manifold/web/components/bets-list.tsx

784 lines
23 KiB
TypeScript

import Link from 'next/link'
import { groupBy, mapValues, sortBy, partition, sumBy } from 'lodash'
import dayjs from 'dayjs'
import { useEffect, useMemo, useState } from 'react'
import clsx from 'clsx'
import { ChevronDownIcon, ChevronUpIcon } from '@heroicons/react/solid'
import { Bet } from 'web/lib/firebase/bets'
import { User } from 'web/lib/firebase/users'
import {
formatLargeNumber,
formatMoney,
formatPercent,
formatWithCommas,
} from 'common/util/format'
import { Col } from './layout/col'
import { Spacer } from './layout/spacer'
import {
Contract,
contractPath,
getBinaryProbPercent,
} from 'web/lib/firebase/contracts'
import { Row } from './layout/row'
import { UserLink } from './user-page'
import { sellBet } from 'web/lib/firebase/api'
import { ConfirmationButton } from './confirmation-button'
import { OutcomeLabel, YesLabel, NoLabel } from './outcome-label'
import { LoadingIndicator } from './loading-indicator'
import { SiteLink } from './site-link'
import {
calculatePayout,
calculateSaleAmount,
getOutcomeProbability,
getProbabilityAfterSale,
getContractBetMetrics,
resolvedPayout,
getContractBetNullMetrics,
} from 'common/calculate'
import { useTimeSinceFirstRender } from 'web/hooks/use-time-since-first-render'
import { trackLatency } from 'web/lib/firebase/tracking'
import { NumericContract } from 'common/contract'
import { formatNumericProbability } from 'common/pseudo-numeric'
import { useUser } from 'web/hooks/use-user'
import { SellSharesModal } from './sell-modal'
import { useUnfilledBets } from 'web/hooks/use-bets'
import { LimitBet } from 'common/bet'
import { floatingEqual } from 'common/util/math'
import { Pagination } from './pagination'
import { LimitOrderTable } from './limit-bets'
type BetSort = 'newest' | 'profit' | 'closeTime' | 'value'
type BetFilter = 'open' | 'limit_bet' | 'sold' | 'closed' | 'resolved' | 'all'
const CONTRACTS_PER_PAGE = 50
export function BetsList(props: {
user: User
bets: Bet[] | undefined
contractsById: { [id: string]: Contract } | undefined
hideBetsBefore?: number
}) {
const { user, bets: allBets, contractsById, hideBetsBefore } = props
const signedInUser = useUser()
const isYourBets = user.id === signedInUser?.id
// Hide bets before 06-01-2022 if this isn't your own profile
// NOTE: This means public profits also begin on 06-01-2022 as well.
const bets = useMemo(
() => allBets?.filter((bet) => bet.createdTime >= (hideBetsBefore ?? 0)),
[allBets, hideBetsBefore]
)
const [sort, setSort] = useState<BetSort>('newest')
const [filter, setFilter] = useState<BetFilter>('open')
const [page, setPage] = useState(0)
const start = page * CONTRACTS_PER_PAGE
const end = start + CONTRACTS_PER_PAGE
const getTime = useTimeSinceFirstRender()
useEffect(() => {
if (bets && contractsById && signedInUser) {
trackLatency(signedInUser.id, 'portfolio', getTime())
}
}, [signedInUser, bets, contractsById, getTime])
if (!bets || !contractsById) {
return <LoadingIndicator />
}
if (bets.length === 0) return <NoBets user={user} />
// Decending creation time.
bets.sort((bet1, bet2) => bet2.createdTime - bet1.createdTime)
const contractBets = groupBy(bets, 'contractId')
// Keep only contracts that have bets.
