less?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3246/in-what-year-will-the-total-number-of-hen-eggs-produced-annually-in-the-us-be-100-billion-or-less/	0
1942	When will an algorithm be able to predict the Big Five personality traits of a person from a naturalistic photograph or video?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6685/date-for-ml-visual-predictor-of-the-big-five/	0
1943	Will variants of concerns thought to partially escape immunity make up more than 50% of samples sequenced in Virginia on 29 August - 11 September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7128/vocs-to-make-up-50-of-virginia-sequences/	0
1944	When will a climber beat Alex Honnold and Tommy Caldwell's record for climbing the Nose of El Capitan?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1053/when-will-a-climber-beat-alex-honnold-and-tommy-caldwells-record-for-climbing-the-nose-of-el-capitan/	0
1945	Will any executives be imprisoned for corporate crimes before 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5768/prison-for-corporate-crooks/	0
1946	When will the Sentinelese cease to be an uncontacted people?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5405/end-of-north-sentinelese-isolation/	0
1947	When will we see the first viable human case of in vitro gametogenesis?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7385/first-human-in-vitro-gametogenesis/	0
1948	When will there be a publicly listed clean meat company?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3058/when-will-there-be-a-publicly-listed-clean-meat-company/	0
1949	Will CarbonCure still exist in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4864/will-carboncure-still-exist-in-2030/	0
1950	When will the first openly furry person be elected to a major US office?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6839/first-openly-furry-us-official/	0
1951	Will the Supreme Court grant a writ of certiorari to a case challenging the male-only draft as unconstitutional on the grounds of sex-discrimination by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6853/will-scotus-hear-a-male-only-draft-case/	0
1952	Will there be a complete 4 year interval by 2050 in which world output doubles?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5406/world-output-doubles-in-4-years-by-2050/	0
1953	If Biden becomes president, will the sentencing disparity between crack and powder cocaine be ended by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4586/if-biden-becomes-president-will-the-sentencing-disparity-between-crack-and-powder-cocaine-be-ended-by-2024/	0
1954	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Scientific Research in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7420/open-phil-scientific-research-grants-2030/	0
1955	Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7215/sec-approves-bitcoin-etf/	0
1956	Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4549/will-george-church-receive-a-nobel-prize-in-any-category-before-the-end-of-2035/	0
1957	Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3629/will-the-national-popular-vote-interstate-compact-reach-majority-in-the-electoral-college-before-2030/	0
1958	When will a SpaceX Super Heavy Booster fly?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6947/first-super-heavy-flight/	0
1959	Will any Member State leave the Eurozone by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2616/will-any-member-state-leave-the-eurozone-by-2025/	0
1960	Will there be a total solar eclipse on June 25, 2522?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/111/will-there-be-a-total-solar-eclipse-on-june-25-2522/	0
1961	Longbets series: will the June, 2025 Labor Force Participation Rate and unemployment rate, reported by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, be, respectively above 60 percent and below 7.5 percent?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5866/longbets-low-unemployment-but-low-lfpr-2025/	0
1962	When will the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope be launched?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7299/roman-space-telescope-launch-date/	0
1963	Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7407/deliberate-nuclear-detonation-by-2024/	0
1964	How big will the Trade Signal Tournament prize pool be on 2021-09-30?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7465/trade-signal-tournament-prize-pool-2021-09-30/	0
1965	When will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4443/when-will-china-surpass-the-united-states-economically-militarily-and-scientifically/	0
1966	What will the price of neuropreservation be at Alcor in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5585/neuropreservation-price-at-alcor-2030/	0
1967	How much revenue will the SENS research foundation receive in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7198/sens-research-foundation-revenue-2021/	0
1968	When will The Boring Company tunnel faster than a snail?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4692/when-will-the-boring-company-tunnel-faster-than-a-snail/	0
1969	Longbets series: will the annual rate of US labor productivity growth for the year 2025, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, be 2 percent or above?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5865/longbets-us-productivity-growth-2-2025/	0
1970	Will there be another case of smallpox by the end of 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2823/will-there-be-another-case-of-smallpox-by-the-end-of-2029/	0
1971	Will The Kidney Project's implantable bioartificial kidney receive FDA approval before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6475/implantable-bioartificial-kidney-fda-approval/	0
1972	Will Metaculus Inc. host a prediction market prior to 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4630/will-metaculus-inc-host-a-prediction-market-prior-to-2024/	0
1973	When will Texas (ERCOT) next experience rotating electricity outages?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7391/next-texas-electricity-grid-outage/	0
1974	Will global fertility drop to 0.25 births per woman by 2045?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6870/025-births-per-woman-globally-by-2045/	0
1975	When will Croatia adopt the euro?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4587/when-will-croatia-adopt-the-euro/	0
1976	Will the UK's NHS recommend Vitamin D supplementation as a protective measure against coronavirus before the end of the pandemic?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5317/nhs-to-recommend-vit-d-supp/	0
1977	What will be the USA's GDP at the end of 2025 in trillions of dollars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7006/gdp-of-the-usa-for-2025/	0
