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d9a2cb3956
metaforecast/data/ladbrokes-questions.csv
NunoSempere d9a2cb3956 Added estimize
2021-03-18 03:13:34 +01:00

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22024 US Presidential Election: 2024 Election Winnerhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Donald Trump","probability":0.098426094445168,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Donald Trump Jnr","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ivanka Trump","probability":0.010283323300241435,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mike Pence","probability":0.0405283918303633,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","probability":0.010283323300241435,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nikki Haley","probability":0.0405283918303633,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Oprah Winfrey","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"George Clooney","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Pete Buttigieg","probability":0.013509463943454434,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Michelle Obama","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Hillary Clinton","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dwayne Johnson","probability":0.013509463943454434,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mark Zuckerberg","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Joe Biden","probability":0.13779653222323524,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andrew Yang","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kanye West","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tulsi Gabbard","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Meghan Markle","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bernie Sanders","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Matt Gaetz","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kamala Harris","probability":0.1531072580258169,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Michael Bloomberg","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Elizabeth Warren","probability":0.013509463943454434,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bill Gates","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Joe Rogan","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rick Scott","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Marco Rubio","probability":0.013509463943454434,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ron DeSantis","probability":0.03280869814838934,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Joe Kennedy Iii","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Charlie Baker","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Beto O'Rourke","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ted Cruz","probability":0.013509463943454434,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mitt Romney","probability":0.010283323300241435,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Amy Klobuchar","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nina Turner","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Stacey Abrams","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dan Crenshaw","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Chris Christie","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tucker Carlson","probability":0.013509463943454434,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andrew Cuomo","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Josh Hawley","probability":0.013509463943454434,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Condoleezza Rice","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Katie Porter","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tom Cotton","probability":0.010283323300241435,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Killer Mike","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Val Demings","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Keisha Lance Bottoms","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Susan Rice","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mike Pompeo","probability":0.013509463943454434,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"George P Bush","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Alveda King","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Candace Owens","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mark Cuban","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tim Scott","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tammy Duckworth","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Greg Abbott","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Elon Musk","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Larry Hogan","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Paul Ryan","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"John Kasich","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Karen Bass","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Gavin Newsom","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kimberly Guilfoyle","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Richard Grenell","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kayleigh McEnany","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Chelsea Clinton","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ann Coulter","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rand Paul","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Gretchen Whitmer","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Susan Collins","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Cory Booker","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Sidney Powell","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Marjorie Taylor Greene","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"John Ossoff","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kristi Noem","probability":0.02026419591518165,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jared Kushner","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Gabriel Sterling","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Justin Amash","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mike Lindell","probability":0.002744950841100303,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jim Justice","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"John James","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ben Sasse","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Sarah Palin","probability":0.0034277744334138115,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jeff Bezos","probability":0.006821610506100754,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
32024 US Presidential Election: 2024 Republican Nomineehttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Tom Cotton","probability":0.028769063338197235,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Donald Trump","probability":0.186998911698282,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mike Pence","probability":0.05753812667639447,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nikki Haley","probability":0.093499455849141,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ted Cruz","probability":0.03561884032348229,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Matt Gaetz","probability":0.007405897493001268,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ivanka Trump","probability":0.028769063338197235,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Donald Trump Jnr","probability":0.014666581309669177,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Marco Rubio","probability":0.028769063338197235,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tucker Carlson","probability":0.028769063338197235,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Charlie Baker","probability":0.014666581309669177,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Josh Hawley","probability":0.03561884032348229,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mitt Romney","probability":0.021999871964503766,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dan Crenshaw","probability":0.014666581309669177,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kanye West","probability":0.014666581309669177,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Chris Christie","probability":0.014666581309669177,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Devin Nunes","probability":0.007405897493001268,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Greg Abbott","probability":0.014666581309669177,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Larry