reduce uncertainty a bit as election date gets closer

2024-06-11 17:43:53 -04:00 · 2024-06-11 17:43:53 -04:00 · 9278ce8349
commit 9278ce8349
parent 0db211a1c8
2 changed files with 818 additions and 818 deletions
--- a/main.go
+++ b/main.go
@ -112,7 +112,7 @@ func getChanceRepublicanWinFromPollPlusUncertainty(poll Poll, state State, prett
 			- Increased polarization
 		Also note that the polls already have some error already
 	*/
-	std_additional_uncertainty := 5.0 / 100.0
+	std_additional_uncertainty := 4.0 / 100.0

 	if n_republican_win == 0 || n_republican_win == 6 {
 		// if solid states for the last 6 elections
--- a/out/output-2024-06-11.txt
+++ b/out/output-2024-06-11.txt