1978	Will our global atmospheric CO₂ concentration over the 2020 to 2023 period be on path to limit warming to 1.4°C by mid-century?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3409/will-our-global-atmospheric-co%25E2%2582%2582-concentration-over-the-2020-to-2023-period-be-on-path-to-limit-warming-to-14c-by-mid-century/	0
1979	When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4799/when-will-vladimir-putin-cease-to-hold-the-office-of-president-of-russia/	0
1980	Drake's Equation 4th parameter f_l: On what fraction of habitable planets does any form of life emerge?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1340/drakes-equation-4th-parameter-f_l/	0
1981	One Million Martian Residents by 2075?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3519/one-million-martian-residents-by-2075/	0
1982	When will a supermarket sell a product made of ≥20% clean meat, for $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3087/when-will-a-supermarket-sell-a-product-made-of-20-clean-meat-for-3-per-100-grams-or-cheaper/	0
1983	Will the ICJ resolve the Belizean–Guatemalan territorial dispute in favour of Belize?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6984/belizeanguatemalan-territorial-dispute/	0
1984	When will the halting problem for the Collatz Program be resolved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2806/when-will-the-halting-problem-for-the-collatz-program-be-resolved/	0
1985	Will Median Bay Area House Prices decline by >= 5% in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6307/median-bay-area-house-prices-in-2021/	0
1986	How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7318/ea-survey-responses-2030/	0
1987	What will be the total expenditure on the military in the US in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7194/us-military-expenditure-in-2022/	0
1988	In 2050 what will be the all-time tennis slam singles record for men?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6890/all-time-tennis-slam-record-in-2050/	0
1989	What will be the income ratio between men and women employed full-time by 2025 in the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6070/us-gender-income-ratio-by-2025/	0
1990	Will a sample of negative energy be produced by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/600/will-a-sample-of-negative-energy-be-produced-by-2100/	0
1991	Will a sitting US president not seek reelection before the 2080 election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4037/will-a-sitting-us-president-not-seek-reelection-before-the-2080-election/	0
1992	Will the number of living humans who have walked on another world fall to zero?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/615/will-the-number-of-living-humans-who-have-walked-on-another-world-fall-to-zero/	0
1993	In the 2024 US presidential election, how many states will use plurality voting methods to choose their electors?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4848/in-the-2024-us-presidential-election-how-many-states-will-use-plurality-voting-methods-to-choose-their-electors/	0
1994	When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7104/birthdate-of-the-first-human-to-live-to-1000/	0
1995	When will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6460/date-of-next-millennium-prize-problem-proof/	0
1996	How many years will caloric restriction be demonstrated to add to one's natural lifespan?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4094/how-many-years-will-caloric-restriction-be-demonstrated-to-add-to-ones-natural-lifespan/	0
1997	Will a third LIGO detector be built in India by 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1536/will-a-third-ligo-detector-be-built-in-india-by-2027/	0
1998	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on WikiText-103 be at 2024-12-14 in perplexity?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6229/sota-on-wikitext-103-2024-12-14/	0
1999	How much will the total U.S. plant-based foods market be worth in the year ending in April 2023, in millions of USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3108/how-much-will-the-total-us-plant-based-foods-market-be-worth-in-the-year-ending-in-april-2023-in-millions-of-usd/	0
2000	In 2029, will the US have as many or fewer nuclear warheads than it did in 2019?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2817/us-having-fewer-nukes-in-2029-than-2019/	0
2001	How many months till at least three, billion dollar clean meat valuations after the first such company is first valued at ≥ $1bn?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3062/how-many-months-till-at-least-three-billion-dollar-clean-meat-valuations-after-the-first-such-company-is-first-valued-at--1bn/	0
2002	When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4292/ai-masters-poohsticks/	0
2003	When will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1048/when-will-the-next-millennium-prize-problem-be-solved/	0
2004	Will EQRx get at least one drug approved by the FDA before the end of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3507/will-eqrx-get-at-least-one-drug-approved-by-the-fda-before-the-end-of-2030/	0
2005	Will the GOP control the senate after the 2022 election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5632/will-the-gop-control-the-senate-in-2023/	0
2006	What percentage of fish produced worldwide will be stunned prior to slaughter, in the first year in which credible estimates are published in the five year period starting in 2027	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3389/what-percentage-of-fish-produced-worldwide-will-be-stunned-prior-to-slaughter-in-the-first-year-in-which-credible-estimates-are-published-in-the-five-year-period-starting-in-2027/	0
2007	What is the greatest number of people who, for non-medical purposes, use a newly discovered drug at any year between 2021 and 2070?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4418/what-is-the-greatest-number-of-people-who-for-non-medical-purposes-use-a-newly-discovered-drug-at-any-year-between-2021-and-2070/	0
2008	What will Google Trends search interest for Donald Trump be in July 2024 as a percentage of in November 2016?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4914/trump-search-interest-in-jul-2024-vs-nov-2016/	0
2009	Will a charity primarily operating in China become an ACE Top Charity in 2021 or 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6023/charity-in-china-to-ace-aces-criteria/	0
2010	Will the Open Courts Act become law?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5884/pacer-to-become-free/	0
2011	How much money will be donated to ACE in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6026/2021-donations-to-animal-charity-evaluators/	0
2012	When will the US achieve racial unemployment parity between racial groups labeled 'black' and 'white' by the Bureau of Labor Statistics?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6064/us-black-white-unemployment-parity/	0
