manifold/functions/src/weekly-portfolio-emails.ts

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import * as functions from 'firebase-functions'
import * as admin from 'firebase-admin'
import { Contract, CPMMContract } from '../../common/contract'
import {
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getAllPrivateUsers,
getPrivateUser,
getUser,
getValue,
getValues,
isProd,
log,
} from './utils'
import { filterDefined } from '../../common/util/array'
import { DAY_MS } from '../../common/util/time'
import { partition, sortBy, sum, uniq } from 'lodash'
import { Bet } from '../../common/bet'
import { computeInvestmentValueCustomProb } from '../../common/calculate-metrics'
import { sendWeeklyPortfolioUpdateEmail } from './emails'
import { contractUrl } from './utils'
import { Txn } from '../../common/txn'
import { formatMoney } from '../../common/util/format'
import { getContractBetMetrics } from '../../common/calculate'
export const weeklyPortfolioUpdateEmails = functions
.runWith({ secrets: ['MAILGUN_KEY'], memory: '4GB' })
// every minute on Friday for an hour at 12pm PT (UTC -07:00)
.pubsub.schedule('* 19 * * 5')
.timeZone('Etc/UTC')
.onRun(async () => {
await sendPortfolioUpdateEmailsToAllUsers()
})
const firestore = admin.firestore()
export async function sendPortfolioUpdateEmailsToAllUsers() {
const privateUsers = isProd()
? // ian & stephen's ids
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// filterDefined([
// await getPrivateUser('AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2'),
// await getPrivateUser('tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2'),
// ])
await getAllPrivateUsers()
: filterDefined([await getPrivateUser('6hHpzvRG0pMq8PNJs7RZj2qlZGn2')])
// get all users that haven't unsubscribed from weekly emails
const privateUsersToSendEmailsTo = privateUsers
.filter((user) => {
return isProd()
? user.notificationPreferences.profit_loss_updates.includes('email') &&
!user.weeklyPortfolioUpdateEmailSent
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: user.notificationPreferences.profit_loss_updates.includes('email')
})
// Send emails in batches
.slice(0, 200)
log(
'Sending weekly portfolio emails to',
privateUsersToSendEmailsTo.length,
'users'
)
const usersBets: { [userId: string]: Bet[] } = {}
// get all bets made by each user
await Promise.all(
privateUsersToSendEmailsTo.map(async (user) => {
return getValues<Bet>(
firestore.collectionGroup('bets').where('userId', '==', user.id)
).then((bets) => {
usersBets[user.id] = bets
})
})
)
const usersToContractsCreated: { [userId: string]: Contract[] } = {}
// Get all contracts created by each user
await Promise.all(
privateUsersToSendEmailsTo.map(async (user) => {
return getValues<Contract>(
firestore
.collection('contracts')
.where('creatorId', '==', user.id)
.where('createdTime', '>', Date.now() - 7 * DAY_MS)
).then((contracts) => {
usersToContractsCreated[user.id] = contracts
})
})
)
// Get all txns the users received over the past week
const usersToTxnsReceived: { [userId: string]: Txn[] } = {}
await Promise.all(
privateUsersToSendEmailsTo.map(async (user) => {
return getValues<Txn>(
firestore
.collection(`txns`)
.where('toId', '==', user.id)
.where('createdTime', '>', Date.now() - 7 * DAY_MS)
).then((txn) => {
usersToTxnsReceived[user.id] = txn
})
})
)
// Get a flat map of all the bets that users made to get the contracts they bet on
const contractsUsersBetOn = filterDefined(
await Promise.all(
uniq(
Object.values(usersBets).flatMap((bets) =>
bets.map((bet) => bet.contractId)
)
).map((contractId) =>
getValue<Contract>(firestore.collection('contracts').doc(contractId))
)
)
)
log('Found', contractsUsersBetOn.length, 'contracts')
let count = 0
await Promise.all(
privateUsersToSendEmailsTo.map(async (privateUser) => {
const user = await getUser(privateUser.id)
// Don't send to a user unless they're over 5 days old
if (!user || user.createdTime > Date.now() - 5 * DAY_MS) return
const userBets = usersBets[privateUser.id] as Bet[]
const contractsUserBetOn = contractsUsersBetOn.filter((contract) =>
userBets.some((bet) => bet.contractId === contract.id)
)
const contractsBetOnInLastWeek = uniq(
userBets
.filter((bet) => bet.createdTime > Date.now() - 7 * DAY_MS)
.map((bet) => bet.contractId)
)
const totalTips = sum(
usersToTxnsReceived[privateUser.id]
.filter((txn) => txn.category === 'TIP')
.map((txn) => txn.amount)
)
const greenBg = 'rgba(0,160,0,0.2)'
const redBg = 'rgba(160,0,0,0.2)'
const clearBg = 'rgba(255,255,255,0)'
const roundedProfit =
Math.round(user.profitCached.weekly) === 0
? 0
: Math.floor(user.profitCached.weekly)
const performanceData = {
