123 lines
11 KiB
Markdown
123 lines
11 KiB
Markdown
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## Best of
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[Forecasting Newsletter](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/8oeKNKqYzwgJ4mCNS/forecasting-newsletter-august-2020) (en)
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[Past Pandemics](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/PastPandemics) (en)
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[Predict, resolve and tally](https://github.com/NunoSempere/PredictResolveTally) (en)
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[Accuracy of Ray Kurzweil’s predictions for the 2010s](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/KurzweilPredictionsForThe2010s.html) (en)
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[Shapley Values: Better Than Counterfactuals](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/XHZJ9i7QBtAJZ6byW/shapley-values-better-than-counterfactuals) & [Shapley Values and Philanthropic Coordination Theory](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/3NYDwGvDbhwenpDHb/shapley-values-reloaded-philantropic-coordination-theory-and) & [A Shapley Value Calculator](http://shapleyvalue.com/) (en)
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[Why did the Spanish Enlightenment movement fail? (1750-1850)](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/spanishenlightenment) & [Why did the General Semantics Movement Fail?](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/general-semantics) (en)
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[Discontinuous trends in technological progress](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/Discontinuous-Progress.html) (en)
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[Write-up on some self experimentation in calibration](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/Self-experimentation-calibration.html) (en)
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## Recent.
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[Forecasting Newsletter: August 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/August2020) (en)
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[Forecasting Newsletter: July 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/July2020) (en)
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[Forecasting Newsletter: June 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/June2020) (en)
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[Forecasting Newsletter: May 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/May2020) (en)
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[Forecasting Newsletter: April 2020](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9YJKugJ68qTFzMNCM/forecasting-newsletter-april-2020) (en)
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[Predict, resolve and tally](https://github.com/NunoSempere/PredictResolveTally) (en)
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## Effective Altruism & Rationality Stuff / Altruismo efectivo & Racionalidad.
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### [Myself on the EA Forum](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/users/nunosempere) (en)
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[Forecasting Newsletter](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/8oeKNKqYzwgJ4mCNS/forecasting-newsletter-august-2020) (en)
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[International Supply Chain Accountability](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ME4zE34KBSYnt6hGp/new-top-ea-cause-international-supply-chain-accountability) (en)
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[A review of two books on survey-making](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/DCcciuLxRveSkBng2/a-review-of-two-books-on-survey-making) (en)
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[A glowing review of two free online MIT Global Poverty courses](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/S3vAPRp2XQ9BdDbPz/a-glowing-review-of-two-free-online-mit-global-poverty) (en)
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[[Part 2] Amplifying generalist research via forecasting – results from a preliminary exploration](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZTXKHayPexA6uSZqE/part-2-amplifying-generalist-research-via-forecasting) (en)
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[[Part 1] Amplifying generalist research via forecasting – models of impact and challenges](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZCZZvhYbsKCRRDTct/part-1-amplifying-generalist-research-via-forecasting-models) (en)
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[Shapley Values Reloaded: Philantropic Coordination Theory & other miscellanea.](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/3NYDwGvDbhwenpDHb/shapley-values-reloaded-philantropic-coordination-theory-and) (en)
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[Shapley values: Better than counterfactuals](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/XHZJ9i7QBtAJZ6byW/shapley-values-better-than-counterfactuals) (en)
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[Why do social movements fail: Two concrete examples](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/7Pxx7kSQejX2MM2tE/why-do-social-movements-fail-two-concrete-examples) (en)
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[EA Mental Health Survey: Results and Analysis.](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/FheKNFgPqEsN8Nxuv/ea-mental-health-survey-results-and-analysis) (en)
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### Other thoughts:
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[Some Data Visualization for Foretold.io's Amplification Experiments](https://observablehq.com/@nunosempere/plots-for-the-amplification-experiment) (en)
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[Write-up on some self experimentation in calibration](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/Self-experimentation-calibration.html) (en)
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[Calibration](https://nunosempere.github.io/calibration/) (en)
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[100 predicciones](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/100-predicciones-en-100-dias.html) (es)
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[A practical exercise in p-hacking](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/eamentalhealth/p-hacking.html) (en)
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[List of TAPs](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/list-of-taps.html) (en)
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[List of Superpowers I want to steal](https://nunosempere.github.io/) (en)
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[Paradox Party](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/paradox-party.html) (en)
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[Crocker's rules](https://nunosempere.github.io/) (en)
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[¿Siempre lo supiste? El sesgo de retrospección](https://nunosempere.github.io/) (es)
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[Calibration](https://nunosempere.github.io/https://calibration/) (en)
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[From a dark arts practitioner](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/dark_arts.html) (en)
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[Dark Arts: Narrativomancy](https://nunosempere.github.io/miscellanea/narrativomancy.html) (en)
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[Consideraciones retreat Altruismo Efectivo Septiembre 2018](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/AE-retreat.html) (es)
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[Mention in *The Times* in a column about the EA Hotel in Blackpool](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/The-Times.html) (en)
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[Different ideals than my own](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/Different-Ideals.html)
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## Fucking around with Programming and Maths / Mierdas de programación y matemáticas
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[Programming Languages I Know](http://nunosempere.github.io/maths-prog/ProgrammingLanguagesIknow) (en)
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[Sci-py turns out to be particularly easy to use](https://nunosempere.github.io/maths-prog/MachineLearningDemystified/) (en, Python)
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[Vienna Data Science Hackathon](https://nunosempere.github.io/maths-prog/Vienna-Data-Science-Hackathon-May-4-2019/) (en)
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[Letter from O.Teichmüller to Landau](https://nunosempere.github.io/maths-prog/teichmuller.html) (en)
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[AI texts I've read](https://nunosempere.github.io/maths-prog/ai.html) (en)
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[Sobre el problema de las parejas estables](https://nunosempere.github.io/https://stable-marriage-problem/) (es)
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[Mathematicians under the Nazis](https://nunosempere.github.io/projects/mathematicians-under-the-nazis.html) (en)
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[Why is the integral which defines the logarithm the inverse of the exponential?](https://nunosempere.github.io/maths-prog/logarithms.pdf) (en)
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[Programa de facturación](https://easyfirma.es) (es)
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## Humanities / Humanidades.