2013	What is the largest amount of iron that will be used to fertilise an ocean as part of a single geoengineering effort, by the end of 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3457/what-is-the-largest-amount-of-iron-that-will-be-used-to-fertilise-an-ocean-as-part-of-a-single-geoengineering-effort-by-the-end-of-2026/	0
2014	What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3104/what-will-the-lowest-retail-price-in-usd-per-kg-of-any-product-containing-50-clean-meat-be-in-the-calendar-year-2029/	0
2015	Will the United States House of Representatives expel, censure, and/or reprimand a House Member before September 3, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6659/us-house-punishes-member-by-2022-09-03/	0
2016	Will there be a cease-fire or peace agreement in the Yemeni Civil War in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6792/peace-in-yemen-in-2021/	0
2017	Will the mean year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops in the TOP500 decline each 3-year period from 2025 to 2034?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3361/will-the-mean-year-over-year-growth-rate-of-the-sum-of-teraflops-in-the-top500-decline-each-3-year-period-from-2025-to-2034/	0
2018	When will a technology replace screens?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4577/when-will-a-technology-replace-screens/	0
2019	What will the the sum of the level of performance (in exaFLOPS) of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be according to their November 2022 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6513/sum-of-performance-supercomputers-nov-2022/	0
2020	Will the significant discrepancies in Hubble parameter determinations be resolved by 2030 within the ΛCDM standard cosmological model?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3021/will-the-significant-discrepancies-in-hubble-parameter-determinations-be-resolved-by-2030-within-the-%25CE%25BBcdm-standard-cosmological-model/	0
2021	How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2030-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6299/nlo-e-prints-2021-01-14-to-2030-01-14/	0
2022	How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions change from December 2020 to January 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6572/change-in-automation-dec-20-jan-30/	0
2023	Will the Kármán Line be changed before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1683/will-the-k%25C3%25A1rm%25C3%25A1n-line-be-changed-before-2023/	0
2024	How much revenue will the U.S. market for clean meat generate, in the fiscal year 2027, in millions of USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3065/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-market-for-clean-meat-generate-in-the-fiscal-year-2027-in-millions-of-usd/	0
2025	Will FreeTON cryptocurrency project be successful?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4934/will-freeton-cryptocurrency-project-be-successful/	0
2026	When will a spacecraft overtake Voyager-1 in distance from the Sun?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/653/when-will-a-spacecraft-overtake-voyager-1-in-distance-from-the-sun/	0
2027	What will SpaceX be worth in 2030? [125B-100T range]	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4927/what-will-spacex-be-worth-in-2030-125b-100t-range/	0
2028	What will the the sum of the level of performance (in exaFLOPS) of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be according to their November 2026 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5949/total-compute-top500-supercomputers-nov-2026/	0
2029	Will any asteroid or comet have been mined in space for commercial purposes before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1662/will-any-asteroid-or-comet-have-been-mined-in-space-for-commercial-purposes-before-2030/	0
2030	What will inflation be in the US in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4033/what-will-inflation-be-in-the-us-in-2021/	0
2031	What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4701/what-percentage-of-vehicles-on-us-roads-will-be-fully-electric-by-2030/	0
2032	Will George R. R. Martin die before the final book of A Song Of Ice And Fire is published?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1681/will-george-r-r-martin-die-before-the-final-book-of-a-song-of-ice-and-fire-is-published/	0
2033	Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will Psilocybin be a clinically approved treatment for end-of-life anxiety by 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1385/qualia-research-institute-question-series-will-psilocybin-be-a-clinically-approved-treatment-for-end-of-life-anxiety-by-2027/	0
2034	When will there be a publicly listed clean fish company?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3059/when-will-there-be-a-publicly-listed-clean-fish-company/	0
2035	What percentage of predictions about "robotic judges" in 2070 will Terence Mauri get right?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6680/terence-mauri-probably-not-a-superforecaster/	0
2036	If and when the first whole human brain is successfully emulated, 
how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2822/if-and-when-the-first-whole-human-brain-is-successfully-emulated-how-much-will-1-hour-of-subjective-run-time-cost/	0
2037	What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2026-12-14 in top-1 accuracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6228/sota-on-imagenet-2026-12-14/	0
2038	If DNA alterations continue to require FDA approval by default, how many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be determined as safe to eat, by the end of July 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3155/if-dna-alterations-continue-to-require-fda-approval-by-default-how-many-intentionally-genomic-dna-altered-animals-will-be-determined-as-safe-to-eat-by-the-end-of-july-2025/	0
2039	What percent will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q4 of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5958/it-as--of-gdp-in-q4-2030/	0
2040	If cryonics is at some point offered for free, what percentage of Americans will be signed up within 10 years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4052/if-cryonics-is-at-some-point-offered-for-free-what-percentage-of-americans-will-be-signed-up-within-10-years/	0
2041	Will Metaculus predict that artificial intelligence continues to pose a global catastrophic risk?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1538/will-metaculus-predict-that-artificial-intelligence-continues-to-pose-a-global-catastrophic-risk/	0
2042	Will UK inflation as expressed by the Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers' housing costs (CPIH) exceed 4% before 31 December 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7641/uk-inflation-prediction-in-2021/	0
2043	Which party will win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6867/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election	0
