metaforecast/data/predictit-questions.csv
2021-01-12 13:43:41 +01:00

17 KiB
Raw Blame History

1TitleURLPlatformBinary question?Percentage# Forecasts# Forecasters
2What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2020 election?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/4353/What-will-be-the-balance-of-power-in-Congress-after-the-2020-electionPredictItfalsenone
3Which party will control the Senate after 2020 election?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/4366/Which-party-will-control-the-Senate-after-2020-electionPredictItfalsenone
4Will Donald Trump complete his first term?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5158/Will-Donald-Trump-complete-his-first-termPredictIttrue86%
5Will Trump pardon Jeffrey Epstein by Jan. 20, 2021?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5665/Will-Trump-pardon-Jeffrey-Epstein-by-Jan-20,-2021PredictIttrue1%
6Which of these 5 European leaders will leave office next?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5717/Which-of-these-5-European-leaders-will-leave-office-nextPredictItfalsenone
7Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment in his first term?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5914/Will-the-Senate-convict-Donald-Trump-on-impeachment-in-his-first-termPredictIttrue6%
8Will Trump resign during his first term?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6008/Will-Trump-resign-during-his-first-termPredictIttrue12%
9Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani before end of 2020?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6020/Will-Trump-pardon-Rudy-Giuliani-before-end-of-2020PredictIttrue2%
10Will NASA find 2020s global average temperature highest on record?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6234/Will-NASA-find-2020s-global-average-temperature-highest-on-recordPredictIttrue45%
11Will Trump pardon himself in his first term?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6453/Will-Trump-pardon-himself-in-his-first-termPredictIttrue44%
12What will be the popular vote margin in the 2020 presidential election?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6663/What-will-be-the-popular-vote-margin-in-the-2020-presidential-electionPredictItfalsenone
13What will be the net change in Senate seats, by party?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6670/What-will-be-the-net-change-in-Senate-seats,-by-partyPredictItfalsenone
14Which U.S. Senate race will be won by the smallest margin?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6737/Which-US-Senate-race-will-be-won-by-the-smallest-marginPredictItfalsenone
15How many women will win election to the U.S. Senate in 2020?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6765/How-many-women-will-win-election-to-the-US-Senate-in-2020PredictItfalsenone
16Will Democrats win the White House, Senate and House in 2020?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6770/Will-Democrats-win-the-White-House,-Senate-and-House-in-2020PredictIttrue96%
17Which party will win the 2020 House race in Iowa's 2nd District?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6789/Which-party-will-win-the-2020-House-race-in-Iowa's-2nd-DistrictPredictItfalsenone
18What percentage of the presidential vote will not be for the two major parties?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6809/What-percentage-of-the-presidential-vote-will-not-be-for-the-two-major-partiesPredictItfalsenone
19Will Nancy Pelosi become Acting U.S. President on January 20?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6852/Will-Nancy-Pelosi-become-Acting-US-President-on-January-20PredictIttrue2%
20Which party will win the 2020 House race in New York's 22nd District?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6861/Which-party-will-win-the-2020-House-race-in-New-York's-22nd-DistrictPredictItfalsenone
21Which party will win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6867/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-electionPredictItfalsenone
22Which party will control the Senate after 2022 election?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6874/Which-party-will-control-the-Senate-after-2022-electionPredictItfalsenone
23How many votes in the 2020 U.S. presidential election?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6882/How-many-votes-in-the-2020-US-presidential-electionPredictItfalsenone
24Which party will win the House in the 2022 election?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6892/Which-party-will-win-the-House-in-the-2022-electionPredictItfalsenone
25How many U.S. House delegations will Republicans win in the 2020 election?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6925/How-many-US-House-delegations-will-Republicans-win-in-the-2020-electionPredictItfalsenone
26How closely will the election results match the polls?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6936/How-closely-will-the-election-results-match-the-pollsPredictItfalsenone
27Who will be the Senate-confirmed Secretary of State on Feb. 15?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6944/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Secretary-of-State-on-Feb-15PredictItfalsenone
28Will there be more than 9 Supreme Court justices at any point in 2021?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6946/Will-there-be-more-than-9-Supreme-Court-justices-at-any-point-in-2021PredictIttrue8%
29Who will be the Senate-confirmed Secretary of Defense on Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6949/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Secretary-of-Defense-on-Mar-1PredictItfalsenone
30Who will be the Senate-confirmed Secretary of Labor on Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6951/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Secretary-of-Labor-on-Mar-1PredictItfalsenone