Hogan","probability":0.014666581309669177,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Paul Ryan","probability":0.007405897493001268,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kimberly Guilfoyle","probability":0.007405897493001268,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mike Pompeo","probability":0.028769063338197235,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Richard Grenell","probability":0.007405897493001268,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kayleigh McEnany","probability":0.007405897493001268,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rand Paul","probability":0.007405897493001268,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jared Kushner","probability":0.007405897493001268,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Eric Trump","probability":0.007405897493001268,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Lara Trump","probability":0.0037213713770802392,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"John Kasich","probability":0.014666581309669177,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Susan Collins","probability":0.014666581309669177,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Sidney Powell","probability":0.007405897493001268,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kristi Noem","probability":0.04399974392900753,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rick Scott","probability":0.014666581309669177,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ron DeSantis","probability":0.06799960425392074,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Gabriel Sterling","probability":0.007405897493001268,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mike Lindell","probability":0.007405897493001268,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Marjorie Taylor Greene","probability":0.007405897493001268,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jim Justice","probability":0.007405897493001268,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"John James","probability":0.007405897493001268,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ben Sasse","probability":0.014666581309669177,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Sarah Palin","probability":0.007405897493001268,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Candace Owens","probability":0.014666581309669177,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tim Scott","probability":0.014666581309669177,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
42024 US Presidential Election: 2024 Democratic Nomineehttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Michelle Obama","probability":0.02658891439825921,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Joe Biden","probability":0.3013410298469377,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kamala Harris","probability":0.31499062353338436,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","probability":0.03477011882849281,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andrew Cuomo","probability":0.008950723658819932,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Elizabeth Warren","probability":0.04304871854956253,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Amy Klobuchar","probability":0.017725942932172806,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Hillary Clinton","probability":0.017725942932172806,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tulsi Gabbard","probability":0.013492881933444972,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andrew Yang","probability":0.02658891439825921,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bernie Sanders","probability":0.017725942932172806,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Pete Buttigieg","probability":0.04304871854956253,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Beto O'Rourke","probability":0.013492881933444972,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bill Gates","probability":0.008950723658819932,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Katie Porter","probability":0.008950723658819932,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Meghan Markle","probability":0.017725942932172806,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Gavin Newsom","probability":0.008950723658819932,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Gretchen Whitmer","probability":0.013492881933444972,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Cory Booker","probability":0.017725942932172806,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tammy Duckworth","probability":0.013492881933444972,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"John Ossoff","probability":0.017725942932172806,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Oprah Winfrey","probability":0.013492881933444972,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
52024 US Presidential Election: Winning Partyhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Democrats","probability":0.49722140976893836,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Republicans","probability":0.47484644632933615,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Independent","probability":0.027932143901725656,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
62024 US Presidential Election: Republican Ticket (Nominee + VP)https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Hawley + Haley","probability":0.04277908454782048,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Donald Trump + Pence","probability":0.16859992145317484,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Donald Trump + Ivanka Trump","probability":0.08513461380308829,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Carlson + Ivanka Trump","probability":0.04277908454782048,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Donald Trump + Hawley","probability":0.16859992145317484,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Hawley + Donald Trump Jr","probability":0.034257354558214805,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Donald Trump Jr + Hawley","probability":0.034257354558214805,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Donald Trump + Taylor Greene","probability":0.04277908454782048,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Donald Trump + DeSantis","probability":0.2528998821797622,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Donald Trump + Noem","probability":0.08513461380308829,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"DeSantis + Noem","probability":0.04277908454782048,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
7Next German Chancellor: To Replace Merkel As Chancellorhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Markus Söder","probability":0.470841460109662,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Olaf Scholz","probability":0.04035783943797102,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Annalena Baerbock","probability":0.04035783943797102,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Alice Weidel","probability":0.008391233942548431,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jens Spahn","probability":0.03259671646913045,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Armin Laschet","probability":0.357601108944047,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Robert Habeck","probability":0.04985380165867009,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
8Next French Presidential Election: To Winhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Xavier Bertrand","probability":0.023053988786678126,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Francois Baroin","probability":0.023053988786678126,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bernard Cazeneuve","probability":0.015369325857785419,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nicolas Sarkozy","probability":0.015369325857785419,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Michel Barnier","probability":0.03732550565462173,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Lisnard","probability":0.015369325857785419,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Marion Marechal","probability":0.015369325857785419,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ségolène Royal","probability":0.030147523797963708,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Valerie Pecresse","probability":0.023053988786678126,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Emmanuel Macron","probability":0.4992583558898448,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Marine Le Pen","probability":0.1741856930549014,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jean-Luc Melenchon","probability":0.03732550565462173,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Anne Hidalgo","probability":0.03732550565462173,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Laurent Wauquiez","probability":0.015369325857785419,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nicolas Dupont-Aignan","probability":0.023053988786678126,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Benoit Hamon","probability":0.015369325857785419,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