2044	Which party will control the Senate after 2022 election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6874/Which-party-will-control-the-Senate-after-2022-election	0
2045	Which party will win the House in the 2022 election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6892/Which-party-will-win-the-House-in-the-2022-election	0
2046	Will there be more than 9 Supreme Court justices at any point in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6946/Will-there-be-more-than-9-Supreme-Court-justices-at-any-point-in-2021	0
2047	Will Kamala Harris file to run for president before the end of 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6953/Will-Kamala-Harris-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2022	0
2048	Will Mike Pence file to run for president before the end of 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6975/Will-Mike-Pence-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2022	0
2049	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run  in the 2022 Democratic primary in NY-14?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6983/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-run-in-the-2022-Democratic-primary-in-NY-14	0
2050	Will Donald Trump file to run for president before the end of 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6994/Will-Donald-Trump-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2021	0
2051	Which party will win the 2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7000/Which-party-will-win-the-2021-New-Jersey-gubernatorial-election	0
2052	Which party will win the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7001/Which-party-will-win-the-2021-Virginia-gubernatorial-election	0
2053	Who will be elected New York City mayor in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7002/Who-will-be-elected-New-York-City-mayor-in-2021	0
2054	Will a woman be elected U.S. president in 2024?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7013/Will-a-woman-be-elected-US-president-in-2024	0
2055	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez file to run for president before the end of 2023?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7014/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2023	0
2056	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run  in the 2022 NY Democratic Senate primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7015/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-run-in-the-2022-NY-Democratic-Senate-primary	0
2057	Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7016/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Pennsylvania-in-2022	0
2058	Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7017/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-North-Carolina-in-2022	0
2059	Will Donald Trump Jr. run in the 2022 Pennsylvania Republican Senate primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7018/Will-Donald-Trump-Jr-run-in-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Republican-Senate-primary	0
2060	Will Lara Trump run  in the 2022 North Carolina Republican Senate primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7019/Will-Lara-Trump-run-in-the-2022-North-Carolina-Republican-Senate-primary	0
2061	Will Ivanka Trump run  in the 2022 Florida Republican Senate primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7021/Will-Ivanka-Trump-run-in-the-2022-Florida-Republican-Senate-primary	0
2062	Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Florida in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7024/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Florida-in-2022	0
2063	Who will be chancellor of Germany on Dec. 31?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7040/Who-will-be-chancellor-of-Germany-on-Dec-31	0
2064	Who will win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7053/Who-will-win-the-2024-Republican-presidential-nomination	0
2065	Who will win the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination	0
2066	Who will be elected mayor of Boston in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7068/Who-will-be-elected-mayor-of-Boston-in-2021	0
2067	Will Biden policy to raise minimum wage to $15 per hour in 2021 succeed?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7075/Will-Biden-policy-to-raise-minimum-wage-to-$15-per-hour-in-2021-succeed	0
2068	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2022 Arkansas GOP gubernatorial primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7082/Will-Sarah-Huckabee-Sanders-win-the-2022-Arkansas-GOP-gubernatorial-primary	0
2069	Will the District of Columbia become a U.S. state in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7083/Will-the-District-of-Columbia-become-a-US-state-in-2021	0
2070	Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Ohio in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7085/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Ohio-in-2022	0
2071	Who will win the 2022 Ohio Republican Senate primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7087/Who-will-win-the-2022-Ohio-Republican-Senate-primary	0
2072	Will Puerto Rico become a U.S. state in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7088/Will-Puerto-Rico-become-a-US-state-in-2021	0
2073	Will Liz Cheney win the 2022 House GOP nomination in WY-AL?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7103/Will-Liz-Cheney-win-the-2022-House-GOP-nomination-in-WY-AL	0
2074	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Georgia?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7107/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-Georgia	0
2075	Will Alexander Lukashenko be President of Belarus through the end of the 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7111/Will-Alexander-Lukashenko-be-President-of-Belarus-through-the-end-of-the-2021	0
2076	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7112/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-Arizona	0
2077	Who will win the 2021 Manhattan District Attorney election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7116/Who-will-win-the-2021-Manhattan-District-Attorney-election	0
2078	Which of these 10 African leaders will leave office next?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7117/Which-of-these-10-African-leaders-will-leave-office-next	0
2079	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be re-elected to the House in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7118/Will-Marjorie-Taylor-Greene-be-re-elected-to-the-House-in-2022	0
2080	How many Biden Cabinet members will Josh Hawley vote against?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7119/How-many-Biden-Cabinet-members-will-Josh-Hawley-vote-against	0
2081	Who will be the next Senate-confirmed Assistant Attorney General for Antitrust?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7120/Who-will-be-the-next-Senate-confirmed-Assistant-Attorney-General-for-Antitrust	0
