NunoSempere/2024-election-modelling
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reduce uncertainty a bit as election date gets closer

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NunoSempere 2024-06-11 17:43:53 -04:00
parent 0db211a1c8
commit 9278ce8349
2 changed files with 818 additions and 818 deletions
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2
main.go
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@ -112,7 +112,7 @@ func getChanceRepublicanWinFromPollPlusUncertainty(poll Poll, state State, prett
- Increased polarization - Increased polarization
Also note that the polls already have some error already Also note that the polls already have some error already
*/ */
std_additional_uncertainty := 5.0 / 100.0 std_additional_uncertainty := 4.0 / 100.0
if n_republican_win == 0 || n_republican_win == 6 { if n_republican_win == 0 || n_republican_win == 6 {
// if solid states for the last 6 elections // if solid states for the last 6 elections

1634
out/output-2024-06-11.txt
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