Commit Graph

31 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Marshall Polaris
47f10301c8
Change lodash stuff so that it can be tree-shaken out of build (#233)
* Set common package.json sideEffects: false

* Configure SWC to modularize lodash imports

* Import specific lodash functions instead of _

* Add an eslint rule to avoid full lodash import
2022-05-22 01:36:05 -07:00
James Grugett
76f27d1a93
Numeric range markets!! (#146)
* Numeric contract type

* Create market numeric type

* Add numeric graph (coded without testing)

* Outline of numeric bet panel

* Update bet panel logic

* create numeric contracts

* remove batching for antes for numeric markets

* Remove focus

* numeric market range [1, 100]

* Zoom graph

* Hide bet panels

* getNumericBets

* Add numeric resolution panel

* Use getNumericBets in bet panel calc

* Switch bucket count to 100

* Parallelize ante creation

* placeBet for numeric markets

* halve std of numeric bets

* Update resolveMarket with numeric type

* Set min and max for contract

* lower std for numeric bets

* calculateNumericDpmShares: use sorted order

* Use min and max to map the input

* Fix probability calc

* normpdf variance mislabeled

* range input

* merge

* change numeric graph color

* fix getNewContract params

* bet panel labels

* validation

* number input

* fix bucketing

* bucket input, numeric resolution panel

* outcome label

* merge

* numeric bet panel on mobile

* Make text underneath filled green answer bar selectable

* Default to 'all' feed category when loading page.

* fix numeric resolution panel

* fix numeric bet panel calculations

* display numeric resolution

* don't render NumericBetPanel for non numeric markets

* numeric bets: store shares, bet amounts across buckets in each bet object

* restore your bets for numeric markets

* numeric pnl calculations

* remove hasUserHitManaLimit

* contrain contract type

* handle undefined allOutcomeShares

* numeric ante bet amount

* use correct amount for numeric dpm payouts

* change numeric graph/outcome color

* numeric constants

* hack to show correct numeric payout in calculateDpmPayoutAfterCorrectBet

* remove comment

* fix ante display in bet list

* halve bucket count

* cast to NumericContract

* fix merge imports

* OUTCOME_TYPES

* typo

* lower bucket count to 200

* store raw numeric value with bet

* store raw numeric resolution value

* number input max length

* create page: min, max to undefined if not numeric market

* numeric resolution formatting

* expected value for numeric markets

* expected value for numeric markets

* rearrange lines for readability

* move normalpdf to util/math

* show bets tab

* check if outcomeMode is undefined

* remove extraneous auto-merge cruft

* hide comment status for numeric markets

* import

Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com>
2022-05-19 12:42:03 -05:00
James Grugett
ab8d541f8d Revert "Make absolute imports work with functions project (#168)"
This reverts commit c82a56af09.
2022-05-15 13:39:42 -04:00
Marshall Polaris
c82a56af09
Make absolute imports work with functions project (#168)
* Use a silly hack to make absolute imports work with Firebase tools

* Use absolute import for common module in functions code
2022-05-10 13:59:38 -07:00
mantikoros
264e5058ea
Separate out fees (#169)
* deduct market ante from profits

* display creator fees in stats

* show creator earnings in stats

* separate out creator, liquidity fees in payouts and deduct from profits

* include creator payout in resolution emails

* deduct liquidity from profits

* hide cost tooltip if daily free market
2022-05-10 08:49:14 -05:00
mantikoros
5135135e79
Separate out fees (#159)
* deduct market ante from profits

* display creator fees in stats

* show creator earnings in stats

* separate out creator, liquidity fees in payouts and deduct from profits
2022-05-09 16:04:40 -05:00
Austin Chen
3fc159f10b Revert "Convert common imports in functions to be absolute"
This reverts commit c03518e906.
2022-05-09 12:06:16 -04:00
Marshall Polaris
acc9c84e2e
More absolute imports (#156)
* Configure functions module to allow absolute imports

