metaforecast/data/csetforetell-questions.csv

1	Title	URL	Platform	Binary question?	Percentage	# Forecasts	# Forecasters
2	How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/103-how-many-ai-papers-will-be-posted-on-arxiv-between-july-1-and-december-31-2021-inclusive	CSET-foretell	false	none	11	11
3	How many members will the Alphabet Workers Union have by December 31, 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/105-how-many-members-will-the-alphabet-workers-union-have-by-december-31-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	25	25
4	What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/104-what-percentage-of-u-s-news-articles-about-ai-will-be-about-privacy-and-security-between-july-1-and-december-31-2021-inclusive	CSET-foretell	false	none	11	10
5	Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/102-will-nvidia-acquire-arm-by-march-30-2022	CSET-foretell	true	51%	38	31
6	How many of the top chipmakers in China will be subject to new export controls in 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/101-on-how-many-of-china-s-top-chipmakers-will-the-united-states-impose-new-export-controls-in-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	49	48
7	What percentage of the combined revenue of the top five semiconductor manufacturing equipment producers will come from China in 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/100-what-percentage-of-the-collective-revenue-of-the-leading-semiconductor-manufacturing-equipment-producers-will-come-from-china-between-july-1-2020-and-june-30-2021-inclusive	CSET-foretell	false	none	43	41
8	Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/99-will-the-united-states-re-enter-the-2015-nuclear-deal-with-iran-by-december-31-2021	CSET-foretell	true	65%	101	75
9	What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/95-what-will-be-the-value-in-dollars-of-all-chinese-imports-of-semiconductor-manufacturing-equipment-in-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	59	50
10	When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/97-when-will-ant-financial-have-an-ipo-in-china-or-hong-kong	CSET-foretell	false	none	131	98
11	What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/96-what-will-be-the-value-in-dollars-of-all-chinese-imports-of-semiconductor-chips-in-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	59	52
12	What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in the first half of 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/93-what-will-the-dollar-value-of-u-s-exports-of-semiconductor-chips-to-china-be-in-the-first-half-of-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	67	55
13	What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in the first half of 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/92-what-will-the-dollar-value-of-u-s-exports-of-semiconductor-manufacturing-equipment-to-china-be-in-the-first-half-of-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	55	42
14	What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/91-conditional-on-vice-president-biden-s-election-what-percentage-of-u-s-residents-will-have-an-unfavorable-view-of-china-as-reflected-in-the-2022-pew-global-attitudes-survey	CSET-foretell	false	none	138	121
15	What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/86-what-percentage-of-u-s-ai-publications-will-be-u-s-china-collaborations-in-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	82	77
16	Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/89-conditional-on-vice-president-biden-s-election-will-the-u-s-government-file-an-antitrust-lawsuit-against-apple-amazon-or-facebook-between-january-20-2021-and-january-19-2025	CSET-foretell	true	71%	120	89
17	What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for China be in the first two quarters of 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/84-what-will-the-ratio-of-trade-imports-exports-of-goods-to-gdp-be-china-in-the-first-two-quarters-january-1-through-june-30-of-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	53	42
18	What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for all OECD member countries be in the first two quarters of 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/83-what-will-the-ratio-of-trade-imports-exports-of-goods-to-gdp-be-for-oecd-member-countries-in-the-first-two-quarters-january-1-through-june-30-of-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	47	34
19	What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/80-what-percentage-of-u-s-citizens-will-have-an-unfavorable-view-of-china-as-reflected-in-the-2021-pew-global-attitudes-survey	CSET-foretell	false	none	200	158
20	What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2021 (October 1, 2020 to September 30, 2021)?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/79-conditional-on-biden-s-election-what-percentage-of-o-visas-will-go-to-chinese-nationals-in-fy-2021-october-1-2020-to-september-30-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	84	68
21	What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/76-what-will-total-u-s-trade-volume-with-china-imports-and-exports-of-goods-be-in-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	80	61
22	What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/45-what-percent-of-u-s-corporate-press-releases-about-ai-will-be-about-ai-ethics-in-2021	CSET-foretell	false	none	169	126
23	How much will the U.S. government spend on surveillance-related AI grants between June 1, 2020 and May 31, 2021, inclusive?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/41-how-much-will-the-u-s-government-spend-on-surveillance-related-ai-grants-between-june-1-2020-and-may-31-2021-inclusive	CSET-foretell	false	none	79	62
24	How many times will the Japanese Air Force respond to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft between April 1, 2020 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/32-how-many-sorties-against-chinese-aircraft-will-the-japanese-air-self-defense-force-conduct-by-april-30th-2020	CSET-foretell	false	none	85	55
25	How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant between October 1, 2020 and September 30, 2021, inclusive?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/23-how-many-new-h-1b-applications-submitted-by-the-big-5-tech-companies-will-the-u-s-grant-in-fy-2020	CSET-foretell	false	none	119	75