const contracts = Object.values(contractsById).filter(
(c) => contractBets[c.id]
)
const contractsMetrics = mapValues(contractBets, (bets, contractId) => {
const contract = contractsById[contractId]
if (!contract) return getContractBetNullMetrics()
return getContractBetMetrics(contract, bets)
})
const FILTERS: Record<BetFilter, (c: Contract) => boolean> = {
resolved: (c) => !!c.resolutionTime,
closed: (c) =>
!FILTERS.resolved(c) && (c.closeTime ?? Infinity) < Date.now(),
open: (c) => !(FILTERS.closed(c) || FILTERS.resolved(c)),
all: () => true,
sold: () => true,
limit_bet: (c) => FILTERS.open(c),
}
const SORTS: Record<BetSort, (c: Contract) => number> = {
profit: (c) => contractsMetrics[c.id].profit,
value: (c) => contractsMetrics[c.id].payout,
newest: (c) =>
Math.max(...contractBets[c.id].map((bet) => bet.createdTime)),
closeTime: (c) =>
// This is in fact the intuitive sort direction.
(filter === 'open' ? -1 : 1) *
(c.resolutionTime ?? c.closeTime ?? Infinity),
}
const filteredContracts = sortBy(contracts, SORTS[sort])
.reverse()
.filter(FILTERS[filter])
.filter((c) => {
if (filter === 'all') return true
const { hasShares } = contractsMetrics[c.id]
if (filter === 'sold') return !hasShares
if (filter === 'limit_bet')
return (contractBets[c.id] ?? []).some(
(b) => b.limitProb !== undefined && !b.isCancelled && !b.isFilled
)
return hasShares
})
const displayedContracts = filteredContracts.slice(start, end)
const unsettled = contracts.filter(
(c) => !c.isResolved && contractsMetrics[c.id].invested !== 0
)
const currentInvested = sumBy(
unsettled,
(c) => contractsMetrics[c.id].invested
)
const currentBetsValue = sumBy(
unsettled,
(c) => contractsMetrics[c.id].payout
)
const currentNetInvestment = sumBy(
unsettled,
(c) => contractsMetrics[c.id].netPayout
)
const totalPnl = user.profitCached.allTime
const totalProfitPercent = (totalPnl / user.totalDeposits) * 100
const investedProfitPercent =
((currentBetsValue - currentInvested) / (currentInvested + 0.1)) * 100
return (
<Col className="mt-6">
<Col className="mx-4 gap-4 sm:flex-row sm:justify-between md:mx-0">
<Row className="gap-8">
<Col>
<div className="text-sm text-gray-500">Investment value</div>
<div className="text-lg">
{formatMoney(currentNetInvestment)}{' '}
<ProfitBadge profitPercent={investedProfitPercent} />
</div>
</Col>
<Col>
<div className="text-sm text-gray-500">Total profit</div>
<div className="text-lg">
{formatMoney(totalPnl)}{' '}
<ProfitBadge profitPercent={totalProfitPercent} />
</div>
</Col>
</Row>
<Row className="gap-8">
<select
className="select select-bordered self-start"
value={filter}
onChange={(e) => setFilter(e.target.value as BetFilter)}
>
<option value="open">Open</option>
<option value="limit_bet">Limit orders</option>
<option value="sold">Sold</option>
<option value="closed">Closed</option>
<option value="resolved">Resolved</option>
<option value="all">All</option>
</select>
<select
className="select select-bordered self-start"
value={sort}
onChange={(e) => setSort(e.target.value as BetSort)}
>
<option value="newest">Recent</option>
<option value="value">Value</option>
<option value="profit">Profit</option>
<option value="closeTime">Close date</option>
</select>
</Row>
</Col>
<Col className="mt-6 divide-y">
{displayedContracts.length === 0 ? (
<NoBets user={user} />
) : (
displayedContracts.map((contract) => (
<ContractBets
key={contract.id}
contract={contract}
bets={contractBets[contract.id] ?? []}
metric={sort === 'profit' ? 'profit' : 'value'}
isYourBets={isYourBets}
/>
))
)}
</Col>
<Pagination
page={page}
itemsPerPage={CONTRACTS_PER_PAGE}
totalItems={filteredContracts.length}
setPage={setPage}
/>
</Col>
)
}
const NoBets = ({ user }: { user: User }) => {
const me = useUser()
return (
<div className="mx-4 text-gray-500">
{user.id === me?.id ? (
<>
You have not made any bets yet.{' '}
<SiteLink href="/home" className="underline">
Find a prediction market!