2082	Which of these ten G20 leaders will leave office next?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7124/Which-of-these-ten-G20-leaders-will-leave-office-next	0
2083	Who will win the 2022 Ohio Democratic Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7126/Who-will-win-the-2022-Ohio-Democratic-Senate-nomination	0
2084	Who will win the 2022 Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7127/Who-will-win-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Democratic-Senate-nomination	0
2085	Who will win the 2022 Pennsylvania Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7129/Who-will-win-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2086	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7130/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-New-Hampshire	0
2087	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Nevada?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7131/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-Nevada	0
2088	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Wisconsin?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7132/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-Wisconsin	0
2089	Who will be the next Senate-confirmed OMB Director?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7134/Who-will-be-the-next-Senate-confirmed-OMB-Director	0
2090	Will Joe Biden resign during his first term?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7136/Will-Joe-Biden-resign-during-his-first-term	0
2091	Will Adam Kinzinger win the 2022 GOP nomination in any Illinois House district?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7141/Will-Adam-Kinzinger-win-the-2022-GOP-nomination-in-any-Illinois-House-district	0
2092	Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York at the end of the year?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7142/Will-Andrew-Cuomo-be-Governor-of-New-York-at-the-end-of-the-year	0
2093	Which of these 10 European leaders will leave office next?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7144/Which-of-these-10-European-leaders-will-leave-office-next	0
2094	Who will be elected mayor of Seattle in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7154/Who-will-be-elected-mayor-of-Seattle-in-2021	0
2095	Who will be the next Senate-confirmed U.S. Ambassador to China?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7155/Who-will-be-the-next-Senate-confirmed-US-Ambassador-to-China	0
2096	Who will win the 2022 Georgia Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7157/Who-will-win-the-2022-Georgia-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2097	Which state will hold the first Democratic primary for the 2024 nominee?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7158/Which-state-will-hold-the-first-Democratic-primary-for-the-2024-nominee	0
2098	Who will win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7162/Who-will-win-the-2022-Missouri-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2099	Who will win the 2022 North Carolina Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7163/Who-will-win-the-2022-North-Carolina-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2100	Will the Senate end filibuster on any bill with less than 3/5 support in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7164/Will-the-Senate-end-filibuster-on-any-bill-with-less-than-3-5-support-in-2021	0
2101	How many tie-breaking Senate votes will Kamala Harris cast in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7168/How-many-tie-breaking-Senate-votes-will-Kamala-Harris-cast-in-2021	0
2102	Will Anthony Gonzalez win the 2022 GOP nomination in any Ohio House district?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7170/Will-Anthony-Gonzalez-win-the-2022-GOP-nomination-in-any-Ohio-House-district	0
2103	What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2022 election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7172/What-will-be-the-balance-of-power-in-Congress-after-the-2022-election	0
2104	Who will win the 2022 New York Democratic gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7173/Who-will-win-the-2022-New-York-Democratic-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2105	Who will win the 2022 North Carolina Democratic Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7175/Who-will-win-the-2022-North-Carolina-Democratic-Senate-nomination	0
2106	Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Alaska in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7176/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Alaska-in-2022	0
2107	Who will win the 2022 Wisconsin Democratic Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7180/Who-will-win-the-2022-Wisconsin-Democratic-Senate-nomination	0
2108	Who will win the 2022 Alabama Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7182/Who-will-win-the-2022-Alabama-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2109	Who will win the 2022 Iowa Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7190/Who-will-win-the-2022-Iowa-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2110	Who will win the 2022 Wisconsin Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7194/Who-will-win-the-2022-Wisconsin-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2111	Will Israel hold a second national election for Knesset in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7197/Will-Israel-hold-a-second-national-election-for-Knesset-in-2021	0
2112	Who will win the 2022 Georgia Republican gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7198/Who-will-win-the-2022-Georgia-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2113	Will Canada hold national parliamentary elections in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7200/Will-Canada-hold-national-parliamentary-elections-in-2021	0
2114	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Missouri?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7204/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-Missouri	0
2115	Who will win the 2022 Georgia Republican Secretary of State nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7205/Who-will-win-the-2022-Georgia-Republican-Secretary-of-State-nomination	0
2116	Who will win the 2022 Missouri Democratic Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7206/Who-will-win-the-2022-Missouri-Democratic-Senate-nomination	0
2117	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Iowa?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7208/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-Iowa	0
2118	Will Xi Jinping be re-elected CCP General Secretary before 2023?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7209/Will-Xi-Jinping-be-re-elected-CCP-General-Secretary-before-2023	0
2119	Will Hu Chunhua be elected to the CCP Politburo Standing Committee before 2023?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7210/Will-Hu-Chunhua-be-elected-to-the-CCP-Politburo-Standing-Committee-before-2023	0