92022 Texas Gubernatorial Election: To Winhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Beto O'Rourke","probability":0.21794871794871795,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Greg Abbott","probability":0.6538461538461539,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Matthew McConaughey","probability":0.019230769230769232,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Julian Castro","probability":0.10897435897435898,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
102021 German Federal Election: Most Seatshttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"AfD","probability":0.017844886753603295,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"CDU + CSU","probability":0.8750857927247769,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Greens","probability":0.05353466026080989,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"SPD","probability":0.05353466026080989,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
112021 NYC Mayoral Election: Election Winner - Void if no 2021 electionhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Andrew Yang","probability":0.5017152370016653,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Curtis Silwa","probability":0.008593736237751295,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Eric Adams","probability":0.21699184000322022,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Maya Wiley","probability":0.09644081777920897,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ray McGuire","probability":0.05105690353016946,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Scott Stringer","probability":0.07890612363753463,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Shaun Donovan","probability":0.03338336000049542,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Donald Trump","probability":0.004318245572203387,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andrew Giuliani","probability":0.008593736237751295,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
12Tees Valley Mayoral Election: To Winhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Ben Houchen (Cons)","probability":0.7936507936507936,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jessie Joe Jacobs (Lab)","probability":0.2063492063492063,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
13Next Labour Party Leader: To Succeed Keir Starmerhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Andy Burnham","probability":0.07353039962596515,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Angela Rayner","probability":0.07353039962596515,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Miliband","probability":0.015859497958541503,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Lisa Nandy","probability":0.07353039962596515,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rebecca Long-Bailey","probability":0.015859497958541503,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Sadiq Khan","probability":0.07353039962596515,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Laura Pidcock","probability":0.015859497958541503,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dan Jarvis","probability":0.015859497958541503,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Yvette Cooper","probability":0.038515923613600796,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ed Miliband","probability":0.023789246937812255,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jeremy Corbyn","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Richard Burgon","probability":0.015859497958541503,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dawn Butler","probability":0.015859497958541503,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Clive Lewis","probability":0.015859497958541503,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dan Carden","probability":0.015859497958541503,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Zarah Sultana","probability":0.015859497958541503,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Emily Thornberry","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jonathan Ashworth","probability":0.015859497958541503,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Cat Smith","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ian Lavery","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Barry Gardiner","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Stephen Kinnock","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Hilary Benn","probability":0.015859497958541503,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Stella Creasy","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Janet Daby","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Anneliese Dodds","probability":0.023789246937812255,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rachel Reeves","probability":0.015859497958541503,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rosie Duffield","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nia Griffith","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Louise Haigh","probability":0.015859497958541503,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liz Kendall","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Peter Kyle","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Lammy","probability":0.015859497958541503,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Seema Malhotra","probability":0.015859497958541503,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Alison McGovern","probability":0.012072155162471891,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jim McMahon","probability":0.015859497958541503,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Chi Onwurah","probability":0.012072155162471891,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kate Osamor","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Matthew Pennycook","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jess Phillips","probability":0.015859497958541503,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bridget Phillipson","probability":0.015859497958541503,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Lucy Powell","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ellie Reeves","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jonathan Reynolds","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Lloyd Russell-Moyle","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Wes Streeting","probability":0.015859497958541503,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tony Blair","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nadia Whittome","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Angela Eagle","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Helen Hayes","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Vicky Foxcroft","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bell Ribeiro-Addy","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Preet Gill","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rosena Allin-Khan","probability":0.04757849387562451,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nick Thomas-Symonds","probability":0.038515923613600796,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jon Trickett","probability":0.008008261345402145,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
14Next Labour Party Leader: When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Labour Party leader?https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"2021","probability":0.22909090909090907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"2022","probability":0.1309090909090909,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"2023","probability":0.1309090909090909,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"2024 or later","probability":0.509090909090909,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
