tweak: rp bayes tweaks

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Nuno Sempere 2023-03-02 03:02:48 +00:00
parent a1d7bf6d80
commit 99fc9fc9ee

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@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ A Bayesian Adjustment to Rethink Priorities' Welfare Range Estimates
I was meditating on [Rethink Priorities Welfare Range Estimates](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Qk3hd6PrFManj8K6o/rethink-priorities-welfare-range-estimates):
![](https://i.imgur.com/zJ2JqXE.jpg)
![](https://i.imgur.com/jQR2r9k.jpg)
Something didn't feel right. Suddenly, an apparition of E. T. Jaynes manifested itself, and exclaimed: <br><br>![](https://i.imgur.com/yUAG6oD.png)
@ -57,7 +57,7 @@ These shortcuts mean that you can't literally take this Bayesian estimate seriou
### Focusing on chickens
For the rest of the post, I will focus on chickens. Updates for other animals should be similar, and focusing on one example lighten my loads.
For the rest of the post, I will focus on chickens. Updates for other animals should be similar, and focusing on one example makes my job easier.
Coming back to Rethink Priorities' estimates: