3433 lines
84 KiB
JSON
3433 lines
84 KiB
JSON
[
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "2024 US Presidential Election: 2024 Election Winner",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Donald Trump",
|
|
"probability": 0.098426094445168,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Donald Trump Jnr",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ivanka Trump",
|
|
"probability": 0.010283323300241435,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Mike Pence",
|
|
"probability": 0.0405283918303633,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez",
|
|
"probability": 0.010283323300241435,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Nikki Haley",
|
|
"probability": 0.0405283918303633,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Oprah Winfrey",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "George Clooney",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Pete Buttigieg",
|
|
"probability": 0.013509463943454434,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Michelle Obama",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Hillary Clinton",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Dwayne Johnson",
|
|
"probability": 0.013509463943454434,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Mark Zuckerberg",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Joe Biden",
|
|
"probability": 0.13779653222323524,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Andrew Yang",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Kanye West",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Tulsi Gabbard",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Meghan Markle",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Bernie Sanders",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Matt Gaetz",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Kamala Harris",
|
|
"probability": 0.1531072580258169,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Michael Bloomberg",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Elizabeth Warren",
|
|
"probability": 0.013509463943454434,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Bill Gates",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Joe Rogan",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Rick Scott",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Marco Rubio",
|
|
"probability": 0.013509463943454434,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ron DeSantis",
|
|
"probability": 0.03280869814838934,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Joe Kennedy Iii",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Charlie Baker",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Beto O'Rourke",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ted Cruz",
|
|
"probability": 0.013509463943454434,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Mitt Romney",
|
|
"probability": 0.010283323300241435,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Amy Klobuchar",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Nina Turner",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Stacey Abrams",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Dan Crenshaw",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Chris Christie",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Tucker Carlson",
|
|
"probability": 0.013509463943454434,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Andrew Cuomo",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Josh Hawley",
|
|
"probability": 0.013509463943454434,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Condoleezza Rice",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Katie Porter",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Tom Cotton",
|
|
"probability": 0.010283323300241435,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Killer Mike",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Val Demings",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Keisha Lance Bottoms",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Susan Rice",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Mike Pompeo",
|
|
"probability": 0.013509463943454434,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "George P Bush",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Alveda King",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Candace Owens",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Mark Cuban",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Tim Scott",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Tammy Duckworth",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Greg Abbott",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Elon Musk",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Larry Hogan",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Paul Ryan",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "John Kasich",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Karen Bass",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Gavin Newsom",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Kimberly Guilfoyle",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Richard Grenell",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Kayleigh McEnany",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Chelsea Clinton",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ann Coulter",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Rand Paul",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Gretchen Whitmer",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Susan Collins",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Cory Booker",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Sidney Powell",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Marjorie Taylor Greene",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "John Ossoff",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Kristi Noem",
|
|
"probability": 0.02026419591518165,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jared Kushner",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Gabriel Sterling",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Justin Amash",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Mike Lindell",
|
|
"probability": 0.002744950841100303,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jim Justice",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "John James",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ben Sasse",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Sarah Palin",
|
|
"probability": 0.0034277744334138115,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jeff Bezos",
|
|
"probability": 0.006821610506100754,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "2024 US Presidential Election: 2024 Republican Nominee",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Tom Cotton",
|
|
"probability": 0.028769063338197235,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Donald Trump",
|
|
"probability": 0.186998911698282,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Mike Pence",
|
|
"probability": 0.05753812667639447,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Nikki Haley",
|
|
"probability": 0.093499455849141,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ted Cruz",
|
|
"probability": 0.03561884032348229,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Matt Gaetz",
|
|
"probability": 0.007405897493001268,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ivanka Trump",
|
|
"probability": 0.028769063338197235,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Donald Trump Jnr",
|
|
"probability": 0.014666581309669177,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Marco Rubio",
|
|
"probability": 0.028769063338197235,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Tucker Carlson",
|
|