* Convert common imports in functions to be absolute

* Convert common imports in web to be absolute

* Convert lib imports in web to be absolute

* Convert hooks imports in web to be absolute

* Convert components imports in web to be absolute
2022-05-09 09:04:36 -04:00
James Grugett
50c4866958 Probable fix to NaN invested in email 2022-03-16 23:56:59 -05:00
mantikoros
c183e00d47
Cfmm (#64)
* cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions

* remove unnecessary property

* contract type

* rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts'

* rename dpm calculations

* use focus hook

* mechanism-agnostic calculations

* bet panel: use new calculations

* use new calculations

* delete markets cloud function

* use correct contract type in scripts / functions

* calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations

* new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase

* getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet

* use deductFixedFees

* fix auto-refactor

* fix antes

* separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed

* liquidity provision tracking

* remove comment

* liquidity label

* create liquidity provision even if no ante bet

* liquidity fee

* use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts

* updateUserBalance: allow negative balances

* store initialProbability in contracts

* turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee

* Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched

* share redemption

* cpmm ContractBetsTable display

* formatMoney: handle minus zero

* filter out redemption bets

* track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution

* small fixes

* small fixes

* Redeem shares pays back loans first

* Fix initial point on graph

* calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee

* Filter out redemption bets from feed

* set env to dev for user-testing purposes

* creator fees messaging

* new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p

* addCpmmLiquidity

* correct price function

* enable fees

* handle overflow

* liquidity provision tracking

* raise fees

* Fix merge error

* fix dpm free response payout for single outcome

* Fix DPM payout calculation

* Remove hardcoding as dev

Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
2022-03-15 17:27:51 -05:00
James Grugett
985cdd2537
🏦 Per-market loans! (#57)
* Loan backend: Add loanAmount field to Bet, manage loans up to max loan amount per market -- buy, sell, and resolve.

* Loan frontend: show your loan amount in bet panel, answer bet panel

* Resolve emails include full payout not subtracting loan

* Exclude sold bets from current loan amount

* Handle bets table for loans. Sell dialog explains how you will repay your loan.

* Floor remaining balance

* Fix layout of create answer bet info

* Clean up Sell popup UI

* Fix bug where listen query was not updating data.

* Reword loan copy

* Adjust bet panel width

* Fix loan calc on front end

* Add comment for includeMetadataChanges.

Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com>
2022-03-01 21:31:48 -06:00
James Grugett
a9b887a4f4 Update resolve market to set closeTime to the earlier of closeTime and resolutionTime. 2022-02-28 16:19:47 -08:00
James Grugett
db541cb63b Show investment in market resolve email 2022-02-24 01:04:24 -06:00
James Grugett
fd846254a0 Implement resolving to multiple answers, weighted by probability 2022-02-20 01:26:33 -06:00
James Grugett
b2501d8145
Free response (#47)
* Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract

* Create free answer contract

* Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45)

* Add Prettier Tailwind plugin

* Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier

* Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components

* logo with white inside, transparent bg

* Create answer

* Some UI for showing answers

* Answer bet panel

* Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts

* Working betting with ante'd NONE answer

* Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks

* Can bet. More layout tweaks!

* Resolve answer UI

* Resolve multi market

* Resolved market UI

* Fix feed and cards for multi contracts

* Sell bets. Various fixes

* Tweaks for trades page

* Always dev mode

* Create answer bet has isAnte: true

* Fix  card showing 0% for multi contracts

* Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes

* None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none.

* Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout

* Show ante bets on new answers in the feed

* Update placeholder text for description

* Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections

* Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes.

* Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks.

* Don't show resolve options after answer chosen

* Fix type error in script

* Remove NONE resolution option

* Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE'

* Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer

* User info change: also change answers

* Append answers to contract field 'answers'

* sort trades by resolved

* Don't include trailing !:,.; in links

* Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney

* Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney"

This reverts commit 2f7ab18429.

