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metaforecast/data/williamhill-questions.csv

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2Kamala Harris to become President of the United States before the end of 2040https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.4444444444444444,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.5555555555555556,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
3Kamala Harris to become a two-term President of the United States before the end of 2040https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.2857142857142857,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.7142857142857143,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
4Next Permanent Labour Leader After Keir Starmerhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Angela Rayner","probability":0.09477301888931079,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andy Burnham","probability":0.0880035175400743,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Sadiq Khan","probability":0.07247348503300237,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Lisa Nandy","probability":0.05600223843459274,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rosena Allin-Khan","probability":0.036236742516501184,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Yvette Cooper","probability":0.029334505846691433,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Anneliese Dodds","probability":0.029334505846691433,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rachel Reeves","probability":0.023693254722327698,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nick Thomas-Symonds","probability":0.023693254722327698,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"James Murray","probability":0.021242228371742073,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Lammy","probability":0.018118371258250592,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dan Jarvis","probability":0.018118371258250592,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Clive Lewis","probability":0.018118371258250592,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Seema Malhotra","probability":0.018118371258250592,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Lousie Haigh","probability":0.018118371258250592,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jess Phillips","probability":0.018118371258250592,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rebecca Long-Bailey","probability":0.018118371258250592,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dan Carden","probability":0.018118371258250592,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Zarah Sultana","probability":0.01502499079952488,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Hilary Benn","probability":0.01502499079952488,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Shabana Mahmood","probability":0.01207891417216706,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Stephen Kinnock","probability":0.01207891417216706,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jim McMahon","probability":0.01207891417216706,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Stella Creasy","probability":0.01207891417216706,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Miliband","probability":0.01207891417216706,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Emma Hardy","probability":0.01207891417216706,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bridget Phillipson","probability":0.01207891417216706,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Richard Burgon","probability":0.01207891417216706,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ed Miliband","probability":0.01207891417216706,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Matthew Pennycook","probability":0.01207891417216706,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Lucy Powell","probability":0.01207891417216706,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dawn Butler","probability":0.01207891417216706,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Alison McGovern","probability":0.01207891417216706,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Janet Daby","probability":0.01207891417216706,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jonathan Ashworth","probability":0.01207891417216706,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ian Murray","probability":0.009194397354933135,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Wes Streeting","probability":0.009194397354933135,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Peter Kyle","probability":0.009194397354933135,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Darren Jones","probability":0.009194397354933135,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Chi Onwurah","probability":0.009194397354933135,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rosie Duffield","probability":0.009194397354933135,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Diane Abbott","probability":0.0060992536908962385,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nia Griffith","probability":0.0060992536908962385,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jonathan Reynolds","probability":0.0060992536908962385,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liz Kendall","probability":0.0060992536908962385,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"John McDonnell","probability":0.0060992536908962385,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Preet Gill","probability":0.0060992536908962385,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Helen Hayes","probability":0.0060992536908962385,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Vicky Foxcroft","probability":0.0060992536908962385,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Lloyd Russell-Moyle","probability":0.0060992536908962385,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nadia Whittome","probability":0.0060992536908962385,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Angela Eagle","probability":0.0060992536908962385,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Justin Madders","probability":0.0060992536908962385,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ian Lavery","probability":0.0060992536908962385,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bell Ribeiro-Addy","probability":0.0060992536908962385,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Emily Thornberry","probability":0.0060992536908962385,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Barry Gardiner","probability":0.0060992536908962385,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jeremy Corbyn","probability":0.0060992536908962385,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kate Osamor","probability":0.0060992536908962385,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tony Blair","probability":0.004079633263447153,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
5Next London Mayoral Electionhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Sadiq Khan","probability":0.8132370201819087,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Brian Rose","probability":0.06568452855315417,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Shaun Bailey","probability":0.05022934536417672,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Laurence Fox","probability":0.01674311512139224,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Richard Tice","probability":0.01674311512139224,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Justine Greening","probability":0.008454444269217863,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Kurten","probability":0.004248253090502508,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Luisa Porritt","probability":0.004248253090502508,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jeremy Corbyn","probability":0.0034019875346255144,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Piers Corbyn","probability":0.0034019875346255144,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Farah London","probability":0.0034019875346255144,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Sian Berry","probability":0.0034019875346255144,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Peter Gammons","probability":0.0034019875346255144,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mandu Reid","probability":0.0034019875346255144,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
6West Midlands Mayoral Election 2021https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Andy Street (Conservative)","probability":0.6477611715168525,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liam Byrne (Labour)","probability":0.32976932368130674,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ashvir Sangha (Independent)","probability":0.008978867723995976,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jenny Wilkinson (Lib Dem)","probability":0.008978867723995976,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tim Weller (Independent)","probability":0.0045117693538487234,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
