manifold/common/scoring.ts

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import { groupBy, sumBy, mapValues, keyBy, sortBy } from 'lodash'
Cfmm (#64) * cpmm initial commit: common logic, cloud functions * remove unnecessary property * contract type * rename 'calculate.ts' => 'calculate-dpm.ts' * rename dpm calculations * use focus hook * mechanism-agnostic calculations * bet panel: use new calculations * use new calculations * delete markets cloud function * use correct contract type in scripts / functions * calculate fixed payouts; bets list calculations * new bet: use calculateCpmmPurchase * getOutcomeProbabilityAfterBet * use deductFixedFees * fix auto-refactor * fix antes * separate logic to payouts-dpm, payouts-fixed * liquidity provision tracking * remove comment * liquidity label * create liquidity provision even if no ante bet * liquidity fee * use all bets for getFixedCancelPayouts * updateUserBalance: allow negative balances * store initialProbability in contracts * turn on liquidity fee; turn off creator fee * Include time param in tweet url, so image preview is re-fetched * share redemption * cpmm ContractBetsTable display * formatMoney: handle minus zero * filter out redemption bets * track fees on contract and bets; change fee schedule for cpmm markets; only pay out creator fees at resolution * small fixes * small fixes * Redeem shares pays back loans first * Fix initial point on graph * calculateCpmmPurchase: deduct creator fee * Filter out redemption bets from feed * set env to dev for user-testing purposes * creator fees messaging * new cfmm: k = y^(1-p) * n^p * addCpmmLiquidity * correct price function * enable fees * handle overflow * liquidity provision tracking * raise fees * Fix merge error * fix dpm free response payout for single outcome * Fix DPM payout calculation * Remove hardcoding as dev Co-authored-by: James Grugett <jahooma@gmail.com>
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import { Bet } from './bet'
import { getContractBetMetrics, resolvedPayout } from './calculate'
import { Contract } from './contract'
import { ContractComment } from './comment'
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export function scoreCreators(contracts: Contract[]) {
const creatorScore = mapValues(
groupBy(contracts, ({ creatorId }) => creatorId),
(contracts) =>
sumBy(
contracts.map((contract) => {
return contract.volume
})
)
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)
return creatorScore
}
export function scoreTraders(contracts: Contract[], bets: Bet[][]) {
const userScoresByContract = contracts.map((contract, index) =>
scoreUsersByContract(contract, bets[index])
)
const userScores: { [userId: string]: number } = {}
for (const scores of userScoresByContract) {
addUserScores(scores, userScores)
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}
return userScores
}
export function scoreUsersByContract(contract: Contract, bets: Bet[]) {
const betsByUser = groupBy(bets, (bet) => bet.userId)
return mapValues(
betsByUser,
(bets) => getContractBetMetrics(contract, bets).profit
)
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}
export function addUserScores(
src: { [userId: string]: number },
dest: { [userId: string]: number }
) {
for (const [userId, score] of Object.entries(src)) {
if (dest[userId] === undefined) dest[userId] = 0
dest[userId] += score
}
}
export function scoreCommentorsAndBettors(
contract: Contract,
bets: Bet[],
comments: ContractComment[]
) {
const commentsById = keyBy(comments, 'id')
const betsById = keyBy(bets, 'id')
// If 'id2' is the sale of 'id1', both are logged with (id2 - id1) of profit
// Otherwise, we record the profit at resolution time
const profitById: Record<string, number> = {}
for (const bet of bets) {
if (bet.sale) {
const originalBet = betsById[bet.sale.betId]
const profit = bet.sale.amount - originalBet.amount
profitById[bet.id] = profit
profitById[originalBet.id] = profit
} else {
profitById[bet.id] = resolvedPayout(contract, bet) - bet.amount
}
}
// Now find the betId with the highest profit
const topBetId = sortBy(bets, (b) => -profitById[b.id])[0]?.id
const topBettor = betsById[topBetId]?.userName
// And also the commentId of the comment with the highest profit
const topCommentId = sortBy(
comments,
(c) => c.betId && -profitById[c.betId]
)[0]?.id
const topCommentBetId = commentsById[topCommentId]?.betId
return {
topCommentId,
topBetId,
topBettor,
profitById,
commentsById,
betsById,
topCommentBetId,
}
}