profit: formatMoney(user.profitCached.weekly),
profit_style: `background-color: ${
roundedProfit > 0 ? greenBg : roundedProfit === 0 ? clearBg : redBg
}`,
markets_created:
usersToContractsCreated[privateUser.id].length.toString(),
tips_received: formatMoney(totalTips),
unique_bettors: usersToTxnsReceived[privateUser.id]
.filter((txn) => txn.category === 'UNIQUE_BETTOR_BONUS')
.length.toString(),
markets_traded: contractsBetOnInLastWeek.length.toString(),
prediction_streak:
(user.currentBettingStreak?.toString() ?? '0') + ' days',
// More options: bonuses, tips given,
} as OverallPerformanceData
const investmentValueDifferences = sortBy(
filterDefined(
contractsUserBetOn.map((contract) => {
const cpmmContract = contract as CPMMContract
if (cpmmContract === undefined || cpmmContract.prob === undefined)
return
const bets = userBets.filter(
(bet) => bet.contractId === contract.id
)
const previousBets = bets.filter(
(b) => b.createdTime < Date.now() - 7 * DAY_MS
)
const betsInLastWeek = bets.filter(
(b) => b.createdTime >= Date.now() - 7 * DAY_MS
)
const marketProbabilityAWeekAgo =
cpmmContract.prob - cpmmContract.probChanges.week
const currentMarketProbability = cpmmContract.resolutionProbability
? cpmmContract.resolutionProbability
: cpmmContract.prob
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// TODO: returns 0 for resolved markets - doesn't include them
const betsMadeAWeekAgoValue = computeInvestmentValueCustomProb(
previousBets,
contract,
marketProbabilityAWeekAgo
)
const currentBetsMadeAWeekAgoValue =
computeInvestmentValueCustomProb(
previousBets,
contract,
currentMarketProbability
)
const betsMadeInLastWeekProfit = getContractBetMetrics(
contract,
betsInLastWeek
).profit
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const profit =
betsMadeInLastWeekProfit +
(currentBetsMadeAWeekAgoValue - betsMadeAWeekAgoValue)
return {
currentValue: currentBetsMadeAWeekAgoValue,
pastValue: betsMadeAWeekAgoValue,
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profit,
contractSlug: contract.slug,
marketProbAWeekAgo: marketProbabilityAWeekAgo,
questionTitle: contract.question,
questionUrl: contractUrl(contract),
questionProb: cpmmContract.resolution
? cpmmContract.resolution
: Math.round(cpmmContract.prob * 100) + '%',
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profitStyle: `color: ${
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profit > 0 ? 'rgba(0,160,0,1)' : '#a80000'
};`,
} as PerContractInvestmentsData
})
),
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(differences) => Math.abs(differences.profit)
).reverse()
log(
'Found',
investmentValueDifferences.length,
'investment differences for user',
privateUser.id
)
const [winningInvestments, losingInvestments] = partition(
investmentValueDifferences.filter(
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(diff) => diff.pastValue > 0.01 && Math.abs(diff.profit) > 1
),
(investmentsData: PerContractInvestmentsData) => {
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return investmentsData.profit > 0
}
)
// pick 3 winning investments and 3 losing investments
const topInvestments = winningInvestments.slice(0, 2)
const worstInvestments = losingInvestments.slice(0, 2)
// if no bets in the last week ANd no market movers AND no markets created, don't send email
if (
contractsBetOnInLastWeek.length === 0 &&
topInvestments.length === 0 &&
worstInvestments.length === 0 &&
usersToContractsCreated[privateUser.id].length === 0
) {
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log(
'No bets in last week, no market movers, no markets created. Not sending an email.'
)
await firestore.collection('private-users').doc(privateUser.id).update({
weeklyPortfolioUpdateEmailSent: true,
})
return
}
await sendWeeklyPortfolioUpdateEmail(
user,
privateUser,
topInvestments.concat(worstInvestments) as PerContractInvestmentsData[],
performanceData
)
await firestore.collection('private-users').doc(privateUser.id).update({
weeklyPortfolioUpdateEmailSent: true,
})
log('Sent weekly portfolio update email to', privateUser.email)
count++
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log('sent out emails to users:', count)
})
)
}
export type PerContractInvestmentsData = {
questionTitle: string
questionUrl: string
questionProb: string
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profitStyle: string
currentValue: number
pastValue: number
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profit: number
}
export type OverallPerformanceData = {
profit: string
prediction_streak: string
markets_traded: string
profit_style: string
tips_received: string
markets_created: string
unique_bettors: string
}