762 lines
118 KiB
JSON
762 lines
118 KiB
JSON
[
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{
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"Title": "Which of these 5 European leaders will leave office next?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5717/Which-of-these-5-European-leaders-will-leave-office-next",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
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"Description": "Following the launch of this market, the first among the officials named in the contracts in this market to cease to formally hold the office listed next to his or her name shall be the individual named in the contract. No additional contracts may be added to this market following its launch. In the event that the time and date upon which two or more of the listed individuals cease to formally hold their respective offices is identical or so similar as to be indistinguishable, as determined at PredictIt's sole discretion, the contract listing the candidate with the first alphabetical last name among the individuals in question will resolve as Yes, while all other contracts will resolve as No. At 11:59:59 p.m. (ET) 30 calendar days following an officially announced effective date of at least one listed individual's departure from such office, if this market is not already resolved due to insufficient clarity regarding the relative timing of the departure of two or more such individuals, the alphabetical tie breaker described above will be used to resolve this market. PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: N/A\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Will Trump pardon himself in his first term?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6453/Will-Trump-pardon-himself-in-his-first-term",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": true,
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"Percentage": "1%",
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"Description": "Please Note: PredictIt added a supplementary comment at the bottom of the Rules on 01/08/2021.\nDuring his first term, President Donald Trump shall grant a pardon to himself for one or more criminal offences, charges or convictions. Such pardon will be considered to have been granted only if Mr. Trump himself appears on the official list of presidential pardons granted by President Trump, maintained by the U.S. Department of Justice's Office of the Pardon Attorney (available upon launch of this market at https://www.justice.gov/pardon/clemencyrecipients) by 11:59 pm on February 15, 2021 (the “End Date”).\nA self-pardon for Mr. Trump that is announced but does not appear on such official list by the End Date shall not be sufficient to cause this market to resolve Yes. Subsequent removal, revocation or legal challenge to such a pardon grant that appears on the official list at any time before the End Date shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 02/15/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n\nSupplementary Comment(s)\n\nCreated On: 01/08/2021 11:57 AM (ET)\nIn response to trader inquiry: The first sentence of this rule is intended to include any \"blanket\" self-pardon.\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Which party will win the 2020 House race in Iowa's 2nd District?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6789/Which-party-will-win-the-2020-House-race-in-Iowa's-2nd-District",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
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"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which names the party whose candidate wins the 2020 election to the House of Representatives from Iowa's 2nd Congressional District. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.\nPredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Which party will win the 2020 House race in New York's 22nd District?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6861/Which-party-will-win-the-2020-House-race-in-New-York's-22nd-District",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
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"Description": "Please Note: PredictIt added a supplementary comment at the bottom of the Rules on 01/21/2021.\nThe contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which names the party whose candidate wins the 2020 election to the House of Representatives from New York's 22nd Congressional District. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.\nPredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n\nSupplementary Comment(s)\n\nCreated On: 01/21/2021 2:09 PM (ET)\nIn response to trader inquiry: Should this race be ordered to be re-run, it will be considered to be a continuation of the 2020 election for purposes of this market.\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Which party will win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6867/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
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"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate on Election Day wins the 2024 U.S. presidential election.\nShould the winner of the presidential election not be the candidate of any party listed in this market at the time of resolution, all contracts shall resolve to No. Should no presidential election be held in the United States in 2024, all contracts in this market shall resolve to No.\nShould the winner of the presidential election be the candidate of the Democratic Party or the Republican Party, this market shall resolve in favor of such winning party, regardless of any candidacy, association, endorsement, or relationship the winning candidate may also hold with or from any other party.\nPredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Which party will control the Senate after 2022 election?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6874/Which-party-will-control-the-Senate-after-2022-election",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
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"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party that, at the End Date listed below, enjoys the support of more than half of the voting members of the U.S. Senate or, in the event that the vice president has the same party affiliation, the support of half or more of the voting members. For purposes of resolving this market, a Senator's party affiliation or support shall be determined by whichever party’s caucus she or he is a member of on the End Date.\nPredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time.\nPredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 01/31/2023 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Which party will win the House in the 2022 election?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6892/Which-party-will-win-the-House-in-the-2022-election",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
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"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify the political party whose candidates are elected in a majority of districts in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2022 general election. A candidate shall be considered to be associated with a political party if such candidate is elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party or in the event that such candidate, as of 12:01 a.m. (ET) on November 8, 2022, most recently publicly stated an intention to caucus with that party.\nFor purposes of resolving this market, delegates and resident Commissioners who are members of the House shall not be considered.\nDetermination of the winners of House seats shall be based on state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results for each state; provided that, if a certification or other final official determination is challenged, PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. PredictIt also reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any other ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.\nIf there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "How many U.S. House delegations will Republicans win in the 2020 election?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6925/How-many-US-House-delegations-will-Republicans-win-in-the-2020-election",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
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"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which corresponds to the number of U.S. House state delegations controlled by the Republican Party as a result of the 2020 general election. The Republican Party shall be considered to control any state delegation in which a majority of representatives have been elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise readily identifiable party preference as Republican on the day of the election. Should such preference be unidentifiable, a candidate shall be considered a Republican only if prior to the election he or she has most recently indicated an intention to caucus with Republicans.\nDetermination of a House seat won shall be based on state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2020 U.S. House election results for such state; provided that, if a certification or other final official determination is challenged, PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.\nMembers of the House of Representatives who are \"delegates” or “resident commissioners” not chosen by the people of a state are not included for purposes of resolving this market.\nIf there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Secretary of State on Feb. 15?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6944/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Secretary-of-State-on-Feb-15",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
