Run market maker in prod
This commit is contained in:
Austin Chen
parent
f48cae1df3
commit
232bc55a47
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@ -2,8 +2,10 @@
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import { CEP_SUBMISSIONS } from './submissions'
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// Dev API key for Cause Exploration Prizes
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const API_KEY = '188f014c-0ba2-4c35-9e6d-88252e281dbf'
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// Dev API key for Cause Exploration Prizes (@CEP)
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// const API_KEY = '188f014c-0ba2-4c35-9e6d-88252e281dbf'
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// Prod API key for @CEPBot
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const API_KEY = 'b5cc8c88-64a3-45fe-a6b5-ac6a224ac56a'
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type CEPSubmission = {
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title: string
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@ -14,7 +16,7 @@ type CEPSubmission = {
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// Use the API to create a new market for this Cause Exploration Prize submission
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async function postMarket(submission: CEPSubmission) {
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const { title, author } = submission
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const response = await fetch('https://dev.manifold.markets/api/v0/market', {
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const response = await fetch('https://manifold.markets/api/v0/market', {
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method: 'POST',
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headers: {
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'Content-Type': 'application/json',
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@ -27,7 +29,8 @@ async function postMarket(submission: CEPSubmission) {
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closeTime: Date.parse('2022-09-08').valueOf(),
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initialProb: 10,
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// Super secret options:
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groupId: 'y2hcaGybXT1UfobK3XTx', // CEP Tournament
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// groupId: 'y2hcaGybXT1UfobK3XTx', // [DEV] CEP Tournament
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groupId: 'cMcpBQ2p452jEcJD2SFw', // [PROD] Predict CEP
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visibility: 'unlisted',
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// TODO: Increase liquidity?
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}),
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@ -37,7 +40,7 @@ async function postMarket(submission: CEPSubmission) {
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}
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async function postAll() {
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for (const submission of CEP_SUBMISSIONS.slice(10)) {
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for (const submission of CEP_SUBMISSIONS.slice(5)) {
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await postMarket(submission)
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}
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}
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@ -36,18 +36,18 @@ export const CEP_SUBMISSIONS = [
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author: 'mwcvitkovic',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Qhn5nyRf93dsXodsw/cause-area-differential-neurotechnology-development',
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},
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{
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title:
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'War Between the US and China: A case study for epistemic challenges around China-related catastrophic risk',
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author: 'Jordan_Schneider',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/E2BghQq9pwPgtHgiH/war-between-the-us-and-china-a-case-study-for-epistemic',
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},
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{
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title:
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'Cause exploration prize: organophosphate pesticides and other neurotoxicants',
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author: 'Ben Stewart',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/LSDZ22GFryC3dhWvd/cause-exploration-prize-organophosphate-pesticides-and-other',
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},
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{
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title:
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'War Between the US and China: A case study for epistemic challenges around China-related catastrophic risk',
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author: 'Jordan_Schneider',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/E2BghQq9pwPgtHgiH/war-between-the-us-and-china-a-case-study-for-epistemic',
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},
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{
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title: 'The (California) case for State Capacity as an EA cause area',
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author: 'Locke',
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@ -59,11 +59,6 @@ export const CEP_SUBMISSIONS = [
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author: 'Enginar',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/tykEYESbJkqT39v64/directly-purchasing-and-distributing-stunning-equipment-to',
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},
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{
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title: 'Fix Prison Telecom',
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author: 'Benj Azose',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/z9esvCk8oha69vkbA/fix-prison-telecom',
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},
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{
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title:
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'Doing good is a privilege. This needs to change if we want to do good long-term. ',
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@ -86,6 +81,11 @@ export const CEP_SUBMISSIONS = [
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author: 'arushigupta',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/gqzecJGYjqRF6c8o6/cause-area-proposal-international-macroeconomic-policy',
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},
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{
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title: 'Fix Prison Telecom',
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author: 'Benj Azose',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/z9esvCk8oha69vkbA/fix-prison-telecom',
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},
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{
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title: 'Potential new cause area: Obesity',
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author: 'Akhil',
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@ -154,33 +154,38 @@ export const CEP_SUBMISSIONS = [
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author: 'Malcolm Collins',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/vFfoqL74kmZbydKjp/new-cause-area-demographic-collapse',
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},
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{
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title: '[Cause Exploration Prizes] Economic Growth and State Capacity ',
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author: 'Jeffrey Mason',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/BkJepw5R2pFc55LEc/cause-exploration-prizes-economic-growth-and-state-capacity',
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},
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{
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title:
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'Energy Access in Sub-Saharan Africa: Open Philanthropy Cause Exploration Prize Submission',
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author: 'Tomer_Goloboy',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZPjMemurtzeumwcdw/energy-access-in-sub-saharan-africa-open-philanthropy-cause',
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},
