Bet calculation / UI updates

web/components/bets-list.tsx

@@ -96,10 +96,10 @@ function MyContractBets(props: { contractId: string; bets: Bet[] }) {
           </>
         ) : (
           <>
-            <Col>
+            {/* <Col>
               <div className="text-sm text-gray-500">Current value</div>
               <div className="">{formatMoney(betsValue)}</div>
-            </Col>
+            </Col> */}
             <Col>
               <div className="text-sm text-primary">If YES</div>
               <div className="">{formatMoney(yesWinnings)}</div>
@@ -127,12 +127,12 @@ function ContractBetsTable(props: { contract: Contract; bets: Bet[] }) {
       <table className="table table-zebra table-compact text-gray-500 w-full">
         <thead>
           <tr className="p-2">
+            <th>Date</th>
             <th>Outcome</th>
             <th>Bet</th>
             <th>Probability</th>
-            <th>Date</th>
             <th>Est. max payout</th>
-            <th>Profit/loss</th>
+            <th>Current value</th>
           </tr>
         </thead>
         <tbody>
@@ -151,14 +151,14 @@ function BetRow(props: { bet: Bet; contract: Contract }) {
 
   return (
     <tr>
+      <td>{dayjs(createdTime).format('MMM D, H:mma')}</td>
       <td>{outcome}</td>
       <td>{formatMoney(amount)}</td>
       <td>
         {formatPercent(probBefore)} → {formatPercent(probAfter)}
       </td>
-      <td>{dayjs(createdTime).format('MMM D, H:mma')}</td>
       <td>{formatMoney(amount + dpmWeight)}</td>
-      <td>{formatMoney(currentValue(contract, bet) - amount)}</td>
+      <td>{formatMoney(currentValue(contract, bet))}</td>
     </tr>
   )
 }

web/lib/calculation/contract.ts

@@ -1,6 +1,8 @@
 import { Bet } from '../firebase/bets'
 import { Contract } from '../firebase/contracts'
 
+const fees = 0.02
+
 export function getProbability(pot: { YES: number; NO: number }) {
   const [yesPot, noPot] = [pot.YES, pot.NO]
   const numerator = Math.pow(yesPot, 2)
@@ -37,24 +39,23 @@ export function calculateWinnings(
   bet: Bet,
   outcome: 'YES' | 'NO' | 'CANCEL'
 ) {
-  let { dpmWeights, pot } = contract
   const { amount, outcome: betOutcome, dpmWeight } = bet
 
   if (outcome === 'CANCEL') return amount
+  if (betOutcome !== outcome) return 0
+
+  let { dpmWeights, pot, seedAmounts } = contract
+
+  // Fake data if not set.
+  if (!dpmWeights) dpmWeights = { YES: 100, NO: 100 }
 
-  if (!dpmWeights) {
-    // Fake data if not set.
-    dpmWeights = { YES: 100, NO: 100 }
-  }
   // Fake data if not set.
   if (!pot) pot = { YES: 100, NO: 100 }
 
-  return betOutcome === outcome
-    ? 0.98 *
-        (dpmWeight / dpmWeights[outcome]) *
-        pot[outcome === 'YES' ? 'NO' : 'YES'] +
-        amount
-    : 0
+  const otherOutcome = outcome === 'YES' ? 'NO' : 'YES'
+  const potSize = pot[otherOutcome] - seedAmounts[otherOutcome]
+
+  return (1 - fees) * (dpmWeight / dpmWeights[outcome]) * potSize + amount
 }
 
 export function currentValue(contract: Contract, bet: Bet) {