manifold/web/components/bet-panel.tsx
2022-09-09 00:02:14 -05:00

934 lines
27 KiB
TypeScript

import clsx from 'clsx'
import React, { useState } from 'react'
import { clamp, partition, sumBy } from 'lodash'
import { useUser } from 'web/hooks/use-user'
import { CPMMBinaryContract, PseudoNumericContract } from 'common/contract'
import { Col } from './layout/col'
import { Row } from './layout/row'
import { Spacer } from './layout/spacer'
import {
formatLargeNumber,
formatMoney,
formatPercent,
formatWithCommas,
} from 'common/util/format'
import { getBinaryBetStats, getBinaryCpmmBetInfo } from 'common/new-bet'
import { User } from 'web/lib/firebase/users'
import { Bet, LimitBet } from 'common/bet'
import { APIError, placeBet, sellShares } from 'web/lib/firebase/api'
import { AmountInput, BuyAmountInput } from './amount-input'
import {
BinaryOutcomeLabel,
HigherLabel,
LowerLabel,
NoLabel,
YesLabel,
} from './outcome-label'
import { getProbability } from 'common/calculate'
import { useFocus } from 'web/hooks/use-focus'
import { useUserContractBets } from 'web/hooks/use-user-bets'
import { calculateCpmmSale, getCpmmProbability } from 'common/calculate-cpmm'
import { getFormattedMappedValue, getMappedValue } from 'common/pseudo-numeric'
import { SellRow } from './sell-row'
import { useSaveBinaryShares } from './use-save-binary-shares'
import { BetSignUpPrompt } from './sign-up-prompt'
import { ProbabilityOrNumericInput } from './probability-input'
import { track } from 'web/lib/service/analytics'
import { useUnfilledBets } from 'web/hooks/use-bets'
import { LimitBets } from './limit-bets'
import { PillButton } from './buttons/pill-button'
import { YesNoSelector } from './yes-no-selector'
import { PlayMoneyDisclaimer } from './play-money-disclaimer'
import { AlertBox } from './alert-box'
import { isAndroid, isIOS } from 'web/lib/util/device'
export function BetPanel(props: {
contract: CPMMBinaryContract | PseudoNumericContract
className?: string
}) {
const { contract, className } = props
const user = useUser()
const userBets = useUserContractBets(user?.id, contract.id)
const unfilledBets = useUnfilledBets(contract.id) ?? []
const { sharesOutcome } = useSaveBinaryShares(contract, userBets)
const [isLimitOrder, setIsLimitOrder] = useState(false)
return (
<Col className={className}>
<SellRow
contract={contract}
user={user}
className={'rounded-t-md bg-gray-100 px-4 py-5'}
/>
<Col
className={clsx(
'relative rounded-b-md bg-white px-6 py-6',
!sharesOutcome && 'rounded-t-md',
className
)}
>
{user ? (
<>
<QuickOrLimitBet
isLimitOrder={isLimitOrder}
setIsLimitOrder={setIsLimitOrder}
hideToggle={!user}
/>
<BuyPanel
hidden={isLimitOrder}
contract={contract}
user={user}
unfilledBets={unfilledBets}
/>
<LimitOrderPanel
hidden={!isLimitOrder}
contract={contract}
user={user}
unfilledBets={unfilledBets}
/>
</>
) : (
<>
<BetSignUpPrompt />
<PlayMoneyDisclaimer />
</>
)}
</Col>
{user && unfilledBets.length > 0 && (
<LimitBets className="mt-4" contract={contract} bets={unfilledBets} />
)}
</Col>
)
}
export function SimpleBetPanel(props: {
contract: CPMMBinaryContract | PseudoNumericContract
className?: string
selected?: 'YES' | 'NO'
hasShares?: boolean
onBetSuccess?: () => void
}) {
const { contract, className, selected, hasShares, onBetSuccess } = props
const user = useUser()
const [isLimitOrder, setIsLimitOrder] = useState(false)
const unfilledBets = useUnfilledBets(contract.id) ?? []
return (
<Col className={className}>
<SellRow
contract={contract}
user={user}
className={'rounded-t-md bg-gray-100 px-4 py-5'}
/>
<Col
className={clsx(
!hasShares && 'rounded-t-md',
