manifold/web/components/bet-panel.tsx

566 lines
16 KiB
TypeScript

import clsx from 'clsx'
import React, { useEffect, useState } from 'react'
import _ from 'lodash'
import { useUser } from '../hooks/use-user'
import { Binary, CPMM, DPM, FullContract } from '../../common/contract'
import { Col } from './layout/col'
import { Row } from './layout/row'
import { Spacer } from './layout/spacer'
import { YesNoSelector } from './yes-no-selector'
import {
formatMoney,
formatPercent,
formatWithCommas,
} from '../../common/util/format'
import { Title } from './title'
import { firebaseLogin, User } from '../lib/firebase/users'
import { Bet } from '../../common/bet'
import { placeBet, sellShares } from '../lib/firebase/api-call'
import { BuyAmountInput, SellAmountInput } from './amount-input'
import { InfoTooltip } from './info-tooltip'
import { OutcomeLabel } from './outcome-label'
import {
calculatePayoutAfterCorrectBet,
calculateShares,
getProbability,
getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet,
} from '../../common/calculate'
import { useFocus } from '../hooks/use-focus'
import { useUserContractBets } from '../hooks/use-user-bets'
import {
calculateCpmmSale,
getCpmmProbability,
} from '../../common/calculate-cpmm'
import { Modal } from './layout/modal'
export function BetPanel(props: {
contract: FullContract<DPM | CPMM, Binary>
className?: string
}) {
const { contract, className } = props
const { mechanism } = contract
const user = useUser()
const userBets = useUserContractBets(user?.id, contract.id)
const [showSellModal, setShowSellModal] = useState(false)
const { yesShares, noShares } = useSaveShares(contract, userBets)
const shares = yesShares || noShares
const sharesOutcome = yesShares ? 'YES' : noShares ? 'NO' : undefined
return (
<Col className={className}>
{sharesOutcome && user && mechanism === 'cpmm-1' && (
<Col className="rounded-t-md bg-gray-100 px-6 py-6">
<Row className="items-center justify-between gap-2">
<div>
You have {formatWithCommas(Math.floor(shares))}{' '}
<OutcomeLabel outcome={sharesOutcome} /> shares
</div>
<button
className="btn btn-sm"
style={{
backgroundColor: 'white',
border: '2px solid',
color: '#3D4451',
}}
onClick={() => setShowSellModal(true)}
>
Sell
</button>
{showSellModal && (
<SellSharesModal
contract={contract as FullContract<CPMM, Binary>}
user={user}
userBets={userBets ?? []}
shares={shares}
sharesOutcome={sharesOutcome}
setOpen={setShowSellModal}
/>
)}
</Row>
</Col>
)}
<Col
className={clsx(
'rounded-b-md bg-white px-8 py-6',
!sharesOutcome && 'rounded-t-md',
className
)}
>
<Title className={clsx('!mt-0')} text="Place a trade" />
<BuyPanel contract={contract} user={user} userBets={userBets ?? []} />
{user === null && (
<button
className="btn flex-1 whitespace-nowrap border-none bg-gradient-to-r from-teal-500 to-green-500 px-10 text-lg font-medium normal-case hover:from-teal-600 hover:to-green-600"
onClick={firebaseLogin}
>
Sign up to trade!
</button>
)}
</Col>
</Col>
)
}
export function BetPanelSwitcher(props: {
contract: FullContract<DPM | CPMM, Binary>
className?: string
title?: string // Set if BetPanel is on a feed modal
selected?: 'YES' | 'NO'
onBetSuccess?: () => void
}) {
const { contract, className, title, selected, onBetSuccess } = props
const { mechanism } = contract
const user = useUser()
const userBets = useUserContractBets(user?.id, contract.id)
const [tradeType, setTradeType] = useState<'BUY' | 'SELL'>('BUY')
const { yesShares, noShares } = useSaveShares(contract, userBets)
const shares = yesShares || noShares
const sharesOutcome = yesShares ? 'YES' : noShares ? 'NO' : undefined
useEffect(() => {
// Switch back to BUY if the user has sold all their shares.