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"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S. Secretary of State subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of State be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 02/15/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Will there be more than 9 Supreme Court justices at any point in 2021?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6946/Will-there-be-more-than-9-Supreme-Court-justices-at-any-point-in-2021",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": true,
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"Percentage": "8%",
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"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, at any point during the 2021 calendar year, there are more than nine current members of the United States Supreme Court.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 12/31/2021 5:00 PM (ET)\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Secretary of Defense on Mar. 1?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6949/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Secretary-of-Defense-on-Mar-1",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
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"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S. Secretary of Defense subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of Defense be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Secretary of Labor on Mar. 1?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6951/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Secretary-of-Labor-on-Mar-1",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
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"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S. Secretary of Labor subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of Labor be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Attorney General on Mar. 1?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6952/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Attorney-General-on-Mar-1",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
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"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S. Attorney General subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of Attorney General be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Will Kamala Harris file to run for president before the end of 2022?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6953/Will-Kamala-Harris-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2022",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": true,
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"Percentage": "24%",
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"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Kamala Harris becomes a candidate for president of the United States in the 2024 general election, by filing a Statement of Candidacy with the Federal Election Commission before the End Date listed below. Filing by an authorized representative of the candidate shall be deemed filing by the candidate.\nAbsent such filing or decision, the market will not resolve to Yes, notwithstanding declarations by Ms. Harris and/or her representatives regarding intentions to run, fundraising activities, hiring of campaign staff, and/or establishment of other campaign infrastructure.\nThe filing of clerical, corrective, or other administrative updates, amendments, or disclosures related to Ms. Harris' previous presidential campaigns or campaign committees will be insufficient to cause this market to resolve as Yes.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 12/31/2022 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Treasury Secretary on Mar. 1?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6957/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Treasury-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
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"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S. Secretary of the Treasury subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of the Treasury be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed HUD Secretary on Mar. 1?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6958/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-HUD-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
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"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of Housing and Urban Development be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed HHS Secretary on Mar. 1?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6965/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-HHS-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
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"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of Health and Human Services be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Commerce Secretary on Mar. 1?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6966/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Commerce-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
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"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S. Secretary of Commerce subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of Commerce be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Homeland Security Secretary on Mar. 1?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6971/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Homeland-Security-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
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"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S. Secretary of Homeland Security subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of Homeland Security be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Energy Secretary on Mar. 1?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6972/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Energy-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
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"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S. Secretary of Energy subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of Energy be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Will Mike Pence file to run for president before the end of 2022?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6975/Will-Mike-Pence-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2022",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": true,
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"Percentage": "21%",
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"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Mike Pence becomes a candidate for president of the United States in the 2024 general election, by filing a Statement of Candidacy with the Federal Election Commission before the End Date listed below. Filing by an authorized representative of the candidate shall be deemed filing by the candidate.\nAbsent such filing or decision, the market will not resolve to Yes, notwithstanding declarations by Mr. Pence and/or his representatives regarding intentions to run, fundraising activities, hiring of campaign staff, and/or establishment of other campaign infrastructure.\nThe filing of clerical, corrective, or other administrative updates, amendments, or disclosures related to Mr. Pence's previous campaigns or campaign committees will be insufficient to cause this market to resolve as Yes.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 12/31/2022 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Interior Secretary on Mar. 1?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6976/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Interior-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
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"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S. Secretary of the Interior subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of the Interior be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed CIA Director on Mar. 1?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6977/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-CIA-Director-on-Mar-1",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
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"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as Director of the Central Intelligence Agency subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of Director of the Central Intelligence Agency be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Secretary of Education on Mar. 1?",
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"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6978/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Secretary-of-Education-on-Mar-1",
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"Platform": "PredictIt",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S. Secretary of Education subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of Education be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Transportation Secretary on Mar. 1?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6979/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Transportation-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S. Secretary of Transportation subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of Transportation be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Agriculture Secretary on Mar. 1?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6980/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Agriculture-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S. Secretary of Agriculture subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of Agriculture be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed EPA Administrator on Mar. 1?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6981/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-EPA-Administrator-on-Mar-1",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run in the 2022 Democratic primary in NY-14?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6983/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-run-in-the-2022-Democratic-primary-in-NY-14",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "48%",
|
||
"Description": "Please Note: PredictIt added a supplementary comment at the bottom of the Rules on 11/19/2020.\nThis market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is a ballot-listed candidate in the 2022 Democratic primary election for Representative in Congress from New York's 14th District. Should no such primary election be held, due to Ms. Ocasio-Cortez running unopposed, this market will resolve as Yes.\nPredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time. PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n\nSupplementary Comment(s)\n\nCreated On: 11/19/2020 9:55 AM (ET)\nIn response to trader inquiry: The Rules expressly state that this market concerns whether Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will be \"a ballot-listed candidate in the 2022 Democratic primary election for Representative in Congress from New York's 14th District.\" If she is not a ballot-listed candidate in such primary in the district numbered NY-14, this market will resolve No.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Veterans Affairs Secretary on Mar. 1?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6987/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Veterans-Affairs-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as U.S. Secretary of Veterans Affairs subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of Secretary of Veterans Affairs be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Director of National Intelligence on Mar. 1?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6989/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Director-of-National-Intelligence-on-Mar-1",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as Director of National Intelligence subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of Director of National Intelligence be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Amy Klobuchar be confirmed to a Cabinet position by Mar. 1?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6990/Will-Amy-Klobuchar-be-confirmed-to-a-Cabinet-position-by-Mar-1",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "1%",
|
||
"Description": "This contract shall resolve to Yes in the event that Senator Amy Klobuchar has been confirmed by the U.S. Senate to serve in a Cabinet position before the End Date listed below.\nFor the purpose of resolving this market, the Cabinet shall be defined as the Attorney General; the Secretaries of Agriculture, Commerce, Defense, Education, Energy, Health and Human Services, Homeland Security, Housing and Urban Development, Interior, Labor, State, Transportation, Treasury, and Veterans Affairs; United States Trade Representative; and the heads of the Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Management and Budget, Central Intelligence Agency, Office of the Director of National Intelligence, and Small Business Administration.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Elizabeth Warren be confirmed to a Cabinet position by Mar. 1?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6991/Will-Elizabeth-Warren-be-confirmed-to-a-Cabinet-position-by-Mar-1",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "1%",
|
||
"Description": "This contract shall resolve to Yes in the event that Senator Elizabeth Warren has been confirmed by the U.S. Senate to serve in a Cabinet position before the End Date listed below.\nFor the purpose of resolving this market, the Cabinet shall be defined as the Attorney General; the Secretaries of Agriculture, Commerce, Defense, Education, Energy, Health and Human Services, Homeland Security, Housing and Urban Development, Interior, Labor, State, Transportation, Treasury, and Veterans Affairs; United States Trade Representative; and the heads of the Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Management and Budget, Central Intelligence Agency, Office of the Director of National Intelligence, and Small Business Administration.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed OMB Director on Mar. 1?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6992/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-OMB-Director-on-Mar-1",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as Director of the Office of Management and Budget subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of Director of the Office of Management and Budget be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed U.S. Trade Representative on Mar. 1?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6993/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-US-Trade-Representative-on-Mar-1",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as United States Trade Representative subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of United States Trade Representative be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Donald Trump file to run for president before the end of 2021?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6994/Will-Donald-Trump-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2021",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "33%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Donald Trump becomes a candidate for president of the United States in the 2024 general election by filing a Statement of Candidacy with the Federal Election Commission, or by amending an existing Statement of Candidacy, designating a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election, or otherwise filing with the FEC a communication having the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for that election, before the End Date listed below. Filing by an authorized representative of the candidate shall be deemed filing by the candidate.\nAbsent such filing or decision, the market will not resolve to Yes, notwithstanding declarations by Mr. Trump and/or his representatives regarding intentions to run, fundraising activities, hiring of campaign staff, and/or establishment of other campaign infrastructure.\nThe filing of clerical, corrective, or other administrative updates, amendments, or disclosures related to Mr. Trump's previous campaigns or campaign committees will be insufficient to cause this market to resolve as Yes.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 12/31/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Which party will win the 2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7000/Which-party-will-win-the-2021-New-Jersey-gubernatorial-election",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which names the party whose candidate wins the 2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.\nPredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Which party will win the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7001/Which-party-will-win-the-2021-Virginia-gubernatorial-election",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which names the party whose candidate wins the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.\nFor purposes of this market, only one candidate can represent a party listed in a contract. A candidate running as an independent would not be considered to represent the Republican party or Democratic party, even if that candidate otherwise identifies as a member of one of those parties.\nPredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Who will be elected New York City mayor in 2021?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7002/Who-will-be-elected-New-York-City-mayor-in-2021",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual elected Mayor of New York, NY in the 2021 general election. PredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time.\nPredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Andrew Yang run in the 2021 NYC Democratic Mayoral primary?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7003/Will-Andrew-Yang-run-in-the-2021-NYC-Democratic-Mayoral-primary",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "96%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Andrew Yang is a ballot-listed candidate in the 2021 Democratic primary election for mayor of New York City. Should no such primary election be held, due to Mr. Yang running unopposed, this market will resolve as Yes.\nPredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time. PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Israel hold national elections for Knesset in 2021?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7007/Will-Israel-hold-national-elections-for-Knesset-in-2021",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "99%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Israel holds national elections for members of the Knesset during the 2021 calendar year.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 12/31/2021 4:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will a woman be elected U.S. president in 2024?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7013/Will-a-woman-be-elected-US-president-in-2024",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "41%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that a female candidate wins the 2024 U.S. presidential election.\nPredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time.\nPredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez file to run for president before the end of 2023?