fix: recalculate manifold markets stars
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data/frontpage.json
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data/frontpage.json
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data/metaforecasts.json
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data/metaforecasts.json
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@ -1,37 +1,40 @@
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/* Imports */
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import axios from "axios"
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import fs from "fs"
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import { Tabletojson } from "tabletojson"
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import toMarkdown from "../utils/toMarkdown.js"
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import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars.js"
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import { upsert } from "../utils/mongo-wrapper.js"
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import axios from "axios";
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import fs from "fs";
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import { Tabletojson } from "tabletojson";
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import toMarkdown from "../utils/toMarkdown.js";
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import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars.js";
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import { upsert } from "../utils/mongo-wrapper.js";
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/* Definitions */
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let endpoints = ["https://goodjudgment.io/superforecasts/", "https://goodjudgment.io/economist/"]
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String.prototype.replaceAll = function replaceAll(search, replace) { return this.split(search).join(replace); }
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let endpoints = [
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"https://goodjudgment.io/superforecasts/",
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"https://goodjudgment.io/economist/",
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];
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String.prototype.replaceAll = function replaceAll(search, replace) {
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return this.split(search).join(replace);
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};
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/* Support functions */
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/* Body */
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export async function goodjudgment() {
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let results = []
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let results = [];
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for (let endpoint of endpoints) {
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let content = await axios.get(endpoint)
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.then(query => query.data)
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let jsonTable = Tabletojson.convert(content, { stripHtmlFromCells: false })
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jsonTable.shift() // deletes first element
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jsonTable.pop() // deletes last element
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if (endpoint == endpoints[1]) jsonTable.pop() // pop again\
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let content = await axios.get(endpoint).then((query) => query.data);
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let jsonTable = Tabletojson.convert(content, { stripHtmlFromCells: false });
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jsonTable.shift(); // deletes first element
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jsonTable.pop(); // deletes last element
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if (endpoint == endpoints[1]) jsonTable.pop(); // pop again\
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// console.log(jsonTable)
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for (let table of jsonTable) {
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// console.log(table)
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let title = table[0]['0']
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.split("\t\t\t")
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.splice(3)[0]
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let title = table[0]["0"].split("\t\t\t").splice(3)[0];
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let description = table
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.filter(row => row['0'].includes("BACKGROUND:"))
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.map(row => row['0'])
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.map(text => text
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.filter((row) => row["0"].includes("BACKGROUND:"))
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.map((row) => row["0"])
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.map((text) =>
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text
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.split("BACKGROUND:")[1]
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.split("Examples of Superforecaster")[0]
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.split("AT A GLANCE")[0]
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@ -41,45 +44,49 @@ export async function goodjudgment() {
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.join(" ")
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.replaceAll(" ", "")
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.replaceAll("<br> ", "")
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)[0]
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)[0];
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let options = table
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.filter(row => '4' in row)
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.map(row => ({
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name: row['2']
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.split("<span class=\"qTitle\">")[1]
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.filter((row) => "4" in row)
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.map((row) => ({
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name: row["2"]
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.split('<span class="qTitle">')[1]
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.replace("</span>", ""),
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probability: Number(row['3'].split("%")[0]) / 100,
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type: "PROBABILITY"
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}))
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let analysis = table.filter(row => row[0]? row[0].toLowerCase().includes("commentary") : false)
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probability: Number(row["3"].split("%")[0]) / 100,
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type: "PROBABILITY",
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}));
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let analysis = table.filter((row) =>
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row[0] ? row[0].toLowerCase().includes("commentary") : false
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);
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// "Examples of Superforecaster Commentary" / Analysis
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// The following is necessary twite, because we want to check if there is an empty list, and then get the first element of the first element of the list.
