nunosempere.github.io/ea/techprior/database.csv

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Raw Blame History

1TechnologyURLURL2L1L1.aL1.bL2L3-aL3-bL3-cL4L4.aL5L5.aL6L6.aL7L7.aL8L9CommentsIs there plausibly a discontinuitySize of the (plausible) discontinuityDiscontinuity at the beginning of the technology?Year of the first big discontinuityYear since startYear since start or since 1750
2History of aviationhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_aviationhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_aviation-630-630NA18101783178317831783194919091949192219491969NA19651958Early pioneers were recklessly insane. The Wright brothers were a discontinuity.Yes. With the Wright brothers, who were more analytical and capable than any before them. BigNo19022532152
3History of ceramicshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ceramichttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pottery#History; http://www.vam.ac.uk/content/articles/m/masterpieces-of-ceramics-timeline/-29000NA290001939NA-29000NA-29000-29000NA1650-460185013001850NANAWhere by “ceramic” I mostly mean pottery. In the Chalcolithic period in Mesopotamia, Halafian pottery achieved a level of technical competence and sophistication, not seen until the later developments of Greek pottery with Corinthian and Attic ware. Hinduism discourages eating off pottery Pottery was hardly seen on the tables of elites from Hellenistic times until the Renaissance, and most medieval wares were coarse and utilitarian, as the elites ate off metal vessels. Imports from Asia revived interest in fine pottery, which European manufacturers eventually learned to make, and from the 18th century European porcelain and other wares from a great number of producers became extremely popular. The Indigenous Australians never developed pottery.[80] After Europeans came to Australia and settled, they found deposits of clay which were analysed by English potters as excellent for making pottery. Less than 20 years later, Europeans came to Australia and began creating pottery. Since then, ceramic manufacturing, mass-produced pottery and studio pottery have flourished in Australia. Pretty good by -460; see http://www.vam.ac.uk/content/articles/m/masterpieces-of-ceramics-timeline/ Really good by the 1300s. When was glazing invented? - Sooner, but by the 1300s it was refined.Probably not.
4History of cryptographyhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_cryptographyhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_cryptographyNANANA1883NANANANANA1553155319171917197719771991NASome technologies don't easily lend themselves to being ranked on an absolute scale. For example, it seems more natural to rank military technology, or cryptography by comparison to the code-breaking capabilities of their age, rather than on an absolute scale. Still.Yes. Plausibly with the invention of the one-time pad.MediumNo
5History of cyclinghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_bicyclehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_cycling; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Penny-farthing; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Velocipede#Boneshaker https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Safety_bicycle#History https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dandy_horse1817NA1817NANA181718191885Yes. With its invention. The dandy horse (immediate antecessor to the bicycle) was invented in a period where there were few horses, but it could in principle have been invented much earlier, and it enabled humans to go much faster.SmallYes
6History of filmhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_film; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kinetoscopehttps://www.infoplease.com/arts-entertainment/movies-and-videos/movie-timeline1872NA1872NA1872187718781894189419021902191519151954195419151900Computer effects be just an afterthought. Difficult to separate films from earlier technologies, such as flipbooks. Chaplin films be entertaining.Probably not.
