manifold/common/payouts.ts

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import { sumBy, groupBy, mapValues } from 'lodash'
Numeric range markets!! (#146) * Numeric contract type * Create market numeric type * Add numeric graph (coded without testing) * Outline of numeric bet panel * Update bet panel logic * create numeric contracts * remove batching for antes for numeric markets * Remove focus * numeric market range [1, 100] * Zoom graph * Hide bet panels * getNumericBets * Add numeric resolution panel * Use getNumericBets in bet panel calc * Switch bucket count to 100 * Parallelize ante creation * placeBet for numeric markets * halve std of numeric bets * Update resolveMarket with numeric type * Set min and max for contract * lower std for numeric bets * calculateNumericDpmShares: use sorted order * Use min and max to map the input * Fix probability calc * normpdf variance mislabeled * range input * merge * change numeric graph color * fix getNewContract params * bet panel labels * validation * number input * fix bucketing * bucket input, numeric resolution panel * outcome label * merge * numeric bet panel on mobile * Make text underneath filled green answer bar selectable * Default to 'all' feed category when loading page. * fix numeric resolution panel * fix numeric bet panel calculations * display numeric resolution * don't render NumericBetPanel for non numeric markets * numeric bets: store shares, bet amounts across buckets in each bet object * restore your bets for numeric markets * numeric pnl calculations * remove hasUserHitManaLimit * contrain contract type * handle undefined allOutcomeShares * numeric ante bet amount * use correct amount for numeric dpm payouts * change numeric graph/outcome color * numeric constants * hack to show correct numeric payout in calculateDpmPayoutAfterCorrectBet * remove comment * fix ante display in bet list * halve bucket count * cast to NumericContract * fix merge imports * OUTCOME_TYPES * typo * lower bucket count to 200 * store raw numeric value with bet * store raw numeric resolution value * number input max length * create page: min, max to undefined if not numeric market * numeric resolution formatting * expected value for numeric markets * expected value for numeric markets * rearrange lines for readability * move normalpdf to util/math * show bets tab * check if outcomeMode is undefined * remove extraneous auto-merge cruft * hide comment status for numeric markets * import Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com>
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import { Bet, NumericBet } from './bet'
import { Contract, CPMMBinaryContract, DPMContract } from './contract'
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
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import { Fees } from './fees'
import { LiquidityProvision } from './liquidity-provision'
import {
getDpmCancelPayouts,
getDpmMktPayouts,
getDpmStandardPayouts,
Numeric range markets!! (#146) * Numeric contract type * Create market numeric type * Add numeric graph (coded without testing) * Outline of numeric bet panel * Update bet panel logic * create numeric contracts * remove batching for antes for numeric markets * Remove focus * numeric market range [1, 100] * Zoom graph * Hide bet panels * getNumericBets * Add numeric resolution panel * Use getNumericBets in bet panel calc * Switch bucket count to 100 * Parallelize ante creation * placeBet for numeric markets * halve std of numeric bets * Update resolveMarket with numeric type * Set min and max for contract * lower std for numeric bets * calculateNumericDpmShares: use sorted order * Use min and max to map the input * Fix probability calc * normpdf variance mislabeled * range input * merge * change numeric graph color * fix getNewContract params * bet panel labels * validation * number input * fix bucketing * bucket input, numeric resolution panel * outcome label * merge * numeric bet panel on mobile * Make text underneath filled green answer bar selectable * Default to 'all' feed category when loading page. * fix numeric resolution panel * fix numeric bet panel calculations * display numeric resolution * don't render NumericBetPanel for non numeric markets * numeric bets: store shares, bet amounts across buckets in each bet object * restore your bets for numeric markets * numeric pnl calculations * remove hasUserHitManaLimit * contrain contract type * handle undefined allOutcomeShares * numeric ante bet amount * use correct amount for numeric dpm payouts * change numeric graph/outcome color * numeric constants * hack to show correct numeric payout in calculateDpmPayoutAfterCorrectBet * remove comment * fix ante display in bet list * halve bucket count * cast to NumericContract * fix merge imports * OUTCOME_TYPES * typo * lower bucket count to 200 * store raw numeric value with bet * store raw numeric resolution value * number input max length * create page: min, max to undefined if not numeric market * numeric resolution formatting * expected value for numeric markets * expected value for numeric markets * rearrange lines for readability * move normalpdf to util/math * show bets tab * check if outcomeMode is undefined * remove extraneous auto-merge cruft * hide comment status for numeric markets * import Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com>