"probability": 0.028769063338197235,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Charlie Baker",
|
|
"probability": 0.014666581309669177,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Josh Hawley",
|
|
"probability": 0.03561884032348229,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Mitt Romney",
|
|
"probability": 0.021999871964503766,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Dan Crenshaw",
|
|
"probability": 0.014666581309669177,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Kanye West",
|
|
"probability": 0.014666581309669177,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Chris Christie",
|
|
"probability": 0.014666581309669177,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Devin Nunes",
|
|
"probability": 0.007405897493001268,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Greg Abbott",
|
|
"probability": 0.014666581309669177,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Larry Hogan",
|
|
"probability": 0.014666581309669177,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Paul Ryan",
|
|
"probability": 0.007405897493001268,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Kimberly Guilfoyle",
|
|
"probability": 0.007405897493001268,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Mike Pompeo",
|
|
"probability": 0.028769063338197235,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Richard Grenell",
|
|
"probability": 0.007405897493001268,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Kayleigh McEnany",
|
|
"probability": 0.007405897493001268,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Rand Paul",
|
|
"probability": 0.007405897493001268,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jared Kushner",
|
|
"probability": 0.007405897493001268,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Eric Trump",
|
|
"probability": 0.007405897493001268,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Lara Trump",
|
|
"probability": 0.0037213713770802392,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "John Kasich",
|
|
"probability": 0.014666581309669177,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Susan Collins",
|
|
"probability": 0.014666581309669177,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Sidney Powell",
|
|
"probability": 0.007405897493001268,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Kristi Noem",
|
|
"probability": 0.04399974392900753,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Rick Scott",
|
|
"probability": 0.014666581309669177,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ron DeSantis",
|
|
"probability": 0.06799960425392074,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Gabriel Sterling",
|
|
"probability": 0.007405897493001268,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Mike Lindell",
|
|
"probability": 0.007405897493001268,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Marjorie Taylor Greene",
|
|
"probability": 0.007405897493001268,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jim Justice",
|
|
"probability": 0.007405897493001268,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "John James",
|
|
"probability": 0.007405897493001268,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ben Sasse",
|
|
"probability": 0.014666581309669177,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Sarah Palin",
|
|
"probability": 0.007405897493001268,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Candace Owens",
|
|
"probability": 0.014666581309669177,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Tim Scott",
|
|
"probability": 0.014666581309669177,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "2024 US Presidential Election: 2024 Democratic Nominee",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Michelle Obama",
|
|
"probability": 0.02658891439825921,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Joe Biden",
|
|
"probability": 0.3013410298469377,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Kamala Harris",
|
|
"probability": 0.31499062353338436,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez",
|
|
"probability": 0.03477011882849281,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Andrew Cuomo",
|
|
"probability": 0.008950723658819932,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Elizabeth Warren",
|
|
"probability": 0.04304871854956253,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Amy Klobuchar",
|
|
"probability": 0.017725942932172806,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Hillary Clinton",
|
|
"probability": 0.017725942932172806,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Tulsi Gabbard",
|
|
"probability": 0.013492881933444972,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Andrew Yang",
|
|
"probability": 0.02658891439825921,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Bernie Sanders",
|
|
"probability": 0.017725942932172806,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Pete Buttigieg",
|
|
"probability": 0.04304871854956253,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Beto O'Rourke",
|
|
"probability": 0.013492881933444972,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Bill Gates",
|
|
"probability": 0.008950723658819932,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Katie Porter",
|
|
"probability": 0.008950723658819932,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Meghan Markle",
|
|
"probability": 0.017725942932172806,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Gavin Newsom",
|
|
"probability": 0.008950723658819932,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Gretchen Whitmer",
|
|
"probability": 0.013492881933444972,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Cory Booker",
|
|
"probability": 0.017725942932172806,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Tammy Duckworth",
|
|
"probability": 0.013492881933444972,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "John Ossoff",
|
|
"probability": 0.017725942932172806,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Oprah Winfrey",
|
|
"probability": 0.013492881933444972,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "2024 US Presidential Election: Winning Party",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Democrats",
|
|
"probability": 0.49722140976893836,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Republicans",
|
|
"probability": 0.47484644632933615,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Independent",
|
|
"probability": 0.027932143901725656,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "2024 US Presidential Election: Republican Ticket (Nominee + VP)",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Hawley + Haley",
|
|
"probability": 0.04277908454782048,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Donald Trump + Pence",
|
|
"probability": 0.16859992145317484,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Donald Trump + Ivanka Trump",
|
|
"probability": 0.08513461380308829,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Carlson + Ivanka Trump",
|
|
"probability": 0.04277908454782048,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Donald Trump + Hawley",
|
|
"probability": 0.16859992145317484,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Hawley + Donald Trump Jr",
|
|
"probability": 0.034257354558214805,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Donald Trump Jr + Hawley",
|
|
"probability": 0.034257354558214805,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Donald Trump + Taylor Greene",
|
|
"probability": 0.04277908454782048,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Donald Trump + DeSantis",
|
|
"probability": 0.2528998821797622,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Donald Trump + Noem",
|
|
"probability": 0.08513461380308829,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "DeSantis + Noem",
