20 lines
1.8 KiB
Markdown
20 lines
1.8 KiB
Markdown
## Done as _Samotsvety_:
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- [Samotsvety Nuclear Risk Forecasts — March 2022](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/KRFXjCqqfGQAYirm5/samotsvety-nuclear-risk-forecasts-march-2022)
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- [Samotsvety's AI risk forecasts](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/EG9xDM8YRz4JN4wMN/samotsvety-s-ai-risk-forecasts)
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- [Prediction Markets in the Corporate Setting](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/dQhjwHA7LhfE8YpYF/prediction-markets-in-the-corporate-setting)
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- [GJO Calibration app](https://share.streamlit.io/yagudin/gjo-calibration/main/strmlt.py)
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- [Micro-grants for forecasting](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/oqFa8obfyEmvD79Jn/we-are-giving-usd10k-as-forecasting-micro-grants)
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- [Bottlenecks to more impactful crowd forecasting](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/S2vfrZsFHn7Wy4ocm/bottlenecks-to-more-impactful-crowd-forecasting-2)
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## With other hats
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- [Forecasting Newsletter](https://forecasting.substack.com/), by Nuño
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- [Metaforecast](https://metaforecast.org/), by [QURI](https://quantifieduncertainty.org/)
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- [Squiggle](https://www.squiggle-language.com/), by [QURI](https://quantifieduncertainty.org/)
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- [Impactful Forecasting Prize](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/HDoMrQFG76QtkdrZJ/impactful-forecasting-prize-for-forecast-writeups-on-curated), by [Sage](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/users/sage)
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- [Pastcasting](http://pastcasting.com/), by [Sage](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/users/sage)
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- [Better scoring rules](https://github.com/SamotsvetyForecasting/optimal-scoring), by Nuño
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- [Alignment Problems With Current Forecasting Platforms](https://arxiv.org/abs/2106.11248), by Nuño and Alex Lawsen
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- [Comparing top forecasters and domain experts](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qZqvBLvR5hX9sEkjR/comparing-top-forecasters-and-domain-experts), by [Arb](https://arbresearch.com/)
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