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Conflicts of interest: Marked as (c.o.i) throughout the text. Note to the future: All links are added automatically to the Internet Archive. In case of link rot, go here

Email Newsletter

A forecasting digest with a focus on experimental forecasting. The newsletter itself is experimental, but there will be at least four more iterations. Click here to view and discuss this on the EA forum; feedback is very welcome.

Effective Altruism forum:

A forecasting digest with a focus on experimental forecasting. The newsletter itself is experimental, but there will be at least four more iterations; feedback is welcome. Feel free to use this post as a forecasting open thread.

• You can sign up here.
• You can also see this post on LessWrong here
• And the post is archived here

Why is this relevant to Effective Altruism?

• Some items are immediately relevant (e.g., forecasts of famine).
• Others are projects whose success I'm cheering for, and which I think have the potential to do great amounts of good (e.g., Replication Markets).
• The remaining are relevant to the extent that cross-pollination of ideas is valuable.
• Forecasting may become a powerful tool for world-optimization, and EAs may want to avail themselves of this tool.

LessWrong:

A forecasting digest with a focus on experimental forecasting. The newsletter itself is experimental, but there will be at least four more iterations. Feel free to use this post as a forecasting open thread.

• You can sign up here.
• You can also see this post on the EA Forum here
• And the post is archived here