|
|
"probability": 0.04277908454782048,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next German Chancellor: To Replace Merkel As Chancellor",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Markus Söder",
|
|
"probability": 0.470841460109662,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Olaf Scholz",
|
|
"probability": 0.04035783943797102,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Annalena Baerbock",
|
|
"probability": 0.04035783943797102,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Alice Weidel",
|
|
"probability": 0.008391233942548431,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jens Spahn",
|
|
"probability": 0.03259671646913045,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Armin Laschet",
|
|
"probability": 0.357601108944047,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Robert Habeck",
|
|
"probability": 0.04985380165867009,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next French Presidential Election: To Win",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Xavier Bertrand",
|
|
"probability": 0.023053988786678126,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Francois Baroin",
|
|
"probability": 0.023053988786678126,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Bernard Cazeneuve",
|
|
"probability": 0.015369325857785419,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Nicolas Sarkozy",
|
|
"probability": 0.015369325857785419,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Michel Barnier",
|
|
"probability": 0.03732550565462173,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "David Lisnard",
|
|
"probability": 0.015369325857785419,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Marion Marechal",
|
|
"probability": 0.015369325857785419,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ségolène Royal",
|
|
"probability": 0.030147523797963708,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Valerie Pecresse",
|
|
"probability": 0.023053988786678126,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Emmanuel Macron",
|
|
"probability": 0.4992583558898448,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Marine Le Pen",
|
|
"probability": 0.1741856930549014,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jean-Luc Melenchon",
|
|
"probability": 0.03732550565462173,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Anne Hidalgo",
|
|
"probability": 0.03732550565462173,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Laurent Wauquiez",
|
|
"probability": 0.015369325857785419,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan",
|
|
"probability": 0.023053988786678126,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Benoit Hamon",
|
|
"probability": 0.015369325857785419,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "2022 Texas Gubernatorial Election: To Win",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Beto O'Rourke",
|
|
"probability": 0.21794871794871795,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Greg Abbott",
|
|
"probability": 0.6538461538461539,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Matthew McConaughey",
|
|
"probability": 0.019230769230769232,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Julian Castro",
|
|
"probability": 0.10897435897435898,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "2021 German Federal Election: Most Seats",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "AfD",
|
|
"probability": 0.017844886753603295,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "CDU + CSU",
|
|
"probability": 0.8750857927247769,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Greens",
|
|
"probability": 0.05353466026080989,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "SPD",
|
|
"probability": 0.05353466026080989,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "2021 NYC Mayoral Election: Election Winner - Void if no 2021 election",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Andrew Yang",
|
|
"probability": 0.5563445041300947,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Curtis Silwa",
|
|
"probability": 0.008427792983356882,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Eric Adams",
|
|
"probability": 0.1891571314042322,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Maya Wiley",
|
|
"probability": 0.0851207091319045,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ray McGuire",
|
|
"probability": 0.05007100537170853,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Scott Stringer",
|
|
"probability": 0.06547746856300346,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Shaun Donovan",
|
|
"probability": 0.03273873428150173,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Donald Trump",
|
|
"probability": 0.00423486115084102,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Andrew Giuliani",
|
|
"probability": 0.008427792983356882,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Tees Valley Mayoral Election: To Win",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ben Houchen (Cons)",
|
|
"probability": 0.7936507936507936,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jessie Joe Jacobs (Lab)",
|
|
"probability": 0.2063492063492063,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next Labour Party Leader: To Succeed Keir Starmer",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Andy Burnham",
|
|
"probability": 0.07353039962596515,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Angela Rayner",
|
|
"probability": 0.07353039962596515,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "David Miliband",
|
|
"probability": 0.015859497958541503,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Lisa Nandy",
|
|
"probability": 0.07353039962596515,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Rebecca Long-Bailey",
|
|
"probability": 0.015859497958541503,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Sadiq Khan",
|
|
"probability": 0.07353039962596515,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Laura Pidcock",
|
|
"probability": 0.015859497958541503,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Dan Jarvis",
|
|
"probability": 0.015859497958541503,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yvette Cooper",
|
|
"probability": 0.038515923613600796,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ed Miliband",
|
|
"probability": 0.023789246937812255,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jeremy Corbyn",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Richard Burgon",
|
|
"probability": 0.015859497958541503,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Dawn Butler",
|
|
"probability": 0.015859497958541503,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Clive Lewis",
|
|
"probability": 0.015859497958541503,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Dan Carden",
|
|
"probability": 0.015859497958541503,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Zarah Sultana",
|
|
"probability": 0.015859497958541503,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Emily Thornberry",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jonathan Ashworth",
|
|
"probability": 0.015859497958541503,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Cat Smith",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ian Lavery",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Barry Gardiner",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Stephen Kinnock",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Hilary Benn",
|
|
"probability": 0.015859497958541503,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Stella Creasy",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Janet Daby",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Anneliese Dodds",
|
|
"probability": 0.023789246937812255,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Rachel Reeves",
