manifold/web/components/bet-panel.tsx

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import clsx from 'clsx'
import React, { useEffect, useState } from 'react'
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import { useUser } from '../hooks/use-user'
import { Contract } from '../../common/contract'
import { Col } from './layout/col'
import { Row } from './layout/row'
import { Spacer } from './layout/spacer'
import { YesNoSelector } from './yes-no-selector'
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import {
formatMoney,
formatPercent,
formatWithCommas,
} from '../lib/util/format'
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import { Title } from './title'
import {
getProbability,
calculateShares,
getProbabilityAfterBet,
calculatePayoutAfterCorrectBet,
calculateEstimatedWinnings,
} from '../../common/calculate'
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import { firebaseLogin } from '../lib/firebase/users'
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import { OutcomeLabel } from './outcome-label'
import { AdvancedPanel } from './advanced-panel'
import { Bet } from '../../common/bet'
import { placeBet } from '../lib/firebase/api-call'
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import { AmountInput } from './amount-input'
export function BetPanel(props: { contract: Contract; className?: string }) {
useEffect(() => {
// warm up cloud function
placeBet({}).catch()
}, [])
const { contract, className } = props
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const user = useUser()
const [betChoice, setBetChoice] = useState<'YES' | 'NO'>('YES')
const [betAmount, setBetAmount] = useState<number | undefined>(undefined)
const [error, setError] = useState<string | undefined>()
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const [isSubmitting, setIsSubmitting] = useState(false)
const [wasSubmitted, setWasSubmitted] = useState(false)
function onBetChoice(choice: 'YES' | 'NO') {
setBetChoice(choice)
setWasSubmitted(false)
}
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function onBetChange(newAmount: number | undefined) {
setWasSubmitted(false)
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setBetAmount(newAmount)
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}
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async function submitBet() {
if (!user || !betAmount) return
if (user.balance < betAmount) {
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setError('Insufficient balance')
return
}
setError(undefined)
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setIsSubmitting(true)
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const result = await placeBet({
amount: betAmount,
outcome: betChoice,
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contractId: contract.id,
}).then((r) => r.data as any)
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console.log('placed bet. Result:', result)
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if (result?.status === 'success') {
setIsSubmitting(false)
setWasSubmitted(true)
setBetAmount(undefined)
} else {
setError(result?.error || 'Error placing bet')
setIsSubmitting(false)
}
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}
const betDisabled = isSubmitting || !betAmount || error
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const initialProb = getProbability(contract.totalShares)
const resultProb = getProbabilityAfterBet(
contract.totalShares,
betChoice,
betAmount ?? 0
)
const shares = calculateShares(
contract.totalShares,
betAmount ?? 0,
betChoice
)
const estimatedWinnings = calculateEstimatedWinnings(
contract.totalShares,
shares,
betChoice
)
const estimatedReturn = betAmount
? (estimatedWinnings - betAmount) / betAmount
: 0
const estimatedReturnPercent = (estimatedReturn * 100).toFixed() + '%'
return (
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<Col
className={clsx('bg-gray-100 shadow-md px-8 py-6 rounded-md', className)}
>
<Title
className="mt-0 whitespace-nowrap text-neutral"
text={`Buy ${betChoice}`}
/>
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<div className="mt-2 mb-1 text-sm text-gray-500">Outcome</div>
<YesNoSelector
className="my-2"
selected={betChoice}
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onSelect={(choice) => onBetChoice(choice)}
/>
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<div className="my-3 text-sm text-gray-500">Amount </div>
<AmountInput
inputClassName="w-full"
amount={betAmount}
onChange={onBetChange}
error={error}
setError={setError}
disabled={isSubmitting}
/>
<Spacer h={4} />
<div className="mt-2 mb-1 text-sm text-gray-500">Implied probability</div>
<Row>
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<div>{formatPercent(initialProb)}</div>
<div className="mx-2"></div>
<div>{formatPercent(resultProb)}</div>
</Row>
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<div className="mt-2 mb-1 text-sm text-gray-500">
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Estimated max payout
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</div>
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<div>
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{formatMoney(estimatedWinnings)} &nbsp;{' '}
{estimatedWinnings ? <span>(+{estimatedReturnPercent})</span> : null}
</div>
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<AdvancedPanel>
<div className="mt-2 mb-1 text-sm text-gray-500">
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<OutcomeLabel outcome={betChoice} /> shares
</div>
<div>
{formatWithCommas(shares)} of{' '}
{formatWithCommas(shares + contract.totalShares[betChoice])}
</div>
<div className="mt-2 mb-1 text-sm text-gray-500">
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Current payout if <OutcomeLabel outcome={betChoice} />
</div>
<div>
{formatMoney(
betAmount
? calculatePayoutAfterCorrectBet(contract, {
outcome: betChoice,
amount: betAmount,
shares,
} as Bet)
: 0
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)}
</div>
</AdvancedPanel>
<Spacer h={6} />
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{user ? (
<button
className={clsx(
'btn',
betDisabled
? 'btn-disabled'
: betChoice === 'YES'
? 'btn-primary'
: 'bg-red-400 hover:bg-red-500 border-none',
isSubmitting ? 'loading' : ''
)}
onClick={betDisabled ? undefined : submitBet}
>
{isSubmitting ? 'Submitting...' : 'Submit trade'}
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</button>
) : (
<button
className="btn mt-4 border-none normal-case text-lg font-medium whitespace-nowrap px-10 bg-gradient-to-r from-teal-500 to-green-500 hover:from-teal-600 hover:to-green-600"
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onClick={firebaseLogin}
>
Sign in to trade!
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</button>
)}
{wasSubmitted && <div className="mt-4">Trade submitted!</div>}
</Col>
)
}