497 B
497 B
| 1 | Platform | Stars Nuño | Stars Misha | Stars Eli |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CSET-foretell | 2, 1 if less than 100 forecasts | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Good Judgment | 4 | 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Good Judgment Open | 3, 2 if less than 100 forecasts | 3.1 if > 10% | 3 |
| 5 | Guesstimate | 1 | ||
| 6 | Hypermind | 3 | ||
| 7 | Metaculus | 4, 3 if less than 300, 2 if less than 100 | 3.3 on pandemic, 2.9 otherwise | 3 |
| 8 | PolyMarket | 3 with more than $10k liquidity, 2 otherwise | 4 | 5 stars if more than 10k liquidity, 4 otherwise |
| 9 | PredictIt | 2 | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| 10 | Smarkets | 2 | ||
| 11 | Elicit | 1 | ||
| 12 | GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy | 2 | ||
| 13 | Omen | 2 |