|
|
"probability": 0.015859497958541503,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Rosie Duffield",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Nia Griffith",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Louise Haigh",
|
|
"probability": 0.015859497958541503,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Liz Kendall",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Peter Kyle",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "David Lammy",
|
|
"probability": 0.015859497958541503,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Seema Malhotra",
|
|
"probability": 0.015859497958541503,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Alison McGovern",
|
|
"probability": 0.012072155162471891,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jim McMahon",
|
|
"probability": 0.015859497958541503,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Chi Onwurah",
|
|
"probability": 0.012072155162471891,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Kate Osamor",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Matthew Pennycook",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jess Phillips",
|
|
"probability": 0.015859497958541503,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Bridget Phillipson",
|
|
"probability": 0.015859497958541503,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Lucy Powell",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ellie Reeves",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jonathan Reynolds",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Lloyd Russell-Moyle",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Wes Streeting",
|
|
"probability": 0.015859497958541503,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Tony Blair",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Nadia Whittome",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Angela Eagle",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Helen Hayes",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Vicky Foxcroft",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Bell Ribeiro-Addy",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Preet Gill",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Rosena Allin-Khan",
|
|
"probability": 0.04757849387562451,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Nick Thomas-Symonds",
|
|
"probability": 0.038515923613600796,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jon Trickett",
|
|
"probability": 0.008008261345402145,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next Labour Party Leader: When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Labour Party leader?",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "2021",
|
|
"probability": 0.22909090909090907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "2022",
|
|
"probability": 0.1309090909090909,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "2023",
|
|
"probability": 0.1309090909090909,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "2024 or later",
|
|
"probability": 0.509090909090909,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next UK Prime Minister: Next PM (Acting PM or similar will not count)",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Eddie Hughes",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Rishi Sunak",
|
|
"probability": 0.21196616150341224,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Andy Burnham",
|
|
"probability": 0.01454669735807731,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Sadiq Khan",
|
|
"probability": 0.007345362032296464,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Grant Shapps",
|
|
"probability": 0.007345362032296464,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Laurence Fox",
|
|
"probability": 0.0014808015274689478,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Graham Brady",
|
|
"probability": 0.007345362032296464,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Neil O'Brien",
|
|
"probability": 0.011072859183014072,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Theresa May",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Nadhim Zahawi",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Kwasi Kwarteng",
|
|
"probability": 0.011072859183014072,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jacob Rees-Mogg",
|
|
"probability": 0.01454669735807731,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jeremy Corbyn",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jeremy Hunt",
|
|
"probability": 0.057067812712457144,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Keir Starmer",
|
|
"probability": 0.1854703913154857,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Nigel Farage",
|
|
"probability": 0.01454669735807731,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Penny Mordaunt",
|
|
"probability": 0.011072859183014072,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Rebecca Long-Bailey",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Rory Stewart",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Sajid Javid",
|
|
"probability": 0.021820046037115966,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Emily Thornberry",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Angela Rayner",
|
|
"probability": 0.007345362032296464,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "James Cleverly",
|
|
"probability": 0.01809467232346202,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Dominic Raab",
|
|
"probability": 0.03532769358390204,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Tom Tugendhat",
|
|
"probability": 0.01454669735807731,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Johnny Mercer",
|
|
"probability": 0.007345362032296464,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ruth Davidson",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Liz Truss",
|
|
"probability": 0.028533906356228572,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Michael Gove",
|
|
"probability": 0.06744377866017663,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Matt Hancock",
|
|
"probability": 0.021820046037115966,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Priti Patel",
|
|
"probability": 0.028533906356228572,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Gavin Williamson",
|
|
"probability": 0.007345362032296464,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Geoffrey Cox",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "John McDonnell",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yvette Cooper",
|
|
"probability": 0.007345362032296464,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Lisa Nandy",
|
|
"probability": 0.007345362032296464,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Steve Baker",
|
|
"probability": 0.01454669735807731,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Tobia Ellwood",
|
|
"probability": 0.007345362032296464,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Steve Barclay",
|
|
"probability": 0.007345362032296464,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Damian Hinds",
|
|
"probability": 0.007345362032296464,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "David Davis",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Andrea Leadsom",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Kemi Badenoch",
|
|
"probability": 0.011072859183014072,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Andrea Jenkyns",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Bim Afolami",
|
|
"probability": 0.007345362032296464,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Helen Whately",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Kit Malthouse",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Mark Harper",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Esther McVey",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Caroline Lucas",
