diff --git a/blog/2023/02/19/bayesian-adjustment-to-rethink-priorities-welfare-range-estimates/index.md b/blog/2023/02/19/bayesian-adjustment-to-rethink-priorities-welfare-range-estimates/index.md index 2a25d3a..eda43d7 100644 --- a/blog/2023/02/19/bayesian-adjustment-to-rethink-priorities-welfare-range-estimates/index.md +++ b/blog/2023/02/19/bayesian-adjustment-to-rethink-priorities-welfare-range-estimates/index.md @@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ A Bayesian Adjustment to Rethink Priorities' Welfare Range Estimates I was meditating on [Rethink Priorities’ Welfare Range Estimates](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Qk3hd6PrFManj8K6o/rethink-priorities-welfare-range-estimates): -![](https://i.imgur.com/zJ2JqXE.jpg) +![](https://i.imgur.com/jQR2r9k.jpg) Something didn't feel right. Suddenly, an apparition of E. T. Jaynes manifested itself, and exclaimed:

![](https://i.imgur.com/yUAG6oD.png) @@ -57,7 +57,7 @@ These shortcuts mean that you can't literally take this Bayesian estimate seriou ### Focusing on chickens -For the rest of the post, I will focus on chickens. Updates for other animals should be similar, and focusing on one example lighten my loads. +For the rest of the post, I will focus on chickens. Updates for other animals should be similar, and focusing on one example makes my job easier. Coming back to Rethink Priorities' estimates: