2022-10-05 23:20:40 +00:00
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import { CPMMBinaryContract } from 'common/contract'
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2022-09-27 22:50:43 +00:00
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import { Col } from 'web/components/layout/col'
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2022-10-02 20:09:20 +00:00
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import { Spacer } from 'web/components/layout/spacer'
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2022-09-27 22:50:43 +00:00
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import { Page } from 'web/components/page'
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2022-10-05 23:20:40 +00:00
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import { SEO } from 'web/components/SEO'
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2022-09-27 22:50:43 +00:00
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import { Title } from 'web/components/title'
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import {
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StateElectionMarket,
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StateElectionMap,
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} from 'web/components/usa-map/state-election-map'
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2022-10-05 23:20:40 +00:00
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import { getContractFromSlug } from 'web/lib/firebase/contracts'
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2022-09-27 22:50:43 +00:00
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const senateMidterms: StateElectionMarket[] = [
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{
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state: 'AZ',
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creatorUsername: 'BTE',
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slug: 'will-blake-masters-win-the-arizona',
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isWinRepublican: true,
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},
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{
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state: 'OH',
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creatorUsername: 'BTE',
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slug: 'will-jd-vance-win-the-ohio-senate-s',
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isWinRepublican: true,
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},
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{
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state: 'WI',
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creatorUsername: 'BTE',
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slug: 'will-ron-johnson-be-reelected-in-th',
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isWinRepublican: true,
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},
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{
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state: 'FL',
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creatorUsername: 'BTE',
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slug: 'will-marco-rubio-be-reelected-to-th',
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isWinRepublican: true,
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},
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{
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state: 'PA',
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creatorUsername: 'MattP',
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slug: 'will-dr-oz-be-elected-to-the-us-sen',
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isWinRepublican: true,
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},
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{
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state: 'GA',
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creatorUsername: 'NcyRocks',
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slug: 'will-a-democrat-win-the-2022-us-sen-3d2432ba6d79',
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isWinRepublican: false,
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},
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{
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state: 'NV',
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creatorUsername: 'NcyRocks',
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slug: 'will-a-democrat-win-the-2022-us-sen',
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isWinRepublican: false,
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},
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{
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state: 'NC',
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creatorUsername: 'NcyRocks',
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slug: 'will-a-democrat-win-the-2022-us-sen-6f1a901e1fcf',
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isWinRepublican: false,
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},
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{
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state: 'NH',
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creatorUsername: 'NcyRocks',
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slug: 'will-a-democrat-win-the-2022-us-sen-23194a72f1b7',
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isWinRepublican: false,
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},
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{
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state: 'UT',
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creatorUsername: 'SG',
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slug: 'will-mike-lee-win-the-2022-utah-sen',
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isWinRepublican: true,
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},
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2022-09-30 06:30:45 +00:00
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{
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state: 'CO',
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creatorUsername: 'SG',
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slug: 'will-michael-bennet-win-the-2022-co',
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isWinRepublican: false,
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},
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2022-09-27 22:50:43 +00:00
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]
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2022-10-02 20:09:20 +00:00
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const governorMidterms: StateElectionMarket[] = [
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{
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state: 'TX',
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creatorUsername: 'LarsDoucet',
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slug: 'republicans-will-win-the-2022-texas',
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isWinRepublican: true,
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},
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{
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state: 'GA',
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creatorUsername: 'MattP',
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slug: 'will-stacey-abrams-win-the-2022-geo',
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isWinRepublican: false,
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},
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{
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state: 'FL',
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creatorUsername: 'Tetraspace',
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slug: 'if-charlie-crist-is-the-democratic',
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isWinRepublican: false,
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},
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{
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state: 'PA',
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creatorUsername: 'JonathanMast',
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slug: 'will-josh-shapiro-win-the-2022-penn',
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isWinRepublican: false,
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},
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{
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state: 'PA',
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creatorUsername: 'JonathanMast',
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slug: 'will-josh-shapiro-win-the-2022-penn',
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isWinRepublican: false,
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},
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{
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state: 'CO',
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creatorUsername: 'ScottLawrence',
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slug: 'will-jared-polis-be-reelected-as-co',
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isWinRepublican: false,
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},
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{
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state: 'OR',
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creatorUsername: 'Tetraspace',
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slug: 'if-tina-kotek-is-the-2022-democrati',
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isWinRepublican: false,
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},
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{
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state: 'MD',
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creatorUsername: 'Tetraspace',
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slug: 'if-wes-moore-is-the-2022-democratic',
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isWinRepublican: false,
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},
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{
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state: 'AK',
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creatorUsername: 'SG',
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slug: 'will-a-republican-win-the-2022-alas',
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isWinRepublican: true,
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},
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{
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state: 'AZ',
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creatorUsername: 'SG',