|
|
"probability": 0.007345362032296464,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Piers Morgan",
|
|
"probability": 0.0014808015274689478,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "David Cameron",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Hilary Benn",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Liz Saville Roberts",
|
|
"probability": 0.0014808015274689478,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ed Davey",
|
|
"probability": 0.007345362032296464,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Laura Pidcock",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "David Miliband",
|
|
"probability": 0.007345362032296464,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Harriet Harman",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Dominic Cummings",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ed Miiliband",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jess Phillips",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Bridget Phillipson",
|
|
"probability": 0.0036909530610046907,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "West Yorkshire Mayoral Election: 2021 Election Winner (Void if no 2021 election)",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Andrew Cooper (Green)",
|
|
"probability": 0.00915359010936757,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Bob Buxton (Yorkshire Party)",
|
|
"probability": 0.00915359010936757,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Stewart Golton (LD)",
|
|
"probability": 0.00915359010936757,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Tracy Brabin (Lab)",
|
|
"probability": 0.8404660009510223,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Matthew Robinson (Cons)",
|
|
"probability": 0.13207322872087493,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Hartlepool By-election: Winner",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Conservatives",
|
|
"probability": 0.44509874937307453,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Labour",
|
|
"probability": 0.49455416597008284,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Liberal Democrats",
|
|
"probability": 0.004428843277344025,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Reform UK",
|
|
"probability": 0.026182279374886736,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Northern Independence Party (bets void if not registered as a party in time)",
|
|
"probability": 0.026182279374886736,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "SDP",
|
|
"probability": 0.0017768413148625728,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Heritage Party",
|
|
"probability": 0.0017768413148625728,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "London Mayoral Election: 2021 Election Winner (Void if no 2021 election)",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Sadiq Khan (Lab)",
|
|
"probability": 0.87607458110003,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Shaun Bailey (Cons)",
|
|
"probability": 0.053595150843766544,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Sian Berry (Green)",
|
|
"probability": 0.00902096598360427,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "David Kurten (Heritage)",
|
|
"probability": 0.003629950455553909,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Farah London (Ind)",
|
|
"probability": 0.0018185979328224175,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Luisa Porritt (Lib Dem)",
|
|
"probability": 0.0045329232056916975,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Brian Rose (Ind)",
|
|
"probability": 0.026797575421883272,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Mandu Reid (WEP)",
|
|
"probability": 0.0018185979328224175,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Peter Gammons (UKIP)",
|
|
"probability": 0.003629950455553909,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Piers Corbyn",
|
|
"probability": 0.0018185979328224175,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Nims Obunge (Ind)",
|
|
"probability": 0.0018185979328224175,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Count Binface",
|
|
"probability": 0.0018185979328224175,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "DrillMinister",
|
|
"probability": 0.0018185979328224175,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Winston McKenzie",
|
|
"probability": 0.0018185979328224175,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Kam Balayev (Renew)",
|
|
"probability": 0.0018185979328224175,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Laurence Fox (Reclaim)",
|
|
"probability": 0.0045329232056916975,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Max Fosh (Ind)",
|
|
"probability": 0.0018185979328224175,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Valerie Brown (Burning Pink)",
|
|
"probability": 0.0018185979328224175,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "London Mayoral Election: Sadiq Khan R1 Vote Share",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Under 35%",
|
|
"probability": 0.04261025029797378,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "35-40%",
|
|
"probability": 0.08134684147794995,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "40-45%",
|
|
"probability": 0.2753277711561383,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "45-50%",
|
|
"probability": 0.3253873659117998,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Over 50%",
|
|
"probability": 0.2753277711561383,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "London Mayoral Election: Winner without Sadiq Khan",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Brian Rose",
|
|
"probability": 0.04122517504215602,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Shaun Bailey",
|
|
"probability": 0.8245035008431204,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Sian Berry",
|
|
"probability": 0.04122517504215602,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Luisa Porritt",
|
|
"probability": 0.033297256764818324,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Mandu Reid",
|
|
"probability": 0.008571571048369074,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "David Kurten",
|
|
"probability": 0.008571571048369074,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Peter Gammons",
|
|
"probability": 0.008571571048369074,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Farah London",
|
|
"probability": 0.008571571048369074,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Laurence Fox",
|
|
"probability": 0.025462608114272835,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "London Mayoral Election: Most votes match bet",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Max Fosh",
|
|
"probability": 0.25,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Laurence Fox",
|
|
"probability": 0.75,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Boris Johnson: When will Johnson be replaced as PM? (1st Instance Only)",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "2021",
|
|
"probability": 0.15682281059063136,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "2022",
|
|
"probability": 0.1710794297352342,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "2023 or later",
|
|
"probability": 0.6720977596741344,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Boris Johnson: Leader at Next General Election?",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "To be Tory leader at next general election",
|
|
"probability": 0.5263157894736842,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "NOT to be Tory leader at next general election",
|
|
"probability": 0.47368421052631576,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "2021 Welsh Assembly Elections: Most Seats",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Conservatives",