7Greater Manchester Mayoral Election 2021https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Andy Burnham (Labour)","probability":0.9614056477796038,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Laura Evans (Conservative)","probability":0.028842169433388114,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Melanie Horrocks (Green)","probability":0.006494263316127125,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Michael Elston (Independent)","probability":0.0032579194708810496,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
8West Yorkshire Mayoral Election 2021https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Tracy Brabin (Labour)","probability":0.8331245503149954,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Conservative Candidate","probability":0.14241445304529837,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andrew Cooper (Green)","probability":0.009165286582123162,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Stewart Golton (Lib Dem)","probability":0.009165286582123162,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bob Buxton (Yorkshire Party)","probability":0.006130423475459863,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
92021 New York City Mayoral Electionhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Andrew Yang","probability":0.4946254386960333,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Eric Adams","probability":0.12365635967400833,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Scott Stringer","probability":0.09892508773920666,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Raymond McGuire","probability":0.06744892345855,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Maya Wiley","probability":0.06744892345855,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kathryn Garcia","probability":0.035330388478288094,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Shaun Donovan","probability":0.028536083001694232,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dianne Morales","probability":0.021821710530707354,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Carlos Menchaca","probability":0.014547807020471568,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Loree Sutton","probability":0.014547807020471568,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Curtis Sliwa","probability":0.011073703851403731,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Cleopatra Fitzgerald","probability":0.0073459223568717825,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bill Pepitone","probability":0.0073459223568717825,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Abbey Laurel-Smith","probability":0.0073459223568717825,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
10Welsh Assembly Election 2021 - Most Seatshttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Labour","probability":0.8515314366223367,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Conservative","probability":0.10733589537256344,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Plaid Cymru","probability":0.035090581179491896,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liberal Democrat","probability":0.006042086825607876,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
11Next German Federal Electionhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Markus Soder","probability":0.454031939816873,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Armin Laschet","probability":0.38234268616157724,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Olaf Scholz","probability":0.05341552233139683,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Robert Habeck","probability":0.05341552233139683,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Annalena Baerbock","probability":0.043241137125416475,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Alice Weidel","probability":0.013553192233339492,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
12Next Norwegian General Election - Party With The Most Voteshttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Conservatives (H)","probability":0.5270270270270271,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Labour (AP)","probability":0.2702702702702703,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Any Other Party","probability":0.20270270270270271,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
13Year of Next Australian Federal Electionhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"2021","probability":0.3373493975903614,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"2022","probability":0.6626506024096386,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
14Australian Federal Election - Winning Partyhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Coalition","probability":0.6556291390728477,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Labor Party","probability":0.34437086092715236,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
15US Presidential Election 2024 - Winnerhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Kamala Harris","probability":0.155643759309835,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Joe Biden","probability":0.1400793833788515,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Donald Trump","probability":0.08754961461178219,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mike Pence","probability":0.06367244699038704,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nikki Haley","probability":0.05387668591494289,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","probability":0.026938342957471446,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tucker Carlson","probability":0.026938342957471446,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Michelle Obama","probability":0.02059990932041934,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ron DeSantis","probability":0.02059990932041934,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Pete Buttigieg","probability":0.02059990932041934,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ted Cruz","probability":0.02059990932041934,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Donald Trump Jnr","probability":0.02059990932041934,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dwayne Johnson","probability":0.02059990932041934,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Beto O'Rourke","probability":0.02059990932041934,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ivanka Trump","probability":0.02059990932041934,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Elizabeth Warren","probability":0.013733272880279559,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andrew Cuomo","probability":0.013733272880279559,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mike Pompeo","probability":0.013733272880279559,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Marco Rubio","probability":0.013733272880279559,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Candace Owens","probability":0.013733272880279559,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tom Cotton","probability":0.013733272880279559,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Amy Klobuchar","probability":0.010453685326779963,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Gavin Newsom","probability":0.010453685326779963,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dan Crenshaw","probability":0.010453685326779963,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bernie Sanders","probability":0.010453685326779963,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andrew Yang","probability":0.010453685326779963,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mitt Romney","probability":0.010453685326779963,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Paul Ryan","probability":0.010453685326779963,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kanye West","probability":0.010453685326779963,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Josh Hawley","probability":0.010453685326779963,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tim Scott","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rick Scott","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jared Kushner","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Gretchen Whitmer","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mike DeWine","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"John Hickenlooper","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tim Kaine","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Megan Rapinoe","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mark Zuckerberg","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Michael Bloomberg","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Hillary Clinton","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Meghan Markle","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jim Jordan","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Matt Gaetz","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kimberly Guilfoyle","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2