manifold/web/pages/midterms.tsx

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import { CPMMBinaryContract } from 'common/contract'
import { Col } from 'web/components/layout/col'
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import { Spacer } from 'web/components/layout/spacer'
import { Page } from 'web/components/page'
import { SEO } from 'web/components/SEO'
import { Title } from 'web/components/title'
import {
StateElectionMarket,
StateElectionMap,
} from 'web/components/usa-map/state-election-map'
import { getContractFromSlug } from 'web/lib/firebase/contracts'
const senateMidterms: StateElectionMarket[] = [
{
state: 'AZ',
creatorUsername: 'BTE',
slug: 'will-blake-masters-win-the-arizona',
isWinRepublican: true,
},
{
state: 'OH',
creatorUsername: 'BTE',
slug: 'will-jd-vance-win-the-ohio-senate-s',
isWinRepublican: true,
},
{
state: 'WI',
creatorUsername: 'BTE',
slug: 'will-ron-johnson-be-reelected-in-th',
isWinRepublican: true,
},
{
state: 'FL',
creatorUsername: 'BTE',
slug: 'will-marco-rubio-be-reelected-to-th',
isWinRepublican: true,
},
{
state: 'PA',
creatorUsername: 'MattP',
slug: 'will-dr-oz-be-elected-to-the-us-sen',
isWinRepublican: true,
},
{
state: 'GA',
creatorUsername: 'NcyRocks',
slug: 'will-a-democrat-win-the-2022-us-sen-3d2432ba6d79',
isWinRepublican: false,
},
{
state: 'NV',
creatorUsername: 'NcyRocks',
slug: 'will-a-democrat-win-the-2022-us-sen',
isWinRepublican: false,
},
{
state: 'NC',
creatorUsername: 'NcyRocks',
slug: 'will-a-democrat-win-the-2022-us-sen-6f1a901e1fcf',
isWinRepublican: false,
},
{
state: 'NH',
creatorUsername: 'NcyRocks',
slug: 'will-a-democrat-win-the-2022-us-sen-23194a72f1b7',
isWinRepublican: false,
},
{
state: 'UT',
creatorUsername: 'SG',
slug: 'will-mike-lee-win-the-2022-utah-sen',
isWinRepublican: true,
},
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{
state: 'CO',
creatorUsername: 'SG',
slug: 'will-michael-bennet-win-the-2022-co',
isWinRepublican: false,
},
]
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const governorMidterms: StateElectionMarket[] = [
{
state: 'TX',
creatorUsername: 'LarsDoucet',
slug: 'republicans-will-win-the-2022-texas',
isWinRepublican: true,
},
{
state: 'GA',
creatorUsername: 'MattP',
slug: 'will-stacey-abrams-win-the-2022-geo',
isWinRepublican: false,
},
{
state: 'FL',
creatorUsername: 'Tetraspace',
slug: 'if-charlie-crist-is-the-democratic',
isWinRepublican: false,
},
{
state: 'PA',
creatorUsername: 'JonathanMast',
slug: 'will-josh-shapiro-win-the-2022-penn',
isWinRepublican: false,
},
{
state: 'PA',
creatorUsername: 'JonathanMast',
slug: 'will-josh-shapiro-win-the-2022-penn',
isWinRepublican: false,
},
{
state: 'CO',
creatorUsername: 'ScottLawrence',
slug: 'will-jared-polis-be-reelected-as-co',
isWinRepublican: false,
},
{
state: 'OR',
creatorUsername: 'Tetraspace',
slug: 'if-tina-kotek-is-the-2022-democrati',
isWinRepublican: false,
},
{
state: 'MD',
creatorUsername: 'Tetraspace',
slug: 'if-wes-moore-is-the-2022-democratic',
isWinRepublican: false,
},
{
state: 'AK',
creatorUsername: 'SG',
slug: 'will-a-republican-win-the-2022-alas',
isWinRepublican: true,
},
{
state: 'AZ',
creatorUsername: 'SG',
slug: 'will-a-republican-win-the-2022-ariz',
isWinRepublican: true,
},
{
state: 'AZ',
creatorUsername: 'SG',
slug: 'will-a-republican-win-the-2022-ariz',
isWinRepublican: true,
},
{
state: 'WI',
creatorUsername: 'SG',
slug: 'will-a-democrat-win-the-2022-wiscon',
isWinRepublican: false,
},
{
state: 'NV',
creatorUsername: 'SG',
slug: 'will-a-democrat-win-the-2022-nevada',
isWinRepublican: false,
},
{
state: 'KS',
creatorUsername: 'SG',
slug: 'will-a-democrat-win-the-2022-kansas',
isWinRepublican: false,
},
{
state: 'NV',
creatorUsername: 'SG',
slug: 'will-a-democrat-win-the-2022-new-me',
isWinRepublican: false,
