Commit Graph

41 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
mantikoros
1a6afaf44f
Pseudo numeric market (#609)
* create pseudo-numeric contracts

* graph and bet panel for pseudo numeric

* pseudo numeric market layout, quick betting

* Estimated value

* sell panel

* fix graph

* pseudo numeric resolution

* bets tab

* redemption for pseudo numeric markets

* create log scale market, validation

* log scale

* create: initial value can't be min or max

* don't allow log scale for ranges with negative values (b/c of problem with graph library)

* prettier delenda est

* graph: handle min value of zero

* bet labeling

* validation

* prettier

* pseudo numeric embeds

* update disclaimer

* validation

* validation
2022-07-02 14:37:59 -05:00
Ben Congdon
c5efd5b7d0
Market Resolution API (#600)
* Add market resolution API

* Add additional free market resolution validation

* Address review comments

* Refactor resolution validation code somewhat

Co-authored-by: Marshall Polaris <marshall@pol.rs>
2022-06-30 15:11:45 -07:00
Marshall Polaris
fc7f19e785
Finalize v2 resolvemarket migration (#598)
* Update resolve-market to be a v2 function

* Cleanup API error responses

* Update frontend to use v2 version of resolvemarket

* Appease ESLint

* Address review comments

* Appease ESLint

* Remove unnecessary auth check

* Fix logic bug in FR market validation

* Make it so you can specify runtime opts for v2 functions

* Cleanup to resolve market API resolutions input, fixes

* Fix up tiny lint

* Last minute cleanup to resolvemarket FR API input validation

Co-authored-by: Benjamin <ben@congdon.dev>
2022-06-29 16:47:06 -07:00
Marshall Polaris
1075fec53f
Clean up unclean user names (#543)
* Clean the user's display name on update.

The user's display name should always be clean (see for example
functions/src/create-user.ts). However, change-user-info.ts does not
enforce this, thus potentially allowing a malicious user to change their
name to something that doesn't satisfy the rules for clean display
names.

Note: this cannot happen currently because all callers (in profile.tsx)
clean the name. However, doing it here is good defense in depth
(similar to how the userName is cleaned).

* Update display name max length to 30

* Add a script to hunt down too-long display names

* Make util.isProd a function

* Don't access admin.firestore() on top level of utils.ts

Co-authored-by: Jonas Wagner <ltlygwayh@gmail.com>
2022-06-18 14:31:39 -07:00
James Grugett
cc4b9abd9f Revert "Automated market resolution (#404)"
This reverts commit a3663d03e8.
2022-06-14 23:31:20 -05:00
James Grugett
26921451a8 Revert "Fix auto resolve markets query"
This reverts commit b405bd453a.
2022-06-14 23:30:58 -05:00
James Grugett
b405bd453a Fix auto resolve markets query 2022-06-14 23:16:02 -05:00
TrueMilli
a3663d03e8
Automated market resolution (#404)
* Added radio buttons to market creation (non functional)

* Ignoring vs code files

Should this be done in the repo or should everyone using VS Code do that himself globally on his machine(s)?

* Removed 'automatic' resolution

* added union type for resolution

* revert: resolution could be anything here (non binary markets)

* Expanded ChoicesToggleGroup for string choices

* Added combined resolution and required buttons to market creation

* restricted automatic resolution to binary markets

* added automatic resolution to contract

* added automatic resolution to contract overview

* string or number array to mixed array

* created const for resolutions

* Added comments for leading semicolons

* configuration of auto resolution on market creation

* v1.22.19

* v1.0.0

* v0.0.0

* v1.0.0

* v1.22.19

* Mock display automatic resolution

* Revert changes to market creation

* Revert "v1.22.19"

This reverts commit 22f59adc9c.

* Removed resolutiontype from contract creation

* Added auto resolution time to contract

* Auto resolution date editable

* refactoring

* Editable interface for auto resolution

* New edit interface for auto resolution

* Setting of auto resolve date when changing close date

* prohibited changing other peoples markets

* removed unnecessary export

* refactoring

(cherry picked from commit 4de86d5b08)

* Added comments for leading semicolons

(cherry picked from commit 60739c7853)

* Ignoring vs code files

Should this be done in the repo or should everyone using VS Code do that himself globally on his machine(s)?

(cherry picked from commit 944de9398a)

* removed unused imports and variables

* added type for binary resolution

* Prettier

* const for binary resolutions

* using the type "resolution"

* Prettier

* Re-added comment

* Update functions/src/create-contract.ts

* Revert "Ignoring vs code files"

This reverts commit 09aea5c207.

