9d5490cf9a
* initial commit * antes * rename path, compute to contractPath, contractMetrics * merge * Include antes as bets; more calculations * fees on estimated winnings * mkt payout calculation * contract: remove startPool, add phantomShares * Merge branch 'main' into new-dpm * dpm migration script * my service account
229 lines
6.6 KiB
TypeScript
229 lines
6.6 KiB
TypeScript
import clsx from 'clsx'
|
|
import Link from 'next/link'
|
|
import { useState } from 'react'
|
|
|
|
import { Col } from '../components/layout/col'
|
|
import { Row } from '../components/layout/row'
|
|
import { Spacer } from '../components/layout/spacer'
|
|
import { Linkify } from '../components/linkify'
|
|
import { Page } from '../components/page'
|
|
import { Title } from '../components/title'
|
|
import { useUser } from '../hooks/use-user'
|
|
import { createContract } from '../lib/firebase/api-call'
|
|
import {
|
|
contractMetrics,
|
|
Contract,
|
|
contractPath,
|
|
} from '../lib/firebase/contracts'
|
|
|
|
type Prediction = {
|
|
question: string
|
|
description: string
|
|
initialProb: number
|
|
createdUrl?: string
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
function toPrediction(contract: Contract): Prediction {
|
|
const { startProb } = contractMetrics(contract)
|
|
return {
|
|
question: contract.question,
|
|
description: contract.description,
|
|
initialProb: startProb * 100,
|
|
createdUrl: contractPath(contract),
|
|
}
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
function PredictionRow(props: { prediction: Prediction }) {
|
|
const { prediction } = props
|
|
return (
|
|
<Row className="gap-4 justify-between hover:bg-gray-300 p-4">
|
|
<Col className="justify-between">
|
|
<div className="font-medium text-indigo-700 mb-2">
|
|
<Linkify text={prediction.question} />
|
|
</div>
|
|
<div className="text-gray-500 text-sm">{prediction.description}</div>
|
|
</Col>
|
|
{/* Initial probability */}
|
|
<div className="ml-auto">
|
|
<div className="text-3xl">
|
|
<div className="text-primary">
|
|
{prediction.initialProb.toFixed(0)}%
|
|
<div className="text-lg">chance</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
{/* Current probability; hidden for now */}
|
|
{/* <div>
|
|
<div className="text-3xl">
|
|
<div className="text-primary">
|
|
{prediction.initialProb}%<div className="text-lg">chance</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div> */}
|
|
</Row>
|
|
)
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
function PredictionList(props: { predictions: Prediction[] }) {
|
|
const { predictions } = props
|
|
return (
|
|
<Col className="divide-gray-300 divide-y border-gray-300 border rounded-md">
|
|
{predictions.map((prediction) =>
|
|
prediction.createdUrl ? (
|
|
<Link href={prediction.createdUrl}>
|
|
<a>
|
|
<PredictionRow
|
|
key={prediction.question}
|
|
prediction={prediction}
|
|
/>
|
|
</a>
|
|
</Link>
|
|
) : (
|
|
<PredictionRow key={prediction.question} prediction={prediction} />
|
|
)
|
|
)}
|
|
</Col>
|
|
)
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
const TEST_VALUE = `1. Biden approval rating (as per 538) is greater than 50%: 80%
|
|
2. Court packing is clearly going to happen (new justices don't have to be appointed by end of year): 5%
|
|
3. Yang is New York mayor: 80%
|
|
4. Newsom recalled as CA governor: 5%
|
|
5. At least $250 million in damage from BLM protests this year: 30%
|
|
6. Significant capital gains tax hike (above 30% for highest bracket): 20%`
|
|
|
|
export default function MakePredictions() {
|
|
const user = useUser()
|
|
const [predictionsString, setPredictionsString] = useState('')
|
|
const [description, setDescription] = useState('')
|
|
const [isSubmitting, setIsSubmitting] = useState(false)
|
|
const [createdContracts, setCreatedContracts] = useState<Contract[]>([])
|
|
|
|
const bulkPlaceholder = `e.g.