</SiteLink>
</>
) : (
<>{user.name} has not made any public bets yet.</>
)}
</div>
)
}
function ContractBets(props: {
contract: Contract
bets: Bet[]
metric: 'profit' | 'value'
isYourBets: boolean
}) {
const { bets, contract, metric, isYourBets } = props
const { resolution, outcomeType } = contract
const limitBets = bets.filter(
(bet) => bet.limitProb !== undefined && !bet.isCancelled && !bet.isFilled
) as LimitBet[]
const resolutionValue = (contract as NumericContract).resolutionValue
const [collapsed, setCollapsed] = useState(true)
const isBinary = outcomeType === 'BINARY'
const { payout, profit, profitPercent } = getContractBetMetrics(
contract,
bets
)
return (
<div tabIndex={0} className="relative bg-white p-4 pr-6">
<Row
className="cursor-pointer flex-wrap gap-2"
onClick={() => setCollapsed((collapsed) => !collapsed)}
>
<Col className="flex-[2] gap-1">
<Row className="mr-2 max-w-lg">
<Link href={contractPath(contract)}>
<a
className="font-medium text-indigo-700 hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:decoration-2"
onClick={(e) => e.stopPropagation()}
>
{contract.question}
</a>
</Link>
{/* Show carrot for collapsing. Hack the positioning. */}
{collapsed ? (
<ChevronDownIcon className="absolute top-5 right-4 h-6 w-6" />
) : (
<ChevronUpIcon className="absolute top-5 right-4 h-6 w-6" />
)}
</Row>
<Row className="flex-1 items-center gap-2 text-sm text-gray-500">
{resolution ? (
<>
<div>
Resolved{' '}
<OutcomeLabel
outcome={resolution}
value={resolutionValue}
contract={contract}
truncate="short"
/>
</div>
<div></div>
</>
) : isBinary ? (
<>
<div className="text-primary text-lg">
{getBinaryProbPercent(contract)}
</div>
<div></div>
</>
) : null}
<UserLink
name={contract.creatorName}
username={contract.creatorUsername}
/>
</Row>
</Col>
<Col className="mr-5 sm:mr-8">
<div className="whitespace-nowrap text-right text-lg">
{formatMoney(metric === 'profit' ? profit : payout)}
</div>
<ProfitBadge className="text-right" profitPercent={profitPercent} />
</Col>
</Row>
{!collapsed && (
<div className="bg-white">
<BetsSummary
className="mt-8 mr-5 flex-1 sm:mr-8"
contract={contract}
bets={bets}
isYourBets={isYourBets}
/>
{contract.mechanism === 'cpmm-1' && limitBets.length > 0 && (
<div className="max-w-md">
<div className="mt-4 bg-gray-50 px-4 py-2">Limit orders</div>
<LimitOrderTable
contract={contract}
limitBets={limitBets}
isYou={isYourBets}
/>
</div>
)}
<div className="mt-4 bg-gray-50 px-4 py-2">Bets</div>
<ContractBetsTable
contract={contract}
bets={bets}
isYourBets={isYourBets}
/>
</div>
)}
</div>
)
}
export function BetsSummary(props: {
contract: Contract
bets: Bet[]
isYourBets: boolean
className?: string
}) {
const { contract, isYourBets, className } = props
const { resolution, closeTime, outcomeType, mechanism } = contract
const isBinary = outcomeType === 'BINARY'
const isPseudoNumeric = outcomeType === 'PSEUDO_NUMERIC'
const isCpmm = mechanism === 'cpmm-1'
const isClosed = closeTime && Date.now() > closeTime