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7014/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2023",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "20%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez becomes a candidate for president of the United States in the 2024 general election, by filing a Statement of Candidacy with the Federal Election Commission before the End Date listed below. Filing by an authorized representative of the candidate shall be deemed filing by the candidate.\nAbsent such filing or decision, the market will not resolve to Yes, notwithstanding declarations by Ms. Ocasio-Cortez and/or her representatives regarding intentions to run, fundraising activities, hiring of campaign staff, and/or establishment of other campaign infrastructure.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 12/31/2023 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run in the 2022 NY Democratic Senate primary?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7015/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-run-in-the-2022-NY-Democratic-Senate-primary",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "25%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is a ballot-listed candidate in the 2022 Democratic primary election for Senator from New York. Should no such primary election be held, due to Ms. Ocasio-Cortez running unopposed, this market will resolve as Yes.\nPredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time. PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania in 2022?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7016/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Pennsylvania-in-2022",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The winner of the 2022 Pennsylvania general election for U.S. Senate shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the contract. PredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time.\nPredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina in 2022?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7017/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-North-Carolina-in-2022",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The winner of the 2022 North Carolina general election for U.S. Senate shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the contract. PredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time.\nPredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Donald Trump Jr. run in the 2022 Pennsylvania Republican Senate primary?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7018/Will-Donald-Trump-Jr-run-in-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Republican-Senate-primary",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "12%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Donald Trump Jr. is a ballot-listed candidate in the 2022 Republican primary election for Senator from Pennsylvania. Should no such primary election be held, due to Mr. Trump running unopposed, this market will resolve as Yes.\nPredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time. PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Lara Trump run in the 2022 North Carolina Republican Senate primary?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7019/Will-Lara-Trump-run-in-the-2022-North-Carolina-Republican-Senate-primary",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "38%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Lara Lea Trump is a ballot-listed candidate in the 2022 Republican primary election for Senator from North Carolina. Should no such primary election be held, due to Ms. Trump running unopposed, this market will resolve as Yes.\nPredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time. PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed USAID Administrator on Mar. 16?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7020/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-USAID-Administrator-on-Mar-16",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "Please Note: PredictIt added a supplementary comment at the bottom of the Rules on 12/31/2020.\nThe contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who, as of the End Date listed below, serves as Administrator of the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) subsequent to Senate-confirmation to that office. Upon the End Date, should the office of USAID Administrator be vacant or filled on an interim basis, all contracts shall resolve to No.\nContracts identifying additional individuals may be added to this market, as circumstances warrant, at any time prior to settlement.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/16/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n\nSupplementary Comment(s)\n\nCreated On: 12/31/2020 9:01 AM (ET)\nNote: A typographical error in the title was corrected to Mar. 16, the End Date set forth in the Rules\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Ivanka Trump run in the 2022 Florida Republican Senate primary?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7021/Will-Ivanka-Trump-run-in-the-2022-Florida-Republican-Senate-primary",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "26%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Ivanka Trump is a ballot-listed candidate in the 2022 Republican primary election for Senator from Florida. Should no such primary election be held, due to Ms. Trump running unopposed, this market will resolve as Yes.\nPredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time. PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Florida in 2022?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7024/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Florida-in-2022",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The winner of the 2022 Florida general election for U.S. Senate shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the contract. PredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time.\nPredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Who will win the 2021 Virginia Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7030/Who-will-win-the-2021-Virginia-Democratic-gubernatorial-primary",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2021 Virginia Democratic gubernatorial primary election. PredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time.\nShould no such primary election be held, due to a single candidate running unopposed, that candidate will be considered the winner of the primary election for purposes of this market.\nPredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be prime minister of Israel on June 30, 2021?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7035/Will-Benjamin-Netanyahu-be-prime-minister-of-Israel-on-June-30,-2021",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "71%",
|
||
"Description": "This contract shall resolve to Yes in the event that Benjamin Netanyahu is prime minister of Israel upon the End Date listed below, according to the United Nations' Protocol and Liaison Service's list of heads of state, located upon launch of this market at protocol.un.org/dgacm/pls/site.nsf/HSHGNFA.xsp (the \"Settlement Source\"). \nShould that Settlement Source not be available or not appear to be updated in a timely manner, PredictIt may at its sole discretion await its availability or select an alternate settlement source.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 06/30/2021 4:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "How many seats will Israel's Likud Party win in the next Knesset election?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7036/How-many-seats-will-Israel's-Likud-Party-win-in-the-next-Knesset-election",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the number of seats in the Knesset won by the Likud Party in Israel's next legislative election.\nPredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time.\nPredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will there be enough signatures by Mar. 17 for a vote on recall of Gov. Newsom?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7039/Will-there-be-enough-signatures-by-Mar-17-for-a-vote-on-recall-of-Gov-Newsom",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "67%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that proponents of the recall of California Governor Gavin Newsom shall, by March 17, 2021, file recall petitions sufficient to trigger a recall election. Review of any such timely filed petitions for sufficiency to trigger such recall election need not be complete by March 17, 2021. Any extension of time that may be granted to recall efforts currently underway shall have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\nPredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time. PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Who will be chancellor of Germany on Dec. 31?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7040/Who-will-be-chancellor-of-Germany-on-Dec-31",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the Chancellor of Germany upon the End Date listed below, according to the United Nations' Protocol and Liaison Service's list of heads of state, located upon launch of this market at protocol.un.org/dgacm/pls/site.nsf/HSHGNFA.xsp (the \"Settlement Source\"). \nShould that settlement source not be available or not appear to be updated in a timely manner, PredictIt may at its sole discretion await its availability or select an alternate settlement source.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 12/31/2021 6:00 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Who will win the 2021 Virginia Republican gubernatorial nomination?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7041/Who-will-win-the-2021-Virginia-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2021 Virginia Republican gubernatorial nomination. PredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time.\nPredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will the Senate convict Donald Trump in Biden's first 100 days?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7050/Will-the-Senate-convict-Donald-Trump-in-Biden's-first-100-days",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "8%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, after noon (ET) January 20, 2021 but before the End Date listed below, the U.S. Senate shall, by a vote of at least two-thirds of the Members present, convict Donald J. Trump on one or more articles of impeachment.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 04/29/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Lisa Murkowski be a Republican on April 1?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7051/Will-Lisa-Murkowski-be-a-Republican-on-April-1",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "91%",