2120	Who will win the 2022 Florida gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7211/Who-will-win-the-2022-Florida-gubernatorial-election	0
2121	Who will be the governor of California on Dec. 31?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7214/Who-will-be-the-governor-of-California-on-Dec-31	0
2122	Will Automatic Voter Registration become law in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7217/Will-Automatic-Voter-Registration-become-law-in-2021	0
2123	Who will win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7229/Who-will-win-the-2022-Arizona-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2124	How many refugees will Biden authorize to be admitted in the next fiscal year?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7233/How-many-refugees-will-Biden-authorize-to-be-admitted-in-the-next-fiscal-year	0
2125	Who will be prime minister of Israel on Dec. 31?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7234/Who-will-be-prime-minister-of-Israel-on-Dec-31	0
2126	What will be the corporate tax rate for 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7237/What-will-be-the-corporate-tax-rate-for-2022	0
2127	Who will win the 2022 Texas Republican gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7240/Who-will-win-the-2022-Texas-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2128	Who will win the 2022 Texas Democratic gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7241/Who-will-win-the-2022-Texas-Democratic-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2129	Who will win the 2022 Nevada Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7253/Who-will-win-the-2022-Nevada-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2130	How many incumbent U.S. Senators will be re-elected in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7254/How-many-incumbent-US-Senators-will-be-re-elected-in-2022	0
2131	Who will win the 2022 Massachusetts gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7257/Who-will-win-the-2022-Massachusetts-gubernatorial-election	0
2132	Who will win the 2022 New Hampshire Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7258/Who-will-win-the-2022-New-Hampshire-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2133	Who will finish first in the 2021 mayoral primary in Cleveland?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7261/Who-will-finish-first-in-the-2021-mayoral-primary-in-Cleveland	0
2134	Will Donald Trump file to run for president before the end of 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7266/Will-Donald-Trump-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2022	0
2135	Who will win the 2022 Ohio Republican gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7270/Who-will-win-the-2022-Ohio-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2136	Who will win the 2022 Ohio Democratic gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7271/Who-will-win-the-2022-Ohio-Democratic-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2137	Will Lisa Murkowski be re-elected in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7274/Will-Lisa-Murkowski-be-re-elected-in-2022	0
2138	Who will be elected Atlanta mayor in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7275/Who-will-be-elected-Atlanta-mayor-in-2021	0
2139	Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court justice in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7286/Will-the-Senate-confirm-a-Supreme-Court-justice-in-2021	0
2140	Who will win the 2022 Florida Democratic Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7288/Who-will-win-the-2022-Florida-Democratic-Senate-nomination	0
2141	Will Kevin McCarthy testify publicly before the Jan. 6 Committee in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7295/Will-Kevin-McCarthy-testify-publicly-before-the-Jan-6-Committee-in-2021	0
2142	Who will win the 2022 New York Republican gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7307/Who-will-win-the-2022-New-York-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2143	Who will win the 2022 Texas Republican attorney general nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7312/Who-will-win-the-2022-Texas-Republican-attorney-general-nomination	0
2144	How many successful filibusters will there be in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7324/How-many-successful-filibusters-will-there-be-in-2021	0
2145	Who will be Speaker of the House of Representatives in the next Congress?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7326/Who-will-be-Speaker-of-the-House-of-Representatives-in-the-next-Congress	0
2146	Will Donald Trump run for the House of Representatives in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7327/Will-Donald-Trump-run-for-the-House-of-Representatives-in-2022	0
2147	Who will win the 2022 Idaho Republican gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7329/Who-will-win-the-2022-Idaho-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2148	Who will win the 2022 Pennsylvania Democratic gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7343/Who-will-win-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Democratic-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2149	Who will win the 2022 Pennsylvania Republican gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7348/Who-will-win-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2150	How many VA House seats will Democrats win in the 2021 election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7349/How-many-VA-House-seats-will-Democrats-win-in-the-2021-election	0
2151	Who will be elected president of Chile in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7350/Who-will-be-elected-president-of-Chile-in-2021	0
2152	Who will be elected president of Brazil in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7358/Who-will-be-elected-president-of-Brazil-in-2022	0
2153	Who will be elected president of France in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7360/Who-will-be-elected-president-of-France-in-2022	0
2154	Enough signatures for a vote on recall of LA County DA George Gascón?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7361/Enough-signatures-for-a-vote-on-recall-of-LA-County-DA-George-Gascón	0
2155	Will marijuana be rescheduled under the Controlled Substances Act by April 20?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7363/Will-marijuana-be-rescheduled-under-the-Controlled-Substances-Act-by-April-20	0
2156	Who will be elected president of Colombia in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7371/Who-will-be-elected-president-of-Colombia-in-2022	0
2157	Which party will win the 2022 Michigan gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7377/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Michigan-gubernatorial-election	0