* launch config for debugging with vs code WIP

* "Launch Chrome" does not work since login via google is not possible in debugger-chrome
* Breakpoints are unbound when attached to chrome

* Revert "Added comments for leading semicolons"

* prettier

* linebreak crlf

* vscode settings

* correct linebreaks
* search exclusion
* automatic prettifier

* vscode settings

* correct linebreaks
* search exclusion
* automatic prettifier

* Working debugger config

* fix merge

* Removed comments, default resolution MKT

* removed vscode from gitignore

* refactoring description update

* Added auto resolution to LiteMarket

* fix date, setDate mutates object

* fixed firestore.rules

* script to add auto resolution to all markets

* regularely auto resolve markets

* fix description error

* moved calculate ts for access in firebase

* Revert "moved calculate ts for access in firebase"

This reverts commit 8380bf4f72.

* fix reference to calculate for firebase

* fixed references to time

* renamed function

* added description

* added auto resolution to description

* direct bool check instead of != null

* direct bool check instead of != undefined

* remove explicit type

* Fix free response markets

* removed contract from functionname

* interval set to 1h

* query instead of filter

* folds ~> contracts

* query instead of filter

* promise.all instead of foreach

* removed contractDoc from function header

* removed autoResolution from function header

* batchedWaitAll instead of promise.all

* removed unused parameter

* replaced auto resolution with constant

* suggestions from PR

* fix comment

* removed unused imports

* added scripts to add close dates on prod

* optimization

* removed test script

* security: only auto resolve markets which are closed

* consistency checks

* re-added type check for binary markets
* moved check of probability into switch case block

* removed unused import

* auto resolution every minute

* auto resolution time optional

* pr fixes
2022-06-14 15:01:32 -05:00
Marshall Polaris
33ddd86add
Switch to Google Secret Manager for function secrets (#418)
* Upgrade firebase-functions 3.16.0 -> 3.21.2

* Use Secret Manager instead of config

* Small refactoring on new stripe/mailgun initialization

* Teach README about new secrets workflow
2022-06-04 14:39:25 -07:00
TrueMilli
0f2a311b74
Refactoring (#401)
* refactoring

(cherry picked from commit 4de86d5b08)

* removed unused imports and variables

* added type for binary resolution

* Prettier

* const for binary resolutions

* using the type "resolution"

* Prettier

* Update functions/src/create-contract.ts

* launch config for debugging with vs code
* "Launch Chrome" does not work since login via google is not possible in debugger-chrome
* Breakpoints are unbound when attached to chrome
2022-06-02 17:30:34 -07:00
Marshall Polaris
47f10301c8
Change lodash stuff so that it can be tree-shaken out of build (#233)
* Set common package.json sideEffects: false

* Configure SWC to modularize lodash imports

* Import specific lodash functions instead of _

* Add an eslint rule to avoid full lodash import
2022-05-22 01:36:05 -07:00
James Grugett
76f27d1a93
Numeric range markets!! (#146)
* Numeric contract type

* Create market numeric type

* Add numeric graph (coded without testing)

* Outline of numeric bet panel

* Update bet panel logic

* create numeric contracts

* remove batching for antes for numeric markets

* Remove focus

* numeric market range [1, 100]

* Zoom graph

* Hide bet panels

* getNumericBets

* Add numeric resolution panel

* Use getNumericBets in bet panel calc

* Switch bucket count to 100

* Parallelize ante creation

* placeBet for numeric markets

* halve std of numeric bets

* Update resolveMarket with numeric type

* Set min and max for contract

* lower std for numeric bets

* calculateNumericDpmShares: use sorted order

* Use min and max to map the input

* Fix probability calc

* normpdf variance mislabeled

* range input

* merge

* change numeric graph color

* fix getNewContract params

* bet panel labels

* validation

* number input

* fix bucketing

* bucket input, numeric resolution panel

* outcome label

* merge

* numeric bet panel on mobile

* Make text underneath filled green answer bar selectable

* Default to 'all' feed category when loading page.

* fix numeric resolution panel

* fix numeric bet panel calculations

* display numeric resolution

* don't render NumericBetPanel for non numeric markets

* numeric bets: store shares, bet amounts across buckets in each bet object

* restore your bets for numeric markets

* numeric pnl calculations

* remove hasUserHitManaLimit

* contrain contract type

* handle undefined allOutcomeShares

* numeric ante bet amount

* use correct amount for numeric dpm payouts

* change numeric graph/outcome color

* numeric constants

* hack to show correct numeric payout in calculateDpmPayoutAfterCorrectBet

* remove comment

* fix ante display in bet list

* halve bucket count

* cast to NumericContract

* fix merge imports

* OUTCOME_TYPES

* typo

* lower bucket count to 200

* store raw numeric value with bet

* store raw numeric resolution value

* number input max length

* create page: min, max to undefined if not numeric market

* numeric resolution formatting

* expected value for numeric markets

* expected value for numeric markets

* rearrange lines for readability

* move normalpdf to util/math

* show bets tab

* check if outcomeMode is undefined

* remove extraneous auto-merge cruft

* hide comment status for numeric markets

* import

Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com>
2022-05-19 12:42:03 -05:00
James Grugett
ab8d541f8d Revert "Make absolute imports work with functions project (#168)"
This reverts commit c82a56af09.
2022-05-15 13:39:42 -04:00
Marshall Polaris
c82a56af09
Make absolute imports work with functions project (#168)
* Use a silly hack to make absolute imports work with Firebase tools

