Starting to pull out distributions for more specialized documentation

This commit is contained in:
Ozzie Gooen 2022-04-30 22:48:57 -04:00
parent 37047ac9ff
commit 92f606b09b
2 changed files with 95 additions and 159 deletions

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@ -26,7 +26,7 @@ If both values are above zero, a `lognormal` distribution is used. If not, a `no
lognormal distribution with 5th and 95th percentiles at 5 and 10.
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="5 to 10" />
</TabItem>
<TabItem value="ex3" label="to(5,10)" default>
<TabItem value="ex3" label="to(5,10)">
`5 to 10` does the same thing as `to(5,10)`.
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="to(5,10)" />
</TabItem>
@ -45,7 +45,7 @@ If both values are above zero, a `lognormal` distribution is used. If not, a `no
### Arguments
- `5thPercentile`: Float
- `95thPercentile`: Float
- `95thPercentile`: Float, greater than `5thPercentile`
<Admonition type="tip" title="Tip">
<p>
@ -77,10 +77,10 @@ The `mixture` mixes combines multiple distributions to create a mixture. You can
<TabItem value="ex1" label="Simple" default>
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="mixture(1 to 2, 5 to 8, 9 to 10)" />
</TabItem>
<TabItem value="ex2" label="With Weights" default>
<TabItem value="ex2" label="With Weights">
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="mixture(1 to 2, 5 to 8, 9 to 10, [0.1, 0.1, 0.8])" />
</TabItem>
<TabItem value="ex3" label="With Continuous and Discrete Inputs" default>
<TabItem value="ex3" label="With Continuous and Discrete Inputs">
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="mixture(1 to 5, 8 to 10, 1, 3, 20)" />
</TabItem>
</Tabs>
@ -137,11 +137,12 @@ mx(forecast, forecast_if_completely_wrong, [1-chance_completely_wrong, chance_co
`normal(mean:float, standardDeviation:float)`
Creates a [normal distribution](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normal_distribution) with the given mean and standard deviation.
<Tabs>
<TabItem value="ex1" label="normal(5,1)" default>
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="normal(5, 1)" />
</TabItem>
<TabItem value="ex2" label="normal(10m, 10m)" default>
<TabItem value="ex2" label="normal(100000000000, 100000000000)">
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="normal(100000000000, 100000000000)" />
</TabItem>
</Tabs>
@ -151,13 +152,13 @@ mx(forecast, forecast_if_completely_wrong, [1-chance_completely_wrong, chance_co
- `mean`: Float
- `standard deviation`: Float greater than zero
[Wikipedia entry](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normal_distribution)
[Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normal_distribution)
## Log-normal
The log of `lognormal(mu, sigma)` is a normal distribution with mean `mu` and standard deviation `sigma`.
`lognormal(mu: float, sigma: float)`
`lognormal(mu: float, sigma: float)`
Creates a [log-normal distribution](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Log-normal_distribution) with the given mu and sigma.
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="lognormal(0, 0.7)" />
@ -168,85 +169,124 @@ The log of `lognormal(mu, sigma)` is a normal distribution with mean `mu` and st
[Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Log-normal_distribution)
An alternative format is also available. The `to` notation creates a lognormal
distribution with a 90% confidence interval between the two numbers. We add
this convenience as lognormal distributions are commonly used in practice.
### Argument Alternatives
`Mu` and `sigma` can be difficult to directly reason about. Because of this complexity, we recommend typically using the <a href="#to">to</a> syntax.
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="2 to 10" />
#### Future feature:
Furthermore, it's also possible to create a lognormal from it's actual mean
and standard deviation, using `lognormalFromMeanAndStdDev`.
TODO: interpreter/parser doesn't provide this in current `develop` branch
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="lognormalFromMeanAndStdDev(20, 10)" />
#### Validity
- `sigma > 0`
- In `x to y` notation, `x < y`
<details>
<summary>❓ Understanding <bold>mu</bold> and <bold>sigma</bold></summary>
<p>
The log of `lognormal(mu, sigma)` is a normal distribution with mean `mu` and standard deviation `sigma`. For example, these two distributions are identical:
</p>
<SquiggleEditor
initialSquiggleString={`normalMean = 10
normalStdDev = 2
logOfLognormal = log(lognormal(normalMean, normalStdDev))
[logOfLognormal, normal(normalMean, normalStdDev)]`}
/>
</details>
## Uniform
`normal(low:float, high:float)`
`uniform(low:float, high:float)`
<Tabs>
<TabItem value="ex1" label="uniform(3,7)" default>
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="uniform(3,7)" />
</TabItem>
<TabItem value="ex2" label="invalid: uniform(7,5)" default>
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="uniform(7,5)" />
</TabItem>
</Tabs>
Creates a [uniform distribution](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uniform_distribution_(continuous)) with the given low and high values.
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="uniform(3,7)" />
### Arguments
- `low`: Float
- `high`: Float greater than `low`
<Admonition type="caution" title="Caution">
<p>
While uniform distributions are very simple to understand, we find it rare to find uncertainties that actually look like this. Before using a uniform distribution, think hard about if you are really 100% confident that the paramater will not wind up being just outside the stated boundaries.
</p>
<p>
One good example of a uniform distribution uncertainty would be clear physical limitations. You might have complete complete uncertainty on what time of day an event will occur, but can say with 100% confidence it will happen between the hours of 0:00 and 24:00.
</p>
</Admonition>
## Beta
``beta(alpha:float, beta:float)``
The `beta(a, b)` function creates a beta distribution with parameters `a` and `b`:
Creates a [beta distribution](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beta_distribution) with the given `alpha` and `beta` values. For a good summary of the beta distribution, see [this explanation](https://stats.stackexchange.com/a/47782) on Stack Overflow.
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="beta(10, 20)" />
<Tabs>
<TabItem value="ex1" label="beta(10, 20)" default>
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="beta(10,20)" />
</TabItem>
<TabItem value="ex2" label="beta(1000, 1000)" >
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="beta(1000, 2000)" />
</TabItem>
<TabItem value="ex3" label="beta(1, 10)" >
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="beta(1, 10)" />
</TabItem>
<TabItem value="ex4" label="beta(10, 1)" >
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="beta(10, 1)" />
</TabItem>
<TabItem value="ex5" label="beta(0.8, 0.8)" >
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="beta(0.8, 0.8)" />
</TabItem>
</Tabs>
#### Validity
### Arguments
- `a > 0`
- `b > 0`
- Empirically, we have noticed that numerical instability arises when `a < 1` or `b < 1`
- `alpha`: Float greater than zero
- `beta`: Float greater than zero
<Admonition type="caution" title="Caution with small numbers">
<p>
Squiggle struggles to show beta distributions when either alpha or beta are below 1.0. This is because the tails at ~0.0 and ~1.0 are very high. Using a log scale for the y-axis helps here.
</p>
<details>
<summary>Examples</summary>
<Tabs>
<TabItem value="ex1" label="beta(0.3, 0.3)" default>
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="beta(0.3, 0.3)" />
</TabItem>
<TabItem value="ex2" label="beta(0.5, 0.5)">
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="beta(0.5, 0.5)" />
</TabItem>
<TabItem value="ex3" label="beta(0.8, 0.8)">
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="beta(.8,.8)" />
</TabItem>
<TabItem value="ex4" label="beta(0.9, 0.9)">
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="beta(.9,.9)" />
</TabItem>
</Tabs>
</details>
</Admonition>
## Exponential
The `exponential(rate)` function creates an exponential distribution with the given
rate.
``exponential(rate:float)``
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="exponential(1.11)" />
Creates an [exponential distribution](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_distribution) with the given rate.
#### Validity
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="exponential(4)" />
- `rate > 0`
### Arguments
- `rate`: Float greater than zero
## Triangular distribution
The `triangular(a,b,c)` function creates a triangular distribution with lower
bound `a`, mode `b` and upper bound `c`.
``triangular(low:float, mode:float, high:float)``
Creates a [triangular distribution](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Triangular_distribution) with the given low, mode, and high values.
#### Validity
- `a < b < c`
### Arguments
- `low`: Float
- `mode`: Float greater than `low`
- `high`: Float greater than `mode`
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="triangular(1, 2, 4)" />
### Scalar (constant dist)
## FromSamples
Squiggle, when the context is right, automatically casts a float to a constant distribution.
## `fromSamples`
The last distribution constructor takes an array of samples and constructs a sample set distribution.
Creates a sample set distribution using an array of samples.
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="fromSamples([1,2,3,4,6,5,5,5])" />

