Single source of truth for predict

common/envs/prod.ts

@@ -15,6 +15,9 @@ export type EnvConfig = {
 
   // Branding
   moneyMoniker: string // e.g. 'M$'
+  bettor?: string // e.g. 'bettor' or 'predictor'
+  presentBet?: string // e.g. 'bet' or 'predict'
+  pastBet?: string // e.g. 'bet' or 'prediction'
   faviconPath?: string // Should be a file in /public
   navbarLogoPath?: string
   newQuestionPlaceholders: string[]
@@ -79,6 +82,9 @@ export const PROD_CONFIG: EnvConfig = {
   visibility: 'PUBLIC',
 
   moneyMoniker: 'M$',
+  bettor: 'predictor',
+  pastBet: 'prediction',
+  presentBet: 'predict',
   navbarLogoPath: '',
   faviconPath: '/favicon.ico',
   newQuestionPlaceholders: [

common/txn.ts

@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ type AnyTxnType =
   | Referral
   | UniqueBettorBonus
   | BettingStreakBonus
+  | CancelUniqueBettorBonus
 type SourceType = 'USER' | 'CONTRACT' | 'CHARITY' | 'BANK'
 
 export type Txn<T extends AnyTxnType = AnyTxnType> = {
@@ -29,6 +30,7 @@ export type Txn<T extends AnyTxnType = AnyTxnType> = {
     | 'REFERRAL'
     | 'UNIQUE_BETTOR_BONUS'
     | 'BETTING_STREAK_BONUS'
+    | 'CANCEL_UNIQUE_BETTOR_BONUS'
 
   // Any extra data
   data?: { [key: string]: any }
@@ -89,9 +91,19 @@ type BettingStreakBonus = {
   }
 }
 
+type CancelUniqueBettorBonus = {
+  fromType: 'USER'
+  toType: 'BANK'
+  category: 'CANCEL_UNIQUE_BETTOR_BONUS'
+  data: {
+    contractId: string
+  }
+}
+
 export type DonationTxn = Txn & Donation
 export type TipTxn = Txn & Tip
 export type ManalinkTxn = Txn & Manalink
 export type ReferralTxn = Txn & Referral
 export type BettingStreakBonusTxn = Txn & BettingStreakBonus
 export type UniqueBettorBonusTxn = Txn & UniqueBettorBonus
+export type CancelUniqueBettorBonusTxn = Txn & CancelUniqueBettorBonus

common/user.ts

@@ -1,4 +1,5 @@
 import { notification_preferences } from './user-notification-preferences'
+import { ENV_CONFIG } from 'common/envs/constants'
 
 export type User = {
   id: string
@@ -83,3 +84,10 @@ export type PortfolioMetrics = {
 
 export const MANIFOLD_USERNAME = 'ManifoldMarkets'
 export const MANIFOLD_AVATAR_URL = 'https://manifold.markets/logo-bg-white.png'
+
+export const BETTOR = ENV_CONFIG.bettor ?? 'bettor' // aka predictor
+export const BETTORS = ENV_CONFIG.bettor + 's' ?? 'bettors'
+export const PRESENT_BET = ENV_CONFIG.presentBet ?? 'bet' // aka predict
+export const PRESENT_BETS = ENV_CONFIG.presentBet + 's' ?? 'bets'
+export const PAST_BET = ENV_CONFIG.pastBet ?? 'bet' // aka prediction
+export const PAST_BETS = ENV_CONFIG.pastBet + 's' ?? 'bets' // aka predictions

common/util/format.ts

@@ -16,6 +16,10 @@ export function formatMoneyWithDecimals(amount: number) {
   return ENV_CONFIG.moneyMoniker + amount.toFixed(2)
 }
 
+export function capitalFirst(s: string) {
+  return s.charAt(0).toUpperCase() + s.slice(1)
+}
+
 export function formatWithCommas(amount: number) {
   return formatter.format(Math.floor(amount)).replace('$', '')
 }

web/components/bet-button.tsx

@@ -10,6 +10,7 @@ import { useSaveBinaryShares } from './use-save-binary-shares'
 import { Col } from './layout/col'
 import { Button } from 'web/components/button'
 import { BetSignUpPrompt } from './sign-up-prompt'
+import { PRESENT_BET } from 'common/user'
 