31Who will be the Senate-confirmed Attorney General on Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6952/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Attorney-General-on-Mar-1PredictItfalsenone
32Will Kamala Harris file to run for president before the end of 2022?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6953/Will-Kamala-Harris-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2022PredictIttrue32%
33Who will be the Senate-confirmed Treasury Secretary on Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6957/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Treasury-Secretary-on-Mar-1PredictItfalsenone
34Who will be the Senate-confirmed HUD Secretary on Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6958/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-HUD-Secretary-on-Mar-1PredictItfalsenone
35What will be the margin in the Georgia special Senate election runoff?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6959/What-will-be-the-margin-in-the-Georgia-special-Senate-election-runoffPredictItfalsenone
36What will be the margin in the Georgia regular Senate election runoff?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6960/What-will-be-the-margin-in-the-Georgia-regular-Senate-election-runoffPredictItfalsenone
37Who will be the Senate-confirmed HHS Secretary on Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6965/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-HHS-Secretary-on-Mar-1PredictItfalsenone
38Who will be the Senate-confirmed Commerce Secretary on Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6966/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Commerce-Secretary-on-Mar-1PredictItfalsenone
39Who will be the Senate-confirmed Homeland Security Secretary on Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6971/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Homeland-Security-Secretary-on-Mar-1PredictItfalsenone
40Who will be the Senate-confirmed Energy Secretary on Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6972/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Energy-Secretary-on-Mar-1PredictItfalsenone
41Will Mike Pence file to run for president before the end of 2022?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6975/Will-Mike-Pence-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2022PredictIttrue32%
42Who will be the Senate-confirmed Interior Secretary on Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6976/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Interior-Secretary-on-Mar-1PredictItfalsenone
43Who will be the Senate-confirmed CIA Director on Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6977/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-CIA-Director-on-Mar-1PredictItfalsenone
44Who will be the Senate-confirmed Secretary of Education on Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6978/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Secretary-of-Education-on-Mar-1PredictItfalsenone
45Who will be the Senate-confirmed Transportation Secretary on Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6979/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Transportation-Secretary-on-Mar-1PredictItfalsenone
46Who will be the Senate-confirmed Agriculture Secretary on Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6980/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Agriculture-Secretary-on-Mar-1PredictItfalsenone
47Who will be the Senate-confirmed EPA Administrator on Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6981/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-EPA-Administrator-on-Mar-1PredictItfalsenone
48Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run in the 2022 Democratic primary in NY-14?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6983/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-run-in-the-2022-Democratic-primary-in-NY-14PredictIttrue46%
49Will Pete Buttigieg be confirmed to a Cabinet position by Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6986/Will-Pete-Buttigieg-be-confirmed-to-a-Cabinet-position-by-Mar-1PredictIttrue85%
50Who will be the Senate-confirmed Veterans Affairs Secretary on Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6987/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Veterans-Affairs-Secretary-on-Mar-1PredictItfalsenone
51Who will be the Senate-confirmed Director of National Intelligence on Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6989/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Director-of-National-Intelligence-on-Mar-1PredictItfalsenone
52Will Amy Klobuchar be confirmed to a Cabinet position by Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6990/Will-Amy-Klobuchar-be-confirmed-to-a-Cabinet-position-by-Mar-1PredictIttrue2%
53Will Elizabeth Warren be confirmed to a Cabinet position by Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6991/Will-Elizabeth-Warren-be-confirmed-to-a-Cabinet-position-by-Mar-1PredictIttrue2%
54Who will be the Senate-confirmed OMB Director on Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6992/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-OMB-Director-on-Mar-1PredictItfalsenone
55Who will be the Senate-confirmed U.S. Trade Representative on Mar. 1?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6993/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-US-Trade-Representative-on-Mar-1PredictItfalsenone
56Will Donald Trump file to run for president before the end of 2021?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6994/Will-Donald-Trump-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2021PredictIttrue33%
57Which party will win the 2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7000/Which-party-will-win-the-2021-New-Jersey-gubernatorial-electionPredictItfalsenone
58Which party will win the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7001/Which-party-will-win-the-2021-Virginia-gubernatorial-electionPredictItfalsenone