7History of furniturehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Furniturehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chair#History-30000NA-30000NANANANA-30000-30000-31001880NANANANA-30000NAChairs are relatively recent! It was not until the 16th century that chairs became common.[11] Until then, people sat on chests, benches, and stools, which were the ordinary seats of everyday life. The number of chairs which have survived from an earlier date is exceedingly limited; most examples are of ecclesiastical, seigneurial or feudal originMaybe. Maybe with the invention of the chair. Maybe with the Industrial Revolution. Maybe in recent history with invention of more and more comfy models of chairs (e.g., bean bags)SmallNo
8History of glass.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_glassNA-3600NA-3600NANANANA-360018871001887100019601400NA1000NA“The logic performed by telephone switching relays was the inspiration for the digital computer. The first commercially successful glass bottle blowing machine was an automatic model introduced in 1905.[42] The machine, operated by a two-man crew working 12-hour shifts, could produce 17,280 bottles in 24 hours, compared to 2,880 bottles made by a crew of six men and boys working in a shop for a day. The cost of making bottles by machine was 10 to 12 cents per gross compared to $1.80 per gross by the manual glassblowers and helpers.”Yes. In cheapness and speed with the industrial revolutionMediumNo
9Nuclear historyhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_nuclear_weaponsNA191419141924193419391945NA1945NA1945NA1945NA1952NA19641945NAYes. Both with the explosion of the first nuclear weapon, and with the explosion of the (more powerful) hydrogen bombBigYes19453131
10History of the petroleum industryhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_petroleum_industry#https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asphalt-2000NA-2000NANANANA-2000-2000762762186019001950195019501900Petroleum was used in antiquity as asphalt, and in China as fuel as well.Yes. Petroleum had been used since ancient times, but it took off starting in ~1850BigNo18503850100
11History of photographyhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_photographyNA171917601719NANANANA1839190018601900190019251963198018601930Other links: https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/gabrielsanchez/oldest-pictures-in-american-history; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_photography_technology; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Color_photography . It's really frustrating that when searching the history of cameras, photos of said cameras abound, but not photos taken *by* them.Probably not.No
12History of printinghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_printinghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Offset_printing-1000NA-1000NANANANA955200014552000145520001851200016001520I'm surprised that the press wasn't invented by Gutemberg. Ambiguities as to when printing became cheap; one could buy a printer for 100 bucks in the 2000s.Yes. With Gutenberg. Hardware overhang from having used printing for a more difficult problem: Chinese characters vs latin alphabetBigNo14502450-300
13History of rail transporthttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_rail_transport#Ancient_systemshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diolkos-600NA-600NANANANA1550NA15501784191419301964NA19301880NAYes. With the introduction of iron, then (Bessemer process) steel over wood, and the introduction of steam engines over horses. Great expansion during the Industrial Revolution.MediumNo
14History of roboticshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_robots#1900sNA-1600NA-16001948NANANA-22219801997NANANANANA17501952Progress was made in the 20th and early 21st centuries, but, in an absolute sense, theyre not “pretty good” yet.Maybe. But the 18th-21st centuries saw more progress than the rest combined. SmallNo
15History of spaceflighthttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_spaceflighthttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Verein_f%C3%BCr_Raumschiffahrt18651865NA19031927194419571957NA1969NANANANANANA1957Note that historical development of capabilities isnt linear, i.e., knowhow was lost after the Apolo programme.Yes. With the beginning of the space race. BigYes19579292
16History of water supply and sanitationhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_water_supply_and_sanitationhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_water_supply_and_sanitation_by_country-3000NA-3000NANANANA-3000-3000100010001900190019501950NANAHistory highly nonlinear, i.e., Roman t aqueducts were not improved upon during the Middle ages. Also, each of the major cultural theaters kind of did their own thing. Further, access to water supply is still one of the Sustainable Development Goals. That is, countries such as Afghanistan dont really have universally good water supply. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sustainable_Development_GoalsYes. With the Industrial revolution and the push starting in the, say, 1850s to get sanitation in order (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Stink; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Activated_sludge); the discovery/invention of activated sludge might also be another discontinuity. But Id say its mostly the “let us, as a civilization, get our house in order” impulse that led to these inventions. MediumNo
17History of rocketshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_rocketsNA969NA9691687NANANA969NA1792NA1943NA1969NA18151792Difficult to judge the adequacy of military technology, because it is always dependent on the capabilities of the enemy. Note that the Wikpedia-category of rocket isnt well defined, and includes both fire arrows and space rockets. Yes. With Hale rockets, whose spinning made them more accurate. Then with de Laval nozzles (hypersonic rockets; went from 2% to 64% efficiency). Then plausibly with Germanys V2 rocket (the German missile program costed levels comparable to the Manhattan project). BigNo1888919138
18History of artificial lifehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_artificial_lifehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_life https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Synthetic_biology#Synthetic_life https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hachimoji_DNA#Description https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/XDNA https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Xeno_nucleic_acid https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypothetical_types_of_biochemistry https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mycoplasma_laboratoriumNANANA1948NANANANANANANANANANANANANATwo/three branches to artificial life: soft (program), hard (a robot, automata) and wet. That is, either trying to manipulate or do something similar to the biological life we know, or trying to program it.Probably not.