|
|
"probability": 0.11503967380380371,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Labour",
|
|
"probability": 0.8217119557414551,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Liberal Democrats",
|
|
"probability": 0.009112053370598314,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Plaid Cymru",
|
|
"probability": 0.054136317084142925,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "2021 Welsh Assembly Elections: Majority Betting (over 30 Seats)",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Labour Majority",
|
|
"probability": 0.2903930131004367,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "NO Labour Majority",
|
|
"probability": 0.7096069868995633,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next Scottish Independence Referendum: Year Of Next Official Referendum (Sanctioned by UK and Scottish Governments)",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "2022",
|
|
"probability": 0.22419928825622776,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "2023",
|
|
"probability": 0.09964412811387899,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "2024",
|
|
"probability": 0.09964412811387899,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Not before 2025",
|
|
"probability": 0.4483985765124555,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "2021",
|
|
"probability": 0.1281138790035587,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next UK General Election: Most Seats",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Reform UK",
|
|
"probability": 0.009469915492155196,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Conservatives",
|
|
"probability": 0.5727314159926197,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Greens",
|
|
"probability": 0.004758514749789426,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Labour",
|
|
"probability": 0.4035702382732804,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Liberal Democrats",
|
|
"probability": 0.009469915492155196,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next UK General Election: Year of next election",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "2021",
|
|
"probability": 0.043734230445752725,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "2022",
|
|
"probability": 0.07064760302775441,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "2023",
|
|
"probability": 0.22960470984020181,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "2024 or later",
|
|
"probability": 0.656013456686291,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next UK General Election: Overall Majority",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Conservative Majoirity",
|
|
"probability": 0.34239130434782616,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Labour Majority",
|
|
"probability": 0.20923913043478262,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No Overall Majority",
|
|
"probability": 0.44836956521739135,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next Scottish First Minister: Next Scottish First Minister",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jackson Carlaw",
|
|
"probability": 0.008212500914802535,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Douglas Ross",
|
|
"probability": 0.04879191719970918,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Michelle Ballantyne",
|
|
"probability": 0.003304631842211379,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Monica Lennon",
|
|
"probability": 0.008212500914802535,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Alex Salmond",
|
|
"probability": 0.01626397239990306,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Anas Sarwar",
|
|
"probability": 0.02439595859985459,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Andy Murray",
|
|
"probability": 0.0016556139568763592,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Angus Robertson",
|
|
"probability": 0.13824376539917602,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "David Coburn",
|
|
"probability": 0.0016556139568763592,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Derek Mackay",
|
|
"probability": 0.02439595859985459,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Humza Yousaf",
|
|
"probability": 0.0638048147996197,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jeane Freeman",
|
|
"probability": 0.01626397239990306,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "John Swinney",
|
|
"probability": 0.11849465605643658,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Keith Brown",
|
|
"probability": 0.0638048147996197,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Mhairi Black",
|
|
"probability": 0.03190240739980985,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Michael Matheson",
|
|
"probability": 0.012380038692463523,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Neil Findlay",
|
|
"probability": 0.008212500914802535,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Peter Murrell",
|
|
"probability": 0.012380038692463523,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Pete Wishart",
|
|
"probability": 0.008212500914802535,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Philippa Whitford",
|
|
"probability": 0.008212500914802535,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ruth Davidson",
|
|
"probability": 0.03190240739980985,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Shona Robison",
|
|
"probability": 0.01626397239990306,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Stewart Hosie",
|
|
"probability": 0.01626397239990306,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Stuart Campbell",
|
|
"probability": 0.0016556139568763592,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Tasmin Ahmed-Sheikh",
|
|
"probability": 0.008212500914802535,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Tommy Sheppard",
|
|
"probability": 0.008212500914802535,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Willie Rennie",
|
|
"probability": 0.008212500914802535,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Richard Leonard",
|
|
"probability": 0.004126679564154508,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Kate Forbes",
|
|
"probability": 0.11849465605643658,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ash Denham",
|
|
"probability": 0.01626397239990306,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Shirley-Anne Somerville",
|
|
"probability": 0.03190240739980985,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Michael Russell",
|
|
"probability": 0.03190240739980985,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Joanna Cherry",
|
|
"probability": 0.07540569021773237,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Andrew Wilson",
|
|
"probability": 0.012380038692463523,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: Most Seats",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Reform UK",
|
|
"probability": 0.0046980793146331355,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "SNP",
|
|
"probability": 0.9349642992487724,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Labour",
|
|
"probability": 0.018515959651789416,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Conservatives",
|
|
"probability": 0.027773939477684122,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Greens",
|
|
"probability": 0.0046980793146331355,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Liberal Democrats",
|
|
"probability": 0.009349642992487724,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: Majority Betting",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "SNP Majority",
|
|
"probability": 0.5361930294906166,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No SNP Majority",
|
|
"probability": 0.4638069705093834,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: Most Seats - Second Place",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "SNP",
