metaforecast/data/williamhill-questions.csv
2021-03-20 01:23:54 +01:00

30 KiB

1titleurlplatformdescriptionoptionsnumforecastsnumforecastersstars
2Labourhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.5555555555555556,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.4444444444444444,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
3Conservativeshttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.5,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.5,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
4Northern Independence Partyhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.0196078431372549,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.9803921568627451,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
5Reform UKhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.0196078431372549,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.9803921568627451,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
6Liberal Democratshttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.00398406374501992,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.9960159362549801,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
7Heritage Partyhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.001996007984031936,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.998003992015968,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
8SDPhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.001996007984031936,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"No","probability":0.998003992015968,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
9US Politics - Kamala Harris Specialshttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Kamala Harris to become President of the United States before the end of 2040","probability":0.6086956521739131,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kamala Harris to become a two-term President of the United States before the end of 2040","probability":0.391304347826087,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
10Prime Minister Bettinghttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Rishi Sunak","probability":0.19860338249230053,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Keir Starmer","probability":0.17377795968076296,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jeremy Hunt","probability":0.06319198533845927,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Michael Gove","probability":0.06319198533845927,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dominic Raab","probability":0.04088893168959128,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Priti Patel","probability":0.033100563748716755,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liz Truss","probability":0.033100563748716755,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Sajid Javid","probability":0.02044446584479564,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Matthew Hancock","probability":0.02044446584479564,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tom Tugendhat","probability":0.02044446584479564,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"James Cleverly","probability":0.02044446584479564,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jacob Rees-Mogg","probability":0.013629643896530428,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nigel Farage","probability":0.013629643896530428,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Steve Baker","probability":0.013629643896530428,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andy Burnham","probability":0.013629643896530428,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Lisa Nandy","probability":0.013629643896530428,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kemi Badenoch","probability":0.010374803563030624,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mark Harper","probability":0.010374803563030624,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Penny Mordaunt","probability":0.010374803563030624,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Steve Barclay","probability":0.006882295432901504,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Yvette Cooper","probability":0.006882295432901504,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bim Afolami","probability":0.006882295432901504,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Anneliese Dodds","probability":0.006882295432901504,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Grant Shapps","probability":0.006882295432901504,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Damian Hinds","probability":0.006882295432901504,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Sadiq Khan","probability":0.006882295432901504,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Johnny Mercer","probability":0.006882295432901504,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tobias Ellwood","probability":0.006882295432901504,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Robert Jenrick","probability":0.006882295432901504,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Gavin Williamson","probability":0.006882295432901504,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Amanda Milling","probability":0.006882295432901504,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ed Davey","probability":0.006882295432901504,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Angela Rayner","probability":0.006882295432901504,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ben Wallace","probability":0.006882295432901504,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Miliband","probability":0.006882295432901504,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Gillian Keegan","probability":0.006882295432901504,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dan Jarvis","probability":0.006882295432901504,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Hilary Benn","probability":0.004603389660417562,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Caroline Lucas","probability":0.004603389660417562,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ed Miliband","probability":0.004603389660417562,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"John McDonnell","probability":0.0034582678543435418,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andrea Leadsom","probability":0.0034582678543435418,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Geoffrey Cox","probability":0.0034582678543435418,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rebecca Long-Bailey","probability":0.0034582678543435418,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Davis","probability":0.0034582678543435418,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bridget Phillipson","probability":0.0034582678543435418,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Margaret Beckett","probability":0.0034582678543435418,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jess Phillips","probability":0.0034582678543435418,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Helen Whately","probability":0.0034582678543435418,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Phillip Hammond","probability":0.0034582678543435418,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Cameron","probability":0.0034582678543435418,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Esther McVey","probability":0.0034582678543435418,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kit Malthouse","probability":0.0034582678543435418,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ruth Davidson","probability":0.0034582678543435418,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Emily Thornberry","probability":0.0034582678543435418,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rory Stewart","probability":0.0034582678543435418,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Eddie Hughes","probability":0.0034582678543435418,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andrea Jenkyns","probability":0.0034582678543435418,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Harriet Harman","probability":0.0034582678543435418,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Daisy Cooper","probability":0.0027693698753906448,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jeremy Corbyn","probability":0.0027693698753906448,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Layla Moran","probability":0.0027693698753906448,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Piers Morgan","probability":0.001387448779886331,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