if (tradeType === 'SELL' && sharesOutcome === undefined) {
setTradeType('BUY')
}
}, [tradeType, sharesOutcome])
return (
<Col className={className}>
{sharesOutcome && mechanism === 'cpmm-1' && (
<Col className="rounded-t-md bg-gray-100 px-6 py-6">
<Row className="items-center justify-between gap-2">
<div>
You have {formatWithCommas(Math.floor(shares))}{' '}
<OutcomeLabel outcome={sharesOutcome} /> shares
</div>
<button
className="btn btn-sm"
style={{
backgroundColor: 'white',
border: '2px solid',
color: '#3D4451',
}}
onClick={() =>
tradeType === 'BUY' ? setTradeType('SELL') : setTradeType('BUY')
}
>
{tradeType === 'BUY' ? 'Sell' : 'Buy'}
</button>
</Row>
</Col>
)}
<Col
className={clsx(
'rounded-b-md bg-white px-8 py-6',
!sharesOutcome && 'rounded-t-md',
className
)}
>
<Title
className={clsx(
'!mt-0',
tradeType === 'BUY' && title ? '!text-xl' : ''
)}
text={tradeType === 'BUY' ? title ?? 'Place a trade' : 'Sell shares'}
/>
{tradeType === 'SELL' && user && sharesOutcome && (
<SellPanel
contract={contract as FullContract<CPMM, Binary>}
shares={yesShares || noShares}
sharesOutcome={sharesOutcome}
user={user}
userBets={userBets ?? []}
onSellSuccess={onBetSuccess}
/>
)}
{tradeType === 'BUY' && (
<BuyPanel
contract={contract}
user={user}
userBets={userBets ?? []}
selected={selected}
onBuySuccess={onBetSuccess}
/>
)}
{user === null && (
<button
className="btn flex-1 whitespace-nowrap border-none bg-gradient-to-r from-teal-500 to-green-500 px-10 text-lg font-medium normal-case hover:from-teal-600 hover:to-green-600"
onClick={firebaseLogin}
>
Sign up to trade!
</button>
)}
</Col>
</Col>
)
}
function BuyPanel(props: {
contract: FullContract<DPM | CPMM, Binary>
user: User | null | undefined
userBets: Bet[]
selected?: 'YES' | 'NO'
onBuySuccess?: () => void
}) {
const { contract, user, userBets, selected, onBuySuccess } = props
const [betChoice, setBetChoice] = useState<'YES' | 'NO' | undefined>(selected)
const [betAmount, setBetAmount] = useState<number | undefined>(undefined)
const [error, setError] = useState<string | undefined>()
const [isSubmitting, setIsSubmitting] = useState(false)
const [wasSubmitted, setWasSubmitted] = useState(false)
const [inputRef, focusAmountInput] = useFocus()
useEffect(() => {
// warm up cloud function
placeBet({}).catch()
}, [])
useEffect(() => {
if (selected) focusAmountInput()
}, [selected, focusAmountInput])
function onBetChoice(choice: 'YES' | 'NO') {
setBetChoice(choice)
setWasSubmitted(false)
focusAmountInput()
}
function onBetChange(newAmount: number | undefined) {
setWasSubmitted(false)
setBetAmount(newAmount)
if (!betChoice) {
setBetChoice('YES')
}
}
async function submitBet() {
if (!user || !betAmount) return
setError(undefined)
setIsSubmitting(true)
const result = await placeBet({
amount: betAmount,
outcome: betChoice,
contractId: contract.id,
}).then((r) => r.data as any)
console.log('placed bet. Result:', result)
if (result?.status === 'success') {
setIsSubmitting(false)
setWasSubmitted(true)
setBetAmount(undefined)
if (onBuySuccess) onBuySuccess()
} else {
setError(result?.message || 'Error placing bet')
setIsSubmitting(false)
}
}
const betDisabled = isSubmitting || !betAmount || error