* Use absolute import for common module in functions code
2022-05-10 13:59:38 -07:00
mantikoros
264e5058ea
Separate out fees (#169)
* deduct market ante from profits

* display creator fees in stats

* show creator earnings in stats

* separate out creator, liquidity fees in payouts and deduct from profits

* include creator payout in resolution emails

* deduct liquidity from profits

* hide cost tooltip if daily free market
2022-05-10 08:49:14 -05:00
mantikoros
5135135e79
Separate out fees (#159)
* deduct market ante from profits

* display creator fees in stats

* show creator earnings in stats

* separate out creator, liquidity fees in payouts and deduct from profits
2022-05-09 16:04:40 -05:00
Austin Chen
3fc159f10b Revert "Convert common imports in functions to be absolute"
This reverts commit c03518e906.
2022-05-09 12:06:16 -04:00
Marshall Polaris
acc9c84e2e
More absolute imports (#156)
* Configure functions module to allow absolute imports

* Convert common imports in functions to be absolute

* Convert common imports in web to be absolute

* Convert lib imports in web to be absolute

* Convert hooks imports in web to be absolute

* Convert components imports in web to be absolute
2022-05-09 09:04:36 -04:00
James Grugett
50c4866958 Probable fix to NaN invested in email 2022-03-16 23:56:59 -05:00
mantikoros
c183e00d47
Cfmm (#64)
* cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions

* remove unnecessary property

* contract type

* rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts'

* rename dpm calculations

* use focus hook

* mechanism-agnostic calculations

* bet panel: use new calculations

* use new calculations

* delete markets cloud function

* use correct contract type in scripts / functions

* calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations

* new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase

* getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet

* use deductFixedFees

* fix auto-refactor

* fix antes

* separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed

* liquidity provision tracking

* remove comment

* liquidity label

* create liquidity provision even if no ante bet

* liquidity fee

* use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts

* updateUserBalance: allow negative balances

* store initialProbability in contracts

* turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee

* Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched

* share redemption

* cpmm ContractBetsTable display

* formatMoney: handle minus zero

* filter out redemption bets

* track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution

* small fixes

* small fixes

* Redeem shares pays back loans first

* Fix initial point on graph

* calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee

* Filter out redemption bets from feed

* set env to dev for user-testing purposes

* creator fees messaging

* new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p

* addCpmmLiquidity

* correct price function

* enable fees

* handle overflow

* liquidity provision tracking

* raise fees

* Fix merge error

* fix dpm free response payout for single outcome

* Fix DPM payout calculation

* Remove hardcoding as dev

Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
2022-03-15 17:27:51 -05:00
James Grugett
985cdd2537
🏦 Per-market loans! (#57)
* Loan backend: Add loanAmount field to Bet, manage loans up to max loan amount per market -- buy, sell, and resolve.

* Loan frontend: show your loan amount in bet panel, answer bet panel

* Resolve emails include full payout not subtracting loan

* Exclude sold bets from current loan amount

* Handle bets table for loans. Sell dialog explains how you will repay your loan.

* Floor remaining balance

* Fix layout of create answer bet info

* Clean up Sell popup UI

* Fix bug where listen query was not updating data.

* Reword loan copy

* Adjust bet panel width

* Fix loan calc on front end

* Add comment for includeMetadataChanges.

Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com>
2022-03-01 21:31:48 -06:00
James Grugett
a9b887a4f4 Update resolve market to set closeTime to the earlier of closeTime and resolutionTime. 2022-02-28 16:19:47 -08:00
James Grugett
db541cb63b Show investment in market resolve email 2022-02-24 01:04:24 -06:00
James Grugett
fd846254a0 Implement resolving to multiple answers, weighted by probability 2022-02-20 01:26:33 -06:00
James Grugett
b2501d8145
Free response (#47)
* Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract

* Create free answer contract

* Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45)

* Add Prettier Tailwind plugin

* Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier

* Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components

* logo with white inside, transparent bg

* Create answer

* Some UI for showing answers

* Answer bet panel

* Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts

* Working betting with ante'd NONE answer

* Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks

* Can bet. More layout tweaks!