'rounded-b-md bg-white px-8 py-6'
)}
>
<QuickOrLimitBet
isLimitOrder={isLimitOrder}
setIsLimitOrder={setIsLimitOrder}
hideToggle={!user}
/>
<BuyPanel
hidden={isLimitOrder}
contract={contract}
user={user}
unfilledBets={unfilledBets}
selected={selected}
onBuySuccess={onBetSuccess}
/>
<LimitOrderPanel
hidden={!isLimitOrder}
contract={contract}
user={user}
unfilledBets={unfilledBets}
onBuySuccess={onBetSuccess}
/>
<BetSignUpPrompt />
{!user && <PlayMoneyDisclaimer />}
</Col>
{unfilledBets.length > 0 && (
<LimitBets className="mt-4" contract={contract} bets={unfilledBets} />
)}
</Col>
)
}
function BuyPanel(props: {
contract: CPMMBinaryContract | PseudoNumericContract
user: User | null | undefined
unfilledBets: Bet[]
hidden: boolean
selected?: 'YES' | 'NO'
onBuySuccess?: () => void
}) {
const { contract, user, unfilledBets, hidden, selected, onBuySuccess } = props
const initialProb = getProbability(contract)
const isPseudoNumeric = contract.outcomeType === 'PSEUDO_NUMERIC'
const [outcome, setOutcome] = useState<'YES' | 'NO' | undefined>(selected)
const [betAmount, setBetAmount] = useState<number | undefined>(undefined)
const [error, setError] = useState<string | undefined>()
const [isSubmitting, setIsSubmitting] = useState(false)
const [wasSubmitted, setWasSubmitted] = useState(false)
const [inputRef, focusAmountInput] = useFocus()
function onBetChoice(choice: 'YES' | 'NO') {
setOutcome(choice)
setWasSubmitted(false)
if (!isIOS() && !isAndroid()) {
focusAmountInput()
}
}
function onBetChange(newAmount: number | undefined) {
setWasSubmitted(false)
setBetAmount(newAmount)
if (!outcome) {
setOutcome('YES')
}
}
async function submitBet() {
if (!user || !betAmount) return
setError(undefined)
setIsSubmitting(true)
placeBet({
outcome,
amount: betAmount,
contractId: contract.id,
})
.then((r) => {
console.log('placed bet. Result:', r)
setIsSubmitting(false)
setWasSubmitted(true)
setBetAmount(undefined)
if (onBuySuccess) onBuySuccess()
})
.catch((e) => {
if (e instanceof APIError) {
setError(e.toString())
} else {
console.error(e)
setError('Error placing bet')
}
setIsSubmitting(false)
})
track('bet', {
location: 'bet panel',
outcomeType: contract.outcomeType,
slug: contract.slug,
contractId: contract.id,
amount: betAmount,
outcome,
isLimitOrder: false,
})
}
const betDisabled = isSubmitting || !betAmount || error
const { newPool, newP, newBet } = getBinaryCpmmBetInfo(
outcome ?? 'YES',
betAmount ?? 0,
contract,
undefined,
unfilledBets as LimitBet[]
)
const resultProb = getCpmmProbability(newPool, newP)
const probStayedSame =
formatPercent(resultProb) === formatPercent(initialProb)
const probChange = Math.abs(resultProb - initialProb)
const currentPayout = newBet.shares
const currentReturn = betAmount ? (currentPayout - betAmount) / betAmount : 0
const currentReturnPercent = formatPercent(currentReturn)
const format = getFormattedMappedValue(contract)
const getValue = getMappedValue(contract)
const rawDifference = Math.abs(getValue(resultProb) - getValue(initialProb))
const displayedDifference = isPseudoNumeric
? formatLargeNumber(rawDifference)
: formatPercent(rawDifference)
const bankrollFraction = (betAmount ?? 0) / (user?.balance ?? 1e9)
const warning =
(betAmount ?? 0) > 10 &&
bankrollFraction >= 0.5 &&
bankrollFraction <= 1 ? (
<AlertBox
title="Whoa, there!"
text={`You might not want to spend ${formatPercent(
bankrollFraction
)} of your balance on a single trade. \n\nCurrent balance: ${formatMoney(
user?.balance ?? 0
)}`}
/>
) : (betAmount ?? 0) > 10 && probChange >= 0.3 && bankrollFraction <= 1 ? (
<AlertBox
title="Whoa, there!"