|
|
"probability": 0.026311219173324074,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Labour",
|
|
"probability": 0.2981938172976728,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Conservatives",
|
|
"probability": 0.6577804793331018,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Greens",
|
|
"probability": 0.008857242097950678,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Liberal Democrats",
|
|
"probability": 0.008857242097950678,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: SNP Constituency Vote Share",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Under 40%",
|
|
"probability": 0.05189297347917039,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "40-45%",
|
|
"probability": 0.27144016896796824,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "45-50%",
|
|
"probability": 0.3722280798083952,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "50-55%",
|
|
"probability": 0.23524814643890576,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "55-60%",
|
|
"probability": 0.05189297347917039,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Over 60%",
|
|
"probability": 0.01729765782639013,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: Will Nicola Sturgeon be First Minister on 1st Jan 2022?",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.7096069868995633,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.2903930131004367,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: SNP Total Seats Over/Under",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Over",
|
|
"probability": 0.5,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Under",
|
|
"probability": 0.5,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: Edinburgh Central",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "SNP",
|
|
"probability": 0.608410155137639,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Labour",
|
|
"probability": 0.07964642030892728,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Conservatives",
|
|
"probability": 0.2695724995071385,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Liberal Democrats",
|
|
"probability": 0.00867436260790297,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Scottish Greens",
|
|
"probability": 0.033696562438392315,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: Glasgow Southside",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "SNP",
|
|
"probability": 0.8406168766829473,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Labour",
|
|
"probability": 0.13209693776446316,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Conservatives",
|
|
"probability": 0.01813095224218122,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Liberal Democrats",
|
|
"probability": 0.009155233310408337,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: 2021 Election Winner (Void if no 2021 election)",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Andy Burnham (Lab)",
|
|
"probability": 0.947622401810383,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Laura Evans (Cons)",
|
|
"probability": 0.02842867205431149,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Melanie Horrocks (Green)",
|
|
"probability": 0.009570048018283076,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Simon Lepori (ld)",
|
|
"probability": 0.009570048018283076,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Nick Buckley (Reform)",
|
|
"probability": 0.004808830098739257,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next Conservative Party Leader: Next Permanent Leader",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Dehenna Davison",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Rishi Sunak",
|
|
"probability": 0.20231888744285167,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Nickie Aiken",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Lee Anderson",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Claire Coutinho",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Darren Henry",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Alicia Kearns",
|
|
"probability": 0.0030196848872067416,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Nicola Richards",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Brandon Lewis",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Eddie Hughes",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Victoria Atkins",
|
|
"probability": 0.009059054661620224,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Suella Braverman",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Neil O'Brien",
|
|
"probability": 0.011901111026050099,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Theresa May",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Kwasi Kwarteng",
|
|
"probability": 0.017851666539075148,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Dominic Raab",
|
|
"probability": 0.046688974025273465,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jacob Rees-Mogg",
|
|
"probability": 0.017851666539075148,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "James Cleverly",
|
|
"probability": 0.017851666539075148,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jeremy Hunt",
|
|
"probability": 0.06743962914761722,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Johnny Mercer",
|
|
"probability": 0.009059054661620224,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Penny Mordaunt",
|
|
"probability": 0.017851666539075148,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Rory Stewart",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ruth Davidson",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Sajid Javid",
|
|
"probability": 0.023344487012636733,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Tom Tugendhat",
|
|
"probability": 0.023344487012636733,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Liz Truss",
|
|
"probability": 0.035703333078150296,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Nigel Farage",
|
|
"probability": 0.011901111026050099,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Matt Hancock",
|
|
"probability": 0.02890269820612167,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Priti Patel",
|
|
"probability": 0.02890269820612167,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Michael Gove",
|
|
"probability": 0.06743962914761722,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Gavin Williamson",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Steve Baker",
|
|
"probability": 0.017851666539075148,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Geoffrey Cox",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Kemi Badenoch",
|
|
"probability": 0.011901111026050099,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Andrea Jenkyns",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Tobias Ellwood",
|
|
"probability": 0.011901111026050099,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Bim Afolami",
|
|
"probability": 0.011901111026050099,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Helen Whately",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Steve Barclay",
|
|
"probability": 0.011901111026050099,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Damian Hinds",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "David Davis",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Kit Malthouse",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Mark Harper",
|
|
"probability": 0.009059054661620224,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Andrea Leadsom",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Esther McVey",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "David Cameron",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Michael Fabricant",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Graham Brady",
|
|