const bets = props.bets.filter((b) => !b.isAnte)
const { hasShares } = getContractBetMetrics(contract, bets)
const excludeSalesAndAntes = bets.filter(
(b) => !b.isAnte && !b.isSold && !b.sale
)
const yesWinnings = sumBy(excludeSalesAndAntes, (bet) =>
calculatePayout(contract, bet, 'YES')
)
const noWinnings = sumBy(excludeSalesAndAntes, (bet) =>
calculatePayout(contract, bet, 'NO')
)
const { invested, profitPercent, payout, profit, totalShares } =
getContractBetMetrics(contract, bets)
const [showSellModal, setShowSellModal] = useState(false)
const user = useUser()
const sharesOutcome = floatingEqual(totalShares.YES ?? 0, 0)
? floatingEqual(totalShares.NO ?? 0, 0)
? undefined
: 'NO'
: 'YES'
return (
<Row className={clsx('flex-wrap gap-4 sm:flex-nowrap sm:gap-6', className)}>
{!isCpmm && (
<Col>
<div className="whitespace-nowrap text-sm text-gray-500">
Invested
</div>
<div className="whitespace-nowrap">{formatMoney(invested)}</div>
</Col>
)}
{resolution ? (
<Col>
<div className="text-sm text-gray-500">Payout</div>
<div className="whitespace-nowrap">
{formatMoney(payout)} <ProfitBadge profitPercent={profitPercent} />
</div>
</Col>
) : isBinary ? (
<>
<Col>
<div className="whitespace-nowrap text-sm text-gray-500">
Payout if <YesLabel />
</div>
<div className="whitespace-nowrap">{formatMoney(yesWinnings)}</div>
</Col>
<Col>
<div className="whitespace-nowrap text-sm text-gray-500">
Payout if <NoLabel />
</div>
<div className="whitespace-nowrap">{formatMoney(noWinnings)}</div>
</Col>
</>
) : isPseudoNumeric ? (
<>
<Col>
<div className="whitespace-nowrap text-sm text-gray-500">
Payout if {'>='} {formatLargeNumber(contract.max)}
</div>
<div className="whitespace-nowrap">{formatMoney(yesWinnings)}</div>
</Col>
<Col>
<div className="whitespace-nowrap text-sm text-gray-500">
Payout if {'<='} {formatLargeNumber(contract.min)}
</div>
<div className="whitespace-nowrap">{formatMoney(noWinnings)}</div>
</Col>
</>
) : (
<Col>
<div className="whitespace-nowrap text-sm text-gray-500">
Current value
</div>
<div className="whitespace-nowrap">{formatMoney(payout)}</div>
</Col>
)}
<Col>
<div className="whitespace-nowrap text-sm text-gray-500">Profit</div>
<div className="whitespace-nowrap">
{formatMoney(profit)} <ProfitBadge profitPercent={profitPercent} />
{isYourBets &&
isCpmm &&
(isBinary || isPseudoNumeric) &&
!isClosed &&
!resolution &&
hasShares &&
sharesOutcome &&
user && (
<>
<button
className="btn btn-sm ml-2"
onClick={() => setShowSellModal(true)}
>
Sell
</button>
{showSellModal && (
<SellSharesModal
contract={contract}
user={user}
userBets={bets}
shares={totalShares[sharesOutcome]}
sharesOutcome={sharesOutcome}
setOpen={setShowSellModal}
/>
)}
</>
)}
</div>
</Col>
</Row>
)
}
export function ContractBetsTable(props: {
contract: Contract
bets: Bet[]
isYourBets: boolean
className?: string
}) {
const { contract, className, isYourBets } = props
const bets = sortBy(
props.bets.filter((b) => !b.isAnte && b.amount !== 0),
(bet) => bet.createdTime
