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@ -99,7 +99,7 @@ I got this answers using R from the data released by the EA survey people, avail
## Results ## Results
For the 35 people who took part in the original prediction making, their results can be seen in the following graphics: For the 35 people who took part in the original prediction making, their results can be seen in the following graphics:
![](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/EA-predictions/Scatterplot.jpeg) ![](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/EA-predictions/Scatterplot3.png)
![](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/EA-predictions/Scatterplot2.jpeg) ![](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/EA-predictions/Scatterplot2.jpeg)
![](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/EA-predictions/histogram.jpeg) ![](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/EA-predictions/histogram.jpeg)
![](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/EA-predictions/Brier-scores.jpeg) ![](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/EA-predictions/Brier-scores.jpeg)
@ -109,7 +109,7 @@ The average accuracy is 55.12%, that is, the average participant got 13.22 out o
## Is this an spurious result because a small number of questions were really, really hard? ## Is this an spurious result because a small number of questions were really, really hard?
No. See the following scatterplot: No. See the following scatterplot:
![](https://nunosempere.github.io/Scatterplot-questions.png) ![](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/EA-predictions/Scatterplot-questions.png)
## Further analysis ## Further analysis