metaforecast/data/williamhill-questions.json

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[
{
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"title": "Labour",
"url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics",
"platform": "WilliamHill",
"options": [
{
"name": "Yes",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.5555555555555556,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "No",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.4444444444444444,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
"stars": 2
},
{
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"title": "Conservatives",
"url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics",
"platform": "WilliamHill",
"options": [
{
"name": "Yes",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.47619047619047616,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "No",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.5238095238095238,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
"stars": 2
},
{
2021-03-29 22:28:30 +00:00
"title": "Northern Independence Party / Thelma Walker",
"url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics",
"platform": "WilliamHill",
"options": [
{
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"name": "Yes",
2021-03-29 22:28:30 +00:00
"probability": 0.029411764705882353,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "No",
2021-03-29 22:28:30 +00:00
"probability": 0.9705882352941176,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
"stars": 2
},
{
"title": "Reform UK",
"url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics",
"platform": "WilliamHill",
"options": [
{
"name": "Yes",
"probability": 0.0196078431372549,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "No",
"probability": 0.9803921568627451,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
"stars": 2
},
2021-03-29 22:28:30 +00:00
{
"title": "SDP",
"url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics",
"platform": "WilliamHill",
"options": [
{
"name": "Yes",
"probability": 0.00398406374501992,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "No",
"probability": 0.9960159362549801,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
"stars": 2
},
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
{
"title": "Liberal Democrats",
"url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics",
"platform": "WilliamHill",
"options": [
{
"name": "Yes",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"probability": 0.00398406374501992,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "No",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"probability": 0.9960159362549801,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
"stars": 2
},
{
"title": "Heritage Party",
"url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics",
"platform": "WilliamHill",
"options": [
{
"name": "Yes",
"probability": 0.001996007984031936,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "No",
"probability": 0.998003992015968,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
"stars": 2
},
{
2021-03-29 22:28:30 +00:00
"title": "Women's Equality Party",
"url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics",
"platform": "WilliamHill",
"options": [
{
"name": "Yes",
"probability": 0.001996007984031936,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "No",
"probability": 0.998003992015968,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
"stars": 2
},
{
"title": "UKIP",
"url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics",
"platform": "WilliamHill",
"options": [
{
"name": "Yes",
"probability": 0.001996007984031936,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "No",
"probability": 0.998003992015968,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
"stars": 2
},
{
"title": "North East Party",
"url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics",
"platform": "WilliamHill",
"options": [
{
"name": "Yes",
"probability": 0.001996007984031936,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "No",
"probability": 0.998003992015968,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
"stars": 2
},
{
"title": "Samantha Lee (Ind)",
2021-03-20 00:23:54 +00:00
"url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics",
"platform": "WilliamHill",
"options": [
{
"name": "Yes",
"probability": 0.001996007984031936,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "No",
"probability": 0.998003992015968,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
"stars": 2
},
{
"title": "US Politics - Kamala Harris Specials",
"url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics",
"platform": "WilliamHill",
"options": [
{
"name": "Kamala Harris to become President of the United States before the end of 2040",
"probability": 0.6086956521739131,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Kamala Harris to become a two-term President of the United States before the end of 2040",
"probability": 0.391304347826087,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
"stars": 2
},
{
"title": "Prime Minister Betting",
"url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics",
"platform": "WilliamHill",
"options": [
{
"name": "Rishi Sunak",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.19163679246737464,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Keir Starmer",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.16768219340895282,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"name": "Michael Gove",
"probability": 0.08384109670447641,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"name": "Jeremy Hunt",
"probability": 0.06097534305780102,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Dominic Raab",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.039454633743283014,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Priti Patel",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.03193946541122911,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"name": "Sajid Javid",
"probability": 0.03193946541122911,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"name": "Liz Truss",
"probability": 0.03193946541122911,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Matthew Hancock",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.019727316871641507,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Tom Tugendhat",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.019727316871641507,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "James Cleverly",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.019727316871641507,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Jacob Rees-Mogg",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.013151544581094337,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Nigel Farage",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.013151544581094337,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Steve Baker",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.013151544581094337,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Andy Burnham",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.013151544581094337,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Lisa Nandy",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.013151544581094337,
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"name": "Kemi Badenoch",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.010010877218444944,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Mark Harper",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.010010877218444944,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Penny Mordaunt",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.010010877218444944,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Steve Barclay",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00664087894688922,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Yvette Cooper",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00664087894688922,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Bim Afolami",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00664087894688922,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Anneliese Dodds",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00664087894688922,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Grant Shapps",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00664087894688922,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Damian Hinds",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00664087894688922,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Sadiq Khan",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00664087894688922,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Johnny