text={`Are you sure you want to move the market by ${displayedDifference}?`}
/>
) : (
<></>
)
return (
<Col className={hidden ? 'hidden' : ''}>
<div className="my-3 text-left text-sm text-gray-500">
{isPseudoNumeric ? 'Direction' : 'Outcome'}
</div>
<YesNoSelector
className="mb-4"
btnClassName="flex-1"
selected={outcome}
onSelect={(choice) => onBetChoice(choice)}
isPseudoNumeric={isPseudoNumeric}
/>
<Row className="my-3 justify-between text-left text-sm text-gray-500">
Amount
<span className={'xl:hidden'}>
Balance: {formatMoney(user?.balance ?? 0)}
</span>
</Row>
<BuyAmountInput
inputClassName="w-full max-w-none"
amount={betAmount}
onChange={onBetChange}
error={error}
setError={setError}
disabled={isSubmitting}
inputRef={inputRef}
showSliderOnMobile
/>
{warning}
<Col className="mt-3 w-full gap-3">
<Row className="items-center justify-between text-sm">
<div className="text-gray-500">
{isPseudoNumeric ? 'Estimated value' : 'Probability'}
</div>
{probStayedSame ? (
<div>{format(initialProb)}</div>
) : (
<div>
{format(initialProb)}
<span className="mx-2"></span>
{format(resultProb)}
</div>
)}
</Row>
<Row className="items-center justify-between gap-2 text-sm">
<Row className="flex-nowrap items-center gap-2 whitespace-nowrap text-gray-500">
<div>
{isPseudoNumeric ? (
'Max payout'
) : (
<>
Payout if <BinaryOutcomeLabel outcome={outcome ?? 'YES'} />
</>
)}
</div>
</Row>
<div>
<span className="mr-2 whitespace-nowrap">
{formatMoney(currentPayout)}
</span>
(+{currentReturnPercent})
</div>
</Row>
</Col>
<Spacer h={8} />
{user && (
<button
className={clsx(
'btn mb-2 flex-1',
betDisabled
? 'btn-disabled'
: outcome === 'YES'
? 'btn-primary'
: 'border-none bg-red-400 hover:bg-red-500',
isSubmitting ? 'loading' : ''
)}
onClick={betDisabled ? undefined : submitBet}
>
{isSubmitting ? 'Submitting...' : 'Submit'}
</button>
)}
{wasSubmitted && <div className="mt-4">Trade submitted!</div>}
</Col>
)
}
function LimitOrderPanel(props: {
contract: CPMMBinaryContract | PseudoNumericContract
user: User | null | undefined
unfilledBets: Bet[]
hidden: boolean
onBuySuccess?: () => void
}) {
const { contract, user, unfilledBets, hidden, onBuySuccess } = props
const initialProb = getProbability(contract)
const isPseudoNumeric = contract.outcomeType === 'PSEUDO_NUMERIC'
const [betAmount, setBetAmount] = useState<number | undefined>(undefined)
const [lowLimitProb, setLowLimitProb] = useState<number | undefined>()
const [highLimitProb, setHighLimitProb] = useState<number | undefined>()
const betChoice = 'YES'
const [error, setError] = useState<string | undefined>()
const [isSubmitting, setIsSubmitting] = useState(false)
const [wasSubmitted, setWasSubmitted] = useState(false)
const rangeError =
lowLimitProb !== undefined &&
highLimitProb !== undefined &&
lowLimitProb >= highLimitProb
const outOfRangeError =
(lowLimitProb !== undefined &&
(lowLimitProb <= 0 || lowLimitProb >= 100)) ||
(highLimitProb !== undefined &&
(highLimitProb <= 0 || highLimitProb >= 100))
const hasYesLimitBet = lowLimitProb !== undefined && !!betAmount
const hasNoLimitBet = highLimitProb !== undefined && !!betAmount
const hasTwoBets = hasYesLimitBet && hasNoLimitBet
const betDisabled =
isSubmitting ||
!betAmount ||
rangeError ||
outOfRangeError ||
error ||
(!hasYesLimitBet && !hasNoLimitBet)
const yesLimitProb =
lowLimitProb === undefined
? undefined
: clamp(lowLimitProb / 100, 0.001, 0.999)
const noLimitProb =
highLimitProb === undefined
? undefined
: clamp(highLimitProb / 100, 0.001, 0.999)
const amount = betAmount ?? 0
const shares =
yesLimitProb !== undefined && noLimitProb !== undefined
? Math.min(amount / yesLimitProb, amount / (1 - noLimitProb))
: yesLimitProb !== undefined
? amount / yesLimitProb
: noLimitProb !== undefined
? amount / (1 - noLimitProb)
: 0
const yesAmount = shares * (yesLimitProb ?? 1)
const noAmount = shares * (1 - (noLimitProb ?? 0))
function onBetChange(newAmount: number | undefined) {
setWasSubmitted(false)
setBetAmount(newAmount)
}
async function submitBet() {
if (!user || betDisabled) return
setError(undefined)
setIsSubmitting(true)
const betsPromise = hasTwoBets
? Promise.all([
placeBet({
outcome: 'YES',
amount: yesAmount,
limitProb: yesLimitProb,
contractId: contract.id,
}),
placeBet({
outcome: 'NO',
amount: noAmount,
limitProb: noLimitProb,
contractId: contract.id,
}),
])
: placeBet({
outcome: hasYesLimitBet ? 'YES' : 'NO',
amount: betAmount,
contractId: contract.id,
limitProb: hasYesLimitBet ? yesLimitProb : noLimitProb,
})
betsPromise
.catch((e) => {
if (e instanceof APIError) {
setError(e.toString())
} else {
console.error(e)
setError('Error placing bet')
}
setIsSubmitting(false)
})
.then((r) => {
console.log('placed bet. Result:', r)
setIsSubmitting(false)
setWasSubmitted(true)
setBetAmount(undefined)
setLowLimitProb(undefined)
setHighLimitProb(undefined)
if (onBuySuccess) onBuySuccess()
})
if (hasYesLimitBet) {
track('bet', {
location: 'bet panel',
outcomeType: contract.outcomeType,
slug: contract.slug,
contractId: contract.id,
amount: yesAmount,
outcome: 'YES',
limitProb: yesLimitProb,
isLimitOrder: true,
isRangeOrder: hasTwoBets,
})
}
if (hasNoLimitBet) {
track('bet', {
location: 'bet panel',
outcomeType: contract.outcomeType,
slug: contract.slug,
contractId: contract.id,
amount: noAmount,
outcome: 'NO',
limitProb: noLimitProb,
isLimitOrder: true,
isRangeOrder: hasTwoBets,
})
}
}
const {
currentPayout: yesPayout,
currentReturn: yesReturn,
totalFees: yesFees,
newBet: yesBet,
} = getBinaryBetStats(
'YES',
yesAmount,
contract,
yesLimitProb ?? initialProb,
unfilledBets as LimitBet[]
)
const yesReturnPercent = formatPercent(yesReturn)
const {
currentPayout: noPayout,
currentReturn: noReturn,
totalFees: noFees,
newBet: noBet,
} = getBinaryBetStats(
'NO',
noAmount,
contract,
noLimitProb ?? initialProb,
unfilledBets as LimitBet[]
)
const noReturnPercent = formatPercent(noReturn)
const profitIfBothFilled = shares - (yesAmount + noAmount) - yesFees - noFees
return (
<Col className={hidden ? 'hidden' : ''}>
<Row className="mt-1 items-center gap-4">
<Col className="gap-2">
<div className="relative ml-1 text-sm text-gray-500">
Buy {isPseudoNumeric ? <HigherLabel /> : <YesLabel />} up to
</div>
<ProbabilityOrNumericInput
contract={contract}
prob={lowLimitProb}
setProb={setLowLimitProb}
isSubmitting={isSubmitting}
/>
</Col>
<Col className="gap-2">
<div className="ml-1 text-sm text-gray-500">
Buy {isPseudoNumeric ? <LowerLabel /> : <NoLabel />} down to
</div>
<ProbabilityOrNumericInput
contract={contract}
prob={highLimitProb}
setProb={setHighLimitProb}
isSubmitting={isSubmitting}
/>
</Col>
</Row>
{outOfRangeError && (
<div className="mb-2 mr-auto self-center whitespace-nowrap text-xs font-medium tracking-wide text-red-500">
Limit is out of range
</div>
)}
{rangeError && !outOfRangeError && (
<div className="mb-2 mr-auto self-center whitespace-nowrap text-xs font-medium tracking-wide text-red-500">
{isPseudoNumeric ? 'HIGHER' : 'YES'} limit must be less than{' '}
{isPseudoNumeric ? 'LOWER' : 'NO'} limit
</div>
)}
<Row className="mt-1 mb-3 justify-between text-left text-sm text-gray-500">
<span>
Max amount<span className="ml-1 text-red-500">*</span>
</span>
<span className={'xl:hidden'}>
Balance: {formatMoney(user?.balance ?? 0)}
</span>
</Row>
<BuyAmountInput
inputClassName="w-full max-w-none"
amount={betAmount}
onChange={onBetChange}
error={error}
setError={setError}
disabled={isSubmitting}
showSliderOnMobile
/>
<Col className="mt-3 w-full gap-3">
{(hasTwoBets || (hasYesLimitBet && yesBet.amount !== 0)) && (
<Row className="items-center justify-between gap-2 text-sm">
<div className="whitespace-nowrap text-gray-500">
{isPseudoNumeric ? (
<HigherLabel />
) : (
<BinaryOutcomeLabel outcome={'YES'} />
)}{' '}
filled now
</div>
<div className="mr-2 whitespace-nowrap">
{formatMoney(yesBet.amount)} of{' '}
{formatMoney(yesBet.orderAmount ?? 0)}
</div>
</Row>
)}
{(hasTwoBets || (hasNoLimitBet && noBet.amount !== 0)) && (
<Row className="items-center justify-between gap-2 text-sm">
<div className="whitespace-nowrap text-gray-500">
{isPseudoNumeric ? (
<LowerLabel />
) : (
<BinaryOutcomeLabel outcome={'NO'} />
)}{' '}
filled now
</div>
<div className="mr-2 whitespace-nowrap">
{formatMoney(noBet.amount)} of{' '}
{formatMoney(noBet.orderAmount ?? 0)}
</div>
</Row>
)}
{hasTwoBets && (
<Row className="items-center justify-between gap-2 text-sm">
<div className="whitespace-nowrap text-gray-500">
Profit if both orders filled
</div>
<div className="mr-2 whitespace-nowrap">
{formatMoney(profitIfBothFilled)}
</div>
</Row>
)}
{hasYesLimitBet && !hasTwoBets && (
<Row className="items-center justify-between gap-2 text-sm">
<Row className="flex-nowrap items-center gap-2 whitespace-nowrap text-gray-500">
<div>
{isPseudoNumeric ? (
'Max payout'
) : (
<>
Max <BinaryOutcomeLabel outcome={'YES'} /> payout
</>
)}
</div>
{/* <InfoTooltip
text={`Includes ${formatMoneyWithDecimals(yesFees)} in fees`}
/> */}
</Row>
<div>
<span className="mr-2 whitespace-nowrap">
{formatMoney(yesPayout)}
</span>
(+{yesReturnPercent})
</div>
</Row>
)}
{hasNoLimitBet && !hasTwoBets && (
<Row className="items-center justify-between gap-2 text-sm">
<Row className="flex-nowrap items-center gap-2 whitespace-nowrap text-gray-500">
<div>
{isPseudoNumeric ? (
'Max payout'
) : (
<>
Max <BinaryOutcomeLabel outcome={'NO'} /> payout
</>
)}
</div>
{/* <InfoTooltip
text={`Includes ${formatMoneyWithDecimals(noFees)} in fees`}
/> */}
</Row>
<div>
<span className="mr-2 whitespace-nowrap">
{formatMoney(noPayout)}
</span>
(+{noReturnPercent})
</div>
</Row>
)}
</Col>
{(hasYesLimitBet || hasNoLimitBet) && <Spacer h={8} />}
{user && (
<button
className={clsx(
'btn flex-1',
betDisabled
? 'btn-disabled'
: betChoice === 'YES'
? 'btn-primary'
: 'border-none bg-red-400 hover:bg-red-500',
isSubmitting ? 'loading' : ''
)}
onClick={betDisabled ? undefined : submitBet}
>
{isSubmitting
? 'Submitting...'