|
||
"Description": "This market will resolve to Yes in the event that Senator Lisa Murkowski publicly identifies herself as a member of the Republican Party as of the End Date listed below. Senator Murkowski's continued participation or membership in the Senate Republican Conference as of the End Date shall not be sufficient by itself to cause this market to resolve to Yes.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 04/01/2021 12:01 AM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Who will win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7053/Who-will-win-the-2024-Republican-presidential-nomination",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the person who wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Replacement of the nominee for any reason prior to election day will have no impact on the resolution of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by Apr. 29?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7054/How-many-Senators-will-vote-to-convict-Donald-Trump-on-incitement-by-Apr-29",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which corresponds to the number of members of the U.S. Senate casting votes to convict Donald J. Trump on the charge of incitement of insurrection, before the End Date listed below.\nShould no such vote conclude before the End Date, or should such vote result in acquittal of Mr. Trump via voice vote or other procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, the contract identifying the range \"50 or fewer\" shall resolve to Yes. Should such vote result in the conviction of Mr. Trump via voice vote or other procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, the contract identifying the range \"67 or more\" shall resolve to Yes.\nThis market shall close upon the first such Senate vote. Any subsequent such Senate vote shall have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The Vice President, as President of the Senate, is not a Senator for purposes of this market.\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, and cloture or other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 04/29/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Mitch McConnell vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7055/Will-Mitch-McConnell-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "19%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, by the End Date listed below, the U.S. Senate shall hold a vote on the conviction of Donald J. Trump in a Senate trial on the charge of incitement of insurrection (\"Senate Vote\"), and Senator Mitch McConnell (R-KY) votes to convict. Should no such Senate Vote conclude by the End Date, this market will resolve to No.\nThis market shall close upon the first such Senate Vote. Any subsequent Senate Vote shall have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\nAny Senate vote on potential conviction that does not result in the recording of votes shall not be considered sufficient for this market to resolve to Yes, regardless of the outcome of that vote. Any other type of vote (e.g., procedural votes, votes on whether to dismiss charges without trial, or votes on whether to call witnesses), shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 04/29/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Mitt Romney vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7056/Will-Mitt-Romney-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "93%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, by the End Date listed below, the U.S. Senate shall hold a vote on the conviction of Donald J. Trump in a Senate trial on the charge of incitement of insurrection (\"Senate Vote\"), and Senator Mitt Romney (R-UT) votes to convict. Should no such Senate Vote conclude by the End Date, this market will resolve to No.\nThis market shall close upon the first such Senate Vote. Any subsequent Senate Vote shall have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\nAny Senate vote on potential conviction that does not result in the recording of votes shall not be considered sufficient for this market to resolve to Yes, regardless of the outcome of that vote. Any other type of vote (e.g., procedural votes, votes on whether to dismiss charges without trial, or votes on whether to call witnesses), shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 04/29/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Who will win the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the person who wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Replacement of the nominee for any reason prior to election day will have no impact on the resolution of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Susan Collins vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7058/Will-Susan-Collins-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "67%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, by the End Date listed below, the U.S. Senate shall hold a vote on the conviction of Donald J. Trump in a Senate trial on the charge of incitement of insurrection (\"Senate Vote\"), and Senator Susan Collins (R-ME) votes to convict. Should no such Senate Vote conclude by the End Date, this market will resolve to No.\nThis market shall close upon the first such Senate Vote. Any subsequent Senate Vote shall have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\nAny Senate vote on potential conviction that does not result in the recording of votes shall not be considered sufficient for this market to resolve to Yes, regardless of the outcome of that vote. Any other type of vote (e.g., procedural votes, votes on whether to dismiss charges without trial, or votes on whether to call witnesses), shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 04/29/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will John Thune vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7059/Will-John-Thune-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "12%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, by the End Date listed below, the U.S. Senate shall hold a vote on the conviction of Donald J. Trump in a Senate trial on the charge of incitement of insurrection (\"Senate Vote\"), and Senator John Thune (R-SD) votes to convict. Should no such Senate Vote conclude by the End Date, this market will resolve to No.\nThis market shall close upon the first such Senate Vote. Any subsequent Senate Vote shall have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\nAny Senate vote on potential conviction that does not result in the recording of votes shall not be considered sufficient for this market to resolve to Yes, regardless of the outcome of that vote. Any other type of vote (e.g., procedural votes, votes on whether to dismiss charges without trial, or votes on whether to call witnesses), shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 04/29/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "How many seats will Holland's VVD win in the next election?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7060/How-many-seats-will-Holland's-VVD-win-in-the-next-election",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the number of parliamentary seats won by the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) in the Netherlands' next general election.\nPredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time.\nPredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Thom Tillis vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7066/Will-Thom-Tillis-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "6%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, by the End Date listed below, the U.S. Senate shall hold a vote on the conviction of Donald J. Trump in a Senate trial on the charge of incitement of insurrection (\"Senate Vote\"), and Senator Thom Tillis (R-NC) votes to convict. Should no such Senate Vote conclude by the End Date, this market will resolve to No.\nThis market shall close upon the first such Senate Vote. Any subsequent Senate Vote shall have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\nAny Senate vote on potential conviction that does not result in the recording of votes shall not be considered sufficient for this market to resolve to Yes, regardless of the outcome of that vote. Any other type of vote (e.g., procedural votes, votes on whether to dismiss charges without trial, or votes on whether to call witnesses), shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 04/29/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Joe Manchin vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7067/Will-Joe-Manchin-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "92%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, by the End Date listed below, the U.S. Senate shall hold a vote on the conviction of Donald J. Trump in a Senate trial on the charge of incitement of insurrection (\"Senate Vote\"), and Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV) votes to convict. Should no such Senate Vote conclude by the End Date, this market will resolve to No.