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getNumericDpmPayouts,
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
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getPayoutsMultiOutcome,
} from './payouts-dpm'
import {
getFixedCancelPayouts,
getMktFixedPayouts,
getStandardFixedPayouts,
} from './payouts-fixed'
export type Payout = {
userId: string
payout: number
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}
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Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
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export const getLoanPayouts = (bets: Bet[]): Payout[] => {
const betsWithLoans = bets.filter((bet) => bet.loanAmount)
const betsByUser = groupBy(betsWithLoans, (bet) => bet.userId)
const loansByUser = mapValues(betsByUser, (bets) =>
sumBy(bets, (bet) => -(bet.loanAmount ?? 0))
)
return Object.entries(loansByUser).map(([userId, payout]) => ({
userId,
payout,
}))
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}
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export const groupPayoutsByUser = (payouts: Payout[]) => {
const groups = groupBy(payouts, (payout) => payout.userId)
return mapValues(groups, (group) => sumBy(group, (g) => g.payout))
}
export type PayoutInfo = {
payouts: Payout[]
creatorPayout: number
liquidityPayouts: Payout[]
collectedFees: Fees
}
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
2022-03-15 22:27:51 +00:00
export const getPayouts = (
outcome: string | undefined,
contract: Contract,
bets: Bet[],
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
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liquidities: LiquidityProvision[],
resolutions?: {
[outcome: string]: number
},
resolutionProbability?: number
): PayoutInfo => {
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
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if (contract.mechanism === 'cpmm-1' && contract.outcomeType === 'BINARY') {
return getFixedPayouts(
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
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outcome,
contract,
bets,
liquidities,
resolutionProbability
)
}
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return getDpmPayouts(
outcome,
contract,
bets,
resolutions,
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resolutionProbability
)
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}
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Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
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export const getFixedPayouts = (
outcome: string | undefined,
contract: CPMMBinaryContract,
bets: Bet[],
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
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liquidities: LiquidityProvision[],
resolutionProbability?: number
) => {
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switch (outcome) {
case 'YES':
case 'NO':
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
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return getStandardFixedPayouts(outcome, contract, bets, liquidities)
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case 'MKT':
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
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return getMktFixedPayouts(
contract,
bets,
liquidities,
resolutionProbability
)
Free response (#47) * Answer datatype and MULTI outcome type for Contract * Create free answer contract * Automatically sort Tailwind classes with Prettier (#45) * Add Prettier Tailwind plugin * Autoformat Tailwind classes with Prettier * Allow for non-binary contracts in contract page and related components * logo with white inside, transparent bg * Create answer * Some UI for showing answers * Answer bet panel * Convert rest of calcuate file to generic multi contracts * Working betting with ante'd NONE answer * Numbered answers. Layout & calculation tweaks * Can bet. More layout tweaks! * Resolve answer UI * Resolve multi market * Resolved market UI * Fix feed and cards for multi contracts * Sell bets. Various fixes * Tweaks for trades page * Always dev mode * Create answer bet has isAnte: true * Fix card showing 0% for multi contracts * Fix grouped bets feed for multi outcomes * None option converted to none of the above label at bottom of list. Button to resolve none. * Tweaks to no answers yet, resolve button layout * Show ante bets on new answers in the feed * Update placeholder text for description * Consolidate firestore rules for subcollections * Remove Contract and Bet type params. Use string type for outcomes. * Increase char limit to 10k for answers. Preserve line breaks. * Don't show resolve options after answer chosen * Fix type error in script * Remove NONE resolution option * Change outcomeType to include 'MULTI' and 'FREE_RESPONSE' * Show bet probability change and payout when creating answer * User info change: also change answers * Append answers to contract field 'answers' * sort trades by resolved * Don't include trailing !:,.; in links * Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney * Revert "Stop flooring inputs into formatMoney" This reverts commit 2f7ab1842916bc903e60231cbf45b934db2f2658. * Consistently floor user.balance * Expand create panel on focus From Richard