metaforecast/src/backend/utils/misc/notes-givewellopenphil-fetch.md
Vyacheslav Matyukhin 244f02b3af
refactor: monorepo
2022-03-22 03:30:25 +03:00

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## GiveWell
wget --recursive --no-clobber --html-extension --domains givewell.org --follow-tags=a --reject '_.js,_.css,_.ico,_.txt,_.gif,_.jpg,_.jpeg,_.png,_.mp3,_.mp4,_.pdf,_.tgz,_.flv,_.avi,_.mpeg,_.iso,_.xls,_.xlsx,_.csv,_.doc,_.docx,_.mpa,\*mp4' --ignore-tags=img,link,script --header="Accept: text/html" --no-parent https://www.givewell.org
grep -ri "Internal forecast" -E "prediction|Prediction|forecast|Forecast" \* | sed 's/^/https:\/\/www.givewell.org\//' > searchresults.txt
grep -ril "Internal forecast" -E "prediction|Prediction|forecast|Forecast" \* > searchresults.txt
cat searchresults.txt
cat searchresults.txt | sed 's/^/https:\/\/www.givewell.org\//' > searchresults2.txt
cat searchresults2.txt
grep -v "print" searchresults2.txt > searchresults3.txt
while read line; do
firefox --new-tab "$line"
done < searchresults3.txt
We are experimenting with recording explicit numerical forecasts of the probability of events related to our decision-making (especially grant-making). The idea behind this is to pull out the implicit predictions that are playing a role in our decisions, and to make it possible for us to look back on how well-calibrated and accurate those predictions were.
For this grant, we are recording the following forecasts
For this grant, we are recording the following <a href="https://www.givewell.org/research/internal-forecasts">forecasts</a>:
For this grant, we are recording the following <a href="https://www.givewell.org/research/internal-forecasts">forecast</a>:
For this grant, we are recording the following forecasts (made during our decision process):
We are experimenting with recording explicit numerical forecasts of the probability of events related to our decision-making (especially grant-making). The idea behind this is to pull out the implicit predictions that are playing a role in our decisions, and to make it possible for us to look back on how well-calibrated and accurate those predictions were. For this grant, we are recording the following forecast:
Were experimenting with recording explicit numerical forecasts of events related to our decisionmaking (especially grantmaking). The idea behind this is to pull out the implicit predictions that are playing a role in our decisions, and make it possible for us to look back on how well-calibrated and accurate those are. For this grant, we are recording the following forecasts:
Were experimenting with recording explicit numerical forecasts of events related to our decisionmaking (especially grantmaking). The idea behind this is to pull out the implicit predictions that are playing a role in our decisions, and make it possible for us to look back on how well-calibrated and accurate those are.
Divide by h2, then pull the second which has forecasts
## OpenPhil
wget --recursive --no-clobber --html-extension --domains www.openphilanthropy.org --follow-tags=a --reject '_.js,_.css,_.ico,_.txt,_.gif,_.jpg,_.jpeg,_.png,_.mp3,_.mp4,_.pdf,_.tgz,_.flv,_.avi,_.mpeg,_.iso,_.xls,_.xlsx,_.csv,_.doc,_.docx,_.mpa,\*mp4' --ignore-tags=img,link,script --header="Accept: text/html" --no-parent https://www.openphilanthropy.org
Find and delete largest files
du -a . | sort -n -r | head -n 20
find . -xdev -type f -size +100M
find . -type f -exec du -s {} \; | sort -r -k1,1n | head -n 20
grep -ril -E "Internal forecast" \* > searchresults.txt
grep -v "print" searchresults.txt > searchresults2.txt
Note to self: OpenPhil uses h3 headers instead.