 /** Button that opens BetPanel in a new modal */
 export default function BetButton(props: {
@@ -36,12 +37,12 @@ export default function BetButton(props: {
           <Button
             size="lg"
             className={clsx(
-              'my-auto inline-flex min-w-[75px] whitespace-nowrap',
+              'my-auto inline-flex min-w-[75px] whitespace-nowrap capitalize',
               btnClassName
             )}
             onClick={() => setOpen(true)}
           >
-            Predict
+            {PRESENT_BET}
           </Button>
         ) : (
           <BetSignUpPrompt />

web/components/contract-search.tsx

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ import algoliasearch from 'algoliasearch/lite'
 import { SearchOptions } from '@algolia/client-search'
 import { useRouter } from 'next/router'
 import { Contract } from 'common/contract'
-import { User } from 'common/user'
+import { PAST_BETS, User } from 'common/user'
 import {
   ContractHighlightOptions,
   ContractsGrid,
@@ -41,7 +41,7 @@ const searchIndexName = ENV === 'DEV' ? 'dev-contracts' : 'contractsIndex'
 export const SORTS = [
   { label: 'Newest', value: 'newest' },
   { label: 'Trending', value: 'score' },
-  { label: 'Most traded', value: 'most-traded' },
+  { label: `Most ${PAST_BETS}`, value: 'most-traded' },
   { label: '24h volume', value: '24-hour-vol' },
   { label: '24h change', value: 'prob-change-day' },
   { label: 'Last updated', value: 'last-updated' },
@@ -450,7 +450,7 @@ function ContractSearchControls(props: {
               selected={state.pillFilter === 'your-bets'}
               onSelect={selectPill('your-bets')}
             >
-              Your trades
+              Your {PAST_BETS}
             </PillButton>
           )}
 

web/components/contract/contract-info-dialog.tsx

@@ -18,6 +18,7 @@ import { deleteField } from 'firebase/firestore'
 import ShortToggle from '../widgets/short-toggle'
 import { DuplicateContractButton } from '../copy-contract-button'
 import { Row } from '../layout/row'
+import { BETTORS } from 'common/user'
 
 export const contractDetailsButtonClassName =
   'group flex items-center rounded-md px-3 py-2 text-sm font-medium cursor-pointer hover:bg-gray-100 text-gray-400 hover:text-gray-500'
@@ -135,7 +136,7 @@ export function ContractInfoDialog(props: {
               </tr> */}
 
               <tr>
-                <td>Traders</td>
+                <td>{BETTORS}</td>
                 <td>{bettorsCount}</td>
               </tr>
 

web/components/contract/contract-leaderboard.tsx

@@ -12,6 +12,7 @@ import { FeedComment } from '../feed/feed-comments'
 import { Spacer } from '../layout/spacer'
 import { Leaderboard } from '../leaderboard'
 import { Title } from '../title'
+import { BETTORS } from 'common/user'
 
 export function ContractLeaderboard(props: {
   contract: Contract
@@ -48,7 +49,7 @@ export function ContractLeaderboard(props: {
 
   return users && users.length > 0 ? (
     <Leaderboard
-      title="🏅 Top traders"
+      title={`🏅 Top ${BETTORS}`}
       users={users || []}
       columns={[
         {

web/components/contract/contract-tabs.tsx

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 import { Bet } from 'common/bet'
 import { Contract, CPMMBinaryContract } from 'common/contract'
 import { ContractComment } from 'common/comment'
-import { User } from 'common/user'
+import { PAST_BETS, User } from 'common/user'
 import {
   ContractCommentsActivity,
   ContractBetsActivity,
@@ -114,13 +114,13 @@ export function ContractTabs(props: {
             badge: `${comments.length}`,
           },
           {
-            title: 'Trades',
+            title: PAST_BETS,
             content: betActivity,
             badge: `${visibleBets.length}`,
           },
           ...(!user || !userBets?.length
             ? []
-            : [{ title: 'Your trades', content: yourTrades }]),
+            : [{ title: `Your ${PAST_BETS}`, content: yourTrades }]),
         ]}
       />
       {!user ? (

web/components/feed/feed-bets.tsx

@@ -14,6 +14,7 @@ import { SiteLink } from 'web/components/site-link'
 import { getChallenge, getChallengeUrl } from 'web/lib/firebase/challenges'
 import { Challenge } from 'common/challenge'
 import { UserLink } from 'web/components/user-link'
+import { BETTOR } from 'common/user'
 