"probability": 0.011901111026050099,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "George Osborne",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Mark Francois",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Margot James",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ben Bradley",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Alan Mak",
|
|
"probability": 0.0030196848872067416,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ben Wallace",
|
|
"probability": 0.017851666539075148,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Theresa Villiers",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Robert Jenrick",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Robert Buckland",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Alok Sharma",
|
|
"probability": 0.009059054661620224,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Grant Shapps",
|
|
"probability": 0.017851666539075148,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Julian Smith",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Nadhim Zahawi",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jesse Norman",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Nigel Adams",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "George Freeman",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Tom Pursglove",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Therese Coffey",
|
|
"probability": 0.006009471904243119,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Aaron Bell",
|
|
"probability": 0.0030196848872067416,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "West Midlands Mayoral Election: 2021 Election Winner (Void if no 2021 election)",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "Ladbrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Andy Street (Cons)",
|
|
"probability": 0.6997822270433548,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Jenny Wilkinson (LD)",
|
|
"probability": 0.009214954078887743,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Liam Byrne (Lab)",
|
|
"probability": 0.2863724190669729,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Ashvir Sangha (Ind)",
|
|
"probability": 0.004630399810784388,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Biden to leave office in 1st term via Impeachment, Resignation or 25th Amendment",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.38167938931297707,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.6183206106870229,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Biden to serve full 1st term",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.6666666666666666,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.33333333333333337,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "2024 US Presidential Election: Donald Trump to be elected President as a third party candidate",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.0196078431372549,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.9803921568627451,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "2024 US Presidential Election: Donald Trump to run and win with over 75% of popular vote",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.009900990099009901,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.9900990099009901,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "London Mayoral Election: Sadiq Khan NOT to win",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.09090909090909091,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.9090909090909091,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "London Mayoral Election: Brian Rose to get over 5% of vote",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.8333333333333334,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "London Mayoral Election: Shaun Bailey to get under 25% of R1 Vote",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.4444444444444444,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.5555555555555556,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "London Mayoral Election: Laurence Fox to get over 5% of vote",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.8333333333333334,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next UK General Election: Conservatives to increase their majority from 2019 (80 seats)",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.2,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.8,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next UK General Election: Conservatives Do Not Win Most Seats",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.47619047619047616,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.5238095238095238,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next UK General Election: Conservatives fail to win a majority",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.7142857142857143,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.2857142857142857,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Next UK General Election: Lib Dems to win over 25 seats",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.4444444444444444,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.5555555555555556,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Dehenna Davison to become UK PM before 2060",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.009900990099009901,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.9900990099009901,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "UK to rejoin EU before end 2025",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.058823529411764705,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.9411764705882353,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Rishi Sunak to become PM before next general election",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.2222222222222222,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.7777777777777778,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "David Lammy to be UK PM before end 2040",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.004975124378109453,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.9950248756218906,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Marcus Rashford To Become Uk Pm Before 2060",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.009900990099009901,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.9900990099009901,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Libertarian Party to win US Presidential election before 2041",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.0196078431372549,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.9803921568627451,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Nigel Farage to become UK PM in 2021",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.004975124378109453,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.9950248756218906,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Amanda Gorman to be elected US President in 2036",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.009900990099009901,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.9900990099009901,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Marcus Rashford to become a UK MP before 2060",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.029411764705882353,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.9705882352941176,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"title": "Piers Morgan to become PM before 2040",
|
|
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
|
|
"platform": "LadBrokes",
|
|
"options": [
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "Yes",
|
|
"probability": 0.004975124378109453,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
"name": "No",
|
|
"probability": 0.9950248756218906,
|
|
"type": "PROBABILITY"
|
|
}
|
|
],
|
|
"stars": 2
|
|
}
|
|
] |