* Resolve answer UI

* Resolve multi market

* Resolved market UI

* Fix feed and cards for multi contracts

* Sell bets. Various fixes

* Tweaks for trades page

* Always dev mode

* Create answer bet has isAnte: true

* Fix  card showing 0% for multi contracts

* Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes

* None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none.

* Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout

* Show ante bets on new answers in the feed

* Update placeholder text for description

* Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections

* Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes.

* Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks.

* Don't show resolve options after answer chosen

* Fix type error in script

* Remove NONE resolution option

* Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE'

* Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer

* User info change: also change answers

* Append answers to contract field 'answers'

* sort trades by resolved

* Don't include trailing !:,.; in links

* Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney

* Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney"

This reverts commit 2f7ab18429.

* Consistently floor user.balance

* Expand create panel on focus

From Richard Hanania's feedback

* welcome email: include link to manifold

* Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response

* Close emails (#50)

* script init for stephen dev

* market close emails

* order of operations

* template email

* sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe

* remove debugging

* marketCloseEmails: every hour

* sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined

* marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours"

* Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49)

* Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions

Featuring:
/api/v0/markets
/api/v0/market/[contractId]
/api/v0/slug/[contractSlug]

* Include tags in API

* Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract

* Fix bet probability change for NO bets

* Put back isProd calculation

Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com>
Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com>
Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 17:00:19 -06:00
mantikoros
2d66be5208 resolve market: fix probability bounds 2022-02-12 00:19:45 -06:00
mantikoros
f06ca8305c
Resolve prob (#41)
* rename MKT to PROB; show resolved probability; move format utilities to common

* ProbabilitySelector

* resolve to PROB

* prob and mkt labels
2022-01-30 15:51:30 -06:00
jahooma
aa1022546d Implement leaderboards for folds! 2022-01-22 17:59:50 -06:00
mantikoros
9d5490cf9a
Switch to new dpm mechanism (#26)
* initial commit

* antes

* rename path, compute to contractPath, contractMetrics

* merge

* Include antes as bets; more calculations

* fees on estimated winnings

* mkt payout calculation

* contract: remove startPool, add phantomShares

* Merge branch 'main' into new-dpm

* dpm migration script

* my service account
2022-01-12 13:01:04 -06:00
mantikoros
8266fb995c safer payUser 2022-01-10 16:49:13 -06:00
mantikoros
b97a65cf2c refactor data structures, calculations to common directory 2022-01-10 15:07:57 -06:00
mantikoros
7c875f80da subsidized markets; create contract cloud function 2022-01-04 23:51:34 -06:00
mantikoros
907acec601
Mkt resolution 2: Enable MKT resolution (#16)
* new standard resolution; contract.totalBets; MKT resolution

* recalculate script

* enable resolve MKT

* different approach to resolve MKT

* comment out init

* Count payouts for bets with exluded sales

Co-authored-by: jahooma <jahooma@gmail.com>
2022-01-02 00:27:58 -06:00
jahooma
0950a281f2 Fix build error from merge. Extract resolution emails to function 2022-01-01 19:13:30 -06:00
mantikoros
5890b74225
Mkt resolution: new standard resolution (pay back bets first) (#15)
* new standard resolution; contract.totalBets; MKT resolution

* recalculate script

* Fix one bug and change script name

Co-authored-by: jahooma <jahooma@gmail.com>
2022-01-01 19:03:18 -06:00
jahooma
afc6f28a49 Send email on market resolution with your payout 2022-01-01 18:08:52 -06:00
mantikoros
b06d41e31a resolve market cancel uses only pool to pay out 2021-12-29 00:49:10 -05:00
mantikoros
f48ae0170b
Sell bets (#12)
* sell bet

* dev mode

* single-pot no-refund payoff; bet selling

* Increase default fetch size 25 -> 99

* Fix about page numbering

* Don't flash no markets when loading on tag page.

* Change Title to use body font

* Make a bunch of predictions at once (#9)

* Set up a page to make bulk predictions

* Integrate preview into the same card

* List created predictions

* Make changes per James's comments

* Increase the starting balance (#11)

* Remove references to paying for our Mantic Dollars

* Update simulator to use new calculations

* Change simulator random to be evenly random again

* Sell bet UI

* Migrate contracts and bets script

* Add comment to script

* bets => trades; exclude sold bets

* change sale formula

* Change current value to uncapped sell value.

* Disable sell button while selling

* Update some 'bet' to 'trade'

Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com>
Co-authored-by: jahooma <jahooma@gmail.com>
2021-12-24 15:06:01 -06:00
mantikoros
756f31b1b7 rename contract properties 2021-12-17 16:15:09 -06:00
mantikoros
e662d10cfb resolve markets: remove seed bets from pot 2021-12-14 12:54:26 -06:00
mantikoros
f2748db21d resolve markets 2021-12-14 01:02:54 -06:00