59Who will be elected New York City mayor in 2021?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7002/Who-will-be-elected-New-York-City-mayor-in-2021PredictItfalsenone
60Will Andrew Yang run in the 2021 NYC Democratic Mayoral primary?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7003/Will-Andrew-Yang-run-in-the-2021-NYC-Democratic-Mayoral-primaryPredictIttrue95%
61Will Israel hold national elections for Knesset in 2021?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7007/Will-Israel-hold-national-elections-for-Knesset-in-2021PredictIttrue98%
62Which Georgia Senate candidate will win the most runoff votes?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7008/Which-Georgia-Senate-candidate-will-win-the-most-runoff-votesPredictItfalsenone
63Which Georgia Senate candidate will win the fewest runoff votes?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7009/Which-Georgia-Senate-candidate-will-win-the-fewest-runoff-votesPredictItfalsenone
64How many votes in the Georgia regular Senate runoff election?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7011/How-many-votes-in-the-Georgia-regular-Senate-runoff-electionPredictItfalsenone
65How many votes in the Georgia special Senate runoff election?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7012/How-many-votes-in-the-Georgia-special-Senate-runoff-electionPredictItfalsenone
66Will a woman be elected U.S. president in 2024?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7013/Will-a-woman-be-elected-US-president-in-2024PredictIttrue44%
67Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez file to run for president before the end of 2023?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7014/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2023PredictIttrue20%
68Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run in the 2022 NY Democratic Senate primary?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7015/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-run-in-the-2022-NY-Democratic-Senate-primaryPredictIttrue31%
69Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania in 2022?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7016/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Pennsylvania-in-2022PredictItfalsenone
70Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina in 2022?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7017/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-North-Carolina-in-2022PredictItfalsenone
71Will Donald Trump Jr. run in the 2022 Pennsylvania Republican Senate primary?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7018/Will-Donald-Trump-Jr-run-in-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Republican-Senate-primaryPredictIttrue17%
72Will Lara Trump run in the 2022 North Carolina Republican Senate primary?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7019/Will-Lara-Trump-run-in-the-2022-North-Carolina-Republican-Senate-primaryPredictIttrue30%
73Who will be the Senate-confirmed USAID Administrator on Mar. 16?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7020/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-USAID-Administrator-on-Mar-16PredictItfalsenone
74Will Ivanka Trump run in the 2022 Florida Republican Senate primary?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7021/Will-Ivanka-Trump-run-in-the-2022-Florida-Republican-Senate-primaryPredictIttrue19%
75Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Florida in 2022?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7024/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Florida-in-2022PredictItfalsenone
76Who will win the 2021 Virginia Democratic gubernatorial primary?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7030/Who-will-win-the-2021-Virginia-Democratic-gubernatorial-primaryPredictItfalsenone
77Will Benjamin Netanyahu be prime minister of Israel on June 30, 2021?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7035/Will-Benjamin-Netanyahu-be-prime-minister-of-Israel-on-June-30,-2021PredictIttrue54%
78How many seats will Israel's Likud Party win in the next Knesset election?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7036/How-many-seats-will-Israel's-Likud-Party-win-in-the-next-Knesset-electionPredictItfalsenone
79Will there be enough signatures by Mar. 17 for a vote on recall of Gov. Newsom?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7039/Will-there-be-enough-signatures-by-Mar-17-for-a-vote-on-recall-of-Gov-NewsomPredictIttrue71%
80Who will be chancellor of Germany on Dec. 31?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7040/Who-will-be-chancellor-of-Germany-on-Dec-31PredictItfalsenone
81Who will win the 2021 Virginia Republican gubernatorial nomination?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7041/Who-will-win-the-2021-Virginia-Republican-gubernatorial-nominationPredictItfalsenone
82Will there be a statewide recount in either Georgia Senate runoff?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7043/Will-there-be-a-statewide-recount-in-either-Georgia-Senate-runoffPredictIttrue2%
83Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7044/Will-Donald-Trump-be-impeached-again-before-the-end-of-his-termPredictIttrue92%
84How many Yea votes for a Trump impeachment resolution before noon Jan. 20?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7045/How-many-Yea-votes-for-a-Trump-impeachment-resolution-before-noon-Jan-20PredictItfalsenone
85When will Jon Ossoff be sworn in as a U.S. Senator?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7046/When-will-Jon-Ossoff-be-sworn-in-as-a-US-SenatorPredictItfalsenone
86When will Raphael Warnock be sworn in as a U.S. Senator?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7048/When-will-Raphael-Warnock-be-sworn-in-as-a-US-SenatorPredictItfalsenone
87How many Yea votes in House for 25th Amendment resolution by Jan. 13?https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7049/How-many-Yea-votes-in-House-for-25th-Amendment-resolution-by-Jan-13PredictItfalsenone