19History of calendarshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_calendarshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unix_timeNANANA1079NANANANANA17931793NANANANANANACalendars are terrible. All I want is a unix epoch calendar without leap seconds in the style of the French revolution calendar (i.e., fractional time makes sense:: 1.4312h = 1h 43min 12secs). Leap seconds are the invention of the devil. “the original Jalali calendar based on observations (or predictions) of solar transit would not have needed either leap years or seasonal adjustments.”Probably not. Maybe with the Khayyam calendar reform in 1079 in the Persian calendar, but it seems too precise to be true. “Because months were computed based on precise times of solar transit between zodiacal regions, seasonal drift never exceeded one day, and also there was no need for a leap year in the Jalali calendar. [...] However, the original Jalali calendar based on observations (or predictions) of solar transit would not have needed either leap years or seasonal adjustments.”
20History of candle makinghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_candle_making#Middle_AgesNA-500NA-500NANANANA-500NA-500NA1750183418501875NANAI truth, candle-making is too general a category; almost as general as “burning things to produce light”.Yes. With industrialization: “The manufacture of candles became an industrialised mass market in the mid 19th century. In 1834, Joseph Morgan, a pewterer from Manchester, England, patented a machine that revolutionised candle making. It allowed for continuous production of molded candles by using a cylinder with a moveable piston to eject candles as they solidified. This more efficient mechanized production produced about 1,500 candles per hour, (according to his patent ". . with three men and five boys [the machine] will manufacture two tons of candle in twelve hours"). This allowed candles to become an easily affordable commodity for the masses”SmallNo
21History of chromatographyhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_chromatographyhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chromatography#History1855NA1855NANANANA1952NANANANANANANA19501952The field is pretty unknown to me.Probably not. Any of the new types could have been one, though.
22Chronology of bladed weaponshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chronology_of_bladed_weapons#Bronze_Swordshttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c94vhjGsC8M-1700NA-1700NANANANA-600NA-216802NANA1233NANANAThe field is pretty unknown to me. Probably not. Though the Spanish tercios were probably discontinuous
23History of condomshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_condomshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_v._One_Package_of_Japanese_Pessaries1564NA1564NANANANA156419401940194019571957NANA19601564NAProbably not
24History of the diesel carhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diesel_enginehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_diesel_car1878NA187818951878189519291929NA1935NA1986NANANA2000NAHalf-way category error; the more natural thing may have been “history of the diesel *engine*. Yes. In terms of efficiency: the diesel engines point is much more efficient than the gasoline engine.MediumNo
25History of hearing aidshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_hearing_aidshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ear_trumpet1634NA1634NANANANA1634NA1850NA1920NA1985NA1850NANAProbably not
26History of aluminiumhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aluminium#Historyhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_aluminium-500NA-50017971530182418561856195019001950190019501950NA19501957L3 fields refer to the refinement, rather than to the creation of Aluminium.Yes. With the Bayer + HallHéroult processes in terms of cheapness.BigNo18862386136
27History of automationhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Automation#HistoryNA-270NA-2701868NANANA1788NA1905NA1960NANANA1975NAField unfamiliar to me. Also, field which generates discontinuities in other fields.Maybe. If so, with controllers in the 1900s, or with the switch to digital in the 1960s. Kiva systems, used by Amazon, also seems to be substantially better than the competition: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amazon_RoboticsMediumNo
28History of radarhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_radar#SignificanceNA1887NA18871862NANANA1935NA1941NA1941NA1941NA19801945Developed extremely fast simultaneously by different countries during WWII, in relative secrecyYes. Development was extremely fast during the war.BigNo19344747