Hanania's feedback * welcome email: include link to manifold * Fix home page in dev on branches that are not free-response * Close emails (#50) * script init for stephen dev * market close emails * order of operations * template email * sendMarketCloseEmail: handle unsubscribe * remove debugging * marketCloseEmails: every hour * sendMarketCloseEmails: check undefined * marketCloseEmails: "every hour" => "every 1 hours" * Set up a read API using Vercel serverless functions (#49) * Set up read API using Vercel serverless functions Featuring: /api/v0/markets /api/v0/market/[contractId] /api/v0/slug/[contractSlug] * Include tags in API * Tweaks. Remove filter for only binary contract * Fix bet probability change for NO bets * Put back isProd calculation Co-authored-by: Austin Chen <akrolsmir@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: mantikoros <95266179+mantikoros@users.noreply.github.com>
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default:
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
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case 'CANCEL':
return getFixedCancelPayouts(bets, liquidities)
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}
}
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
2022-03-15 22:27:51 +00:00
export const getDpmPayouts = (
outcome: string | undefined,
contract: DPMContract,
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
2022-03-15 22:27:51 +00:00
bets: Bet[],
resolutions?: {
[outcome: string]: number
},
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
2022-03-15 22:27:51 +00:00
resolutionProbability?: number
): PayoutInfo => {
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
2022-03-15 22:27:51 +00:00
const openBets = bets.filter((b) => !b.isSold && !b.sale)
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
2022-03-15 22:27:51 +00:00
switch (outcome) {
case 'YES':
case 'NO':
return getDpmStandardPayouts(outcome, contract, openBets)
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
2022-03-15 22:27:51 +00:00
case 'MKT':
return contract.outcomeType === 'FREE_RESPONSE' // eslint-disable-next-line @typescript-eslint/no-non-null-assertion
? getPayoutsMultiOutcome(resolutions!, contract, openBets)
: getDpmMktPayouts(contract, openBets, resolutionProbability)
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
2022-03-15 22:27:51 +00:00
case 'CANCEL':
case undefined:
return getDpmCancelPayouts(contract, openBets)
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
2022-03-15 22:27:51 +00:00
default:
Numeric range markets!! (#146) * Numeric contract type * Create market numeric type * Add numeric graph (coded without testing) * Outline of numeric bet panel * Update bet panel logic * create numeric contracts * remove batching for antes for numeric markets * Remove focus * numeric market range [1, 100] * Zoom graph * Hide bet panels * getNumericBets * Add numeric resolution panel * Use getNumericBets in bet panel calc * Switch bucket count to 100 * Parallelize ante creation * placeBet for numeric markets * halve std of numeric bets * Update resolveMarket with numeric type * Set min and max for contract * lower std for numeric bets * calculateNumericDpmShares: use sorted order * Use min and max to map the input * Fix probability calc * normpdf variance mislabeled * range input * merge * change numeric graph color * fix getNewContract params * bet panel labels * validation * number input * fix bucketing * bucket input, numeric resolution panel * outcome label * merge * numeric bet panel on mobile * Make text underneath filled green answer bar selectable * Default to 'all' feed category when loading page. * fix numeric resolution panel * fix numeric bet panel calculations * display numeric resolution * don't render NumericBetPanel for non numeric markets * numeric bets: store shares, bet amounts across buckets in each bet object * restore your bets for numeric markets * numeric pnl calculations * remove hasUserHitManaLimit * contrain contract type * handle undefined allOutcomeShares * numeric ante bet amount * use correct amount for numeric dpm payouts * change numeric graph/outcome color * numeric constants * hack to show correct numeric payout in calculateDpmPayoutAfterCorrectBet * remove comment * fix ante display in bet list * halve bucket count * cast to NumericContract * fix merge imports * OUTCOME_TYPES * typo * lower bucket count to 200 * store raw numeric value with bet * store raw numeric resolution value * number input max length * create page: min, max to undefined if not numeric market * numeric resolution formatting * expected value for numeric markets * expected value for numeric markets * rearrange lines for readability * move normalpdf to util/math * show bets tab * check if outcomeMode is undefined * remove extraneous auto-merge cruft * hide comment status for numeric markets * import Co-authored-by: mantikoros <sgrugett@gmail.com>
2022-05-19 17:42:03 +00:00
if (contract.outcomeType === 'NUMERIC')
return getNumericDpmPayouts(outcome, contract, openBets as NumericBet[])
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
2022-03-15 22:27:51 +00:00
// Outcome is a free response answer id.
return getDpmStandardPayouts(outcome, contract, openBets)
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
2022-03-15 22:27:51 +00:00
}
}