\nThis market shall close upon the first such Senate Vote. Any subsequent Senate Vote shall have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\nAny Senate vote on potential conviction that does not result in the recording of votes shall not be considered sufficient for this market to resolve to Yes, regardless of the outcome of that vote. Any other type of vote (e.g., procedural votes, votes on whether to dismiss charges without trial, or votes on whether to call witnesses), shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 04/29/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Who will be elected mayor of Boston in 2021?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7068/Who-will-be-elected-mayor-of-Boston-in-2021",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the person elected Mayor of Boston, MA in the first mayoral election held in 2021. PredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time.\nPredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Richard Burr vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7070/Will-Richard-Burr-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "10%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, by the End Date listed below, the U.S. Senate shall hold a vote on the conviction of Donald J. Trump in a Senate trial on the charge of incitement of insurrection (\"Senate Vote\"), and Senator Richard Burr (R-NC) votes to convict. Should no such Senate Vote conclude by the End Date, this market will resolve to No.\nThis market shall close upon the first such Senate Vote. Any subsequent Senate Vote shall have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\nAny Senate vote on potential conviction that does not result in the recording of votes shall not be considered sufficient for this market to resolve to Yes, regardless of the outcome of that vote. Any other type of vote (e.g., procedural votes, votes on whether to dismiss charges without trial, or votes on whether to call witnesses), shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 04/29/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Rob Portman vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7071/Will-Rob-Portman-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "28%",
|
||
"Description": "Please Note: PredictIt added a supplementary comment at the bottom of the Rules on 01/25/2021.\nThis market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, by the End Date listed below, the U.S. Senate shall hold a vote on the conviction of Donald J. Trump in a Senate trial on the charge of incitement of insurrection (\"Senate Vote\"), and Senator Rob Portman (R-OH) votes to convict. Should no such Senate Vote conclude by the End Date, this market will resolve to No.\nThis market shall close upon the first such Senate Vote. Any subsequent Senate Vote shall have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\nAny Senate vote on potential conviction that does not result in the recording of votes shall not be considered sufficient for this market to resolve to Yes, regardless of the outcome of that vote. Any other type of vote (e.g., procedural votes, votes on whether to dismiss charges without trial, or votes on whether to call witnesses), shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 04/29/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n\nSupplementary Comment(s)\n\nCreated On: 01/25/2021 1:45 PM (ET)\nNote: Senator Portman's state has been corrected to Ohio\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will the Senate censure Ted Cruz before May 1?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7072/Will-the-Senate-censure-Ted-Cruz-before-May-1",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "12%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that the U.S. Senate formally censures (sometimes referred to as condemnation or denouncement) Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) before the End Date listed below.\nA censure vote will be considered to have commenced once at least one Senator has cast a vote. So long as such a vote commences before the End Date, the full results of the vote will be used to resolve this market, even if the vote concludes after the End Date. The results of the vote need not be available at the identified settlement source at the End Date.\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 04/30/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "How many Senators vote to confirm Gina Raimondo as Commerce Secretary?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7073/How-many-Senators-vote-to-confirm-Gina-Raimondo-as-Commerce-Secretary",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall correspond to the number or range of votes cast in the U.S. Senate, in a vote commencing before the End Date listed below, in favor of the confirmation of Gina Raimondo to the position of Secretary of Commerce, according to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or, should that source be unavailable, the Congressional Record or other official source.\nA vote on the nomination shall be considered to have commenced once at least one Senator has cast a vote. So long as such a vote commences before the End Date, the full results of the vote will be used to resolve this market, even if the vote concludes after the End Date. The results of the vote need not be available at the identified settlement source at the End Date.\nShould no confirmation vote on the nomination of Ms. Raimondo to the position of Secretary of Commerce commence before the End Date; or should such a vote result in the rejection of the nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes; or should Ms. Raimondo be confirmed to position of Secretary of Commerce in a vote that commences only after the End Date; the contract identifying the range \"67 or fewer\" shall resolve to Yes. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, the contract identifying the range \"92 or more\" shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Ms. Raimondo to the position of Secretary of Commerce be held before the End Date, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. \nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will the Senate censure Josh Hawley before May 1?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7074/Will-the-Senate-censure-Josh-Hawley-before-May-1",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "15%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that the U.S. Senate formally censures (sometimes referred to as condemnation or denouncement) Senator Josh Hawley (R-MO) before the End Date listed below.\nA censure vote will be considered to have commenced once at least one Senator has cast a vote. So long as such a vote commences before the End Date, the full results of the vote will be used to resolve this market, even if the vote concludes after the End Date. The results of the vote need not be available at the identified settlement source at the End Date.\nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 04/30/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Biden policy to raise minimum wage to $15 per hour in 2021 succeed?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7075/Will-Biden-policy-to-raise-minimum-wage-to-$15-per-hour-in-2021-succeed",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "7%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that the federal minimum wage in effect for covered non-exempt employees is $15 or more per hour at any point between the launch of this market and the End Date listed below, according to the U.S. Department of Labor. \nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 12/31/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Lisa Murkowski vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7077/Will-Lisa-Murkowski-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "81%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, by the End Date listed below, the U.S. Senate shall hold a vote on the conviction of Donald J. Trump in a Senate trial on the charge of incitement of insurrection (\"Senate Vote\"), and Senator Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) votes to convict. Should no such Senate Vote conclude by the End Date, this market will resolve to No.\nThis market shall close upon the first such Senate Vote. Any subsequent Senate Vote shall have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\nAny Senate vote on potential conviction that does not result in the recording of votes shall not be considered sufficient for this market to resolve to Yes, regardless of the outcome of that vote. Any other type of vote (e.g., procedural votes, votes on whether to dismiss charges without trial, or votes on whether to call witnesses), shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 04/29/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Italy hold national elections before June 1?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7078/Will-Italy-hold-national-elections-before-June-1",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "24%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that ltaly holds national legislative elections before the End Date listed below.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 05/31/2021 4:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Ben Sasse vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7080/Will-Ben-Sasse-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "79%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, by the End Date listed below, the U.S. Senate shall hold a vote on the conviction of Donald J. Trump in a Senate trial on the charge of incitement of insurrection (\"Senate Vote\"), and Senator Ben Sasse (R-NE) votes to convict. Should no such Senate Vote conclude by the End Date, this market will resolve to No.\nThis market shall close upon the first such Senate Vote. Any subsequent Senate Vote shall have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\nAny Senate vote on potential conviction that does not result in the recording of votes shall not be considered sufficient for this market to resolve to Yes, regardless of the outcome of that vote. Any other type of vote (e.g., procedural votes, votes on whether to dismiss charges without trial, or votes on whether to call witnesses), shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 04/29/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "How many Senators vote to confirm Jennifer Granholm as Energy Secretary?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7081/How-many-Senators-vote-to-confirm-Jennifer-Granholm-as-Energy-Secretary",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall correspond to the number or range of votes cast in the U.S. Senate, in a vote commencing before the End Date listed below, in favor of the confirmation of Jennifer Granholm to the position of Secretary of Energy, according to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or, should that source be unavailable, the Congressional Record or other official source.\nA vote on the nomination shall be considered to have commenced once at least one Senator has cast a vote. So long as such a vote commences before the End Date, the full results of the vote will be used to resolve this market, even if the vote concludes after the End Date. The results of the vote need not be available at the identified settlement source at the End Date.\nShould no confirmation vote on the nomination of Ms. Granholm to the position of Secretary of Energy commence before the End Date; or should such a vote result in the rejection of the nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes; or should Ms. Granholm be confirmed to position of Secretary of Energy in a vote that commences only after the End Date; the contract identifying the range \"67 or fewer\" shall resolve to Yes. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, the contract identifying the range \"92 or more\" shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Ms. Granholm to the position of Secretary of Energy be held before the End Date, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. \nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2022 Arkansas GOP gubernatorial primary?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7082/Will-Sarah-Huckabee-Sanders-win-the-2022-Arkansas-GOP-gubernatorial-primary",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "79%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Sarah Huckabee Sanders wins the 2022 Arkansas Republican gubernatorial primary election. Should no such primary election be held, due to a single candidate running unopposed, that candidate will be considered the winner of the primary election for purposes of this market. \nPredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time. PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will the District of Columbia become a U.S. state in 2021?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7083/Will-the-District-of-Columbia-become-a-US-state-in-2021",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "11%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that the territory known upon launch of this market as the District of Columbia is admitted to the Union (regardless of name change) as a single state, and such admission has taken effect by the End Date listed below. The exclusion of portions of the present District of Columbia from the territory admitted to the Union shall have no bearing on the settlement of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 12/31/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Pat Toomey vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7084/Will-Pat-Toomey-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "67%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, by the End Date listed below, the U.S. Senate shall hold a vote on the conviction of Donald J. Trump in a Senate trial on the charge of incitement of insurrection (\"Senate Vote\"), and Senator Pat Toomey (R-PA) votes to convict. Should no such Senate Vote conclude by the End Date, this market will resolve to No.\nThis market shall close upon the first such Senate Vote. Any subsequent Senate Vote shall have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\nAny Senate vote on potential conviction that does not result in the recording of votes shall not be considered sufficient for this market to resolve to Yes, regardless of the outcome of that vote. Any other type of vote (e.g., procedural votes, votes on whether to dismiss charges without trial, or votes on whether to call witnesses), shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 04/29/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Ohio in 2022?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7085/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Ohio-in-2022",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The winner of the 2022 Ohio general election for U.S. Senate shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the contract. PredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time.\nPredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "How many Senators vote to confirm Marcia Fudge as HUD Secretary?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7086/How-many-Senators-vote-to-confirm-Marcia-Fudge-as-HUD-Secretary",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall correspond to the number or range of votes cast in the U.S. Senate, in a vote commencing before the End Date listed below, in favor of the confirmation of Rep. Marcia Fudge (D-OH) to the position of Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, according to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or, should that source be unavailable, the Congressional Record or other official source.\nA vote on the nomination shall be considered to have commenced once at least one Senator has cast a vote. So long as such a vote commences before the End Date, the full results of the vote will be used to resolve this market, even if the vote concludes after the End Date. The results of the vote need not be available at the identified settlement source at the End Date.\nShould no confirmation vote on the nomination of Rep. Fudge to the position of Secretary of Housing and Urban Development commence before the End Date; or should such a vote result in the rejection of the nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes; or should Rep. Fudge be confirmed to position of Secretary of Housing and Urban Development in a vote that commences only after the End Date; the contract identifying the range \"61 or fewer\" shall resolve to Yes. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, the contract identifying the range \"86 or more\" shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Rep. Fudge to the position of Secretary of Housing and Urban Development be held before the End Date, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. \nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Who will win the 2022 Ohio Republican Senate primary?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7087/Who-will-win-the-2022-Ohio-Republican-Senate-primary",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2022 Ohio Republican primary election for U.S. Senate. Should no such primary election be held, due to a single candidate running unopposed, that candidate will be considered the winner of the primary election for purposes of this market.\nPredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances. If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Puerto Rico become a U.S. state in 2021?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7088/Will-Puerto-Rico-become-a-US-state-in-2021",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "7%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that the territory known upon launch of this market as the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico is admitted to the Union (regardless of name change) as a single state, and such admission has taken effect by the End Date listed below. The exclusion of portions of the present commonwealth from the territory admitted to the Union shall have no bearing on the settlement of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 12/31/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Chuck Grassley vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7089/Will-Chuck-Grassley-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "7%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, by the End Date listed below, the U.S. Senate shall hold a vote on the conviction of Donald J. Trump in a Senate trial on the charge of incitement of insurrection (\"Senate Vote\"), and Senator Chuck Grassley (R-IA) votes to convict. Should no such Senate Vote conclude by the End Date, this market will resolve to No.\nThis market shall close upon the first such Senate Vote. Any subsequent Senate Vote shall have no bearing on the resolution of this market.\nAny Senate vote on potential conviction that does not result in the recording of votes shall not be considered sufficient for this market to resolve to Yes, regardless of the outcome of that vote. Any other type of vote (e.g., procedural votes, votes on whether to dismiss charges without trial, or votes on whether to call witnesses), shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 04/29/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "How many Senators vote to confirm L. Thomas-Greenfield as UN Ambassador by 3/15?