29History of radiohttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_radiohttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Invention_of_radio1892NA189218651890189418941903195519031955192019551960196019551915NAYes. The first maybe discontinuity was with Marconi realizing the potential of electromagnetic waves for communication, and his superior commercialization. The second discontinuity was a discontinuity in price as vacuum tubes were replaced with transistors, making radios much more affordable.BigNo19576565
30History of sound recordinghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_sound_recordinghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_audio_formats1853NA18531877NANANA1896197919251979193019791966199919791940Unclear when the physics of sound where first rigorously understood. I'm also putting the Walkman as the first cheap product, and Napster as the first cheap and great instance.Maybe. There were different eras, and any of them could have had a discontinuity. For example, magnetic tape recordings were much better than previous technologiesSmallNo
31History of submarineshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_submarinesNANANA-415NANANANA1690NA1864NA1888NA1955NA19001864NAYes. Drebbel's submarine "seemed beyond conventional expectations of what science was thought to have been capable of at the time." It also seems likely that development was sped up during major conflicts (American Civil War, WW1, WW2, Cold War)SmallNo
32History of televisionhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_televisionhttps://www.timetoast.com/timelines/the-evolution-of-televisions1884NA1884NANA1908NA192219601955196019802000NANA19601945NAMaybe. Work on television was banned during WW2 and picked up faster afterwards. Perhaps with the super-Emitron in the 1930s (“The super-Emitron was between ten and fifteen times more sensitive than the original Emitron and iconoscope tubes and, in some cases, this ratio was considerably greater”)MediumNo
33History of the automobilehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_automobilehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_motor_and_engine_technology1672NA16721824NANANA188619081908190819381938NANA19081914Ford's automation was a discontinuityYes. In speed of production with Ford. Afterwards maybe with the Japanese (i.e., Toyota)BigNo1913241163
34History of the batteryhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_batteryhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comparison_of_commercial_battery_types1749NA1749NA1749174917911800NA1960NA1980NANANA1920NANAMaybe. There have been many types of batteries throughout history, each with different tradeoffs. For example, higher voltage and more consistent current at the expense of greater fragility, like the Poggendorff cell. Or the Grove cell, which offered higher current and voltage, at the expense of being more expensive and giving off poisonous nitric oxide fumes. Or the lithium-ion cell, which seems to just have been better, gotten its inventor a Nobel Price, and shows a pretty big jump in terms of, say, voltage. SmallNo
35History of the telephonehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_telephonehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_telephone1667NA1667NA166716671871187719601877196019151960197019701960NANAProbably not. If so, maybe with the invention of the automatic switchboard.
36History of the transistorhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_transistorhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Power_MOSFET#History https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bipolar_junction_transistor https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Triode https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tetrode https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transistor_count https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apollo_Guidance_Computer1925NA192519471925194719471953195319691977197519901990200019571957Unclear where the boundaries of the concept are; i.e., triodes and other amplifiers serve similar functionsMaybe. Probably with the invention of the MOSFET; the first transistor which could be used to create integrated circuits, and which started Moores law. BigNo19573232
37History of the internal combustion enginehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_internal_combustion_enginehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Samuel_Morland https://www.popularmechanics.com/cars/car-technology/a19854205/the-evolution-of-the-combustion-engine/1660NA166018241671179418071823NA1886NA1939NA1955NA1900NANAProbably not. If so, jet engines.
38History of manufactured fuel gaseshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_manufactured_fuel_gasesNANANANANA17891794180118031826181218261870NANANA1826NANAProbably not.
39History of perpetual motion machineshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_perpetual_motion_machinesNA750NA75019121150NANANANANANANANANANANANANo. None of them work, but Im a fan of Cox's timepiece (uses variations in atmospheric pressure), and Brownian rachets. No.