 export function FeedBet(props: { contract: Contract; bet: Bet }) {
   const { contract, bet } = props
@@ -94,7 +95,7 @@ export function BetStatusText(props: {
       {!hideUser ? (
         <UserLink name={bet.userName} username={bet.userUsername} />
       ) : (
-        <span>{self?.id === bet.userId ? 'You' : 'A trader'}</span>
+        <span>{self?.id === bet.userId ? 'You' : `A ${BETTOR}`}</span>
       )}{' '}
       {bought} {money}
       {outOfTotalAmount}

web/components/feed/feed-comments.tsx

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 import { Bet } from 'common/bet'
 import { ContractComment } from 'common/comment'
-import { User } from 'common/user'
+import { PRESENT_BET, User } from 'common/user'
 import { Contract } from 'common/contract'
 import React, { useEffect, useState } from 'react'
 import { minBy, maxBy, partition, sumBy, Dictionary } from 'lodash'
@@ -255,7 +255,7 @@ function CommentStatus(props: {
   const { contract, outcome, prob } = props
   return (
     <>
-      {' betting '}
+      {` ${PRESENT_BET}ing `}
       <OutcomeLabel outcome={outcome} contract={contract} truncate="short" />
       {prob && ' at ' + Math.round(prob * 100) + '%'}
     </>

web/components/feed/feed-liquidity.tsx

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 import clsx from 'clsx'
 import dayjs from 'dayjs'
-import { User } from 'common/user'
+import { BETTOR, User } from 'common/user'
 import { useUser, useUserById } from 'web/hooks/use-user'
 import { Row } from 'web/components/layout/row'
 import { Avatar, EmptyAvatar } from 'web/components/avatar'
@@ -74,7 +74,7 @@ export function LiquidityStatusText(props: {
       {bettor ? (
         <UserLink name={bettor.name} username={bettor.username} />
       ) : (
-        <span>{isSelf ? 'You' : 'A trader'}</span>
+        <span>{isSelf ? 'You' : `A ${BETTOR}`}</span>
       )}{' '}
       {bought} a subsidy of {money}
       <RelativeTimestamp time={createdTime} />

web/components/liquidity-panel.tsx

@@ -13,6 +13,7 @@ import { NoLabel, YesLabel } from './outcome-label'
 import { Col } from './layout/col'
 import { track } from 'web/lib/service/analytics'
 import { InfoTooltip } from './info-tooltip'
+import { BETTORS, PRESENT_BET } from 'common/user'
 
 export function LiquidityPanel(props: { contract: CPMMContract }) {
   const { contract } = props
@@ -104,7 +105,9 @@ function AddLiquidityPanel(props: { contract: CPMMContract }) {
     <>
       <div className="mb-4 text-gray-500">
         Contribute your M$ to make this market more accurate.{' '}
-        <InfoTooltip text="More liquidity stabilizes the market, encouraging traders to bet. You can withdraw your subsidy at any time." />
+        <InfoTooltip
+          text={`More liquidity stabilizes the market, encouraging ${BETTORS} to ${PRESENT_BET}. You can withdraw your subsidy at any time.`}
+        />
       </div>
 
       <Row>

web/components/nav/nav-bar.tsx

@@ -17,6 +17,7 @@ import { useRouter } from 'next/router'
 import NotificationsIcon from 'web/components/notifications-icon'
 import { useIsIframe } from 'web/hooks/use-is-iframe'
 import { trackCallback } from 'web/lib/service/analytics'
+import { PAST_BETS } from 'common/user'
 
 function getNavigation() {
   return [
@@ -64,7 +65,7 @@ export function BottomNavBar() {
           item={{
             name: formatMoney(user.balance),
             trackingEventName: 'profile',
-            href: `/${user.username}?tab=trades`,
+            href: `/${user.username}?tab=${PAST_BETS}`,
             icon: () => (
               <Avatar
                 className="mx-auto my-1"

web/components/nav/profile-menu.tsx

@@ -4,11 +4,12 @@ import { User } from 'web/lib/firebase/users'
 import { formatMoney } from 'common/util/format'
 import { Avatar } from '../avatar'
 import { trackCallback } from 'web/lib/service/analytics'
+import { PAST_BETS } from 'common/user'
 