Mercer",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00664087894688922,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Tobias Ellwood",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00664087894688922,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Robert Jenrick",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00664087894688922,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Gavin Williamson",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00664087894688922,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Amanda Milling",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00664087894688922,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Ed Davey",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00664087894688922,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Angela Rayner",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00664087894688922,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Ben Wallace",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00664087894688922,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "David Miliband",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00664087894688922,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Gillian Keegan",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00664087894688922,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Dan Jarvis",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00664087894688922,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Hilary Benn",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00444191240818418,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Caroline Lucas",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00444191240818418,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Ed Miliband",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.00444191240818418,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "John McDonnell",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.003336959072814981,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Andrea Leadsom",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.003336959072814981,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Geoffrey Cox",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.003336959072814981,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
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},
{
"name": "Rebecca Long-Bailey",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.003336959072814981,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
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},
{
"name": "David Davis",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.003336959072814981,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
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},
{
"name": "Bridget Phillipson",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.003336959072814981,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
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},
{
"name": "Margaret Beckett",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
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2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
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},
{
"name": "Jess Phillips",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
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2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
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},
{
"name": "Helen Whately",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
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2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
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},
{
"name": "Phillip Hammond",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.003336959072814981,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "David Cameron",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.003336959072814981,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Esther McVey",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.003336959072814981,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
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},
{
"name": "Kit Malthouse",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.003336959072814981,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
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{
"name": "Ruth Davidson",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.003336959072814981,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
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},
{
"name": "Emily Thornberry",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.003336959072814981,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
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},
{
"name": "Rory Stewart",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.003336959072814981,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Eddie Hughes",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
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2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
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},
{
"name": "Andrea Jenkyns",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.003336959072814981,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
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},
{
"name": "Harriet Harman",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.003336959072814981,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
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},
{
"name": "Daisy Cooper",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.0026722261897841083,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
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},
{
"name": "Jeremy Corbyn",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
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2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
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{
"name": "Layla Moran",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
"probability": 0.0026722261897841083,
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
"name": "Piers Morgan",
2021-04-02 22:33:41 +00:00
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2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
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},
{
"title": "Boris Johnson Exit Date",
"url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics",
"platform": "WilliamHill",
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{
"name": "2021",
"probability": 0.07072159715760089,
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{
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"name": "2023",
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},
{
"name": "2024 or later",
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},
{
"name": "To be Tory leader at next General Election",
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},
{
"name": "To NOT be Tory leader at next General Election",
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}
],
"stars": 2
},
{
"title": "Keir Starmer Exit Date",
"url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics",
"platform": "WilliamHill",
"options": [
{
"name": "2023 or Earlier",
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},
{
"name": "2024",
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},
{
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
}
],
"stars": 2
},
{
"title": "Next Permanent Labour Leader After Keir Starmer",
"url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics",
"platform": "WilliamHill",
"options": [
{
"name": "Angela Rayner",
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},
{
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"name": "Andy Burnham",
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},
{
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"name": "Lisa Nandy",
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},
{
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"name": "Sadiq Khan",
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},
{
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"name": "Rosena Allin-Khan",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"name": "Nick Thomas-Symonds",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"name": "Yvette Cooper",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
},
{
2021-03-18 21:57:01 +00:00
"name": "Anneliese Dodds",
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