11Boris Johnson Exit Datehttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"2021","probability":0.07072159715760089,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"2022","probability":0.08358006936807377,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"2023","probability":0.08358006936807377,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"2024 or later","probability":0.26613653667202436,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"To be Tory leader at next General Election","probability":0.26613653667202436,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"To NOT be Tory leader at next General Election","probability":0.22984519076220286,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
12Keir Starmer Exit Datehttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"2023 or Earlier","probability":0.4117647058823529,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"2024","probability":0.2588235294117647,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"2025 or Later","probability":0.32941176470588235,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
13Next Permanent Labour Leader After Keir Starmerhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Angela Rayner","probability":0.08437886403847206,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andy Burnham","probability":0.07941540144797371,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Lisa Nandy","probability":0.07500343470086406,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Sadiq Khan","probability":0.05192545479290589,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rosena Allin-Khan","probability":0.039707700723986855,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nick Thomas-Symonds","probability":0.03214432915751317,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Yvette Cooper","probability":0.025962727396452945,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Anneliese Dodds","probability":0.025962727396452945,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Lammy","probability":0.019853850361993428,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dan Jarvis","probability":0.019853850361993428,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Seema Malhotra","probability":0.019853850361993428,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jess Phillips","probability":0.019853850361993428,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rachel Reeves","probability":0.019853850361993428,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"James Murray","probability":0.019853850361993428,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Clive Lewis","probability":0.0164641685928726,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Zarah Sultana","probability":0.0164641685928726,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Hilary Benn","probability":0.0164641685928726,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Lousie Haigh","probability":0.013235900241328952,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Shabana Mahmood","probability":0.013235900241328952,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Stephen Kinnock","probability":0.013235900241328952,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jim McMahon","probability":0.013235900241328952,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Stella Creasy","probability":0.013235900241328952,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Emma Hardy","probability":0.013235900241328952,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bridget Phillipson","probability":0.013235900241328952,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Richard Burgon","probability":0.013235900241328952,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ed Miliband","probability":0.013235900241328952,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Matthew Pennycook","probability":0.013235900241328952,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Lucy Powell","probability":0.013235900241328952,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dawn Butler","probability":0.013235900241328952,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Alison McGovern","probability":0.013235900241328952,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Janet Daby","probability":0.013235900241328952,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rebecca Long-Bailey","probability":0.013235900241328952,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jonathan Ashworth","probability":0.013235900241328952,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dan Carden","probability":0.013235900241328952,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ian Murray","probability":0.010075088243399649,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Wes Streeting","probability":0.010075088243399649,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Peter Kyle","probability":0.010075088243399649,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Miliband","probability":0.010075088243399649,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Darren Jones","probability":0.010075088243399649,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Chi Onwurah","probability":0.010075088243399649,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rosie Duffield","probability":0.010075088243399649,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Diane Abbott","probability":0.006683474379284916,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nia Griffith","probability":0.006683474379284916,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jonathan Reynolds","probability":0.006683474379284916,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liz Kendall","probability":0.006683474379284916,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"John McDonnell","probability":0.006683474379284916,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Preet Gill","probability":0.006683474379284916,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Helen Hayes","probability":0.006683474379284916,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Vicky Foxcroft","probability":0.006683474379284916,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Lloyd Russell-Moyle","probability":0.006683474379284916,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nadia Whittome","probability":0.006683474379284916,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Angela Eagle","probability":0.006683474379284916,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Justin Madders","probability":0.006683474379284916,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ian Lavery","probability":0.006683474379284916,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bell Ribeiro-Addy","probability":0.006683474379284916,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Emily Thornberry","probability":0.006683474379284916,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Barry Gardiner","probability":0.006683474379284916,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jeremy Corbyn","probability":0.006683474379284916,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kate Osamor","probability":0.004470403392766732,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tony Blair","probability":0.003358362747799883,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