).reverse()
const [sales, buys] = partition(bets, (bet) => bet.sale)
const salesDict = Object.fromEntries(
sales.map((sale) => [sale.sale?.betId ?? '', sale])
)
const [redemptions, normalBets] = partition(
contract.mechanism === 'cpmm-1' ? bets : buys,
(b) => b.isRedemption
)
const amountRedeemed = Math.floor(-0.5 * sumBy(redemptions, (b) => b.shares))
const amountLoaned = sumBy(
bets.filter((bet) => !bet.isSold && !bet.sale),
(bet) => bet.loanAmount ?? 0
)
const { isResolved, mechanism, outcomeType } = contract
const isCPMM = mechanism === 'cpmm-1'
const isNumeric = outcomeType === 'NUMERIC'
const isPseudoNumeric = outcomeType === 'PSEUDO_NUMERIC'
const unfilledBets = useUnfilledBets(contract.id) ?? []
return (
<div className={clsx('overflow-x-auto', className)}>
{amountRedeemed > 0 && (
<>
<div className="pl-2 text-sm text-gray-500">
{amountRedeemed} {isPseudoNumeric ? 'HIGHER' : 'YES'} shares and{' '}
{amountRedeemed} {isPseudoNumeric ? 'LOWER' : 'NO'} shares
automatically redeemed for {formatMoney(amountRedeemed)}.
</div>
<Spacer h={4} />
</>
)}
{!isResolved && amountLoaned > 0 && (
<>
<div className="pl-2 text-sm text-gray-500">
You currently have a loan of {formatMoney(amountLoaned)}.
</div>
<Spacer h={4} />
</>
)}
<table className="table-zebra table-compact table w-full text-gray-500">
<thead>
<tr className="p-2">
<th></th>
{isCPMM && <th>Type</th>}
<th>Outcome</th>
<th>Amount</th>
{!isCPMM && !isNumeric && (
<th>{isResolved ? <>Payout</> : <>Sale price</>}</th>
)}
{!isCPMM && !isResolved && <th>Payout if chosen</th>}
<th>Shares</th>
{!isPseudoNumeric && <th>Probability</th>}
<th>Date</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
{normalBets.map((bet) => (
<BetRow
key={bet.id}
bet={bet}
saleBet={salesDict[bet.id]}
contract={contract}
isYourBet={isYourBets}
unfilledBets={unfilledBets}
/>
))}
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
)
}
function BetRow(props: {
bet: Bet
contract: Contract
saleBet?: Bet
isYourBet: boolean
unfilledBets: LimitBet[]
}) {
const { bet, saleBet, contract, isYourBet, unfilledBets } = props
const {
amount,
outcome,
createdTime,
probBefore,
probAfter,
shares,
isSold,
isAnte,
} = bet
const { isResolved, closeTime, mechanism, outcomeType } = contract
const isClosed = closeTime && Date.now() > closeTime
const isCPMM = mechanism === 'cpmm-1'
const isNumeric = outcomeType === 'NUMERIC'
const isPseudoNumeric = outcomeType === 'PSEUDO_NUMERIC'
const saleAmount = saleBet?.sale?.amount
const saleDisplay = isAnte ? (
'ANTE'
) : saleAmount !== undefined ? (
<>{formatMoney(saleAmount)} (sold)</>
) : (
formatMoney(
isResolved
? resolvedPayout(contract, bet)
: calculateSaleAmount(contract, bet, unfilledBets)
)
)
const payoutIfChosenDisplay =
bet.isAnte && outcomeType === 'FREE_RESPONSE' && bet.outcome === '0'
? 'N/A'
: formatMoney(calculatePayout(contract, bet, bet.outcome))
const hadPoolMatch =
(bet.limitProb === undefined ||
bet.fills?.some((fill) => fill.matchedBetId === null)) ??
