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Add-How-To
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1d05739d6f |
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@ -81,7 +81,7 @@ function getMoreNavigation(user?: User | null) {
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{ name: 'Discord', href: 'https://discord.gg/eHQBNBqXuh' },
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{ name: 'Twitter', href: 'https://twitter.com/ManifoldMarkets' },
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{ name: 'Statistics', href: '/stats' },
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{ name: 'About', href: 'https://docs.manifold.markets/$how-to' },
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{ name: 'How to', href: '/how-to' },
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{ name: 'Sign out', href: '#', onClick: () => firebaseLogout() },
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]
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}
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@ -91,8 +91,8 @@ const signedOutNavigation = [
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{ name: 'Explore', href: '/markets', icon: SearchIcon },
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{ name: 'Charity', href: '/charity', icon: HeartIcon },
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{
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name: 'About',
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href: 'https://docs.manifold.markets/$how-to',
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name: 'How to',
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href: '/how-to',
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icon: BookOpenIcon,
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},
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]
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@ -117,8 +117,8 @@ const signedOutMobileNavigation = [
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icon: PresentationChartBarIcon,
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},
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{
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name: 'About',
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href: 'https://docs.manifold.markets/$how-to',
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name: 'How to',
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href: '/how-to',
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icon: BookOpenIcon,
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},
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]
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164
web/pages/how-to.tsx
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164
web/pages/how-to.tsx
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@ -0,0 +1,164 @@
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import { FeedItem } from 'web/components/feed/feed-items'
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import { Col } from 'web/components/layout/col'
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import { Page } from 'web/components/page'
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import { SiteLink } from 'web/components/site-link'
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import { Title } from 'web/components/title'
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export default function MyPage() {
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return (
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<Page>
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<Col className="w-full rounded px-4 py-6 sm:px-8 xl:w-[125%]">
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<Title className="!mt-0 !text-5xl" text="How to Manifold" />
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<div className="">
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Manifold Markets is a novel site where users can bet against each
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other to predict the outcomes of all types of questions. Engage in
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intense discussion, have fun with friends, and become better informed
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all whilst putting play-money where your mouth is.
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</div>
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<Title text="Mana" />
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<p className="">
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Mana (M$) is our virtual play currency that cannot be converted to
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real money.
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</p>
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<div className="px-12 py-3 text-xl font-semibold">Its value </div>
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<p className="px-12 text-base">
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You can redeem your Mana and we will donate to a
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<SiteLink href="/charity" className="font-semibold text-blue-700 ">
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charity
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</SiteLink>
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on your behalf. Redeeming and purchasing Mana occurs at a rate
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of M$100 to $1. You will be able to redeem it for merch and other cool
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items soon too!
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</p>
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<div className="px-12 py-3 text-xl font-semibold">
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Its sets us apart{' '}
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</div>
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<p className="px-12 text-base">
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Using play-money sets us apart from other similar sites as we don’t
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want our users to solely focus on monetary gains. Instead we
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prioritize in providing a fun, social space to play with friends and
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facilitating a more informed world through the power of prediction
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markets.
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</p>
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<Title className="pt-2" text="How Probabilities work" />
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<p className="px-2">
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The probability of a market represents what the collective bets of
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users predict the chances of an outcome occurring is. How this is
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calculated depends on the type of market - see below!
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</p>
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<Title className="pt-2" text="Types of markets" />
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<p className="px-2">
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There are currently 3 types of markets: Yes/No (binary), Free
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response, and Numerical.
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</p>
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<div className="px-12 py-3 text-xl font-semibold">Yes/No (Binary) </div>
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<p className="px-12 text-base">
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The creator asks a question where traders can bet yes or no. The %
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represents what users believe the probability of the event occuring to
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be. Check out our{' '}
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<SiteLink
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href="http://bit.ly/maniswap"
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className="font-semibold text-blue-700"
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>
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Maniswap doc
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</SiteLink>
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for more info on its automated market maker.
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</p>
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<div className="px-12 py-3 text-xl font-semibold">Free response</div>
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<p className="px-12 text-base">
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The creator asks an open ended question. Both the creator and users
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can propose answers which can be bet on. Don’t be intimidated to add
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new answers! The payout system and initial liquidity rewards users who
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bet on new answers early. The algorithm used to determine the
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probability and payout is complicated but if you want to learn more
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check out this{' '}
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<SiteLink
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href="https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/DPM-b9b48a09ea1f45b88d991231171730c5"
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className="font-semibold text-blue-700 "
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>
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DPM doc
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</SiteLink>
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.
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</p>
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<div className="px-12 py-3 text-xl font-semibold">Numerical </div>
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<p className="px-12 text-base">
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Retracted whilst we make improvements. You still may see some old ones
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floating around though. Questions which can be answered by a number
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within a given range. Betting on a value will cause you to buy shares
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from ‘buckets’ surrounding the number you choose.
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</p>
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<Title className="pt-2" text="Build your portfolio" />
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<p className="px-2">
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Generate profits to prove your expertise and shine above your friends
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on the leaderboards. To the moon 🚀
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</p>
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<div className="px-12 py-3 text-xl font-semibold">
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Find inaccurate probabilities
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</div>
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<p className="px-12 text-base">
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Use your superior knowledge on topics to identify markets which have
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inaccurate probabilities. This gives you favorable odds, so bet
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accordingly to shift the probability to what you think it should be.
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</p>
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<div className="px-12 py-3 text-xl font-semibold">React to news </div>
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<p className="px-12 text-base">
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Markets are dynamic and ongoing events can drastically affect what the
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probability should look like. Be the keenest to react and there is a
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lot of Mana to be made.
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</p>
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<div className="px-12 py-3 text-xl font-semibold">
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Buy low, sell high{' '}
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</div>
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<p className="px-12 text-base">
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Similar to a stock market, probabilities can be overvalued and
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undervalued. If you bet (buy shares) at one end of the spectrum and
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subsequently other users buy even more shares of that same type, the
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value of your own shares will increase. Sometimes it will be most
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profitable to wait for the market to resolve but often it can be wise
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to sell your shares and take the immediate profits. This can also be a
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great way to free up Mana if you are lacking funds.
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</p>
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<div className="px-12 py-3 text-xl font-semibold">
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Create innovative answers
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</div>
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<p className="px-12 text-base">
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Certain free response markets provide room for creativity! The answers
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themselves can often affect the outcome based on how compelling they
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are.
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</p>
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<p className="pt-12">
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{' '}
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Check out our
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<SiteLink
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href="https://docs.manifold.markets/"
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className="font-semibold text-blue-700 "
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>
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docs page
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</SiteLink>
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to learn more! There you will find information about specific
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market mechanisms, our API, open source projects, bounties, and more
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detailed guides.
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</p>
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<p className="pt-4">
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{' '}
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Still haven't answered your question? Join our
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<SiteLink
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href="https://discord.gg/eHQBNBqXuh"
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className="font-semibold text-blue-700 "
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>
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Discord server
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</SiteLink>
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and one of our team will be happy to talk with you!
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</p>
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</Col>
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</Page>
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)
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}
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