feat: content
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.resources/samotsvety-original-band.jpg
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.resources/samotsvety-original-band.jpg
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<!DOCTYPE html>
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<html>
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<head> <meta charset="utf-8" />
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<meta content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0, maximum-scale=1, user-scalable=no" name="viewport" />
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<!-- section:seometa -->
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<meta property="og:type" content="website" />
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<meta property="og:site_name" content="Discord" />
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<meta property="og:title" content="Discord - A New Way to Chat with Friends & Communities" />
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<meta
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property="og:description"
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content="Discord is the easiest way to communicate over voice, video, and text. Chat, hang out, and stay close with your friends and communities."
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/><meta property="og:image" content="undefined//discord.com/assets/652f40427e1f5186ad54836074898279.png" /> <meta name="twitter:card" content="summary_large_image" />
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<meta name="twitter:site" content="@discord" />
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<meta name="twitter:creator" content="@discord" />
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<!-- endsection -->
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<link rel="stylesheet" href="/assets/40532.1dc5cf50f4dec8428fbb.css" integrity="sha256-kpsjL6+XvGSVkKtLEGsTUt67WS63sI8m+sdF7+UUtiU= sha512-kcuLpGDdrF1rovLBMf/4A4vHop/+QiZOuDtdvocdw7Z+UePyFEczX3nWRNFOX6BP2JiluYMTcIe8h695HieRFA=="><link rel="icon" href="/assets/ec2c34cadd4b5f4594415127380a85e6.ico" /> <!-- section:title -->
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<title>Discord</title>
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<!-- endsection -->
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<script async nonce="OTYsMTgwLDEwNywyMjgsMTQ2LDIyNiwxMDUsOTc=" src='/cdn-cgi/bm/cv/669835187/api.js'></script></head>
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<body>
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<div id="app-mount"></div><script nonce="OTYsMTgwLDEwNywyMjgsMTQ2LDIyNiwxMDUsOTc=">window.__OVERLAY__ = /overlay/.test(location.pathname)</script><script nonce="OTYsMTgwLDEwNywyMjgsMTQ2LDIyNiwxMDUsOTc=">window.__BILLING_STANDALONE__ = /^\/billing/.test(location.pathname)</script><script nonce="OTYsMTgwLDEwNywyMjgsMTQ2LDIyNiwxMDUsOTc=">window.GLOBAL_ENV = {
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API_ENDPOINT: '//discord.com/api',
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API_VERSION: 9,
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GATEWAY_ENDPOINT: 'wss://gateway.discord.gg',
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WEBAPP_ENDPOINT: '//discord.com',
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CDN_HOST: 'cdn.discordapp.com',
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ASSET_ENDPOINT: '//discord.com',
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MEDIA_PROXY_ENDPOINT: '//media.discordapp.net',
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WIDGET_ENDPOINT: '//discord.com/widget',
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INVITE_HOST: 'discord.gg',
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GUILD_TEMPLATE_HOST: 'discord.new',
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GIFT_CODE_HOST: 'discord.gift',
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RELEASE_CHANNEL: 'stable',
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MARKETING_ENDPOINT: '//discord.com',
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BRAINTREE_KEY: 'production_5st77rrc_49pp2rp4phym7387',
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STRIPE_KEY: 'pk_live_CUQtlpQUF0vufWpnpUmQvcdi',
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NETWORKING_ENDPOINT: '//router.discordapp.net',
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RTC_LATENCY_ENDPOINT: '//latency.discord.media/rtc',
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ACTIVITY_APPLICATION_HOST: 'discordsays.com',
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PROJECT_ENV: 'production',
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REMOTE_AUTH_ENDPOINT: '//remote-auth-gateway.discord.gg',
