19 KiB
19 KiB
| 1 | Title | URL | Platform | Binary question? | Percentage | # Forecasts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Which of these 5 European leaders will leave office next? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5717/Which-of-these-5-European-leaders-will-leave-office-next | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 3 | Will Trump pardon himself in his first term? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6453/Will-Trump-pardon-himself-in-his-first-term | PredictIt | true | 1% | |
| 4 | Which party will win the 2020 House race in Iowa's 2nd District? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6789/Which-party-will-win-the-2020-House-race-in-Iowa's-2nd-District | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 5 | Which party will win the 2020 House race in New York's 22nd District? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6861/Which-party-will-win-the-2020-House-race-in-New-York's-22nd-District | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 6 | Which party will win the 2024 U.S. presidential election? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6867/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 7 | Which party will control the Senate after 2022 election? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6874/Which-party-will-control-the-Senate-after-2022-election | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 8 | Which party will win the House in the 2022 election? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6892/Which-party-will-win-the-House-in-the-2022-election | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 9 | How many U.S. House delegations will Republicans win in the 2020 election? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6925/How-many-US-House-delegations-will-Republicans-win-in-the-2020-election | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 10 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed Secretary of State on Feb. 15? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6944/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Secretary-of-State-on-Feb-15 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 11 | Will there be more than 9 Supreme Court justices at any point in 2021? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6946/Will-there-be-more-than-9-Supreme-Court-justices-at-any-point-in-2021 | PredictIt | true | 9% | |
| 12 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed Secretary of Defense on Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6949/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Secretary-of-Defense-on-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 13 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed Secretary of Labor on Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6951/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Secretary-of-Labor-on-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 14 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed Attorney General on Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6952/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Attorney-General-on-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 15 | Will Kamala Harris file to run for president before the end of 2022? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6953/Will-Kamala-Harris-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2022 | PredictIt | true | 23% | |
| 16 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed Treasury Secretary on Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6957/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Treasury-Secretary-on-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 17 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed HUD Secretary on Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6958/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-HUD-Secretary-on-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 18 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed HHS Secretary on Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6965/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-HHS-Secretary-on-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 19 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed Commerce Secretary on Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6966/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Commerce-Secretary-on-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 20 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed Homeland Security Secretary on Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6971/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Homeland-Security-Secretary-on-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 21 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed Energy Secretary on Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6972/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Energy-Secretary-on-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 22 | Will Mike Pence file to run for president before the end of 2022? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6975/Will-Mike-Pence-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2022 | PredictIt | true | 22% | |
| 23 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed Interior Secretary on Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6976/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Interior-Secretary-on-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 24 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed CIA Director on Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6977/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-CIA-Director-on-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 25 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed Secretary of Education on Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6978/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Secretary-of-Education-on-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 26 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed Transportation Secretary on Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6979/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Transportation-Secretary-on-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 27 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed Agriculture Secretary on Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6980/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Agriculture-Secretary-on-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 28 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed EPA Administrator on Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6981/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-EPA-Administrator-on-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 29 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run in the 2022 Democratic primary in NY-14? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6983/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-run-in-the-2022-Democratic-primary-in-NY-14 | PredictIt | true | 56% | |
| 30 | Will Pete Buttigieg be confirmed to a Cabinet position by Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6986/Will-Pete-Buttigieg-be-confirmed-to-a-Cabinet-position-by-Mar-1 | PredictIt | true | 98% | |