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{
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title: '[Cause Exploration Prizes] Economic Growth and State Capacity ',
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author: 'Jeffrey Mason',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/BkJepw5R2pFc55LEc/cause-exploration-prizes-economic-growth-and-state-capacity',
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},
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{
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title: 'Peacebuilding and Violent Conflict',
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author: 'Charlie Dougherty',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/dPx7LiNp5MX9RWdfa/peacebuilding-and-violent-conflict',
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},
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{
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title:
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'Targeted Treatment of Anemia in Adolescents in India as a Cause Area',
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author: 'Akash Kulgod',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/SgqBAeoCbQeLxmMoj/targeted-treatment-of-anemia-in-adolescents-in-india-as-a',
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title: '[Cause Exploration Prizes] Training experts to be forecasters',
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author: 'Sam Abbott',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/WFbf2d4LHjgvWJCus/cause-exploration-prizes-training-experts-to-be-forecasters',
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},
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{
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title: 'Why Genetic Rescue',
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author: 'David Lang',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ebBPcDxtSckRAoJfo/why-genetic-rescue',
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},
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{
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title:
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'Targeted Treatment of Anemia in Adolescents in India as a Cause Area',
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author: 'Akash Kulgod',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/SgqBAeoCbQeLxmMoj/targeted-treatment-of-anemia-in-adolescents-in-india-as-a',
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},
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{
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title: '[Cause Exploration Prizes] Fix the Money, Fix the world',
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author: 'Open Philanthropy',
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@ -307,6 +312,11 @@ export const CEP_SUBMISSIONS = [
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author: 'Susannah Hares',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/nW7itcuaqb2CrC2mC/the-economic-benefits-of-promoting-and-protecting-the-rights-1',
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},
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{
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title: '[Cause Exploration Prizes] Obstetric Violence',
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author: 'Tracy Brinkerhoff',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/MWWFiZfBvryY8buTw/cause-exploration-prizes-obstetric-violence',
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},
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{
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title: '[Cause Exploration Prizes] Trust and Science',
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author: 'Open Philanthropy',
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@ -350,6 +360,11 @@ export const CEP_SUBMISSIONS = [
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author: 'Open Philanthropy',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Kneivf7uokqqNTFAM/cause-exploration-prizes-voluntary-family-planning',
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},
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{
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title: '[Cause Exploration Prizes] Antimicrobial Resistance',
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author: 'rhi',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Jcnjwv6pHrqT2igRu/cause-exploration-prizes-antimicrobial-resistance',
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},
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{
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title:
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'[Cause Exploration Prizes] Natural Disaster Preparedness and Research',
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@ -361,11 +376,6 @@ export const CEP_SUBMISSIONS = [
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author: 'Anne Fitzpatrick',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/WiCEyhm2gp74pphHB/cause-exploration-prizes-early-childhood-education',
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},
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{
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title: '[Cause Exploration Prizes] Obstetric Violence',
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author: 'Tracy Brinkerhoff',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/MWWFiZfBvryY8buTw/cause-exploration-prizes-obstetric-violence',
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},
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{
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title: '[Cause Exploration Prizes] Lessons from Covid',
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author: 'Marcel Müller',
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@ -383,9 +393,15 @@ export const CEP_SUBMISSIONS = [
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/GiW8rvdcNHYJnSnK3/cause-exploration-prizes-measuring-civic-engagement-an',
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},
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{
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title: '[Cause Exploration Prizes] Antimicrobial Resistance',
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author: 'rhi',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Jcnjwv6pHrqT2igRu/cause-exploration-prizes-antimicrobial-resistance',
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title: 'Movable Virtual Fencing Systems and Livestock Welfare',
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author: 'Open Philanthropy',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/WexugYE3z8xHhYw4r/movable-virtual-fencing-systems-and-livestock-welfare',
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},
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{
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title:
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'[Cause Exploration Prizes] Voluntary Male Circumcision in the prevention of HIV in Nyanza and Western Regions of Kenya',
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author: 'Edward Kusewa',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/6nxbe5AxtpH2Fjaqj/cause-exploration-prizes-voluntary-male-circumcision-in-the',
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},
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{
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title:
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@ -394,9 +410,9 @@ export const CEP_SUBMISSIONS = [
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/LFFWkoeAhXRF4HBwW/cause-exploration-prizes-advanced-market-commitments-for',
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},
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{
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title: 'Movable Virtual Fencing Systems and Livestock Welfare',
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title: '[Cause Exploration Prizes] Antimicrobial Resistance',
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author: 'Open Philanthropy',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/WexugYE3z8xHhYw4r/movable-virtual-fencing-systems-and-livestock-welfare',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/DELryFuR7pNjwRZZC/cause-exploration-prizes-antimicrobial-resistance-1',
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},
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{
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title:
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@ -437,6 +453,12 @@ export const CEP_SUBMISSIONS = [
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author: 'Nathan Sidney',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZxF9gYQ4kXubrk2jA/cause-exploration-prizes-open-access-technology-for-the',