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@ -5,110 +5,6 @@ sidebar_position: 7
import { SquiggleEditor } from "../../src/components/SquiggleEditor";
## Inventory distributions
We provide starter distributions, computed symbolically.
### Normal distribution
The `normal(mean, sd)` function creates a normal distribution with the given mean
and standard deviation.
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="normal(5, 1)" />
#### Validity
- `sd > 0`
### Uniform distribution
The `uniform(low, high)` function creates a uniform distribution between the
two given numbers.
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="uniform(3, 7)" />
#### Validity
- `low < high`
### Lognormal distribution
The `lognormal(mu, sigma)` returns the log of a normal distribution with parameters
`mu` and `sigma`. The log of `lognormal(mu, sigma)` is a normal distribution with mean `mu` and standard deviation `sigma`.
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="lognormal(0, 0.7)" />
An alternative format is also available. The `to` notation creates a lognormal
distribution with a 90% confidence interval between the two numbers. We add
this convenience as lognormal distributions are commonly used in practice.
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="2 to 10" />
#### Future feature:
Furthermore, it's also possible to create a lognormal from it's actual mean
and standard deviation, using `lognormalFromMeanAndStdDev`.
TODO: interpreter/parser doesn't provide this in current `develop` branch
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="lognormalFromMeanAndStdDev(20, 10)" />
#### Validity
- `sigma > 0`
- In `x to y` notation, `x < y`
### Beta distribution
The `beta(a, b)` function creates a beta distribution with parameters `a` and `b`:
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="beta(10, 20)" />
#### Validity
- `a > 0`
- `b > 0`
- Empirically, we have noticed that numerical instability arises when `a < 1` or `b < 1`
### Exponential distribution
The `exponential(rate)` function creates an exponential distribution with the given
rate.
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="exponential(1.11)" />
#### Validity
- `rate > 0`
### Triangular distribution
The `triangular(a,b,c)` function creates a triangular distribution with lower
bound `a`, mode `b` and upper bound `c`.
#### Validity
- `a < b < c`
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="triangular(1, 2, 4)" />
### Scalar (constant dist)
Squiggle, when the context is right, automatically casts a float to a constant distribution.
## `fromSamples`
The last distribution constructor takes an array of samples and constructs a sample set distribution.
<SquiggleEditor initialSquiggleString="fromSamples([1,2,3,4,6,5,5,5])" />
#### Validity
For `fromSamples(xs)`,
- `xs.length > 5`
- Strictly every element of `xs` must be a number.
## Operating on distributions
Here are the ways we combine distributions.