15Next UK Prime Minister: Next PM (Acting PM or similar will not count)https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Eddie Hughes","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rishi Sunak","probability":0.21196616150341224,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andy Burnham","probability":0.01454669735807731,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Sadiq Khan","probability":0.007345362032296464,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Grant Shapps","probability":0.007345362032296464,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Laurence Fox","probability":0.0014808015274689478,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Graham Brady","probability":0.007345362032296464,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Neil O'Brien","probability":0.011072859183014072,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Theresa May","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nadhim Zahawi","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kwasi Kwarteng","probability":0.011072859183014072,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jacob Rees-Mogg","probability":0.01454669735807731,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jeremy Corbyn","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jeremy Hunt","probability":0.057067812712457144,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Keir Starmer","probability":0.1854703913154857,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nigel Farage","probability":0.01454669735807731,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Penny Mordaunt","probability":0.011072859183014072,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rebecca Long-Bailey","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rory Stewart","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Sajid Javid","probability":0.021820046037115966,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Emily Thornberry","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Angela Rayner","probability":0.007345362032296464,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"James Cleverly","probability":0.01809467232346202,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dominic Raab","probability":0.03532769358390204,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tom Tugendhat","probability":0.01454669735807731,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Johnny Mercer","probability":0.007345362032296464,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ruth Davidson","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liz Truss","probability":0.028533906356228572,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Michael Gove","probability":0.06744377866017663,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Matt Hancock","probability":0.021820046037115966,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Priti Patel","probability":0.028533906356228572,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Gavin Williamson","probability":0.007345362032296464,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Geoffrey Cox","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"John McDonnell","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Yvette Cooper","probability":0.007345362032296464,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Lisa Nandy","probability":0.007345362032296464,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Steve Baker","probability":0.01454669735807731,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tobia Ellwood","probability":0.007345362032296464,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Steve Barclay","probability":0.007345362032296464,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Damian Hinds","probability":0.007345362032296464,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Davis","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andrea Leadsom","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kemi Badenoch","probability":0.011072859183014072,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andrea Jenkyns","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bim Afolami","probability":0.007345362032296464,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Helen Whately","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kit Malthouse","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mark Harper","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Esther McVey","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Caroline Lucas","probability":0.007345362032296464,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Piers Morgan","probability":0.0014808015274689478,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Cameron","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Hilary Benn","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liz Saville Roberts","probability":0.0014808015274689478,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ed Davey","probability":0.007345362032296464,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Laura Pidcock","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Miliband","probability":0.007345362032296464,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Harriet Harman","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dominic Cummings","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ed Miiliband","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jess Phillips","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bridget Phillipson","probability":0.0036909530610046907,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
16West Yorkshire Mayoral Election: 2021 Election Winner (Void if no 2021 election)https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Andrew Cooper (Green)","probability":0.00915359010936757,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bob Buxton (Yorkshire Party)","probability":0.00915359010936757,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Stewart Golton (LD)","probability":0.00915359010936757,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tracy Brabin (Lab)","probability":0.8404660009510223,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Matthew Robinson (Cons)","probability":0.13207322872087493,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
17Hartlepool By-election: Winnerhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Conservatives","probability":0.5007033585370143,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Labour","probability":0.45063302268331284,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liberal Democrats","probability":0.004483910673465799,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Reform UK","probability":0.026507824863724286,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Northern Independence Party (bets void if not registered as a party in time)","probability":0.017671883242482856,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
18London Mayoral Election: 2021 Election Winner (Void if no 2021 election)https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Sadiq Khan (Lab)","probability":0.87607458110003,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Shaun Bailey (Cons)","probability":0.053595150843766544,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Sian Berry (Green)","probability":0.00902096598360427,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Kurten (Heritage)","probability":0.003629950455553909,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Farah London (Ind)","probability":0.0018185979328224175,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Luisa Porritt (Lib Dem)","probability":0.0045329232056916975,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Brian Rose (Ind)","probability":0.026797575421883272,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mandu Reid (WEP)","probability":0.0018185979328224175,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Peter Gammons (UKIP)","probability":0.003629950455553909,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Piers Corbyn","probability":0.0018185979328224175,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nims Obunge (Ind)","probability":0.0018185979328224175,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Count Binface","probability":0.0018185979328224175,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"DrillMinister","probability":0.0018185979328224175,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Winston McKenzie","probability":0.0018185979328224175,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kam Balayev (Renew)","probability":0.0018185979328224175,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Laurence Fox (Reclaim)","probability":0.0045329232056916975,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Max Fosh (Ind)","probability":0.0018185979328224175,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Valerie Brown (Burning Pink)","probability":0.0018185979328224175,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