| 31 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed Veterans Affairs Secretary on Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6987/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Veterans-Affairs-Secretary-on-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 32 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed Director of National Intelligence on Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6989/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Director-of-National-Intelligence-on-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 33 | Will Amy Klobuchar be confirmed to a Cabinet position by Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6990/Will-Amy-Klobuchar-be-confirmed-to-a-Cabinet-position-by-Mar-1 | PredictIt | true | 1% | |
| 34 | Will Elizabeth Warren be confirmed to a Cabinet position by Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6991/Will-Elizabeth-Warren-be-confirmed-to-a-Cabinet-position-by-Mar-1 | PredictIt | true | 1% | |
| 35 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed OMB Director on Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6992/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-OMB-Director-on-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 36 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed U.S. Trade Representative on Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6993/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-US-Trade-Representative-on-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 37 | Will Donald Trump file to run for president before the end of 2021? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6994/Will-Donald-Trump-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2021 | PredictIt | true | 32% | |
| 38 | Which party will win the 2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7000/Which-party-will-win-the-2021-New-Jersey-gubernatorial-election | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 39 | Which party will win the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7001/Which-party-will-win-the-2021-Virginia-gubernatorial-election | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 40 | Who will be elected New York City mayor in 2021? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7002/Who-will-be-elected-New-York-City-mayor-in-2021 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 41 | Will Andrew Yang run in the 2021 NYC Democratic Mayoral primary? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7003/Will-Andrew-Yang-run-in-the-2021-NYC-Democratic-Mayoral-primary | PredictIt | true | 97% | |
| 42 | Will Israel hold national elections for Knesset in 2021? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7007/Will-Israel-hold-national-elections-for-Knesset-in-2021 | PredictIt | true | 99% | |
| 43 | Will a woman be elected U.S. president in 2024? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7013/Will-a-woman-be-elected-US-president-in-2024 | PredictIt | true | 42% | |
| 44 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez file to run for president before the end of 2023? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7014/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2023 | PredictIt | true | 22% | |
| 45 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run in the 2022 NY Democratic Senate primary? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7015/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-run-in-the-2022-NY-Democratic-Senate-primary | PredictIt | true | 25% | |
| 46 | Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania in 2022? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7016/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Pennsylvania-in-2022 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 47 | Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina in 2022? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7017/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-North-Carolina-in-2022 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 48 | Will Donald Trump Jr. run in the 2022 Pennsylvania Republican Senate primary? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7018/Will-Donald-Trump-Jr-run-in-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Republican-Senate-primary | PredictIt | true | 13% | |
| 49 | Will Lara Trump run in the 2022 North Carolina Republican Senate primary? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7019/Will-Lara-Trump-run-in-the-2022-North-Carolina-Republican-Senate-primary | PredictIt | true | 37% | |
| 50 | Who will be the Senate-confirmed USAID Administrator on Mar. 16? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7020/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-USAID-Administrator-on-Mar-16 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 51 | Will Ivanka Trump run in the 2022 Florida Republican Senate primary? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7021/Will-Ivanka-Trump-run-in-the-2022-Florida-Republican-Senate-primary | PredictIt | true | 26% | |
| 52 | Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Florida in 2022? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7024/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Florida-in-2022 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 53 | Who will win the 2021 Virginia Democratic gubernatorial primary? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7030/Who-will-win-the-2021-Virginia-Democratic-gubernatorial-primary | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 54 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be prime minister of Israel on June 30, 2021? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7035/Will-Benjamin-Netanyahu-be-prime-minister-of-Israel-on-June-30,-2021 | PredictIt | true | 72% | |
| 55 | How many seats will Israel's Likud Party win in the next Knesset election? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7036/How-many-seats-will-Israel's-Likud-Party-win-in-the-next-Knesset-election | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 56 | Will there be enough signatures by Mar. 17 for a vote on recall of Gov. Newsom? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7039/Will-there-be-enough-signatures-by-Mar-17-for-a-vote-on-recall-of-Gov-Newsom | PredictIt | true | 66% | |
| 57 | Who will be chancellor of Germany on Dec. 31? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7040/Who-will-be-chancellor-of-Germany-on-Dec-31 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 58 | Who will win the 2021 Virginia Republican gubernatorial nomination? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7041/Who-will-win-the-2021-Virginia-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 59 | Will the Senate convict Donald Trump in Biden's first 100 days? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7050/Will-the-Senate-convict-Donald-Trump-in-Biden's-first-100-days | PredictIt | true | 7% | |
| 60 | Will Lisa Murkowski be a Republican on April 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7051/Will-Lisa-Murkowski-be-a-Republican-on-April-1 | PredictIt | true | 90% | |
