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blog/2022/08/10/evolutionary-anchor/index.md
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A concern about the "evolutionary anchor" of Ajeya Cotra's report
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<p><img src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/ae/Darwin%27s_finches_by_Gould.jpg" class="img-medium-center"></p>
**tl;dr**: The report underestimates the amount of compute used by evolution because it only looks at what it would take to simulate neurons, rather than neurons in agents inside a complex environment. It's not clear to me what the magnitude of the error is, but it could range many, many orders of magnitude. This makes it a less forceful outside view.
<p><img src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/ae/Darwin%27s_finches_by_Gould.jpg" class="img-medium-center"></p> **tl;dr**: The report underestimates the amount of compute used by evolution because it only looks at what it would take to simulate neurons, rather than neurons in agents inside a complex environment. It's not clear to me what the magnitude of the error is, but it could range many, many orders of magnitude. This makes it a less forceful outside view.
## Background