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7090/How-many-Senators-vote-to-confirm-L-Thomas-Greenfield-as-UN-Ambassador-by-3-15",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall correspond to the number or range of votes cast in the U.S. Senate, in a vote commencing before the End Date listed below, in favor of the confirmation of Linda Thomas-Greenfield to the position of Ambassador to the United Nations, according to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or, should that source be unavailable, the Congressional Record or other official source.\nA vote on the nomination shall be considered to have commenced once at least one Senator has cast a vote. So long as such a vote commences before the End Date, the full results of the vote will be used to resolve this market, even if the vote concludes after the End Date. The results of the vote need not be available at the identified settlement source at the End Date.\nShould no confirmation vote on the nomination of Ms. Thomas-Greenfield to the position of Ambassador to the United Nations commence before the End Date; or should such a vote result in the rejection of the nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes; or should Ms. Thomas-Greenfield be confirmed to position of Ambassador to the United Nations in a vote that commences only after the End Date; the contract identifying the range \"58 or fewer\" shall resolve to Yes. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, the contract identifying the range \"83 or more\" shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Ms. Thomas-Greenfield to the position of Ambassador to the United Nations be held before the End Date, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. \nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/15/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "How many Biden Cabinet members will be confirmed by Mar. 1?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7091/How-many-Biden-Cabinet-members-will-be-confirmed-by-Mar-1",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the number of members of the U.S. Cabinet who have been confirmed by the Senate to their respective positions by the End Date listed below.\nFor purposes of resolving this market, the Cabinet shall be understood to consist of the following 23 positions –\nThe Secretaries of: Agriculture, Commerce, Defense, Education, Energy, Health and Human Services, Homeland Security, Housing and Urban Development, Interior, Labor, State, Transportation, Treasury and Veterans Affairs --\nAnd the Attorney General, US Ambassador to the United Nations, Director of National Intelligence and US Trade Representative --\nAnd the heads of the: Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Management and Budget, Council of Economic Advisers, Office of Science and Technology Policy and Small Business Administration.\nAny confirmation vote that may be underway, but have not concluded, upon the End Date shall not be considered for the purpose of resolving this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will the federal minimum wage be $9.50 per hour or higher by September 1?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7092/Will-the-federal-minimum-wage-be-$950-per-hour-or-higher-by-September-1",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "40%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that the federal minimum wage in effect for covered non-exempt employees is $9.50 or more per hour at any point between the launch of this market and the End Date listed below, according to the U.S. Department of Labor. \nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 09/01/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "How many Senators vote to confirm Tom Vilsack as Agriculture Sec. by 3/31?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7093/How-many-Senators-vote-to-confirm-Tom-Vilsack-as-Agriculture-Sec-by-3-31",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall correspond to the number or range of votes cast in the U.S. Senate, in a vote commencing before the End Date listed below, in favor of the confirmation of Tom Vilsack to the position of Secretary of Agriculture, according to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or, should that source be unavailable, the Congressional Record or other official source.\nA vote on the nomination shall be considered to have commenced once at least one Senator has cast a vote. So long as such a vote commences before the End Date, the full results of the vote will be used to resolve this market, even if the vote concludes after the End Date. The results of the vote need not be available at the identified settlement source at the End Date.\nShould no confirmation vote on the nomination of Mr. Vilsack to the position of Secretary of Agriculture commence before the End Date; or should such a vote result in the rejection of the nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes; or should Mr. Vilsack be confirmed to position of Secretary of Agriculture in a vote that commences only after the End Date; the contract identifying the range \"70 or fewer\" shall resolve to Yes. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, the contract identifying the range \"95 or more\" shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Mr. Vilsack to the position of Secretary of Agriculture be held before the End Date, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. \nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/31/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will the Senate subpoena any witnesses in trial of President Trump by Feb. 28?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7094/Will-the-Senate-subpoena-any-witnesses-in-trial-of-President-Trump-by-Feb-28",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "24%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes if, in the trial of Donald J. Trump, the Senate shall vote, by the End Date listed below, to approve, issue, authorize or enforce a subpoena of any specific witness or witnesses. A vote to hear testimony from a witness who appears voluntarily without being subpoenaed will not cause this market to resolve Yes.\nA vote will be considered to have commenced once at least one Senator has cast a vote. So long as such a vote commences during the prescribed period of time, the full results of the vote will be used to resolve this market, even if the vote concludes after expiration. The results of the vote need not be available upon expiration.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 02/28/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Liz Cheney be House Republican Conference Chair on March 1?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7095/Will-Liz-Cheney-be-House-Republican-Conference-Chair-on-March-1",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "75%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY) serves in the position of House Republican Conference Chair upon the End Date listed below.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 12:01 AM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "Will Marjorie Taylor Greene sit on the House Education Committee on March 1?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7096/Will-Marjorie-Taylor-Greene-sit-on-the-House-Education-Committee-on-March-1",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||
"Percentage": "18%",
|
||
"Description": "This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA) is a member of, or is assigned to, the House Committee on Education and Labor upon the End Date listed below.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/01/2021 12:01 AM (ET)\n"
|
||
},
|
||
{
|
||
"Title": "How many Senators vote to confirm Denis McDonough as VA Secretary by 3/31?",
|
||
"URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7097/How-many-Senators-vote-to-confirm-Denis-McDonough-as-VA-Secretary-by-3-31",
|
||
"Platform": "PredictIt",
|
||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||
"Percentage": "none",
|
||
"Description": "The contract that resolves to Yes shall correspond to the number or range of votes cast in the U.S. Senate, in a vote commencing before the End Date listed below, in favor of the confirmation of Denis McDonough to the position of Secretary of Veterans Affairs, according to the official vote tally reported by the website senate.gov or, should that source be unavailable, the Congressional Record or other official source.\nA vote on the nomination shall be considered to have commenced once at least one Senator has cast a vote. So long as such a vote commences before the End Date, the full results of the vote will be used to resolve this market, even if the vote concludes after the End Date. The results of the vote need not be available at the identified settlement source at the End Date.\nShould no confirmation vote on the nomination of Mr. McDonough to the position of Secretary of Veterans Affairs commence before the End Date; or should such a vote result in the rejection of the nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes; or should Mr. McDonough be confirmed to position of Secretary of Veterans Affairs in a vote that commences only after the End Date; the contract identifying the range \"70 or fewer\" shall resolve to Yes. Should a vote result in the confirmation of the nominee via a procedure that does not result in the recording of a tally of votes, the contract identifying the range \"95 or more\" shall resolve to Yes. Should more than one Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Mr. McDonough to the position of Secretary of Veterans Affairs be held before the End Date, the outcome of the first such vote will be used to resolve this market. \nThe outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market.\nPredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.\nEnd Date: 03/31/2021 11:59 PM (ET)\n"
|
||
}
|
||
] |