 export function ProfileSummary(props: { user: User }) {
   const { user } = props
   return (
-    <Link href={`/${user.username}?tab=trades`}>
+    <Link href={`/${user.username}?tab=${PAST_BETS}`}>
       <a
         onClick={trackCallback('sidebar: profile')}
         className="group mb-3 flex flex-row items-center gap-4 truncate rounded-md py-3 text-gray-500 hover:bg-gray-100 hover:text-gray-700"

web/components/numeric-resolution-panel.tsx

@@ -10,6 +10,7 @@ import { NumericContract, PseudoNumericContract } from 'common/contract'
 import { APIError, resolveMarket } from 'web/lib/firebase/api'
 import { BucketInput } from './bucket-input'
 import { getPseudoProbability } from 'common/pseudo-numeric'
+import { BETTOR, BETTORS, PAST_BETS } from 'common/user'
 
 export function NumericResolutionPanel(props: {
   isAdmin: boolean
@@ -111,9 +112,12 @@ export function NumericResolutionPanel(props: {
 
       <div>
         {outcome === 'CANCEL' ? (
-          <>All trades will be returned with no fees.</>
+          <>
+            All {PAST_BETS} will be returned. Unique {BETTOR} bonuses will be
+            withdrawn from your account
+          </>
         ) : (
-          <>Resolving this market will immediately pay out traders.</>
+          <>Resolving this market will immediately pay out {BETTORS}.</>
         )}
       </div>
 

web/components/profile/loans-modal.tsx

@@ -1,5 +1,6 @@
 import { Modal } from 'web/components/layout/modal'
 import { Col } from 'web/components/layout/col'
+import { PAST_BETS } from 'common/user'
 
 export function LoansModal(props: {
   isOpen: boolean
@@ -11,7 +12,7 @@ export function LoansModal(props: {
     <Modal open={isOpen} setOpen={setOpen}>
       <Col className="items-center gap-4 rounded-md bg-white px-8 py-6">
         <span className={'text-8xl'}>🏦</span>
-        <span className="text-xl">Daily loans on your trades</span>
+        <span className="text-xl">Daily loans on your {PAST_BETS}</span>
         <Col className={'gap-2'}>
           <span className={'text-indigo-700'}>• What are daily loans?</span>
           <span className={'ml-2'}>

web/components/resolution-panel.tsx

@@ -10,6 +10,7 @@ import { APIError, resolveMarket } from 'web/lib/firebase/api'
 import { ProbabilitySelector } from './probability-selector'
 import { getProbability } from 'common/calculate'
 import { BinaryContract, resolution } from 'common/contract'
+import { BETTOR, BETTORS, PAST_BETS } from 'common/user'
 
 export function ResolutionPanel(props: {
   isAdmin: boolean
@@ -90,23 +91,28 @@ export function ResolutionPanel(props: {
       <div>
         {outcome === 'YES' ? (
           <>
-            Winnings will be paid out to traders who bought YES.
+            Winnings will be paid out to {BETTORS} who bought YES.
             {/* <br />
             <br />
             You will earn {earnedFees}. */}
           </>
         ) : outcome === 'NO' ? (
           <>
-            Winnings will be paid out to traders who bought NO.
+            Winnings will be paid out to {BETTORS} who bought NO.
             {/* <br />
             <br />
             You will earn {earnedFees}. */}
           </>
         ) : outcome === 'CANCEL' ? (
-          <>All trades will be returned with no fees.</>
+          <>
+            All {PAST_BETS} will be returned. Unique {BETTOR} bonuses will be
+            withdrawn from your account
+          </>
         ) : outcome === 'MKT' ? (
           <Col className="gap-6">
-            <div>Traders will be paid out at the probability you specify:</div>
+            <div>
+              {PAST_BETS} will be paid out at the probability you specify:
+            </div>
             <ProbabilitySelector
               probabilityInt={Math.round(prob)}
               setProbabilityInt={setProb}
@@ -114,7 +120,7 @@ export function ResolutionPanel(props: {
             {/* You will earn {earnedFees}. */}
           </Col>
         ) : (
-          <>Resolving this market will immediately pay out traders.</>
+          <>Resolving this market will immediately pay out {BETTORS}.</>
         )}
       </div>
 