* Consistently floor user.balance

* Expand create panel on focus

From Richard Hanania's feedback

* welcome email: include link to manifold

* Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response

* Close emails (#50)

* script init for stephen dev

* market close emails

* order of operations

* template email

* sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe

* remove debugging

* marketCloseEmails: every hour

* sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined

* marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours"

* Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49)

* Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions

Featuring:
/api/v0/markets
/api/v0/market/[contractId]
/api/v0/slug/[contractSlug]

* Include tags in API

* Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract

* Fix bet probability change for NO bets

* Put back isProd calculation

Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com>
Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com>
Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 17:00:19 -06:00
mantikoros
2d66be5208 resolve market: fix probability bounds 2022-02-12 00:19:45 -06:00
mantikoros
f06ca8305c
Resolve prob (#41)
* rename MKT to PROB; show resolved probability; move format utilities to common

* ProbabilitySelector

* resolve to PROB

* prob and mkt labels
2022-01-30 15:51:30 -06:00
jahooma
aa1022546d Implement leaderboards for folds! 2022-01-22 17:59:50 -06:00
mantikoros
9d5490cf9a
Switch to new dpm mechanism (#26)
* initial commit

* antes

* rename path, compute to contractPath, contractMetrics

* merge

* Include antes as bets; more calculations

* fees on estimated winnings

* mkt payout calculation

* contract: remove startPool, add phantomShares

* Merge branch 'main' into new-dpm

* dpm migration script

* my service account
2022-01-12 13:01:04 -06:00
mantikoros
8266fb995c safer payUser 2022-01-10 16:49:13 -06:00
mantikoros
b97a65cf2c refactor data structures, calculations to common directory 2022-01-10 15:07:57 -06:00
mantikoros
7c875f80da subsidized markets; create contract cloud function 2022-01-04 23:51:34 -06:00
mantikoros
907acec601
Mkt resolution 2: Enable MKT resolution (#16)
* new standard resolution; contract.totalBets; MKT resolution

* recalculate script

* enable resolve MKT

* different approach to resolve MKT

* comment out init

* Count payouts for bets with exluded sales

Co-authored-by: jahooma <jahooma@gmail.com>
2022-01-02 00:27:58 -06:00
jahooma
0950a281f2 Fix build error from merge. Extract resolution emails to function 2022-01-01 19:13:30 -06:00
mantikoros
5890b74225
Mkt resolution: new standard resolution (pay back bets first) (#15)
* new standard resolution; contract.totalBets; MKT resolution

* recalculate script

* Fix one bug and change script name

Co-authored-by: jahooma <jahooma@gmail.com>
2022-01-01 19:03:18 -06:00
jahooma
afc6f28a49 Send email on market resolution with your payout 2022-01-01 18:08:52 -06:00
mantikoros
b06d41e31a resolve market cancel uses only pool to pay out 2021-12-29 00:49:10 -05:00
mantikoros
f48ae0170b
Sell bets (#12)
* sell bet

* dev mode

* single-pot no-refund payoff; bet selling

* Increase default fetch size 25 -> 99

* Fix about page numbering

* Don't flash no markets when loading on tag page.

* Change Title to use body font

* Make a bunch of predictions at once (#9)

* Set up a page to make bulk predictions

* Integrate preview into the same card

* List created predictions

* Make changes per James's comments

* Increase the starting balance (#11)

* Remove references to paying for our Mantic Dollars

* Update simulator to use new calculations

* Change simulator random to be evenly random again

* Sell bet UI

* Migrate contracts and bets script

* Add comment to script

* bets => trades; exclude sold bets

* change sale formula

* Change current value to uncapped sell value.

* Disable sell button while selling

* Update some 'bet' to 'trade'

Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com>
Co-authored-by: jahooma <jahooma@gmail.com>
2021-12-24 15:06:01 -06:00
mantikoros
756f31b1b7 rename contract properties 2021-12-17 16:15:09 -06:00
mantikoros
e662d10cfb resolve markets: remove seed bets from pot 2021-12-14 12:54:26 -06:00
mantikoros
f2748db21d resolve markets 2021-12-14 01:02:54 -06:00