19London Mayoral Election: Sadiq Khan R1 Vote Sharehttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Under 35%","probability":0.04261025029797378,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"35-40%","probability":0.08134684147794995,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"40-45%","probability":0.2753277711561383,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"45-50%","probability":0.3253873659117998,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Over 50%","probability":0.2753277711561383,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
20London Mayoral Election: Winner without Sadiq Khanhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Brian Rose","probability":0.04122517504215602,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Shaun Bailey","probability":0.8245035008431204,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Sian Berry","probability":0.04122517504215602,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Luisa Porritt","probability":0.033297256764818324,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mandu Reid","probability":0.008571571048369074,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Kurten","probability":0.008571571048369074,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Peter Gammons","probability":0.008571571048369074,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Farah London","probability":0.008571571048369074,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Laurence Fox","probability":0.025462608114272835,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
21London Mayoral Election: Most votes match bethttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Max Fosh","probability":0.25,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Laurence Fox","probability":0.75,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
22Boris Johnson: When will Johnson be replaced as PM? (1st Instance Only)https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"2021","probability":0.15682281059063136,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"2022","probability":0.1710794297352342,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"2023 or later","probability":0.6720977596741344,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
23Boris Johnson: Leader at Next General Election?https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"To be Tory leader at next general election","probability":0.5263157894736842,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"NOT to be Tory leader at next general election","probability":0.47368421052631576,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
242021 Welsh Assembly Elections: Most Seatshttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Conservatives","probability":0.11503967380380371,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Labour","probability":0.8217119557414551,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liberal Democrats","probability":0.009112053370598314,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Plaid Cymru","probability":0.054136317084142925,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
252021 Welsh Assembly Elections: Majority Betting (over 30 Seats)https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Labour Majority","probability":0.2903930131004367,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"NO Labour Majority","probability":0.7096069868995633,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
26Next Scottish Independence Referendum: Year Of Next Official Referendum (Sanctioned by UK and Scottish Governments)https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"2022","probability":0.22419928825622776,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"2023","probability":0.09964412811387899,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"2024","probability":0.09964412811387899,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Not before 2025","probability":0.4483985765124555,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"2021","probability":0.1281138790035587,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
27Next UK General Election: Most Seatshttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Reform UK","probability":0.009226975008890151,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Conservatives","probability":0.5580386083220991,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Greens","probability":0.004636440178596543,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Labour","probability":0.41418865595462456,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liberal Democrats","probability":0.01390932053578963,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
28Next UK General Election: Year of next electionhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"2021","probability":0.04429530201342282,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"2022","probability":0.08456375838926175,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"2023","probability":0.20671140939597316,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"2024 or later","probability":0.6644295302013423,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
29Next UK General Election: Overall Majorityhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Conservative Majoirity","probability":0.31460674157303375,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Labour Majority","probability":0.23595505617977533,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No Overall Majority","probability":0.44943820224719105,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
30Next Scottish First Minister: Next Scottish First Ministerhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Jackson Carlaw","probability":0.008212500914802535,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Douglas Ross","probability":0.04879191719970918,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Michelle Ballantyne","probability":0.003304631842211379,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Monica Lennon","probability":0.008212500914802535,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Alex Salmond","probability":0.01626397239990306,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Anas Sarwar","probability":0.02439595859985459,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andy Murray","probability":0.0016556139568763592,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Angus Robertson","probability":0.13824376539917602,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Coburn","probability":0.0016556139568763592,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Derek Mackay","probability":0.02439595859985459,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Humza Yousaf","probability":0.0638048147996197,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jeane Freeman","probability":0.01626397239990306,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"John Swinney","probability":0.11849465605643658,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Keith Brown","probability":0.0638048147996197,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mhairi Black","probability":0.03190240739980985,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Michael Matheson","probability":0.012380038692463523,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Neil Findlay","probability":0.008212500914802535,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Peter Murrell","probability":0.012380038692463523,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Pete Wishart","probability":0.008212500914802535,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Philippa Whitford","probability":0.008212500914802535,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ruth Davidson","probability":0.03190240739980985,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Shona Robison","probability":0.01626397239990306,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Stewart Hosie","probability":0.01626397239990306,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Stuart Campbell","probability":0.0016556139568763592,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tasmin Ahmed-Sheikh","probability":0.008212500914802535,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tommy Sheppard","probability":0.008212500914802535,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Willie Rennie","probability":0.008212500914802535,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Richard Leonard","probability":0.004126679564154508,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kate Forbes","probability":0.11849465605643658,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ash Denham","probability":0.01626397239990306,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Shirley-Anne Somerville","probability":0.03190240739980985,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Michael Russell","probability":0.03190240739980985,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Joanna Cherry","probability":0.07540569021773237,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andrew Wilson","probability":0.012380038692463523,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
31Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: Most Seatshttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Reform UK","probability":0.0046980793146331355,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"SNP","probability":0.9349642992487724,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Labour","probability":0.018515959651789416,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Conservatives","probability":0.027773939477684122,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Greens","probability":0.0046980793146331355,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liberal Democrats","probability":0.009349642992487724,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
32Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: Majority Bettinghttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"SNP Majority","probability":0.5890052356020942,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No SNP Majority","probability":0.4109947643979057,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
33Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: Most Seats - Second Placehttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"SNP","probability":0.026311219173324074,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Labour","probability":0.2981938172976728,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Conservatives","probability":0.6577804793331018,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Greens","probability":0.008857242097950678,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liberal Democrats","probability":0.008857242097950678,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
34Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: SNP Constituency Vote Sharehttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Under 40%","probability":0.04190017710836724,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"40-45%","probability":0.14665061987928535,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"45-50%","probability":0.35196148771028485,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"50-55%","probability":0.335841114227371,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"55-60%","probability":0.09776707991952356,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Over 60%","probability":0.025879521155168003,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
35Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: Will Nicola Sturgeon be First Minister on 1st Jan 2022?https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.75,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.25,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
36Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: SNP Total Seats Over/Underhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Over","probability":0.5,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Under","probability":0.5,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
37Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: Edinburgh Centralhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"SNP","probability":0.608410155137639,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Labour","probability":0.07964642030892728,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Conservatives","probability":0.2695724995071385,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liberal Democrats","probability":0.00867436260790297,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Scottish Greens","probability":0.033696562438392315,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
38Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: Glasgow Southsidehttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"SNP","probability":0.8406168766829473,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Labour","probability":0.13209693776446316,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Conservatives","probability":0.01813095224218122,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liberal Democrats","probability":0.009155233310408337,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
39Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: 2021 Election Winner (Void if no 2021 election)https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Andy Burnham (Lab)","probability":0.947622401810383,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Laura Evans (Cons)","probability":0.02842867205431149,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Melanie Horrocks (Green)","probability":0.009570048018283076,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Simon Lepori (ld)","probability":0.009570048018283076,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nick Buckley (Reform)","probability":0.004808830098739257,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
40Next Conservative Party Leader: Next Permanent Leaderhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Dehenna Davison","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rishi Sunak","probability":0.20231888744285167,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nickie Aiken","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Lee Anderson","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Claire Coutinho","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Darren Henry","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Alicia Kearns","probability":0.0030196848872067416,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nicola Richards","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Brandon Lewis","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Eddie Hughes","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Victoria Atkins","probability":0.009059054661620224,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Suella Braverman","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Neil O'Brien","probability":0.011901111026050099,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Theresa May","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kwasi Kwarteng","probability":0.017851666539075148,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dominic Raab","probability":0.046688974025273465,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jacob Rees-Mogg","probability":0.017851666539075148,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"James Cleverly","probability":0.017851666539075148,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jeremy Hunt","probability":0.06743962914761722,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Johnny Mercer","probability":0.009059054661620224,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Penny Mordaunt","probability":0.017851666539075148,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rory Stewart","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ruth Davidson","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Sajid Javid","probability":0.023344487012636733,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tom Tugendhat","probability":0.023344487012636733,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liz Truss","probability":0.035703333078150296,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nigel Farage","probability":0.011901111026050099,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Matt Hancock","probability":0.02890269820612167,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Priti Patel","probability":0.02890269820612167,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Michael Gove","probability":0.06743962914761722,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Gavin Williamson","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Steve Baker","probability":0.017851666539075148,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Geoffrey Cox","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kemi Badenoch","probability":0.011901111026050099,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andrea Jenkyns","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tobias Ellwood","probability":0.011901111026050099,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bim