update about page with more info about basic betting mechanics
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@ -217,17 +217,35 @@ function Contents() {
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judgment on the outcome, it leads to a qualitative shift in the number,
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judgment on the outcome, it leads to a qualitative shift in the number,
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variety, and usefulness of prediction markets.
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variety, and usefulness of prediction markets.
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</p>
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</p>
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<h3 id="how-does-betting-in-a-market-work-on-a-technical-level-">
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How does betting in a market work on a technical level?
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<h3 id="how-does-betting-work">How does betting work?</h3>
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</h3>
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<ul>
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<li>
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Markets are structured around a question with a binary outcome (either
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YES or NO)
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</li>
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<li>
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Traders can place a bet on either YES or NO. The bet amount is added
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to the corresponding bet pool for the outcome. The trader receives
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some shares of the final pool. The number of shares depends on the
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current implied probability.
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</li>
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<li>
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When the market is resolved, the traders who bet on the correct
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outcome are paid out of the total pool (YES pool + NO pool) in
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proportion to the amount of shares they own, minus any fees.
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</li>
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</ul>
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<h3 id="type-of-market-maker">What kind of betting system do you use?</h3>
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<p>
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<p>
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Mantic Markets uses a special type of automated market marker based on a
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Mantic Markets uses a special type of automated market marker based on a
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dynamic pari-mutuel (DPM) betting system.
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dynamic pari-mutuel (DPM) betting system.
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</p>
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</p>
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<p>
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<p>
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Like traditional pari-mutuel systems, your payoff is not known at the
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Like traditional pari-mutuel systems, your payoff is not known at the
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time you place your bet (it's dependent on the size of the pot when
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time you place your bet (it's dependent on the size of the pool when
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the event ends).
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the event is resolved).
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</p>
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</p>
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<p>
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<p>
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Unlike traditional pari-mutuel systems, the price or probability that
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Unlike traditional pari-mutuel systems, the price or probability that
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@ -238,6 +256,7 @@ function Contents() {
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The result is a market that can function well when trading volume is low
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The result is a market that can function well when trading volume is low
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without any risk to the market creator.
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without any risk to the market creator.
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</p>
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</p>
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<h3 id="who-are-we-">Who are we?</h3>
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<h3 id="who-are-we-">Who are we?</h3>
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<p>Mantic Markets is currently a team of three:</p>
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<p>Mantic Markets is currently a team of three:</p>
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<ul>
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<ul>
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@ -272,9 +291,16 @@ function Contents() {
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Join the Mantic Markets Discord Server!
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Join the Mantic Markets Discord Server!
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</a>
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</a>
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</p>
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</p>
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<h1 id="further-reading">Further Reading</h1>
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<h1 id="further-reading">Further Reading</h1>
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<hr />
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<hr />
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<ul>
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<ul>
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<li>
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<a href="https://mantic.notion.site/Technical-Overview-b9b48a09ea1f45b88d991231171730c5">
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Technical Overview of Mantic Markets
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</a>
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</li>
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<li>
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<li>
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<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_market">
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<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_market">
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Wikipedia: Prediction markets
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Wikipedia: Prediction markets
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