metaforecast/data/csetforetell-questions.csv

1	Title	URL	Platform	Binary question?	Percentage	# Forecasts
2	Conditional on President Trump NOT being convicted of "incitement of insurrection," what will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/109-conditional-on-president-trump-not-being-convicted-of-incitement-of-insurrection-what-will-the-senate-s-average-bipartisan-index-score-be-from-2021-2022	CSET-foretell	false	none	81
3	Conditional on President Trump being convicted of "incitement of insurrection," what will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/108-conditional-on-the-senate-convicting-president-trump-of-insurrection-what-will-be-the-average-bipartisan-index-score-for-the-senate-during-congress-s-117th-session-2021-2022	CSET-foretell	false	none	74
4	How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/106-how-much-will-the-u-s-department-of-defense-spend-on-ai-research-contracts-between-july-1-and-december-31-2021-inclusive	CSET-foretell	false	none	69
5	How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI grants between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/107-how-much-will-the-u-s-department-of-defense-spend-on-ai-grants-between-july-1-and-december-31-2021-inclusive	CSET-foretell	false	none	79
6	How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/103-how-many-ai-papers-will-be-posted-on-arxiv-between-july-1-and-december-31-2021-inclusive	CSET-foretell	false	none	24
7	How many members will the Alphabet Workers Union have by December 31, 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/105-how-many-members-will-the-alphabet-workers-union-have-by-december-31-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	69
8	What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/104-what-percentage-of-u-s-news-articles-about-ai-will-be-about-privacy-and-security-between-july-1-and-december-31-2021-inclusive	CSET-foretell	false	none	35
9	Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/102-will-nvidia-acquire-arm-by-march-30-2022	CSET-foretell	true	47%	71
10	How many of the top chipmakers in China will be subject to new export controls in 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/101-on-how-many-of-china-s-top-chipmakers-will-the-united-states-impose-new-export-controls-in-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	72
11	What percentage of the combined revenue of the top five semiconductor manufacturing equipment producers will come from China in 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/100-what-percentage-of-the-collective-revenue-of-the-leading-semiconductor-manufacturing-equipment-producers-will-come-from-china-between-july-1-2020-and-june-30-2021-inclusive	CSET-foretell	false	none	51
12	Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/99-will-the-united-states-re-enter-the-2015-nuclear-deal-with-iran-by-december-31-2021	CSET-foretell	true	64%	168
13	What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/95-what-will-be-the-value-in-dollars-of-all-chinese-imports-of-semiconductor-manufacturing-equipment-in-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	65
14	When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/97-when-will-ant-financial-have-an-ipo-in-china-or-hong-kong	CSET-foretell	false	none	154
15	What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/96-what-will-be-the-value-in-dollars-of-all-chinese-imports-of-semiconductor-chips-in-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	65
16	What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in the first half of 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/93-what-will-the-dollar-value-of-u-s-exports-of-semiconductor-chips-to-china-be-in-the-first-half-of-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	71
17	What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in the first half of 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/92-what-will-the-dollar-value-of-u-s-exports-of-semiconductor-manufacturing-equipment-to-china-be-in-the-first-half-of-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	57
18	What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/91-conditional-on-vice-president-biden-s-election-what-percentage-of-u-s-residents-will-have-an-unfavorable-view-of-china-as-reflected-in-the-2022-pew-global-attitudes-survey	CSET-foretell	false	none	155
19	What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/86-what-percentage-of-u-s-ai-publications-will-be-u-s-china-collaborations-in-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	89
20	Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/89-conditional-on-vice-president-biden-s-election-will-the-u-s-government-file-an-antitrust-lawsuit-against-apple-amazon-or-facebook-between-january-20-2021-and-january-19-2025	CSET-foretell	true	70%	141
21	What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/80-what-percentage-of-u-s-citizens-will-have-an-unfavorable-view-of-china-as-reflected-in-the-2021-pew-global-attitudes-survey	CSET-foretell	false	none	213
22	What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2021 (October 1, 2020 to September 30, 2021)?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/79-conditional-on-biden-s-election-what-percentage-of-o-visas-will-go-to-chinese-nationals-in-fy-2021-october-1-2020-to-september-30-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	89
23	What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/76-what-will-total-u-s-trade-volume-with-china-imports-and-exports-of-goods-be-in-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	84
24	What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/45-what-percent-of-u-s-corporate-press-releases-about-ai-will-be-about-ai-ethics-in-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	174
25	How much will the U.S. government spend on surveillance-related AI grants between June 1, 2020 and May 31, 2021, inclusive?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/41-how-much-will-the-u-s-government-spend-on-surveillance-related-ai-grants-between-june-1-2020-and-may-31-2021-inclusive	CSET-foretell	false	none	87
26	How many times will the Japanese Air Force respond to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft between April 1, 2020 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/32-how-many-sorties-against-chinese-aircraft-will-the-japanese-air-self-defense-force-conduct-by-april-30th-2020	CSET-foretell	false	none	90
27	How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant between October 1, 2020 and September 30, 2021, inclusive?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/23-how-many-new-h-1b-applications-submitted-by-the-big-5-tech-companies-will-the-u-s-grant-in-fy-2020	CSET-foretell	false	none	120