| 61 | Who will win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7053/Who-will-win-the-2024-Republican-presidential-nomination | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 62 | How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by Apr. 29? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7054/How-many-Senators-will-vote-to-convict-Donald-Trump-on-incitement-by-Apr-29 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 63 | Will Mitch McConnell vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7055/Will-Mitch-McConnell-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29 | PredictIt | true | 15% | |
| 64 | Will Mitt Romney vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7056/Will-Mitt-Romney-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29 | PredictIt | true | 92% | |
| 65 | Who will win the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 66 | Will Susan Collins vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7058/Will-Susan-Collins-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29 | PredictIt | true | 64% | |
| 67 | Will John Thune vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7059/Will-John-Thune-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29 | PredictIt | true | 9% | |
| 68 | How many seats will Holland's VVD win in the next election? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7060/How-many-seats-will-Holland's-VVD-win-in-the-next-election | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 69 | How many Senators vote to confirm Pete Buttigieg as Transportation Secretary? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7064/How-many-Senators-vote-to-confirm-Pete-Buttigieg-as-Transportation-Secretary | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 70 | Will Thom Tillis vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7066/Will-Thom-Tillis-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29 | PredictIt | true | 9% | |
| 71 | Will Joe Manchin vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7067/Will-Joe-Manchin-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29 | PredictIt | true | 92% | |
| 72 | Who will be elected mayor of Boston in 2021? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7068/Who-will-be-elected-mayor-of-Boston-in-2021 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 73 | Will Richard Burr vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7070/Will-Richard-Burr-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29 | PredictIt | true | 9% | |
| 74 | Will Rob Portman vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7071/Will-Rob-Portman-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29 | PredictIt | true | 23% | |
| 75 | Will the Senate censure Ted Cruz before May 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7072/Will-the-Senate-censure-Ted-Cruz-before-May-1 | PredictIt | true | 12% | |
| 76 | How many Senators vote to confirm Gina Raimondo as Commerce Secretary? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7073/How-many-Senators-vote-to-confirm-Gina-Raimondo-as-Commerce-Secretary | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 77 | Will the Senate censure Josh Hawley before May 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7074/Will-the-Senate-censure-Josh-Hawley-before-May-1 | PredictIt | true | 16% | |
| 78 | Will Biden policy to raise minimum wage to $15 per hour in 2021 succeed? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7075/Will-Biden-policy-to-raise-minimum-wage-to-$15-per-hour-in-2021-succeed | PredictIt | true | 10% | |
| 79 | How many Senators vote to confirm Alejandro Mayorkas as Homeland Security Sec.? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7076/How-many-Senators-vote-to-confirm-Alejandro-Mayorkas-as-Homeland-Security-Sec | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 80 | Will Lisa Murkowski vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7077/Will-Lisa-Murkowski-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29 | PredictIt | true | 76% | |
| 81 | Will Italy hold national elections before June 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7078/Will-Italy-hold-national-elections-before-June-1 | PredictIt | true | 21% | |
| 82 | Will Ben Sasse vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7080/Will-Ben-Sasse-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29 | PredictIt | true | 77% | |
| 83 | How many Senators vote to confirm Jennifer Granholm as Energy Secretary? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7081/How-many-Senators-vote-to-confirm-Jennifer-Granholm-as-Energy-Secretary | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 84 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2022 Arkansas GOP gubernatorial primary? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7082/Will-Sarah-Huckabee-Sanders-win-the-2022-Arkansas-GOP-gubernatorial-primary | PredictIt | true | 80% | |
| 85 | Will the District of Columbia become a U.S. state in 2021? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7083/Will-the-District-of-Columbia-become-a-US-state-in-2021 | PredictIt | true | 11% | |
| 86 | Will Pat Toomey vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7084/Will-Pat-Toomey-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29 | PredictIt | true | 64% | |
| 87 | Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Ohio in 2022? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7085/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Ohio-in-2022 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 88 | How many Senators vote to confirm Marcia Fudge as HUD Secretary? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7086/How-many-Senators-vote-to-confirm-Marcia-Fudge-as-HUD-Secretary | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 89 | Who will win the 2022 Ohio Republican Senate primary? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7087/Who-will-win-the-2022-Ohio-Republican-Senate-primary | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 90 | Will Puerto Rico become a U.S. state in 2021? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7088/Will-Puerto-Rico-become-a-US-state-in-2021 | PredictIt | true | 6% | |
| 91 | Will Chuck Grassley vote to convict on incitement by Apr. 29? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7089/Will-Chuck-Grassley-vote-to-convict-on-incitement-by-Apr-29 | PredictIt | true | 6% | |
| 92 | How many Senators vote to confirm L. Thomas-Greenfield as UN Ambassador by 3/15? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7090/How-many-Senators-vote-to-confirm-L-Thomas-Greenfield-as-UN-Ambassador-by-3-15 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 93 | How many Biden Cabinet members will be confirmed by Mar. 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7091/How-many-Biden-Cabinet-members-will-be-confirmed-by-Mar-1 | PredictIt | false | none | |
| 94 | Will the federal minimum wage be $9.50 per hour or higher by September 1? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7092/Will-the-federal-minimum-wage-be-$950-per-hour-or-higher-by-September-1 | PredictIt | true | 39% | |
| 95 | How many Senators vote to confirm Tom Vilsack as Agriculture Sec. by 3/31? | https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7093/How-many-Senators-vote-to-confirm-Tom-Vilsack-as-Agriculture-Sec-by-3-31 | PredictIt | false | none |