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},
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{
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title:
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'[Cause Exploration Prizes] Emergence research as a high-impact cause area',
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author: 'Open Philanthropy',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/iapfxkhbE8vRk5rKX/cause-exploration-prizes-emergence-research-as-a-high-impact',
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},
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{
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title:
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'Quality matters: Early childhood education and development in Nepal',
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@ -471,12 +493,6 @@ export const CEP_SUBMISSIONS = [
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author: 'Open Philanthropy',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/q2EJQ7p6bJaSpE3hN/cause-exploration-prizes-legal-efforts-to-increase-american',
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},
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{
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title:
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'[Cause Exploration Prizes] Voluntary Male Circumcision in the prevention of HIV in Nyanza and Western Regions of Kenya',
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author: 'Edward Kusewa',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/6nxbe5AxtpH2Fjaqj/cause-exploration-prizes-voluntary-male-circumcision-in-the',
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},
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{
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title:
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'[Cause Exploration Prizes] Investment in Fetal, Neonatal and Infant Development ',
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@ -489,11 +505,6 @@ export const CEP_SUBMISSIONS = [
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author: 'Kokeb Solomon',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/KqffgESkpTQBeqaWy/cause-exploration-prizes-can-purpose-in-life-be-a-simple',
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},
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{
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title: '[Cause Exploration Prizes] Antimicrobial Resistance',
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author: 'Open Philanthropy',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/DELryFuR7pNjwRZZC/cause-exploration-prizes-antimicrobial-resistance-1',
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},
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{
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title:
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'[Cause Exploration Prizes] Increasing Cause Area Impact Leverage via Empowerment of Communities',
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@ -506,6 +517,11 @@ export const CEP_SUBMISSIONS = [
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author: 'Open Philanthropy',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/G5tF3TP7btJThcKoJ/cause-exploration-prizes-dynamic-democracy-to-guard-against',
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},
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{
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title: '[Cause Exploration Prizes] Expanding Circles, Improving Lives',
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author: 'Chad Patrick Osorio',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/At5eJJxafx6kcQWty/cause-exploration-prizes-expanding-circles-improving-lives',
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},
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{
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title: 'Open Climate Data as a possible cause area, Open Philanthropy',
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author: 'Ben Yeoh',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9t8c69fdrK9LycxxP/new-cause-area-the-meta-cause-cause-exploration-prize-10',
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},
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{
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title:
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'New cause area: Improving diagnosis and treatment of bipolar spectrum disorders',
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author: 'Karolina Soltys',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ft7ChZnzyq2SwsgBa/new-cause-area-improving-diagnosis-and-treatment-of-bipolar',
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title: 'Cause: biopharma R&D productivity',
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author: 'BoxFan',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/xzcdN6aGCGbii86BX/cause-biopharma-r-and-d-productivity',
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},
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{
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title: 'Cause Area Proposal: Paperwork Reduction',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/g7Rn2fiq52QN8pbJa/cause-exploration-adapting-to-extreme-heat-exposure-in-south',
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},
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{
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title: 'Cause: biopharma R&D productivity',
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author: 'BoxFan',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/xzcdN6aGCGbii86BX/cause-biopharma-r-and-d-productivity',
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title:
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'New cause area: Improving diagnosis and treatment of bipolar spectrum disorders',
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author: 'Karolina Soltys',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ft7ChZnzyq2SwsgBa/new-cause-area-improving-diagnosis-and-treatment-of-bipolar',
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},
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{
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title: '[Cause Exploration Prizes] Transnational Surrogacy',
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author: 'Kelly Geddes',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/uRk85GQh4x8gTgMEm/cause-exploration-prizes-transnational-surrogacy',
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},
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{
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title:
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author: 'samhbarton',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/DC9AZSn4dpFptA8mS/cause-exploration-prize-unfettered-global-internet-access',
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},
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{
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title:
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'Reciprocity & the causes of diminishing returns: cause exploration submission',
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author: 'LB',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/x9towRLtvYidkXugk/reciprocity-and-the-causes-of-diminishing-returns-cause',
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},
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{
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title: 'Potential Risks of Advanced Gene Editing Technologies',
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author: 'Courtney Colston',
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@ -695,10 +722,4 @@ export const CEP_SUBMISSIONS = [
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author: 'Susannah Hares',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Xc7AH2Recks3RHteE/the-economic-benefits-of-promoting-and-protecting-the-rights',
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},
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{
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title:
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'Reciprocity & the causes of diminishing returns: cause exploration submission',
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author: 'LB',
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link: 'https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/x9towRLtvYidkXugk/reciprocity-and-the-causes-of-diminishing-returns-cause',
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},
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]
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