2158	Which party will win the 2022 Wisconsin gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7378/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Wisconsin-gubernatorial-election	0
2159	Will Tracy Stone-Manning be confirmed as BLM Director by Oct. 8?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7379/Will-Tracy-Stone-Manning-be-confirmed-as-BLM-Director-by-Oct-8	0
2160	Which party will win the 2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7380/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Pennsylvania-gubernatorial-election	0
2161	Which party will win the 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7383/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Arizona-gubernatorial-election	0
2162	Which party will win the 2022 Kansas gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7384/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Kansas-gubernatorial-election	0
2163	Which party will win the 2022 Georgia gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7386/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Georgia-gubernatorial-election	0
2164	Which party will win the 2022 Maryland gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7387/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Maryland-gubernatorial-election	0
2165	Which party will win the 2022 Nevada gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7391/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Nevada-gubernatorial-election	0
2166	Who will be elected president of the Philippines in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7392/Who-will-be-elected-president-of-the-Philippines-in-2022	0
2167	Which party will win the 2022 Maine gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7394/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Maine-gubernatorial-election	0
2168	Who will be elected Buffalo, NY mayor in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7395/Who-will-be-elected-Buffalo,-NY-mayor-in-2021	0
2169	Whom will the Senate next confirm as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7398/Whom-will-the-Senate-next-confirm-as-Chair-of-the-Federal-Reserve	0
2170	How many votes to confirm Veronica Rossman to the Tenth Cir. by Oct. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7403/How-many-votes-to-confirm-Veronica-Rossman-to-the-Tenth-Cir-by-Oct-1	0
2171	How many votes to confirm Tana Lin to the Western Dist. of WA by Oct. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7404/How-many-votes-to-confirm-Tana-Lin-to-the-Western-Dist-of-WA-by-Oct-1	0
2172	Who will win the 2022 Wyoming At-Large election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7411/Who-will-win-the-2022-Wyoming-At-Large-election	0
2173	Who will be the next elected speaker of the New York City council?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7414/Who-will-be-the-next-elected-speaker-of-the-New-York-City-council	0
2174	Will Kamala Harris be the 47th US president?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7419/Will-Kamala-Harris-be-the-47th-US-president	0
2175	Will Congress raise or suspend the debt limit by Oct. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7421/Will-Congress-raise-or-suspend-the-debt-limit-by-Oct-1	0
2176	How many votes to confirm Rohit Chopra as CFPB Director by Oct. 15?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7424/How-many-votes-to-confirm-Rohit-Chopra-as-CFPB-Director-by-Oct-15	0
2177	How many votes to confirm David Chipman as ATF director by Oct. 15?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7425/How-many-votes-to-confirm-David-Chipman-as-ATF-director-by-Oct-15	0
2178	How many seats will the Conservatives win in Norway's next election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7426/How-many-seats-will-the-Conservatives-win-in-Norway's-next-election	0
2179	Which of these 10 Latin American leaders will leave office next?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7431/Which-of-these-10-Latin-American-leaders-will-leave-office-next	0
2180	How many votes to confirm Margaret Strickland to the Dist. Ct. of NM by 10/22?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7432/How-many-votes-to-confirm-Margaret-Strickland-to-the-Dist-Ct-of-NM-by-10-22	0
2181	How many federal judges will be confirmed by Oct. 8?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7434/How-many-federal-judges-will-be-confirmed-by-Oct-8	0
2182	Will San Diego County vote to recall Gavin Newsom?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7439/Will-San-Diego-County-vote-to-recall-Gavin-Newsom	0
2183	Who will win the 2022 Iowa Democratic gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7440/Who-will-win-the-2022-Iowa-Democratic-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2184	Will the Senate pass a bill via reconciliation by Oct. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7441/Will-the-Senate-pass-a-bill-via-reconciliation-by-Oct-1	0
2185	How many seats will the Liberals win in Canada's next election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7443/How-many-seats-will-the-Liberals-win-in-Canada's-next-election	0
2186	Who will be the prime minister of Canada on Oct. 31?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7444/Who-will-be-the-prime-minister-of-Canada-on-Oct-31	0
2187	Will Fresno County vote to recall Gavin Newsom?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7446/Will-Fresno-County-vote-to-recall-Gavin-Newsom	0
2188	How many seats will the CDU/CSU win in Germany's next election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7450/How-many-seats-will-the-CDU-CSU-win-in-Germany's-next-election	0
2189	How many seats will the Green  Party win in Germany's next election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7451/How-many-seats-will-the-Green-Party-win-in-Germany's-next-election	0
2190	Will Sacramento County vote to recall Gavin Newsom?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7452/Will-Sacramento-County-vote-to-recall-Gavin-Newsom	0
2191	Will San Bernardino County vote to recall Gavin Newsom?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7454/Will-San-Bernardino-County-vote-to-recall-Gavin-Newsom	0
2192	Who will win the 2024 US presidential election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election	0
2193	Will Orange County vote to recall Gavin Newsom?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7458/Will-Orange-County-vote-to-recall-Gavin-Newsom	0
2194	How many Yea votes in the House for a bipartisan infrastructure bill by Oct. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7459/How-many-Yea-votes-in-the-House-for-a-bipartisan-infrastructure-bill-by-Oct-1	0
2195	Which of these 10 Asia-Pacific leaders will leave office next?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7463/Which-of-these-10-Asia-Pacific-leaders-will-leave-office-next	0
2196	Which parties will be in the next German coalition?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7464/Which-parties-will-be-in-the-next-German-coalition	0