const initialProb = getProbability(contract)
const outcomeProb = getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet(
contract,
betChoice || 'YES',
betAmount ?? 0
)
const resultProb = betChoice === 'NO' ? 1 - outcomeProb : outcomeProb
const shares = calculateShares(contract, betAmount ?? 0, betChoice || 'YES')
const currentPayout = betAmount
? calculatePayoutAfterCorrectBet(contract, {
outcome: betChoice,
amount: betAmount,
shares,
} as Bet)
: 0
const currentReturn = betAmount ? (currentPayout - betAmount) / betAmount : 0
const currentReturnPercent = formatPercent(currentReturn)
const dpmTooltip =
contract.mechanism === 'dpm-2'
? `Current payout for ${formatWithCommas(shares)} / ${formatWithCommas(
shares +
contract.totalShares[betChoice ?? 'YES'] -
(contract.phantomShares
? contract.phantomShares[betChoice ?? 'YES']
: 0)
)} ${betChoice ?? 'YES'} shares`
: undefined
return (
<>
<YesNoSelector
className="mb-4"
selected={betChoice}
onSelect={(choice) => onBetChoice(choice)}
/>
<div className="my-3 text-left text-sm text-gray-500">Amount</div>
<BuyAmountInput
inputClassName="w-full"
amount={betAmount}
onChange={onBetChange}
userBets={userBets}
error={error}
setError={setError}
disabled={isSubmitting}
inputRef={inputRef}
contractIdForLoan={contract.id}
/>
<Col className="mt-3 w-full gap-3">
<Row className="items-center justify-between text-sm">
<div className="text-gray-500">Probability</div>
<Row>
<div>{formatPercent(initialProb)}</div>
<div className="mx-2"></div>
<div>{formatPercent(resultProb)}</div>
</Row>
</Row>
<Row className="items-center justify-between gap-2 text-sm">
<Row className="flex-nowrap items-center gap-2 whitespace-nowrap text-gray-500">
<div>
{contract.mechanism === 'dpm-2' ? (
<>
Estimated
<br /> payout if <OutcomeLabel outcome={betChoice ?? 'YES'} />
</>
) : (
<>
Payout if <OutcomeLabel outcome={betChoice ?? 'YES'} />
</>
)}
</div>
{dpmTooltip && <InfoTooltip text={dpmTooltip} />}
</Row>
<Row className="flex-wrap items-end justify-end gap-2">
<span className="whitespace-nowrap">
{formatMoney(currentPayout)}
</span>
<span>(+{currentReturnPercent})</span>
</Row>
</Row>
</Col>
<Spacer h={8} />
{user && (
<button
className={clsx(
'btn flex-1',
betDisabled
? 'btn-disabled'
: betChoice === 'YES'
? 'btn-primary'
: 'border-none bg-red-400 hover:bg-red-500',
isSubmitting ? 'loading' : ''
)}
onClick={betDisabled ? undefined : submitBet}
>
{isSubmitting ? 'Submitting...' : 'Submit Buy'}
</button>
)}
{wasSubmitted && <div className="mt-4">Buy submitted!</div>}
</>
)
}
function SellPanel(props: {
contract: FullContract<CPMM, Binary>
userBets: Bet[]
shares: number
sharesOutcome: 'YES' | 'NO'
user: User
onSellSuccess?: () => void
}) {
const { contract, shares, sharesOutcome, userBets, user, onSellSuccess } =
props
const [amount, setAmount] = useState<number | undefined>(shares)
const [error, setError] = useState<string | undefined>()
const [isSubmitting, setIsSubmitting] = useState(false)
const [wasSubmitted, setWasSubmitted] = useState(false)
const betDisabled = isSubmitting || !amount || error
async function submitSell() {
if (!user || !amount) return
setError(undefined)
setIsSubmitting(true)
