metaforecast/README.md
2021-01-12 13:43:41 +01:00

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How to use your own cookies

Private session cookies are necessary to query CSET-foretell and Good Judgment Open. You can get said cookies by creating an account in said platforms and then making and inspecting a request (e.g., by making a prediction). After doing this, you should create a src/privatekeys.json, in the same format as src/privatekeys_example.json

How to run

From the top level directory, enter: npm run start

Various notes

  • This will eventually be a webpage where users can just search for keywords and obtain forecasts related to those keywords. For example, by searching "Trump" and get probabilities related to various scenarios involving him.
  • A demo of this functionality can be found here, the database can be found here, and a csv with the raw data here.
  • These probabilities could then be rated and annotated, e.g., prediction markets rarely go above 95% or below 5%.
  • For elicit and metaculus, this library currently filters questions with <10 predictions