Afolami","probability":0.011901111026050099,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Helen Whately","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Steve Barclay","probability":0.011901111026050099,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Damian Hinds","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Davis","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kit Malthouse","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mark Harper","probability":0.009059054661620224,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andrea Leadsom","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Esther McVey","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Cameron","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Michael Fabricant","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Graham Brady","probability":0.011901111026050099,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"George Osborne","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mark Francois","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Margot James","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ben Bradley","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Alan Mak","probability":0.0030196848872067416,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ben Wallace","probability":0.017851666539075148,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Theresa Villiers","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Robert Jenrick","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Robert Buckland","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Alok Sharma","probability":0.009059054661620224,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Grant Shapps","probability":0.017851666539075148,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Julian Smith","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nadhim Zahawi","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jesse Norman","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nigel Adams","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"George Freeman","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tom Pursglove","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Therese Coffey","probability":0.006009471904243119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Aaron Bell","probability":0.0030196848872067416,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
41West Midlands Mayoral Election: 2021 Election Winner (Void if no 2021 election)https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadbrokes[{"name":"Andy Street (Cons)","probability":0.6997822270433548,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jenny Wilkinson (LD)","probability":0.009214954078887743,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liam Byrne (Lab)","probability":0.2863724190669729,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ashvir Sangha (Ind)","probability":0.004630399810784388,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
42Biden to leave office in 1st term via Impeachment, Resignation or 25th Amendmenthttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.38167938931297707,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.6183206106870229,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
43Biden to serve full 1st termhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.6666666666666666,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.33333333333333337,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
442024 US Presidential Election: Donald Trump to be elected President as a third party candidatehttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.0196078431372549,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.9803921568627451,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
452024 US Presidential Election: Donald Trump to run and win with over 75% of popular votehttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.009900990099009901,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.9900990099009901,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
46London Mayoral Election: Sadiq Khan NOT to winhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.09090909090909091,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.9090909090909091,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
47London Mayoral Election: Brian Rose to get over 5% of votehttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.16666666666666666,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.8333333333333334,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
48London Mayoral Election: Shaun Bailey to get under 25% of R1 Votehttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.4444444444444444,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.5555555555555556,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
49London Mayoral Election: Laurence Fox to get over 5% of votehttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.16666666666666666,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.8333333333333334,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
50Next UK General Election: Conservatives to increase their majority from 2019 (80 seats)https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.2,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.8,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
51Next UK General Election: Conservatives Do Not Win Most Seatshttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.5,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.5,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
52Next UK General Election: Conservatives fail to win a majorityhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.7518796992481203,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.24812030075187974,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
53Next UK General Election: Lib Dems to win over 25 seatshttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.4444444444444444,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.5555555555555556,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
54Dehenna Davison to become UK PM before 2060https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.009900990099009901,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.9900990099009901,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
55UK to rejoin EU before end 2025https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.058823529411764705,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.9411764705882353,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
56Rishi Sunak to become PM before next general electionhttps://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.2222222222222222,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.7777777777777778,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
57David Lammy to be UK PM before end 2040https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.004975124378109453,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.9950248756218906,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
58Marcus Rashford To Become Uk Pm Before 2060https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.009900990099009901,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.9900990099009901,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
59Libertarian Party to win US Presidential election before 2041https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.0196078431372549,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.9803921568627451,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
60Nigel Farage to become UK PM in 2021https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.004975124378109453,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.9950248756218906,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
61Amanda Gorman to be elected US President in 2036https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.009900990099009901,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.9900990099009901,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
62Marcus Rashford to become a UK MP before 2060https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.029411764705882353,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.9705882352941176,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
63Piers Morgan to become PM before 2040https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrightsLadBrokes[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.004975124378109453,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.9950248756218906,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2