false
const ofTotalAmount =
bet.limitProb === undefined || bet.orderAmount === undefined
? ''
: ` / ${formatMoney(bet.orderAmount)}`
return (
<tr>
<td className="text-neutral">
{isYourBet &&
!isCPMM &&
!isResolved &&
!isClosed &&
!isSold &&
!isAnte &&
!isNumeric && (
<SellButton
contract={contract}
bet={bet}
unfilledBets={unfilledBets}
/>
)}
</td>
{isCPMM && <td>{shares >= 0 ? 'BUY' : 'SELL'}</td>}
<td>
{bet.isAnte ? (
'ANTE'
) : (
<OutcomeLabel
outcome={outcome}
value={(bet as any).value}
contract={contract}
truncate="short"
/>
)}
{isPseudoNumeric &&
' than ' + formatNumericProbability(bet.probAfter, contract)}
</td>
<td>
{formatMoney(Math.abs(amount))}
{ofTotalAmount}
</td>
{!isCPMM && !isNumeric && <td>{saleDisplay}</td>}
{!isCPMM && !isResolved && <td>{payoutIfChosenDisplay}</td>}
<td>{formatWithCommas(Math.abs(shares))}</td>
{!isPseudoNumeric && (
<td>
{outcomeType === 'FREE_RESPONSE' || hadPoolMatch ? (
<>
{formatPercent(probBefore)} {formatPercent(probAfter)}
</>
) : (
formatPercent(bet.limitProb ?? 0)
)}
</td>
)}
<td>{dayjs(createdTime).format('MMM D, h:mma')}</td>
</tr>
)
}
function SellButton(props: {
contract: Contract
bet: Bet
unfilledBets: LimitBet[]
}) {
const { contract, bet, unfilledBets } = props
const { outcome, shares, loanAmount } = bet
const [isSubmitting, setIsSubmitting] = useState(false)
const initialProb = getOutcomeProbability(
contract,
outcome === 'NO' ? 'YES' : outcome
)
const outcomeProb = getProbabilityAfterSale(
contract,
outcome,
shares,
unfilledBets
)
const saleAmount = calculateSaleAmount(contract, bet, unfilledBets)
const profit = saleAmount - bet.amount
return (
<ConfirmationButton
openModalBtn={{
className: clsx('btn-sm', isSubmitting && 'btn-disabled loading'),
label: 'Sell',
}}
submitBtn={{ className: 'btn-primary', label: 'Sell' }}
onSubmit={async () => {
setIsSubmitting(true)
await sellBet({ contractId: contract.id, betId: bet.id })
setIsSubmitting(false)
}}
>
<div className="mb-4 text-2xl">
Sell {formatWithCommas(shares)} shares of{' '}
<OutcomeLabel outcome={outcome} contract={contract} truncate="long" />{' '}
for {formatMoney(saleAmount)}?
</div>
{!!loanAmount && (
<div className="mt-2">
You will also pay back {formatMoney(loanAmount)} of your loan, for a
net of {formatMoney(saleAmount - loanAmount)}.
</div>
)}
<div className="mt-2 mb-1 text-sm">
{profit > 0 ? 'Profit' : 'Loss'}: {formatMoney(profit).replace('-', '')}
<br />
Market probability: {formatPercent(initialProb)} {' '}
{formatPercent(outcomeProb)}
</div>
</ConfirmationButton>
)
}
function ProfitBadge(props: { profitPercent: number; className?: string }) {
const { profitPercent, className } = props
if (!profitPercent) return null
const colors =
profitPercent > 0
? 'bg-green-100 text-green-800'
: 'bg-red-100 text-red-800'
return (
<span
className={clsx(
'ml-1 inline-flex items-center rounded-full px-3 py-0.5 text-sm font-medium',
colors,
className
)}
>
{(profitPercent > 0 ? '+' : '') + profitPercent.toFixed(1) + '%'}
</span>
)
}