web/components/user-page.tsx

@@ -25,7 +25,7 @@ import { UserFollowButton } from './follow-button'
 import { GroupsButton } from 'web/components/groups/groups-button'
 import { PortfolioValueSection } from './portfolio/portfolio-value-section'
 import { ReferralsButton } from 'web/components/referrals-button'
-import { formatMoney } from 'common/util/format'
+import { capitalFirst, formatMoney } from 'common/util/format'
 import { ShareIconButton } from 'web/components/share-icon-button'
 import { ENV_CONFIG } from 'common/envs/constants'
 import {
@@ -35,6 +35,7 @@ import {
 import { REFERRAL_AMOUNT } from 'common/economy'
 import { LoansModal } from './profile/loans-modal'
 import { UserLikesButton } from 'web/components/profile/user-likes-button'
+import { PAST_BETS } from 'common/user'
 
 export function UserPage(props: { user: User }) {
   const { user } = props
@@ -269,7 +270,7 @@ export function UserPage(props: { user: User }) {
               ),
             },
             {
-              title: 'Trades',
+              title: capitalFirst(PAST_BETS),
               content: (
                 <>
                   <BetsList user={user} />

web/pages/contract-search-firestore.tsx

@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ import {
   usePersistentState,
   urlParamStore,
 } from 'web/hooks/use-persistent-state'
+import { PAST_BETS } from 'common/user'
 
 const MAX_CONTRACTS_RENDERED = 100
 
@@ -101,7 +102,7 @@ export default function ContractSearchFirestore(props: {
         >
           <option value="score">Trending</option>
           <option value="newest">Newest</option>
-          <option value="most-traded">Most traded</option>
+          <option value="most-traded">Most ${PAST_BETS}</option>
           <option value="24-hour-vol">24h volume</option>
           <option value="close-date">Closing soon</option>
         </select>

web/pages/group/[...slugs]/index.tsx

@@ -50,6 +50,7 @@ import { usePost } from 'web/hooks/use-post'
 import { useAdmin } from 'web/hooks/use-admin'
 import { track } from '@amplitude/analytics-browser'
 import { SelectMarketsModal } from 'web/components/contract-select-modal'
+import { BETTORS } from 'common/user'
 
 export const getStaticProps = fromPropz(getStaticPropz)
 export async function getStaticPropz(props: { params: { slugs: string[] } }) {
@@ -155,7 +156,7 @@ export default function GroupPage(props: {
       <div className="mt-4 flex flex-col gap-8 px-4 md:flex-row">
         <GroupLeaderboard
           topUsers={topTraders}
-          title="🏅 Top traders"
+          title={`🏅 Top ${BETTORS}`}
           header="Profit"
           maxToShow={maxLeaderboardSize}
         />

web/pages/leaderboards.tsx

@@ -14,6 +14,7 @@ import { Title } from 'web/components/title'
 import { Tabs } from 'web/components/layout/tabs'
 import { useTracking } from 'web/hooks/use-tracking'
 import { SEO } from 'web/components/SEO'
+import { BETTORS } from 'common/user'
 
 export async function getStaticProps() {
   const props = await fetchProps()
@@ -79,7 +80,7 @@ export default function Leaderboards(_props: {
       <>
         <Col className="mx-4 items-center gap-10 lg:flex-row">
           <Leaderboard
-            title="🏅 Top traders"
+            title={`🏅 Top ${BETTORS}`}
             users={topTraders}
             columns={[
               {
@@ -126,7 +127,7 @@ export default function Leaderboards(_props: {
     <Page>
       <SEO
         title="Leaderboards"
-        description="Manifold's leaderboards show the top traders and market creators."
+        description={`Manifold's leaderboards show the top ${BETTORS} and market creators.`}
         url="/leaderboards"
       />
       <Title text={'Leaderboards'} className={'hidden md:block'} />

web/pages/stats.tsx

@@ -13,6 +13,7 @@ import { SiteLink } from 'web/components/site-link'
 import { Linkify } from 'web/components/linkify'
 import { getStats } from 'web/lib/firebase/stats'
 import { Stats } from 'common/stats'
+import { PAST_BETS } from 'common/user'
 
 export default function Analytics() {
   const [stats, setStats] = useState<Stats | undefined>(undefined)
@@ -156,7 +157,7 @@ export function CustomAnalytics(props: {
         defaultIndex={0}
         tabs={[
           {
-            title: 'Trades',
+            title: PAST_BETS,
             content: (
               <DailyCountChart
                 dailyCounts={dailyBetCounts}