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slug: 'will-a-republican-win-the-2022-ariz',
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isWinRepublican: true,
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},
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{
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state: 'AZ',
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creatorUsername: 'SG',
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slug: 'will-a-republican-win-the-2022-ariz',
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isWinRepublican: true,
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},
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{
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state: 'WI',
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creatorUsername: 'SG',
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slug: 'will-a-democrat-win-the-2022-wiscon',
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isWinRepublican: false,
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},
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{
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state: 'NV',
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creatorUsername: 'SG',
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slug: 'will-a-democrat-win-the-2022-nevada',
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isWinRepublican: false,
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},
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{
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state: 'KS',
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creatorUsername: 'SG',
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slug: 'will-a-democrat-win-the-2022-kansas',
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isWinRepublican: false,
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},
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{
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state: 'NV',
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creatorUsername: 'SG',
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slug: 'will-a-democrat-win-the-2022-new-me',
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isWinRepublican: false,
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},
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{
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state: 'ME',
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creatorUsername: 'SG',
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slug: 'will-a-democrat-win-the-2022-maine',
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isWinRepublican: false,
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},
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]
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2022-10-05 23:20:40 +00:00
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export async function getStaticProps() {
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const senateContracts = await Promise.all(
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senateMidterms.map((m) =>
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getContractFromSlug(m.slug).then((c) => c ?? null)
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)
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2022-10-05 23:20:40 +00:00
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)
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const governorContracts = await Promise.all(
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governorMidterms.map((m) =>
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getContractFromSlug(m.slug).then((c) => c ?? null)
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)
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2022-10-05 23:20:40 +00:00
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)
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return {
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props: { senateContracts, governorContracts },
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revalidate: 60, // regenerate after a minute
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}
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}
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const App = (props: {
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senateContracts: CPMMBinaryContract[]
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governorContracts: CPMMBinaryContract[]
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}) => {
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const { senateContracts, governorContracts } = props
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return (
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<Page className="">
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<Col className="items-center justify-center">
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<Title text="2022 US Midterm Elections" className="mt-2" />
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<SEO
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title="2022 US Midterm Elections"
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description="Bet on the midterm elections using prediction markets. See Manifold's state-by-state breakdown of senate and governor races."
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/>
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<div className="mt-2 text-2xl">Senate</div>
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<StateElectionMap
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markets={senateMidterms}
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contracts={senateContracts}
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/>
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<iframe
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src="https://manifold.markets/TomShlomi/will-the-gop-control-the-us-senate"
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frameBorder="0"
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2022-10-05 22:12:42 +00:00
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className="mt-8 flex h-96 w-full"
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></iframe>
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<Spacer h={8} />
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<div className="mt-8 text-2xl">Governors</div>
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<StateElectionMap
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markets={governorMidterms}
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contracts={governorContracts}
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/>
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<iframe
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src="https://manifold.markets/ManifoldMarkets/democrats-go-down-at-least-one-gove"
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frameBorder="0"
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className="mt-8 flex h-96 w-full"
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></iframe>
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<Spacer h={8} />
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<div className="mt-8 text-2xl">House</div>
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<iframe
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src="https://manifold.markets/BoltonBailey/will-democrats-maintain-control-of"
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frameBorder="0"
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className="mt-8 flex h-96 w-full"
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2022-09-30 06:30:45 +00:00
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></iframe>
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<Spacer h={8} />
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<div className="mt-8 text-2xl">Related markets</div>
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<iframe
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src="https://manifold.markets/BoltonBailey/balance-of-power-in-us-congress-aft"
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frameBorder="0"
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className="mt-8 flex h-96 w-full"
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2022-10-02 20:09:20 +00:00
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></iframe>
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<iframe
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src="https://manifold.markets/SG/will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-pre"
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frameBorder="0"
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2022-10-05 22:12:42 +00:00
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className="mt-8 flex h-96 w-full"
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2022-09-30 06:30:45 +00:00
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></iframe>
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2022-10-02 20:09:20 +00:00
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<iframe
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src="https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-the-2022-alaska-house-general"
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title="Will the 2022 Alaska House General Nonspecial Election result in a Condorcet failure?"
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frameBorder="0"
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className="mt-8 flex h-96 w-full"
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></iframe>
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<iframe
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src="https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/how-many-supreme-court-justices-wil-1e597c3853ad"
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title="Will the 2022 Alaska House General Nonspecial Election result in a Condorcet failure?"
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frameBorder="0"
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2022-10-05 22:12:42 +00:00
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className="mt-8 flex h-96 w-full"
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2022-10-02 20:09:20 +00:00
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></iframe>
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</Col>
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</Page>
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)
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}
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export default App
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