14Next London Mayoral Electionhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Sadiq Khan","probability":0.8776707112411921,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Shaun Bailey","probability":0.05369279645240234,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Brian Rose","probability":0.02684639822620117,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Sian Berry","probability":0.009037401383077622,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Laurence Fox","probability":0.004541181789506666,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Luisa Porritt","probability":0.004541181789506666,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"David Kurten","probability":0.003636563903150756,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Peter Gammons","probability":0.003636563903150756,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kam Balayev","probability":0.0018219112568679434,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Count Binface","probability":0.0018219112568679434,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Piers Corbyn","probability":0.0018219112568679434,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Farah London","probability":0.0018219112568679434,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nims Obunge","probability":0.0018219112568679434,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Max Fosh","probability":0.0018219112568679434,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mandu Reid","probability":0.0018219112568679434,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Drillminister","probability":0.0018219112568679434,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Valerie Brown","probability":0.0018219112568679434,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
15Scottish Election 2021 - Most Seatshttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"SNP","probability":0.936717595487423,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Conservative","probability":0.02782602268947933,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Labour","probability":0.018550681792986218,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liberal Democrat","probability":0.00936717595487423,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Greens","probability":0.003769262037618714,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Reform UK","probability":0.003769262037618714,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
16Most Seats in General Electionhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Conservative","probability":0.5625094928679308,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Labour","probability":0.4166736984206895,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Reform UK","probability":0.00620871404931491,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liberal Democrat","probability":0.00620871404931491,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"UKIP","probability":0.004664257818142047,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Greens","probability":0.0037351227946077746,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
17Next Permanent Scottish First Ministerhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Angus Robertson","probability":0.13797588382724343,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kate Forbes","probability":0.12647789350830646,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"John Swinney","probability":0.10840962300711983,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Joanna Cherry","probability":0.07588673610498389,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Humza Yousaf","probability":0.06898794191362172,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Keith Brown","probability":0.05837441238844915,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Douglas Ross","probability":0.04463925653234346,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mhairi Black","probability":0.036136541002373276,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Michael Russell","probability":0.036136541002373276,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ruth Davidson","probability":0.029187206194224574,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Shirley-Anne Somerville","probability":0.029187206194224574,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Derek Mackay","probability":0.02231962826617173,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Alex Salmond","probability":0.02231962826617173,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Anas Sarwar","probability":0.02231962826617173,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Shona Robison","probability":0.02231962826617173,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Stewart Hosie","probability":0.018508960025605828,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Michael Matheson","probability":0.01487975217744782,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ash Denham","probability":0.01487975217744782,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jeane Freeman","probability":0.01487975217744782,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andrew Wilson","probability":0.01487975217744782,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jackson Carlaw","probability":0.011326378523131923,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Peter Murrell","probability":0.011326378523131923,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Willie Rennie","probability":0.0075135382282162265,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh","probability":0.0075135382282162265,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Monica Lennon","probability":0.0075135382282162265,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Neil Findlay","probability":0.0075135382282162265,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Pete Wishart","probability":0.0075135382282162265,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Philippa Whitford","probability":0.0075135382282162265,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tommy Sheppard","probability":0.0075135382282162265,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Richard Leonard","probability":0.003023375940437605,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Michelle Ballantyne","probability":0.003023375940437605,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
18French 2022 Presidential Election - Candidate With The Most Votes: 1st Roundhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Emmanuel Macron","probability":0.5365853658536586,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Marine Le Pen","probability":0.46341463414634143,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
19West Midlands Mayoral Election 2021https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Andy Street (Conservative)","probability":0.6801053583651119,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liam Byrne (Labour)","probability":0.30913879925686905,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jenny Wilkinson (Lib Dem)","probability":0.006141830448811968,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ashvir Sangha (Independent)","probability":0.004614011929207001,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
20Greater Manchester Mayoral Election 2021https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Andy Burnham (Labour)","probability":0.9478583925223222,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Laura Evans (Conservative)","probability":0.02830058480347397,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Simon Lepori (Lib Dem)","probability":0.00952692953780312,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Melanie Horrocks (Green)","probability":0.00952692953780312,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nick Buckley (Reform UK)","probability":0.004787163598597587,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
21West Yorkshire Mayoral Election 2021https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Tracy Brabin (Labour)","probability":0.8450310681917125,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Matthew Robinson (Conservatives)","probability":0.13077861769633645,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andrew Cooper (Green)","probability":0.009063864592815399,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Stewart Golton (Lib Dem)","probability":0.009063864592815399,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bob Buxton (Yorkshire Party)","probability":0.006062584926320233,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