// Sell all shares if remaining shares would be < 1
const sellAmount = amount === Math.floor(shares) ? shares : amount
const result = await sellShares({
shares: sellAmount,
outcome: sharesOutcome,
contractId: contract.id,
}).then((r) => r.data)
console.log('Sold shares. Result:', result)
if (result?.status === 'success') {
setIsSubmitting(false)
setWasSubmitted(true)
setAmount(undefined)
if (onSellSuccess) onSellSuccess()
} else {
setError(result?.message || 'Error selling')
setIsSubmitting(false)
}
}
const initialProb = getProbability(contract)
const { newPool } = calculateCpmmSale(
contract,
Math.min(amount ?? 0, shares),
sharesOutcome
)
const resultProb = getCpmmProbability(newPool, contract.p)
return (
<>
<SellAmountInput
inputClassName="w-full"
contract={contract}
amount={amount ? Math.floor(amount) : undefined}
onChange={setAmount}
userBets={userBets}
error={error}
setError={setError}
disabled={isSubmitting}
/>
<Col className="mt-3 w-full gap-3">
<Row className="items-center justify-between text-sm">
<div className="text-gray-500">Probability</div>
<Row>
<div>{formatPercent(initialProb)}</div>
<div className="mx-2"></div>
<div>{formatPercent(resultProb)}</div>
</Row>
</Row>
</Col>
<Spacer h={8} />
<button
className={clsx(
'btn flex-1',
betDisabled
? 'btn-disabled'
: sharesOutcome === 'YES'
? 'btn-primary'
: 'border-none bg-red-400 hover:bg-red-500',
isSubmitting ? 'loading' : ''
)}
onClick={betDisabled ? undefined : submitSell}
>
{isSubmitting ? 'Submitting...' : 'Submit sell'}
</button>
{wasSubmitted && <div className="mt-4">Sell submitted!</div>}
</>
)
}
const useSaveShares = (
contract: FullContract<CPMM | DPM, Binary>,
userBets: Bet[] | undefined
) => {
const [savedShares, setSavedShares] = useState<
{ yesShares: number; noShares: number } | undefined
>()
const [yesBets, noBets] = _.partition(
userBets ?? [],
(bet) => bet.outcome === 'YES'
)
const [yesShares, noShares] = [
_.sumBy(yesBets, (bet) => bet.shares),
_.sumBy(noBets, (bet) => bet.shares),
]
useEffect(() => {
// Save yes and no shares to local storage.
const savedShares = localStorage.getItem(`${contract.id}-shares`)
if (!userBets && savedShares) {
setSavedShares(JSON.parse(savedShares))
}
if (userBets) {
const updatedShares = { yesShares, noShares }
localStorage.setItem(
`${contract.id}-shares`,
JSON.stringify(updatedShares)
)
}
}, [contract.id, userBets, noShares, yesShares])
if (userBets) return { yesShares, noShares }
return savedShares ?? { yesShares: 0, noShares: 0 }
}
function SellSharesModal(props: {
contract: FullContract<CPMM, Binary>
userBets: Bet[]
shares: number
sharesOutcome: 'YES' | 'NO'
user: User
setOpen: (open: boolean) => void
}) {
const { contract, shares, sharesOutcome, userBets, user, setOpen } = props
return (
<Modal open={true} setOpen={setOpen}>
<Col className="rounded-md bg-white px-8 py-6">
<Title className="!mt-0" text={'Sell shares'} />
<div className="mb-6">
You have {formatWithCommas(Math.floor(shares))}{' '}
<OutcomeLabel outcome={sharesOutcome} /> shares
</div>
<SellPanel
contract={contract}
shares={shares}
sharesOutcome={sharesOutcome}
user={user}
userBets={userBets ?? []}
onSellSuccess={() => setOpen(false)}
/>
</Col>
</Modal>
)
}