manifold/common/calculate-dpm.ts

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Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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import * as _ from 'lodash'
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import { Bet } from './bet'
import { Binary, DPM, FullContract } from './contract'
import { DPM_FEES } from './fees'
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export function getDpmProbability(totalShares: { [outcome: string]: number }) {
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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// For binary contracts only.
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return getDpmOutcomeProbability(totalShares, 'YES')
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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}
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export function getDpmOutcomeProbability(
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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totalShares: {
[outcome: string]: number
},
outcome: string
) {
const squareSum = _.sumBy(Object.values(totalShares), (shares) => shares ** 2)
const shares = totalShares[outcome] ?? 0
return shares ** 2 / squareSum
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}
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export function getDpmOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet(
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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totalShares: {
[outcome: string]: number
},
outcome: string,
bet: number
) {
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const shares = calculateDpmShares(totalShares, bet, outcome)
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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const prevShares = totalShares[outcome] ?? 0
const newTotalShares = { ...totalShares, [outcome]: prevShares + shares }
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return getDpmOutcomeProbability(newTotalShares, outcome)
}
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export function getDpmProbabilityAfterSale(
totalShares: {
[outcome: string]: number
},
outcome: string,
shares: number
) {
const prevShares = totalShares[outcome] ?? 0
const newTotalShares = { ...totalShares, [outcome]: prevShares - shares }
const predictionOutcome = outcome === 'NO' ? 'YES' : outcome
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return getDpmOutcomeProbability(newTotalShares, predictionOutcome)
}
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export function calculateDpmShares(
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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totalShares: {
[outcome: string]: number
},
bet: number,
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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betChoice: string
) {
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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const squareSum = _.sumBy(Object.values(totalShares), (shares) => shares ** 2)
const shares = totalShares[betChoice] ?? 0
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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const c = 2 * bet * Math.sqrt(squareSum)
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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return Math.sqrt(bet ** 2 + shares ** 2 + c) - shares
}
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export function calculateDpmRawShareValue(
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 23:00:19 +00:00
totalShares: {
[outcome: string]: number
},
shares: number,
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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betChoice: string
) {
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 23:00:19 +00:00
const currentValue = Math.sqrt(
_.sumBy(Object.values(totalShares), (shares) => shares ** 2)
)
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 23:00:19 +00:00
const postSaleValue = Math.sqrt(
_.sumBy(Object.keys(totalShares), (outcome) =>
outcome === betChoice
? Math.max(0, totalShares[outcome] - shares) ** 2
: totalShares[outcome] ** 2
)
)
return currentValue - postSaleValue
}
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export function calculateDpmMoneyRatio(
contract: FullContract<DPM, any>,
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bet: Bet,
shareValue: number
) {
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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const { totalShares, totalBets, pool } = contract
const { outcome, amount } = bet
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const p = getDpmOutcomeProbability(totalShares, outcome)
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 23:00:19 +00:00
const actual = _.sum(Object.values(pool)) - shareValue
2022-01-15 06:11:27 +00:00
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 23:00:19 +00:00
const betAmount = p * amount
const expected =
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 23:00:19 +00:00
_.sumBy(
Object.keys(totalBets),
(outcome) =>
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getDpmOutcomeProbability(totalShares, outcome) *
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 23:00:19 +00:00
(totalBets as { [outcome: string]: number })[outcome]
) - betAmount
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if (actual <= 0 || expected <= 0) return 0
return actual / expected
}
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export function calculateDpmShareValue(
contract: FullContract<DPM, any>,
bet: Bet
) {
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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const { pool, totalShares } = contract
const { shares, outcome } = bet
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const shareValue = calculateDpmRawShareValue(totalShares, shares, outcome)
const f = calculateDpmMoneyRatio(contract, bet, shareValue)
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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const myPool = pool[outcome]
const adjShareValue = Math.min(Math.min(1, f) * shareValue, myPool)
return adjShareValue
}
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export function calculateDpmSaleAmount(
contract: FullContract<DPM, any>,
bet: Bet
) {
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const { amount } = bet
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const winnings = calculateDpmShareValue(contract, bet)
return deductDpmFees(amount, winnings)
}