: `Submit order${hasTwoBets ? 's' : ''}`}
</button>
)}
{wasSubmitted && <div className="mt-4">Order submitted!</div>}
</Col>
)
}
function QuickOrLimitBet(props: {
isLimitOrder: boolean
setIsLimitOrder: (isLimitOrder: boolean) => void
hideToggle?: boolean
}) {
const { isLimitOrder, setIsLimitOrder, hideToggle } = props
return (
<Row className="align-center mb-4 justify-between">
<div className="mr-2 -ml-2 shrink-0 text-3xl sm:-ml-0">Predict</div>
{!hideToggle && (
<Row className="mt-1 ml-1 items-center gap-1.5 sm:ml-0 sm:gap-2">
<PillButton
selected={!isLimitOrder}
onSelect={() => {
setIsLimitOrder(false)
track('select quick order')
}}
xs={true}
>
Quick
</PillButton>
<PillButton
selected={isLimitOrder}
onSelect={() => {
setIsLimitOrder(true)
track('select limit order')
}}
xs={true}
>
Limit
</PillButton>
</Row>
)}
</Row>
)
}
export function SellPanel(props: {
contract: CPMMBinaryContract | PseudoNumericContract
userBets: Bet[]
shares: number
sharesOutcome: 'YES' | 'NO'
user: User
onSellSuccess?: () => void
}) {
const { contract, shares, sharesOutcome, userBets, user, onSellSuccess } =
props
const [amount, setAmount] = useState<number | undefined>(shares)
const [error, setError] = useState<string | undefined>()
const [isSubmitting, setIsSubmitting] = useState(false)
const [wasSubmitted, setWasSubmitted] = useState(false)
const unfilledBets = useUnfilledBets(contract.id) ?? []
const betDisabled = isSubmitting || !amount || error
// Sell all shares if remaining shares would be < 1
const isSellingAllShares = amount === Math.floor(shares)
const sellQuantity = isSellingAllShares ? shares : amount
async function submitSell() {
if (!user || !amount) return
setError(undefined)
setIsSubmitting(true)
await sellShares({
shares: isSellingAllShares ? undefined : amount,
outcome: sharesOutcome,
contractId: contract.id,
})
.then((r) => {
console.log('Sold shares. Result:', r)
setIsSubmitting(false)
setWasSubmitted(true)
setAmount(undefined)
if (onSellSuccess) onSellSuccess()
})
.catch((e) => {
if (e instanceof APIError) {
setError(e.toString())
} else {
console.error(e)
setError('Error selling')
}
setIsSubmitting(false)
})
track('sell shares', {
outcomeType: contract.outcomeType,
slug: contract.slug,
contractId: contract.id,
shares: sellQuantity,
outcome: sharesOutcome,
})
}
const initialProb = getProbability(contract)
const { cpmmState, saleValue } = calculateCpmmSale(
contract,
sellQuantity ?? 0,
sharesOutcome,
unfilledBets
)
const resultProb = getCpmmProbability(cpmmState.pool, cpmmState.p)
const openUserBets = userBets.filter((bet) => !bet.isSold && !bet.sale)
const [yesBets, noBets] = partition(
openUserBets,
(bet) => bet.outcome === 'YES'
)
const [yesShares, noShares] = [
sumBy(yesBets, (bet) => bet.shares),
sumBy(noBets, (bet) => bet.shares),
]
const ownedShares = Math.round(yesShares) || Math.round(noShares)
const onAmountChange = (amount: number | undefined) => {
setAmount(amount)
// Check for errors.
if (amount !== undefined) {
if (amount > ownedShares) {
setError(`Maximum ${formatWithCommas(Math.floor(ownedShares))} shares`)
} else {
setError(undefined)
}
}
}
const { outcomeType } = contract
const isPseudoNumeric = outcomeType === 'PSEUDO_NUMERIC'
const format = getFormattedMappedValue(contract)
return (
<>
<AmountInput
amount={
amount
? Math.round(amount) === 0
? 0
: Math.floor(amount)
: undefined
}
onChange={onAmountChange}
label="Qty"
error={error}
disabled={isSubmitting}
inputClassName="w-full"
/>
<Col className="mt-3 w-full gap-3 text-sm">
<Row className="items-center justify-between gap-2 text-gray-500">
Sale proceeds
<span className="text-neutral">{formatMoney(saleValue)}</span>
</Row>
<Row className="items-center justify-between">
<div className="text-gray-500">
{isPseudoNumeric ? 'Estimated value' : 'Probability'}
</div>
<div>
{format(initialProb)}
<span className="mx-2"></span>
{format(resultProb)}
</div>
</Row>
</Col>
<Spacer h={8} />
<button
className={clsx(
'btn flex-1',
betDisabled
? 'btn-disabled'
: sharesOutcome === 'YES'
? 'btn-primary'
: 'border-none bg-red-400 hover:bg-red-500',
isSubmitting ? 'loading' : ''
)}
onClick={betDisabled ? undefined : submitSell}
>
{isSubmitting ? 'Submitting...' : 'Submit sell'}
</button>
{wasSubmitted && <div className="mt-4">Sell submitted!</div>}
</>
)
}