hierarchical-estimates-visu.../data/results/research/gavin-leech.json
2022-02-08 18:26:12 -05:00

373 lines
7.2 KiB
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[
{
"source": "The Global Priorities Institute's Research Agenda",
"target": "Superintelligence",
"distance": 100,
"reasoning": "GPI: good stuff but v v hard questions read by ~200.\nSuperintelligence: Maybe 50,000 copies? associated interview tour transformed the field."
},
{
"source": "Thinking Fast and Slow",
"target": "The Global Priorities Institute's Research Agenda",
"distance": "100",
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "The Global Priorities Institute's Research Agenda",
"target": "The Mathematical Theory of Communication",
"distance": 1000,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Superintelligence",
"target": "The Mathematical Theory of Communication",
"distance": 10,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Categorizing Variants of Goodhart's Law",
"target": "The Vulnerable World Hypothesis",
"distance": 10,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Shallow evaluations of longtermist organizations",
"target": "The motivated reasoning critique of effective altruism",
"distance": 10,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Shallow evaluations of longtermist organizations",
"target": "Categorizing Variants of Goodhart's Law",
"distance": 100,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "The motivated reasoning critique of effective altruism",
"target": "Categorizing Variants of Goodhart's Law",
"distance": 10,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Shallow evaluations of longtermist organizations",
"target": "Thinking Fast and Slow",
"distance": 10,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Thinking Fast and Slow",
"target": "The motivated reasoning critique of effective altruism",
"distance": 1,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "The motivated reasoning critique of effective altruism",
"target": "The Global Priorities Institute's Research Agenda",
"distance": 1000,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Categorizing Variants of Goodhart's Law",
"target": "The Global Priorities Institute's Research Agenda",
"distance": 100,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "The Vulnerable World Hypothesis",
"target": "The Global Priorities Institute's Research Agenda",
"distance": 10,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Reversals in Psychology",
"target": "A Model of Patient Spending and Movement Building",
"distance": 10,
"reasoning": "RiP: Cleaning up 10,000 people's brains a bit.\nMPS: far more important topic"
},
{
"source": "Database of orgs relevant to longtermist/x-risk work",
"target": "What are some low-information priors that you find practically useful for thinking about the world?",
"distance": "5",
"reasoning": "\nDatabase just saves a bit of time, maybe 100 counterfactual applications"
},
{
"source": "Reversals in Psychology",
"target": "Database of orgs relevant to longtermist/x-risk work",
"distance": 1,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Database of orgs relevant to longtermist/x-risk work",
"target": "A Model of Patient Spending and Movement Building",
"distance": 10,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "What are some low-information priors that you find practically useful for thinking about the world?",
"target": "A Model of Patient Spending and Movement Building",
"distance": 2,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Center for Election Science EA Wiki stub",
"target": "Extinguishing or preventing coal seam fires is a potential cause area",
"distance": 1000,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "A comment on setting up a charity",
"target": "Center for Election Science EA Wiki stub",
"distance": 10,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "A comment on setting up a charity",
"target": "Reversals in Psychology",
"distance": 200,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Center for Election Science EA Wiki stub",
"target": "Reversals in Psychology",
"distance": 20,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Reversals in Psychology",
"target": "Extinguishing or preventing coal seam fires is a potential cause area",
"distance": "50",
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Database of orgs relevant to longtermist/x-risk work",
"target": "Extinguishing or preventing coal seam fires is a potential cause area",
"distance": "50",
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "What are some low-information priors that you find practically useful for thinking about the world?",
"target": "Extinguishing or preventing coal seam fires is a potential cause area",
"distance": "10",
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "A Model of Patient Spending and Movement Building",
"target": "Extinguishing or preventing coal seam fires is a potential cause area",
"distance": 1,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "A comment on setting up a charity",
"target": "Shallow evaluations of longtermist organizations",
"distance": 1000,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Center for Election Science EA Wiki stub",
"target": "Shallow evaluations of longtermist organizations",
"distance": 100,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Reversals in Psychology",
"target": "Shallow evaluations of longtermist organizations",
"distance": 100,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Database of orgs relevant to longtermist/x-risk work",
"target": "Shallow evaluations of longtermist organizations",
"distance": 100,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Thinking Fast and Slow",
"target": "The Mathematical Theory of Communication",
"distance": 99999.99999999999,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "What are some low-information priors that you find practically useful for thinking about the world?",
"target": "Shallow evaluations of longtermist organizations",
"distance": 100,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Shallow evaluations of longtermist organizations",
"target": "A Model of Patient Spending and Movement Building",
"distance": 1,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Thinking Fast and Slow",
"target": "A Model of Patient Spending and Movement Building",
"distance": "1000",
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "The motivated reasoning critique of effective altruism",
"target": "A Model of Patient Spending and Movement Building",
"distance": "5",
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "A Model of Patient Spending and Movement Building",
"target": "Categorizing Variants of Goodhart's Law",
"distance": 10,
"reasoning": ""
},
{
"source": "Extinguishing or preventing coal seam fires is a potential cause area",
"target": "Categorizing Variants of Goodhart's Law",
"distance": 10000,
"reasoning": ""
}
]