|
|
${TEST_VALUE}
|
|
...
|
|
`
|
|
|
|
const predictions: Prediction[] = []
|
|
|
|
// Parse bulkContracts, then run createContract for each
|
|
const lines = predictionsString ? predictionsString.split('\n') : []
|
|
for (const line of lines) {
|
|
// Parse line with regex
|
|
const matches = line.match(/^(.*):\s*(\d+)%\s*$/) || ['', '', '']
|
|
const [_, question, prob] = matches
|
|
|
|
if (!question || !prob) {
|
|
console.error('Invalid prediction: ', line)
|
|
continue
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
predictions.push({
|
|
question,
|
|
description,
|
|
initialProb: parseInt(prob),
|
|
})
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
async function createContracts() {
|
|
if (!user) {
|
|
// TODO: Convey error with snackbar/toast
|
|
console.error('You need to be signed in!')
|
|
return
|
|
}
|
|
setIsSubmitting(true)
|
|
for (const prediction of predictions) {
|
|
const contract = await createContract({
|
|
question: prediction.question,
|
|
description: prediction.description,
|
|
initialProb: prediction.initialProb,
|
|
}).then((r) => (r.data as any).contract)
|
|
|
|
setCreatedContracts((prev) => [...prev, contract])
|
|
}
|
|
setPredictionsString('')
|
|
setIsSubmitting(false)
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
return (
|
|
<Page>
|
|
<Title text="Make Predictions" />
|
|
<div className="w-full bg-gray-100 rounded-lg shadow-xl px-6 py-4">
|
|
<form>
|
|
<div className="form-control">
|
|
<label className="label">
|
|
<span className="label-text">Prediction</span>
|
|
<div className="text-sm text-gray-500 ml-1">
|
|
One prediction per line, each formatted like "The sun will rise
|
|
tomorrow: 99%"
|
|
</div>
|
|
</label>
|
|
|
|
<textarea
|
|
className="textarea h-60 textarea-bordered"
|
|
placeholder={bulkPlaceholder}
|
|
value={predictionsString}
|
|
onChange={(e) => setPredictionsString(e.target.value || '')}
|
|
></textarea>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</form>
|
|
|
|
<Spacer h={4} />
|
|
|
|
<div className="form-control w-full">
|
|
<label className="label">
|
|
<span className="label-text">Tags</span>
|
|
</label>
|
|
|
|
<input
|
|
type="text"
|
|
placeholder="e.g. #ACX2021 #World"
|
|
className="input"
|
|
value={description}
|
|
onChange={(e) => setDescription(e.target.value || '')}
|
|
/>
|
|
</div>
|
|
|
|
{predictions.length > 0 && (
|
|
<div>
|
|
<Spacer h={4} />
|
|
<label className="label">
|
|
<span className="label-text">Preview</span>
|
|
</label>
|
|
<PredictionList predictions={predictions} />
|
|
</div>
|
|
)}
|
|
|
|
<Spacer h={4} />
|
|
|
|
<div className="flex justify-end my-4">
|
|
<button
|
|
type="submit"
|
|
className={clsx('btn btn-primary', {
|
|
loading: isSubmitting,
|
|
})}
|
|
disabled={predictions.length === 0 || isSubmitting}
|
|
onClick={(e) => {
|
|
e.preventDefault()
|
|
createContracts()
|
|
}}
|
|
>
|
|
Create all
|
|
</button>
|
|
</div>
|
|
</div>
|
|
|
|
{createdContracts.length > 0 && (
|
|
<>
|
|
<Spacer h={16} />
|
|
<Title text="Created Predictions" />
|
|
<div className="w-full bg-gray-100 rounded-lg shadow-xl px-6 py-4">
|
|
<PredictionList predictions={createdContracts.map(toPrediction)} />
|
|
</div>
|
|
</>
|
|
)}
|
|
</Page>
|
|
)
|
|
}
|