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analysis = analysis ? analysis[0] : ""
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analysis = analysis ? analysis[0] : ""
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analysis = analysis ? analysis[0] : "";
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analysis = analysis ? analysis[0] : "";
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// console.log(analysis)
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let standardObj = ({
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"title": title,
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"url": endpoint,
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"platform": "Good Judgment",
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"description": description,
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"options": options,
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"timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
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"qualityindicators": {
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"stars": calculateStars("Good Judgment", ({})),
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let standardObj = {
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title: title,
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url: endpoint,
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platform: "Good Judgment",
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description: description,
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options: options,
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timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
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qualityindicators: {
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stars: calculateStars("Good Judgment", {}),
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},
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"extra": {
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"superforecastercommentary": analysis || ""
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extra: {
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superforecastercommentary: analysis || "",
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},
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};
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if (standardObj.title != undefined) {
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results.push(standardObj);
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}
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})
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results.push(standardObj)
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}
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}
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// console.log(results.slice(0,10))
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let string = JSON.stringify(results, null, 2)
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let string = JSON.stringify(results, null, 2);
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// fs.writeFileSync('./data/goodjudgment-questions.json', string);
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// fs.writeFileSync('./goodjudgment-questions-test.json', string);
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console.log(results)
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await upsert(results, "goodjudgment-questions")
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console.log("Done")
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console.log(results);
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await upsert(results, "goodjudgment-questions");
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console.log("Done");
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}
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// goodjudgment()
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@ -1,80 +1,100 @@
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/* Imports */
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import fs from 'fs'
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import axios from "axios"
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import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars.js"
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import { upsert } from "../utils/mongo-wrapper.js"
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import fs from "fs";
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import axios from "axios";
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import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars.js";
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import { upsert } from "../utils/mongo-wrapper.js";
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/* Definitions */
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let endpoint = 'https://us-central1-mantic-markets.cloudfunctions.net/markets'
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let endpoint = "https://us-central1-mantic-markets.cloudfunctions.net/markets";
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/* Support functions */
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async function fetchData() {
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let response = await axios({
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url: endpoint,
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method: 'GET',
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headers: ({
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'Content-Type': 'text/html',
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}),
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})
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.then(response => response.data)
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method: "GET",
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headers: {
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"Content-Type": "text/html",
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},
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}).then((response) => response.data);
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// console.log(response)
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return response
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return response;
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}
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function showStatistics(results) {
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console.log(`Num unresolved markets: ${results.length}`);
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let sum = (arr) => arr.reduce((tally, a) => tally + a, 0);
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let num2StarsOrMore = results.filter(
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(result) => result.qualityindicators.stars >= 2
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);
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console.log(
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`Manifold has ${num2StarsOrMore.length} markets with 2 stars or more`
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);
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console.log(
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`Mean volume: ${
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sum(results.map((result) => result.qualityindicators.volume7Days)) /
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results.length
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}; mean pool: ${
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sum(results.map((result) => result.qualityindicators.pool)) /
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results.length
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}`
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);
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}
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async function processPredictions(predictions) {
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let results = await predictions.map(prediction => {
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let probability = prediction.probability
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let results = await predictions.map((prediction) => {
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let probability = prediction.probability;
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let options = [
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{
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"name": "Yes",
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"probability": probability,
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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name: "Yes",
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probability: probability,
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type: "PROBABILITY",
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},
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{
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"name": "No",
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"probability": 1 - probability,
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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}
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]
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let result = ({
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"title": prediction.question,
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"url": prediction.url,
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"platform": "Manifold Markets",
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"description": prediction.description,
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"options": options,
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"timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
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"qualityindicators": {
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"stars": calculateStars("Manifold Markets", ({
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volume7days: prediction.volume7days,
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volume24Hours: prediction.volume24Hours,
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pool: prediction.pool
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})),
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"createdTime": prediction.createdTime,
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"volume7Days": prediction.volume7Days,
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"volume24Hours": prediction.volume24Hours,
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"pool": prediction.pool, // normally liquidity, but I don't actually want to show it.
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name: "No",
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probability: 1 - probability,
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type: "PROBABILITY",
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},
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"extra": {
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"isResolved": prediction.isResolved
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}
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})
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return result
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})
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let unresolvedResults = results.filter(result => !result.isResolved)
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console.log(unresolvedResults)
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return unresolvedResults //resultsProcessed
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];
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let result = {
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title: prediction.question,
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url: prediction.url,
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platform: "Manifold Markets",
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description: prediction.description,
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options: options,
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timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
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qualityindicators: {
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stars: calculateStars("Manifold Markets", {
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volume7Days: prediction.volume7Days,
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volume24Hours: prediction.volume24Hours,
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pool: prediction.pool,
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}),
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createdTime: prediction.createdTime,
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volume7Days: prediction.volume7Days,
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volume24Hours: prediction.volume24Hours,
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pool: prediction.pool, // normally liquidity, but I don't actually want to show it.
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},
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extra: {
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isResolved: prediction.isResolved,
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},
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};
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return result;
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});
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let unresolvedResults = results.filter((result) => !result.extra.isResolved);
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// console.log(unresolvedResults);
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return unresolvedResults; //resultsProcessed
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}
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/* Body */
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export async function manifoldmarkets() {
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let data = await fetchData()
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let results = await processPredictions(data) // somehow needed
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let data = await fetchData();
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let results = await processPredictions(data); // somehow needed
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showStatistics(results);
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// console.log(results)
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// let string = JSON.stringify(results, null, 2)
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// fs.writeFileSync('polyprediction-questions.json', string);
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await upsert(results, "manifoldmarkets-questions")
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console.log("Done")
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await upsert(results, "manifoldmarkets-questions");
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console.log("Done");
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}
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// manifoldmarkets()
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