},
{
state: 'ME',
creatorUsername: 'SG',
slug: 'will-a-democrat-win-the-2022-maine',
isWinRepublican: false,
},
]
export async function getStaticProps() {
const senateContracts = await Promise.all(
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senateMidterms.map((m) =>
getContractFromSlug(m.slug).then((c) => c ?? null)
)
)
const governorContracts = await Promise.all(
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governorMidterms.map((m) =>
getContractFromSlug(m.slug).then((c) => c ?? null)
)
)
return {
props: { senateContracts, governorContracts },
revalidate: 60, // regenerate after a minute
}
}
const App = (props: {
senateContracts: CPMMBinaryContract[]
governorContracts: CPMMBinaryContract[]
}) => {
const { senateContracts, governorContracts } = props
return (
<Page className="">
<Col className="items-center justify-center">
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<Title text="2022 US Midterm Elections" className="mt-2" />
<SEO
title="2022 US Midterm Elections"
description="Bet on the midterm elections using prediction markets. See Manifold's state-by-state breakdown of senate and governor races."
/>
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<div className="mt-2 text-2xl">Senate</div>
<StateElectionMap
markets={senateMidterms}
contracts={senateContracts}
/>
<iframe
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src="https://manifold.markets/TomShlomi/will-the-gop-control-the-us-senate"
frameBorder="0"
className="mt-8 flex h-96 w-full"
></iframe>
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<Spacer h={8} />
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<div className="mt-8 text-2xl">Governors</div>
<StateElectionMap
markets={governorMidterms}
contracts={governorContracts}
/>
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<iframe
src="https://manifold.markets/ManifoldMarkets/democrats-go-down-at-least-one-gove"
frameBorder="0"
className="mt-8 flex h-96 w-full"
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></iframe>
<Spacer h={8} />
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<div className="mt-8 text-2xl">House</div>
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<iframe
src="https://manifold.markets/BoltonBailey/will-democrats-maintain-control-of"
frameBorder="0"
className="mt-8 flex h-96 w-full"
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></iframe>
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<Spacer h={8} />
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<div className="mt-8 text-2xl">Related markets</div>
<iframe
src="https://manifold.markets/BoltonBailey/balance-of-power-in-us-congress-aft"
frameBorder="0"
className="mt-8 flex h-96 w-full"
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></iframe>
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<iframe
src="https://manifold.markets/SG/will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-pre"
frameBorder="0"
className="mt-8 flex h-96 w-full"
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></iframe>
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<iframe
src="https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-the-2022-alaska-house-general"
title="Will the 2022 Alaska House General Nonspecial Election result in a Condorcet failure?"
frameBorder="0"
className="mt-8 flex h-96 w-full"
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></iframe>
<iframe
src="https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/how-many-supreme-court-justices-wil-1e597c3853ad"
title="Will the 2022 Alaska House General Nonspecial Election result in a Condorcet failure?"
frameBorder="0"
className="mt-8 flex h-96 w-full"
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></iframe>
</Col>
</Page>
)
}
export default App