40History of the motorcyclehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_motorcyclehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bicycle_and_motorcycle_dynamics1867NA1867NANANANA188419461915194619231946NANA1915NANAProbably not. If there is, perhaps in price for the first Vespa in 1946
41History of multitrack recordinghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_multitrack_recordinghttp://raymondscott.blogspot.com/2009/08/les-paul-raymond-scott.html1881NA1881NANANANA195019901964199019671995197020001955NANAMaybe. It is possible that Les Pauls experimenting was sufficiently radical to be a discontinuity.SmallYes
42History of nanotechnologyhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_nanotechnologyhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multigate_device#GAAFET https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atomic_force_microscopy https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Applications_of_nanotechnology1959NA195919811960NANANANANANANANANANANA1981Technology hasnt even gotten startedProbably not
43Oscilloscope historyhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oscilloscope_historyhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tektronix https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heathkit https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oscilloscope https://books.google.at/books?id=Ac5iYqHCcucC&pg=PA165&lpg=PA165&redir_esc=y#v=onepage&q&f=false1884NA1884NANANANA18991947193119471961NA1990NA19301945Im particularly unsure about this technology; my intuitive mapping from reading about the topic to “how good was this at this date” feels particularly thin. Probably not. However, there were many advances in the last century, and any of them could have been one.
44History of paperhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_paperhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cotton_paper https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paper_wasp-179NA-179105NANANA-17919002001900NA1900NA19001500105NAMaybe. Maybe with Cai Lun at the beginning. Probably with the industrial revolution and the introduction of wood pulp w/r to cheapness.SmallNo
45History of polymerase chain reactionhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polymerase_chain_reactionhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_polymerase_chain_reaction https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aUBJtHwHASA https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kary_Mullis1971NA197119831957197119841986NA1986NA1986NA1986NA19901986Some ambiguities and fights about the “true inventor”Yes. Polymerase chain reaction *is* the discontinuity; a revolutionary new technology. It enabled many new other technologies, like DNA evidence in trials, HIV tests, analysis of ancient DNA, etc. BigYes19841313
46History of the portable gas stovehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_portable_gas_stoveNA1929NA1929NANANA1932193419361934193619341936NANA1936NA“Unfortunately Lafares design, however brilliant, was not enough to stop the German ranks marching over his homeland in 1940 after only 6 weeks. The majority of réchaud de gaz de dirigeant were melted down into what can only be assumed as scrap metal for the German war machine. However, from Jeu Lafare's stove the idea was adapted in various forms around the world during World War II and afterwards.”Probably not
47History of the roller coasterhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_roller_coaster#Historyhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_Mountains https://www.britannica.com/topic/roller-coaster#ref9107391784NA1784NANANANA181718451817184519251959197519751930NAEncyclopedia Britannica mentions precursors from the 15th century. Unclear if this is an errorProbably not
48History of the steam enginehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_steam_enginehttp://www.historyworld.net/wrldhis/PlainTextHistories.asp?ParagraphID=afq1 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steam_turbine100NA100NA1551166316981775NA1775NA1804NA1850NA17751775Im unclear on how large the improvement was from one type of engine to the next. Also interesting how Watt delayed the adoption of high pressure engine because he felt they were too dangerous and prone to explode (they were)Maybe. The Newcomen engine put together various disparate already existing elements to create something new. Watts various improvements also seem dramatic. Unclear abou the others.MediumNo
49History of the telescopehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_telescopehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reading_stone1608NA16081754NA160816081609NA1758NA1990NANANA17001632NAMaybe. If so, maybe after the serendipitous invention/discovery of radio telescopySmallNo
50History of timekeeping deviceshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_timekeeping_devices#Pocket_watchhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Water_clock#Persia NANANANANANANA-2000-2000110019301750193019271975NANAIm unclear how expensive a clock was before the industrial revolutionMaybe. Plausibly with the industrial revolution in terms of cheapness, then with quartz clocks, then with atomic clocks in terms of precision. MediumNo
51History of wind powerhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_wind_power#Early_Middle_AgesNA-5500NA-5500NANANANANANA800NA1930NANANA19301973Bias against old technology with unclear descriptions (i.e., non-European)Maybe. If there is, maybe https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_wind_power#Danish_development TvindcraftSmallNo