2197	Who will win the Democratic nomination for the FL-20 special election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7465/Who-will-win-the-Democratic-nomination-for-the-FL-20-special-election	0
2198	Will Jake Sullivan be National Security Advisor at the end of the year?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7466/Will-Jake-Sullivan-be-National-Security-Advisor-at-the-end-of-the-year	0
2199	What will be the margin in the California gubernatorial recall election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7469/What-will-be-the-margin-in-the-California-gubernatorial-recall-election	0
2200	Who will be prime minister of the Czech Republic on July 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7471/Who-will-be-prime-minister-of-the-Czech-Republic-on-July-1	0
2201	Who will be the prime minister of Japan on Dec. 31?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7472/Who-will-be-the-prime-minister-of-Japan-on-Dec-31	0
2202	How many Yea votes in the House by Oct. 15 to pass reconciliation?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7473/How-many-Yea-votes-in-the-House-by-Oct-15-to-pass-reconciliation	0
2203	Will Rahm Emanuel be confirmed as ambassador to Japan by Dec. 31?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7474/Will-Rahm-Emanuel-be-confirmed-as-ambassador-to-Japan-by-Dec-31	0
2204	Will Antony Blinken be Secretary of State at the end of the year?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7475/Will-Antony-Blinken-be-Secretary-of-State-at-the-end-of-the-year	0
2205	Will Biden's 538 approval rating be lower than disapproval on Oct. 12?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7476/Will-Biden's-538-approval-rating-be-lower-than-disapproval-on-Oct-12	0
2206	How many seats will the Social Democratic Party win in Germany's next election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7477/How-many-seats-will-the-Social-Democratic-Party-win-in-Germany's-next-election	0
2207	How many seats will the Conservatives win in Canada's next election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7479/How-many-seats-will-the-Conservatives-win-in-Canada's-next-election	0
2208	What will be the margin in Boston's preliminary mayoral election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7480/What-will-be-the-margin-in-Boston's-preliminary-mayoral-election	0
2209	What will be the margin in Cleveland's mayoral primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7483/What-will-be-the-margin-in-Cleveland's-mayoral-primary	0
2210	Will Riverside County vote to recall Gavin Newsom?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7484/Will-Riverside-County-vote-to-recall-Gavin-Newsom	0
2211	How many votes in the California recall election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7486/How-many-votes-in-the-California-recall-election	0
2212	Will the Senate pass a bill via reconciliation by Nov. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7487/Will-the-Senate-pass-a-bill-via-reconciliation-by-Nov-1	0
2213	What will Joe Biden's 538 job approval rating be for Sept. 21?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7488/What-will-Joe-Biden's-538-job-approval-rating-be-for-Sept-21	0
2214	Will a debt limit raise be enacted by Oct. 15?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7490/Will-a-debt-limit-raise-be-enacted-by-Oct-15	0
2215	What will Joe Biden's RCP job approval rating be for Sept. 22?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7491/What-will-Joe-Biden's-RCP-job-approval-rating-be-for-Sept-22	0
2216	Who carried out the chemical attack in Ghouta on August 21, 2013?	https://www.rootclaim.com/analysis/Who-carried-out-the-chemical-attack-in-Ghouta-on-August-21-2013	0
2217	What is the source of COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2)?	https://www.rootclaim.com/analysis/What-is-the-source-of-COVID-19-SARS-CoV-2	0
2218	Was there widespread fraud in the 2020 US election?	https://www.rootclaim.com/analysis/Was-there-widespread-fraud-in-the-2020-US-election	0
2219	Does Vitamin D reduce the severity of COVID-19 outcomes?	https://www.rootclaim.com/analysis/does-vitamin-d-reduce-the-severity-of-covid-19-outcomes	0
2220	What caused the disappearance of Malaysia Airlines flight 370?	https://www.rootclaim.com/analysis/what-caused-the-disappearance-of-malaysia-airlines-flight-370	0
2221	What Happened to Barry and Honey Sherman?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/what-happened-to-barry-and-honey-sherman-19972	0
2222	What is the story behind Donald Trump's hair?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/what-is-the-story-behind-donald-trump-s-hair-12734	0
2223	Did former New England Patriots tight end Aaron Hernandez commit suicide?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/did-former-new-england-patriots-tight-end-aaron-hernandez-commit-suicide-19060	0
2224	Serial: Who killed Hae Min Lee?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/serial-who-killed-hae-min-lee-11513	0
2225	What caused the chemical calamity in Khan Sheikhoun on April 4, 2017?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/what-caused-the-chemical-calamity-in-khan-sheikhoun-on-april-4-2017-18448	0
2226	Was the Miss Universe 2015 mistake intentional?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/was-the-miss-universe-2015-mistake-intentional-14197	0
2227	Who attacked the aid convoy in Syria on September 19, 2016? 	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/who-attacked-the-aid-convoy-in-syria-on-september-19-2016-16104	0
2228	Who was behind the July 2016 Turkish coup attempt?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/who-was-behind-the-july-2016-turkish-coup-attempt-17401	0
2229	Did Pakistan know that Osama Bin Laden was hiding in Abbottabad?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/did-pakistan-know-that-osama-bin-laden-was-hiding-in-abbottabad-18034	0
2230	Did Usain Bolt use performance-enhancing drugs?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/did-usain-bolt-use-performance-enhancing-drugs-14420	0
2231	Was the July 28, 2015, Serbian lottery drawing rigged?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/was-the-july-28-2015-serbian-lottery-drawing-rigged-11364	0
2232	Why was Seth Rich killed?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/why-was-seth-rich-killed-16122	0
2233	Why was Stonehenge built?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/why-was-stonehenge-built-13169	0
2234	Does the MMR (measles, mumps, and rubella) vaccine cause autism?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/does-the-mmr-measles-mumps-and-rubella-vaccine-cause-autism-4925	0
2235	Who shot down Malaysia Airlines flight 17 over Ukraine on July 17, 2014?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/who-shot-down-malaysia-airlines-flight-17-over-ukraine-on-july-17-2014-8129	0