manifold/web/components/charts/contract/choice.tsx

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import { useMemo } from 'react'
import { last, sum, sortBy, groupBy } from 'lodash'
2022-09-28 08:00:39 +00:00
import { scaleTime, scaleLinear } from 'd3-scale'
import { Bet } from 'common/bet'
import { Answer } from 'common/answer'
import { FreeResponseContract, MultipleChoiceContract } from 'common/contract'
import { getOutcomeProbability } from 'common/calculate'
import { DAY_MS } from 'common/util/time'
import {
TooltipProps,
MARGIN_X,
MARGIN_Y,
getDateRange,
getRightmostVisibleDate,
formatPct,
formatDateInRange,
} from '../helpers'
import { MultiPoint, MultiValueHistoryChart } from '../generic-charts'
import { Row } from 'web/components/layout/row'
import { Avatar } from 'web/components/avatar'
// thanks to https://observablehq.com/@jonhelfman/optimal-orders-for-choosing-categorical-colors
const CATEGORY_COLORS = [
'#00b8dd',
'#eecafe',
'#874c62',
'#6457ca',
'#f773ba',
'#9c6bbc',
'#a87744',
'#af8a04',
'#bff9aa',
'#f3d89d',
'#c9a0f5',
'#ff00e5',
'#9dc6f7',
'#824475',
'#d973cc',
'#bc6808',
'#056e70',
'#677932',
'#00b287',
'#c8ab6c',
'#a2fb7a',
'#f8db68',
'#14675a',
'#8288f4',
'#fe1ca0',
'#ad6aff',
'#786306',
'#9bfbaf',
'#b00cf7',
'#2f7ec5',
'#4b998b',
'#42fa0e',
'#5b80a1',
'#962d9d',
'#3385ff',
'#48c5ab',
'#b2c873',
'#4cf9a4',
'#00ffff',
'#3cca73',
'#99ae17',
'#7af5cf',
'#52af45',
'#fbb80f',
'#29971b',
'#187c9a',
'#00d539',
'#bbfa1a',
'#61f55c',
'#cabc03',
'#ff9000',
'#779100',
'#bcfd6f',
'#70a560',
]
const getTrackedAnswers = (
contract: FreeResponseContract | MultipleChoiceContract,
topN: number
) => {
const { answers, outcomeType, totalBets } = contract
const validAnswers = answers.filter((answer) => {
return (
(answer.id !== '0' || outcomeType === 'MULTIPLE_CHOICE') &&
totalBets[answer.id] > 0.000000001
)
})
return sortBy(
validAnswers,
(answer) => -1 * getOutcomeProbability(contract, answer.id)
).slice(0, topN)
}
const getBetPoints = (answers: Answer[], bets: Bet[]) => {
const sortedBets = sortBy(bets, (b) => b.createdTime)
const betsByOutcome = groupBy(sortedBets, (bet) => bet.outcome)
const sharesByOutcome = Object.fromEntries(
Object.keys(betsByOutcome).map((outcome) => [outcome, 0])
)
const points: MultiPoint<Bet>[] = []
for (const bet of sortedBets) {
const { outcome, shares } = bet
sharesByOutcome[outcome] += shares
const sharesSquared = sum(
Object.values(sharesByOutcome).map((shares) => shares ** 2)
)
points.push({
x: new Date(bet.createdTime),
y: answers.map((a) => sharesByOutcome[a.id] ** 2 / sharesSquared),
obj: bet,
})
}
return points
}
type LegendItem = { color: string; label: string; value?: string }
const Legend = (props: { className?: string; items: LegendItem[] }) => {
const { items, className } = props
return (
<ol className={className}>
{items.map((item) => (
<li key={item.label} className="flex flex-row justify-between gap-4">
<Row className="items-center gap-2 overflow-hidden">
<span
className="h-4 w-4 shrink-0"
style={{ backgroundColor: item.color }}
></span>
<span className="text-semibold overflow-hidden text-ellipsis">
{item.label}
</span>
</Row>
<span className="text-greyscale-6">{item.value}</span>
</li>
))}
</ol>
)
}
export const ChoiceContractChart = (props: {
contract: FreeResponseContract | MultipleChoiceContract
bets: Bet[]
width: number
height: number
onMouseOver?: (p: MultiPoint<Bet> | undefined) => void
}) => {
const { contract, bets, width, height, onMouseOver } = props
const [start, end] = getDateRange(contract)
const answers = useMemo(
() => getTrackedAnswers(contract, CATEGORY_COLORS.length),
[contract]
)
const betPoints = useMemo(() => getBetPoints(answers, bets), [answers, bets])
const data = useMemo(
() => [
{ x: new Date(start), y: answers.map((_) => 0) },
...betPoints,
{
x: new Date(end ?? Date.now() + DAY_MS),
y: answers.map((a) => getOutcomeProbability(contract, a.id)),
},
],
[answers, contract, betPoints, start, end]
)
const rightmostDate = getRightmostVisibleDate(
end,
last(betPoints)?.x?.getTime(),
Date.now()
)
const visibleRange = [start, rightmostDate]
const xScale = scaleTime(visibleRange, [0, width - MARGIN_X])
const yScale = scaleLinear([0, 1], [height - MARGIN_Y, 0])
const ChoiceTooltip = useMemo(
() => (props: TooltipProps<Date, MultiPoint<Bet>>) => {
const { data, mouseX, xScale } = props
const [start, end] = xScale.domain()
const d = xScale.invert(mouseX)
const legendItems = sortBy(
data.y.map((p, i) => ({
color: CATEGORY_COLORS[i],
label: answers[i].text,
value: formatPct(p),
p,
})),
(item) => -item.p
).slice(0, 10)
return (
<>
<Row className="items-center gap-2">
{data.obj && (
<Avatar size="xxs" avatarUrl={data.obj.userAvatarUrl} />
)}
<span className="text-semibold text-base">
{formatDateInRange(d, start, end)}
</span>
</Row>
<Legend className="max-w-xs" items={legendItems} />
</>
)
},
[answers]
)
return (
<MultiValueHistoryChart
w={width}
h={height}
xScale={xScale}
yScale={yScale}
data={data}
colors={CATEGORY_COLORS}
onMouseOver={onMouseOver}
Tooltip={ChoiceTooltip}
pct
/>
)
}