222021 New York City Mayoral Electionhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Andrew Yang","probability":0.4946254386960333,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Eric Adams","probability":0.12365635967400833,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Scott Stringer","probability":0.09892508773920666,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Raymond McGuire","probability":0.06744892345855,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Maya Wiley","probability":0.06744892345855,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kathryn Garcia","probability":0.035330388478288094,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Shaun Donovan","probability":0.028536083001694232,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dianne Morales","probability":0.021821710530707354,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Carlos Menchaca","probability":0.014547807020471568,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Loree Sutton","probability":0.014547807020471568,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Curtis Sliwa","probability":0.011073703851403731,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Cleopatra Fitzgerald","probability":0.0073459223568717825,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bill Pepitone","probability":0.0073459223568717825,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Abbey Laurel-Smith","probability":0.0073459223568717825,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
23Welsh Assembly Election 2021 - Most Seatshttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Labour","probability":0.8444759244837123,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Conservative","probability":0.10644654510298895,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Plaid Cymru","probability":0.043085506351209814,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liberal Democrat","probability":0.005992024062088782,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
24Next German Federal Electionhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Markus Soder","probability":0.38324741732256423,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Armin Laschet","probability":0.3406643709533904,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Annalena Baerbock or Robert Habeck","probability":0.10949926209216121,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Robert Habeck","probability":0.05896114112654835,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Annalena Baerbock","probability":0.051099655643008564,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Olaf Scholz","probability":0.04508793144971344,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Alice Weidel","probability":0.011440221412613857,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
25Next Norwegian General Election - Party With The Most Voteshttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Conservatives (H)","probability":0.6307419721034784,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Labour (AP)","probability":0.21865721699587248,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Centre Party (SP)","probability":0.12614839442069567,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Progress Party (FRP)","probability":0.008118461027074473,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Liberal Party (V)","probability":0.003266791090575784,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Socialist Left Party (SV)","probability":0.003266791090575784,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Christian Democratic Party (KRF)","probability":0.003266791090575784,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Green Party (MDG)","probability":0.003266791090575784,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Red Party (R)","probability":0.003266791090575784,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
26Year of Next Australian Federal Electionhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"2021","probability":0.3373493975903614,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"2022","probability":0.6626506024096386,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
27Australian Federal Election - Winning Partyhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Coalition","probability":0.6556291390728477,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Labor Party","probability":0.34437086092715236,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2
28US Presidential Election 2024 - Winnerhttps://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politicsWilliamHill[{"name":"Kamala Harris","probability":0.155643759309835,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Joe Biden","probability":0.1400793833788515,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Donald Trump","probability":0.08754961461178219,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mike Pence","probability":0.06367244699038704,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Nikki Haley","probability":0.05387668591494289,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","probability":0.026938342957471446,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tucker Carlson","probability":0.026938342957471446,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Michelle Obama","probability":0.02059990932041934,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ron DeSantis","probability":0.02059990932041934,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Pete Buttigieg","probability":0.02059990932041934,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ted Cruz","probability":0.02059990932041934,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Donald Trump Jnr","probability":0.02059990932041934,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dwayne Johnson","probability":0.02059990932041934,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Beto O'Rourke","probability":0.02059990932041934,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Ivanka Trump","probability":0.02059990932041934,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Elizabeth Warren","probability":0.013733272880279559,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andrew Cuomo","probability":0.013733272880279559,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mike Pompeo","probability":0.013733272880279559,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Marco Rubio","probability":0.013733272880279559,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Candace Owens","probability":0.013733272880279559,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tom Cotton","probability":0.013733272880279559,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Amy Klobuchar","probability":0.010453685326779963,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Gavin Newsom","probability":0.010453685326779963,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Dan Crenshaw","probability":0.010453685326779963,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Bernie Sanders","probability":0.010453685326779963,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Andrew Yang","probability":0.010453685326779963,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mitt Romney","probability":0.010453685326779963,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Paul Ryan","probability":0.010453685326779963,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kanye West","probability":0.010453685326779963,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Josh Hawley","probability":0.010453685326779963,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tim Scott","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Rick Scott","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jared Kushner","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Gretchen Whitmer","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mike DeWine","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"John Hickenlooper","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Tim Kaine","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Megan Rapinoe","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Mark Zuckerberg","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Michael Bloomberg","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Hillary Clinton","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Meghan Markle","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Jim Jordan","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Matt Gaetz","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"},{"name":"Kimberly Guilfoyle","probability":0.006934622939547105,"type":"PROBABILITY"}]2