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export function calculateDpmPayout(
contract: FullContract<DPM, any>,
bet: Bet,
outcome: string
) {
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if (outcome === 'CANCEL') return calculateDpmCancelPayout(contract, bet)
if (outcome === 'MKT') return calculateMktDpmPayout(contract, bet)
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return calculateStandardDpmPayout(contract, bet, outcome)
}
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export function calculateDpmCancelPayout(
contract: FullContract<DPM, any>,
bet: Bet
) {
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 23:00:19 +00:00
const { totalBets, pool } = contract
const betTotal = _.sum(Object.values(totalBets))
const poolTotal = _.sum(Object.values(pool))
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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return (bet.amount / betTotal) * poolTotal
}
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export function calculateStandardDpmPayout(
contract: FullContract<DPM, any>,
bet: Bet,
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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outcome: string
) {
const { amount, outcome: betOutcome, shares } = bet
if (betOutcome !== outcome) return 0
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 23:00:19 +00:00
const { totalShares, phantomShares, pool } = contract
if (!totalShares[outcome]) return 0
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 23:00:19 +00:00
const poolTotal = _.sum(Object.values(pool))
const total =
totalShares[outcome] - (phantomShares ? phantomShares[outcome] : 0)
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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const winnings = (shares / total) * poolTotal
// profit can be negative if using phantom shares
return amount + (1 - DPM_FEES) * Math.max(0, winnings - amount)
}
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export function calculateDpmPayoutAfterCorrectBet(
contract: FullContract<DPM, any>,
bet: Bet
) {
const { totalShares, pool, totalBets } = contract
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 23:00:19 +00:00
const { shares, amount, outcome } = bet
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 23:00:19 +00:00
const prevShares = totalShares[outcome] ?? 0
const prevPool = pool[outcome] ?? 0
const prevTotalBet = totalBets[outcome] ?? 0
const newContract = {
...contract,
totalShares: {
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 23:00:19 +00:00
...totalShares,
[outcome]: prevShares + shares,
},
pool: {
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 23:00:19 +00:00
...pool,
[outcome]: prevPool + amount,
},
totalBets: {
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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...totalBets,
[outcome]: prevTotalBet + amount,
},
}
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return calculateStandardDpmPayout(newContract, bet, outcome)
}
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function calculateMktDpmPayout(contract: FullContract<DPM, any>, bet: Bet) {
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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if (contract.outcomeType === 'BINARY')
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return calculateBinaryMktDpmPayout(contract, bet)
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 23:00:19 +00:00
const { totalShares, pool } = contract
const totalPool = _.sum(Object.values(pool))
const sharesSquareSum = _.sumBy(
Object.values(totalShares) as number[],
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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(shares) => shares ** 2
)
const weightedShareTotal = _.sumBy(Object.keys(totalShares), (outcome) => {
// Avoid O(n^2) by reusing sharesSquareSum for prob.
const shares = totalShares[outcome]
const prob = shares ** 2 / sharesSquareSum
return prob * shares
})
const { outcome, amount, shares } = bet
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const betP = getDpmOutcomeProbability(totalShares, outcome)
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 23:00:19 +00:00
const winnings = ((betP * shares) / weightedShareTotal) * totalPool
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return deductDpmFees(amount, winnings)
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 23:00:19 +00:00
}
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function calculateBinaryMktDpmPayout(
contract: FullContract<DPM, Binary>,
bet: Bet
) {
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
2022-02-17 23:00:19 +00:00
const { resolutionProbability, totalShares, phantomShares } = contract
const p =
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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resolutionProbability !== undefined
? resolutionProbability
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: getDpmProbability(totalShares)
const pool = contract.pool.YES + contract.pool.NO
const weightedShareTotal =
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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p * (totalShares.YES - (phantomShares?.YES ?? 0)) +
(1 - p) * (totalShares.NO - (phantomShares?.NO ?? 0))
const { outcome, amount, shares } = bet
const betP = outcome === 'YES' ? p : 1 - p
const winnings = ((betP * shares) / weightedShareTotal) * pool
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return deductDpmFees(amount, winnings)
}
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export function resolvedDpmPayout(contract: FullContract<DPM, any>, bet: Bet) {
if (contract.resolution)
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return calculateDpmPayout(contract, bet, contract.resolution)
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throw new Error('Contract was not resolved')
}
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export const deductDpmFees = (betAmount: number, winnings: number) => {
return winnings > betAmount
? betAmount + (1 - DPM_FEES) * (winnings - betAmount)
: winnings
}
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export const calcDpmInitialPool = (
initialProbInt: number,
ante: number,
phantomAnte: number
) => {
const p = initialProbInt / 100.0
const totalAnte = phantomAnte + ante
const sharesYes = Math.sqrt(p * totalAnte ** 2)
const sharesNo = Math.sqrt(totalAnte ** 2 - sharesYes ** 2)
const poolYes = p * ante
const poolNo = (1 - p) * ante
const phantomYes = Math.sqrt(p) * phantomAnte
const phantomNo = Math.sqrt(1 - p) * phantomAnte
return { sharesYes, sharesNo, poolYes, poolNo, phantomYes, phantomNo }
}