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SENTRY_TAGS: {"buildId":"9932180ef7488bb27005dc7326857d2e1c79164e","buildType":"normal"},
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MIGRATION_SOURCE_ORIGIN: 'https://discordapp.com',
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MIGRATION_DESTINATION_ORIGIN: 'https://discord.com',
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HTML_TIMESTAMP: Date.now(),
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ALGOLIA_KEY: 'aca0d7082e4e63af5ba5917d5e96bed0',
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};</script><script nonce="OTYsMTgwLDEwNywyMjgsMTQ2LDIyNiwxMDUsOTc=">!function(){if(null!=window.WebSocket){if(function(n){try{var e=localStorage.getItem(n);return null==e?null:JSON.parse(e)}catch(n){return null}}("token")&&!window.__OVERLAY__){var n=null!=window.DiscordNative||null!=window.require?"etf":"json",e=window.GLOBAL_ENV.GATEWAY_ENDPOINT+"/?encoding="+n+"&v="+window.GLOBAL_ENV.API_VERSION+"&compress=zlib-stream";console.log("[FAST CONNECT] connecting to: "+e);var o=new WebSocket(e);o.binaryType="arraybuffer";var t=Date.now(),i={open:!1,identify:!1,gateway:e,messages:[]};o.onopen=function(){console.log("[FAST CONNECT] connected in "+(Date.now()-t)+"ms"),i.open=!0},o.onclose=o.onerror=function(){window._ws=null},o.onmessage=function(n){i.messages.push(n)},window._ws={ws:o,state:i}}}}();</script><script src="/assets/8ad81da44ff562f7811e.js" integrity="sha256-Akp5Aacke5kpEsH/6x9ykNiRoTYzk9ey7N3gg725jI0= sha512-fWfujYr9p+pZe7D8EkAr8xn1By1KyKRtGE7o9+fpH9Nq57xBXAaZ5+/mrkBwsOlRLqp0leS7xjJdnr3szv9Qpw=="></script><script src="/assets/4a0287b0c09f0fc2cf65.js" integrity="sha256-gdRVHXaZ/jfsyEHhkqPbuZ9hu4UWtDUamRsNmS4erow= sha512-bVrwgzZyXi43/qq6C9hloXsgMiOpkCh1lMoe090S+XxugNGdduBFzN6Aja8VIMKrVLmO3iCyoCccuLjKQS6LjA=="></script><script src="/assets/2cc20d7b03c919f8bd65.js" integrity="sha256-JcscJ9QRJlEU0F7lr90l/d0VBsp87w0u99BYK70RJEk= sha512-+doImdTTuAcZpCCdWj8F53H6cOR6QlroD24GAXlVf6hek/RogOChcD/fLxTAjDwE4hm1RsaJk22UqasAs4flyw=="></script><script src="/assets/293d1c0123307aeff83c.js" integrity="sha256-HqebbPnINrIDOgp6EGPpxBaHgQMKklz6bStfR3AzqVA= sha512-MdM0veZX+r3Dy1Ka51HzBvU7YC1b82465CTZPsV73eXVRv2jpuRHItiyKy6gnSGwFstjohgLiVQXlYF8ZY5Fsg=="></script> <script nonce="OTYsMTgwLDEwNywyMjgsMTQ2LDIyNiwxMDUsOTc=" type="text/javascript">(function(){window['__CF$cv$params']={r:'6f5496f2fd501d02',m:'qaE9NZxoqIs7Z5VPEX4CAmHIZrkp0JXfNkzJZE9C9pQ-1648850342-0-ATW/krCek53RNaPe1Bu3CKF85+SeyRX63lEzLmVAT0nlC8Vkyx9ZQLpefMsD1zHZlDVLqPRRSZCKmpjZ4YfGjGPWQ1wAQJq1bgpv4l5dvZgOC+XXZSTYi/GWyMKKwNb/eTF6rnjRjLxnmYGbaZCu/I4r4HqI9rqcw0EVzBzfRw0z7s9QYijkaMSxydWOW7LDoA==',s:[0xec11155d3f,0x7f1a3990ae],}})();</script></body>
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</html>
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.resources/samotsvety-original-cset-team.jpg
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.resources/samotsvety-original-cset-team.jpg
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index.md
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index.md
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We are a group of forecasters with a great track record working on applying forecasting to impactful questions. We hope to improve the forecasting ecosystem.
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We are a group of forecasters with a great track record working on applying forecasting to impactful questions. We hope to improve the forecasting ecosystem.
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Readers might be interested in our [track record](/track-record), [people](/people) and [projects](/projects) pages.
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<figure >
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<img src="https://i.imgur.com/uje32ZQ.jpg">
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<figcaption>Wait, no, we are a forecasting team, not a Soviet Union band.</figcaption>
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</figure>
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Scott Alexander [describes us as](https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-31422?s=r):
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> Enter Samotsvety Forecasts. This is a team of some of the best superforecasters in the world. They won the CSET-Foretell forecasting competition by an absolutely obscene margin, “around twice as good as the next-best team in terms of the relative Brier score”. If the point of forecasting tournaments is to figure out who you can trust, the science has spoken, and the answer is “these guys”.
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We are open to forecasting consulting requests, and can be reached out at [info@samotsvety.org](mailto:info@samotsvety.org).
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