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[Apuntes de una charla: Diálogos con la cultura, de Remedios Zafra](https://nunosempere.github.io/humanities/remedios-zafra) (es)
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[Mentir mola](https://nunosempere.github.io/humanities/mentir-mola.html ) (es)
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[¿Qué es atracar un banco en comparación con fundar un banco?: Selección de citas de Brecht.](https://nunosempere.github.io/humanities/brecht.html) (es)
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[La desmundanalización de la iglesia](https://nunosempere.github.io/projects/catholic-church.html) (es)
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## Costumbrismo
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[Die Macht der Merkel](https://nunosempere.github.io/costumbrismo/merkel.html) (es)
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[Oh alemán, mi alemán](https://nunosempere.github.io/costumbrismo/aleman) (es)
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[Crónica de una gamberrada](https://nunosempere.github.io/costumbrismo/gamberrada/index.html) (es)
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## Philosophy / Filosofía.
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[Monomito y Muchimito: Adiós a los principios, de Odo Marquard](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/marquard.html) (es)
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[La nomenclatura no es conocimiento](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/nomenclatura.html) (es)
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[Mucha granularidad sí, poca granularidad no](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/granularidad.html) (es)
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[Falacia de la subsunción](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/subsuncion.html) (es)
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[El concepto griego de verdad & Patologías de la razón](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/aletheia/index.html) (es)
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[La paradoja del piano](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/piano.html) (es)
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[¿Quién (no) mataría a su profesor de Últimas Tendencias del Arte?](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/arte.html) (es)
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[Teorías de la cultura](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/cultura.html) (es)
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[El evangelio según San Pedro](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/san-pedro.html) (es)
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[El fetichismo del franquismo](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/franquismo.html) (es)
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## Fucking around with Language and Literature / Mierdas lingüísticas.
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[Análisis de "Yo persigo una forma que no encuentra mi estilo", de Rubén Darío](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/ruben-dario-yo-persigo-una-forma-que-no-encuentra-mi-estilo.html) (es)
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[Sinónimos de "fantástico" que empiecen por f](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/fantastico.html) (es)
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[En tanto que de rosa y azucena](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/en-tanto-que-de-rosa-y-azucena.html) (es)
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[Englicismos](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/englicismos) (es)
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[Juan Rulfo vs García Márquez](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/rulfo-garcia.html) (es)
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[A buen entendedor, patada en los cojones](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/patada-en-los-cojones.html) (es)
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[Teoría de la literatura](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/teoria-de-la-literatura.html) (es)
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[Las tildes en español](https://nunosempere.github.io/https://tildes/index.html) (es)
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[Términos retóricos](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/terminos-retoricos.html) (es)
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[Algunas bonitas palabras en desuso](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/desuso.html) (es)
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[Una interesante tesis doctoral de lingüística](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/tesis/madurez) (es)
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[Todo lo que nunca has querido saber sobre literatura fantástica (mazacote)](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit-fantastica.html) (es)
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[Criba palabras](https://nunosempere.github.io/https://criba-de-palabras-Lucia/README.html) (es)
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## Fiction / Ficción
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[Las aventuras del aventurero Nuño Núñez](https://nunosempere.github.io/fiction/nuno-nunez.html) (es)
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[El Partido Carlista Antimonárquico Español](https://nunosempere.github.io/fiction/carlista.html) (es)
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## Colaboradores con el Régimen.
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Claudia Lombardo [Biología para futuros presidentes](https://nunosempere.github.io/) (es)
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Lucía Trillo [Thinking fast and slow](https://nunosempere.github.io/) (es)
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Alonso Campos [Freedom regained, de Julian Baggini](https://nunosempere.github.io/) (es)
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## Miscellanea / Cajón de sastre.
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[Unfair chess](https://nunosempere.github.io/miscellanea/unfairchess.html) (en)
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[Made a webpage for a friend](https://ciruelahaiti.github.io/)
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[The Wonderer vs Can You Feel the Love Tonight](https://nunosempere.github.io/) (es)
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[The Lady of Shalott](https://nunosempere.github.io/) (en)
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[Sobre la conquista del fuego, Freud](https://nunosempere.github.io/) (es)
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[¿Cuánto vale cada idioma?](https://nunosempere.github.io/) (es)
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[Adolfo Suárez desde la tumba](https://nunosempere.github.io/) (es)
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[La verdad sobre el caso Amancio Ortega](https://nunosempere.github.io/miscellanea/inditex.html) (es)
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[Letimotiv: Ideas recurrentes](https://nunosempere.github.io/miscellanea/letimotiv.html) (es)
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[The Mask](https://nunosempere.github.io/miscellanea/The-Mask.html)
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